Search found 135 matches

by acentauri
Fri Jun 15, 2018 3:53 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Do You Believe In Aliens
Replies: 88
Views: 2098

Re: Do You Believe In Aliens

My biggest regret in life is that I was born 500 years too early and will miss out on earth's most interesting times. Of course there is always the possibility that in 500 years, there will be no earth. If there are existing alien civilizations capable of interstellar travel, they likely don't even ...

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by acentauri
Sun Jun 10, 2018 5:38 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta refinery question
Replies: 3
Views: 854

Re: Delta refinery question

Refineries make their money on the crack spread. The cost of fuel itself is more a trivial matter. Good news for refiners is that the crack spread has been widening, so they will earn more on each barrel worked. Crack Spread: A “Quick-and-Dirty” Indicator of Refining Profitability https://stillwate...

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by acentauri
Fri Jun 01, 2018 6:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: China Eastern to launch Shanghai - Pittsburgh charters
Replies: 67
Views: 6050

Re: China Eastern to launch Shanghai - Pittsburgh charters

Regarding the subsidy, it is $560,000 for one year, not per round trip. Who knows how many flights that will be. The subsidy decreases as more tickets get sold. It is part of a 3 year agreement with Chinese tour operator Caissa Touristic. A couple non-aviation entities such as VisitPittsburgh and I...

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by acentauri
Fri Jun 01, 2018 3:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: China Eastern to launch Shanghai - Pittsburgh charters
Replies: 67
Views: 6050

Re: China Eastern to launch Shanghai - Pittsburgh charters

Skywatcher wrote:
Somebody is subsidizing these flights....$1,000 round trip sounds way low to me.

I believe there is a subsidy of about $500,000 for each round trip (2 max). I don't however know if it is a revenue guarantee offset or a blanket payment/flight.

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by acentauri
Tue May 29, 2018 11:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Denver International Airport Expansion Plans
Replies: 105
Views: 17421

Re: Denver International Airport Expansion Plans

https://www.bizjournals.com/denver/news/2018/04/19/colorado-eco-devo-leaders-offer-big-incentives-to.html This is behind a paywall but the Colorado Economic Development Commission approved $400k in incentives to an unnamed airline to potentially begin a new nonstop to Europe in 2019. The article sa...

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by acentauri
Mon May 28, 2018 3:04 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 5/27/2018:AA Drops LAX-MBJ;XE Changes Cali Network;P1/J1/4P Swaps;4O Drops SAT/IAH-BJX
Replies: 45
Views: 7277

Re: OAG Changes 5/27/2018:AA Drops LAX-MBJ;XE Changes Cali Network;P1/J1/4P Swaps;4O Drops SAT/IAH-BJX

..................... .................................. Yep, been 2 a day for a while for both BOS/JFK. They are actually doing really well on both routes. I'm assuming they won't increase JFK unless they get more slots. But there is no reason they can't increase BOS to 4 a day. Probably doing it ...

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by acentauri
Sun May 20, 2018 1:19 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: CLT concourse A
Replies: 22
Views: 3063

Re: CLT concourse A

wait....so PMAA never left A? Why not? AA did not keep the gates and does not currently operate out of A. But AA wants as many gates in CLT as possible to both expand and keep competition out. "and keep competition out". IF TRUE (which I doubt), that is an indefensible position for both A...

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by acentauri
Tue May 15, 2018 11:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 5/13/2018:UA Swaps EWR/IAD Markets, Many Other Changes!;DL Adds BOS-PHL,Drops JFK-PHL,MCO-MIA;
Replies: 98
Views: 13997

Re: OAG Changes 5/13/2018:UA Swaps EWR/IAD Markets, Many Other Changes!;DL Adds BOS-PHL,Drops JFK-PHL,MCO-MIA;

............. Interesting analysis on big pharma. Overall multiple dynamics seem to be at play, from Star and Oneworld's relative strength to the proximity to EWR and the overall smaller economic output in PHL than in NYC, BOS, and WAS......... . The Philadelphia MSA GDP is Greater (not smaller) th...

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by acentauri
Sun May 06, 2018 3:16 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest is not a Dangerous Airline (article)
Replies: 39
Views: 4547

Re: Southwest is not a Dangerous Airline (article)

To put things in perspective, this is essentially a 1 person BLOG. Calling it an "Article" is a bit misleading.

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by acentauri
Thu Apr 26, 2018 1:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: PIT Update Discussion Thread - 2018
Replies: 884
Views: 83516

Re: PIT Update Discussion Thread - 2018

"Flight records show which Amazon HQ2 cities Jeff Bezos' jet has visited — and which it hasn't" Interesting to speculate but this really doesn't tell anything. Watch for the announcement in November, though. https://www.bizjournals.com/pittsburgh/news/2018/04/24/jeff-bezos-private-jet-fli...

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by acentauri
Mon Apr 23, 2018 4:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Secondary Airports USA / East Coast
Replies: 42
Views: 3654

Re: Secondary Airports USA / East Coast

bohica wrote:
A380MSN004 wrote:
Atlantic City => Pass, it's super too far


It's not too far from PHL. Also it's less than 2 hours from EWR.

For Central/Southern NJ residents flying to MCO, FLL, or ATL, ACY is definitely an alternative airport to PHL, on SPIRIT (non-stop).

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by acentauri
Mon Apr 23, 2018 3:31 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 4/22/2018:AA Drops MIA-OMA;AS Suspends DTW-PDX; AV Adds BOS-SAL, MCO-GUA/LIM/SAL;B6 +GCM-FLL;UA +ORD-SHD
Replies: 60
Views: 9875

Re: OAG Changes 4/22/2018:AA Drops MIA-OMA;AS Suspends DTW-PDX; AV Adds BOS-SAL, MCO-GUA/LIM/SAL;B6 +GCM-FLL;UA +ORD-SHD

ryanflyer wrote:
Wonder why Omaha-Miami was cancelled. The route seemed to be doing alright when I flew it. Interesting that Omaha just got a Philadelphia flight too that starts in a few weeks.

Actually OMA-PHL is 2 x Daily.

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by acentauri
Fri Apr 20, 2018 5:38 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Secondary Airports USA / East Coast
Replies: 42
Views: 3654

Re: Secondary Airports USA / East Coast

Wilmington, DE for PHL - Deceased in mid-2015.

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by acentauri
Thu Apr 19, 2018 10:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Can AA Make a Comeback at BOS/JFK?
Replies: 100
Views: 8382

Re: Can AA Make a Comeback at BOS/JFK?

bridge29 wrote:
A BOS passenger has less incentive to travel all the way to PHL to take an European flight.

OR, to JFK,
iyerhari wrote:
AA and via JV partners has many of the top O/D markets covered from NYC.

A shocking revelation.

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by acentauri
Mon Apr 09, 2018 1:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SkyTeam TATL at PHL
Replies: 68
Views: 6115

Re: SkyTeam TATL at PHL

........................... In reality Philadelphia is a very poor city that's lucky to have a prominent university and a major air hub................ Lucky ?? Benjamin Franklin founded PENN - a "few" years before anet. The major air Hub has little to do with "luck". It has to ...

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by acentauri
Sun Apr 08, 2018 3:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines orders 47 additional 787's (22 788's and 25 789's), cancels A350 order
Replies: 565
Views: 74335

Re: American Airlines orders 47 additional 787's (22 788's and 25 789's), cancels A350 order

NateGreat wrote:
So, will CLT and PHL finally get some 787s?

PHL is already getting the 787-8, 787-9 and A350, just not in AA colors.

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by acentauri
Sat Mar 31, 2018 11:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Impact to DCA and IAD based on Amazon HQ2 rumor
Replies: 31
Views: 3855

Re: Impact to DCA and IAD based on Amazon HQ2 rumor

The Business Insider article may be right for the reason that a broken clock is correct twice a day. However, nothing whatsoever in the article: (1) shows any evidence of Amazon taking steps towards placing a headquarters at that site (i.e. has made a selection); and (2) gives any new information a...

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by acentauri
Thu Mar 29, 2018 2:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: WSJ: Growth of Transcons at BWI and Elsewhere
Replies: 18
Views: 2060

Re: WSJ: Growth of Transcons at BWI and Elsewhere

How much growth is due to AMTRAK service from Union Stn in DC to BWI? Amtrak may play a big role, but don't forget about access from north of Baltimore, particularly Wilmington, Del., which is a small, but important business center (lots of businesses are incorporated in Delaware ). And, as far as ...

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by acentauri
Sun Mar 25, 2018 11:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Aer Lingus starting PHL today (Mar 25th)
Replies: 5
Views: 1698

Re: Aer Lingus starting PHL today (Mar 25th)

Summer should do very well. Winter, they will likely need a few business contracts, or get their act together and join OW. EI should gain significant "home country" support from the expat and large Irish-American community in the Philadelphia metro. The only reason I would fly AA (or any U...

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by acentauri
Sun Mar 25, 2018 4:16 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Regarding AA's JFK-Zurich Route Ending (AA 64/AA65)
Replies: 74
Views: 8998

Re: Regarding AA's JFK-Zurich Route Ending (AA 64/AA65)

haha wow American can't even sustain a hub at the most premium hub in North America... if JFK-Zurich is not sustainable why does AA even serve JFK at all? Their constant decline at NYC makes no strategic sense DL must be so happy i suspect AA will give away LAX to DL as well not happening. AA has m...

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by acentauri
Sun Mar 25, 2018 2:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Regarding AA's JFK-Zurich Route Ending (AA 64/AA65)
Replies: 74
Views: 8998

Re: Regarding AA's JFK-Zurich Route Ending (AA 64/AA65)

American is obviously restructuring their network to concentrate on achieving the highest margins possible. Why swim in a huge pool of sharks for a small gobble of food, when you can have a pool almost to yourself. IMO, a smart, unorthodox move for the airline industry - Very Parkerish. No one on an...

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by acentauri
Thu Mar 22, 2018 4:47 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Regarding AA's JFK-Zurich Route Ending (AA 64/AA65)
Replies: 74
Views: 8998

Re: Regarding AA's JFK-Zurich Route Ending (AA 64/AA65)

............................. PHL: AMS, DUB, LHR, MAN, MAD, MUC, CDG, FCO, ZRH Seasonal: ATH, BCN, FRA, GLA, LIS, PRG, SNN, VCE ............................ Seasonal: ATH, BCN,<BUD>, FRA, GLA, LIS, PRG, SNN, VCE Actually the most surprising PHL Add (versus JFK), although not T/A, is Year Round MEX.

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by acentauri
Tue Mar 20, 2018 4:44 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: PIT Update Discussion Thread - 2018
Replies: 884
Views: 83516

Re: PIT Update Discussion Thread - 2018

I agree, that having any of the London airports would be ideal, preferably LHR. BA started AUS-LHR with a 787. It did so well, they changed to to a 777. A BA 787 PIT-LHR should work. I was very disappointed when DL cancelled the NW 787 orders. Always thought daily 787 PIT-CDG would do well with thi...

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by acentauri
Sat Mar 17, 2018 10:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA after Doug Parker
Replies: 38
Views: 6474

Re: AA after Doug Parker

He could decide to take on the challenges of growing a (relatively) small existing carrier as CEO, such as Siegel (USAir) did at Frontier. I really don't think Parker could ever "retire", he's too hyped up with the typical God complex of a major industry CEO. Depending on when Parker steps...

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by acentauri
Fri Mar 16, 2018 1:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA CEO says no new hubs, fleet growth, point to point flying
Replies: 93
Views: 17426

Re: AA CEO says no new hubs, fleet growth, point to point flying

BOS-CDG is gone and I feel will not come back. Too much competition on the route for AA to handle and I believe not worth it for them - AF, DL and 6F. I believe AA is using that aircraft to PHL-BUD. But in retrospect, there has always been a talk in the BOS forum how long the AAE routes are going t...

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by acentauri
Sun Mar 11, 2018 4:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA: ORD-MEX
Replies: 8
Views: 2070

Re: AA: ORD-MEX

nomorerjs wrote:
PHL soon and CLT on a 319. Sure they have no competition, but one would think AA could at least do a 319 on this route?

You're assuming that AA will continue CLT after PHL starts.

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by acentauri
Sat Mar 10, 2018 12:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American launches Philadelphia-Mexico City
Replies: 75
Views: 7871

Re: American launches Philadelphia-Mexico City

Come on MAH4546 - are you hiding?? What's your read on this addition. Is there enough Jersey/Philadelphia region O&D + connections, competing with existing NYC services, to support this flight year round? IMO, AA will likely cancel CLT-MEX and drive those connections through PHL. I'm not convinc...

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by acentauri
Thu Mar 08, 2018 11:49 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: If aliens from another planet exist,where are they?
Replies: 51
Views: 1974

Re: If aliens from another planet exist,where are they?

Forget about the science based probability theories, just watch the entire X-Files series. That's what's really happening today and Crump is One. Once found out, they 'll be nothing left but green goo on the floor of the House AND his last words will be "This (aliens among us) is Fake news"...

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by acentauri
Thu Mar 08, 2018 4:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Philadelphia (PHL) Hub
Replies: 56
Views: 8062

Re: American Airlines Philadelphia (PHL) Hub

The new seasonal additions plus the ZRH route (moving from JFK) were announced a while back. PHL was the primary gateway to Europe for USAirways pre-merger and much of that route map is essentially legacy USAirways. The only real change is the deployment of LAA 767-300ER's for the ZRH, BUD, and PRG...

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by acentauri
Thu Feb 22, 2018 12:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Do you think the 'Southwest Effect' still exists?
Replies: 74
Views: 7174

Re: Do you think the 'Southwest Effect' still exists?

When I see threads like this, I remember US Airways CEO David Siegel's famous statement when Southwest first entered PHL in 2004: "Southwest is coming to kill us."

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by acentauri
Wed Feb 21, 2018 7:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Network Thread 2018
Replies: 234
Views: 25775

Re: American Airlines Network Thread 2018

OslPhlWasChi wrote:
acentauri wrote:
.......................
CDG: AA, DL
.......................
RKV: ICE
.......................

DL is not bringing back CDG seasonal service to PHL.
I assume "RKV: ICE" = KEF: FI.

Looks like you're correct. CDG (AA) remains.
Yep, KEF : FI (Icelandic)
Too late to make the changes.

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by acentauri
Wed Feb 21, 2018 4:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Network Thread 2018
Replies: 234
Views: 25775

Re: American Airlines Network Thread 2018

Really, except for the lack of more foreign carriers - afterall PHL is an AA International Hub, why is this list of 2018 PHL Destinations (excluding Caribbean) not impressive: LHR : AA, BA MAN: AA GLA: AA DUB: AA, EI SNN: AA FRA: AA, LH MUC: AA CDG: AA, DL FCO: AA VCE: AA MAD: AA AMS: AA BCN: AA ZRH...

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by acentauri
Mon Feb 19, 2018 9:31 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Indianapolis Aviation Thread - 2018
Replies: 1134
Views: 67789

Re: Indianapolis Aviation Thread - 2018

Looks like AA isn't taking too kindly to F9, and is undercutting F9 by selling $48 one-way on IND-PHL. For those that don't know AA usually sells those flights at $500+ one-way. So, I don't see F9 staying on this route if AA prices like this. http://atwonline.com/airports-routes/allegiant-adds-new-...

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by acentauri
Sun Feb 18, 2018 4:23 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: If a Texas sized asteroid was headed for Earth...
Replies: 57
Views: 1846

Re: If a Texas sized asteroid was headed for Earth...

Steal ALVIN. Fit with cold weather gear, food and a portable toilet. Sink and remain at -12000 Ft for 2 Days after the impact. Surface and hope for the best.

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by acentauri
Thu Feb 15, 2018 7:14 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: PHL buys more land in effort to bolster shipping
Replies: 21
Views: 2944

Re: PHL buys more land in effort to bolster shipping

Not sure how this would play into this, but isn't Philadelphia still on the shortlist for Amazon's HQ2? This could be a way of bolstering the city's bid. HQ2 is going to be in a state with low or no taxes, not a high tax location like philly. North West Dallas/Fort Worth is a good bet... The Easter...

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by acentauri
Thu Feb 15, 2018 3:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian's next long-haul targets
Replies: 47
Views: 7574

Re: Norwegian's next long-haul targets

How will PHL work for them when DL could not even make it work? AA will not let them succeed in PHL-LGW. DL never flew PHL-LGW. Regarding PHL-LHR; IMO (and many others), DL never had any intention of making PHL-LHR a viable network route. They just wanted the slot pair from the EU mandated AA-US me...

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by acentauri
Tue Feb 13, 2018 2:23 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Network Thread 2018
Replies: 234
Views: 25775

Re: American Airlines Network Thread 2018

Philadelphia has the 3rd largest Jamaican population in the US (after NYC and Miami) and 4th largest Haitian population (after NYC, Miami, and Boston) so I would speculate that KIN and PAP would probably work. Philadelphia has the 5th largest Trinidadian population and could also draw from Maryland...

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by acentauri
Wed Feb 07, 2018 1:21 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: [Speculation] What could AA do with a A321neoLR in the A321T 102 seat config?
Replies: 36
Views: 3895

Re: [Speculation] What could AA do with a A321neoLR in the A321T 102 seat config?

.................................... I think that, in a network carrier such as American and United, 12 J seats on a daily basis and 100 Y seats (maybe actually 8-12 seats of true Economy plus) will make this a great plane from secondary hubs (that are primary cities such as PHL, BOS, etc) to secon...

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by acentauri
Fri Feb 02, 2018 4:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Wants to Grow in Charlotte
Replies: 104
Views: 12910

Re: American Airlines Wants to Grow in Charlotte

ADrum23 wrote:
................
AA needs to build PHL into a much larger operation IMO. Dump the JFK hub (expect for hub flights and LHR) and build PHL into the primary northeastern hub.

Huh? I thought it already was.

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by acentauri
Thu Feb 01, 2018 7:31 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Possible new routes for EL AL Airlines
Replies: 49
Views: 5255

Re: Possible new routes for EL AL Airlines

El Al does not exist to serve populations of "Jews." I'd bet most of their U.S. originating traffic is probably Christians going on vacation. Philadelphia-Tel Aviv is not a large local market. It was artificially inflated by US Airways entering the market, and is not a market service gap....

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by acentauri
Mon Jan 29, 2018 9:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: PIT Update Discussion Thread - 2018
Replies: 884
Views: 83516

Re: PIT Update Discussion Thread 2018

I'm getting dizzy navigating all these "K"s. :devil: :devil:

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by acentauri
Thu Jan 25, 2018 12:47 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: BA to CLT?
Replies: 43
Views: 6020

Re: BA to CLT?

FrmrKSEngr wrote:
.............
...Next, If you replan PHL and CTL with 777s, what do you do with the A330s? Why up-gage (seats and range) if it is not needed?

Use them for Latin America.

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by acentauri
Wed Jan 24, 2018 12:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Network Thread 2018
Replies: 234
Views: 25775

Re: American Airlines Network Thread 2018

TLV returning in 2018.

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by acentauri
Mon Jan 22, 2018 2:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Bloomberg: JAL considers additional A350s and int'l expansion
Replies: 90
Views: 19872

Re: Bloomberg: JAL considers additional A350s and int'l expansion

..................... Personal opinion on PHL is that they would probably get a flight to East Asia soon. Remember, BOS TPAC are all fairly recent (NRT is only since 2012, HKG since 2014, PEK since 2014, and PVG since 2015), just give it some time as more right-sized plane (Namely, 787 or A350) com...

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by acentauri
Fri Jan 05, 2018 1:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: El Al will launch flights to San Francisco Q4 2018
Replies: 76
Views: 11761

Re: El Al will launch flights to San Francisco Q4 2018

http://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/lar ... ted-states
-->

Freshside3 wrote:
ORD definitely has a larger Jewish population than SFO.......not by all that much, but it's still more than SFO...........

http://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/lar ... ted-states

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by acentauri
Tue Jan 02, 2018 12:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What's Going In CLE - 2018
Replies: 807
Views: 65870

Re: What's Going In CLE - 2018

Aer Lingus is an intriguing suggestion. They already serve a secondary market in the US, BDL, and are starting PHL in March 2018. They also serve over an additional 100 destinations across the world through codeshare and interline agreements with Air Canada, British Airways, Etihad Airways, Flybe, ...

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