dtw2hyd wrote:If I have to bet, 2019 India elections will be won on building Rama temple and stopping women from entering Ayyappa temple. One would retain UP vicinity and the other issue may flip Kerala in BJP favor. Both are risky moves but will do anything for a seat.
With the "development" excuse failing, the BJP is going back to the Ram Temple issue to polarise Hindus vs Muslims. It works in North India.
I dont see the Ayyapa temple issue working honestly. The polarising politics works in the north but the people in South are wired differently. India is getting polarised not just on Dalit-Hindu-Muslim but also on the North-South axis. The Southern half of India is more developed, more educated, more prosperous and many South Indian's have legitimate grievances against us for "holding them back". This divide has become much sharper in the past 4 years. The CM's of the Southern states have started banding together. The regional parties in the South have also started coming together. NCP (Maharashtra), Naidu(Andhra) and JDS(Karnataka) have all signed up to the grand alliance being stitched up by Rahul Gandhi. That's a good 180 seats in all from the South itself. That is enough to kick Modi and his Gujarat Mafia out of power.
The sweep in the recent Karnataka bypolls where the INC+JDS fought together shows what happens when the opposition vote is united. The BJP can only win when the opposition vote is divided by parties like AAP and the rest. We have to closely watch the developments in the cowbelt states now. Rajasthan and MP are widely expected to slip out of the BJP's grasp but it is too early to call it either ways. My state will have elections only in 2019 and I hope to see Khattar gone. But Ram temple issue could be the kicker here. It does polarize people in our part of the country.