parapente wrote:There are many types of one stop flight and many 'classes' of passenger.Its important to distinguish which ones we are talking about.Indeed the same person can be 2 types -I know I am one of them!
If you are first/business even Premium you are far less 'price elastic' for most you are not 'price elastic' at all as you are not paying for the flight anyway!
If (say) you are flying business class with your flat bed fantastic food,great entertainment and privacy then non stop is the way to go.I would (and have) choose it every time.
But on holidays travelling economy with my family I would not just stop ( refuel or make a connection) I would turn it into a part of the holiday whether this be Singapore/kl/Dubai etc and indeed have.Spending the money saved on 48 hours wherever.
Far more importantly however is the fact that Qantas will have researched all these peramiters to death.Just a Singapore will have done before them.Clearly the answer is a big yes.The only question is 'how big'.
A 359url will take 250 pax in the right balance of classes.The 778 will take more 270? But drink more fuel.Thats for them to decide -except- I don't think that will be the deciding factor in the slightest....
For Qantas the days of the 744 and 380 are coming to an end - no not tomorrow but as sure as night follows day this move to non stop will hasten it.
So the 'total' order will all be about choosing the 350-1000/1100 or the 779/10.This is where IMHO Boeing have the upper hand.But again it all depends what their volume projections are going forwards and that's the one thing they will never let leak out as it gives away the answer to A or B.
But make no mistake this is going to be one hell of a fight! Look forward to it!
You are absolutely right. We are speacking here of a small subfleet of 6 ULH planes. Their purpose will be to allow Qantas to offer non-stop flights to it's frequent flyer "elite members" who are ready to pay more to avoid correspondance.
Both the A350ULR and the 777-8X can do it and in the end a difference of 30 pax, a few tonnes of payload or a few tonnes of burnt fuel are irrelevant. Qantas doesn't care which one is optimized for the task.They will look at the bigger picture. Is the A380 realy leaving and are they going to have a 787/A350 widebody fleet or a 787/777-X one.
Only point I disagree with is on the 777-10X. Like I said in the SIA 777-9X topic, it's not looking like it's going to happen any time soon. Same for the A350-1100 for now.