Search found 276 matches

by tphuang
Fri Aug 18, 2017 1:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Adds ATL-FLL/JFK/MCO
Replies: 79
Views: 5446

Re: JetBlue Adds ATL-FLL/JFK/MCO

And your right, with B6 having no O&D demand and a zero base at ATL, it would be foolish. But I guess you couldn't tell I was being sarcastic. Can you give us some data on how B6 is kicking DL's ass with MINT in JFK and BOS? What metrics are you basing this on? Very curious to hear your answers...

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by tphuang
Thu Aug 17, 2017 10:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Detroit Air Service Discussion Part 5
Replies: 1046
Views: 71390

Re: Detroit Air Service Discussion Part 5

Atlanta is twice the size of detroit and more people fly from atlanta to mco Jetblue isnt dumb they know what their doing and that doesnt include flying Dtw-mco get over it. Yes but the seats in each market don't match the population while the O/D may be more from ATL-MCO it doesn't justify the amo...

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by tphuang
Thu Aug 17, 2017 6:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Adds ATL-FLL/JFK/MCO
Replies: 79
Views: 5446

Re: JetBlue Adds ATL-FLL/JFK/MCO

In bwi, b6 service to Mco and fll are dominated by southwest in schedule. In clt, they are dominated by aa. In phl, fll is dominated by aa service to Mia. In rdu, it gets dominated to JFK and fll also. Yet, it seems to do fine enough in all these routes. At least not so bad that it runs and hide. It...

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by tphuang
Thu Aug 17, 2017 2:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Adds ATL-FLL/JFK/MCO
Replies: 79
Views: 5446

Re: JetBlue Adds ATL-FLL/JFK/MCO

I don't think anyone is saying b6 will get close to delta fares at atl. But it's reasonable to assume they can get fares higher than spirit and frontier in these markets. Especially at JFK where it has loyal followings. These won't be hugely profitable routes but they need token presence if they wan...

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by tphuang
Thu Aug 17, 2017 12:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Adds ATL-FLL/JFK/MCO
Replies: 79
Views: 5446

Re: JetBlue Adds ATL-FLL/JFK/MCO

Looking at what they are getting on bos to atl vs what Frontier and spirit are charging on lga, fll or Mco to atl, they will probably be okay with this kind of entrance.

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by tphuang
Thu Aug 17, 2017 11:31 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Drops 77W on MIA-LAX
Replies: 121
Views: 14674

Re: AA Drops 77W on MIA-LAX

nothing to do with "prestige" and everything to do with Premium. in general, JFK-SFO just attract a higher than normal percentage of high fare, paid traffic (like $1800-$3000 roundtrip fares in business/ first on jfk-sfo, similar pricing onJFKLAX.. and these are the non refundable "d...

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by tphuang
Thu Aug 17, 2017 2:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Starting PHL-BUD/PRG; ORD-VCE; Move JFK-ZRH to PHL
Replies: 168
Views: 15747

Re: AA starting service PHL-BUD/PRG move JFK-ZRH to PHL

Even domestically, routes like JFK-SAN/SEA are in trouble now that competitors are all stepping up and AA has the worst product on the market. Interesting comment, given that AA apparently plans to improve its offering in transcon markets like JFK-SAN and JFK-SEA next year. That would be great if i...

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by tphuang
Thu Aug 17, 2017 12:02 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Starting PHL-BUD/PRG; ORD-VCE; Move JFK-ZRH to PHL
Replies: 168
Views: 15747

Re: AA starting service PHL-BUD/PRG move JFK-ZRH to PHL

If this is true, to be confirmed publicly, AA is headed for the dust bin at JFK. Sad day. But as we saw with TW and UA, once you start cutting at JFK, you become more irrelevant and it becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy. DEN will stay one season. AA has a long history of non hub, within perimeter, ...

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by tphuang
Wed Aug 16, 2017 11:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LGB doubles fines on JetBlue's late-night flight violations
Replies: 121
Views: 13230

Re: LGB doubles fines on JetBlue's late-night flight violations

Right now B6 is the dominant carrier at LGB and if they go anywhere else on the west coast then they are a very small fish in the pond. At LGB they can keep WN/DL/UA/AA/AS to a minimal presence. If only they could make money doing it! Going to ONT or BUR is just asking for WN to obliterate them. Yo...

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by tphuang
Wed Aug 16, 2017 10:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LGB doubles fines on JetBlue's late-night flight violations
Replies: 121
Views: 13230

Re: LGB doubles fines on JetBlue's late-night flight violations

This probably has been argued to death by this point. What are their options: 1) stay at LGB with their current operation and loose a lot of money and get fined. 2) Cut down on their operation at LGB and move the planes back to East Coast which might help with their on time issues. 3) Drastically cu...

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by tphuang
Wed Aug 16, 2017 9:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Drops 77W on MIA-LAX
Replies: 121
Views: 14674

Re: AA Drops 77W on MIA-LAX

1) Dont really feel the need to talk about Boston in this as it's not really relevant. No scope here please. that said, when you look at DOT data, MIA-LAX AA gets a fare that's on average almost $100 higher than what B6 gets on LAX-FLL, and JetBlue gets a fare that's around $50-$60 higher on averag...

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by tphuang
Wed Aug 16, 2017 6:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Drops 77W on MIA-LAX
Replies: 121
Views: 14674

Re: AA Drops 77W on MIA-LAX

Those premium/ corporate customers will stay on AA regardless for a few reasons 1) they probably have a corporate account with AA, and AA will nail them for non-compliance; 2) If these people are so important and premium, they're not going to fly to FLL and drive, their time is more valuable and 3)...

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by tphuang
Wed Aug 16, 2017 5:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Drops 77W on MIA-LAX
Replies: 121
Views: 14674

Re: AA Drops 77W on MIA-LAX

I also think that Mia lax is a special market at least for aa. Just looking at their pricing on this route with a very below average first class product and how hard it is to get an upgrade, it's a more premium route for aa than other transcon routes like dca lax, bos lax, JFK san and JFK sea. It ha...

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by tphuang
Wed Aug 16, 2017 2:35 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Drops 77W on MIA-LAX
Replies: 121
Views: 14674

Re: AA Drops 77W on MIA-LAX

Just looking at FT, it's actually pretty interesting how many people have already made the move to mint in spite of B6's lack luster FF program, limited schedule vs AA and FLL location. If B6 starts adding to that limited schedule, things could get interesting here.

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by tphuang
Wed Aug 16, 2017 2:31 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LGB doubles fines on JetBlue's late-night flight violations
Replies: 121
Views: 13230

Re: LGB doubles fines on JetBlue's late-night flight violations

For what it's worth, cranky flier has an article on this http://crankyflier.com/2017/08/15/long-beach-looks-to-jack-up-fines-take-away-slots-from-late-night-offenders-thats-you-jetblue/ I guess that makes WN happy to compete with other carriers! The difference is that WN's service is more useful for...

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by tphuang
Tue Aug 15, 2017 5:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LGB doubles fines on JetBlue's late-night flight violations
Replies: 121
Views: 13230

Re: LGB doubles fines on JetBlue's late-night flight violations

And yes, aa is Leaving. There was a thread about wn getting its slots which you obviously missed. AA has not made any such announcement. AA returned 2 slots back in March. They continue to utilize their remaining slot allocation. My bad on that one. Make that 4 airlines serving lgb and no new one l...

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by tphuang
Tue Aug 15, 2017 5:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LGB doubles fines on JetBlue's late-night flight violations
Replies: 121
Views: 13230

Re: LGB doubles fines on JetBlue's late-night flight violations

Newark and JFK aren't the same thing. And southwest definitely are not getting you anywhere close to New York. And as for delta serving atl, yes that makes that flight special because no other airlines flies there out of secondary la airport. You continue to ignore that wn offers absolutely no desti...

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by tphuang
Tue Aug 15, 2017 12:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LGB doubles fines on JetBlue's late-night flight violations
Replies: 121
Views: 13230

Re: LGB doubles fines on JetBlue's late-night flight violations

LGB - served by DL, WN, B6 now that AA is leaving AA is leaving LGB? So let's look at the facts. LGB - ...and no other airline even contested for slots that AA was vacating or the 9 slots that became available last year Correct me if I'm wrong but we don't actually know this for sure. WN could have...

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by tphuang
Tue Aug 15, 2017 1:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LGB doubles fines on JetBlue's late-night flight violations
Replies: 121
Views: 13230

Re: LGB doubles fines on JetBlue's late-night flight violations

Except that B6 isn't really doing airports a favor by serving JFK or BOS. Those two airports are the airline's largest hubs/focus operations so one would expect most domestic markets to be connected to one or both where operationally feasible. WN also "provides certain destinations that no oth...

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by tphuang
Mon Aug 14, 2017 7:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LGB doubles fines on JetBlue's late-night flight violations
Replies: 121
Views: 13230

Re: LGB doubles fines on JetBlue's late-night flight violations

I love how you conveniently leave out JFK in every discussion every time I mention this. The point is that b6 provides certain destinations that no other airlines provide out of secondary airports in la basin. And these are to very large o&d markets out of la. They also fly to places out of lgb ...

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by tphuang
Sun Aug 13, 2017 10:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LGB doubles fines on JetBlue's late-night flight violations
Replies: 121
Views: 13230

Re: LGB doubles fines on JetBlue's late-night flight violations

Who ever claimed "the more exotic destinations" were added due to JetBlue's desire to squat on its slots? The point was that WN runs 34 departures from ONT daily; B6 was well below that from LGB a couple of years ago with a comparable number of destinations. And I would argue that DAL &am...

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by tphuang
Sat Aug 12, 2017 1:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian Schedules new LGW-JFK-LGW and challenges Europeans to See New York City in 1 day
Replies: 61
Views: 8405

Re: Norwegian Schedules new LGW-JFK-LGW and challenges Europeans to See New York City in 1 day

JFK is not that far from midtown Manhattan. Get mobile pass, complete your landing details while you are getting to the gates. After you get off the plane, it's probably 5 to 10 minutes through the mobile pass line CBP and another 10 minutes for the customs line. If you have global entry, you can ge...

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by tphuang
Sat Aug 12, 2017 2:28 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LGB doubles fines on JetBlue's late-night flight violations
Replies: 121
Views: 13230

Re: LGB doubles fines on JetBlue's late-night flight violations

WN runs 34 daily departures from ONT to nine destinations including DAL & MDW -- a service pattern like that certainly wouldn't be significantly worse than what they have now and it'd be better than what they had a couple of years ago before B6 management decided to start using all their slots ...

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by tphuang
Fri Aug 11, 2017 9:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LGB doubles fines on JetBlue's late-night flight violations
Replies: 121
Views: 13230

Re: LGB doubles fines on JetBlue's late-night flight violations

Jetblue is loosing money selling all these sub 50 tickets to las and Bay Area. And southwest pr senc is driving yield even lower. Those JFK and bos transcon flights are really low yielding too. What is so precious about these lgb flyers that makes b6 so concerned about ticking them off and loosing ...

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by tphuang
Fri Aug 11, 2017 7:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LGB doubles fines on JetBlue's late-night flight violations
Replies: 121
Views: 13230

Re: LGB doubles fines on JetBlue's late-night flight violations

Doesn't matter if B6 has 20 flights within 30 min of the curfew, they are certainly within their rights to schedule and fly those planes. Of course it matters that they schedule five flights within 30 minutes of the curfew, particularly when two of those flights are arrivals from JFK & BOS! B6 ...

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by tphuang
Fri Aug 11, 2017 6:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LGB doubles fines on JetBlue's late-night flight violations
Replies: 121
Views: 13230

Re: LGB doubles fines on JetBlue's late-night flight violations

One would imagine JetBlue would do all it can to earn good reputation and win the hearts and minds of citizens and politicians at LGB since they desire to allow international flights and maybe also gain additional slots one day, but instead, now they bring more negative attention to themselves with...

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by tphuang
Wed Aug 09, 2017 8:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue | Full Service Carrier transition ?
Replies: 91
Views: 11621

Re: JetBlue | Full Service Carrier transition ?

With several great markets, the future expansion has to be east. That would mean, wide-bodies, at some point. Perhaps, A321's might be a better way to test the waters. Certainly, the A321's can go far south from FLL. I think that's the natural evolution at this stage. A321LR's from BOS/JFK to Weste...

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by tphuang
Wed Aug 09, 2017 9:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Possible AA Intl S18 changes
Replies: 88
Views: 15145

Re: Possible AA Intl S18 changes

Even if AA cuts a few Europe destinations, it doesn't really change that much for AA flyers out of NYC. I end up going through LHR for most of my European trips or could go through MAD with IB. And to Asia, CX and JL pretty much connects to everywhere you need to get to out of New York. Outside of n...

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by tphuang
Wed Aug 09, 2017 1:16 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue | Full Service Carrier transition ?
Replies: 91
Views: 11621

Re: JetBlue | Full Service Carrier transition ?

...except that total profits DO matter when you are pitting two competitors against each other.... but even using just profit margin, B6 had just a 0.4% higher margin than DL. And your point about market fragmentation while true also misses the fact that DL flies to longhaul international markets w...

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by tphuang
Tue Aug 08, 2017 1:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue | Full Service Carrier transition ?
Replies: 91
Views: 11621

Re: JetBlue | Full Service Carrier transition ?

DL clearly does not have the best margin based on the recent quarterly report. http://www.airliners.net/forum/viewtopic.php?t=1369695 Alaska $493 Million 23.5% Southwest $1.25 Billion 21.8% Hawaiian $142 Million 21% Jetblue $354 Million 19.2% Delta $2.03 Billion 18.8% Spirit $132 Million 18.8% Unit...

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by tphuang
Tue Aug 08, 2017 12:44 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue | Full Service Carrier transition ?
Replies: 91
Views: 11621

Re: JetBlue | Full Service Carrier transition ?

DL clearly does not have the best margin based on the recent quarterly report. http://www.airliners.net/forum/viewtopic.php?t=1369695 Alaska $493 Million 23.5% Southwest $1.25 Billion 21.8% Hawaiian $142 Million 21% Jetblue $354 Million 19.2% Delta $2.03 Billion 18.8% Spirit $132 Million 18.8% Unite...

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by tphuang
Mon Aug 07, 2017 2:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue | Full Service Carrier transition ?
Replies: 91
Views: 11621

Re: JetBlue | Full Service Carrier transition ?

There is no doubt that B6 and its Mint product were the death knell for VX. VX’ product went out of date very quickly and Mint became the low cost carrier premium cabin standard. AS decided it wasn’t worth trying to compete with B6 and Mint and is offering a premium cabin product that is not compet...

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by tphuang
Sun Aug 06, 2017 8:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue | Full Service Carrier transition ?
Replies: 91
Views: 11621

Re: JetBlue | Full Service Carrier transition ?

Backing to LAX, the issue is that B6 has to compete against the majors, and then against WN and AS. WN is essentially all over CA and thus has hubs (as well as critical mass, as well as stated value in) the state to make a comprehensive statement all over the Western Coast. AS has a hub at SFO, SEA...

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by tphuang
Sun Aug 06, 2017 5:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 8/6/2017: UA Brings Back ORD-PNS; AA Exits MSP-LAX, Expands SLC-PHL
Replies: 58
Views: 10464

Re: OAG Changes 8/6/2017: UA Brings Back ORD-PNS; AA Exits MSP-LAX, Expands SLC-PHL

Good to see Aa is up to 6 a day on bos lax. This comes right after b6 going to 4 a day. A lot of capacity additions. I wonder if anyone else will be cutting service here.

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by tphuang
Sat Aug 05, 2017 10:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue | Full Service Carrier transition ?
Replies: 91
Views: 11621

Re: JetBlue | Full Service Carrier transition ?

This is the biggest problem. There is no room at the prestige primary airports like SFO/LAX, and the other decent options like OAK/SEA/etc are all dominated by other carriers. B6 would have a giant uphill battle to become a player in the already fractured west coast market. In my opinion their best...

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by tphuang
Sat Aug 05, 2017 9:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United President Says F9 Expansion Is "Sign of Failure"
Replies: 150
Views: 21210

Re: United President Says F9 Expansion Is "Sign of Failure"

Except Wall Street isn’t a celestial Capt. Killjoy that swats down any prospects that a US airline has of making money by implementing strategies that are not conservative enough. As a publicly traded company, UAL and every other company has to provide enough data to investors so that its performan...

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by tphuang
Sat Aug 05, 2017 4:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue | Full Service Carrier transition ?
Replies: 91
Views: 11621

Re: JetBlue | Full Service Carrier transition ?

When thinking of true LCC's I'm thinking of Spirit, Frontier and Allegiant and maybe Southwest. JetBlue has a far higher service level than those and on average also higher fares. IMHO, B6 has a pretty good service product but it really doesn't get a revenue premium: AS, 2016 RASM, $0.1344 B6, $0.1...

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by tphuang
Sat Aug 05, 2017 2:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United President Says F9 Expansion Is "Sign of Failure"
Replies: 150
Views: 21210

Re: United President Says F9 Expansion Is "Sign of Failure"

In the end of the day, running an airline based on what wall street thinks is a recipe for disaster. Wall Street is very focused on near term whereas Scott Kirby needs to focus further out. We will find out in a couple of years whether or not this is the right move. But just plucking out a couple o...

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by tphuang
Sat Aug 05, 2017 5:04 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United President Says F9 Expansion Is "Sign of Failure"
Replies: 150
Views: 21210

Re: United President Says F9 Expansion Is "Sign of Failure"

In the end of the day, running an airline based on what wall street thinks is a recipe for disaster. Wall Street is very focused on near term whereas Scott Kirby needs to focus further out. We will find out in a couple of years whether or not this is the right move. But just plucking out a couple of...

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by tphuang
Sat Aug 05, 2017 4:31 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What's next for Spirit?
Replies: 69
Views: 7397

Re: What's next for Spirit?

And you wonder why? Scroll up, people are still in the "they charge for everything i hate them wheres my flatbed seat and three course meals for my $20 ticket" mood. America has a lot to catch up. Which is pretty hilarious when you consider that many legacy carriers charge for checked bag...

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by tphuang
Wed Aug 02, 2017 10:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United President Says F9 Expansion Is "Sign of Failure"
Replies: 150
Views: 21210

Re: United President Says F9 Expansion Is "Sign of Failure"

Short term stock price movements can be the result of many things and have no bearing on the financial viability of an airline. If airline executive base their decisions on some Wall Street firm lowering their ratings rather than their own much superior understanding of the business, then they deser...

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by tphuang
Mon Jul 31, 2017 10:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United U.S - China Secondary Growth
Replies: 92
Views: 8529

Re: United U.S - China Secondary Growth

Except that UA thought that they could compete. UA launches Hangzhou SFO and along comes Sichuan and launches a LAX point to point service from Hangzhou. This is subsidised market manipulation. Yet the US3 say nothing. So surprising. The majority of O&D for these secondary cities are heavily ti...

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by tphuang
Mon Jul 31, 2017 2:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 7/30/2017: DL adds MKE-SLC; UA Adds MMH, Drops HGH
Replies: 65
Views: 11335

Re: OAG Changes 7/30/2017: DL adds MKE-SLC; HA Drops OAK-OGG; UA Adds MMH, Drops HGH

Indeed, this may be the right opportunity to finally enter some more of these Midwest markets -- although WN could easily add back flights ahead of B6's entrance. B6 should be able to win the BOS point-of-sale, but I guess the question is who will win the point-of-sale from IND (or CMH/MCI/STL). I ...

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by tphuang
Mon Jul 31, 2017 3:07 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qatar Airways reveals A350-1000 layout
Replies: 39
Views: 13505

Re: Qatar Airways reveals A350-1000 layout

I'm surprised that QR doesn't consider a true premium economy section that would be 8 abreast on the 77Ws and A35Ks/A359s. They might have trouble properly monetizing it. My impression looking at Cathay premium economy is that they have trouble selling it. And they have really great premium economy...

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by tphuang
Sun Jul 30, 2017 3:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United U.S - China Secondary Growth
Replies: 92
Views: 8529

Re: United Drops Hangzhou

Pudong to Hangzhou is about 5 hrs by public transport. They are two distinct markets. More like three hours changing for the Chinese Shinkansen at Hongqiao? They are the same market in the same way that Beijing and Tianjin are the same market. Shanghai folks would not fly out of HGH, but Hangzhou f...

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by tphuang
Fri Jul 28, 2017 5:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas Opportunities for America and beyond
Replies: 69
Views: 10955

Re: Qantas Opportunities for America and beyond

As someone who has flown jet star many times, I hope they don't make it to continental USA.

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by tphuang
Thu Jul 27, 2017 5:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska CEO on Airbus
Replies: 241
Views: 34147

Re: Alaska CEO on Airbus

It's crazy how emotionally invested some people get over an airline operating an airplane. True. With that stated, why is going all Airbus accepted as normal and smart yet going all Boeing is bad or retro? Its so humorous reading the double standard. Airbus has 60% of the narrow body market and gro...

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by tphuang
Wed Jul 26, 2017 2:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will/Should AA Defend its No. 2 Position at Boston?
Replies: 54
Views: 6806

Re: Will/Should AA Defend its No. 2 Position at Boston?

The point of the discussion which the OP launched is whether AA should or will defend its position - and that answer can be far better answered by looking at what they have done and are doing in BOS compared to DL. AA's market share in BOS has shrunk - a couple of percent over a year in the local m...

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by tphuang
Wed Jul 26, 2017 3:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Jetblue 2Q17 $211M Profit
Replies: 21
Views: 4107

Re: JBLU 2Q17 $211M Profit

You raised some very interesting points. I have watched the fares and loads for a few months now and see broadly the same patterns when it comes to pricing. JFK-LAX has taken multiple price increases on the bottom and top end - it's very difficult to find fares below $900 o/w, and fares top out at ...

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by tphuang
Wed Jul 26, 2017 12:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will/Should AA Defend its No. 2 Position at Boston?
Replies: 54
Views: 6806

Re: Will/Should AA Defend its No. 2 Position at Boston?

I don't think they will do anything different than what they have been doing. But if delta tries to get in on a route they are strong in, they will defend it.

The bigger question for me is if they are going to defend their position in New York market.

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