Search found 597 matches

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by kitplane01
Fri Aug 17, 2018 7:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Death of 747-400 Greatly Exaggerated
Replies: 73
Views: 10315

Re: Death of 747-400 Greatly Exaggerated

Precisely. BA have them for 6 more years. I’d imagine LHs stay around for a while too among others. It would be interesting to know where the last -400 will fly. With the way oil prices have gone in the last year or so BA and LH could well accelerate retirements. I can’t comment on other airlines b...

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by kitplane01
Wed Aug 15, 2018 10:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest latest airline to restrict service, emotional support animals
Replies: 28
Views: 3353

Re: Southwest latest airline to restrict service, emotional support animals

Excluding service dogs (seeing eye dogs, rescue dogs, police/fire), everything should be a pet and charge $100 Lightsaber Are used to think that too. When I asked the guy in front of me at the hockey games why he brings his dog to a hockey game. His wife explained that he used to get angry all the ...

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by kitplane01
Mon Aug 13, 2018 3:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air India Privatization, by June-Failed sale. What next?
Replies: 703
Views: 49271

Re: Air India Privatization, by June-Failed sale. What next?

Air India is not going to just magically disappear! Not without significant "structural damage" that will make demonetisation look like a walk in the park. Air India's work force is about 1/70,000th that of the Indian workforce. Air India is about 1/700th of the total economy of India by ...

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by kitplane01
Mon Aug 13, 2018 3:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air India Privatization, by June-Failed sale. What next?
Replies: 703
Views: 49271

Re: Air India Privatization, by June-Failed sale. What next?

Prediction: The Indian government within the month will announce a plan to “revitalize” and “restore” Air India. It’s two main components will be a large pile of cash and a large pile of words. No real reforms will actually happen (but lots of words will be used). Air India will not be privatized b...

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by kitplane01
Sun Aug 12, 2018 5:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air India Privatization, by June-Failed sale. What next?
Replies: 703
Views: 49271

Re: Air India Privatization, by June-Failed sale. What next?

Prediction: The Indian government within the month will announce a plan to “revitalize” and “restore” Air India. It’s two main components will be a large pile of cash and a large pile of words. No real reforms will actually happen (but lots of words will be used). Air India will not be privatized be...

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by kitplane01
Wed Aug 08, 2018 4:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air India Privatization, by June-Failed sale. What next?
Replies: 703
Views: 49271

Re: Air India Privatization, by June-Failed sale. What next?

@lightsaber I said $8B six days back in #616. The point you are missing is all debt is not equal. AV : WC is 50:50, so $4B:$4B 1) AV debt revenue generating frames @LIBOR + 0.25 - $3,4 Billion 2) AV debt non-rev frames @LIBOR + 0.25 - $600 Million 3) WC debt external commercial borrowing @5-8% ($1 ...

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by kitplane01
Sun Aug 05, 2018 6:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Q400: the underrated aircraft type?
Replies: 106
Views: 12396

Re: Q400: the underrated aircraft type?

But it's just not the same plane. It's a 50% bigger plane with (probably) very few common parts. EDIT: even the different wing you'd mentioned previously is almost no different. It's just the standard wing of the 300 with a ~0.5 m plug at each wing root to move the engines outboard and increase the...

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by kitplane01
Sat Aug 04, 2018 8:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Q400: the underrated aircraft type?
Replies: 106
Views: 12396

Re: Q400: the underrated aircraft type?

Did you know that the Q400 is about 50% bigger than the Q300. It does not share wings, fuselages, or engines. Really a different thing. The wing is very similar and developed directly from that of the 300, the fuselage is in essence just a stretch, and the engines are generally based on the same PW...

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by kitplane01
Sat Aug 04, 2018 2:38 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Supersonic Business Jet Engines
Replies: 23
Views: 1441

Re: Supersonic Business Jet Engines

When it comes to atmospheric flight (not space flight) you have to have at least a unity of exhaust gas velocity if you want to travel at that speed and even then that's not a guarantee. So if the bypass air is moving at 550mph and the core air is moving at 700mph you could theoretically end up som...

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by kitplane01
Fri Aug 03, 2018 7:47 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Reduction of 787 deferred production cost slows.
Replies: 288
Views: 19903

Re: Reduction of 787 deferred production cost slows.

There is a distinction between sunk costs that have been charged to the Profit and Loss account and those that merely moved from the bank account (asset) to the Deferred Production Costs account (asset). These "sunk costs" were never charged (expensed via the profit and loss) in previous ...

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by kitplane01
Fri Aug 03, 2018 7:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Q400: the underrated aircraft type?
Replies: 106
Views: 12396

Re: Q400: the underrated aircraft type?

The Q400 is based on the old Dash-8 series which has been out of production for years. I have not flown the Q400, but I have taken dozens of Dash-8-100,200 and 300 flights and they all were inferior in noise and comfort compared to RJ's. What??? You flew a plane we're not talking about, didn't like...

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by kitplane01
Fri Aug 03, 2018 7:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air India Privatization, by June-Failed sale. What next?
Replies: 703
Views: 49271

Re: Air India Privatization, by June-Failed sale. What next?

If it is only 19,000 jobs, it is time to shut down AI. Please post your estimate on AI monthly losses. Lightsaber AI probably has $8B debt. $4B AV related, $4B WC related. Not the issue. The issue is, AI pays <4% interest on AV debt and 15% on WC debt. It will never be able to recover from the debt...

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by kitplane01
Fri Aug 03, 2018 7:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Market Value for B777-200ER (GE90-94 )
Replies: 3
Views: 1997

Re: Market Value for B777-200ER (GE90-94 )

viewtopic.php?f=3&t=1399391&p=20599949&hilit=aircraft+values
-->

oozypal wrote:
Hello,

Someone tell me what would be the Market Value for GE90-94 engine (half-life) and is there a free credible website that shows such information?

Thank you


viewtopic.php?f=3&t=1399391&p=20599949&hilit=aircraft+values

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by kitplane01
Wed Aug 01, 2018 8:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air India Privatization, by June-Failed sale. What next?
Replies: 703
Views: 49271

Re: Air India Privatization, by June-Failed sale. What next?

IMO, Air India management in Delhi should continue doing what they are. Hard working team, doing their very best in the circumstances. They have been doing all the right things - inducting NEO's while phasing out the CEO's. The A319's are being slowly cycled out and replaced with A320/A321 aircraft...

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by kitplane01
Wed Aug 01, 2018 8:30 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Supersonic Business Jet Engines
Replies: 23
Views: 1441

Re: Supersonic Business Jet Engines

Wouldn’t work, way too much drag even if you get the inlet velocity below M1.0 at the face with a very special inlet design. The exhaust velocity would be much too low. Supersonic flight is very dependent on inlet design recovering the pressure gradient and using it as thrust. Very rough explanatio...

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by kitplane01
Tue Jul 31, 2018 5:01 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Supersonic Business Jet Engines
Replies: 23
Views: 1441

Re: Supersonic Business Jet Engines

Wouldn’t work, way too much drag even if you get the inlet velocity below M1.0 at the face with a very special inlet design. The exhaust velocity would be much too low. Supersonic flight is very dependent on inlet design recovering the pressure gradient and using it as thrust. Very rough explanatio...

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by kitplane01
Tue Jul 31, 2018 1:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Reduction of 787 deferred production cost slows.
Replies: 288
Views: 19903

Re: Reduction of 787 deferred production cost slows.

It is strange how many Boeing fans you can have your cake and (eat) it. Yep, tastes great, and yet, there it still is. If the deferred cost is not cleaned up, the rest has to be booked as a loss. The whole deferred cost has been taken out as earnings, when you remove the deferred cost you have to l...

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by kitplane01
Tue Jul 31, 2018 1:04 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Supersonic Business Jet Engines
Replies: 23
Views: 1441

Re: Supersonic Business Jet Engines

Wish I could got ask one of the Skunkworks guys but I can't. But consider this. This is the fuel TFSC for the GE F101-GE-102 engine (without afterburner): 0.562 lb/(lbf h) (dry thrust) and a max dry thrust of 17,390 lb And this is the same for the CFM56-7B18 (which was derived from the above): 0.5 ...

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by kitplane01
Mon Jul 30, 2018 8:31 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Supersonic Business Jet Engines
Replies: 23
Views: 1441

Supersonic Business Jet Engines

Suppose one were to take a normal modern business jet engine, and attempt to make a supersonic aircraft. I understand the bypass ratio is too high, and the fan is too large to be optimal for supersonic flight. But how bad is the penalty? How inefficient would this be compared to a purpose designed e...

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by kitplane01
Thu Jul 26, 2018 8:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Dua Lipa Criticizes United Flight Attendant on Twitter Over Response to Sister's Nut Allergy
Replies: 168
Views: 11194

Re: Dua Lipa Criticizes United Flight Attendant on Twitter Over Response to Sister's Nut Allergy

She is NOT one of the biggest pop stars at the moment. Nowhere near it in fact. Name a current female pop act with more streams than Dua Lipa, I'll wait. Are you seriously using streams to justify someone as "one of the biggest pop stars right now" ? Don't make me laugh. OMG (That means o...

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by kitplane01
Wed Oct 18, 2017 11:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Carriers vs The World
Replies: 36
Views: 2816

Re: US Carriers vs The World

Service is the main area thay US airlines are deficient and its a mix of training/union/labor laws that make it easy for that area to slip and to hold accountable flight crew for the lack of service. I don't believe that US labor laws are holding back US airline service. In France/Germany/Brazil, f...

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by kitplane01
Tue Oct 17, 2017 11:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Bombardier Announce CSeries Partnership
Replies: 1568
Views: 180165

Re: Breaking: Airbus and Bombardier Announce C Series Partnership

All of that is true, and has been true for a long time. But while the plane is selling great, has a huge backlog, and has no new competitors on the horizon is not typically when you make a new wing. "Has no new competitors on the horizon" : I count 2 or 3 direct clean sheet competitors on...

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by kitplane01
Tue Oct 17, 2017 9:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Bombardier Announce CSeries Partnership
Replies: 1568
Views: 180165

Re: Breaking: Airbus and Bombardier Announce C Series Partnership

People! Look at the BIG picture. Airbus isn't killing any CS500. If anything, they've just got CS500 handed over on a silver platter! Circa 2020, Airbus will have to either put a new wing on A32x or design all-new, own "MoM" aircraft, to be able to offer it's own 4000nm product. My money ...

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by kitplane01
Tue Oct 17, 2017 6:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Bombardier Announce CSeries Partnership
Replies: 1568
Views: 180165

Re: Breaking: Airbus and Bombardier Announce C Series Partnership

Lots of smart people have given their opinion but nonetheless here's mine. Loser: Embraer - Embraer must be super pissed that not only did the production costs of their biggest competitor get totally slashed overnight No. The plane is being built by the same people using the same processes with the...

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by kitplane01
Tue Oct 17, 2017 6:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Bombardier Announce CSeries Partnership
Replies: 1568
Views: 180165

Re: Breaking: Airbus and Bombardier Announce C Series Partnership

WaywardMemphian wrote:
Here's a simple fact. The C Series program was worth about 2 to 2.5 Billion in US dollars. ....For crying out loud, Airbus basically got it for free.


The first sentence is wrong. The second sentence is correct.

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by kitplane01
Tue Oct 17, 2017 6:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Bombardier Announce CSeries Partnership
Replies: 1568
Views: 180165

Re: Breaking: Airbus and Bombardier Announce C Series Partnership

People! Look at the BIG picture. Airbus isn't killing any CS500. If anything, they've just got CS500 handed over on a silver platter! Circa 2020, Airbus will have to either put a new wing on A32x or design all-new, own "MoM" aircraft, to be able to offer it's own 4000nm product. My money ...

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by kitplane01
Tue Oct 17, 2017 6:12 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer's E2 Program after recent CSeries news
Replies: 29
Views: 4685

Re: Embraer's E2 Program after recent CSeries news

E2-195 has the best prospects. While it lacks range, it carries more people than the CS100. Embraer must figure out how to get another 200 to 300nm for US sales. I'm curious why you think the E2-195 needs more range. What route do think the E2-195 currently cannot fly, but could with another 200-30...

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by kitplane01
Tue Oct 17, 2017 6:05 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Jets have falsely-certified Kobe Steel components
Replies: 1
Views: 920

Boeing Jets have falsely-certified Kobe Steel components

Kobe Steel has been faking strength and durability reports to hundreds of customers, including Boeing. Boeing has used Kobe Steel products that include those falsely certified by the Japanese company. Boeing does not consider the issue a safety problem. The U.S. airline maker is carrying out a surve...

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by kitplane01
Tue Oct 17, 2017 5:32 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: C Series deal a pathway to ATR & Q400 replacement?
Replies: 24
Views: 4149

Re: C Series deal a pathway to ATR & Q400 replacement?

Slug71 wrote:
After the C Series announcement earlier, do you think this also paves the way for a ATR and Q400 replacement?


The deal does not provide BBD any extra cash.

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by kitplane01
Tue Oct 17, 2017 5:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Bombardier Announce CSeries Partnership
Replies: 1568
Views: 180165

Re: Breaking: Airbus and Bombardier Announce C Series Partnership

My predictions. You can grade me when the future is known. It would be interesting to see other people's predictions. 1) There will be a significant order for the C-series in the next 9 months. At least 40 planes, or 25 orders + 25 options. 2) There will be no CS500. Ever. 3) Bombardier will have to...

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by kitplane01
Tue Oct 17, 2017 5:19 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Bombardier Announce CSeries Partnership
Replies: 1568
Views: 180165

Re: Breaking: Airbus and Bombardier Announce C Series Partnership

airzona11 wrote:
This is a short term cash infusion, for a quick return, who knows the politics involved or the vision. It is not for the CS500 8 years from now.



No it's not. No cash changed hands. No actual cash was invested. This is not a short term cash infusion.

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by kitplane01
Tue Oct 17, 2017 5:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Bombardier Announce CSeries Partnership
Replies: 1568
Views: 180165

Re: Breaking: Airbus and Bombardier Announce C Series Partnership

Jon Ostrower tweeted : 2) Airbus gives it moderate support with the goal of getting to break even so Airbus can get the intellectual property of the program at minimal cost in 2023, which is still 2 years before Boeing can do a MOM. ? What would be the point. They would own a design that breaks eve...

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by kitplane01
Tue Oct 17, 2017 5:04 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Bombardier Announce CSeries Partnership
Replies: 1568
Views: 180165

Re: Breaking: Airbus and Bombardier Announce C Series Partnership

Im not sure why everyone here thinks that Airbus won something? This is not a profitable program, they sold aircraft that they will give away at a loss. Airbus has a lot of work to do to turn this product line around. Boeing isnt losing anything, the only people who care who sells more units are yo...

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by kitplane01
Tue Oct 17, 2017 5:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Bombardier Announce CSeries Partnership
Replies: 1568
Views: 180165

Re: Breaking: Airbus and Bombardier Announce C Series Partnership

IMO there is nothing DoJ can do about this. This is a deal between a Canadian and an European entity for a LLP registered in Canada. That's not true. As long as these companies have assets in the US, and want to sell in the US, they will be affected by the DOJ. As an example, when Hewlett-Packard w...

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by kitplane01
Tue Oct 17, 2017 12:51 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Bombardier Announce CSeries Partnership
Replies: 1568
Views: 180165

Re: Breaking: Airbus and Bombardier Announce C Series Partnership

I find it hard to believe that Bombardier sold half the program for "no cash" in order to "save face" and non-financial help with a financial statement. It cannot be like that!!!!! You seem to not realize the program before this deal just wasn't that valuable. It was going nowhe...

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by kitplane01
Tue Oct 17, 2017 12:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer's E2 Program after recent CSeries news
Replies: 29
Views: 4685

Re: Embraer's E2 Program after recent CSeries news

So what do people think of this program with this recent news? Personally I thought the program was done before the news and now I think this was the final nail in the coffin. I just don't see where this program can go right now. They are competing against the same product as yesterday. The E2 seri...

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by kitplane01
Tue Oct 17, 2017 12:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Bombardier Announce CSeries Partnership
Replies: 1568
Views: 180165

Re: Breaking: Airbus and Bombardier Announce C Series Partnership

Monopoly Considerations: Will the American government or Boeing stop this deal? When it's done, Airbus will have 50% of ATR and 50.1% of Bombardier's biggest program. ATR and Bombardier are the regional turboprop industry. If the American government wanted to challenge the deal on anti-competitive g...

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by kitplane01
Tue Oct 17, 2017 12:35 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer's E2 Program after recent CSeries news
Replies: 29
Views: 4685

Re: Embraer's E2 Program after recent CSeries news

So what do people think of this program with this recent news? Personally I thought the program was done before the news and now I think this was the final nail in the coffin. I just don't see where this program can go right now. They are competing against the same product as yesterday. The E2 seri...

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by kitplane01
Tue Oct 17, 2017 12:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Bombardier Announce CSeries Partnership
Replies: 1568
Views: 180165

Re: Breaking: Airbus and Bombardier Announce C Series Partnership

Here's what the press release says. It's pretty straightforward: "At closing, there will be no cash contribution by any of the partners, nor will CSALP assume any financial debt. It also contemplates that Bombardier will continue with its current funding plan of CSALP and will fund, if require...

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by kitplane01
Tue Oct 17, 2017 12:25 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Bombardier Announce CSeries Partnership
Replies: 1568
Views: 180165

Re: Breaking: Airbus and Bombardier Announce C Series Partnership

Here's what the press release says. It's pretty straightforward: "At closing, there will be no cash contribution by any of the partners, nor will CSALP assume any financial debt. It also contemplates that Bombardier will continue with its current funding plan of CSALP and will fund, if require...

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by kitplane01
Tue Oct 17, 2017 12:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Bombardier Announce CSeries Partnership
Replies: 1568
Views: 180165

Re: Breaking: Airbus and Bombardier Announce C Series Partnership

I understand that Airbus bought half the C-series program "for no cash". Could not Boeing have offered more than that? Or some Chinese company?? Seriously, I understand that Bombardier and Boeing are in a feud, but Boeing (or some Chinese company) could have payed more than "for no ca...

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by kitplane01
Tue Oct 17, 2017 12:18 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Bombardier Announce CSeries Partnership
Replies: 1568
Views: 180165

Re: Breaking: Airbus and Bombardier Announce C Series Partnership

Wait...BBD has to find any cash shortfalls? Is there a cap on that? Here's what the press release says. It's pretty straightforward: "At closing, there will be no cash contribution by any of the partners, nor will CSALP assume any financial debt. It also contemplates that Bombardier will conti...

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by kitplane01
Tue Oct 17, 2017 12:14 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Bombardier Announce CSeries Partnership
Replies: 1568
Views: 180165

Re: Breaking: Airbus and Bombardier Announce C Series Partnership

So much for wanting a third competitor to the A/B duopoly. ... This is sad news for the CSeries and for manufacturer variety in general. It's a shame to see Bombardier effectively end as a manufacturer. Now the CS500 is likely a non-starter, and having Airbus on board still doesn't change the fact ...

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by kitplane01
Tue Oct 17, 2017 12:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 777-300ER glut impact on widebody market
Replies: 67
Views: 24010

Re: 777-300ER glut impact on widebody market

My personal take is the widebody market is oversold on the larger than the A359 sizes. The increase in line rate of the 787 and (possibly) A350 surprised me. IMHO, I believe this is to improve economies of scale to make the sales at a lower price per airframe. The line rate has been increased becau...

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by kitplane01
Mon Oct 16, 2017 11:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: FlightGlobal: 'Serious' new problem with Silvercrest rattles Dassault
Replies: 2
Views: 1023

Re: FlightGlobal: 'Serious' new problem with Silvercrest rattles Dassault

This is very problematic for Dassault Aviation. F5X programme could put the company at risk if another delay is announced. IMO, they should keep up with Safran Silvercrest, since another engine could take again several years to be integrated. Priority is to force Safran to dedicate ressources to fi...

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by kitplane01
Mon Oct 16, 2017 5:24 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Economics of Chinese Airframes
Replies: 14
Views: 3134

Re: Economics of Chinese Airframes

These planes likely have bad economics, in terms of the total package of purchase cost and operating costs Is there any evidence to back this up? I'll just point out two things. (1) Their using CF-34 engines, for a plane just entering service in 2017. That's old technology. The competing ERJ-170 wh...

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by kitplane01
Mon Oct 16, 2017 4:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Cape Air Fleet Replacement
Replies: 2
Views: 517

Re: Cape Air Fleet Replacement

Cape Air is going to replace their 84 Cessna 421s with 100 Tecnam P2012. Two questions 1) The 421 is a pressurized airplane. The P2012 is not. How will this effect their operations, especially when the weather is less than perfect? 2) Their 84 Cessna 421s is a about 9% of all remaining 421s in the ...

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by kitplane01
Mon Oct 16, 2017 4:44 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Economics of Chinese Airframes
Replies: 14
Views: 3134

Economics of Chinese Airframes

China is building the Comac ARJ-21, and trying to finish the Comac C919. These planes likely have bad economics, in terms of the total package of purchase cost and operating costs (Note that very few airlines outside of China will order them. Note the non-advanced technologies involved. ) Most peopl...

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by kitplane01
Thu Oct 12, 2017 10:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Now more A380s than passenger 747s
Replies: 76
Views: 15530

Now more A380s than passenger 747s

https://www.flightglobal.com/news/artic ... 80-442074/
-->

There are now more A380s flying thanpassenger 747s. This is a recent development.
See https://www.flightglobal.com/news/artic ... 80-442074/

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