seahawk wrote:QuarkFly wrote:Hmmm...Launch now in 2020. That means entry in service likely would be closer to 2027. The last 767 passenger and 757's will be mostly gone by then.
Trouble singing up launch customers? Or maybe waiting out a A321XLR and forcing Airbus hand?...Newer A321 versions do not make sense if delayed much longer. Both A and B still have to think about offering a new single-isle after 2025
NMA was always a risky market segment...still a possiblity it will never fly?
No, as the development is much more advanced than usual. Boeing will make 2025. The 797 is already the buzz in the industry, I would not be surprised to see it sell like the 787 before launch. It is a "must have" for airlines.
Even if they launched this year...no way can a 2025 EIS happen -- that is marketing goals. The engine actually may be the major time long-pole, A certified 50 klb engine is only in OEM's wet dreams as of now.
No production facilities started or time critical engine development is going to occur until after official launch if it happens in 2020 (or ever!). New aircraft need at least a year of certification flying...you can't launch in 2020 and fly by 2024. Best case EIS is late 2026...more likely 2027 and full rate production closer to 2030.