planemanofnz wrote:NZ6 wrote:A few questions... thoughts, those are stats showing an improvement WLGMEL, does it show us anything WLGSIN or WLGSIN->Beyond?
Is this either...
a) Demonstrating WLG's need for long haul travel - something I highly doubt
b) nothing other than Tasman flying
Remember the time when EK, MH, TG and others all flew one-stop to AKL via Australia? A significant chunk of those services to start off with were O&D Tasman passengers. With time, the carriers built up their profile, and economic opportunities increased, such that the tags were no longer needed and non-stops became viable. I view SQ to WLG as similar. For the first few years, O&D MEL passengers - and the subsidy - will sustain SQ here, as it builds up its profile. As the years go on, the viability of a non-stop SIN flight will increase (pending the runway extension, or better technology).
I also feel that the performance of the current one-stop service does not capture the true potential demand of a non-stop service. Obviously the current SQ service via MEL is not much more competitive than other one-stop services via AKL or SYD. However, if a non-stop flight was offered, that would be able to capture more of the NZ and QF one-stop traffic to SIN, and two-stop traffic to India and Europe, than the current one-stop SQ flight to SIN via MEL does. WLG would also become more competitive as a transit stop to/from regional New Zealand - DUD, NSN, TRG etc - giving a boost.
Just a few thoughts.
But WHY? Why would any airline take the risk??
The ONLY reason would be if you calculated that the introduction of a new long haul service would generate NEW passengers. And I keep coming back to the fact there is not the inbound market, not the population in central New Zealand...... and they're already well served by AKL and CHC anyway.
Look, I get it. When I lived in Wellington I dreamed of a WLG-NAN-LAX 762 service. I'm still waiting.