Search found 494 matches

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by Waterbomber
Fri Apr 20, 2018 7:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumor: Jetblue E190 Decision imminent and Europe news?
Replies: 122
Views: 17562

Re: Rumor: Jetblue E190 Decision imminent and Europe news?

There is no way that Embraer gets a remote chance of landing an order. They could just drop the deposits on the remaining E190`s if they at all exist. However, if they are significant, they could take up the order and resell or lease the frames to third parties. B6 should have another legal way out....

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by Waterbomber
Wed Apr 18, 2018 7:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: WN 1380 LGA-DAL emergency landing at PHL, 1 fatality
Replies: 590
Views: 90690

Re: WN 1380 LGA-DAL emergency landing at PHL, 1 fatality

One has to start to wonder whether certification tests replicate reality. If a fan blade breaks off and is caught between the fan casing and is then hit around by other fan blades, eventually it would have to exit that space from somewhere. What use is there in putting a strong fan case if it will b...

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by Waterbomber
Wed Apr 18, 2018 12:37 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Inventing in aerospace
Replies: 1
Views: 232

Inventing in aerospace

This is a question directed to the industry. Suppose that you have a great idea that may be the next big thing in aerospace. For the sake of argument, suppose that your idea is game-changing aircraft engine technology that would save say 30% SFC on today's most advanced engine technology. What would...

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by Waterbomber
Mon Apr 16, 2018 8:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Tim Clark: A380's advantages over twinjets still 'enormous'
Replies: 211
Views: 26314

Re: Tim Clark: A380's advantages over twinjets still 'enormous'

The fact of the matter is, EK was able to grow exponentially at airports that A380's could be sent to. Other places they are stuck with B777's because the airports are not capable or they can't build the demand. A cramped airliner is a good trap for the incidental flyer who wants to spend as little ...

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by Waterbomber
Sun Apr 15, 2018 11:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Tim Clark: A380's advantages over twinjets still 'enormous'
Replies: 211
Views: 26314

Re: Tim Clark: A380's advantages over twinjets still 'enormous'

Sorry to enter your battle dtw2hyd and Gemuser. First of all, the A380 can make money by itself if operated the way they should be. I doubt that EK can be competitive against Indian LCC's operating narrowbodies to the Middle East because the reality is that narrowbodies have better economics than wi...

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by Waterbomber
Sun Apr 15, 2018 7:39 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A visual look at how Hainan Airlines flies its A332, A330, B788, B789 fleet on its intercontinental long-haul routes
Replies: 41
Views: 7078

Re: A visual look at how Hainan Airlines flies its A332, A330, B788, B789 fleet on its intercontinental long-haul routes

Intercontinental is used in aviation, for all intents and purposes, as a measure of distance. For instance, a Morocco to Spain route is not referred to as being an intercontinental route. If anything, the above route maps show that Hainan don't know what they're doing. 2 fleets of similar aircraft e...

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by Waterbomber
Fri Apr 13, 2018 11:07 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will the ME3 become irrelevant?
Replies: 63
Views: 7738

Re: Will the ME3 become irrelevant?

The short answer is yes, but it may take a while. What the UAE airlines and QR are doing is trying to diversify their economy away from fossil fuel revenues. The only thing is that they're doing it with fossil fuel revenues, whether you like it or not. Don't want to believe it? Visit their website. ...

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by Waterbomber
Thu Apr 12, 2018 10:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IAG considering placing a bid for Norwegian
Replies: 227
Views: 28040

Re: IAG considering placing a bid for Norwegian

I think that IAG is the right candidate to take over DY. DY short haul can be maintained, long haul could be split. Whatever low cost makes sense and money would be maintained, the rest of the capacity could be sent East, either under the BA or Norwegian brand, depending on what makes sense. DY Arge...

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by Waterbomber
Sun Apr 08, 2018 7:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Mystery aircraft in Brazil: help needed to identify!
Replies: 10
Views: 2595

Re: Mystery aircraft in Brazil: help needed to identify!

It looks like a Skycatcher to me.

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by Waterbomber
Fri Apr 06, 2018 11:29 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: China announces 25% tariff against some US-built planes
Replies: 164
Views: 8522

Re: China announces 25% tariff against some US-built planes

Please read carefully, the other articles you see are sourcing ALL parts from the US. Currently, Iphones assembled in China are sourced from many countries. And yes indeed, the transportation issue is real. I am not in the News business but if you were to google "Chinese labor costs", you...

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by Waterbomber
Wed Apr 04, 2018 10:47 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: China announces 25% tariff against some US-built planes
Replies: 164
Views: 8522

Re: China announces 25% tariff against some US-built planes

I think that many views on this forum are short-sighted. Imposing reasonable tariffs to protect domestic industries is necessary against aggressive commerce. The trade war started when China started to sell aggressively into the U.S. market. At first it was small things but nowadays almost everythin...

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by Waterbomber
Tue Apr 03, 2018 7:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas defines ULR requirements, delays order decision
Replies: 324
Views: 48182

Re: Qantas defines ULR requirements, delays order decision

I’m not sure RPK is the best means to determine the size of “traffic” within different segments in the group. Australia is isolated and QF flies quite a few fairly long range international routes. Obviously domestic is much shorter. That is going to skew RPKs. Traffic is measured in terms of RPK. I...

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by Waterbomber
Tue Apr 03, 2018 3:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas defines ULR requirements, delays order decision
Replies: 324
Views: 48182

Re: Qantas defines ULR requirements, delays order decision

You've got it the wrong way round Waterbomber, QF carries a lot more domestic traffic than international. QF Domestic is the core of the operation and would be a profitable, sizable operation as a stand alone entity. Putting Australian group numbers together, QF/JQ domestic would carry between 70-7...

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by Waterbomber
Tue Apr 03, 2018 3:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas defines ULR requirements, delays order decision
Replies: 324
Views: 48182

Re: Qantas defines ULR requirements, delays order decision

You completely misunderstood all of the data that I just spent an hour writing :banghead: That 8% fuel burn advantage takes into account the payload capacity. That is not the difference trip fuel difference between two 789 and one A380. The two 787-9's flights combined would use nearly 20% less fue...

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by Waterbomber
Tue Apr 03, 2018 3:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas defines ULR requirements, delays order decision
Replies: 324
Views: 48182

Re: Qantas defines ULR requirements, delays order decision

You completely misunderstood all of the data that I just spent an hour writing :banghead: That 8% fuel burn advantage takes into account the payload capacity. That is not the difference trip fuel difference between two 789 and one A380. The two 787-9's flights combined would use nearly 20% less fue...

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by Waterbomber
Tue Apr 03, 2018 9:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas defines ULR requirements, delays order decision
Replies: 324
Views: 48182

Re: Qantas defines ULR requirements, delays order decision

You are not wrong about the 8% fuel burn advantage. 2 B789 will burn slightly less than a 2018 A380. As discussed earlier though, payload capability will be higher for the A380. You completely misunderstood all of the data that I just spent an hour writing :banghead: That 8% fuel burn advantage tak...

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by Waterbomber
Mon Apr 02, 2018 4:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas defines ULR requirements, delays order decision
Replies: 324
Views: 48182

Re: Qantas defines ULR requirements, delays order decision

An 8% fuel burn advantage at $5 a gallon. Feel free to work out how many millions of dollars worth of fuel the 787 will save. You are not wrong about the 8% fuel burn advantage. 2 B789 will burn slightly less than a 2018 A380. As discussed earlier though, payload capability will be higher for the A...

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by Waterbomber
Mon Apr 02, 2018 8:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas defines ULR requirements, delays order decision
Replies: 324
Views: 48182

Re: Qantas defines ULR requirements, delays order decision

Remarks such as the report that 2 x 236 seat B789 's can be operated for less than the cost of a 486 seat A380 show that preference. 2 B789's will burn around 11 tons an hour on ULH missions, the A380 Plus will clock in at 11.5 tons per hour. An A380 will be cheaper to operate than 2 B789's for sur...

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by Waterbomber
Mon Apr 02, 2018 1:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas defines ULR requirements, delays order decision
Replies: 324
Views: 48182

Re: Qantas defines ULR requirements, delays order decision

Well I think that there is no questioning that the current QF management is going to pick the B778 perhaps in combo with the B779. Not because it's the better airplane, but because it's a Boeing. Using a specialised aircraft in a flexible way is not ideal. LHR one day, HKG the next is a wrong conce...

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by Waterbomber
Sun Apr 01, 2018 11:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas defines ULR requirements, delays order decision
Replies: 324
Views: 48182

Re: Qantas defines ULR requirements, delays order decision

Yes the JL flights are from NRT but they could switch to HND. It also makes more sense given domestic connection options. Timetables can be made to fit the purpose. Currently JL is struggling in off peak for the new LHR flight. The departure times are a bit of a challenge for O&D in HND. So I'm ...

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by Waterbomber
Sun Apr 01, 2018 10:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas defines ULR requirements, delays order decision
Replies: 324
Views: 48182

Re: Qantas defines ULR requirements, delays order decision

Well I think that there is no questioning that the current QF management is going to pick the B778 perhaps in combo with the B779. Not because it's the better airplane, but because it's a Boeing. Using a specialised aircraft in a flexible way is not ideal. LHR one day, HKG the next is a wrong concep...

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by Waterbomber
Sun Apr 01, 2018 1:55 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Apparent search of an Aeroflot airliner at LHR
Replies: 16
Views: 4356

Re: Apparent search of an Aeroflot airliner at LHR

Is the aircraft considered a territory of the state of origin? Not in commercial aviation. We have to abide by the laws of whatever country we are in. If I remember my air law class correctly, the Tokyo Convention sets forth that the law of the flag state is applicable to aircraft when in flight, b...

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by Waterbomber
Sat Mar 31, 2018 8:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas defines ULR requirements, delays order decision
Replies: 324
Views: 48182

Re: Qantas defines ULR requirements, delays order decision

If he's looking to do ULH with anything resembling close to a full passenger load, isn't the 778 the only ideal option? I assume it carries more passenger and more cargo farther than the A359ULR could. Remember AJ is talking of ULH non-stop routes out of four Australian cities. To multiple destinat...

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by Waterbomber
Sat Mar 31, 2018 6:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas defines ULR requirements, delays order decision
Replies: 324
Views: 48182

Re: Qantas defines ULR requirements, delays order decision

Is the general consensus that neither the 778 or the 359 can make this trip (profitability) without serious and expensive physical modifications? A 10 year old 777-200LR can do it without modification. The 778 can then do it no problems and with an even greater payload. https://encrypted-tbn2.gstat...

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by Waterbomber
Fri Mar 30, 2018 7:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Jet Airways Defers Salaries of Some Employees
Replies: 35
Views: 5109

Re: Jet Airways Defers Salaries of Some Employees

Hadn't I said that 9W is the last piece of the crumbling EY empire, weeks before the first doubts were cast on this website? Quite corect Dtw2hyd, 9W is not sustainable. Back when they were running their scissor hub in BRU, the A330 flights were full but even so they never managed to make a profit. ...

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by Waterbomber
Fri Mar 30, 2018 2:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LH A350 New Colors - Hideous!
Replies: 260
Views: 32973

Re: LH A350 New Colors - Hideous!

Whomever approved that doesn't belong in aviation. Ah well, what do you expect from the current LH management? Just be happy that there isn't a big EUROWINGS logo on it. If nobody cares about liveries, then you don't need to change them. Obviously the board agreed that this looks much better... It's...

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by Waterbomber
Thu Mar 29, 2018 11:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas defines ULR requirements, delays order decision
Replies: 324
Views: 48182

Re: Qantas defines ULR requirements, delays order decision

I think that the B778 will not be produced, the same way Airbus wont build the A338 as a commercial variant. The current B778 backlog is insufficient and shaky at best. Its hard to justify the cost. RJMAZ, your A380 figure is incorrect. With today's 575 tons MTOW, it can carry 25 tons and reserves t...

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by Waterbomber
Mon Mar 26, 2018 10:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Inaugural QF MEL-PER-LHR this Saturday 24 March
Replies: 569
Views: 67979

Re: Inaugural QF MEL-PER-LHR this Saturday 24 March

Another review on Economy on QF9, this time from Australian Aviation. http://australianaviation.com.au/2018/03/nine-wide-life-at-the-back-of-the-bus-on-qf9/ Also onboard was a frequent traveller to Asia and Europe who is a QFF and usually travels in business, but had to travel in economy due to no ...

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by Waterbomber
Sun Mar 25, 2018 8:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Inaugural QF MEL-PER-LHR this Saturday 24 March
Replies: 569
Views: 67979

Re: Inaugural QF MEL-PER-LHR this Saturday 24 March

From the above article: http://www.news.com.au/technology/innovation/first-qantas-perthlondon-direct-flight-touches-down/news-story/40cd1df465f6e088e020dd05731b21fb?utm_content=SocialFlow&utm_campaign=EditorialSF&utm_source=News.com.au&utm_medium=Twitter “We do have the rights to fly to ...

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by Waterbomber
Sun Mar 25, 2018 7:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Inaugural QF MEL-PER-LHR this Saturday 24 March
Replies: 569
Views: 67979

Re: Inaugural QF MEL-PER-LHR this Saturday 24 March

I think that we can congratulate QF and its fans for the historic aspect. I think though that the fans are being mislead. If QF wants to, they can fly A380 plusses direct MEL-LHR as soon as 2020 in real comfort. That is what a flagship route deserves, not whatever QF is showing us here. About flying...

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by Waterbomber
Sun Mar 25, 2018 1:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Inaugural QF MEL-PER-LHR this Saturday 24 March
Replies: 569
Views: 67979

Re: Inaugural QF MEL-PER-LHR this Saturday 24 March

This flight also showcases one of the major challenges of making such routes profitable. After 12hours it's finally at FL400, even though its only carrying 216pax, less than a fully loaded A321. On a bad day with strong westerlies and bad weather expected at LHR, you have to block 60 seats for ever...

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by Waterbomber
Sun Mar 25, 2018 12:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Inaugural QF MEL-PER-LHR this Saturday 24 March
Replies: 569
Views: 67979

Re: Inaugural QF MEL-PER-LHR this Saturday 24 March

This flight also showcases one of the major challenges of making such routes profitable. After 12hours it's finally at FL400, even though its only carrying 216pax, less than a fully loaded A321. On a bad day with strong westerlies and bad weather expected at LHR, you have to block 60 seats for every...

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by Waterbomber
Sat Mar 24, 2018 1:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will GTF bypass ratios put (current) large twins in jeopardy?
Replies: 30
Views: 6271

Re: Will GTF bypass ratios put (current) large twins in jeopardy?

I doubt that a GTF by itself will give that much of a SFC gain on a 3-spool engine where the LPC is already running at a more optimal speed. Isn't it ironic then that the manufacturer that actually has the 3-spool architecture (RR) is the one with defined programs working towards GTF capability, wh...

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by Waterbomber
Fri Mar 23, 2018 11:44 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will GTF bypass ratios put (current) large twins in jeopardy?
Replies: 30
Views: 6271

Re: Will GTF bypass ratios put (current) large twins in jeopardy?

I doubt that a GTF by itself will give that much of a SFC gain on a 3-spool engine where the LPC is already running at a more optimal speed. While GTF might become a standard technology on turbofans, it also may not. In particular, at PW we see that some of the issues may be indirectly GTF related. ...

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by Waterbomber
Fri Mar 23, 2018 10:39 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ryanair to Open 15 Routes from The Ukraine
Replies: 40
Views: 6231

Re: Ryanair to Open 15 Routes from The Ukraine

Another mistake of O'Leary. There is no money to be made in Ukraine. Many African countries have a higher per capita spending power than Ukraine. As for inbound tourism, including "leisure" tourism, the demand is only there at low fares. So IEV is the better airport to serve this demand. ...

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by Waterbomber
Thu Mar 22, 2018 1:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ryanair to Open 15 Routes from The Ukraine
Replies: 40
Views: 6231

Re: Ryanair to Open 15 Routes from The Ukraine

Another mistake of O'Leary. As I pointed out in the Laudamotion thread, Ryanair is starting to run around like it doesn't know what to do next. There is no money to be made in Ukraine. Many African countries have a higher per capita spending power than Ukraine. As for inbound tourism, including &quo...

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by Waterbomber
Wed Mar 21, 2018 11:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ryanair buys 24.9% stake in Laudamotion
Replies: 60
Views: 7989

Re: Ryanair buys 24.9% stake in Laudamotion

I strongly doubt that this is a good move for FR. There is a reason why every airline that this guy founded couldn't survive on its own. The first real issue is scale. 6 aircraft is nothing. 30 aircraft is decent but FR can't commit to something like that because the market isn't big enough for both...

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by Waterbomber
Tue Mar 20, 2018 1:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus considering an A33JF at Amazon&UPS request
Replies: 61
Views: 11932

Re: Airbus considering an A33JF at Amazon&UPS request

I said it also in the A330neo thread, but Airbus needs to stretch the A339 to make it competitive against the B787-10. The A359 market will eventually move upwards towards the A35J as a B77W replacement and then Airbus will lose a lot of B772 and A333 replacement orders unless it can also offer a hi...

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by Waterbomber
Thu Mar 08, 2018 12:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Pressure mounts on Airbus A330 in widebody order battle
Replies: 283
Views: 37379

Re: Pressure mounts on Airbus A330 in widebody order battle

Highly doubtful. The A350 would have the same capacity. You would expect the A330 to burn less fuel on the same trip but the A359's better wing and carbon design would make it near equal. The A330-1000 slightly lower empty weight would not be able to make up for it. This contrasts the 787-10 which ...

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by Waterbomber
Thu Mar 08, 2018 10:44 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Pressure mounts on Airbus A330 in widebody order battle
Replies: 283
Views: 37379

Re: Pressure mounts on Airbus A330 in widebody order battle

I think that we can ask ourselves a totally different question. Could Airbus launch the A330-1000 as a more regional option to attack the B787-10? Highly doubtful. The A350 would have the same capacity. You would expect the A330 to burn less fuel on the same trip but the A359's better wing and carb...

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by Waterbomber
Thu Mar 08, 2018 3:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Pressure mounts on Airbus A330 in widebody order battle
Replies: 283
Views: 37379

Re: Pressure mounts on Airbus A330 in widebody order battle

I think that we can ask ourselves a totally different question.
Could Airbus launch the A330-1000 as a more regional option to attack the B787-10?

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by Waterbomber
Wed Mar 07, 2018 4:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus Is in Talks With British Airways on More A380s
Replies: 385
Views: 66311

Re: Airbus Is in Talks With British Airways on More A380s

Lots of high paying job are leaving London for other European cities , no bankers...no takers for high paying O&D traffic...no need for premium heavy configurations. They obviously will get connecting traffic, but those wouldn't be high yielding Interesting. Any data showing this? To which citi...

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by Waterbomber
Tue Mar 06, 2018 11:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus Is in Talks With British Airways on More A380s
Replies: 385
Views: 66311

Re: Airbus Is in Talks With British Airways on More A380s

Just because WW says that the price isn't right yet, many people here seem eager to write the A380 off on the basis of poor economics. The reality is that BA needs the A380 to remain competitive in the long run. Many routes can use it and it gives BA the opportunity to grow their most successful rou...

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by Waterbomber
Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: CFM faces repairs to 500+ LEAP engines
Replies: 29
Views: 6107

Re: CFM faces repairs to 500+ LEAP engines

[threeid][/threeid]I don't think that it's the production numbers or the supply chain that is the issue. Both CFM and PW are walking on the edge of the current turbofan engine architecture in an attempt to maximise fuel efficiency. Inevitably, they will step over the edge from time to time. Whether ...

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by Waterbomber
Sat Mar 03, 2018 3:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Comac ARJ21 visits Europe
Replies: 33
Views: 4667

Re: Comac ARJ21 visits Europe

Grab your camera or run for cover?

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by Waterbomber
Fri Mar 02, 2018 11:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian names possible transatlantic A321LR markets
Replies: 96
Views: 19671

Re: Norwegian names possible transatlantic A321LR markets

Can the A321LR even make it from BUD to North America? BUD-BOS/JFK are comfortably within range. BWI/IAD is on the limits. Yes, with 120 pax and bags for BOS and 110 pax and bags to JFK. Flying TATL, you have to keep in mind that there are strong prevailing westerly winds, plus NAT OS track detour,...

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by Waterbomber
Thu Mar 01, 2018 1:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer pitches E195-E2 at JetBlue
Replies: 250
Views: 38586

Re: Embraer pitches E195-E2 at JetBlue

I doubt that Airbus is going to let this one slide to Embraer. Personally I think that Embraer doesn't stand a chance. Jetblue is not convinced by Embraer, otherwise they would have converted remaining E90 orders to the E2 version a long time ago. On the other hand, existing Cseries customers can't ...

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