Search found 179 matches

by Eyad89
Tue Sep 26, 2017 8:51 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans
Replies: 36
Views: 4353

Re: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans

Boeing can form all the study groups it wants, but, the wing and fuselage are the least of their challenges. The keys to the next generation jets lies with the engine manufacturers. It's therefore of much more interest to follow the developments at RR, Pratt and GE; whatever they come up with will ...

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by Eyad89
Tue Sep 26, 2017 7:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans
Replies: 36
Views: 4353

Re: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans

200-250 pax range 4000-4500nm and CASM at least 10% lower than the A321 neo or 737-10 MAX with equal or lower trip costs. Do that and you have a winner. A widebody with 250 max pax would get eaten alive by the A321 IMO, and if not by the A321 certainly by an A321 stretch. To work as a small widebod...

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by Eyad89
Tue Sep 26, 2017 7:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Widebody Thread
Replies: 167
Views: 24344

Re: Delta Widebody Thread

hkcanadaexpat wrote:
Aircraft change on 9/25:

+ N502DN (359) is flying again after the incident of 9/6


Finally, took them 20 days to fix it. I wonder to what extent was it damaged though.

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by Eyad89
Mon Sep 25, 2017 4:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qatar cancels 4 A350s due to supplier issues
Replies: 195
Views: 28343

Re: Qatar cancels 4 A350s due to supplier issues

Does that mean they re-ordered the 4 canceled frames? Is their order count back to 80?

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by Eyad89
Sun Sep 24, 2017 5:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Has Boeing taken the 737 too far?
Replies: 50
Views: 9980

Re: Has Boeing taken the 737 too far?

It is an inexpensive way to regain the market share that A321 has pretty much kept for itself. If they had not launched it, Airbus would literally own 80% of that segment. I do believe it was a good call to get the 737-10 launched.

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by Eyad89
Fri Sep 22, 2017 9:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Turkish Airlines to purchase up to 40 787-9 aircraft
Replies: 151
Views: 20083

Re: Turkish Orders 40 787 Dreamliners

Assuming TK will also buy a350s, when would they start arriving? Boeing announced an increase in the production rate of the 787. Will Airbus need to do the same? Airbus is still on accelerating A350 production. I guess they have no slots in 2019. 2020 earliest?? B787 will start arriving in 2019. Do...

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by Eyad89
Fri Sep 22, 2017 4:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Iran Aviation Thread
Replies: 59
Views: 4481

Re: Iran Aviation Thread

I do not want to sound pessimistic, but it seems Trump may enforce further sanctions on Iran in the few coming days. If this happens, then could we kiss the Boeing deal goodbye?

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by Eyad89
Fri Sep 22, 2017 8:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Turkish Airlines to purchase up to 40 787-9 aircraft
Replies: 151
Views: 20083

Re: Turkish Orders 40 787 Dreamliners

This is the second potential A330neo customer that went for 787 this week. Folks at Airbus may not be happy. I do believe another A350 order will follow though.

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by Eyad89
Tue Sep 19, 2017 12:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus is examining 'A380-Plus'
Replies: 1003
Views: 166979

Re: Airbus is examining 'A380-Plus'

The CEO of Airbus China claims that there's a market for 60-100 A380s in China over the next five years. Well, that's ambitious. Chinese airlines could need between 60 and 100 Airbus (AIR.PA) A380 jets over the next five or so years as passenger traffic grows, the plane maker’s China head said on Tu...

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by Eyad89
Tue Sep 19, 2017 5:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas considering 777-8 or A359ULR to replace 744ER's to fly SYD-JFK and SYD-LHR non-stop
Replies: 670
Views: 116104

Re: Qantas considering 777-8 or A359ULR to replace 744ER's to fly SYD-JFK and SYD-LHR non-stop

First, GE doesn't like mentioning specific competitor products - especially when they aren't in first place, which they are not. Second, the 787 has a Rolls engine as well as a GE engine; but the Trent 1000 technology is the same as the Trent XWB (in fact, the Trent XWB core was polished up and gra...

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by Eyad89
Mon Sep 18, 2017 9:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block
Replies: 270
Views: 25620

Re: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block

Folks, for those that have any doubts about the impact of the 787, look at the stock price performance over the past few years. As 787 deliveries have occurred and performance has been validated the value of the stock has increased because investors have a much better view of future earnings. Stock...

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by Eyad89
Mon Sep 18, 2017 2:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Thai Airways takes delivery of first 787-9
Replies: 46
Views: 7163

Re: Thai Airways takes delivery of first 787-9

seating congiuration announced yet?

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by Eyad89
Mon Sep 18, 2017 12:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330 NEO Production And Delivery Thread Part 1
Replies: 567
Views: 160132

Re: A330 NEO Production And Delivery Thread Part 1

Just like with A320NEO, the pylons here do seem to mount the engines higher than the CEO. This has got to do with the larger diameter of the new fan.

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by Eyad89
Mon Sep 18, 2017 8:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A350 Production And Delivery Thread Part 17
Replies: 3619
Views: 1166184

Re: A350 Production And Delivery Thread Part 17

How is Airbus doing so far in terms of meeting its 80 frames target for 2017? Are we going to see huge Nov/Dec overtime to meet the target (like the last couple of years)?

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by Eyad89
Sun Sep 17, 2017 5:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas considering 777-8 or A359ULR to replace 744ER's to fly SYD-JFK and SYD-LHR non-stop
Replies: 670
Views: 116104

Re: Qantas considering 777-8 or A359ULR to replace 744ER's to fly SYD-JFK and SYD-LHR non-stop

Sure, Sandilands can sometimes be useful. But what are you trying to suggest: That AJ wants to put 300 seats in a 359 to do Sydney-London? That his new ULH fleet will have a passenger density much higher than his 789s? 50 more passengers than SQ's standard 359s? Well Sandilands is starting to sugge...

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by Eyad89
Sun Sep 17, 2017 3:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A350 In Service Thread - Part 1
Replies: 971
Views: 156996

Re: A350 In Service Thread - Part 1

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zkt7tr3TTs0
-->

I thought I would share this great video with you. An A350 attempts to land in strong wings (100-125 km/hr) before it aborts landing and performs an incredible go-around. Gotta say, those Trent engines sound like music to my ears.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zkt7tr3TTs0

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by Eyad89
Sun Sep 17, 2017 3:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block
Replies: 270
Views: 25620

Re: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block

Perhaps a true test of A330neo comes when earlier 787 slots are open, meaning the early A330neo wins were in part due to the lack of 787 availability, regardless of its other qualities. Lack of 787 availability was certainly one aspect of DL's choice for A330neo/A350. I think DL would have went wit...

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by Eyad89
Sun Sep 17, 2017 3:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas considering 777-8 or A359ULR to replace 744ER's to fly SYD-JFK and SYD-LHR non-stop
Replies: 670
Views: 116104

Re: Qantas considering 777-8 or A359ULR to replace 744ER's to fly SYD-JFK and SYD-LHR non-stop

The GE9x is promised to be 10% better than the GE90-115B and "5% better than the best engine" (read RR Trent XWB) upon introduction to service. . TrentXWB@2015 ( i.e EIS datum ) or Trent XWB@2020? ( Moving target, .5% per year from PIPs for an existing design seems to be the average rate ...

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by Eyad89
Sat Sep 16, 2017 11:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Arabian Aviation Thread
Replies: 293
Views: 34046

Re: Arabian Aviation Thread

dubaiamman243 wrote:
Saudia will order 20 B777X at Dubai Airshow



Interesting. I thought Saudia would reduce its widebody orders as it will through privatization in the coming years. Surprisingly, this makes Saudia one of the biggest 777 customers.

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by Eyad89
Sat Sep 16, 2017 10:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330 NEO Production And Delivery Thread Part 1
Replies: 567
Views: 160132

Re: A330 NEO Production And Delivery Thread Part 1

Well, that bigger engine did make a big difference in terms of looks. Of course, the bypass ratio for Trent 7000 is double the bypass ratio of Trent 700. A significant size difference is natural. This significant difference in bypass ratio would make A330neo a lot more quiet than A330ceo. We should ...

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by Eyad89
Sat Sep 16, 2017 10:07 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block
Replies: 270
Views: 25620

Re: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block

Great news !! Boeing does seem to be on its way out of the woods when it comes to 787 deferred costs, let's see how long that takes. Will Boeing manage to prove those analysts wrong and recover all of its deferred costs earlier than predicted? As some have noted, this could be a sign that a big and ...

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by Eyad89
Fri Sep 15, 2017 9:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential
Replies: 208
Views: 23353

Re: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential

According to fuel consumption data posted here and elsewhere the 789 burns 5400-5600kg per hour. The 359 burns 5800kg per hour. That works out to 4-5% lower fuel burn for the 789. That equates to tens of millions of dollars over the life of the frame. If the 789 is the right size for AA between the...

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by Eyad89
Fri Sep 15, 2017 6:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential
Replies: 208
Views: 23353

Re: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential

According to fuel consumption data posted here and elsewhere the 789 burns 5400-5600kg per hour. The 359 burns 5800kg per hour. That works out to 4-5% lower fuel burn for the 789. That equates to tens of millions of dollars over the life of the frame. If the 789 is the right size for AA between the...

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by Eyad89
Fri Sep 15, 2017 5:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential
Replies: 208
Views: 23353

Re: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential

The 789 has considerably lower trip cost and than the 359. Second, cargo is less than 2% of AA's revenue. They clearly do not need a cargo/pax jet trans-pacific. The 789 obviously seems to work well for them. I fully expect AA to use most if not all of their remaining 50 + options with Boeing for a...

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by Eyad89
Wed Sep 13, 2017 12:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: ME3 carriers enter talk about aircraft deferrals
Replies: 31
Views: 5851

Re: ME3 carriers enter talk about aircraft deferrals

We can already see how QR is treating its A359 deliveries, and EK has become less eager to take deliveries of new A380s. I wonder how EK was confident enough to place an order of 100 A380neo a couple of years ago.

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by Eyad89
Wed Sep 13, 2017 12:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: CX firms up A321neo order, rejigs A350 order book
Replies: 26
Views: 7490

Re: CX firms up A321neo order, rejigs A350 order book

So six A35K are to be converted into six A359, that's a revenue loss for Airbus.

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by Eyad89
Wed Sep 13, 2017 11:32 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of 777X
Replies: 395
Views: 37860

Re: Future of 777X

As for the engines, GE has promised at least 5% at EIS. Which means that if the Trent XWB gets better, the GE9x will also be made better to maintain the 5% margin. As for the wing, the whole point of the folding wingtips is to get a clear advantage in aspect ratio and hence lift to drag. Let's look...

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by Eyad89
Wed Sep 13, 2017 1:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of 777X
Replies: 395
Views: 37860

Re: Future of 777X

I know what Leeham is saying . . but the engine advantage is "promised" to be 5% in favor of the 77x. Leeham only gives the engine 2%. The wing should be more than 3% better, and Leeham only gives it 1%. There should be 1% in other aerodynamics. Offset by a 44t or 14% MTOW weight advantag...

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by Eyad89
Mon Sep 11, 2017 5:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will UA order the B777-9?
Replies: 36
Views: 5707

Re: Will UA order the B777-9?

The vast majority of 77W's at UA are less than a year old. Ordering its replacement won't take place for at least 15 years from now, and it will be delivered 20+ years from now. We are talking about placing an order in 2032 at the very least if not later. Who knows, it might be a race between an A37...

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by Eyad89
Sun Sep 10, 2017 11:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of 777X
Replies: 395
Views: 37860

Re: Future of 777X

I am not trying to offend you, but I find both of these statements rather arrogant. Making point final conclusions that the 777x is a mistake two years before entry into service is ignorant in my opinion. Is it a bit early for such a conclusion? Is that more of an opinion? The 787 has a 25% smaller...

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by Eyad89
Sat Sep 09, 2017 2:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Iran Aviation Thread
Replies: 59
Views: 4481

Re: Iran Aviation Thread

IranianMan123 wrote:
ist2014 wrote:
Does any body know delivery schedule of airbus and boeing and variants

Im not sure on airbus but the first 777 should be received in april 2018


more importantly, has the Boeing order been firmed yet?

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by Eyad89
Sat Sep 09, 2017 2:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates A350/787 decision off table
Replies: 51
Views: 11488

Re: Emirates A350/787 decision off table

I can only wonder, why the sudden change from "we will make our decision by end of year" to being all of a sudden off the table? what could have happened?

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by Eyad89
Sat Sep 09, 2017 2:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of 777X
Replies: 395
Views: 37860

Re: Future of 777X

I'll throw something else out there. If an airline operates with 10-across Y 777s currently, they may be more likely to get the 777X. 9-across Y airlines, the A350. While this could sound like an interesting thought at first, let's remember that all 777 operators started out as 9-across. Over the y...

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by Eyad89
Sat Sep 09, 2017 2:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of 777X
Replies: 395
Views: 37860

Re: Future of 777X

I would not be surprised if the A350-1000 does see not-insignificant conversions from the A350-900 because of the 787-10. I would not be surprised if the 787-10 eventually does to the A350-900 what the A330-300HGW did to the 777-200ER in supplanting it in airline fleets due to offering similar capa...

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by Eyad89
Fri Sep 08, 2017 2:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of 777X
Replies: 395
Views: 37860

Re: Future of 777X

Wings fuel saving would not be more than a single digit in my opinion. Relative to what? Not doing a new wing means adapting the 77W wing to host a heavier, draggier GE9X which presumably cause losses relative to the baseline 77W/GE90 combination which has already been through one NEO and is heavil...

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by Eyad89
Thu Sep 07, 2017 7:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of 777X
Replies: 395
Views: 37860

Re: Future of 777X

Those last seats will have to fly cheaper than the seats in smaller widebodies. I agree there will be fewer sold than the hundred per year 77W/77F. There is a curve out there showing the required CASM reduction with size. The A388 didn't offer enough of a discount. From everything I've seen, the 77...

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by Eyad89
Thu Sep 07, 2017 5:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of 777X
Replies: 395
Views: 37860

Re: Future of 777X

The two most intelligent replies in this thread by Hamlet69 and Lighsaber are more or less in agreement: 77X sales of about 1000 units total, including a mix of Freighter AC. I think we can lock this one up. Well, if 77W in all of its years have got 748 orders so far, I think it is extremely diffic...

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by Eyad89
Thu Sep 07, 2017 5:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of 777X
Replies: 395
Views: 37860

Re: Future of 777X

The two most intelligent replies in this thread by Hamlet69 and Lighsaber are more or less in agreement: 77X sales of about 1000 units total, including a mix of Freighter AC. I think we can lock this one up. Well, if 77W in all of its years have got 748 orders so far, I think it is extremely diffic...

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by Eyad89
Thu Sep 07, 2017 2:23 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of 777X
Replies: 395
Views: 37860

Re: Future of 777X

From everything I've seen, the 779 does. It's wingspan should provide excellent efficiency thanks to a far more optimal aspect ratio. I will note some markets flown by the 777 today are unlikely to be 779s unless slots drive gauge and no airline (except maybe the ME3) will add a few aircraft for th...

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by Eyad89
Wed Sep 06, 2017 6:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of 777X
Replies: 395
Views: 37860

Re: Future of 777X

I am going to use what happened to the proposed A350-2000 as a predictor of 779 future orders. We know that Airbus started to actively study the feasibility of an A35K strech, namely the A350-2000, something that could go toe to toe with 779 in terms of seat count. Airbus started to ask around to f...

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by Eyad89
Wed Sep 06, 2017 6:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of 777X
Replies: 395
Views: 37860

Re: Future of 777X

I am going to use what happened to the proposed A350-2000 as a predictor of 779 future orders. We know that Airbus started to actively study the feasibility of an A35K strech, namely the A350-2000, something that could go toe to toe with 779 in terms of seat count. Airbus started to ask around to fi...

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by Eyad89
Tue Sep 05, 2017 3:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of 777X
Replies: 395
Views: 37860

Re: Future of 777X

The 777 has outsold the A350 over the past 1 year, 3 years, 5 years and 10 year period, so while A350 does have strengths, it doesn't mean the 777 won't continue to sell. There's a market for both planes. Move on, nothing to see here ! Somehow the A350 has nearly 700 in the backlog the 777 has 400....

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by Eyad89
Sun Sep 03, 2017 5:51 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: EK going 11 abreast on 777X. Feasibility?
Replies: 28
Views: 4038

Re: EK going 11 abreast on 777X. Feasibility?

Now that the thinner wall of 777x has been brought up, I have an off-topic question. Does the thinner wall reduce the OEW? I could not find any information about the specifications of the new alloys.

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by Eyad89
Sun Sep 03, 2017 12:05 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330 NEO Production And Delivery Thread Part 1
Replies: 567
Views: 160132

Re: A330 NEO Production And Delivery Thread Part 1

AB is actually going forward with the A330-800 which has SIX orders, and not with the A350-800. That makes sense! The idea is that A339 would offer what A358 was supposed to do, except for range. Airbus thought that would make A358 redundant. And the A358 list price is now cheaper than the A339NEO....

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by Eyad89
Sat Sep 02, 2017 10:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330 NEO Production And Delivery Thread Part 1
Replies: 567
Views: 160132

Re: A330 NEO Production And Delivery Thread Part 1

OA940 wrote:
AB is actually going forward with the A330-800 which has SIX orders, and not with the A350-800. That makes sense!



The idea is that A339 would offer what A358 was supposed to do, except for range. Airbus thought that would make A358 redundant.

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by Eyad89
Wed Aug 30, 2017 1:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas to announce ambitious plan to fly East Coast Australia to London and New York by 2022
Replies: 321
Views: 38570

Re: Qantas to announce ambitious plan to fly East Coast Australia to London and New York by 2022

All quite fascinating, really, but IMHO, this really is Boeing's order to lose. I am not disputing or denying the worth of the A350. The aircraft is one of the most important widebodied aircraft, but this is a very, very special case. The way I see it, both aircraft need slight tweaking to make the...

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by Eyad89
Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas to announce ambitious plan to fly East Coast Australia to London and New York by 2022
Replies: 321
Views: 38570

Re: Qantas to announce ambitious plan to fly East Coast Australia to London and New York by 2022

Where does a year take us with respect to the development timelines of the 777X and A350 ULR? The A350-900ULR is due to enter service in 2018. The 777-8 is to follow in 2021. Ok. I guess my question was more what information will Boeing/QF have in a year about the 777X that they don't have now? Tes...

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by Eyad89
Tue Aug 22, 2017 6:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas to convert remaining A380 order to A350-900ULR (rumor)
Replies: 144
Views: 25227

Re: Qantas to convert remaining A380 order to A350-900ULR (rumor)

Since QF operated the 763 alongside the A330 they have gone through a restructure. One of the key points in the restructure was to simplify the fleet. What Qantas decide will eventually have to replace both the 744 and A380, the A350 in my opinion is too small whereas the 778 can replace the 744 an...

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by Eyad89
Thu Aug 17, 2017 2:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A350 Production And Delivery Thread Part 17
Replies: 3619
Views: 1166184

Re: A350 Production And Delivery Thread Part 17

[twoid][/twoid]

Blotto wrote:
MSN127 LH#4 has been transferred. Flying home tomorrow night if all installations and paperwork are done


Finally. I am really curious, what was the actual cause for this prolonged testing? I don't think any A350 has had this many test flights.

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by Eyad89
Tue Aug 08, 2017 12:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: EK Chairman: Emirates to place 787 or A350 order by end of the year
Replies: 318
Views: 36010

Re: EK Chairman: Emirates to place 787 or A350 order by end of the year

I think the canceling of the previous 70 ordered A350 by Emirates, is over interpreted here. Emirates at that time concentrated on big frames and converted the 70 A350 to 50 A380. Explanation around that about the difference between the A350-1000 Emirates order and the changes Airbus did to that fr...

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