Time for my monthly review of the CAA data statistics......

Manchester Statistics - September 2017 (Part 1)

Destinations that are either new (no passengers since my records started in January 2005), or have not been served for a number of years - if the latter then the month and year of the last service is shown.

No new routes to report - although Kiev (Borispol) appeared as a 'one off'.

Only one domestic statistic is currently missing from the CAA report for September.

Exeter is missing from the initial monthly statistics for September. In September 2016 the flown passenger figure for this route was 9,724.

Moving monthly and annual figures - based on CAA statistics

Monthly passengers - 2,867,212 + 7.4%
Annual Total- 21,752,889
Moving Annual Total - 27,643,286 + 11.3%

Monthly Movements - 19,197 + 6.7%
Moving Annual Movements - 196,633 + 10.1%
 
Manchester Statistics -September 2017 (Part 2)

Top 25 destinations - by passenger numbers

PALMA............................................. 119,917
ALICANTE.......................................... 99,789
AMSTERDAM..................................... 85,337
DUBAI................................................ 84,634
MALAGA............................................ 78,347
TENERIFE (SURREINA SOFIA)............. 77,930
DUBLIN.............................................. 75,047
FARO.................................................. 66,420
HEATHROW....................................... 54,180
PARIS (CHARLES DE GAULLE)............. 52,143
BARCELONA....................................... 49,823
IBIZA.................................................. 48,949
DALAMAN.......................................... 48,755
ARRICIFE............................................ 44,695
ORLANDO.......................................... 41,910
FRANKFURT....................................... 34,813
NEW YORK JFK................................... 37,708
PAPHOS.............................................. 37,024
ABU DHABI......................................... 36,589
MAHON............................................. 33,700
LAS PALMAS....................................... 32,968
ANTALYA............................................ 32,339
MUNICH............................................. 31,968
HERAKLION........................................ 31,139
CORFU............................................... 30,072

CAA statistics for September are provisional.


Manchester Statistics - September 2017 (Part 3)

Top 25 destinations with highest percentage increase.

Destination......................................Total Pax....Schedule Pax....Charter Pax....Percentage change
BOSTON.............................................. 8,112............. 8,112.................. 0.................... 464.9
TOULOUSE.......................................... 6,291............. 6,291.................. 0.................... 203.03
MIKONOS............................................ 6,899............. 6,899.................. 0................... 182.05
OLBIA................................................. 5,685.............. 3,852........... 1,833.................... 106.28
OPORTO............................................. 8,730.............. 8,730................. 0..................... 106.24
HAMBURG........................................ 24,232........... 24,232.................. 0.................... 103.75
HURGHADA........................................ 8,940.............. 8,940.................. 0.................... 102.54
SPLIT................................................. 13,116............ 11,283........... 1,833.................... 100.03
KRAKOW........................................... 13,321............ 13,321.................. 0.................... 87.937
PERPIGNAN............................................ 159................ 159.................. 0.................... 82.759
SALONIKA......................................... 10,243.............. 7,421............ 2,822.................... 75.184
CATANIA (FONTANAROSSA)............... 7,418.............. 5,949............ 1,469.................... 73.035
ILHA DO SAL CAPE VERDE.................. 5,331............... 5,331................... 0..................... 70.92
DUBROVNIK...................................... 18,279............ 18,279................... 0..................... 69.156
RENNES.................................................. 189................. 189................... 0..................... 56.198
LOS ANGELES...................................... 7,229.............. 7,229................... 0..................... 52.607
BEZIERS............................................... 4,060............... 4,060.................. 0.................... 51.21
GERONA............................................ 15,016............ 10,491........... 4,525.................... 50.748
GLASGOW........................................... 5,619............... 5,619.................. 0.................... 48,927
NEWQUAY.......................................... 8,726............... 8,726 .................. 0.................... 42.489
CARCASSONNE................................... 4,371............... 4,371................... 0.................... 41.00
GDANSK.............................................. 4,398............... 4,398................... 0.................... 40.377
GIBRALTAR........................................ 10,865............ 10,865................... 0..................... 39.887
ATHENS.............................................. 12,101........... 11,703................ 398.................... 39.06
BILBAO................................................ 6,607.............. 6,607.................. 0...................... 38.686


CAA statistics for September are provisional.

 
Manchester Statistics - September 2017 (Part 4)

Figures for the European and long haul destinations that I consider to be the main points for our connecting traffic.

Foreign_airport……..Total_Pax 2016……..Total Pax 2017……% change
VIENNA………………….. 9,635……….…………….. 9,622……………….. -0.135
BRUSSELS……………… 18,016……………………. 18,704……………….. +3.8188
BEIJING………………….. 8,669 ………………….… 10,580.………………. +22.044
PRAGUE………………… 13,024……………………. 13,479…….…………. +3.4936
COPENHAGEN………. 30,980……………………. 29,103……………….. -6.059
HELSINKI………………... 9,790…………….……... 10,503……………….. +7.2829
PARIS (CDG)…………… 50,737……………………. 52,143…………….... +2.7712
DUSSELDORF…………. 18,278………..………….. 21,558……………….. +17.945
FRANKFURT MAIN…. 36,113……………………. 37,891….…………….. +4.9234
MUNICH………………… 33,314..………………….. 31,968………………… -4.04
HONG KONG………….. 10,028….………………… 10,581 ……….……… +5.5146
KEFLAVIK…………………. 9,294……………….…… 10,887….…………… +17.14
DUBLIN…………………… 77,996……………………. 75,047………….……. -3.781
MILAN (MALPENSA).. 17,321……………………. 16,653……………….. -3.857
ROME (FIUMICINO).. 11,632..………………….. 12,985……………….. +11.632
AMSTERDAM…………. 86,235…………………….. 85,337.……………... -1.041
ISLAMABAD……………. 22,445..…………………… 14,042………………. -37.44
LISBON …………………… 19,412…………………….. 25,214………..…….. +29.889
DOHA…………………….. 30,085…………………….. 28,496………………. -5.282
JEDDAH……………………. 9,002………………………. 8,208……………….. -8.82
SINGAPORE……………… 9,103………………………. 8,116……………….. -10.84
MADRID…………………. 13,607…………………….. 14,326………………. +5.284
STOCKHOLM (ARN)… 12,836…………………….. 16,805………………. +30.921
GENEVA…………………. 14,780…………………….. 17,383….………..... +17.612
ZURICH……………………. 8,855……………………… 10,026………………. +13.224
ABU DHABI…………….. 36,192……………….……. 36,589…..…………. +1.0969
DUBAI…………………….. 78,426.……………………. 84,634………………. +7.9157
ATLANTA……………….. 14,228…….……………….. 12,261………………. -13.82
CHICAGO…..…………….. 9,268……………………….. 8,686………………. -6.28
HOUSTON……………..………… 0………………………. 4,911………………. +0.00
NEW YORK (JFK)……… 34,284…………………….. 37,708………..……. +9.9872
NEW YORK (NEWARK). 8,874………………………. 8,511………………. -4.091
PHILADELPHIA………… 10,792……………………… 10,325……..………. -4.327
HEATHROW……………. 60,867……………………… 54,180……………… -10.99

CAA statistics for September are provisional.

 
Manchester Statistics - September 2017 (Part 5)

Comparison of top 25 destinations - September 2007 versus September 2017

Foreign airport...........................September-07...........September-17
PALMA.............................................. 114,582...................... 111,917
HEATHROW....................................... 80,047........................ 54,180
MALAGA............................................ 72,404........................ 78,347
DALAMAN.......................................... 69,108........................ 48,755
ALICANTE........................................... 68,506........................ 99,789
FARO.................................................. 65,083........................ 66,420
DUBLIN............................................... 55,441........................ 75,047
TENERIFE (SURREINA SOFIA)............. 53,553......................... 77,930
SANFORD.......................................... 47,954.......................... 7,073
AMSTERDAM.................................... 44,824.......................... 85,337
PAPHOS............................................. 44,034......................... 37,024
PARIS (CHARLES DE GAULLE)............. 42,838......................... 52,143
LARNACA........................................... 41,748......................... 23,153
DUBAI................................................ 41,653......................... 84,634
IBIZA.................................................. 41,442......................... 48,949
HERAKLION........................................ 35,361......................... 33,139
GATWICK........................................... 33,165.......................... 0
RHODES............................................. 31,299.......................... 26,670
MAHON............................................. 30,668.......................... 33,700
ARRECIFE........................................... 29,892.......................... 44,695
FRANKFURT....................................... 29,402.......................... 37,891
ZAKINTHOS........................................ 29,036.......................... 23,354
BODRUM........................................... 28,836.......................... 10,996
CORFU............................................... 27,802.......................... 30,072
MALTA............................................... 27,676.......................... 21,283


CAA are statistics for September are provisional.

Thank you again for the stats - Palma top is pretty confusing to me?

Early breakdown of the released Monarch slots 3 extra Ryanair, 6 extra easyJet 2 extra Jet2 (including long-haul), new Vueling 2 aircraft base, BA Cityflyer up to 3 weekend ERJs and ops by LOT, Croatian, airbaltic and Tunisair . Plenty of time for all this to be shaken up though!

https://blueswandaily.com/monarch-administrator-wins-appeal-to-retain-london-slots-birmingham-and-manchester-slots-already-reallocated/

wow those possible increases are amazing, exciting times for the airport!!!

Exciting times ahead for the Airport yes. easyJet have always had faith in the MAN market therefore i wouldn't expect anything less. Where they will expand to however is going to be interesting. The bucket and spade markets have lost capacity but to the airlines are going to be thriving on the fact that yield is likely to improve, thus revenue and profit.

I cannot see Jet2 expanding into long haul just yet, i think there is still a lot that they can do in Europe (new destinations) and new bases in the UK. I can however see them using a 2nd A330 for the expansion of seats - especially filling in the void of Monarch. AGP, ALC, ACE, FAO, TFS. I wouldn't be surprised to see PFO up there and DLM or AYT or both thrown in there as they seem to be expanding into those markets quite aggressively for next Summer.

Ryanair are best placed to expand into MAN in the quieter periods however i don't see them not wanting to miss out on this. One of the best things about Ryanair is that whilst they may chase the bucket and spade routes they will also expand into unknown destinations which is great for MAN. They could also add year round destinations which again is fantastic for MAN and the pax numbers.

Don't forget TUI/TCX in this too. They will probably want a slice of the pie; and i wouldn't be surprised to see TUI using even more 787's on short haul to provide seats. Maybe an extra aircraft from both. Same with TCX wouldn't be surprised to see the A330 on short haul routes next summer to provide seats.

The other things is going to be the shuffling of ops.

Monarch based 9 aircraft at T2. The ripple effect may be that we see easyJet assume control of the T2 vacated gates. That frees up 9 gates at T1 - Jet2 can add in 2 aircraft there. Vueling can decide that T1 is for them so transfer their limited T3 ops over. 5 gates to fill. Lets' see. Could they shunt some of the Flybe services over (is it feasible for them to do split T3/T1 ops?) which would then free up space for Ryanair to add 3 aricraft at T3?

How is it that BA doesn't consider establishing a second hub at Manchester Ringway? Primarily, A320s and B788s (when the B78Js arrive; right now, it could be 3-class B772s) could be based there.

The weekend Cityflyer base along with Sun Air and BA to Heathrow is actually functioning as a small hub.

It’s not going to set the world on fire, but, there are a few connecting from other carriers to the weekend flights. I’m aware that at least 6 connected from the AA PHL to the BA Mykonos one day. Yes, 6 is a very small and usually insignificant number, but when you consider the smaller capacity of the E190, the fact Mykonos was just 1 weekly and the fact MAN wasn’t supposed to be a hub, then consider this was happening to all of the flights, it’s actually quite remarkable.

Provisional BA Cityflyer timetable for S18.

All the routes below are bookable, except for Florence, which will be announced very soon, but the times are confirmed internally.

There looks to be 3 based aircraft, however one is a back up for the network. S17 saw 18 flights, but so far, S18 is 28 weekly flights. There is also likely to be another route announced as aircraft 2 arrives 2310 sat but then doesn’t have a flight until 1445 Sunday. My guess would be Faro, as it’s a popular route that could produce the yield needed for Cityflyer. All in all, not a bad increase and nice to see BA continuing to expand in the regions.

Thu
BA7310 LCY 1940 MAN 2040
BA7315 MAN 2135 IBZ 0115+1
Fri
BA7316 IBZ 0155 MAN 0340
BA7317 MAN 0540 AGP 0940
BA7318 AGP 1025 MAN 1230
BA7324 MAN 1315 PMI 1700
BA7325 PMI 1755 MAN 1940
BA7313 MAN 2025 IBZ 0015
Sat
BA7312 IBZ 0050 MAN 0240
BA7321 MAN 0550 ALC 0940
BA7317 MAN 0600 AGP 1000
BA7322 ALC 1025 MAN 1220
BA7314 IBZ 1045 MAN 1230****
BA7318 AGP 1045 MAN 1250
BA7323 MAN 1315 NCE 1635
BA7319 MAN 1415 JMK 2015
BA7332 FLR 1710 MAN 1845**
BA7324 NCE 1720 MAN 1845
BA7331 MAN 1930 FLR 2250**
BA7315 MAN 1930 IBZ 2320
BA7320 JMK 2100 MAN 2310***
Sun
BA7316 IBZ 0005 MAN 0150
BA7325 MAN 0555 PMI 0940
BA7326 PMI 1025 MAN 1210
BA7315 MAN 1250 IBZ 1640
BA7313 MAN 1445 IBZ 1835-then goes elsewhere.....
BA7314 IBZ 1725 MAN 1910
BA7311 MAN 1955 LCY 2055

Eurowings will increase Düsseldorf from 26th March, from 3to 4 daily mon-Fri.

Flights depart 0755/1110/1555/2000 using A319/A320/CRJ900.

Confirmed and bookable

The sole An22 paid a flying visit today and is due back next week. Additionally, Lufthansa diverted in a 744 due medical issues.

David_itl wrote:

The sole An22 paid a flying visit today and is due back next week. Additionally, Lufthansa diverted in a 744 due medical issues.

Saw (and heard!) the AN22 climbing out of MAN earlier..boy that thing is LOUD! Never heard another aircraft like it!

Didn't see it - office in the city centre where I work got scafffolding round the outside with sheeting put up. Looking at the flight track, it seems to have come directly above where I live..knew I should have pulled a sickie! Going to plan my lunchtime next week to be outside for when it heads home to .. it should go overhead then.

Some blurb on the enhanced BACF offering next summer https://www.insidermedia.com/insider/national/ba-increases-flights-from-regional-airports

User001 wrote:

Eurowings will increase Düsseldorf from 26th March, from 3to 4 daily mon-Fri.

Flights depart 0755/1110/1555/2000 using A319/A320/CRJ900.

Confirmed and bookable

Whilst I welcome this I am surprised about the additional rotation given that EW have just decreased capacity by replacing A319/A320 with ex-Air Berlin Q400 on certain flights.

I think the use of the Dash-8 may have been down to EW trying to backfill AB capacity on some routes, which will no doubt be balanced back out by the start of the summer schedules.

Eurowings new 2 weekly service to Salzburg starts tomorrow and almost unnoticed is that start of daily operations by Cathay Pacific to Hong Kong. I wonder what they will do should they continue to attract demand (and yield presumably) with the additional frequencies. Back to 777s or dare we hope for extra frequencies?

David_itl wrote:

almost unnoticed is that start of daily operations by Cathay Pacific to Hong Kong. I wonder what they will do should they continue to attract demand (and yield presumably) with the additional frequencies. Back to 777s or dare we hope for extra frequencies?

I’ve been told that MAN may be in line for an increased frequency from the Winter ‘18 timetable, still on A350.

David_itl wrote:

The sole An22 paid a flying visit today and is due back next week. Additionally, Lufthansa diverted in a 744 due medical issues.

Anybody know the revised schedule for the AN22? It's running way behind the published schedule and is currently in Gandor.

As for Cathay, there's always the A35K going forward?

Think it's the same timings, just delayed by 24 hours, For CX, I'm sure there must be a reason for the current flight numbers being CX219/CX216 and not CX217/CX216 or CX219/CX218.

British Airways have announced 1 weekly Florence and 1 weekly Dublin today, starting May 2018.

That’s now 14 destinations served by BA, 2016 just saw 3!

Remarkable day for diversions today with 16 having arrived (9 from BHX - EK A380, QR 787, LH CRJ9, AF A319, 4U A319, TK 737 and the rest FR 737s - STN wth 3 FR 737s and a PC 737, and LTN with 3 OB 737s)

End of day it's 22 diversions handled with MAN impersonating DXB as there's going to be 3 EK A380s on the ground now and tomorrow morning,

A photo of the 3 A380s would be great to see. Good work MAN.

They had time to put out a no div apart from emergencies NOTAM at 7pm which meant nothing that BA was shunting round the country came in. The 2nd A380 was a fuel div. Reckon only 5 or so staying on the ground overnight.

Per the Evening News live blog:
"15:37
20 flights from Manchester delayed or cancelled

Manchester Airport has confirmed the delay or cancellation of 20 flights today.


Although the hub is ‘fully operational’, airlines have been forced to cancel flights due to snow across the country affecting other airports.
The hub has also confirmed there have been diverts into Manchester from other hubs including Birmingham, East Midlands, Luton and Stansted.
Passengers are advised to check with their airlines before flying.
Manchester Airport remains on standby to take flights from other airports. "

My bold. A BA shuttle and the 2nd A380 came in after that time. So what changed in less than 3 hours? There was 1 extra Ryanair on the ground only.

DobboDobbo wrote:

In VS news (discussed on separate thread) is appears that VS are leasing some (reported up to 4) ex Air Berlin A332s to base at MAN so the A333s can cover B789 shortage at LHR (caused by engine trouble). There will be painted and internally refitted to VS standards by the start of the summer season.

Negative is that MAN experiences disruption due to prioritising LHR (not surprising and understandable).

Positive is that VS are jumping through a lot of hoops to keep the MAN base operational and perhaps growing. The interesting point is that these seem to be based at MAN over the winter, meaning that SFO/BOS may be year round from next year. There may also be enough slack for additional rotations to JFK (for example) or new routes (LAX for example). Worth keeping an eye on.

Also being discussed here: viewtopic.php?f=3&t=1380423

Another negative is that the ex-Air Berlin planes won't initially have a PE cabin and that will occur later in the year, so anyone who's booked onto flights during Spring/early-Summer that's now scheduled for an A330-200 is likely to be disappointed.

That said, I do agree with the positives and the fact they're looking to maintain their schedules is to be commended. The -200 will probably also be better suited for the SFO route due to having more range than the -300. It'll be interesting to see if they use these to further grow the MAN base, but in terms of frequencies it would be nice to see year-round daily JFK's again unlike this winter where frequencies have been cut. Hopefully they will also be reliable.

Loganair have announced 2 new routes, one to Kirkwall and one to Stornoway. Both routes start in June 2018. This brings Manchester to 17 domestic destinations.

Easyjet have also announced a 2 weekly Genoa route, from March 2018. There will be a further announcement in the new year regarding the extra based aircraft.

The two LOG routes are the ones they abandoned in early November, presumably due to poor loads, so just the resurrection of old schedules rather than anything new. Unless they plan to offer direct services to each this time rather than via GLA? They must feel that these routes will work much better in summer.

Karl

The LOG routes are not resurrections, as far as I’m aware these routes have never been served non stop from MAN, certainly not in a long long time if they have.

These routes will be non stop. There is also a 3rd new route to Sumburgh too.

They are all non-stop from Loganair.. and it's better! Weekly to Stornoway and Sumburgh with 2 weekly flights to Kirkwall. Additionally, the Inverness route to be extended to Bergen 3 times a week

http://www.travelweekly.co.uk/articles/294088/loganair-expands-summer-18-schedule

My apologies - I automatically thought by the destinations that they were simply resurrecting old routes and promoting them as new. Let's hope the direct services work in summer as they certainly didn't in Autumn (albeit there was a brief stop at GLA).

I wonder how long the Dorniers will slave on for? I imagine MAN isn't the only airport seeing new routes/increased frequencies over the summer so surely they're going to need additional aircraft? I did hear from a relatively reliable source that they were trying to get hold of a couple of ATR-72s?

Karl

It’s also worth noting that the MAN-GLA-SYY route is still operational, it wasn’t ended. (Assuming that is the route you are referring to?)

I have read on another forum that EL AL have supposedly got plans to resume flights from TLV to MAN twice weekly on a Thursday and Sunday from May 2018 with B738.

Cunard wrote:

I have read on another forum that EL AL have supposedly got plans to resume flights from TLV to MAN twice weekly on a Thursday and Sunday from May 2018 with B738.

It's true, and about time too!

It’s true, however will be operated by Sun’dor B737 Thu/Sun in at 1930 out at 2100 LY5127/5128 from March.

Luftymatt wrote:

Cunard wrote:

I have read on another forum that EL AL have supposedly got plans to resume flights from TLV to MAN twice weekly on a Thursday and Sunday from May 2018 with B738.

It's true, and about time too!

I agree, I do wonder which terminal they will fly from/to. I'm also looking forward to 2018 for any new airline's beginning services to MAN.

LOG pulling the GLA route after 19th Jan 2018 apparently. Not sure how this affects the new summer proposals but difficult to see how they would work, given that GLA hasn't succeeded. Granted, different season, but still.....

Karl

Please continue your discussion and to post your updates in the thread for 2018:

viewtopic.php?f=3&t=1384357

Thread will be locked.