American 767 wrote:
Here's the original Reuters report referenced in the BBJ articlehttps://www.reuters.com/article/us-amer ... SKBN1GZ35U
Looks to be an order of 25-30 frames, no variant specified yet. Nothing mentioned about the A350 order, but one would have to assume that it's on thin ice at the moment.
Hopefully, this means we'll see the 787-10 in American colors soon!
The -10 seems a bit big for a 763 replacement
The -10 would be the right 77E replacement, if American decides to go all Boeing for its future wide body fleet. The 763 replacement is the 788 and the 789 depending on the routes where more capacity is needed. For example, the 788 has already replaced the 763 on the ORD-CDG route, although only seasonal, it is a 77E during the summer.
I don't believe AA will choose the 78J for 77E replacement as the 789 currently has more seats than the 77E and more than enough range.
Today's Bloomberg article confirms that the order is for 22x 788 and 25x 789 - no 78J.
Source: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... reamliners
Should began several months from now and all planned by end of year.
Per AA’s most recent fleet plan, the A333s will not be retired until 2020.
Does anyone think AA might pickup a few used A332s to complement their existing fleet and then replace the all the A332s with the MoM?
If AA decides to replace the 767s with 788s, then it seems like AA would have little interest in the MoM aircraft.
AA has little reason to buy used A332s when they can replace all of them and then some with the 788 and 789 using their existing 58 options. It's more likely they'll try to dump existing A332s on the used market when they still have resale value, unless the A333s which are early models. For this reason the 77E may end up outlasting the A332 due to fleet commonality with the 77W.
I watched a YouTube video for someone who follows the airline industry. He said his information was that AA interest in the A330neo has waned, and that AA is close to a deal for more 789s. This seems to be the media consensus.
But, AA still has a number of 763s and 752s that are due for retirement. It seems to me that the 789 is too much airplane to replace these aircraft, particularly for flying to Europe or South America.
The 763s can be replaced with 788s and there is currently no plan to retire the 24x 757 International (75L) aircraft. The 10x 75H can be replaced with A321neo.
I agree in all but one aspect. I think a 200-seater has a spot in AA's roster. Places like Budapest, Prague, Montevideo, and the recently announced Córdoba most likely can't survive on a 788, and would have technical problems on a 321LR. Whether that means 797/MOM, fresh 767s (United had talked about them as well, right?), or a new fix, I'm just not sure that the 321LR and the 788 covers enough for American.
With the death of MIA-MVD, it is possible that AA will decide to "go big or go home" and allocate a 788 to MIA-COR anyway - same for BUD and PRG. The 788 and 763 have the same number of J seats, only 788 has 17 more Y seats which is negligible considering greater fuel efficiency. If AA can't fly COR, BUD, and PRG profitably with a 788, then they'll just discontinue the route as with MVD. COR could be handed over to LATAM if it doesn't work out.
Concur that AA will probably buy more cheap used A319s but perhaps A320s will stay longer than expected due to commonality with A319 and A321. Not sure where AA would send A321LR - it seems the standard A321neo may have sufficient range to cover all remaining 757 routes except possibly ORD-MAN (which may go to 788 anyway) or DFW-KEF (which may be moved to ORD, PHL, or even JFK if A321neo range is insufficient).
The Bloomberg article quoted above states 40x 737-MAX8 deliveries have been deferred - these aircraft were intended to replace the A320 and older 738 but now it seems they will only replace the older 738 for now. Possibly AA will even cancel those 40 orders down the line to make way for more A32x orders and change it to a 779 order or more 789s.
AA is on track to becoming the world's largest 787 operator.
John Wang, Founder and President of Inland Streamliner.