Search found 1709 matches

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by kalvado
Mon Jun 03, 2019 6:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3053
Views: 302793

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

I guess the only way we find out if anything else is messed up is when something else crashes? And if the crashes aren't happening we have to assume it's all ok? I'm happy enough to trust their existing planes (apart from Max of course). But would be worried about any new ones. Dreamliners have bee...

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by kalvado
Mon Jun 03, 2019 4:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3053
Views: 302793

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

For a while now I've been thinking that the way MCAS was handled could be one of two options... either that somewhere along the line decisions were made intentionally to keep it low profile enough that it wouldn't require extra training, or that Boeing's internal org structure and processes have de...

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by kalvado
Mon Jun 03, 2019 2:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Wing Issue?
Replies: 21
Views: 6020

Re: Boeing Wing Issue?

Was mentioned in endless MAX-grounded thread already. My understanding that this is quality control and monitoring system at work: something undesired actually happened - but it was timely picked up, and will be properly addressed. Just another day in real world. UPD: a link which works for me: http...

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by kalvado
Mon Jun 03, 2019 11:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3053
Views: 302793

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

A late change, and fatal flaws, in a Boeing jet design https://www.seattletimes.com/nation-world/a-late-change-and-fatal-flaws-in-a-boeing-jet-design/ So originally MCAS was designed to use two sensors, two different sensors. AoA and g-force. Reading this article, assuming that it is a true represe...

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by kalvado
Mon Jun 03, 2019 3:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Has grandfathering been taken too far?
Replies: 361
Views: 13274

Re: Has grandfathering been taken too far?

I sure hope so. After all, the current 777 has proven to have a very dangerous record. Oh wait, there has never been a fatal accident in 25 years that was proven to be the fault of the airplane design. The 777 is arguably the safest airplane ever designed. What ever kind of bitterness and vendetta ...

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by kalvado
Mon Jun 03, 2019 3:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Has grandfathering been taken too far?
Replies: 361
Views: 13274

Re: Has grandfathering been taken too far?

Now 777X buyers (EK) are looking at options to compensate further delayed EIS. Because of changes to the certification process. https://www.wsj.com/articles/buyers-of-boeings-newest-jet-fear-delays-11559451419 Why changes to the 777x certification process? It's good as is, but there's opportunity t...

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by kalvado
Mon Jun 03, 2019 12:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3053
Views: 302793

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

Ironically, Boeing is facing almost the same problem as pilots of crashed flights. There is something crazy going on, they lost control of events, and there is no understanding of where to go, as too many things are going on. A lot of deer in headlights looks both in c-suit and engineering offices ...

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by kalvado
Sun Jun 02, 2019 10:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: KLM investing in TU Delft's Flying-V concept
Replies: 29
Views: 4794

Re: KLM investing in TU Delft's Flying-V concept

From the airline's perspective, this is 1% invested in engineering model, 40% spent on PR and 59% invested into young people who would work for the airline in years to come. KLM may know full well this will never pull to the gate; but guys and gals working on the concept will become qualified engine...

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by kalvado
Sun Jun 02, 2019 10:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Has grandfathering been taken too far?
Replies: 361
Views: 13274

Re: Has grandfathering been taken too far?

Yes, a fire would add an incentive. Do responses like these (see also 291), highlight safety has been discounted / ignored, reinforcing why airworthiness authorities need to review / re-review NG, MAX and X certification and grandfathering / exemption processes? Do you imply that the 90 second evac...

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by kalvado
Sun Jun 02, 2019 6:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Has grandfathering been taken too far?
Replies: 361
Views: 13274

Re: Has grandfathering been taken too far?

Which just happens to let the 737 squeak in. No one is going to jump six feet with any safety. I'd be lucky to jump two feet. Exactly. When I was a kid, jumping from 10' wasn't a problem. Now I'm 53 and I guess I could jump the 6' without problems. But I doubt I'll be able to do that when I'm 73. W...

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by kalvado
Sun Jun 02, 2019 5:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3053
Views: 302793

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

Which makes some sense based on data; however assuming that basic skills would make MCAS outcomes different is a very far-reaching conclusion. It's the opposite of far-fetched to assume that knowing how an airplane flies, knowing how your airplane operates, and knowing proper procedures to fly your...

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by kalvado
Sun Jun 02, 2019 12:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3053
Views: 302793

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

Does extended time mean a more robust fix? Or just red tape and skepticism in getting it re-certified? Ironically, Boeing is facing almost the same problem as pilots of crashed flights. There is something crazy going on, they lost control of events, and there is no understanding of where to go, as ...

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by kalvado
Sun Jun 02, 2019 12:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3053
Views: 302793

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

Emirates Tim Clark predicts that the B737MAX won't fly until after the Christmas Link: https://www.arabianbusiness.com/transport/421419-emirates-predicts-boeings-737-max-wont-fly-until-after-christmas The longer it takes, the better it will be. The worst thing Boeing could do is rush and make the s...

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by kalvado
Sat Jun 01, 2019 9:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Has grandfathering been taken too far?
Replies: 361
Views: 13274

Re: Has grandfathering been taken too far?

Yes, I was wondering about that too when traveling on a 738 and being seated at the overwing emergency exit. Opening the exit is easy, nobody has to handle the heavy door, but then one has to jump off the wing's trailing edge. How high is that? About two meters? I wonder why is this allowed. Here's...

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by kalvado
Sat Jun 01, 2019 8:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3053
Views: 302793

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

Here is a new article about the 737 MAX and MCAS. https://www.nytimes.com/2019/06/01/business/boeing-737-max-crash.html The point that was new to me was that Boeing discovered they could have low speed stalls as well as the high speed stalls that have been talked about. So they could not use a g fo...

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by kalvado
Sat Jun 01, 2019 8:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3053
Views: 302793

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

Here is a new article about the 737 MAX and MCAS. https://www.nytimes.com/2019/06/01/business/boeing-737-max-crash.html The point that was new to me was that Boeing discovered they could have low speed stalls as well as the high speed stalls that have been talked about. So they could not use a g fo...

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by kalvado
Sat Jun 01, 2019 4:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3053
Views: 302793

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

That was not what I was saying. If we ever get that level of detail, and I doubt it, I think we will find that the software design and implementation was validated as compliant with the requirements that were set. And it is the system design that was incompetent and driven by commercial imperatives...

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by kalvado
Sat Jun 01, 2019 3:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA A321 clips AA 738 during pushback at LGA
Replies: 14
Views: 4907

Re: AA A321 clips AA 738 during pushback at LGA

AirKevin wrote:
Might be taking Boeing vs. Airbus a little too literally.

Yeah, while a big thing on a.net - I had an impression it doesn't normally spill to the ramp.....

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by kalvado
Sat Jun 01, 2019 2:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3053
Views: 302793

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

Six months is prety quick for a modification to safety critical flight control software. Dont forget, as well as validating the change to the procedures intended, you must also verify that everything else continues to function as intended when the change is integrated into the whole. If anything, I...

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by kalvado
Sat Jun 01, 2019 1:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3053
Views: 302793

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

If Pilots had read the bulletin and taken the time to understand it - quite possibly not. Or if the AOA failure had happened to a crew with good hand flying skills - quite possibly not either. Plus Boeing started working on MCAS v2 right after Lionair - I believe I read it was due to be rolled out ...

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by kalvado
Sat Jun 01, 2019 12:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3053
Views: 302793

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

Good try, but.. 1) Your conclusion isn't valid. In particular the ET crew placed the aircraft into a dangerous situation before MCAS was a factor, meaning a definitive predictive statement of a safe flight isn't correct. 2) If we change the criteria to "all else equal, had a different crew bee...

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by kalvado
Sat Jun 01, 2019 11:07 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Has grandfathering been taken too far?
Replies: 361
Views: 13274

Re: Has grandfathering been taken too far?

My impression is we're looking under the light. Certification process itself becomes an issue. It is supposed to ensure safety, but it ends up hindering things as even benign changes now require extremely expensive certification. Grandfather process is just one way to avoid those costs, and it ends ...

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by kalvado
Sat Jun 01, 2019 10:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3053
Views: 302793

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

The point I was trying to make is that the situation of use of the manual trim wheel under extreme loads is in the NG training manual. The media articles and some posters on here have made it seem like the pilots had absolutely no idea what to do when the manual wheel is difficult to turn. Well, it...

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by kalvado
Sat Jun 01, 2019 12:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3053
Views: 302793

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

I guess you understand little about the legal world. It takes only basic logic, no need for legal degree: if financial interest makes statements of one party questionable, it has to be considered the same way for all parties involved, including the party which has most to lose. Let me spell out the...

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by kalvado
Fri May 31, 2019 11:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3053
Views: 302793

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

Even less, because the author has a huge financial incentive to push a certain agenda. Following the same logic, should we believe anything Boeing says about MAX? I guess you understand little about the legal world. It takes only basic logic, no need for legal degree: if financial interest makes st...

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by kalvado
Fri May 31, 2019 10:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3053
Views: 302793

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

Not ignored. I pointed out a while ago that these are plaintiff's claims in a lawsuit. They carry no more weight factually than any poster on here. Even less, because the author has a huge financial incentive to push a certain agenda. Following the same logic, should we believe anything Boeing says...

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by kalvado
Fri May 31, 2019 4:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3053
Views: 302793

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

Without doubt, this is one of the major crisis in civil aircraft industry that raise very important and disturbing questions about safety on all levels. The whole picture look incoherent and maybe nobody is actually certain that the picture is yet complete. This industry need to recover a coherent ...

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by kalvado
Fri May 31, 2019 4:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3053
Views: 302793

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

unlike humans being sent to jail, airplane grounding is not a punitive action - the main goal of grounding is to prevent accidents from a known cause which may occur before the fix is done. If probability exceeds certain threshold, then grounding is warranted. There is no indication that whatever s...

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by kalvado
Fri May 31, 2019 2:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3053
Views: 302793

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

Just using this section of your post, why are we still talking about MAX grounding, all Boeing a/c should be grounded, what other safety features in other a/c now flying have they hidden from the FAA and the clients? If they are this bad on the MAX we think they are perfect on other a/c? If we beli...

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by kalvado
Fri May 31, 2019 2:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3053
Views: 302793

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

Please read Page 32-33 of the preliminary crash report - how does that not make the condition clear and show a way to deal with it. This is a different procedure than runaway trim. We have no evidence they did not carry out the Page 32-33 procedure. Au contraire. They did use the cut-off switches. ...

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by kalvado
Fri May 31, 2019 12:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3053
Views: 302793

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

In grandfatheringspeak, it is a light :) (if pre-NG aircraft had that functionality it could only be a light, right?) Thank you xmp. A symbol illuminates / icon is displayed / lights up. Why didn't Boeing disclose the inoperative icon display if known since 2017? We don't know why - but we do know ...

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by kalvado
Fri May 31, 2019 3:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3053
Views: 302793

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

What in the world does EA 401 have to do with these two accidents? It was gear light there. EA 401 was an example of humans being so fixated on one thing that they fail to address the other issues at hand. And, to repeat for the tenth time, there is NO “roller coaster” maneuver. The pilot merely re...

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by kalvado
Thu May 30, 2019 4:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3053
Views: 302793

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

One can envision a few possible failures creating artificial stop. Pure speculation below: - at high force point, backup nut separated from the mount and prevented main nut going up the jackscrew acting as a lock nut. - At high force, one of the nuts damaged jackscrew preventing other nut moving ov...

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by kalvado
Thu May 30, 2019 3:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3053
Views: 302793

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

I know you have a suspician that the electric trim was unable to continue trimming nose up because it stopped at 2.3 units each time. Without knowing exactly what the forces involved were and the power of the motor, we can't (as people on a.net) possibly determine if there was a mechanical limit in...

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by kalvado
Wed May 29, 2019 9:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3053
Views: 302793

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

I couldnt edit my post anymore, but let's assume my assumption of 4 vane failures was wrong and instead there were 8 vane failures. The failure rate for pilots halves to 25%. But 8 vane failures means mean time to failure for the vane is also halved to 125k hours, and the failure rate for pilots ne...

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by kalvado
Wed May 29, 2019 4:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3053
Views: 302793

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

SELMER40 wrote:
http://flightaware.com/live/flight/BOE393
What kind of flying has Boeing 393 been doing/is doing now?

There is also BOE320 also heading to SKF, a USAF field. Some demos/tests over there maybe?

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by kalvado
Tue May 28, 2019 4:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3053
Views: 302793

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

I am surprised that the regulations don't require that the elevator be capable of counteracting full nose up and full nose down trim. Not so much for the (previously very rare) runaway stabilizer but in case the jackscrew is jammed at one extreme. I wouldn't be surprised if there are more aircraft ...

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by kalvado
Mon May 27, 2019 3:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3053
Views: 302793

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

Why while increasing back pressure, did they not continue trimming? The switches worked. I think they weren’t trimming as every manually switch moved the stab. It lifted off with about 5 units up but never got back to anything 5 units. Take off trim is approximately V2. Gf Jammed jackscrew never ha...

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by kalvado
Mon May 27, 2019 1:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3053
Views: 302793

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

At 05:40:12, approximately three seconds after AND stabilizer motion ends, electric trim (from pilot activated switches on the yoke) in the Aircraft nose up (ANU) direction is recorded on the DFDR and the stabilizer moved in the ANU direction to 2.4 units. The Aircraft pitch attitude remained about...

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by kalvado
Sun May 26, 2019 12:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3053
Views: 302793

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

But then what Pilot standard are you certifying too? I've asked that many times and the one's on here who keep saying it has nothing to do with the pilots - please answer this question. What type of fault/parts failure should Pilot's be expected to handle as part of their type rating? That is part ...

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by kalvado
Sat May 25, 2019 5:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3053
Views: 302793

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

My oh my, all of this discussion by the FAA and others regarding the returned to service projected date for the MAX (which BTW seems to change every time the acting FAA Administrator makes a statement in the media) and yet there is no formal projected date for when the Final Accident Reports (FAR) ...

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by kalvado
Sat May 25, 2019 10:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3053
Views: 302793

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

So the certification of the hand trim wheel is in question? Which I assume was not self certified by Boeing but by the FAA on the 727 or 707, and in what year? Was a pretty obvious outcome once blowback became a concern. Probably was ok on smaller planes with roller coaster procedure in the manual....

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by kalvado
Sat May 25, 2019 10:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Financial effect of the 737MAX grounding
Replies: 61
Views: 6519

Re: Financial effect of the 737MAX grounding

Boeing can still build the NG, it is still certified and good to go! Not for long, it seems: https://www.wsj.com/articles/maxs-return-to-flight-delayed-by-faas-reevaluation-of-safety-procedures-for-older-737-models-11558728091 The Classic-NG-MAX saga sure is coming back to bite Boeing in the tail c...

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by kalvado
Fri May 24, 2019 4:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Financial effect of the 737MAX grounding
Replies: 61
Views: 6519

Re: Financial effect of the 737MAX grounding

Cash flow might be tight. 60 aircraft a month at 50M is 3B per month missing cash flow, not that it won't come back when they do get delivered. That's another 100M to 200M in finance costs to replace that cash flow. 1B to the crash victims, 1B to the airlines, 1B for new software, training and fina...

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by kalvado
Fri May 24, 2019 3:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3053
Views: 302793

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

A company needs to decide at the highest level - ISO 9001-type certification, or get a fix out "tomorrow" by letting Coding King work it overnight without supervision! Or testing! Or review, verification, and updating the entire documentation suite! Sounds like MCAS V1 to me There was a m...

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by kalvado
Fri May 24, 2019 3:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Financial effect of the 737MAX grounding
Replies: 61
Views: 6519

Re: Financial effect of the 737MAX grounding

Correct me if I'm wrong but out of five passenger aircraft models the Boeing currently produces: - One is grounded under a huge scandal and is investigated for cutting the safety corners - One is suspected to be produced under subpar production standards in a place that was chosen only for its lack...

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by kalvado
Fri May 24, 2019 12:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3053
Views: 302793

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

I really don't understand why there are people that seem to get excited for any potential bad news for Boeing. If, God forbid, there is another MAX incident after it returns to service there are several posters on here that seem like they'd almost be happy (even if the incident has nothing to do wi...

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by kalvado
Thu May 23, 2019 8:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3053
Views: 302793

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

Setting up a gym for pilots in every terminal should work... All you need is a Control Column and a thrust lever... Are you a pilot? - if so I pray I am never on one of your flights. Why, we're taking about good training opportunity. It should prepare pilots to handle extreme events. Just put appro...

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by kalvado
Thu May 23, 2019 7:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3053
Views: 302793

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

Yes I'm sure Boeing designed a plane on purpose to crash as that does such good things for it's bottom line. All designs are a compromise between safety, efficiency and cost and sometimes engineers make mistakes based on bad assumptions that pilots are able to handle the situations they supposedly ...

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by kalvado
Thu May 23, 2019 4:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: FAA Inspectors Accusing Agency of Negligence
Replies: 37
Views: 3583

Re: FAA Inspectors Accusing Agency of Negligence

My impression is that overly strict safety requirements are another layer of redundancy: if there are some violations, they would probably still be contained. Just don't push those limits too hard. The multiple billion dollar question is for you to define is what is "too hard". To the NTS...

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