mjoelnir wrote:RyanairGuru wrote:mjoelnir wrote:I do not understand why replacement of the 747-400ER is here mixed together with looking at an small UHL fleet for special routes. You do not need the A350-900LR or 777-8 to replace a 747-400ER regarding the range, a 777-9, an 787-9, an A350-1000 or A350-900 have all the range needed, 777-9 and A350-1000 have the range and carrying capacity. One of the big reasons the 747-400ER is used on certain routes is that authorities only allow four holer on those routes.
You're conflating two issues, no one is saying that the 400ER fleet will necessarily be replaced with a niche ULH model, but it will have some bearing in the final decision. There is no way Qantas, with such a tiny long haul fleet, is going to buy both 777s and 350s, it will be one or the other and that model must be capable of also covering the market currently served by the 747.
CASA have recently relaxed their EDTO requirements so 4 engines aren't as important as they were in the past, and nontheless the 380s will be around for another decade or more.
I have not said that Qantas will both buy 777 and A350, even with an airline like LH and quite a few others doing that. The frames we are talking about here are frames for new routes you would not be able to do with a 747-400ER. So I do not understand all this talk about the ULH frames need to be able to replace the 747-400ER.
The most sensible course for Qantas would anyway be to buy A350-1000 to replace the 747-400ER and the A350-900LR for UHL and forget about the 777.
No, the most sensible course would be for QF to order the 778/779 and forget about the A350.