Just going through a old thread from before the vote:
Quoting vc10 (Reply 226):So i hope the above figures show that whilst Germany has the most to lose should the UK be locked out of the EU so have many other EU countries.
Which is why if the vote for leave is successful, Trade deals could be set up pretty quickly with favorable terms and conditions.
Quoting Dano1977 (Reply 231):Which is why if the vote for leave is successful, Trade deals could be set up pretty quickly with favorable terms and conditions.
To be honest neither side would wish to cut trade as that would be detrimental to both economies. The UK has a strong and large economy as stated so to cut through all the BS from either side both would seek to set them up pretty quickly with most likely two very different aims but in the end they would meet somewhere in the middle. The EU would want to seem as if they were giving the UK a hard deal due to them leaving ( if that happens ) and the UK would want to be seen as getting as good a deal as they had before. In the end a deal would have to be done.
We won't be leaving. CameronBot has been given his orders.
If there is a Brexit, it will be a big mess for every party (UK and EU states). Airlines will need approval to open new routes from UK or to UK and stricter immigration control for passengers in the UK and in EU states, meaning longer line-ups., will be implemented.
I am quite sure that a new air transport agreement will be signed between both parties to avoid this chaos before UK leaves the EU. It's in their best interests, unless some EU states want to punish the UK (wouldn't be surprised if Germany or some Eastern European countries would favour such action).
Brexit is a very real possibility now that the No's have Boris on board.
The economics of this have been totally overstated. The Germans, French and everyone else are still going to want to sell their cars, champagne etc to the UK...and not surprisingly will still want to fly and fly cheaply.
If Brexit happens, it will make no difference to the flying public other than maybe having to flash their passports a little more often. The Europeans need the UK more than we need them.
The World will not come to an end!
Quoting JetBuddy (Reply 42):The UK could still negotiate trading agreements with the EU, just like with the US or any other nation or union. I believe speedbored is right when he says that the EU is more dependant on the UK, than vice versa.
There is no doubt that the EU will quickly negotiate trade agreements (including air services) with an independent UK. The UK is Germany's biggest trading partner (almost €0.5Billion per DAY!) and, importantly, Germany generates a significant surplus from that trade. Does anyone really think that Germany, with its current low GDP growth, will risk even a small hiccup in that trade?
It suits all EU politicians to scaremonger right now and try to scare the UK electorate into voting to stay in (which is, realistically, probably the most likely outcome of the vote) but if Brexit happens they will scramble to do trade deals.
Easy to be wrong sometimes ...