The 321 would be the right size aircraft for BHX route, but given the failures thus far and albeit the last one was PF I would put BHX in a 3rd or even 4th wave.
I'm not saying BHX is plausible but I don't think we can judge any market viability based on PF. PF failed because PF itself was a bad business, first and foremost. They also failed on CDG-BOS, remember?
Why would they have a big party in NYC to announce BOS LHR service?
That's where their HQ is and generally speaking that's where all-hands meetings are held. This is not a route announcement party, it's an all-hands meeting. a.net just loves to blow stuff way out of proportion
Exactly, imo there is no way they go into BOS-LHR and not also go with JFK. In fact, I think it's far more likely they do well starting off at JFK vs BOS.
I wouldn't be so sure. For starters with all the ATC delays in the NY area and congestion at LHR, operating A321's from LHR to JFK could be problematic. All that taxi time and holding in line to land eats into the range of the A321.
Then the competition from NYC is huge. The amount of Y seats dumped in this market only to cater to business pax with lots of frequencies is astronomical. Does B6 really need to start with 2 TATL gateways? Then there is the issue of slots at JFK. It's hard enough to find sots in LHR and AMS, it's even harder to find them when they have to match slots in JFK.
Indeed. Although AMS is a wonderful city, I did not see it as being the first or second European city B6 would enter. This is clearly aimed at poking DL, and the commentary on DL’s HND application just furthers that notion.
It's a large year round O&D market from BOS where DL/KL have a monopoly.
All I can say is, if B6 is really planning to announce LHR/CDG/AMS in April, get ready to buy because the fare war will be great for us consumers.
Just to give you an example, when DL announced BOS-LIS last year the peak summer fares dropped to $400 all included. $400 for a TATL ticket including all taxes, 1 checked back and seat reservation in July on a full service carrier like DL is unheard of.