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by Newbiepilot
Fri Sep 22, 2017 12:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Turkish Orders 40 787 Dreamliners
Replies: 40
Views: 3738

Re: Turkish Orders 40 787 Dreamliners

Erdogans relations with EU countries have been going south for years. Especially since the latest coup attempt and his crack down on free press and any opposition. The 787-9 proves an excellent aircraft useful for many airlines. This LOI seems also a signal in an ongoing political battle. Boeing is...

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by Newbiepilot
Fri Sep 22, 2017 12:18 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block
Replies: 225
Views: 21729

Re: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block

So looks like Turkish is in the market for the 787 or A350. This is probably one of the RFPs that is supporting the 787 production increase. And they just signed an LoI for 40 - http://www.airliners.net/forum/viewtopic.php?f=3&t=1374365 Increasing the production rate may have been necessary to ...

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by Newbiepilot
Thu Sep 21, 2017 4:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330neo MTOW increase
Replies: 94
Views: 10430

Re: A330neo MTOW increase

My speculation: Delta ordering paper de-rated A338's to replace the 50 odd 767's that will be coming up on retirement in the next 7 years, or perhaps even with this many giving Airbus the incentive to produce a 'Lite' version optimized for 4000 miles. I had calculated that Delta is committed to pay...

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by Newbiepilot
Thu Sep 21, 2017 1:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330neo MTOW increase
Replies: 94
Views: 10430

Re: A330neo MTOW increase

Increased MZFW with a increase in MTOW, results in a max payload increase, increases the efficiency also on shorter routes. You take more stuff with you. It will lead for example to the A330ceo not being more effective on short routes. Your argument fits only if the MTOW increase is done without co...

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by Newbiepilot
Thu Sep 21, 2017 11:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330neo MTOW increase
Replies: 94
Views: 10430

Re: A330neo MTOW increase

If true, this means that there is no way that the A330-800 ever gets built as this takes over virtually all of its missions. It would likely kill off the 787-8 Dreamliner as well. Yes I see this killing off the A330-800. I've read all the replies and this is the pair I agree with. The most viable p...

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by Newbiepilot
Thu Sep 21, 2017 12:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330neo MTOW increase
Replies: 94
Views: 10430

Re: A330neo MTOW increase

If this increase does get produced, it will make the A330neo quite the machine. I disagree that it will challenge the A350 however, because the A350 is also improving and getting higher weights.: I could see a more capable A330neo taking away A350 orders. The A350 is already a long range machine an...

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by Newbiepilot
Thu Sep 21, 2017 12:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330neo MTOW increase
Replies: 94
Views: 10430

Re: A330neo MTOW increase

Kind of off topic maybe but why does the consensus here think the A330Neo is a good idea/plane but say the 777-8/9 is fodder and garbage? They are both re-engines. It is just the typical fanboy partisanship. It is easier to notice outlandish statements that are against your favored manufacturer. Th...

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by Newbiepilot
Wed Sep 20, 2017 5:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330neo MTOW increase
Replies: 94
Views: 10430

Re: A330neo MTOW increase

Maybe a stretch of the A330 NEO by 5m to add 40-50 seats could become feasible. It would take around 5t. Around A340-500 fuselage lenght. Also the new MTOW could create opportunties for a -900F, or a real capable NEO MRTT. BTW I saw the MEO prototype a few hrs ago at TLS, still at same location. Ev...

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by Newbiepilot
Wed Sep 20, 2017 5:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330neo MTOW increase
Replies: 94
Views: 10430

Re: A330neo MTOW increase

aemoreira1981 wrote:
If true, this means that there is no way that the A330-800 ever gets built as this takes over virtually all of its missions. It would likely kill off the 787-8 Dreamliner as well.


Yes I see this killing off the A330-800.

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by Newbiepilot
Wed Sep 20, 2017 3:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TK to order 789??
Replies: 32
Views: 4656

Re: TK to order 789??

TK mulls 748s TK mulls A350s TK mulls 787s TK mulls A380s Rumors like these have been ongoing for years. The only thing we know is that TK currently studies both 787 and A350 options: Turkish Airlines mulls 787s, A350s and refutes 747-8i order Why did you start a new thread instead of post the conv...

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by Newbiepilot
Wed Sep 20, 2017 3:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Azul to add 5 A330neo aircraft, reveals lease cost
Replies: 33
Views: 5567

Re: Azul to add 5 A330neo aircraft, reveals lease cost

My employer received an offer last year for 5 A330-900 (2018 deliveries, also from a "launch"-lessor) that was about 10% less than the rate above. A330neo lease rates could easily go below $700k/month for larger commitments. I think it was rather unusual for the A330neo to launch with so ...

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by Newbiepilot
Wed Sep 20, 2017 3:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Azul to add 5 A330neo aircraft, reveals lease cost
Replies: 33
Views: 5567

Re: Azul to add 5 A330neo aircraft, reveals lease cost

WIederling wrote:
engines included?


Most likely yes. It would be unusual for engines, APU and Landing Gear not to be included for a new airplane lease. Leasing companies usually don't split up the pricing.

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by Newbiepilot
Wed Sep 20, 2017 1:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Azul to add 5 A330neo aircraft, reveals lease cost
Replies: 33
Views: 5567

Re: Azul to add 5 A330neo aircraft, reveals lease cost

That's less than what some A330-300s are leasing for according to this http://www.airliners.net/forum/viewtopic.php?t=1361025 It's also quite a bit cheaper than 787-9s or A350s. Well Avolon was launch customer so they must have gotten a pretty good deal. That must have been a very good deal. It is ...

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by Newbiepilot
Wed Sep 20, 2017 1:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Azul to add 5 A330neo aircraft, reveals lease cost
Replies: 33
Views: 5567

Re: Azul to add 5 A330neo aircraft, reveals lease cost

According to a Shenzhen stock exchange filing, the aircraft have been secured on 144-month contracts at a cost of USD783,000 per month per aircraft . That's less than what some A330-300s are leasing for according to this http://www.airliners.net/forum/viewtopic.php?t=1361025 It's also quite a bit c...

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by Newbiepilot
Tue Sep 19, 2017 10:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TK to order 789??
Replies: 32
Views: 4656

Re: TK to order 789??

]

mercure1 wrote:
Erdogan is visiting US now, so would be good time to announce order.


Unlikely that an order would be announced at the UN General Assembly.

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by Newbiepilot
Tue Sep 19, 2017 10:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hurricaine Maria and effects on airlines and airports
Replies: 39
Views: 3913

Re: Hurricaine Maria and effects on airlines and airports

flymia wrote:
AA is now sending a 772 to SJU, just departed from MIA. An UA 772 is on IAH-SJU.


UA had 777s to IAH and EWR and had a few empty seats, which is a good sign about getting everyone out who wants to.

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by Newbiepilot
Tue Sep 19, 2017 10:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hurricaine Maria and effects on airlines and airports
Replies: 39
Views: 3913

Re: Hurricaine Maria and effects on airlines and airports

Aloha717200 wrote:
A telling image.

Aircraft flee Puerto Rico, while DAL549 flies toward the storm.

Image


Wow, de ja vu. Same thing as a couple weeks ago with Irma.

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by Newbiepilot
Tue Sep 19, 2017 7:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block
Replies: 225
Views: 21729

Re: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block

By every definition I was taught at Business school Boeing has a weak balance sheet. Indeed historically you could say they were insolvent, Now I do not believe Boeing is anywhere near to going broke. Times have obviously changed. Why could you say they were insolvent? What is 'Insolvency' Insolven...

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by Newbiepilot
Tue Sep 19, 2017 7:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block
Replies: 225
Views: 21729

Re: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block

Are you responsible for the financial reporting for any kind of company? No I am not. I'm not an expert and don't claim to be. That's why I'm quoting and referencing others who are experts to contradict your statement that "Boeing has not a strong balance sheet" and armchairceonr1 comment...

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by Newbiepilot
Tue Sep 19, 2017 6:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block
Replies: 225
Views: 21729

Re: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block

If there ever come a day, when Boeing directors have to take hat off and go to bank to get loan. First thing what bankster do is he check Boeings balance sheet. After that he can give quickly answer: so you used all your money to pump up your market value and now you ask more money from me. NO WAY!...

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by Newbiepilot
Tue Sep 19, 2017 6:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block
Replies: 225
Views: 21729

Re: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block

Are you responsible for the financial reporting for any kind of company? No I am not. I'm not an expert and don't claim to be. That's why I'm quoting and referencing others who are experts to contradict your statement that "Boeing has not a strong balance sheet" and armchairceonr1 comment...

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by Newbiepilot
Tue Sep 19, 2017 5:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block
Replies: 225
Views: 21729

Re: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block

If there ever come a day, when Boeing directors have to take hat off and go to bank to get loan. First thing what bankster do is he check Boeings balance sheet. After that he can give quickly answer: so you used all your money to pump up your market value and now you ask more money from me. NO WAY!...

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by Newbiepilot
Tue Sep 19, 2017 1:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block
Replies: 225
Views: 21729

Re: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block

That is one of the problems here. If one talks about the weak points in the Boeing balance sheet, one is instantly accused of talking about Boeing failing. But Boeing has not a strong balance sheet. The equity is very low and even negative. One third of the assets are the deferred cost and all the ...

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by Newbiepilot
Mon Sep 18, 2017 5:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: EK A388 go around from 400ft AGL 8 nm before runway in Moscow
Replies: 101
Views: 21286

Re: EK A388 go around from 400ft AGL 8 nm before runway in Moscow

Looks like two go-arounds after one another.. is there a possibility this could be blamed on something other than the crew? Yes it is possible that the approach or the navigation database had a problem. Two consecutive go arounds to me implies that there was a problem with the route plotted by the ...

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by Newbiepilot
Mon Sep 18, 2017 11:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block
Replies: 225
Views: 21729

Re: Boeing to accelerate 787 production to 14x per month

I agree. It's way too early to write off the 330neo. In my opinion, the 339 is going to be a great seller. One thing it does for sure, is keep 787 prices in check. Me too. There is no doubt that the 787 rate increase will make it a little harder for the 330neo to compete on availability, but Airbus...

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by Newbiepilot
Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential
Replies: 208
Views: 23112

Re: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential

I don't know why the A330neo would be considered over the 787-10 for higher capacity Latin America and Europe routes. I don't see the 777-9 fitting in their network

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by Newbiepilot
Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential
Replies: 208
Views: 23112

Re: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential

What is it with the 779? AA will take either that or the A35K as the replacement for the 77W, not both. The same pilot pool can fly all the 787 types, and the same applies to the A350 pilot pool. This is how I imagine the AA fleet to look like after all is said and done. 788 789 (78J) A359 A35K Tha...

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by Newbiepilot
Sat Sep 16, 2017 12:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential
Replies: 208
Views: 23112

Re: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential

I personally expect AA to keep the A350 order. I am not trying to argue that either the 787 or A350 is better. I just object to some of the logic Keesje is using. I don't think AA would buy the A350 for long haul cargo missions to Asia. Its fuel efficiency over longer sectors would work well for AA ...

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by Newbiepilot
Fri Sep 15, 2017 11:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential
Replies: 208
Views: 23112

Re: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential

Hong Kong Airlines will start A350 flights HKG-LAX in December. 6300NM, 334 seats from a hot airport with a lot of cargo opportunity. That requirement would really push a 787-9. It could probably take no cargo at all. HKG is not a particularly challenging airport and that route would not significan...

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by Newbiepilot
Fri Sep 15, 2017 9:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential
Replies: 208
Views: 23112

Re: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential

How come you accept this AA doesn't need / want cargo capacity on the pacific without any source / reference ? Why the obsession with cargo? I remember you kept posting the same picture of A321s with cargo containers saying when criticizing Air Canada's 737MAX order. Very few airlines are making pu...

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by Newbiepilot
Fri Sep 15, 2017 9:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential
Replies: 208
Views: 23112

Re: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential

I think big companies know reasonably well what they want & why. The next thing is realizing it. Publicly putting some pressure on key players without disclosing your agenda sometimes helps. I pointed out the A350 carries about twice the cargo on typical flights, with sources, named the other o...

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by Newbiepilot
Fri Sep 15, 2017 6:15 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Why would ferry pilots prefer KOA to HNL?
Replies: 34
Views: 5064

Re: Why would ferry pilots prefer KOA to HNL?

An international airline is not going to have any parts on any of the islands. If a part is needed it can be sent AOG on any of the major airlines that fly to KOA every single day. Airlines borrow, lease and buy parts from other airlines all the time. Smaller items like lights, panels, switches, re...

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by Newbiepilot
Fri Sep 15, 2017 6:04 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Why would ferry pilots prefer KOA to HNL?
Replies: 34
Views: 5064

Re: Why would ferry pilots prefer KOA to HNL?

Occasionally on a delivery flight there will be some logbook items since planes aren't always perfect. The flight to Hawaii is the first long cold soak flight for the airplanes since test flights usually aren't over 4 hours. I'd prefer to go to HNL because there will be a whole lot more spare parts...

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by Newbiepilot
Fri Sep 15, 2017 3:28 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: TATL Flights / Wide bodies vs Narrow Bodies / Benefits for the airline
Replies: 19
Views: 1691

Re: TATL Flights / Wide bodies vs Narrow Bodies / Benefits for the airline

I don't expect to ever see an airline flying JFK-AMS on a narrowbody unless it is a new entrant trying to gain market share. Narrowbodies are good for routes to smaller destinations. Smaller cities in the UK have historically struggled to maintain year round transatlantic service. Same with Ireland ...

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by Newbiepilot
Fri Sep 15, 2017 2:04 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Why would ferry pilots prefer KOA to HNL?
Replies: 34
Views: 5064

Re: Why would ferry pilots prefer KOA to HNL?

Occasionally on a delivery flight there will be some logbook items since planes aren't always perfect. The flight to Hawaii is the first long cold soak flight for the airplanes since test flights usually aren't over 4 hours. I'd prefer to go to HNL because there will be a whole lot more spare parts ...

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by Newbiepilot
Fri Sep 15, 2017 1:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential
Replies: 208
Views: 23112

Re: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential

The 787-9 is an excellent aircraft and much more efficient than the 777-200ER. That's how AA uses it. Later on I think AA will take more A350s, because they feel the current fleet on order is to small for their operations. Here are some quotes from UA on the transpacific market that is probably als...

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by Newbiepilot
Fri Sep 15, 2017 12:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential
Replies: 208
Views: 23112

Re: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential

I think the A350s beats the 787 on cargo, long haul customer satisfaction (space, noise) and offers a viable growth version for conversions in the next decade. That isn't going away. Probably why airlines like DL & UA line up A350 for Pacific. (+ SQ, CX, UA, Thai, JAL, Asiana, Air China, China ...

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by Newbiepilot
Fri Sep 15, 2017 12:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential
Replies: 208
Views: 23112

Re: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential

The A338NEO unfortunately has got only one customer so far i.e. Hawaiian hence its future is headed down the same path as the A358. If however, AA really pushed Airbus hard and knowing that the latter is desperate to boost the A338NEO viability to future customers, AA can manage to squeeze 28 A338s...

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by Newbiepilot
Thu Sep 14, 2017 8:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential
Replies: 208
Views: 23112

Re: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential

A350 can carry twice the cargo compared to 789 on top of 300 passengers on long flights. While that is probably possible based on weight for a narrow set of routes and requirements, its worth nothing that the 787-9 and A350-900 both can take the same number of LD3s (36). In typical operations the A...

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by Newbiepilot
Thu Sep 14, 2017 7:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential
Replies: 208
Views: 23112

Re: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential

A350 can carry twice the cargo compared to 789 on top of 300 passengers on long flights. While that is probably possible based on weight for a narrow set of routes and requirements, its worth nothing that the 787-9 and A350-900 both can take the same number of LD3s (36). In typical operations the A...

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by Newbiepilot
Wed Sep 13, 2017 9:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential
Replies: 208
Views: 23112

Re: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential

The A350s offer more payload-range, comfort, bigger wings for hot airports and a growth option (-1000) for Asian flights. The 787-9 & -10 are better dimensioned for America's and Europe in this case. I think you have it backwards. AA's high capacity routes are EZE, GRU and LHR. That's where the...

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by Newbiepilot
Wed Sep 13, 2017 8:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block
Replies: 225
Views: 21729

Re: Boeing to accelerate 787 production to 14x per month

I wouldn't take Leeham's pessimism as gospel - not to get into the Leeham debate again though. And even with all the pessimism we have been hearing about widebody orders, the 787 is already 70% of the way to matching 2016's and 2015's orders with 25% of the year remaining so a slight rate increase ...

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by Newbiepilot
Wed Sep 13, 2017 8:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Canada to fly B737 MAX 8 to Ireland
Replies: 53
Views: 13626

Re: Air Canada to fly B737 MAX 8 to Ireland

MIflyer12 wrote:
Are the Max 8s going to have lie-flats up front, or just domestic Business seating?


I think they will have regular domestic seating. Ireland isn't too premium heavy, so it probably isn't worth having a sub fleet with lie flats.

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by Newbiepilot
Wed Sep 13, 2017 8:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential
Replies: 208
Views: 23112

Re: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential

As always with these contracts, RR is the biggest obstacle. Converting to A330neo could be an easier alternative. I still think the A330neo is a much better 777-200ER replacement for AA than the A350. While the A350 is no doubt a phenomenal performer, IMHO it has too much range for the majority of ...

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by Newbiepilot
Wed Sep 13, 2017 6:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of 777X
Replies: 395
Views: 37790

Re: Future of 777X

There is a continuing impression that the FAA is much more partisan than the other national CAAs. And yet the EU's EASA and the Japanese JAA and other national certification authorities all use the FAA's certification as the basis for their own. If there really was as much worry about the objectivi...

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by Newbiepilot
Wed Sep 13, 2017 3:00 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: India to Rest of Asia: No day flights?
Replies: 2
Views: 354

Re: India to Rest of Asia: No day flights?

There are a few. You can get from DEL to Kunming, Guangzhou, Singapore and Bangkok with daytime departures. If you want day time connections, SIN is your best bet although it might be out of the way.

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by Newbiepilot
Wed Sep 13, 2017 2:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Copa orders 15 737 Max 10
Replies: 10
Views: 3239

Re: Copa orders 15 737 Max 10

The only surprise here will be if they don't quickly add on. Be interesting to see where these end up. In theory, they could still do the likes of LAX/GRU. SFO/MVD might be pushing it a bit, but perhaps with a more premium-heavy configuration? Maybe some lay flat seats? The capacity wouldn't be muc...

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by Newbiepilot
Wed Sep 13, 2017 2:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: CX firms up A321neo order, rejigs A350 order book
Replies: 26
Views: 7473

Re: CX firms up A321neo order, rejigs A350 order book

Interesting to see another airline converting A350-1000 orders to A350-900 orders. Is this coincidence that it's happening about the same time as UA switching its orders? Could Airbus be more willing to let airlines convert to the smaller A350?

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by Newbiepilot
Wed Sep 13, 2017 1:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of 777X
Replies: 395
Views: 37790

Re: Future of 777X

Any airline could put 1% deposit, doesn't make those blue-chip. Yep, LH, EY, CX, EK, QR, NH and SQ were already blue-chip before they made 77X orders -- what was your point again? Mine was that 777X is more than a power-point presentation, it has actual orders with actual deposits from actual blue-...

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by Newbiepilot
Wed Sep 13, 2017 11:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of 777X
Replies: 395
Views: 37790

Re: Future of 777X

Or are you saying the FAA and JCAB and the rest of the aviation industry's practices work when Airbus is designing aircraft and fail when Boeing is designing aircraft? There is a continuing impression that the FAA is much more partisan than the other national CAAs. For the 787 certification FAA app...

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