Search found 404 matches

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by ElroyJetson
Tue Jun 19, 2018 3:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Reuters: Airbus is studying A321XLR with extended range over LR
Replies: 141
Views: 16998

Re: Reuters: Airbus is studying A321XLR with extended range over LR

My sincere hope is that somebody builds a true MoM plane that can be a proud successor the 757/767 family. So Airbus will need to probably stretch and re-wing the A321 and call it the the A322 if they like. A warmed over A321 with another ACT won't cut it imho. Boeing will obviously need to do a cle...

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by ElroyJetson
Sun Jun 10, 2018 10:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DC/VA/MD Aviation Thread - 2018
Replies: 231
Views: 17867

Re: DC/VA/MD Aviation Thread - 2018

An excellent summary imho regarding the WN issues at RIC. I agree with the comments made and would add that the good news is Spirit, Jet Blue, and Allegiant has filled much of the void. I used to love WN back in the day but I think they have made a number of strategically poor decisions since the me...

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by ElroyJetson
Sun Jun 10, 2018 10:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The future of Aer Lingus’ fleet.
Replies: 16
Views: 2898

Re: The future of Aer Lingus’ fleet.

Dublin has the potential to be a major TATL hub. The city is geographically positioned at the western edge of Europe to funnel pax to the British Isles or secondary cities throughout the rest of the Continent. The problem is just as the poster above stated. The primary runaway is too short for ULH a...

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by ElroyJetson
Thu Jun 07, 2018 1:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DC/VA/MD Aviation Thread - 2018
Replies: 231
Views: 17867

Re: DC/VA/MD Aviation Thread - 2018

Frontier's ORF-DEN/MCO service hasn't started yet, but they announced yesterday that F9 is adding ORF-LAS nonstop Tu/Th/Su. Frontier press release: https://news.flyfrontier.com/frontier-airlines-continues-to-make-flying-more-affordable-adds-another-15-routes-with-fares-as-low-as-39/ ORF twitter ann...

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by ElroyJetson
Tue Jun 05, 2018 4:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Two A380s To Be Sold For Spares
Replies: 45
Views: 10580

Re: Two A380s To Be Sold For Spares

res 'haters'. Just about everyone thinks the 380 is a great plane, and would choose to fly on it if possible. But from the very beginning Zvesda (sp?) and others have said the business case was not there. A number of our respected a-netters (as well as a-nutters) were insistent that a business case...

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by ElroyJetson
Tue Jun 05, 2018 3:39 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Estimates 18 Billion Pounds Of Fuel Saved By Dreamliner
Replies: 26
Views: 4494

Re: Boeing Estimates 18 Billion Pounds Of Fuel Saved By Dreamliner

I guess the 787 was a game changer after all. Who knew?

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by ElroyJetson
Tue Jun 05, 2018 3:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus sales chief defiant on A330neo demand as Boeing seals new win
Replies: 132
Views: 26288

Re: Airbus sales chief defiant on A330neo demand as Boeing seals new win

Airbus must be thanking their lucky stars airlines and leasing companies put so much pressure on them to finally do a clean sheet design in the A350. Without that, their widebody offerings would be pretty meager. As it stands the A350 looks like an ideal 772 replacement and at least gives Airbus a l...

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by ElroyJetson
Mon Jun 04, 2018 5:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus sales chief defiant on A330neo demand as Boeing seals new win
Replies: 132
Views: 26288

Re: Airbus sales chief defiant on A330neo demand as Boeing seals new win

The issue is higher 787 production rates and today's lower 787 production costs. Boeing is being much more aggressive because they can. IMHO the A330NEO is the 717 of the widebodies. A good plane, but not good enough for deep market penetration. Cest la vie. I think an A338F would sell. But the pax...

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by ElroyJetson
Mon Jun 04, 2018 4:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How far could an A350-900ULR go with a standard config?
Replies: 95
Views: 17958

Re: How far could an A350-900ULR go with a standard config?

One other quick thing. The current longest flight in the world is DOH-AUK which is flown using a 77L. The distance is 7848 nm. The flight westbound is 18 hours 20 minutes. If the 9700 nm number is to be believed than the A359ULR should currently be able to fly SYD-LHR with full pax and bags. If so,...

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by ElroyJetson
Mon Jun 04, 2018 7:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How far could an A350-900ULR go with a standard config?
Replies: 95
Views: 17958

Re: How far could an A350-900ULR go with a standard config?

One other quick thing. The current longest flight in the world is DOH-AUK which is flown using a 77L. The distance is 7848 nm. The flight westbound is 18 hours 20 minutes. If the 9700 nm number is to be believed than the A359ULR should currently be able to fly SYD-LHR with full pax and bags. If so, ...

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by ElroyJetson
Mon Jun 04, 2018 6:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How far could an A350-900ULR go with a standard config?
Replies: 95
Views: 17958

Re: How far could an A350-900ULR go with a standard config?

The A359 is a great plane, but is just does not push out range to new levels beyond the 77L or the A340-500. Again, no disrepect, but I do not remotely believe the 9700 nm number with any kind of meaningful payload. Either Airbus or Boeing will meet Project Sunrise requirements. My guess is the 778 ...

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by ElroyJetson
Sun Jun 03, 2018 8:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How far could an A350-900ULR go with a standard config?
Replies: 95
Views: 17958

Re: How far could an A350-900ULR go with a standard config?

Both Boeing and Airbus have talked about shrinks to both the A359 and the 778 The only shrink of the A359 I've ever heard them talk about is the A358, which currently seems as dead as the Dodo. Has it been mentioned recently? I've never heard anything at all about a shrunk 778. Source? Flightglobal...

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by ElroyJetson
Sun Jun 03, 2018 4:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How far could an A350-900ULR go with a standard config?
Replies: 95
Views: 17958

Re: How far could an A350-900ULR go with a standard config?

Both Boeing and Airbus have talked about shrinks to both the A359 and the 778 to fly true ULH as well as other structural changes. According to Leeham Boeing has talked to Quantas about this if bundled with additional sales of 787's. I think one or the other manufacturers will build a derivative to ...

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by ElroyJetson
Fri Jun 01, 2018 4:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DC/VA/MD Aviation Thread - 2018
Replies: 231
Views: 17867

Re: DC/VA/MD Aviation Thread - 2018

RIC traffic continues to experience explosive growth. April pax numbers were up 15.1% over a year ago and RIC appears to be on target to break the 4 mil passenger mark this year. http://www.nbc12.com/story/38317703/ric-sets-another-passenger-record-new-flights-coming-in-june Key facts: Of note from ...

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by ElroyJetson
Fri May 18, 2018 9:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Reuters says: Airbus's hope to sell A330 Neo to UA are "dwindling."
Replies: 6
Views: 1595

Re: Reuters says: Airbus's hope to sell A330 Neo to UA are "dwindling."

viewtopic.php?f=3&t=1393693 so we should continue it there, IMO.



My post was really more specific to the A330 Neo program than UA per se.....but hey where ever you want to post.
-->

Stitch wrote:
We already have a discussion on this as part of viewtopic.php?f=3&t=1393693 so we should continue it there, IMO.



My post was really more specific to the A330 Neo program than UA per se.....but hey where ever you want to post.

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by ElroyJetson
Fri May 18, 2018 9:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Reuters says: Airbus's hope to sell A330 Neo to UA are "dwindling."
Replies: 6
Views: 1595

Reuters says: Airbus's hope to sell A330 Neo to UA are "dwindling."

In what looks like another huge blow to the A330 Neo program the European based news agency Reuters is stating UA is unlikely to order the A330Neo from Airbus, but will instead buy additional 787's to replace its aging 767 fleet. Key Quote: Airbus’s hopes of winning an immediate respite from slow sa...

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by ElroyJetson
Wed May 16, 2018 8:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DC/VA/MD Aviation Thread - 2018
Replies: 231
Views: 17867

Re: DC/VA/MD Aviation Thread - 2018

https://www.routesonline.com/news/38/ai ... additions/
-->

The official Routes.com announcement of the new F9 ORF flights to DEN and MCO.


https://www.routesonline.com/news/38/ai ... additions/

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by ElroyJetson
Wed May 16, 2018 5:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why National Airlines never went Pacific
Replies: 70
Views: 4543

Re: Why National Airlines never went Pacific

Yes, I think they started MIA-LHR about 1975 (maybe a bit earlier). The October 25, 1970 NA timetable announced the new service to London to begin on November 1. It doesn't list an aircraft type, but it was either started with DC8's then up to 747's. Don't think NA had very many of those in the ear...

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by ElroyJetson
Wed May 16, 2018 4:51 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DC/VA/MD Aviation Thread - 2018
Replies: 231
Views: 17867

Re: DC/VA/MD Aviation Thread - 2018

ORF is getting new service from F9 starting in August with two flights a week to DEN and MCO. UA is also starting non-stop daily A319 service from OFF to DEN so it will be interesting to see how Frontier does. The UA service will give us more single-connect options to the Midwest and West Coast, pl...

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by ElroyJetson
Tue May 15, 2018 6:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: a MTOW increase on 787-10 to compete with A359?
Replies: 187
Views: 22511

Re: a MTOW increase on 787-10 to compete with A359?

Boeing still controls 60% of the wide body market, and I don't see that changing any time soon. Do you? Possibly. Really depends on how well they pull off the MOM (assuming it's indeed a widebody); and how the 77W and A380 replacement markets go, once they kicks into full swing. The 777X may well f...

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by ElroyJetson
Tue May 15, 2018 6:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: a MTOW increase on 787-10 to compete with A359?
Replies: 187
Views: 22511

Re: a MTOW increase on 787-10 to compete with A359?

The A340 sold "just" 400 and shared most costs with 1400 A330s and 800 A330/310s. Not keeping anyone awake I think. IMO 777-A340 is mostly just a sweet memory for some cherishing the past where Boeing was dominant on WB's. https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/-mUi8Fnw173s/WvoSo-PvL_I/AAAAAAA...

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by ElroyJetson
Tue May 15, 2018 6:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: a MTOW increase on 787-10 to compete with A359?
Replies: 187
Views: 22511

Re: a MTOW increase on 787-10 to compete with A359?

Ok I won't use "lost". Boeing used to have 80-100% of the WB's of a carrier and now 30-50%. Something "changed". Feels better? Yeah something changed, Airbus finally got off their duff and made a complimentary twin to the A330 and stopped flogging the A340-XXX as a worthy 777W c...

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by ElroyJetson
Tue May 15, 2018 5:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DC/VA/MD Aviation Thread - 2018
Replies: 231
Views: 17867

Re: DC/VA/MD Aviation Thread - 2018

ORF is getting new service from F9 starting in August with two flights a week to DEN and MCO.

UA is also starting non-stop daily A319 service from OFF to DEN so it will be interesting to see how Frontier does.

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by ElroyJetson
Fri May 11, 2018 5:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: CX to MEX?
Replies: 10
Views: 1976

Re: CX to MEX?

The 778 could do the route easily with no weight restrictions. Hell, DL does a similar length flight now from ATL-JNB which is also a hot an high airport with the 77L. No reason the 778 couldn't do it.

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by ElroyJetson
Thu May 10, 2018 4:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA RFQ now ongoing for 767 replacement?
Replies: 215
Views: 29325

Re: UA RFQ now ongoing for 767 replacement?

The 788/789 combination to replace UA's 763/764 frames sounds like the perfect fit. The myth that Airbus can somehow under sell Boeing on price with the A 330 Neo appears to be just that....a myth. Recent history in the HA and AA deals suggests aggressive production cost control by Boeing has paid o...

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by ElroyJetson
Tue May 08, 2018 4:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA to Initially Base 787-10 at EWR
Replies: 51
Views: 9039

Re: UA to Initially Base 787-10 at EWR

Will the -10's be getting the new Polaris seats or the PMCO BizFirst product? According to flightglobal the UA 78J's will be getting the new Polaris seats. Key Quote: "FlightGlobal has already reported that United’s 787-10s will be configured with 318 seats, including 41 lie-flat seats in “Pol...

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by ElroyJetson
Tue May 08, 2018 3:28 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA to Initially Base 787-10 at EWR
Replies: 51
Views: 9039

Re: UA to Initially Base 787-10 at EWR

Hub to Hub comes to mind.....i.e. EWR-FRA or EWR-MUC for starters. And I agree with the poster above, the 78J should be outstanding on TATL routes for UA.

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by ElroyJetson
Tue May 08, 2018 12:16 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA to Initially Base 787-10 at EWR
Replies: 51
Views: 9039

Re: UA to Initially Base 787-10 at EWR

Yes posted and discussed about 2 weeks ago. It was a rumor though. Likely routes I see at the start would be EWR-FRA and EWR-TLV (PM EWR arrival). It wasn't a rumor. It was from the internal employee site that had a NDA at the bottom of the article so it was removed. The good news is that now the s...

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by ElroyJetson
Mon May 07, 2018 11:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA to Initially Base 787-10 at EWR
Replies: 51
Views: 9039

Re: UA to Initially Base 787-10 at EWR

janders wrote:
Yes posted and discussed about 2 weeks ago.



If you click on the link the story came out today.

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by ElroyJetson
Mon May 07, 2018 11:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA to Initially Base 787-10 at EWR
Replies: 51
Views: 9039

UA to Initially Base 787-10 at EWR

Per USA Today UA will open their first 78J base at Newark. Key Quote: "United is considering a Boeing 787 pilot base at Newark (airport code EWR), “potentially to serve the 787-10s that begin arriving later this year.” United has already begun discussions with the Air Line Pilots Association th...

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by ElroyJetson
Thu Apr 26, 2018 5:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing crushes earnings estimates, raises 2018 forecast
Replies: 99
Views: 10299

Re: Boeing crushes earnings estimates, raises 2018 forecast

But....but...but.....Boeing sold 787's to HA and AA at a loss...remember? :) The only way Boeing could have gotten the best of Airbus in those deals was to give the frames away. You know.....sell at a loss. Didn't we hear that from a number of A netters? Hmm.....wonder what happened? We will only g...

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by ElroyJetson
Wed Apr 25, 2018 3:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing crushes earnings estimates, raises 2018 forecast
Replies: 99
Views: 10299

Re: Boeing crushes earnings estimates, raises 2018 forecast

But....but...but.....Boeing sold 787's to HA and AA at a loss...remember? :) The only way Boeing could have gotten the best of Airbus in those deals was to give the frames away. You know.....sell at a loss.

Didn't we hear that from a number of A netters?


Hmm.....wonder what happened?

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by ElroyJetson
Mon Apr 23, 2018 3:18 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leeham: Boeing to implement structural design change in 787-8 for production commonality
Replies: 34
Views: 8114

Re: Leeham: Boeing to implement structural design change in 787-8 for production commonality

This is simply about reducing the cost to build a 788. In that sense it is a very smart move by Boeing.

There are rumors Boeing is also doing this as a precursor to moving the entire 787 line to Charleston to free up space for the 797 production line in Seattle.

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by ElroyJetson
Sat Apr 21, 2018 4:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: First NW 747-400 flight
Replies: 34
Views: 5407

Re: First NW 747-400 flight

I remember seeing 744's at DTW in the very early 90's in the F concourse. Sometimes two or three at a time. As I recall they had flights to NRT and KIX back then as well as to Soeul.

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by ElroyJetson
Sat Apr 14, 2018 4:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Since when does the A330neo have better performance than the 787?
Replies: 67
Views: 11015

Re: Since when does the A330neo have better performance than the 787?

I have not seen the claims that you state. This is what I know, The 789 has a 1%-2% fuel burn advantage over the A339 on missions around 3000nm. On missions beyond 4000nm the 789 has a 4-5% fuel burn advantage. The claims that the capital acquisition costs of the A330 Neo are lower than the 789 is n...

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by ElroyJetson
Mon Apr 09, 2018 2:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is Boeing outfoxing Airbus?
Replies: 114
Views: 20223

Re: Is Boeing outfoxing Airbus?

Sorry, I don't buy it.

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by ElroyJetson
Sat Apr 07, 2018 4:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines orders 47 additional 787's (22 788's and 25 789's), cancels A350 order
Replies: 565
Views: 74351

Re: American Airlines orders 47 additional 787's (22 788's and 25 789's), cancels A350 order

Great win again for the 787 Program and for AA. The A330 Neo is in real trouble unless Airbus can get its production costs down in a big way. Again, the entire rationale for the A330 Neo was a cheaper alternative to the 787 with economics that were close enough to make it competitive. The fuel burn...

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by ElroyJetson
Sat Apr 07, 2018 4:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines orders 47 additional 787's (22 788's and 25 789's), cancels A350 order
Replies: 565
Views: 74351

Re: American Airlines orders 47 additional 787's (22 788's and 25 789's), cancels A350 order

Great win again for the 787 Program and for AA. The A330 Neo is in real trouble unless Airbus can get its production costs down in a big way. Again, the entire rationale for the A330 Neo was a cheaper alternative to the 787 with economics that were close enough to make it competitive. The fuel burn...

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by ElroyJetson
Sat Apr 07, 2018 4:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines orders 47 additional 787's (22 788's and 25 789's), cancels A350 order
Replies: 565
Views: 74351

Re: American Airlines orders 47 additional 787's (22 788's and 25 789's), cancels A350 order

Great win again for the 787 Program and for AA. The A330 Neo is in real trouble unless Airbus can get its production costs down in a big way. Again, the entire rationale for the A330 Neo was a cheaper alternative to the 787 with economics that were close enough to make it competitive. The fuel burn ...

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by ElroyJetson
Tue Apr 03, 2018 2:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will DL order the A321LR?
Replies: 47
Views: 8264

Re: Will DL order the A321LR?

When I said a real MoM I meant a 757/767 replacement. The A321 LR serves as a fine 757 replacement on shorter and thinner TATL routes, but I do not think anyone can credibly call it a true 767 replacement. I think DL, UA, AA and many other airlines want a MoM plane that can serve to replace both the...

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by ElroyJetson
Tue Apr 03, 2018 5:35 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will DL order the A321LR?
Replies: 47
Views: 8264

Re: Will DL order the A321LR?

DL has publicly said they are very interested in the 797. I take them at their word. If Boeing does not come up with a suitable alternative for the 757 in time... Sure why not?

But the A321 would be a stop gap until a real MOM plane comes out, either by Boeing or Airbus.

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by ElroyJetson
Sun Apr 01, 2018 6:09 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A321LR Seychelles to Toulouse Non-Stop 11 hours
Replies: 188
Views: 30544

Re: Airbus A321LR Seychelles to Toulouse Non-Stop 11 hours

The real world TATL westbound range is probably 3200nm. Basically the same as a 757. LH was pretty damn clear the A321 LR was marginally transatlantic. I do not think anything in flight testing will change that assessment.

But for those 757 TATL flights the A321 LR should be a fine replacement.

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by ElroyJetson
Sat Mar 31, 2018 7:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Impact to DCA and IAD based on Amazon HQ2 rumor
Replies: 31
Views: 3857

Re: Impact to DCA and IAD based on Amazon HQ2 rumor

For what it's s worth I think Amazon locates its HQ2 headquarters to NOVA. The area is booming, there is highly educated population, and there is excellent infrastructure. All I seem to hear from North VA residents is that the traffic is atrocious. I lived in Minneapolis for six years. The traffic ...

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by ElroyJetson
Sat Mar 31, 2018 3:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Impact to DCA and IAD based on Amazon HQ2 rumor
Replies: 31
Views: 3857

Re: Impact to DCA and IAD based on Amazon HQ2 rumor

For what it's s worth I think Amazon locates its HQ2 headquarters to NOVA. The area is booming, there is highly educated population, and there is excellent infrastructure. But the main reason is location to the political center of power in DC. Amazon has potential antitrust concerns and they have re...

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by ElroyJetson
Fri Mar 30, 2018 9:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: BOC Aviation orders six Boeing 787-9s
Replies: 8
Views: 1548

Re: BOC Aviation orders six Boeing 787-9s

I admit I am a fan but I think the 787 is the best plane in the air right now. Fantastic and highly versatile frame. The flood of orders in what is a down wide body market right now tells me airlines are fully understanding the 787 and what it can do, and as a result, ordering it in big numbers. I r...

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by ElroyJetson
Tue Mar 27, 2018 5:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing more aggressive under new CEO?
Replies: 69
Views: 8785

Re: Boeing more aggressive under new CEO?

I agree with all the posters who cite AirAsia X and the A330 Neo. That is the key linchpin order for the A330 Neo Program. If Boeing could somehow steal that one away it could possibly be a death blow (i.e. major lessors start to bail as well and bu-bye). I am not saying that is going to happen. Air...

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by ElroyJetson
Mon Mar 26, 2018 11:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing formally delivers the first 787-10 to Singapore Airlines
Replies: 113
Views: 22170

Re: Boeing formally delivers the first 787-10 to Singapore Airlines

Absolutely beautiful bird. I think the 78J is my new favorite plane. :)

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by ElroyJetson
Mon Mar 26, 2018 11:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future U.S. Expansion Possibilities For Aer Lingus
Replies: 129
Views: 15113

Re: Future U.S. Expansion Possibilities For Aer Lingus

DFW, MSP, and DTW would be my main guesses.

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by ElroyJetson
Mon Mar 26, 2018 1:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta 787 in the future?
Replies: 47
Views: 7265

Re: Delta 787 in the future?

Why would DL order the 787 at some point in the future? DL has a large and diverse fleet. History suggests they will go with any good frame if the price is right. I think the A359 is ideal for their Pacific route network. I do not think the A330 Neo is the best choice for TATL. I think the 789 is m...

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by ElroyJetson
Sun Mar 25, 2018 11:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Bloomberg: Airbus A330 Neo Dropped From American Airlines Wide-Body Contest
Replies: 235
Views: 30452

Re: Bloomberg: Airbus A330 Neo Dropped From American Airlines Wide-Body Contest

Funny that whenever the 787 program scores a major win the Airbus fan boyz either trot out the accounting block or seat width story for about the 8th zillionth time. It might be amusing if it were not so utterly tiresome. Look, AA made what they felt was the best business decision for their airline...

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