How many passengers were flying between MSP and KEF before FI started flights there. I'm sure they didn't start service there based on the numbers of O/D passengers that flew between these 2 cities. Where DTW-Poland is concerned bring the service and people will use it.
Thats a terrible comparrison. FI is a budget carrier with low operating costs. They fly a 757 which is much cheaper to operate, the stage length is much shorter, the number of frames required is fewer, and they started service to gain the budget conscious traveler to places like LON, PAR, AMS, etc.
Airlines and hubs that operate on a "build it and they will come" strategy go out of business or are bought out. Skybus and UA's "hublet" experiment in SAT come to mind.
The 787 has great economics for a route like DTW-WAW. MSP-KEF is a great example if they would have just looked at the O/D numbers as you do that route would have never been started just because it doesn't fit your argument doesn't mean it's not a appropriate example. Lets just say we don't know if DTW-WAW is viable until LOT decides to operate it until then we are both right with different views of the situation I respect and accept your view your view but for some reason you have trouble accepting anything as viable that may be outside of the criteria that you have been trained to think by.
I am a very data driven person for sure. I do demographic statistics part time. I study migration trends heavily and it helps with my work in the industry.
The Detroit area is fueled heavily by immigrants from the Middle East. It used to be fueled by both European and Middle Eastern immigration. However, when the city fell on hard times, the Europeans stopped coming. The Arabs on the other hand never did. I did leave out Indian immigration because that is also fueling some international growth in Detroit.
I get that Detroit still has large Polish cultural elements. I get that. I know there are still large number of Polish decent there. However, the Poles and Europeans are no longer defining the city. Hamtramck is a perfect example. It once was the center of Polish cultural center of Michigan. Now, its overwhelmingly Middle Eastern (especially Yemeni). Its not the same place it was.
Going through historical data of DTW-WAW, it was a larger local market 20 years ago than it is now. Meanwhile, O&D to the Middle East and Asia is going up. Japan and Western Europe remain steady.
Get that Detroit has many historical cultural elements to it, but that doesnt drive O&D. Think of it like San Antonio in a way. Its a city that has 1.4 million Mexicans in the metro area, however only 8% were born in Mexico. Compare that to Dallas or Houston which have 1.7 and 1.8 million Mexicans in their metro areas but their Mexican communities are 40% foreign born. As such, the O&D from DFW and IAH to Mexico are many times what SAT delivers. In this scenario IAH and DFW are Chicago and SAT is Detroit.
It is what it is...