Search found 270 matches

by iceberg210
Fri Jul 20, 2018 4:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Farnborough Air Show 2018 - Other Manufacturers/Engine Order Thread
Replies: 90
Views: 23361

Re: Farnborough Air Show 2018 - Other Manufacturers/Engine Order Thread

Unfortunately I the 100 E2-175 orders are what is called a ghost order. Unless DALPA opens scope clauses, contegencies will be excercised and the order will be voided. So only 176 real firm orders. Sorry. I want Pratt to sell more engines, so I root for the E2. I just believe the one competitive pl...

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by iceberg210
Wed Jul 18, 2018 4:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Republic Airways orders 100 E175 plus 100 options
Replies: 73
Views: 11825

Re: Republic Airways orders 100 E175 plus 100 options

Hadn't seen this tidbit before Embraer chief commercial officer Arjan Meijer says the airline has the ability to convert the aircraft to the E175-E2 if major US airlines attain scope clause relief in their pilot contracts. https://www.flightglobal.com/news/articles/analysis-farnborough-air-show-orde...

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by iceberg210
Wed Jul 18, 2018 2:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Farnborough Air Show 2018 - Boeing Order Thread
Replies: 189
Views: 81804

Re: Farnborough Air Show 2018 - Boeing Order Thread

Wow the 737-10 is really proving to be more popular than the -9. GOL and VietJet signing up for thr aircraft and TUI says they will most likely order more. Yeah the 10 is really catching on, with the orders from the Airshow I show it at 508 identified orders, just passing the 900ER at 505 orders, a...

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by iceberg210
Tue Jul 17, 2018 8:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Farnborough Air Show 2018 - Other Manufacturers/Engine Order Thread
Replies: 90
Views: 23361

Re: Farnborough Air Show 2018 - Other Manufacturers/Engine Order Thread

So far, day 1 and day 2: United Airlines: 25 E175-E1 Mauritania Airlines: 2 E175-E1 NAC - Nordic Aviation Capital: 3 E190-E1 Undisclosed customer from Spain: 3 E195-E2 + 2 options Watanya Airways: 10 E195-E2 + 10 options Helvetic: 12 E190-E2 + 12 options Azul: 21 E195-E2 Republic: 100 E175-E1 + 100...

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by iceberg210
Tue Jul 17, 2018 8:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Republic Airways orders 100 E175 plus 100 options
Replies: 73
Views: 11825

Re: Republic Airways orders 100 E175 plus 100 options

Issue is the current scope weight. When that is fixed in the next two years (pilot agreements are expiring then), the E2 will have more orders. I bet that they may have the option to move this to the 175E2 in the agreement. I would love to see the contracts for this exact reason if nothing else it ...

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by iceberg210
Mon Jul 16, 2018 2:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Production/Delivery Thread 2018
Replies: 519
Views: 126132

Re: Boeing 737MAX Production/Delivery Thread 2018

This is actually Copa’s 1st 737 MAX 9 Great to see the first 9 for Copa! My hunch is there is more 9's and 10's hiding in the undetermined pile of MAX orders than we all might think and glad to see that hunch confirmed. Found reference to 5 9's for Copa, does anyone know if they've got more than th...

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by iceberg210
Mon Jul 16, 2018 2:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Airlines announces order for 25 E-175 and 4 787-9's
Replies: 54
Views: 10943

Re: United Airlines announces order for 25 E-175 and 4 787-9's

E175-E2 isn't in scope for any US carrier, it's overweight. I wonder why UA didn't wait for the E175-E2. Were the CR7's so much in need of replacement? I realise the E2 version is a little bit larger than the E1, but still should be way more efficient. And surely UA must have had a great deal with ...

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by iceberg210
Mon Jul 16, 2018 2:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Production/Delivery Thread 2018
Replies: 519
Views: 126132

Re: Boeing 737MAX Production/Delivery Thread 2018

This is actually Copa’s 1st 737 MAX 9 Great to see the first 9 for Copa! My hunch is there is more 9's and 10's hiding in the undetermined pile of MAX orders than we all might think and glad to see that hunch confirmed. Found reference to 5 9's for Copa, does anyone know if they've got more than th...

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by iceberg210
Mon Jul 09, 2018 4:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What will replace the EMB145 / CRJ200 ?
Replies: 99
Views: 11162

Re: What will replace the EMB145 / CRJ200 ?

My guess is that nothing will and that much like small props they will fade away over time. However what I'd like to see which would preserve the flying, but be very unlikely is to change some regulations to make it more economical and also encourage the development of aircraft that could serve that...

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by iceberg210
Tue Jul 03, 2018 4:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer re-entering the Turboprop market?
Replies: 75
Views: 13685

Re: Embraer re-entering the Turboprop market?

I see the future possibility of a modernization of the EMB-120 line, perhaps with an extended version optimized for small distances. Perhaps Embraer has the possibility to lead this trend given its broad capacity in flight systems. This is certainly what I'd like to see with a 50 seater stretch to ...

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by iceberg210
Tue Jul 03, 2018 1:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer re-entering the Turboprop market?
Replies: 75
Views: 13685

Re: Embraer re-entering the Turboprop market?

With the coming pilot shortage, those routes will die. 2 pilots for 30-40 passenger seats will not make economic sense in most western countries in a few years. Agreed, which is why I see a compromise on copilot ATPs. Otherwise small airports loise service which invites political help... This is a ...

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by iceberg210
Mon Jul 02, 2018 4:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer E2 Flight Testing And Production Thread - 2018
Replies: 393
Views: 46056

Re: Embraer E2 Flight Testing And Production Thread - 2018

A prime the pump order, such as Winderoe would be great, but not sufficient. Lightsaber Exactly. 12 to prime the pump would be great but if nothing ends up coming out of the pump by the end of the show they're still in trouble. I hope Embraer realizes that when you think you can't afford to go lowe...

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by iceberg210
Mon Jul 02, 2018 3:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer E2 Flight Testing And Production Thread - 2018
Replies: 393
Views: 46056

Re: Embraer E2 Flight Testing And Production Thread - 2018

To my knowledge the only thing firmed last year for the E2 at Paris was 10 undisclosed E195E2. https://embraer.com/global/en/news#/33-embraer-announces-orders-and-commitments-for-the-e2-family-from-two-undisclosed-customers Still would like to know who those ten are... Having said that I think Light...

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by iceberg210
Mon Jun 25, 2018 5:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Jet Airways orders 75 Boeing 737 Max - yes again and again. Total now 225 MAX on order.
Replies: 79
Views: 11104

Re: Jet Airways orders 75 Boeing 737 Max - yes again and again. Total now 225 MAX on order.

Has there been any model breakdown or are they all going to be 8's? I would think with that many orders might make sense to try out 9's or 10's but hadn't heard anything on it.

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by iceberg210
Fri Jun 15, 2018 1:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumor: Dornier 328/328Jet to be back in manufacturing
Replies: 33
Views: 5483

Re: Dornier 328/328Jet to be back in manufacturing

I always thought a 30 and 50 seater family might just have a chance in the market again (there just is nothing there competitive) I had somewhat pinned my hopes on a EMB120NG or something but really glad to hear the 328 might have another lease on life! The question I have is what will power it? If ...

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by iceberg210
Wed Jun 13, 2018 3:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Production/Delivery Thread 2018
Replies: 519
Views: 126132

Re: Boeing 737MAX Production/Delivery Thread 2018

With almost 50 straight serial numbers being 8's, any ideas on when any 7's or 9's might be loaded up? I'd think United might have a couple more that would need to be coming up relatively soon.

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by iceberg210
Mon Jun 11, 2018 7:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why no BOI-east coast flights?
Replies: 34
Views: 4401

Re: Why no BOI-east coast flights?

As someone who lives in Boise the more helpful service would be to places that would be replacing driving not connecting service (regional). IE you save a lot more time (relatively to travel time) on flying direct from Boise to Montana, than you would going from a one stop to a direct flight for eas...

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by iceberg210
Wed Jun 06, 2018 5:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer E2 Flight Testing And Production Thread - 2018
Replies: 393
Views: 46056

Re: Embraer E2 Flight Testing And Production Thread - 2018

The 175E1 is the superior product in its category in the USA in my opinion. Given the non-scope compliance of the 175E2 as such, is there a possibility of a compromise that will fit scope? Would either the geared fan on the old wing or the “old” engines on the new wing be an option as a 175E1.5? Th...

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by iceberg210
Wed Jun 06, 2018 4:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer E2 Flight Testing And Production Thread - 2018
Replies: 393
Views: 46056

Re: Embraer E2 Flight Testing And Production Thread - 2018

Who is on the shortlist for E2 orders? Hint: Source: https://airwaysmag.com/industry/finnair-expands-codesharing-agreements-with-wideroe/ FINNAIR EXPANDS CODESHARING AGREEMENTS WITH WIDERØE what in the world does a codeshare have to do with an aircraft order. Experiment ??? Another hint: my avatar ...

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by iceberg210
Mon Jun 04, 2018 7:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus sales chief defiant on A330neo demand as Boeing seals new win
Replies: 132
Views: 26689

Re: Airbus sales chief defiant on A330neo demand as Boeing seals new win

The issue is higher 787 production rates and today's lower 787 production costs. Boeing is being much more aggressive because they can. IMHO the A330NEO is the 717 of the widebodies. A good plane, but not good enough for deep market penetration. Cest la vie. I think an A338F would sell. But the pax...

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by iceberg210
Mon Jun 04, 2018 1:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: HNA, COMAC sign deal for 200 C919, 100 ARJ21 jets: HNA Bailout
Replies: 53
Views: 7538

Re: HNA, COMAC sign deal for 200 C919, 100 ARJ21 jets

ARJ orders? Usually I congratulate for orders, but that plane has turned out nothing to a curse to everyone involved :P
Interesting to me that they haven't abandoned it as a learning experience instead of trying to keep pushing something that is such a burden to it's operators.

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by iceberg210
Wed May 23, 2018 6:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Discussion Thread - 2018
Replies: 2569
Views: 317851

Re: Boeing 797 Discussion Thread - 2018

The 2027 time frame makes sense, when you look at the engines. I don't think it will take eight years to make a LEAP derivative, and from what we read that's the most likely launch engine. Only if you can achieve the performance goals with an engine only half a generation more advanced than the com...

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by iceberg210
Mon May 21, 2018 4:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer E2 Flight Testing And Production Thread - 2018
Replies: 393
Views: 46056

Re: Embraer E2 Flight Testing And Production Thread - 2018

EMBSPBR, Only 4 days after being received by Wideroe, the second aircraft 190E2 (LN-WEB) started commercial flights today, performing the Berger-Bodo route. And the third E190-E2, LN-WEC, to be delivered in two weeks ... Do you know when they have to decide on the other options? I'd think we might ...

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by iceberg210
Thu May 17, 2018 4:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Global 7000 as CRJ-700 replacement?
Replies: 11
Views: 3805

Re: Global 7000 as CRJ-700 replacement?

A CRJ-700/900 NEO with a variant of the GE Passport engine makes a lot more sense from a practical standpoint. Perhaps they would build a single optimized version for 76 seats in a 2-class arrangement (the scope limit of most North American regionals) and call it the CRJ-800. Yeah... Or PW1200. New...

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by iceberg210
Mon May 14, 2018 5:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Production/Delivery Thread 2018
Replies: 519
Views: 126132

Re: Boeing 737MAX Production/Delivery Thread 2018

Great pictures! With us coming to the end of the published firing order I'll be interested to see what comes in the next batch! This past one had more 9's than I would have thought, be interested to see if that continues in the next set of maxes
Thanks again for all your work on this!

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by iceberg210
Sun May 13, 2018 9:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: QX Q400 pilots are they now flying E175's
Replies: 31
Views: 5237

Re: QX Q400 pilots are they now flying E175's

It looks like their current mix is they've got 38 Q400's, 14 NG's so one might expect a few more orders as while the Q400 will reduce it's numbers in the fleet I think it's safe to say it won't end up at 14. The outstanding order for 2 Qs was cancelled (last time I asked about it). The prevailing t...

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by iceberg210
Fri May 11, 2018 6:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer E2 Flight Testing And Production Thread - 2018
Replies: 393
Views: 46056

Re: Embraer E2 Flight Testing And Production Thread - 2018

I think you're overstating the trouble Embraer could face. The financial powerhouse that is Boeing can't get their hands on Embraer soon enough. Embraer has nothing to worry about even if they had trouble selling more frames. However, I think that the performance of the E2 will speak for itself and...

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by iceberg210
Fri May 11, 2018 6:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: QX Q400 pilots are they now flying E175's
Replies: 31
Views: 5237

Re: QX Q400 pilots are they now flying E175's

I was really hoping PenAir would succeed in the PNW. I was hoping they'd even find their way to Boise which between the Idaho Falls and Lewiston routes have lost a couple services and in my opinion other routes might have been feasible with the smaller aircraft. I love Alaska/Horizon but the econom...

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by iceberg210
Fri May 11, 2018 6:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer E2 Flight Testing And Production Thread - 2018
Replies: 393
Views: 46056

Re: Embraer E2 Flight Testing And Production Thread - 2018

I'm optimistic on the E2, C-series, MRJ, MC-21 and a little on the SSJ (it is now out of date with E2 EIS). I'm pessimistic on the ARJ-21, C919 (not because of the engines, but the interface definition is poor, which Embraer went from poor on the E-190 to possibly best in the world). e.g.g, the Glo...

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by iceberg210
Thu May 10, 2018 5:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: QX Q400 pilots are they now flying E175's
Replies: 31
Views: 5237

Re: QX Q400 pilots are they now flying E175's

I’m thinking of EAT YKM and ALW. It would be nice to see the 175 work in those markets, but as you say, the economics are different than with the Q400. I had some hope that PenAir would have done better at PDX and grown into other small PNW markets vacated by QX over the year, especially since they...

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by iceberg210
Thu May 10, 2018 4:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer E2 Flight Testing And Production Thread - 2018
Replies: 393
Views: 46056

Re: Embraer E2 Flight Testing And Production Thread - 2018

Thanks so much for the explanation makes a lot more sense now. It makes sense that you'd make it so that subsystems having issues might result in higher fuel burn or other trade offs but you could still dispatch the plane, instead of having it be a go no go situation. It's similar to trade offs made...

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by iceberg210
Thu May 10, 2018 2:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer E2 Flight Testing And Production Thread - 2018
Replies: 393
Views: 46056

Re: Embraer E2 Flight Testing And Production Thread - 2018

A little more analysis. I took prior numbers at Faith. Current ground time between flights is almost 7 hours. While such conservative planning is good for EIS, it is too high for a mature product. Certain flights take longer than others. Start the day at 6am and fly later, say 2am. The current sche...

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by iceberg210
Fri May 04, 2018 9:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska swaps 737 Max 8 orders for larger Max 9
Replies: 27
Views: 6803

Re: Alaska swaps 737 Max 8 orders for larger Max 9

Wonder if these were the former Air Canada slots. Glad to see the 9 still keeping it's head above water, we'll see if it keeps that way. No, they were probably AS’s slots, just -9 now instead of -8. It doesn’t sound like they brought forward any deliveries. Boeing can make any Max variant with any ...

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by iceberg210
Fri May 04, 2018 9:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska swaps 737 Max 8 orders for larger Max 9
Replies: 27
Views: 6803

Re: Alaska swaps 737 Max 8 orders for larger Max 9

Wonder if these were the former Air Canada slots.
Glad to see the 9 still keeping it's head above water, we'll see if it keeps that way.

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by iceberg210
Thu May 03, 2018 1:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American orders 15 E175s and 15 CRJ900s
Replies: 59
Views: 5811

Re: American orders 15 E175s and 15 CRJ900s

When I saw this I expected it to be the 15 undisclosed Embraer has on their order book from late last year, but sounds like from their press release this is a new one. Great order, I'm sure both wished they got the whole order but then again hard to turn down 15 of anything. https://embraer.com/glob...

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by iceberg210
Thu Apr 19, 2018 4:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Spirit Airlines eyes other aircraft for its next RFP
Replies: 117
Views: 11891

Re: Bloomberg: Spirit May Buy E190 or CS100

I'd love to know the timeline. My opinion of what Spirit will choose is the opposite of JetBlue. Why? Different mission lengths. Lightsaber So I'm guessing you're thinking E2 for spirit, CSeries for Jetblue? I think a lot more folks will start looking at this segment now that the CASM difference is...

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by iceberg210
Thu Apr 19, 2018 3:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumor: Jetblue E190 Decision imminent and Europe news?
Replies: 217
Views: 35193

Re: Rumor: Jetblue E190 Decision imminent and Europe news?

What I'd like to see
Order for 60 + 60 options for the E195E2
What I'm more expecting
Order for 60+60 options for a mix of CS100's and 300's

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by iceberg210
Thu Apr 19, 2018 2:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Spirit Airlines eyes other aircraft for its next RFP
Replies: 117
Views: 11891

Re: Bloomberg: Spirit May Buy E190 or CS100

I'd love to know the timeline. My opinion of what Spirit will choose is the opposite of JetBlue. Why? Different mission lengths. Lightsaber So I'm guessing you're thinking E2 for spirit, CSeries for Jetblue? I think a lot more folks will start looking at this segment now that the CASM difference is...

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by iceberg210
Fri Apr 13, 2018 6:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Discussion Thread - 2018
Replies: 2569
Views: 317851

Re: Boeing 797 Discussion Thread - 2018

3) No new engine technology to make it 10+% more efficient 4) No "perfect engine" for the task This part I think keeps seeming like the stumbling block. If you've only got a 10% jump when less than five years later perhaps the ultrafan or the latest GTF could get another 10% plus on that ...

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by iceberg210
Fri Apr 13, 2018 5:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer E-Jet E2 gets another performance boost
Replies: 56
Views: 9559

Re: Embraer E-Jet E2 gets another performance boost

Market estimates converge to a demand of about 6,000 aircraft in the segment of 100 to 150 passengers over the 20-year horizon, that is, an average of 300 units per year or 25 per month. Embraer is apparently preparing for demand in the order of 8 to 10 aircraft / month over a two-year horizon, whi...

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by iceberg210
Wed Apr 11, 2018 6:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of the A338
Replies: 123
Views: 16444

Re: Future of the A338

Don´t think there is much to worry about at the moment. The A330-300 was out in the market much earlier than the -200 was, thus the replacement cycle has started much earlier, which is reflected in the orders. . While it's early in the cycle I think much like the 757 replacement debates, they're of...

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by iceberg210
Tue Apr 10, 2018 3:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Lion Air buys 50 737max
Replies: 19
Views: 3414

Re: Lion Air buys 50 737max

Puts my numbers over 400 for the Max 10. Not bad.

Still wish Boeing would give a model breakdown on Maxes :P Oh well can't have everything. Good to have identified and even better to know what was in the unidentified order.

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by iceberg210
Tue Apr 10, 2018 3:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of the A338
Replies: 123
Views: 16444

Re: Future of the A338

The 330Neo had the goals of 1. Being less expensive than the 787 2. Better availibility 3. Relatively competitive operating costs. It's gotten pinched by the increase in production rate of the 787 and cost cutting measures on the frame along with an agressive strategy from Boeing. The problem for Ai...

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by iceberg210
Fri Apr 06, 2018 10:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer E-Jet E2 gets another performance boost
Replies: 56
Views: 9559

Re: Embraer E-Jet E2 gets another performance boost

I'm sure they use the best numbers they can find for the E2 in Embraer's numbers, however I think the most important thing to learn from this is they closed a gap in seat cost that was prohibitive for the 190's and 195's to work. Even if we assume that with different missions you get a little over t...

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by iceberg210
Tue Apr 03, 2018 8:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer E2 Flight Testing And Production Thread - 2018
Replies: 393
Views: 46056

Re: Embraer E2 Flight Testing And Production Thread - 2018

Next airline: "Air Astana of Kazakhstan is expected to be the second operator of the aircraft and will take the first of AerCap's five aircraft leased in the second half of the year." Good news, that'll be a nice little fleet for them of 5 aircraft, and good to hear that 5 of 22 AerCap's ...

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by iceberg210
Fri Mar 30, 2018 11:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer E2 Flight Testing And Production Thread - 2018
Replies: 393
Views: 46056

Re: Embraer E2 Flight Testing And Production Thread - 2018

Does anyone know if the staggered first class gains extra seats over the original version? (or how much it gains) I'm very interested in how say a US regional could configure their 175's in staggered versus unstaggered, specifically if that would make more seats in a shorter frame enabling a say 170...

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by iceberg210
Tue Mar 27, 2018 9:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Horizon Shutters Lewiston Service from SEA and BOI
Replies: 16
Views: 2023

Alaska Horizon Shutters Lewiston Service from SEA and BOI

Lewiston to Boise is ending in August, ending the last inter Idaho service for Horizon a carrier that used to provide a variety of options out of Boise to other parts of the state. Sounds like while their loads weren't great at 60% they were getting people and it almost feels to me like this is the ...

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by iceberg210
Wed Mar 21, 2018 1:47 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus And Boeing 2018 Orders
Replies: 328
Views: 78353

Re: Airbus And Boeing 2018 Orders

UA444 wrote:
Are they still taking orders for 737NG and A320ceo?

The last non military 737NG order Boeing has on the books currently is 4 737-900ER's for Alaska Airliners booked last August.
I'm curious to know that too if they plan on selling anymore NG's.

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by iceberg210
Mon Mar 19, 2018 8:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: CR2/E145 replacement?
Replies: 41
Views: 5162

Re: CR2/E145 replacement?

In my dream world. There are a couple things that make the economics of the 50 and under seater planes rough nowadways, fuel, staff, and the high expense of developing a new model for the decent sized market that could support a plane, but not big enough to support a clean sheet design which would m...

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by iceberg210
Mon Mar 19, 2018 2:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer re-entering the Turboprop market?
Replies: 75
Views: 13685

Re: Embraer re-entering the Turboprop market?

https://leehamnews.com/2018/03/12/embraer-thinks-business-case-can-made-turboprop-nothing-soon/ Interesting to think Embraer sees the Q400 as likely to be put out to pasture soon. Also interesting that they're looking sounds like at electric under 50 seats, then another option bigger than the ATR. D...

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