Bonza better start restructuring quick stat if they want to survive. A handful of their routes have proven themselves, but some markets are just too small for a 7M8. I’m still convinced they need to head West. Red eyes from PER to MCY, OOL and NTL would be great for utilisation. The chances of them...
Jump to postConsidering UA's LAX-BNE was more aimed at Qld O&D with the School Holiday (Disneyland/Theme Park) crowd, I wonder if DL's seasonal is more aimed at USA O&D and/or gambling on the Aussie O&D 'recovering' in time for strong loads on both ends for NW24/25. Taking into consideration that L...
Jump to postThat is interesting. I probably expected DL in MEL rather than BNE. I tend to remember the ongoing discussions about DL and their A359 fleet. Based on that talk, MEL likely needs their longest range variant that they have less of, so the ability to operate with more flexibility in that regard into ...
Jump to postThat's my question. If UA can only make LAX-BNE work on a seasonal basis with a large hub at LAX, and with QF already on the route (not to mention AA's upcoming DFW-BNE service). Don’t forget that UA has a daily SFO-BNE flight which in some ways is competing against its LAX-BNE flight. UA's daily S...
Jump to postDelta now throwing their hat in the ring for BNE. Very interesting seeing the ramp up of seasonal flights to BNE by the big US 3 over the last 12 months. https://news.delta.com/delta-brisbane-bound-brand-new-flight-lax That is interesting. I probably expected DL in MEL rather than BNE. I tend to re...
Jump to postVery interesting addition. Congrats to BNE. I will say that given UA’s decision to cut short its seasonal service this year, it’s an interesting move to want to jump onto this market but will see how it goes. It was a bit of an eye opener to se that UA would be returning year for another try, but on...
Jump to postGiven that Melbourne is growing faster than Sydney, and international arrivals into both cities are quite close, the need to ensure that major cities can be well connected is key. Add in strong growth in SEQ too to the mix, particularly for internal migration demand. Looking at the major east coast ...
Jump to postWSI IMO will be predominately served by international and domestic LCCs Think Bonza and Jetstar Scoot, Air Asia, Cebu Pacific, Batic etc SYD will target premium with WSI targeting bogans as that is the main surrounding demographic Some low cost long haul operators will move, but a fair few might st...
Jump to postHonestly I do not see any kind of rush to serve WSI by carriers. If there is a cost or operational benefit some may look at it, but WSI will still be the 2nd option for carriers for some time to come. SYD is nearer to the premium demand, and where tourists want to go. It would take a lot to move to ...
Jump to postI don't think the Bonza model was necessarily bad, I just think it was premature. If you add another 5-10 million residents to Aus, then I think there would have been enough there for some success, albeit, moderately successful. Also, personal opinion, I think a 7M8 was a bit too much plane for the...
Jump to postI believe Bonza could be slyer than credit is given for For example If they kicked off with say SYD - OOL or MCY for example, then QF/JQ and VA would have fought tooth and nail to quash them However They jumped onto routes such as Mildura and Albury to Maroochy and now Gold Coast QF/JQ and VA sat b...
Jump to postQantas has adjusted NA flying for NS24 From mid July MEL-LAX will operate on a daily basis instead of 9 weekly, both the A380 and 789 loose a frequency each SYD-LAX will operate on a daily basis instead of 9 weekly, 2 weekly 789 canned From mid August SYD-AKL-JFK will operate 5 weekly instead of pr...
Jump to postI do wonder how long VA will continue with HND if it was to be underperforming. They may well have the Qld govt agreement in place now, but without the details on how it works, it would be interesting to see how they proceed. BKK perhaps. TK fly IST-BKK already. Fares are generally lower on the seco...
Jump to postIt would not appear that SYD-IAH has been a star performer so as much as I would love to see a new destination from MEL, just can’t see that being IAH. It is also an even longer route, which makes things more challenging operationally. Continuing to increase frequency/capacity into SFO and LAX may b...
Jump to postUA seems confident of further growth in Australia. United Airlines eyes more Australasia and South Pacific services in 2024 Quayle said Australasia and the South Pacific was firmly in the spotlight for new destinations and routes. “We’re just getting started (in the region) and there’s a lot more o...
Jump to postAs much as I love reading about wishlist routes, PER is not geographically situated to be a realistic option for USA service. Any O&D it does have can be supported through numerous route options. PER is doing very well for itself, especially in current terms of its mining and energy economy, and...
Jump to postBNE was reportedly identified to have the local O&D associated with the local carriers QF (and the old VA flights pre Covid). Whilst SFO is UA's major hub and had financial assistance from Queensland, going into BNE-LAX on their own coin against QF ultimately didn't help for them. It does leave...
Jump to postIn terms of US-Australia service, it is dominated by SYD, but that also tended to help fares in some cases from/to SYD. Markets like MEL and BNE are overshadowed, and have tended not to have the same opportunities for market stimulation as a result. If DL do decide to broaden their horizons in Austr...
Jump to postthekorean wrote:Calgary? Aside from summer tourism what possible traffic is there?
LAXdude1023 wrote:IndianicWorld wrote:LAXdude1023 wrote:
Cirium/FM Travel O&D report.
Would you happen to have the PDEW for MEL & SYD to LAX & SFO also? Would be interesting to see.
I do:
LAX-SYD: 299
SFO-SYD: 103
LAX-MEL: 159
SFO-MEL: 54
LAXdude1023 wrote:planemanofnz wrote:LAXdude1023 wrote:
LAX-BNE is 111 PDEW.
SFO-BNE is 27 PDEW.
Source?
Cirium/FM Travel O&D report.
Interesting move given it already serves both MCO and TPA.
Jump to postAlso - MOU agreed between Türkiye and Vietnam and AU for increase in capacity. Türkiye - increase from 7 to 35 frequency, for capital cities, over next two years with immediate increase to 14 weekly. 21 deviated cargo. Airlines can operate fifth freedom at two points of choice. Vietnam; Increase fr...
Jump to postTipping it may be half with JQ getting ADL-PER-DPS and VA perhaps OOL-PER-DPS, which may allow VA to be creative with their existing OOL regional allocation (i.e converting 2x or 3x of the existing ex-OOL non-stops to go via MCY or even TSV). If JQ get half it wouldn’t be those options VA has appli...
Jump to postI agree with the sentiments that anything from TG will need to be looked at with some level of wait and see.
They have been famous for changing strategy and making complex fleet orders. Next week there may well be an announcement they have ordered Airbus. Who knows.
I see the ongoing soap opera that is TK to Australia is being raised again. Whether they have the approvals they need isn’t clear yet, and after last time announcing their intentions without the required approvals in place, better hope they do have all their homework in order this time. Talking up a...
Jump to postInteresting to see Link move from Essendon to Tullamarine after some time operating there. A bit of a blow for Essendon, leaving its terminal fairly quiet, but they seem to have made most of it an office complex anyway. Either a good deal was put on the table to operate out of Tullamarine or Link sa...
Jump to postI would think that usually NZ would be very happy to operate most of the flights itself so that it has the control of offering, but given their current fleet issues, I am sure they would have loved some additional support. The codeshares would be mutually beneficial though. NZ/VA can make a lot of s...
Jump to postGiven that one of the biggest drivers of growth in aviation has been the low cost carriers, not a shock to see the level of orders that they have on the books of Airbus or Boeing. As mentioned above, the risk is the same for both in that regard.
Jump to postAirAsia Malaysia will begin daily services to PER from KUL from 11 March 2024 with A321neo. The additional service will complement the daily AirAsia X service Schedule for new service AK604 KUL-PER 1410-1950 AK605 PER-KUL 2040-240+1 https://www.travelnewsasia.com/news23/2111-AirAsiaMalaysia.shtml h...
Jump to postI wouldn’t expect much in the way of new HBA international routes, especially one like DPS which is an outbound leisure destination. I am not sure I see MCY-DPS being a winner either. Having spent time in Hobart last week, it was interesting to see the number of international visitors it is attracti...
Jump to postEK’s fleet strategy seems one they can’t quite figure out. I wouldn’t be surprised in a couple of years if the mix changes again, as I am sure they have worked out some way of giving that flexibility in their agreements. Having quite a few types will be a change from the last few years, and it curre...
Jump to postIts finally happening again, OZ launching seasonal 2x weekly ICN-MEL in Jan 2024 https://www.executivetraveller.com/news/asiana-melbourne-seoul-flights Great to see. Was losing hope anyone was going to fly it. A short season with minimal lead in time, but overall hope it leads to a permanent service.
Jump to postI would be interested to see if they ever look at Zipair flights to Australia in future, but even though they aren’t exactly equals in terms of market positioning, JQ seem to have more of a presence when looking at Japan-Australia. Currently only SYD (Daily HND) and MEL (4/5 weekly NRT) are getting ...
Jump to postGood to see ADL getting some love. With MEL already moving to 5 daily this month, and SYD going to the same next year, along with all the other changes SQ have been making in their presence in Australia, their rebuild after the pandemic has been impressive. Competitors like QF have been limited in t...
Jump to postI would not expect a significant rush away from SYD, as that will just free up space for competitors to come in and enter what will still be the more favourable airport in terms of yields. The Heathrow example is a good one. We know that QF/JQ have committed to flying to WSI, and more than likely VA...
Jump to postSeems to be quite a few trying to predict many things like MAN, DUB or 2nd daily PER-LHR but there are numerous factors against any of that. One is that they just won’t have the slots to do the latter with their likely upcoming schedule in a couple of years: SYD-LHR SYD-SIN-LHR MEL-LHR PER-LHR Flyin...
Jump to postLooks like the MEL-PER-MEL sectors of QF9/10 get dropped from around mid next year. Very odd. They seem content to continue to sell the idea of SYD-PER-FCO/CDG, so not sure why they wouldn’t see the need to continue to operate the 789 from a base in MEL for the LHR flight. Given the operational del...
Jump to postCertainly a good boost for PER and good to see QF back in CDG. It will be interesting to see what QF does with the full fleet of PS aircraft. The 12 A351 ULRs will be operating daily SYD/MEL to NYC and SYD/MEL/PER to LHR. That’ll pretty much fill up the entire fleet, they may be able to squeeze one...
Jump to postLike it or not, feed from the east coast is important to making these successful. PER on its own has some good demand, but let’s not overlook that filling the plane still needs the volume that PER alone can not likely provide. PER’s location suits QF’s purposes well at this point. True, though a ma...
Jump to postCertainly a good boost for PER and good to see QF back in CDG. It will be interesting to see what QF does with the full fleet of PS aircraft. Of course PER has a role in the future, but let’s not overlook that the East Coast is still where the vast majority of the population are, and if any of these...
Jump to postIt gives PER to Europe 14 weekly flights in peak periods when LHR, FCO and CDG are all operating, with a daily tag flight each from MEL and SYD to fly through PER. Like it or not, feed from the east coast is important to making these successful. PER on its own has some good demand, but let’s not ove...
Jump to postAt first I really didn’t see the value in what they were doing with merging the T3 and T4 security checkpoint. Ultimately though, after using it a few times, I actually think it is quite good. As someone that doesn’t use the VA lounge, it is not an issue for me, but I know of several that do use it ...
Jump to postWhat's the chance of QF starting service to YVR from BNE and MEL some time in the near to medium term? It would be nice to get some competition for AC. The issue QF has is aircraft availability even if they wanted to. Given the way that QF operate, I see them building up frequency from SYD as a pri...
Jump to postUA's been advertising the daily BNE-SFO ahead of the start of the NW23/24 season, I'm assuming as part of the AAIF, with some lines about "don't go via LAX or SYD, connect in SFO". I'd suspect SFO may had joined Queensland on the advertising but targeting the outbound Queensland to USA ma...
Jump to postI just took MEL-PVG-LGW and FCO-PVG-MEL routes recently using MU and certainly the European frequency is gradually ramping up. PVG Terminal is still a bit quiet but the transfer was seamless and the load factors are approx. only about 80% from my observation. I saw lots of Aussie connecting onwards...
Jump to postPER would be an interesting one. Can see them making a play for PER and BNE, and at a stretch ADL. They are all largely open markets. Wouldn’t be surprised if XJ was also an airline AVV was talking to, as the the Air Asia CEO never really closed the door there fully even after D7 returned to MEL. Ma...
Jump to postI like it, but it gets really confusing following their branding strategy. So many changes over time that it is hard to keep up.
Jump to postThe Air Asia thread is reporting Thai Air Asia X is planning to near-triple their fleet by 2028, from the current 6 aircraft. Snipped this from a post there: CEO says "... We have targeted to return to close to our pre-pandemic capacity by the end of 2024 and have accelerated expansion in the ...
Jump to post.we are certainly hearing a lot of the outcry about the decision to refuse QR’s request, but in all that it seems that TK has gone quiet on next steps with their Australian plans. The never ending story of TK and Australia continues. Australian Financial Review absolutely going to town on Qantas. It...
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