ORDfan101 wrote:ER757 wrote:ORDfan101 wrote:I think that in order to capture many orders, the nma should be launched in Paris
Very doubtful this will happen - IMO they are still trying to close the business case - will they be able to make a sufficient ROI? Don't count on a launch announcement - probably just an update on where they stand at this point.
I believe it is necessary for them to launch because the retirement frame for many 757/767s is fast approaching meaning that they must act fast
Thing is, outside the USA, most airlines (though admittedly not all) have already replaced their passenger 757/767s or already have planes on order to do that. It doesn't mean that airlines won't order a 797 because it potentially does what they need at an operating cost they can afford, but they won't be ordering it purely as a replacement for the planes they never had to begin with or no longer have.
As an example, in Europe the only significant numbers of 757s remaining with scheduled/semi-charter carriers are with Condor (15), Icelandair (28), Jet2 (11) and TUI Group (11). TUI Group have already decided that the MAX8 is an adequate replacement and have lots on order. Once the grounding is lifted, 757s start leaving in quantity this winter. Condor, along with the rest of the Thomas Cook Group airlines, is up for sale, so are unlikely to order anything at all this year. Now 767s do still exist with first-tier airlines in Europe, but only six,, with OS. At the moment owner Lufthansa Group says that earnings at Austrian are too low to finance fleet renewal.
After that we're back to TUI Group (6) (who seem to prefer 788s in this size category), Condor(16) and Icelandair (4) again.
Why do I mention Europe specifically? Well, it is customary for manufacturers sales teams to try for orders from the region an airshow is held in above all, as this secures maximum publicity for both them and their customers.