phluser wrote:tphuang wrote:I've looked up Q4 2017 yields for several routes where NK competes against B6 out of both MCO/FLL (BWI/EWR/PVD/BDL/BOS/SJU). I can tell you without a doubt that NK performs better out of MCO in all of them. And, the fare premium that B6 has over NK is greater out of FLL in all of them. And the difference is not trivial in most cases. Now unfortunately, we don't have international data, but I'd venture that they'd show similar numbers.
NK doesn't service PVD. I looked at BOS-MCO and B6 has the largest market share. Where are you getting the NK MCO yield information?
I must have confused PVD with something else.
I get my fare and lf data off BTS for Q4.
As an example for BOS-MCO/FLL
CityPairDistanceCarrier Boarded AvgFare LF AvgAsm PRASM
FLLBOS 1237 DL 5275 187.74 91.71% 172.18 0.1392
FLLBOS 1237 NK 44411 78.85 77.46% 61.07 0.0494
FLLBOS 1237 B6 117242 210.39 84.56% 177.9 0.1438
MCOBOS 1121 DL 57277 183.19 80.90% 148.21 0.1322
MCOBOS 1121 NK 49695 77.44 81.81% 63.35 0.0565
MCOBOS 1121 B6 178845 194.39 81.39% 158.2 0.1411
BOS probably had the smallest gap between FLL/MCO.
other examples
FLLEWR 1065 NK 102106 59.46 74.32% 44.2 0.0415
FLLEWR 1065 WN 47859 113.85 87.00% 99.05 0.093
FLLEWR 1065 B6 108442 165.86 86.37% 143.26 0.1345
FLLEWR 1065 UA 162119 168.78 86.68% 146.3 0.1374
MCOEWR 937 NK 74882 69.98 81.72% 57.19 0.061
MCOEWR 937 WN 37613 139.33 93.71% 130.57 0.1393
MCOEWR 937 B6 153248 155.02 90.01% 139.54 0.1489
MCOEWR 937 UA 228463 182.93 90.50% 165.56 0.1767
FLLBDL 1173 NK 22696 62.56 75.10% 46.98 0.0401
FLLBDL 1173 WN 24644 144.01 88.75% 127.8 0.109
FLLBDL 1173 B6 47078 166.53 83.25% 138.63 0.1182
MCOBDL 1050 NK 25118 74.31 83.71% 62.2 0.0592
MCOBDL 1050 WN 66479 162.65 90.90% 147.84 0.1408
MCOBDL 1050 B6 50354 180.63 86.15% 155.61 0.1482
It's also important to note that since these are fares only multiplied by LF, ancillary revenues could change this by quite a bit. Which I think could tilt things even more in favour of MCO, since you tend to get families with a lot of luggages.
