Search found 3617 matches

  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
  • 73
by Newbiepilot
Sat Feb 23, 2019 2:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?
Replies: 112
Views: 15578

Re: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?

737 replacement is more urgent than realised. MAX8 sales are being made, but true margins (after retrospective credits), have been crucified , partly underwritten by suppliers, who have taken margin cuts. Do you have any data to back up your assertion? What is the definition of true margins since I...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Fri Feb 22, 2019 8:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?
Replies: 112
Views: 15578

Re: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?

The MAX8 is successfully holding its own with the A320neo. The MAX9 and MAX10 are being swamped by the A321neo. Without going into the weeds about whether or not the MAX8 has outsold the A320neo 737 replacement is more urgent than realised. MAX8 sales are being made, but true margins (after retrosp...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Fri Feb 22, 2019 2:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?
Replies: 112
Views: 15578

Re: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?

The risks of doing proper clean slate aircraft and understanding airlines requirements over a longer period of time, is that your customers and competitors move ahead anyway. The Reuters message yesterday that Airbus is lining up launching customers for the A321XLR could change assumptions and star...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Fri Feb 22, 2019 2:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?
Replies: 112
Views: 15578

Re: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?

keesje wrote:

:arrow: The MAX is seemingly sold out until 2025, after that the outlook is grey at best.]


That is an entirely unsubstantiated opinion. The 737MAX is selling well. The 737MAX outselling the A320neo family last year is clearly an indication that the outlook is not grey at best.

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Fri Feb 22, 2019 2:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta B739 vs A321
Replies: 51
Views: 8603

Re: Delta B739 vs A321

The longest routes we fly the 321 on are ATL-California and JFK-SLC. The 739 has more range and does full on transcons where the 321ceo cannot. However we have 100 firm plus 100 options on the P&W GTF powered 321 neo. Stay tuned!!! I think I read that Delta didn’t put aux fuel tanks in the A321...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Wed Feb 20, 2019 3:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?
Replies: 112
Views: 15578

Re: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?

To respond to the title and original post. I do not think that Boeing has to be actively planning the 737 replacement at this time - except for prototype concept ideas; which I am sure they are doing. It is my estimation that Boeing has targeted about 2030 (give or take 2 years) as the EIS of the 7...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Wed Feb 20, 2019 2:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?
Replies: 112
Views: 15578

Re: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?

Don't be surprised if the NMA is going to be a 767/757 like project... Boeing released the 767 and the followed up a year or two later with the 757. This is my guess, as I am sure Boeing has peripheral vision and looking at all programs at all times. They don't just focus on one program. They have ...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Wed Feb 20, 2019 2:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?
Replies: 112
Views: 15578

Re: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?

Agreed about DL and LH about being big on maintenance contracts. But neither are a likey candidates for the NMA. Both have the A321 already. The CEO of Delta has publicly expressed interest in the NMA: "We've had discussions with Boeing about being a potential launch customer," says Ed Ba...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Wed Feb 20, 2019 1:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?
Replies: 112
Views: 15578

Re: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?

[ Looking at the 737 orderbook I think Boeing has 4650 737MAX in the backlog. At least 4200 of which are 737-8. The rest is 737-7, 737-9 and 737-10. Please provide a source for the statement that at least 4200 of the 4650 737MAX in the backlog are for 737-8s. Boeing publishes the following on their...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Wed Feb 20, 2019 1:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?
Replies: 112
Views: 15578

Re: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?

Is all this fuss because the mid-haul market is about to have an efficiency champion? The A321 has too little wing and flies with low payload at range. The 788 or A339 are too heavy on 4,000 nm missions unless the cargo hold is loaded up. Lightsaber My suggestion is that there is a larger, more urg...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Wed Feb 20, 2019 1:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?
Replies: 112
Views: 15578

Re: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?

.. I'm under the impression, the NMA might be quietly shrinking on the drawingboards. :arrow: Airlines are not stumbling over each other commiting to a 7 abreast 5000 Nm WB at NB cost levels . You can’t officially commit to an airplane that isn’t launched, but a whole lot of airlines have expressed...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Wed Feb 20, 2019 4:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?
Replies: 112
Views: 15578

Re: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?

Anything can happen. NMA out - NSA in. But when you have to dig through hyperbole and innuendo over and over and over: I'm under the impression, the NMA might be quietly shrinking on the drawingboards. :arrow: Airlines are not stumbling over each other commiting to a 7 abreast 5000 Nm WB at NB cost...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Wed Feb 20, 2019 1:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Sets Retirement Date for MD-80s
Replies: 198
Views: 52651

Re: American Airlines Sets Retirement Date for MD-80s

is there is a map of current s80 destinations? Not sure if there is a map, but quite a few cities from Dallas. Memphis Columbus Jacksonville San Antonio Cleveland Tulsa Kansas City Louisville Omaha Nashville New Orleans Austin St Louis Milwaukee Raleigh Wichita Charleston Cincinnati Indianapolis Ok...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Wed Feb 20, 2019 1:16 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Lineup Circa 2025 - Where do they go Next
Replies: 42
Views: 6880

Re: Boeing Lineup Circa 2025 - Where do they go Next

That's said, I think the pressure on Boeing to offer a 150-200 seater with big efficient geared engines & container cargo as an option won't decrease, so better don't think about it, too deliberately. :arrow: The train ain't waiting. The MAX backlog might be less solid & ensuring than you f...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Tue Feb 19, 2019 2:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Lineup Circa 2025 - Where do they go Next
Replies: 42
Views: 6880

Re: Boeing Lineup Circa 2025 - Where do they go Next

Finally development cost and time. This is especially important if Airbus re-wings the A320 for intro in 5-6 years. If Boeing choose to do an 8W NMA they probably wouldn't have the Engineering resources to do another clean sheet Single Aisle before the early 2030's to respond. By basing the NMA and...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Mon Feb 18, 2019 1:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Lineup Circa 2025 - Where do they go Next
Replies: 42
Views: 6880

Re: Boeing Lineup Circa 2025 - Where do they go Next

Finally development cost and time. This is especially important if Airbus re-wings the A320 for intro in 5-6 years. If Boeing choose to do an 8W NMA they probably wouldn't have the Engineering resources to do another clean sheet Single Aisle before the early 2030's to respond. By basing the NMA and...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Mon Feb 18, 2019 1:34 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: 787 style windows
Replies: 12
Views: 2690

Re: 787 style windows

It was just a gimmick used by Boeing. I doubt we will see it in anything new again as it’s not really very popular and adds to the cost of maintenance. Plus it’s a real pain in he proverbial when the system fails and passengers are unable to control them on night to day flights. I don’t think you a...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus Lineup Circa 2025 - Where do they go next
Replies: 42
Views: 5347

Re: Airbus Lineup Circa 2025 - Where do they go next

A320.5(NEO) A321NEO/LR A321XLR A322 There’s lots of talk on this forum of these possibilities. I’m kind of surprised these images haven’t been posted yet https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DBdzTCIXsAA2Vij.jpg https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/-bcgICdFifv0/WVutthMVAPI/AAAAAAAABLg/mNZW4I7VU78eVVXsfOp0ahqwPa...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Sat Feb 16, 2019 9:04 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: B707 vs DC-8
Replies: 22
Views: 1667

Re: B707 vs DC-8

The 707 production lasted a lot longer because of the military derivatives. If it wasn’t for them, production would have ended around 1975 for the 707. For the most part, The only civilian deliveries after the 1970s oil crises were to Airlines that were part of the Arab Air Carriers Organization lik...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Sat Feb 16, 2019 2:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Lineup Circa 2025 - Where do they go Next
Replies: 42
Views: 6880

Re: Boeing Lineup Circa 2025 - Where do they go Next

The 737MAX has over 5,000 orders and even outsold the A320neo family last year. I don’t see Boeing working on a replacement before 2025. All the focus is on the NMA. The NMA would compete against any A321 stretches and the 737-8 is in a sweet spot and continues to sell well.

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Fri Feb 15, 2019 2:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United B78X IAD-PEK
Replies: 71
Views: 13019

Re: United B78X IAD-PEK

UA807 departed with 226 total passengers on board and 16,811 pounds of cargo of which 8,640 pounds were passengers bags. Gate fuel was 169,400 pounds which does include 900 pounds of taxi fuel, making the cleared fuel 168,500 pounds. The ZFW was 355,142 pounds, (MZFW is 425,000) and the TOG was 523...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Tue Feb 12, 2019 3:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 593
Views: 80694

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

Then in equivalent Densities you have MAX-10 at about 160-170 seats, NMA-6 about 200, NMA-7 about 230-240 and 788 about 288 - putting the NMA right in the middle of the market of Boeing's offerings. Yes, but the main problem as I mentioned before is the lack of range for the larger model. Since B78...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Tue Feb 12, 2019 1:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: When will the Boeing 737NG and A320CEO production cease
Replies: 57
Views: 8199

Re: When will the Boeing 737NG and A320CEO production cease

Slightly off topic, but when an overseas carrier such as KLM, Lion Air, etc. order a 737, what is the routing they use to deliver it? Obviously it can't travel from Seattle to Amsterdam on one fill up. Just a guess: SEA-KEF SEA-BGR SEA to just about anyone of the Canadian Maritime airports, weather...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Mon Feb 11, 2019 1:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777-300ER Freighter
Replies: 5
Views: 1972

Re: Boeing 777-300ER Freighter

I think it is possible, but as far as I know there hasn’t been a freighter conversion program launched for the 777 yet. A decade ago, few would have wanted a 777-300ER freighter since its payload to volume isn’t typical for a freighter. It has more volume than necessary for traditional freight like ...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Mon Feb 11, 2019 1:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 593
Views: 80694

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

If we calculate with 35 bags per LD3-45 it would not leave much room for cargo in a high density configuration. If it is 7W I'm sure Boeing will do a custom container as an option. Especially if they intend to reuse NMA cross section for NSA. It won't be a unique container then.... The cross sectio...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Mon Feb 11, 2019 12:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 593
Views: 80694

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

An article was just published. Not a whole lot of new information, but I found this quote interesting [i]Boeing’s design features a slightly oval-shaped fuselage that saves weight and fuel by devoting more space to passengers and less to freight in the plane’s belly. A smaller version would seat 22...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Sun Feb 10, 2019 6:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 593
Views: 80694

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

I see the 797 as being like 4" wider than the 767, that fits with a 7ab cabin but the 767 has been equipped in a cattle class 8ab. Adding 4" would give an extra 1/2" per seat. enough for a cramped 16" seat arrangement. But that width allows most airlines to use a 7ab at least in...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Sun Feb 10, 2019 6:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 593
Views: 80694

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

An article was just published. Not a whole lot of new information, but I found this quote interesting Boeing’s design features a slightly oval-shaped fuselage that saves weight and fuel by devoting more space to passengers and less to freight in the plane’s belly. A smaller version would seat 220 tr...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Sat Feb 09, 2019 10:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 593
Views: 80694

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

So 797 is not a 321 / 322 competitor. It is a B788 / B789 / A338 / A339 competitor and killer. Considering that it will have one generation more efficient engines I suppose that Airbus will soon make their move and replace A330. A 270 seat plane optimized for 1000 mile routes will displace a whole ...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Sat Feb 09, 2019 1:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA Reducing IAH-SYD and LAX-SYD March to October
Replies: 88
Views: 15037

Re: UA Reducing IAH-SYD and LAX-SYD March to October

Going less than daily on LAX-SYD is a risk for ongoing market share for business travelers. It was probably a well calculated decision so they could use the plane elsewhere during the peak summer travel season. With 5 airlines serving the route now compared to only two in the past even Qantas has dr...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Sat Feb 09, 2019 1:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 593
Views: 80694

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

Well I'm just doing comparison with B767-300ER's capability. Knowing that it's the most successful variant of B767. 767-300ER was the only successful 767 variant because it was able to do something that 757 wasn't able to, which is flying up to 6,000 nm. Other variants were dominated by 757. 767-20...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Fri Feb 08, 2019 5:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: West Jet MAX 7 order in doubt
Replies: 35
Views: 6026

Re: West Jet MAX 7 order in doubt

THis thread is about Weather , not Southwest A220s. Is it? ;) This development is not surprising, of course. The B37M just does not offer a whole lot to WS. Of course they have made do with their 736's, but it seems unlikely that they love them. The issue for Westjet, though, would be the massive g...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Fri Feb 08, 2019 2:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: West Jet MAX 7 order in doubt
Replies: 35
Views: 6026

Re: West Jet MAX 7 order in doubt

THis thread is about Weather, not Southwest A220s. The article is a bit jumbled, but from what I can tell, the 737-8 efficiency is attractive to Westjet, especially after they started operating the planes. Financiers may not like the 737-7 much. Sounds like it is advantageous for both Boeing and Wes...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Thu Feb 07, 2019 1:51 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: QF officially cancels final 8 A380s.
Replies: 217
Views: 36564

Re: QF officially cancels final 8 A380s.

I am curious if there would have been financial payments due now which led to the cancellation. It is odd that Qantas didn’t wait for the project sunrise decision to cancel

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Thu Feb 07, 2019 1:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Virgin Atlantic cancels order for 6 A380s
Replies: 110
Views: 26552

Re: Virgin Atlantic cancels order for 6 A380s

Edited: please delete this post

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Wed Feb 06, 2019 2:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Reuters: United to add premium seats on regional and mainline jets
Replies: 270
Views: 24587

Re: Reuters: United to add premium seats on regional and mainline jets

Thought this was a joke at first. Should be interesting once more details are out. Seems a little ballsy that they're announcing the CRJ 550 as they are already in pretty shaky talks with ALPA regarding scope. G7 is operating these 550's but they only have 25 CRJ700's, so I'm confused where the oth...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Wed Feb 06, 2019 1:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How many 737 MAX 10 are actually ordered?
Replies: 60
Views: 10113

Re: How many 737 MAX 10 are actually ordered?

'Cause you'd say they should replace them with A321's. ;) We kid because we love. A fun fact is that both the 737-9 and 737-10 have more orders than the A321LR. I expect the A321LR order count and conversions to eventually exceed the 737-9, but I personally predict more 737-10 deliveries than A321L...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Wed Feb 06, 2019 1:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How many 737 MAX 10 are actually ordered?
Replies: 60
Views: 10113

Re: How many 737 MAX 10 are actually ordered?

Are you saying that Icelandair, Copa, FlyDubai or United are going to imminently retire 737-9s already in service and replace them with 737-10s? No, you are. 'Cause you'd say they should replace them with A321's. ;) We kid because we love. A fun fact is that both the 737-9 and 737-10 have more orde...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Wed Feb 06, 2019 1:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How many 737 MAX 10 are actually ordered?
Replies: 60
Views: 10113

Re: How many 737 MAX 10 are actually ordered?

Are you saying that Icelandair, Copa, FlyDubai or United are going to imminently retire 737-9s already in service and replace them with 737-10s? No, you are. So what are you saying? I expect the 737-10 to replace most 737-9 with the airlines at some point, with the -9 probably getting concentrated ...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Wed Feb 06, 2019 1:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How many 737 MAX 10 are actually ordered?
Replies: 60
Views: 10113

Re: How many 737 MAX 10 are actually ordered?

I expect the 737-10 to replace most 737-9 with the airlines at some point, with the -9 probably getting concentrated with 1 or a few airlines that don't need the -10 capabilities and can benefit from economies of scale. Delta traditionally has been smart there (DC9, MD90, 717, DC10). There are alre...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Wed Feb 06, 2019 2:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 593
Views: 80694

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

Personal opinion: Boeing is fairly big on diversifying risk; I believe that the NMA (if built) will require 2 assembly lines unless the new manufacturing techniques substantially speed up assembly. I would anticipate development and the 1st line in Washington State; and the 2nd line in Charleston f...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Mon Feb 04, 2019 1:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: EASA bans Turkmenistan Airlines (T5) from EU airspace
Replies: 45
Views: 6319

Re: EASA bans Turkmenistan Airlines (T5) from EU airspace

This has nothing to do with service. It appears that it is due to safety and many passengers are potentially stranded The Foreign and Commonwealth Office (FCO) said the European Aviation Safety Agency had suspended the airline's flights to and from the EU "pending confirmation that it meets int...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Mon Feb 04, 2019 1:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How many 737 MAX 10 are actually ordered?
Replies: 60
Views: 10113

Re: How many 737 MAX 10 are actually ordered?

I’m curious to see the new product that United is testing for their 737-10s The 737s with lie-flat first class seats would allow the Chicago-based carrier to offer its premium domestic product in more markets where it sees demand, as well as replace its fleet of aging premium domestic Boeing 757s, U...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Sun Feb 03, 2019 11:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 593
Views: 80694

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

On the other hand, I think there is a tiny but non-zero possibility that NMA itself is a disinformation campaign being used to hide NSA development. Tiny, but non-zero till proven otherwise. Sort of Sonic Cruiser hiding 787 . . . ? Highly doubt the disinformation angle. BA being publicly traded jus...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Sun Feb 03, 2019 2:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 Developments : more of a match for A320neo than Airbus says
Replies: 224
Views: 33972

Re: Airbus A220 Developments : more of a match for A320neo than Airbus says

Exactly. But.....they never actually delivered even a single 737-700 at that price did they? In the case of UA, Boeing accomplished the mission which was to block a CSeries sale. Indeed, UA later converted/delayed/cancelled the order. It probably figured out that it could not operate profitably tho...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Sun Feb 03, 2019 3:04 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Seattle/Tacoma Area 2nd New Airport (SeaTac Reliever/Replacement)
Replies: 147
Views: 12155

Re: Seattle/Tacoma Area 2nd New Airport (SeaTac Reliever/Replacement)

Why so much talk about a new airport? Three runways is plenty of capacity. The airport master plan allows for another north terminal where the cargo facilities are. There is space south of the fuel tanks where the displaced cargo ramp can be relocated. https://www.westsideseattle.com/sites/default/f...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Sat Feb 02, 2019 7:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 593
Views: 80694

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

Nope. EIS most likely ~2027 from a 2020 launch. Also if Boeing claims 2025. Sorry. Nothing to doubt the usual 7 years: pdr's, cdr's, design freeze, production engineering, setting up supply chains, new engine, iron bird, software development & integration, static test frame, production building...

Jump to post
by Newbiepilot
Sat Feb 02, 2019 12:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 593
Views: 80694

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

:smile: to summarize: that Boeings next project might look significantly different than most believe today. Things, insights changed over the last 5 years. Maybe DennisM stopped singing along & asks some stringent questions, that, maybe, should have been put on the table earlier. Do you have an...

Jump to post
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
  • 73