Search found 1216 matches

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by tphuang
Tue May 22, 2018 9:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: WN's Upcoming Winter Schedule Release on 5/31
Replies: 74
Views: 5068

Re: WN's Upcoming Winter Schedule Release on 5/31

I could also see WN doing DCA-BDL(2) DCA-MHT (2). It's seems like the PVD-DCA experiment is getting better business yields than PVD-BWI. But I wouldn't be surprised to see 4 DCA-BOS either. It's definitely a head scratcher wondering if they will play it safe add Midwest and FL or double down droppi...

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by tphuang
Tue May 22, 2018 8:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Indianapolis Aviation Thread - 2018
Replies: 850
Views: 52562

Re: Indianapolis Aviation Thread - 2018

Could they be keeping BOS in order to keep B6 out? No, b6 will enter ind when it’s ready. Hopefully soon. There are several routes out of Boston with b6, wn and dl. B6 does well in all of them except for atl, but then again everyone is loosing money on that route. Those routes you refer to have muc...

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by tphuang
Tue May 22, 2018 7:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: WN's Upcoming Winter Schedule Release on 5/31
Replies: 74
Views: 5068

Re: WN's Upcoming Winter Schedule Release on 5/31

My predictions and Guesses for November/December Schedule. PAE 3 OAK, 2 DEN LGB (depending on slots going with the minimum of 4) 1 MDW,2 LAS, 1 DEN or 2 SJC, 1 LAS, 1 DEN. DCA 1 RSW, 1 PBI, 2 ISP or 2 MHT LGA 2 CMH, 2 FLL ,2 MCO 1 MCI , 1 OMA EWR-BWI returning 3 flights. Flyguy Seem like pretty rea...

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by tphuang
Tue May 22, 2018 7:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Indianapolis Aviation Thread - 2018
Replies: 850
Views: 52562

Re: Indianapolis Aviation Thread - 2018

I think they'd be far better off restarting IND-DCA and cutting IND-BOS. As you say, that could make it much easier for B6 to come in and put some competition back on the table to DCA. I've struggled to understand WN's schedules on some business markets. I like that they've tried LGA, BOS, and DCA ...

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by tphuang
Tue May 22, 2018 12:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AC Makes A Pass On Their B787 Options
Replies: 69
Views: 10722

Re: AC Makes A Pass On Their B787 Options

Surely politics are playing their role too. After the whole BBD saga, Canada is very pissed at Boeing. AC probably got a good deal on the MAX. Airbus was ahead after launching the NEO earlier and Boeing needed sales to catch up. If I were AC's CEO back then I would have bought 100 x CS300 in exchan...

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by tphuang
Tue May 22, 2018 2:05 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: WN's Upcoming Winter Schedule Release on 5/31
Replies: 74
Views: 5068

Re: WN's Upcoming Winter Schedule Release on 5/31

I'm guessing we'll here what they're doing with the extra LGA and DCA slots they're getting from AS. WN had said last year that it wanted to add CMH-LGA nonstop service it if could acquire extra slots at LGA, and WN will likely be announcing CMH-LGA nonstop service next week. I don't see the allure...

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by tphuang
Tue May 22, 2018 12:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boston aviation - 2018
Replies: 849
Views: 68730

Re: Boston aviation - 2018

Did anyone see this today? I'm surprised they chose to do this event in BOS vs a larger hub. https://onemileatatime.boardingarea.com/2018/05/21/delta-middle-seat-lounge/ I am sure others will get there turn. BOS is not small potatoes to DL and let's remember they are trying to grow and grab market ...

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by tphuang
Tue May 22, 2018 12:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA's position in NYC
Replies: 106
Views: 11825

Re: AA's position in NYC

MIA is not lower yielding than FLL an airport with 4 ULCCs/LCCs and PHL does not spit traffic with EWR. 99.9% of the local PHL market uses PHL. Where does this stuff come from??? Ill bet PHL is the 3rd most profitable hub in the AA system. There are a lot of people in pa and nj who fly out of both ...

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by tphuang
Mon May 21, 2018 10:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA's position in NYC
Replies: 106
Views: 11825

Re: AA's position in NYC

But those too corporates have deals with all 3 major Us carriers and their JBs. DLs position will be fine in NYC but in return the others will get a good share elsewhere from most of the biggest corporates with high volume. Once you’re a certain size you generally have to be in bed with at least 2 ...

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by tphuang
Mon May 21, 2018 9:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA's position in NYC
Replies: 106
Views: 11825

Re: AA's position in NYC

What leads the community to believe that AA is envious of DL's NYC operation? The analyst community estimates DL's NYC profit margin to be in the low single digits -- well below UA & AA, a fact both have touted within the last year or so. DL's LGA operation was largely built with assets US gave...

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by tphuang
Mon May 21, 2018 8:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Horizon Air cutting six underperforming routes
Replies: 53
Views: 6652

Re: Horizon Air cutting six underperforming routes

AAG's fall schedule will be interesting to see. Domestic carriers had the largest average fare drop in April in recent times and carriers all had lower LFs (AAG had the largest drop again). Would not be surprised to see more cuts.

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by tphuang
Mon May 21, 2018 6:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Network Thread 2018
Replies: 136
Views: 13199

Re: JetBlue Network Thread 2018

There were definite talks of JetBlue adding service to Tallahassee a while back but it never worked out. I see no reason why is can’t happen down the road. Of course, they are probably going to add places like ind stl and cvg first.

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by tphuang
Mon May 21, 2018 5:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA's position in NYC
Replies: 106
Views: 11825

Re: AA's position in NYC

I think AA's best bet is what they are doing now. Anything else that would be better they'd be doing if they could. BA is doing a great job at JFK so not that much need to do more transatlantically than that. Domestically LGA and the JFK transcon routes are just fine as they are. I'm not sure what ...

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by tphuang
Mon May 21, 2018 12:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA's position in NYC
Replies: 106
Views: 11825

Re: AA's position in NYC

No, AA technically cannot draw down PHL and add 100 more daily flights to JFK because they have the gates but do not have the slots. The only way would be a lifting of slot restrictions, a slot swap with someone else, or a merger with B6. Actually meant the opposite, that if "somehow" AA ...

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by tphuang
Mon May 21, 2018 12:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 5/20/2018:AS Drops 5 Routes;DL Adds JFKSNA;UA Adds ORDPNS, Drops ORDYQB
Replies: 51
Views: 9750

Re: OAG Changes 5/20/2018:AS Drops 5 Routes;DL Adds JFKSNA;UA Adds ORDPNS, Drops ORDYQB

Thanks as usual enilria AA DFW-SJU OCT 1.9>1.0 NOV 2.0>1.0 DEC 2>1.4 AA MIA-SJU OCT 6>5 NOV 7>5 DEC 7>6 AA ORD-SJU OCT 0.9>0.5 AA PHL-SJU OCT 1.9>1.0 NOV 2.0>1.1 DEC 3>1.9 a lot of cuts to SJU. I guess adding back capacity is not going too great AA JFK-ANU NOV 0.7>0.1 DEC 0.8>0.5 AA JFK-BDA OCT 1.8...

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by tphuang
Mon May 21, 2018 10:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: WN's Upcoming Winter Schedule Release on 5/31
Replies: 74
Views: 5068

Re: WN's Upcoming Winter Schedule Release on 5/31

I really hope to see the HI stuff! waited a long time to see what they plan to do, even though I'm not flying on them. The AvGeek in me can't wait.

I'd say SAN/OAK-HNL/OGG to SJC/SMF-HNL to start off.

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by tphuang
Mon May 21, 2018 2:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Network Thread 2018
Replies: 136
Views: 13199

Re: JetBlue Network Thread 2018

At some point, they would have to add both IND and CVG out of BOS, because DL is milking those routes. At this point, they might not enter either this year if they are adding GEO and PTY. If the "Intra-Florida" service that's lacking doesn't get RSW/PGD/SRQ to FLL added, I'd happily take u...

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by tphuang
Sun May 20, 2018 8:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Network Thread 2018
Replies: 136
Views: 13199

Re: JetBlue Network Thread 2018

I think so. There is open skies between US and Canada. Historically, AC had always dominated transborder flights, because Canada side dominate the point of sale. And when adding in all the fees/taxes, it's been hard for LCCs to undercut legacy carriers. But given that JetBlue does win point of sale ...

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by tphuang
Sun May 20, 2018 6:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 5/20/2018:AS Drops 5 Routes;DL Adds JFKSNA;UA Adds ORDPNS, Drops ORDYQB
Replies: 51
Views: 9750

Re: OAG Changes 5/20/2018:AS Drops 5 Routes;DL Adds JFKSNA;UA Adds ORDPNS, Drops ORDYQB

Thanks as usual enilria AA DFW-SJU OCT 1.9>1.0 NOV 2.0>1.0 DEC 2>1.4 AA MIA-SJU OCT 6>5 NOV 7>5 DEC 7>6 AA ORD-SJU OCT 0.9>0.5 AA PHL-SJU OCT 1.9>1.0 NOV 2.0>1.1 DEC 3>1.9 a lot of cuts to SJU. I guess adding back capacity is not going too great AA JFK-ANU NOV 0.7>0.1 DEC 0.8>0.5 AA JFK-BDA OCT 1.8>...

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by tphuang
Sun May 20, 2018 5:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Naples, Italy (+46,1% PAX Q1) booming. Could the US3 / ME3 fly there?
Replies: 35
Views: 4288

Re: Naples, Italy (+46,1% PAX Q1) booming. Could the US3 / ME3 fly there?

outside of peak summer season, it seems unlikely to support daily service. Would love to see service from JFK in summer time though. There surely is a lot of leisure demand to go to Amalfi coast and Naples area.

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by tphuang
Sun May 20, 2018 5:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue to Anchor new MCO Terminal
Replies: 41
Views: 7184

Re: JetBlue to Anchor new MCO Terminal

I love how YYZ and YUL are must haves for B6 yet MCO-DTW is impossible. If they are getting to 100+ flights, I'm sure DTW will be among the routes they add. But in order to get there, they should also look into the top international destinations out of MCO. Not quite sure YYZ or YUL is a top intern...

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by tphuang
Sun May 20, 2018 12:28 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Network Thread 2018
Replies: 136
Views: 13199

Re: JetBlue Network Thread 2018

Don't they also fly three daily between BOS and ORD where some of the flights are on the Embraer? That seems like too little capacity to me. The limiting factor for ORD is gate space, they only have 1 gate assigned, although they borrow from NK if needed for IRROPS purposes. I think from memory the...

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by tphuang
Sat May 19, 2018 9:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Oregon Aviation Thread - 2018
Replies: 487
Views: 40298

Re: Oregon Aviation Thread - 2018

Looking at departures for Friday, AS is over 120 and WN is at 44. Now a lot of AS is regional, but still a long way for WN to go before they can really hurt AS. It's also possible DL will make a play at PDX to annoy AS. But I think AS has rightfully determined PDX is safe for a while.

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by tphuang
Sat May 19, 2018 9:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Network Thread 2018
Replies: 136
Views: 13199

Re: JetBlue Network Thread 2018

I see that B6 has quite a few aircraft on order, anyone knows when they are due for delivery? How many are they getting this year? you can see in their annual report http://blueir.investproductions.com/~/media/Files/J/Jetblue-IR-V2/Annual-Reports/jetblue-2017-annual-report.pdf They got 14 in 2016, ...

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by tphuang
Sat May 19, 2018 7:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Network Thread 2018
Replies: 136
Views: 13199

Re: JetBlue Network Thread 2018

Currently, B6 is running about low 60s to high 60s in the average number of daily flights out of MCO. With their growth plan of 100+ flights, they would need to add about 35 flights. Thus far, the vast majority of their flight to MCO are from NorthEast. If they can get to 100+ flights, then they hav...

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by tphuang
Sat May 19, 2018 3:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue to Anchor new MCO Terminal
Replies: 41
Views: 7184

Re: JetBlue to Anchor new MCO Terminal

flymco753 wrote:
I love how YYZ and YUL are must haves for B6 yet MCO-DTW is impossible.

If they are getting to 100+ flights, I'm sure DTW will be among the routes they add. But in order to get there, they should also look into the top international destinations out of MCO.

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by tphuang
Sat May 19, 2018 2:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Horizon Air cutting six underperforming routes
Replies: 53
Views: 6652

Re: Horizon Air cutting six underperforming routes

Airlines don't leave routes that print $. Surprised MMH-SAN is not doing well. Lots of ski maniacs in SAN looking for the next powder fix. They didn’t say it was poorly performing. They said it was an aircraft availability issue. I’m guessing as they are pulling down the Q’s, they need to reduce li...

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by tphuang
Sat May 19, 2018 2:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA's position in NYC
Replies: 106
Views: 11825

Re: AA's position in NYC

It doesn't really matter who exactly is larger when including EWR, since a good portion of EWR passengers come from further out in NJ and in PA that simply are not new yorkers. In NYC, it's pretty easy to argue DL is largest right now. And for this particular subject, UA's presence in EWR really has...

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by tphuang
Sat May 19, 2018 11:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What's going on at RDU - 2018
Replies: 219
Views: 17465

Re: What's going on at RDU - 2018

Midwestindy wrote:
ADrum23 wrote:

Wow, that's a lot of gates for only 70 or so flights a day. I thought they only had 8 or something.



Not really, DL has 11 gates at IND for 40 flights

that would indicate they have even more gates than needed at IND. DL should be able to do 8 turn a day per gate on narrowbody flights.

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by tphuang
Sat May 19, 2018 12:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Network Thread 2018
Replies: 136
Views: 13199

Re: JetBlue Network Thread 2018

Yes, BOS-ORD capacity is lower than it should be. They've added 2 flights for most of the year. Much needed if you ask me. And I'm hoping to see some efforts to retaliate against DL entrance into BOS-PHL and also beefing up some other markets. Couple of interesting points this week. Looks like from ...

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by tphuang
Sat May 19, 2018 12:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA's position in NYC
Replies: 106
Views: 11825

Re: AA's position in NYC

B6 has a lower cost structure thus not commanding the same level of yield that the big 3 do. They're not going to sell, they're doing very well on their own. Today, perhaps. But they have aging fleet of 320s, and they need to find solution for the 190. Add in the new labor agreements that will have...

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by tphuang
Fri May 18, 2018 7:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue to Anchor new MCO Terminal
Replies: 41
Views: 7184

Re: JetBlue to Anchor new MCO Terminal

Most like not Canada, more likely Caribbean, Central America, Mexico and Northern South America. Lima, Aruba, Providenciales, Punta Cana, Guatemala City, Panama City etc.. Also perhaps finally connecting MCO with FLL. If B6 does in fact add the A321LR to its fleet, I believe EZE is barely doable fr...

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by tphuang
Fri May 18, 2018 6:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Upstate New York Thread - 2018
Replies: 291
Views: 18362

Re: Upstate New York Thread - 2018

Nice to see some work at Ithaca, located on the south shore of Cayuga Lake. The airport actually sits high enough to have a view of the lake in the distance. The entire Finger Lakes area is rich with Aviation History with the Curtis Museum being located in HammondsPort on the nearby south shore of ...

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by tphuang
Fri May 18, 2018 4:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA's position in NYC
Replies: 106
Views: 11825

Re: AA's position in NYC

Aa doesn’t need to close down phl. It needs to be more competitive in nyc so dl doesn’t get more profitable there and then can take even more shots at weakening aa elsewhere like rdu, lax.

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by tphuang
Fri May 18, 2018 3:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Major JetBlue announcement Thursday?
Replies: 51
Views: 12082

Re: Major JetBlue announcement Thursday?

All I know is that I saw this posted on jetblue's sec filings, which states the shareholder meeting was yesterday. http://otp.investis.com/clients/us/jetblue_airways/SEC/sec-show.aspx?FilingId=12670059&Cik=0001158463&Type=PDF&hasPdf=1 and https://east.virtualshareholdermeeting.com/vsm/we...

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by tphuang
Fri May 18, 2018 1:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA's position in NYC
Replies: 106
Views: 11825

Re: AA's position in NYC

If co-location with BA on the NYLON is that important to him, the short term move would seem to be to move the 3 AA rotations from T8 to T7, and from T3 to T5. Its only one route, but a key route per the article!! (DL/VS did this for a time when DL split between T4 and T3 at LHR) And could easily b...

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by tphuang
Fri May 18, 2018 11:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA's position in NYC
Replies: 106
Views: 11825

Re: AA's position in NYC

Exactly. B6 isn't big enough to survive alone. The only other dance partner left is AS. That gives them a route network like the combined HP/US. Eventually B6 will put themselves up for sale, just like VX did. Why do you need to be big to survive? If B6 and AS is printing money, why do they need to...

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by tphuang
Fri May 18, 2018 12:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA's position in NYC
Replies: 106
Views: 11825

Re: AA's position in NYC

AA's hub will be even more impressive once the takeover of B6 is complete. Exactly. B6 isn't big enough to survive alone. The only other dance partner left is AS. That gives them a route network like the combined HP/US. Eventually B6 will put themselves up for sale, just like VX did. Why do you nee...

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by tphuang
Thu May 17, 2018 7:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Austin Texas Thread - 2018
Replies: 509
Views: 39357

Re: Austin Texas Thread - 2018

And before people get overly excited here. It’s important to note that on bos aus, one of their new routes, they had lower yield in q4 than their competitors. Both of whom have 20 to 25% lower cost. It’s not going to be an easy road for dl adding routes that are not their own hub.

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by tphuang
Thu May 17, 2018 7:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Major JetBlue announcement Thursday?
Replies: 51
Views: 12082

Re: Major JetBlue announcement Thursday?

Sounds like this thread was made for nothing. The investor meeting is not even happening until the 22nd, don't know where the OP got news that something was being announced today. Because the OP probably heard the quarterly BOD meeting is today at Long Island City (which it is), and assumed announc...

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by tphuang
Thu May 17, 2018 6:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Austin Texas Thread - 2018
Replies: 509
Views: 39357

Re: Austin Texas Thread - 2018

DL has increased their AUS flying 21% YOY. I think a lot of that is from up-gauging aircraft. Everyone thinks LF=profit. Thats simply not the case in austin, although most flights do tend to be full. I fly for business several times a month and book just about 14 days out. The fares are much higher...

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by tphuang
Thu May 17, 2018 4:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA's position in NYC
Replies: 106
Views: 11825

Re: AA's position in NYC

viewtopic.php?f=3&t=1394349
interesting points are the BA/IB moving to T8 with AA and the possible transcon improvements. T7 is ripe for the taking!
-->

I actually just posted it yesterday
viewtopic.php?f=3&t=1394349
interesting points are the BA/IB moving to T8 with AA and the possible transcon improvements. T7 is ripe for the taking!

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by tphuang
Thu May 17, 2018 2:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Rest of New England (BDL/PVD/MHT/PWM/ORH/BTV/HVN) - 2018
Replies: 218
Views: 17666

Re: The Rest of New England (BDL/PVD/MHT/PWM/ORH/BTV/HVN) - 2018

I'm going to be honest, I'm already starting to book away from them. Starting to revert back to DL more often now and usually checking DL before I check B6 when I travel. I'm flying B6 to DAB next week and was willing to forego a nonstop to connect in ATL because DL is more reliable nowadays. Just ...

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by tphuang
Thu May 17, 2018 12:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue to Anchor new MCO Terminal
Replies: 41
Views: 7184

Re: JetBlue to Anchor new MCO Terminal

Good, they need a new place to grow. And they'll beat WN to the punch if the want to beef up MCO-International. I don't think Southwest needs to look over its shoulder at JetBlue in Orlando. As of Feb 21, 2018, Southwest will offer up to 186 departures a day to 54 cities : That Orlando Sentinel art...

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by tphuang
Thu May 17, 2018 12:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL to add new routes after agreement with ME3
Replies: 185
Views: 21063

Re: DL to add new routes after agreement with ME3

... So if DL's goal is to use a valuable A350 and loose money to make a point with no end game, they can certainly go ahead with that. In hindsight, DL should have done that long back, sitting on $$Billions of cash reserves. Pick one ME3 high-yield route at a time, dump capacity and lower price dur...

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by tphuang
Thu May 17, 2018 10:47 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL to add new routes after agreement with ME3
Replies: 185
Views: 21063

Re: DL to add new routes after agreement with ME3

EK does nothing for DL & 9W FF. Plus many US based Indians do not value transiting through the ME (esp BOM travelers). We don’t shop at airports (we are Americans in that sense) and are happy buying our scotch bottles for gifts at BOM duty free. You have to remember BOM has always had good conn...

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by tphuang
Thu May 17, 2018 1:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue to Anchor new MCO Terminal
Replies: 41
Views: 7184

Re: JetBlue to Anchor new MCO Terminal

B6 growing at MCO would be a lot harder than at FLL. Due to their recent complacency there, MCO's profitability imo has been declining. B6 basically has 3 major advantage over WN: 1) North East presence 2) Caribbean flying 3) transcon Out of those 3, they already fly almost as much as they can to No...

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by tphuang
Thu May 17, 2018 12:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA at JFK
Replies: 7
Views: 1982

AA at JFK

here is another article by Gary Leff on AA at JFK https://viewfromthewing.boardingarea.com/2018/05/16/american-airlines-sees-new-york-american-failing/ He has the typical view that AA is failing in NYC. But there are some interesting nuggets here. The most interesting of which is AA/BA co-locating a...

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by tphuang
Thu May 17, 2018 12:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL to add new routes after agreement with ME3
Replies: 185
Views: 21063

Re: DL to add new routes after agreement with ME3

I admire your continued effort to educate a.net. You should realize a.net cannot comprehend the fact that a non-alcoholic, vegetarian Indian granny with limited spoken English can afford business class. Which they can buy on EK. And if they are really stuck up, they can enjoy their time in the seco...

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by tphuang
Wed May 16, 2018 6:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Rest of New England (BDL/PVD/MHT/PWM/ORH/BTV/HVN) - 2018
Replies: 218
Views: 17666

Re: The Rest of New England (BDL/PVD/MHT/PWM/ORH/BTV/HVN) - 2018

I think JetBlue prioritize business markets over leisure markets and these once a day route. Hopefully, with the aip and more schedule padding, this gets better by second half.

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