Search found 258 matches

by JustSomeDood
Wed Jun 20, 2018 4:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Largest US international Routes Pax Counts for 2017
Replies: 35
Views: 2901

Re: Largest US international Routes Pax Counts for 2017

I honestly would not have guessed that TPE had more traffic to/from West Coast US than HKG, the more you know...

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by JustSomeDood
Wed Jun 20, 2018 4:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Did DL, UA, or AA Ever Come Close To Ordering The A380 or 748?
Replies: 40
Views: 6829

Re: Did DL, UA, or AA Ever Come Close To Ordering The A380 or 748?

A bit off topic but I'm surprised we haven't seen a Tower Air type carrier use A380's. The points above cover why it doesn't work for the US3, but I could see a high density leisure use. You could easily fill it with cheaper tickets made up for with high capacity on a significant number of routes. ...

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by JustSomeDood
Sat Jun 16, 2018 8:07 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will CX/HX/UA start HKG-SEA-HKG anytime soon?
Replies: 69
Views: 5290

Re: Will CX/HX/UA start HKG-SEA-HKG anytime soon?

Idk if CX has the slack in its long haul fleet (A359s/77Ws) to be able to announce SEA in the short term, their current A350s are busy flying other routes, while the remaining to be delivered are spoken for with route announcements. DL had trouble with their A332s to HKG, while few of CX's A333s can...

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by JustSomeDood
Sat Jun 16, 2018 4:28 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Next A330 Neo orders....
Replies: 112
Views: 19221

Re: Next A330 Neo orders....

DL customers are not fans of all the 767-300 and 767-400 being operated on so many longer flights. Spend an evening at JFK and just listen to the " oh not this old bird again" repeated throughout the gate areas. Delta is extremely active at getting feedback, and I have to think they are l...

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by JustSomeDood
Fri Jun 15, 2018 1:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Next A330 Neo orders....
Replies: 112
Views: 19221

Re: Next A330 Neo orders....

Posters here seem to try to put a negative spin on leasing companies having ordered the A330neo. I hardly expect them to having done this orders without an idea who they would lease the frames to. Well, fact of the matter is, whether leasing companies were sure of their ability to place A330neos or...

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by JustSomeDood
Tue Jun 12, 2018 7:51 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus sales chief defiant on A330neo demand as Boeing seals new win
Replies: 132
Views: 26288

Re: Airbus sales chief defiant on A330neo demand as Boeing seals new win

[mjoelnir; the problem I see with your facts is that few people who buy the A350-900 are buying it for it's maximum range and payload (those routes are limited). What data I see on the average routes of the A350-900 is that they are within the capability of the 789. So, on average... the 789 is a b...

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by JustSomeDood
Sat Jun 09, 2018 3:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Could the A350 do the 789's ULH?
Replies: 56
Views: 10858

Re: Could the A350 do the 789's ULH?

[ 13hrs*(5.8-5.9t/hr) + fuel reserves (let's say 5-6t) ~= 76t? These numbers very much don't add up. And that's assuming your figure of 5.8-5.9t/hour is correct, which would conflict with fuel burn figures I have seen from an A350 flight plan on this forum. Although not explicit, this article from ...

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by JustSomeDood
Sat Jun 09, 2018 3:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Could the A350 do the 789's ULH?
Replies: 56
Views: 10858

Re: Could the A350 do the 789's ULH?

The thread is "Could the A350 do the 789's ULH?"... My answer was for that. Any a359 at and above 268t can do all the ulh routes the 789 does and do it with a better payload. DL has a whole bunch of 268t A350s, yet their longest route with those A350s is ATL-ICN, barely over 7100sm, I hav...

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by JustSomeDood
Sat Jun 09, 2018 1:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Could the A350 do the 789's ULH?
Replies: 56
Views: 10858

Re: Could the A350 do the 789's ULH?

The thread is "Could the A350 do the 789's ULH?"... My answer was for that. Any a359 at and above 268t can do all the ulh routes the 789 does and do it with a better payload. DL has a whole bunch of 268t A350s, yet their longest route with those A350s is ATL-ICN, barely over 7100sm, I hav...

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by JustSomeDood
Sat Jun 09, 2018 10:25 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Could the A350 do the 789's ULH?
Replies: 56
Views: 10858

Re: Could the A350 do the 789's ULH?

Every a350-900 weight variant starting with the 268t mtow will carry a greater payload than the 787-9 over long haul flights. The payload range charts in the ACAP show this. The 787-9 will burn less fuel. The 359 is a larger aircraft than the 789, of course it will carry larger payload. The 268T ve...

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by JustSomeDood
Fri Jun 08, 2018 4:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates looking to Windowless planes [BBC]
Replies: 151
Views: 14842

Re: Emirates looking to Windowless planes [BBC]

I only went through the first few replies, but the thing that screams out to me is...: How can windows weigh more than the screens they are suggesting to replace them? Surely any weight saved by removing windows will be negated by the weight of screens in their place?! An aircraft fuselage designed...

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by JustSomeDood
Wed Jun 06, 2018 10:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates looking to Windowless planes [BBC]
Replies: 151
Views: 14842

Re: Emirates looking to Windowless planes [BBC]

I am just surprised that nobody floated this earlier. Removing windows means an opportunity to remove significant amount of fuselage reinforcement (read: weight) from the uneven stresses of having holes cut in them. For a medium/large widebody (787/A350) I'd estimate the cumulative weight savings fr...

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by JustSomeDood
Wed Jun 06, 2018 3:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How far could an A350-900ULR go with a standard config?
Replies: 95
Views: 17962

Re: How far could an A350-900ULR go with a standard config?

Riddle me this: If an A350ULR can carry 30+ tons of payload (300+ pax) over 9700nm still air as some here claim. Why haven't SQ got any A350ULRs in their standard A350 configuration? . Are we supposed to believe that there's not enough Y demand from SIN to fill seats to North America? I have explai...

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by JustSomeDood
Wed Jun 06, 2018 2:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How far could an A350-900ULR go with a standard config?
Replies: 95
Views: 17962

Re: How far could an A350-900ULR go with a standard config?

Riddle me this: If an A350ULR can carry 30+ tons of payload (300+ pax) over 9700nm still air as some here claim. Why haven't SQ got any A350ULRs in their standard A350 configuration? . Are we supposed to believe that there's not enough Y demand from SIN to fill seats to North America? For that matte...

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by JustSomeDood
Wed Jun 06, 2018 11:18 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How far could an A350-900ULR go with a standard config?
Replies: 95
Views: 17962

Re: How far could an A350-900ULR go with a standard config?

Ok let us do some math.... 137t oew (probably even lighter), 278t mtow, 17hr @ 5.8t per hour plus 7 ton reserve.... that gives us 35t of payload. Moe than sufficient for 295 passengers, bags,catering and crew. I would love to know how you came to the conclusion that JFK-MNL will only be blocked for...

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by JustSomeDood
Wed Jun 06, 2018 9:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How far could an A350-900ULR go with a standard config?
Replies: 95
Views: 17962

Re: How far could an A350-900ULR go with a standard config?

seat blocks in the winter- The PR will not I sincerely doubt that that'll be the case, but I guess we'll have to wait and see. Ok let us do some math.... 137t oew (probably even lighter), 278t mtow, 17hr @ 5.8t per hour plus 7 ton reserve.... that gives us 35t of payload. Moe than sufficient for 29...

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by JustSomeDood
Tue Jun 05, 2018 2:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Two A380s To Be Sold For Spares
Replies: 45
Views: 10580

Re: Two A380s To Be Sold For Spares

[Doing the housewife's calculations, those two A380s lost 90% of their value over 12 years, having a listprice of US$ 445,6 M. (Source: Airbus, http://www.airbus.com/content/dam/corporate-topics/publications/backgrounders/Airbus-Commercial-Aircraft-list-prices-2018.pdf ) List price at the time the ...

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by JustSomeDood
Tue Jun 05, 2018 12:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Two A380s To Be Sold For Spares
Replies: 45
Views: 10580

Re: Two A380s To Be Sold For Spares

It'd be interesting to see what sort of pricing they get for these (early?) birds. If operators were on the negotiating table then it appears that pricing for further operators and spares isn't that far off. I'd bet EK's lessors are looking for any Intel on this transaction as their first A380s star...

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by JustSomeDood
Mon Jun 04, 2018 2:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus sales chief defiant on A330neo demand as Boeing seals new win
Replies: 132
Views: 26288

Re: Airbus sales chief defiant on A330neo demand as Boeing seals new win

The issue is higher 787 production rates and today's lower 787 production costs. Boeing is being much more aggressive because they can. IMHO the A330NEO is the 717 of the widebodies. A good plane, but not good enough for deep market penetration. Cest la vie. I think an A338F would sell. But the pax...

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by JustSomeDood
Mon Jun 04, 2018 10:55 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: HNA, COMAC sign deal for 200 C919, 100 ARJ21 jets: HNA Bailout
Replies: 48
Views: 6141

Re: HNA, COMAC sign deal for 200 C919, 100 ARJ21 jets

ARJ orders? Usually I congratulate for orders, but that plane has turned out nothing to a curse to everyone involved :P Interesting to me that they haven't abandoned it as a learning experience instead of trying to keep pushing something that is such a burden to it's operators. Pretty sure the only...

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by JustSomeDood
Mon Jun 04, 2018 5:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How far could an A350-900ULR go with a standard config?
Replies: 95
Views: 17962

Re: How far could an A350-900ULR go with a standard config?

Zeke, your not convincing anybody that the ULR is taking the same payload (325 pax) as a standard 280t A350 1600nm further, knock it off.

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by JustSomeDood
Sat Jun 02, 2018 3:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: HNA, COMAC sign deal for 200 C919, 100 ARJ21 jets: HNA Bailout
Replies: 48
Views: 6141

Re: HNA, COMAC sign deal for 200 C919, 100 ARJ21 jets

Could they even fly to overseas markets with the (lack of) regulatory approval both aircraft currently have with the relevant authorities?

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by JustSomeDood
Sat Jun 02, 2018 4:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus Is in Talks With British Airways on More A380s
Replies: 452
Views: 80201

Re: Airbus Is in Talks With British Airways on More A380s

Airbus should try harder to broaden the program customer appeal. It is obviously very clear that the program is now running mainly for one single customer only, however it certainly helps to ring up top up orders from other customers as well. As for IAG, the A380 does have its place primarily at BA...

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by JustSomeDood
Thu May 31, 2018 3:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Aeromexico to take legal action against EK
Replies: 60
Views: 10015

Re: Aeromexico to take legal action against EK

Aeromexico had the rights to the route for a billion years with no competition and never started it, yet want to throw a shit fit when both México and Spain authorities approve of the foreign carrier? These grapes are mighty sour.

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by JustSomeDood
Thu May 31, 2018 10:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A310 - too early?
Replies: 72
Views: 13156

Re: A310 - too early?

The answer to your question is slightly simple: The A380. When Airbus floated the Double Decker Plane, Boeing did just what you said = nothing. The result was that the B747 is effectivelly killed and Boeing has nothing really to offer on this gap until the B777-X effectivelly leaves the ground but ...

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by JustSomeDood
Wed May 30, 2018 2:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A310 - too early?
Replies: 72
Views: 13156

Re: A310 - too early?

Let's turn this argument on its head. Why precisely does Boeing wants to spend $$$ on a clean sheet single aisle that can be responded effectively to by Airbus much cheaper and quicker through some combination of aforementioned A321ELR/A322? It doesn't take a CFA to recognize that's a bad way to us...

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by JustSomeDood
Wed May 30, 2018 12:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A310 - too early?
Replies: 72
Views: 13156

Re: A310 - too early?

You can name some sources but then you will see many other sources saying otherwise. That's why A.met posts are showing an inclination for a single aisle. I personally do believe that the great majority of a.net collaborators are using reliable sources to discuss. Again, as already replied just now...

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by JustSomeDood
Tue May 29, 2018 3:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will the 797 look more like the 757 or A310?
Replies: 40
Views: 8362

Re: Will the 797 look more like the 757 or A310?

I have no idea why Kessje here is so obsessed with the idea of a flying pencil narrowbody NMA. Maybe it's because that's the method by which Airbus can make a quick response? In order to get a decent buffer between the NMA and any type of A320-stretch. The cabin area will have to be ~180m^2++. Even ...

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by JustSomeDood
Tue May 29, 2018 2:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Shies Away From 78J/77X For Time Being
Replies: 61
Views: 9795

Re: AA Shies Away From 78J/77X For Time Being

Considering the 788 seats more than the 763 and the 789 seat more than the 772 (and only 6 less than the 333, of which there are only 9), seems like there will be some growth in seats with this order. Agreeing with your consideration, there can be little to no space at all for the 779, if the 77W p...

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by JustSomeDood
Tue May 29, 2018 12:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A310 - too early?
Replies: 72
Views: 13156

Re: A310 - too early?

I do not think so by one single reason: it is widely expected that Boeing's MOM will be single aisle which the A310 was not. Nowadays, you would see the B787-8 potentially competing to the A310 if this one was still in the market (maybe a slightly stretched A310 that is...).What I would argue is th...

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by JustSomeDood
Tue May 29, 2018 6:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why were the 757 and 767 such dead-end designs?
Replies: 109
Views: 16530

Re: Why were the 757 and 767 such dead-end designs?

No question shutting down the 757 line was a mistake, lack of orders or not at the time Customers would have returned Keeping the line open at a very low production rate or literally with no orders for a couple of years would still be more efficient and save billions compared to the cost of develop...

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by JustSomeDood
Mon May 28, 2018 11:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why were the 757 and 767 such dead-end designs?
Replies: 109
Views: 16530

Re: Why were the 757 and 767 such dead-end designs?

And the A380 ate the 747 for dinner. Are you serious? A plane that with the exception of a couple of airlines, no one wants. A plane that was late to the market and cost Airbus billions to develop and one they will never recoup their investment in let alone the drain it was to the other marketable ...

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by JustSomeDood
Mon May 28, 2018 11:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will the 797 look more like the 757 or A310?
Replies: 40
Views: 8362

Re: Will the 797 look more like the 757 or A310?

Where's the "it'd look like a 767" option, giving a 767 the A350mk1 treatment with enough tweeks for 8-abreast Y sounds like the most probable scenario for me.

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by JustSomeDood
Sun May 27, 2018 3:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Prelude to Middle East hubs losing clout as super connector in the wake of growing nonstop links bypassing them?
Replies: 64
Views: 9114

Re: Prelude to Middle East hubs losing clout as super connector in the wake of growing nonstop links bypassing them?

Each hub has its advantages depending your route of travel (Europe via LHR to US, Europe via LIS or MAD to South America, Europe via HEL to Asia etc.). I think we can all agree on that. Calling the ME hubs perfect I am not so sure because it only works for certain traffic flows like every other hub...

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by JustSomeDood
Sun May 27, 2018 2:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Prelude to Middle East hubs losing clout as super connector in the wake of growing nonstop links bypassing them?
Replies: 64
Views: 9114

Re: Prelude to Middle East hubs losing clout as super connector in the wake of growing nonstop links bypassing them?

Each hub has its advantages depending your route of travel (Europe via LHR to US, Europe via LIS or MAD to South America, Europe via HEL to Asia etc.). I think we can all agree on that. Calling the ME hubs perfect I am not so sure because it only works for certain traffic flows like every other hub...

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by JustSomeDood
Sun May 27, 2018 6:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Replacement for the 737-200s Gravel Versatility?
Replies: 97
Views: 11096

Re: Replacement for the 737-200s Gravel Versatility?

The Mighty 757? There are an increasing number on the second hand market. No. Low turbofans fine work as they Injest travel. You need a smaller turbojet or a turboprop preferably one with a high wing. Is this an issue specific to how turbofans ingest air or just a ground clearance issue? Because it...

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by JustSomeDood
Sat May 26, 2018 4:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A310 - too early?
Replies: 72
Views: 13156

Re: A310 - too early?

Mixing up things. The A310 and the A300 had different sized wings, wings adjusted to their different MTOW. The A310 was not a simple shrink of the A300. Airbus tried to take weight out and that leads also to the smaller lighter wing. Stretching the A310 would have lead to a bigger wing again again....

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by JustSomeDood
Sat May 26, 2018 4:12 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A310 - too early?
Replies: 72
Views: 13156

Re: A310 - too early?

The A310 was in the 'dead zone' of capacity (150-165m^2) where both widebody and narrowbody designs run into significant issues with design and therefore sales. The 762, it's contemporary analogue, sold no better and it had the option to upgrade to the ER, which had payload-range that was distinctly...

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by JustSomeDood
Fri May 18, 2018 4:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA 767's and transpac
Replies: 19
Views: 2059

Re: UA 767's and transpac

SFO-NRT is only ~10h westbound and ~8h eastbound. DL used a 763 on SFO-NRT. If you look at the payload-range for the 763ER (page 50) (http://www.boeing.com/resources/boeingdotcom/commercial/airports/acaps/767.pdf) you see a range of about 6000nm with full pax and baggage load. SFO-NRT, LAX-NRT, and...

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by JustSomeDood
Fri May 18, 2018 8:05 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA 767's and transpac
Replies: 19
Views: 2059

Re: UA 767's and transpac

Why fly a 767 on routes to Asia when the major UA hub that is in range for 767 TPAC (SFO), is also the destination where there is robust enough demand for most Asian routes such that larger aircraft would be more profitable?

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by JustSomeDood
Thu May 17, 2018 2:35 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Theoretical 777-based replacement for 747?
Replies: 178
Views: 21616

Re: Theoretical 777-based replacement for 747?

The only rational hope I see is that perhaps airbus holds on for ten years until rolls decides to throw money at a rewinged NEO model. Why couldn't Boeing wait around for 10 years and do a rewinged NEO model of the 747-8? Why would they spend 5-10B to do that when the 777-9 has similar levels of ca...

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by JustSomeDood
Wed May 16, 2018 6:07 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Theoretical 777-based replacement for 747?
Replies: 178
Views: 21616

Re: Theoretical 777-based replacement for 747?

If you threw out EK and LH pax orders as aberrations/massively discounted launch clients, both the A380and 747 have sold a combined 300 or so since the A380was launched, about 20 years ago. As it is they both round to about 300. The majority by far of the 747 are for freighters. There is no factual...

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by JustSomeDood
Sun May 13, 2018 4:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: a MTOW increase on 787-10 to compete with A359?
Replies: 187
Views: 22511

Re: a MTOW increase on 787-10 to compete with A359?

It does not have to prove anything. Every airline in the world that operates these aircraft has guarantees based on actual performance. The a350-900 is meeting those guarantees and beating some of them according to more than one CEO. As Zeke has pointed out on more than one occasion, the a359 lifts...

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by JustSomeDood
Sun May 13, 2018 9:04 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: a MTOW increase on 787-10 to compete with A359?
Replies: 187
Views: 22511

Re: a MTOW increase on 787-10 to compete with A359?

Doesn't matter, the fact that 787s are being flown on many of the world's longest routes (LHR-PER, SIN-LAX, SYD-IAH) means that airlines believe these routes can be flown with a profitable payload over those ranges, the fact that it's A330/767 capacity doesn't change that it's a highly capable airc...

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by JustSomeDood
Sun May 13, 2018 6:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: a MTOW increase on 787-10 to compete with A359?
Replies: 187
Views: 22511

Re: a MTOW increase on 787-10 to compete with A359?

I'm not of the 787-9 "small is fine" believers in a growing markets. I just don't see airlines downscaling from the 772ER from Asia for the next 20 years. I remember you sharing that opinion a number of times in the AA 777-200ER thread before they cancelled the A350 order and selected the...

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by JustSomeDood
Sat May 05, 2018 12:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AirFrance-KLM's Janaillac Resigns
Replies: 137
Views: 11488

Re: AirFrance-KLM's Janaillac Resigns

Imo, neither employees or wages are the primary problem at AFKL. There is incredible inefficiency at the airline, tons of overhead, duplication, etc. Like LH Group they need to integrate much more deeply, consolidate functions, and reduce things like a number of offices and facilities. Also a large...

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by JustSomeDood
Fri May 04, 2018 4:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AF / KLM announce 1st Quarter 2018 Results
Replies: 82
Views: 7464

Re: AF / KLM announce 1st Quarter 2018 Results

Man from the sound of things it appears that AF by itself is closer to Alitalia than LX in terms of financials and operating conditions than many in France would like to admit... Oh well, that's what happens with constantly high staffing costs in an environment rife with LCCs/ME3 as competition...

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by JustSomeDood
Thu May 03, 2018 9:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AIRBUS 2020-2030 development projects A360, A370 opportunities.
Replies: 289
Views: 48249

Re: AIRBUS 2020-2030 development projects A360, A370 opportunities.

I expect the 787-10 to be a stand out on the graph due to it being the only true simple stretch widebody. It is very light for the cabin area which is why it has less range but also better efficiency. It could be worth providing a weighted graph taking into account range this would bring the 787-10...

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by JustSomeDood
Sat Apr 28, 2018 5:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus Cuts Production Plans for A330 Jet
Replies: 229
Views: 26656

Re: Airbus Cuts Production Plans for A330 Jet

Nope - it is being a competitive player in the market. You cannot give up potential orders without trying to fight for them. That would be lazy! By your logic, Boeing would also be having a massive EGO too - trying to compete with Airbus so that it can kill off the A330 Neo. However, I do not see i...

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by JustSomeDood
Sat Apr 28, 2018 2:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus Cuts Production Plans for A330 Jet
Replies: 229
Views: 26656

Re: Airbus Cuts Production Plans for A330 Jet

Don't agree with this 100% - EK needs the A380 and if Airbus doesn't supply it, the nearest suitable aircraft is the B748. Although it may appear to be purely EGO to A.Net, I am sure Airbus knows that it is also defending its VLC market share... defending the market share ..... is EGO. Nope - it is...

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