Search found 583 matches

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by SteelChair
Mon Jan 21, 2019 1:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 Developments : more of a match for A320neo than Airbus says
Replies: 121
Views: 17108

Re: Airbus A220 Developments : more of a match for A320neo than Airbus says

Imo the A220-100 has more to fear from the A220-500 than the A320neo does. Once airlines see the seat mile costs on the 500, the 100 won't be competitive. That is pretty much the fate of any of the smallest sub-types in an aircraft family once the type has matured and stretches have been launched. ...

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by SteelChair
Sun Jan 20, 2019 11:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B777-9 future prospects?
Replies: 289
Views: 39226

Re: B777-9 future prospects?

Ps. International pax traffic grew by 6.4% for 2018 vs 2017. https://www.icao.int/Newsroom/Pages/Solid-passenger-traffic-growth-and-moderate-air-cargo-demand-in-2018.aspx One metric? How about yields? How about EK? How are they doing compared to the last 10 years? Do you think TKs new hub will help...

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by SteelChair
Sun Jan 20, 2019 10:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why can’t UAL close the revenue/ profit gap with DAL ?
Replies: 107
Views: 8685

Re: Why can’t UAL close the revenue/ profit gap with DAL ?

Back to the OP question.....answers: poor leadership and lack of operational reliability.

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by SteelChair
Sun Jan 20, 2019 4:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 Developments : more of a match for A320neo than Airbus says
Replies: 121
Views: 17108

Re: Airbus A220 Developments : more of a match for A320neo than Airbus says

I have a feeling delta did their Bombardier CS300 order to replace the A319 Your feelings would be wrong. How so? Delta has 57 A319s, and much of the exNW fleet is nearing the end of their service life. The 50 CS300s, plus a few A321s probably, could easily replace all that lost capacity one for on...

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by SteelChair
Sun Jan 20, 2019 4:41 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Cabin Humidifier/Lower Altitude Pressurization Question?
Replies: 15
Views: 1018

Re: Cabin Humidifier/Lower Altitude Pressurization Question?

BravoOne wrote:
SteelChair wrote:
Does anyone know which airlines chose to get the option for humidity and those who didn't? And on which types?


On what airplane are you asking about?

Someone posted that it was optional on 787, 350, 380

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by SteelChair
Sun Jan 20, 2019 3:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B777-9 future prospects?
Replies: 289
Views: 39226

Re: B777-9 future prospects?

And yet the 35K which is the closest to the 778/9 is facing the same sales issue but it's supposedly less customized with more mass appeal. How do you explain that one? See above, far too little intl air travel demand and growth to support all these large and expensive plane orders. Its almost a cr...

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by SteelChair
Sun Jan 20, 2019 3:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B777-9 future prospects?
Replies: 289
Views: 39226

Re: B777-9 future prospects?

77W different time different market. The market has changed.

Its just inconceivable to me that anyone could retire 6 year old frames and then belly up.to the trough for more new large widebodies.

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by SteelChair
Sun Jan 20, 2019 3:10 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Cabin Humidifier/Lower Altitude Pressurization Question?
Replies: 15
Views: 1018

Re: Cabin Humidifier/Lower Altitude Pressurization Question?

Does anyone know which airlines chose to get the option for humidity and those who didn't? And on which types?

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by SteelChair
Sun Jan 20, 2019 2:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B777-9 future prospects?
Replies: 289
Views: 39226

Re: B777-9 future prospects?

And yet Airlines from Asia and Europe have ordered the plane too. As for sales, it is quite clear that the 77W replacement time frame is not yet here. Notably very few orders And yet the 35K which is the closest to the 778/9 is facing the same sales issue but it's supposedly less customized with mo...

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by SteelChair
Sun Jan 20, 2019 2:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B777-9 future prospects?
Replies: 289
Views: 39226

Re: B777-9 future prospects?

Agree that Boeing built the perfect airplane for Emirates. Everyone else? Not so much. Imho that goes a long way towards explaining why sales are so tepid. So if the A350-1000 was built for everyone else, why has its sales been the same,,,tepid. Methinks that is too simple and explanation Perhaps n...

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by SteelChair
Sun Jan 20, 2019 2:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B777-9 future prospects?
Replies: 289
Views: 39226

Re: B777-9 future prospects?

I would bet against this based on Emirates alone. Boeing had a pretty stark choice: build a 777 with competitive seat-mile costs to the A350-1000, or watch Airbus sell a shedload of A350-1000s (or -1100s) to EK as 77W replacements. That could have killed the 777 program. Instead, Boeing built exact...

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by SteelChair
Sun Jan 20, 2019 2:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B777-9 future prospects?
Replies: 289
Views: 39226

Re: B777-9 future prospects?

I'll bet if Boeing had it to do over, they would have done the new midsized airplane first. The action is in the middle of the market. I would bet against this based on Emirates alone. Boeing had a pretty stark choice: build a 777 with competitive seat-mile costs to the A350-1000, or watch Airbus s...

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by SteelChair
Sun Jan 20, 2019 3:31 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta MD-88/90 B-717 Fleet
Replies: 21
Views: 3971

Re: Delta MD-88/90 B-717 Fleet

FWIW, I never said that all the 50 seaters were retiring, just some/most.

And.......a little birdie told me of a rumor of another overhaul facility in North America agreeing to perform D5 overhauls.....rumors......hehehe

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by SteelChair
Sun Jan 20, 2019 2:09 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B777-9 future prospects?
Replies: 289
Views: 39226

Re: B777-9 future prospects?

The 777-9 is too big, too heavy, too much capacity. International yields and traffic volume are still weak. I am not optimistic about the 777-9x in the short term. Order book is small and mostly confined to the distressed ME3 (the bloom is off their rose). I'll bet if Boeing had it to do over, they ...

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by SteelChair
Sat Jan 19, 2019 11:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines 767-300ER Routes/Replacement
Replies: 28
Views: 4464

Re: American Airlines 767-300ER Routes/Replacement

I believe a 788 cost less to operate than a 763. Well yeah, but what about acquisition costs? And the suboptimal operation of a 788 on 763 routes? 788 OEW almost 50,000 lbs more than 763. 787 will fly 8,000nm, how does that work out on 700nm routes? Just sayin. Imagine a 763 sized airplane with mod...

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by SteelChair
Sat Jan 19, 2019 10:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta MD-88/90 B-717 Fleet
Replies: 21
Views: 3971

Re: Delta MD-88/90 B-717 Fleet

Countless posts in many threads covering this....A220 is mostly replacement for 76 seat RJs, which are replacing 50 seaters as they retire. An upgauge across the board to lower seat mile costs. Some 220s will replace mainline narrowbodies, but later. A321s and 739s are largely replacing the 88s and ...

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by SteelChair
Sat Jan 19, 2019 7:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 Developments : more of a match for A320neo than Airbus says
Replies: 121
Views: 17108

Re: Airbus A220 Developments : more of a match for A320neo than Airbus says

Reading thru the comments above, I had 2 thoughts: 1) Long thin fuselage, surely the DC-8-71, 73 takes the cake. I've heard many stories about sitting in the rear during turbulence and seeing the airplane flex and twist. Also have heard of cases where if the airplane made a sharp turn into a gate, t...

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by SteelChair
Thu Jan 17, 2019 7:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 Developments : more of a match for A320neo than Airbus says
Replies: 121
Views: 17108

Re: Airbus A220 Developments : more of a match for A320neo than Airbus says

Imo the A220-100 has more to fear from the A220-500 than the A320neo does. Once airlines see the seat mile costs on the 500, the 100 won't be competitive. Also, imho, a 149 seat 160,000 lb A220-500 is the sweet spot. Will be about 42 meters long (spots on FAL1 won't hold longer plane?) and OEW will ...

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by SteelChair
Wed Jan 16, 2019 8:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 Receives ETOPS 180 Certification
Replies: 35
Views: 8105

Re: Airbus A220 Receives ETOPS 180 Certification

The A220 has about 20% more bin space per passenger. I expect a later version to have an ACT for long mission. Airbus needs to create speculative slots as when airlines decide they want more capacity, waiting is forfeiting profits. Leasors were waiting for more customers to enhance the secondary ma...

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by SteelChair
Wed Jan 16, 2019 6:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Extends A220 order book to 90 aircraft
Replies: 113
Views: 22973

Re: Delta Extends A220 order book to 90 aircraft

The absolute newest 717 is approaching 13 years old. Most are older. 717 is a high cycle aircraft, so it doesn't fly 25-30 years like a 747/777/767. A220-100 and A220-300 are logical replacements. 717's older sibling, the DC-9 was also a high cycle aircraft. And they flew for 40+ years. I do believ...

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by SteelChair
Tue Jan 15, 2019 11:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Extends A220 order book to 90 aircraft
Replies: 113
Views: 22973

Re: Delta Extends A220 order book to 90 aircraft

Your timeframe is reasonable. Part of my prediction for over 200 at DL (minus if they take a subfleet of E2-195s). Lightsaber Late edit: Airbus has achieved 180 minute ETOPS and is working cost cuts. https://www.bing.com/amp/s/ca.finance.yahoo.com/amphtml/news/airbus-says-a220-jet-receives-approval...

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by SteelChair
Tue Jan 15, 2019 11:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Extends A220 order book to 90 aircraft
Replies: 113
Views: 22973

Re: Delta Extends A220 order book to 90 aircraft

The biggest news is Delta's order for the larger A220-300. They could use the -300s on routes now flown with the Boeing 717 such as TPA-JFK. That old warhorse, low-slow-loud and with no IFE can be retired to other less competitive routes. https://ifn.news/posts/delta-order-another-15-a220-converts-...

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by SteelChair
Tue Jan 15, 2019 12:55 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 Receives ETOPS 180 Certification
Replies: 35
Views: 8105

Re: Airbus A220 Receives ETOPS 180 Certification

Amazed that they got it considering how little time in service has been accrued by the wildly unreliable PW GTF.

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by SteelChair
Tue Jan 15, 2019 12:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Extends A220 order book to 90 aircraft
Replies: 113
Views: 22973

Re: Delta Extends A220 order book to 90 aircraft

Ref the 717s and 737s.....lets face it, no one on here knows what is going to happen, how long they will stay (or not). It's all just opinion. My opinion is that they stay becuase they have a lot of life left and Delta likes to fly their planes out to their full economic lifetime amd then chop them...

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by SteelChair
Mon Jan 14, 2019 1:46 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Doug and AA
Replies: 55
Views: 4634

Re: Doug and AA

Above and beyond any financial or aircraft discussions, AA doesn't seem to be able to execute. Their operational performance lags far behing the other 2 US legacy carriers. Whatever network or equipment you have is irrelevant if you can't operate it reliably.

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by SteelChair
Mon Jan 14, 2019 1:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Extends A220 order book to 90 aircraft
Replies: 113
Views: 22973

Re: Delta Extends A220 order book to 90 aircraft

Ref the 717s and 737s.....lets face it, no one on here knows what is going to happen, how long they will stay (or not). It's all just opinion. My opinion is that they stay becuase they have a lot of life left and Delta likes to fly their planes out to their full economic lifetime amd then chop them ...

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by SteelChair
Sat Jan 12, 2019 11:46 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: How far away are we from direct routings
Replies: 33
Views: 4260

Re: How far away are we from direct routings

atcsundevil wrote:

SteelChair wrote:
Cleveland and DC, which feed New York,.play by their own rules.

Huh..? Examples?


They do unpublished stops almost every day.....plus unpublished TMA/TBFM. "Overhead stream."
They're horrible. Its like RVSM never even happened

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by SteelChair
Fri Jan 11, 2019 10:25 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: How far away are we from direct routings
Replies: 33
Views: 4260

Re: How far away are we from direct routings

Keep in mind that "basically straight" changes every day, and changes throughout the day. Most optimum is great circle route corrected for winds.

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by SteelChair
Fri Jan 11, 2019 8:30 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: How far away are we from direct routings
Replies: 33
Views: 4260

Re: How far away are we from direct routings

I don't see it happening any time soon in the USA. Delays are worse than ever. RVSM had no effect, things actually worse with the FAA now issuing AFPs-airway flow programs. New York center fails out the vast majority of controllers attempting to check out there, guaranteeing continual manpower short...

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by SteelChair
Fri Jan 11, 2019 4:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A320neo Family Production/Delivery Thread - 2019
Replies: 52
Views: 7647

Re: Airbus A320neo Family Production/Delivery Thread - 2019

Does anyone have a current glider countm

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by SteelChair
Fri Jan 11, 2019 12:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ten A380 Orders Removed From Backlog
Replies: 138
Views: 24927

Re: Ten A380 Orders Removed From Backlog

I have never been an A380 backer....the program was a huge mistake imo.

But it will be sad to see it go. It never even made it to the more balanced sretch model.

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by SteelChair
Fri Jan 11, 2019 12:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How Many A 330 Neo's Will Ultimately be Sold?
Replies: 74
Views: 8417

Re: How Many A 330 Neo's Will Ultimately be Sold?

Barring some new development, I think 300-350 is the most likely result. 500 would be a huge achievement. Given the limited scope of the upgrade (no new cockpit with large formant displays), hopefully they can price very aggressively, amd that may help. Lets face it, the design is almost 30 years ol...

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by SteelChair
Tue Jan 08, 2019 12:44 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 (CSeries) Delivery/Production Thread - 2019
Replies: 58
Views: 14296

Re: Airbus A220 (CSeries) Delivery/Production Thread - 2019

Surely now Airbis effectively own that system and there is nothing to stop them implementing it at Mobile. I don't know how there can be two Final Assembly processes. If so one obviously isn't Final... WRT your first statement, yes, Airbus effectively owns it or has access to it. The issue is the t...

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by SteelChair
Mon Jan 07, 2019 9:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 (CSeries) Delivery/Production Thread - 2019
Replies: 58
Views: 14296

Re: Airbus A220 (CSeries) Delivery/Production Thread - 2019

1 https://leehamnews.com/2018/07/11/future-mobile-a220-final-assembly-line-already-pushing-capacity/ and https://www.flightglobal.com/news/articles/airbus-near-final-agreement-on-mobile-a220-line-453033/ Both say FAL. Is there something extra when you say FAL1? Yes, to the best of my knowledge FAL1...

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by SteelChair
Mon Jan 07, 2019 7:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 (CSeries) Delivery/Production Thread - 2019
Replies: 58
Views: 14296

Re: Airbus A220 (CSeries) Delivery/Production Thread - 2019

As oposed to a boost, I think we can expect a long, gradual increase. From 7 deliveries in 2016, to 17 in 2017, to 31-33 in 2018........perhaps 50-55 is a good goal for 2019. A "linear" progression would indicate about 45 but one has to account for Airbus having a positive effect on the p...

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by SteelChair
Mon Jan 07, 2019 3:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 (CSeries) Delivery/Production Thread - 2019
Replies: 58
Views: 14296

Re: Airbus A220 (CSeries) Delivery/Production Thread - 2019

As oposed to a boost, I think we can expect a long, gradual increase. From 7 deliveries in 2016, to 17 in 2017, to 31-33 in 2018........perhaps 50-55 is a good goal for 2019. A "linear" progression would indicate about 45 but one has to account for Airbus having a positive effect on the pr...

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by SteelChair
Mon Jan 07, 2019 12:32 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 5+ Hour delays into SFO
Replies: 93
Views: 16473

Re: 5+ Hour delays into SFO

ATC gets paid whether they work the traffic or not. They have no skin in the game. Its easier just to claim "safety" and slow the traffic down.

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by SteelChair
Sun Jan 06, 2019 11:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta’s new A220 narrowbody coming on sale for January debut
Replies: 158
Views: 26940

Re: Delta’s new A220 narrowbody coming on sale for January debut

How did FAA not already do that? DL has had the A220 since October Its covered in the article: The FAA's process of adding aircraft types to operating certificates involves a review of a carrier's ability to operate the type safety. Inspectors ensure pilots have completed approved training programm...

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by SteelChair
Sun Jan 06, 2019 10:07 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Fully Loaded Airliners
Replies: 13
Views: 2293

Re: Fully Loaded Airliners

757-200 is the most "overbuilt" performer that I can think of.....hard to max it out when operating from long runways. Big wing and engines, narrow low capacity fuselage (compared to widebodies)

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by SteelChair
Sat Jan 05, 2019 4:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 (CSeries) Delivery/Production Thread - 2019
Replies: 58
Views: 14296

Re: Airbus A220 (CSeries) Delivery/Production Thread - 2019

The problem with shipping fuselage barrels and wings to Mobile is that you need a FAL1 in Mobile. FAL1 in YMX is a very complex building, full of proprietary and patented equipment and processes, not the least of which is an internal positioning system that puts the pieces together in a very, very p...

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by SteelChair
Sat Jan 05, 2019 1:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B777-9 future prospects?
Replies: 289
Views: 39226

Re: B777-9 future prospects?

Look at the tenor of the conversation. People are speculating 300-600 deliveries. By comparison, the legacy 777 has delivered almost 1,600 and has almost 2,000 total orders (400ish left to deliver). In other words, people think the 777x will deliver in the region of what the legacy 777 has in outsta...

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by SteelChair
Fri Jan 04, 2019 10:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta’s new A220 narrowbody coming on sale for January debut
Replies: 158
Views: 26940

Re: Delta’s new A220 narrowbody coming on sale for January debut

Airplanes are certified, but an airline in the US also has to obtain approval to operate. These approvals are granted by the issuance of Operations Specifications. Operations Specifications "prescribe the authorizations and limitations under which each operation must occur." (Thats a close...

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by SteelChair
Fri Jan 04, 2019 2:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B777-9 future prospects?
Replies: 289
Views: 39226

Re: B777-9 future prospects?

The 77X has 326 orders and only Ethiad's 25 are shaky. Until the 787, 300 secure orders to start a widebody program was pretty good. The end-of-line 77W campaign, with low prices and PIPs, took out a lot of airlines which would be candidates for 77X. But I believe the 77X can deliver on its numbers...

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by SteelChair
Fri Jan 04, 2019 12:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B777-9 future prospects?
Replies: 289
Views: 39226

Re: B777-9 future prospects?

The 77X has 326 orders and only Ethiad's 25 are shaky. Until the 787, 300 secure orders to start a widebody program was pretty good. The end-of-line 77W campaign, with low prices and PIPs, took out a lot of airlines which would be candidates for 77X. But I believe the 77X can deliver on its numbers...

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by SteelChair
Thu Jan 03, 2019 9:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LaGuardia Perimeter Rule
Replies: 79
Views: 11268

Re: LaGuardia Departure Limits

Yes, but I highly doubt the 321s can fly LGA-LAX/SFO without a penalty. LGA's runways are too short. Maybe not 321s, but definitely 319s and 737-700s. They have enough range, and the the runways at LGA are both 7000ft (+/- 3 feet), whereas SNA’s runway is 5700ft, and they have transcon flights. Tho...

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by SteelChair
Thu Jan 03, 2019 9:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B777-9 future prospects?
Replies: 289
Views: 39226

Re: B777-9 future prospects?

Imho most international airlines have finally realized that there is too much capacity. Witness the death of the 748 and A380. 75% of 777x orders are from ME3. I forsee a dismal future for the 777x, its simply too big. The real action is in the 787 to A350 size (some might even say that the 350 is a...

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by SteelChair
Thu Jan 03, 2019 8:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Jetblue and Moxy Confirm A220 order
Replies: 58
Views: 13647

Re: Jetblue and Moxy Confirm A220 order

If true that is a sad testimony given that we have so much engineering talent in this country. However I believe the engineers are unionized at Boeing and that would provide an inducement to outsource.

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by SteelChair
Thu Jan 03, 2019 2:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 (CSeries) Delivery/Production Thread - 2019
Replies: 58
Views: 14296

Re: Airbus A220 (CSeries) Delivery/Production Thread - 2019

Both 'Moxie' and JetBlue orders are now firm, so 120 more frames to be produced, all of them said to be in Mobile not Mirabel: https://www.forbes.com/sites/marisagarcia/2019/01/03/moxie-and-jetblue-place-firm-orders-for-120-airbus-a220-aircraft/ Seems they are sticking firm to the rule that US deli...

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by SteelChair
Thu Jan 03, 2019 12:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Korean Air A220 Significant Engine Damage
Replies: 26
Views: 13367

Re: Korean Air A220 Significant Engine Damage

Could have been many things. Rather disconcerting that we are just now hearing about it, almost a week has passed. I'm sure a thorough investigation will be completed and remedial action will be taken, and though it is concerning, I have seen this tyoe of damage on many other engines over the years....

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by SteelChair
Thu Jan 03, 2019 11:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Where will Lufthansa station it’s new A320ceo?
Replies: 15
Views: 4295

Re: Where will Lufthansa station it’s new A320ceo?

Regarding LH flying some A320s 30 years or more, and more than 50,000 flights, thats amazing. Some people still erroneously believe that the airfame is limited to the hours and cycles that were conservatively established at EIS in the 80s. Airbus has consistently extended the life of the airframe th...

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