Search found 288 matches

by ucdtim17
Wed Jan 17, 2018 9:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: RNO-SEA/PDX
Replies: 23
Views: 2447

Re: RNO-SEA/PDX

Reno is a tough market for air travel. SEA/PDX frequencies on QX are limited and on crappy aircraft. I've also traveled there from the Bay Area and fares/options are ridiculous (UA flights operated by SkyWest that cost $500-600 r/t, or the 1-daily frequency on QX out of SJC that leaves at like 10pm...

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by ucdtim17
Wed Jan 17, 2018 6:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: RNO-SEA/PDX
Replies: 23
Views: 2447

Re: RNO-SEA/PDX

flyguy84 wrote:
If they made money Southwest never would have pulled out... so no, I don't see them re-starting the route.


Fortunately market dynamics don't stay static for all of time. There would be a lot less to talk about on this site if that were the case.

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by ucdtim17
Wed Jan 17, 2018 5:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: RNO-SEA/PDX
Replies: 23
Views: 2447

Re: RNO-SEA/PDX

AS is finally moving to E175 on SEA-RNO May 20, so it won't be quite as ripe a route for picking as it has been with the Q400. PDX-RNO staying Q400 for now.

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by ucdtim17
Wed Jan 17, 2018 4:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska announces 8 destinations to be served from PAE
Replies: 147
Views: 16584

Re: Alaska announces 8 destinations to be served from PAE

PAE could be a total flop! Not a chance; with a catchment area of over 1 million travelers, all eager to avoid I-5, and data showing these cities are the ones these folks overwhelmingly travel to, this is going to be a winner for AS. I do believe you and believe on what you AS and UA think of PAE.....

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by ucdtim17
Fri Jan 12, 2018 11:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JFK Diverting Flights due to shear
Replies: 65
Views: 11627

Re: JFK Diverting Flights due to shear

https://twitter.com/henrykleeKTVU/statu ... 8705204225
-->

Not worth its own thread but fog diversions at SFO today. LH A380 to OAK https://twitter.com/henrykleeKTVU/statu ... 8705204225

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by ucdtim17
Thu Jan 11, 2018 7:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA at SFO - Terminal 1
Replies: 17
Views: 3662

Re: AA at SFO - Terminal 1

I understand the master plan has been to move alaska operations to terminal 2 and AA to terminal 1. However swing FIS gates are being built in terminal 1, boarding area B. So, would it have made more sense for AS (previously VX) to move to boarding area B given their international arrival flights r...

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by ucdtim17
Wed Jan 10, 2018 6:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA at SFO - Terminal 1
Replies: 17
Views: 3662

Re: AA at SFO - Terminal 1

AA had there chance years ago and choose not to develop but scale down many of there Bay Area routes. They had SJC locked up as a focus city/mini hub but walked away from it right before it was about to really get going, and they also cut many of there unique SFO routes such as to HNL. They where a...

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by ucdtim17
Tue Jan 02, 2018 11:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest orders more 737 Max 8s and defers 737 Max 7s
Replies: 105
Views: 15103

Re: Southwest orders more 737 Max 8s and defers 737 Max 7s

They dont really need the Max7s anytime soon, as the older 73Gs cycle out, replace those with Max8s and used 738s. I bet they keep buying up used 73Gs as well. That second half of 2020s it will be interesting to see the direction they go. To earn the margins they need, with their costs, airlines ne...

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by ucdtim17
Mon Jan 01, 2018 2:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: HA PDX-HNL to go to a321
Replies: 35
Views: 6028

Re: HA PDX-HNL to go to a321

Only the internal data that HAL can see will tell how many PDEW passengers terminate their journey in HNL. They must obviously see something that compels them to split the flights. Again, 2 - 321's provides more overall seats to the islands. There isn't going to be a huge vacuum, if at all, to fill...

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by ucdtim17
Sat Dec 23, 2017 4:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Horizon Air to resume Embraer 175 deliveries in March 2018 as pilot shortage lessens
Replies: 47
Views: 5333

Re: Horizon Air to resume Embraer 175 deliveries in March 2018 as pilot shortage lessens

The same day MKE changes to mainline is the same day PDX-STL starts back up and SEA-STL goes back to 2x daily (adding a E75). So maybe that is the plane they are using on the SEA route. Also the day OAK and SMF lose their 737 service to PDX :thumbsdown: I never realized that OAK-PDX was mainline 2X...

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by ucdtim17
Fri Dec 22, 2017 4:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Horizon Air to resume Embraer 175 deliveries in March 2018 as pilot shortage lessens
Replies: 47
Views: 5333

Re: Horizon Air to resume Embraer 175 deliveries in March 2018 as pilot shortage lessens

Indeed you're correct, both PDX-STL & PDX-MCI are slated to resume this spring. I doubt we'll see many brand new routes (although there are always a few things that pop up) but we'll see resumption of services suspended & the E-175's taking over certain current Q-400 routes as QX returns th...

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by ucdtim17
Thu Dec 21, 2017 4:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Horizon Air to resume Embraer 175 deliveries in March 2018 as pilot shortage lessens
Replies: 47
Views: 5333

Re: Horizon Air to resume Embraer 175 deliveries in March 2018 as pilot shortage lessens

Any indication of new E175 routes? After adding replacing the Q400's on the more trunk routes like OAK-PDX, I would guess STS would see E-175's for their flights. I would like to see COS come back and additional service to MRY like SEA-MRY. As mentioned elsewhere in thread I expect we'll see some d...

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by ucdtim17
Mon Dec 18, 2017 4:28 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Oregon Aviation Thread - 2017
Replies: 722
Views: 82629

Re: Oregon Aviation Thread - 2017

AS PDX-SJC APR 5>4 This is a little surprising as it appears a more or less direct transfer of capacity to WN as they ramp up to 6x (from 4x recently, maybe 5 now). AS seems to be doing some recalibrating after a year of kitchen sink expansion in CA. I'm also surprised to see there's no evening SJC...

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by ucdtim17
Fri Dec 15, 2017 2:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA summer 2018 adds
Replies: 109
Views: 16834

Re: AA summer 2018 adds

BUR has no nonstop service to DFW on any airline, but Southwest does serve DAL nonstop from BUR and AA has nonstop service to PHX from BUR. Will AA ever add nonstop service to BUR from DFW? They used to fly DFW-BUR as much as 4x daily, until about 2010 or so. I suspect it was profitable, as we all ...

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by ucdtim17
Mon Dec 11, 2017 6:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Oregon Aviation Thread - 2017
Replies: 722
Views: 82629

Re: Oregon Aviation Thread - 2017

Steady stream of fog diversions from SEA right now

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by ucdtim17
Sun Dec 10, 2017 10:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 12/10/2017: DL Drops GRK; UA Adds SHD/LWB, Drops LAX-OKC, SFO-XIY
Replies: 85
Views: 15293

Re: OAG Changes 12/10/2017: DL Drops GRK; UA Adds SHD/LWB, Drops LAX-OKC, SFO-XIY

*AS SEA-STS APR 1.0>0 MAY 1.0>0 JUN 1.9>0.9 JUL 2>1.0 AUG 2>1.0 I wonder why QX is stopping STS-SEA for two months. Is it part of the QX Curly Shuffle that they are still dealing with? Those flights are usually packed! Wondering the same thing. I did a mock reservation though and #2492 operates STS...

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by ucdtim17
Tue Dec 05, 2017 5:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Oregon Aviation Thread - 2017
Replies: 722
Views: 82629

Re: Oregon Aviation Thread - 2017

Noticed that AS has moved PDX-SMF and PDX-OAK to mainline. Looks like with reductions in frequency when QX ran the routes. I wonder if this is strictly because of the tight pilot situation. Haven’t seen mainline on either of these routes in years. It looks like 2 x daily, from random mid week sched...

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by ucdtim17
Tue Dec 05, 2017 4:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Oregon Aviation Thread - 2017
Replies: 722
Views: 82629

Re: Oregon Aviation Thread - 2017

Noticed that AS has moved PDX-SMF and PDX-OAK to mainline. Looks like with reductions in frequency when QX ran the routes. I wonder if this is strictly because of the tight pilot situation. Haven’t seen mainline on either of these routes in years. It looks like 2 x daily, from random mid week sched...

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by ucdtim17
Sun Dec 03, 2017 4:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: QX begins Q400 fleet reduction
Replies: 55
Views: 9431

Re: QX begins Q400 fleet reduction

wedgetail737 wrote:
But don't the Q400's and the E-175's comparable in passenger capacity?


Capacity of 76 on both planes

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by ucdtim17
Sat Dec 02, 2017 8:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: QX begins Q400 fleet reduction
Replies: 55
Views: 9431

Re: QX begins Q400 fleet reduction

Also OO has sent the remaining CR7 back to storage yesterday, and it has been removed from Alaska's website so I guess it has now been officially retired (only took a year longer than originally expected). I thought the 15 Q400s leaving would've been 400-414 as mentioned previously, but I guess it ...

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by ucdtim17
Sat Dec 02, 2017 3:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: QX begins Q400 fleet reduction
Replies: 55
Views: 9431

Re: QX begins Q400 fleet reduction

Also OO has sent the remaining CR7 back to storage yesterday, and it has been removed from Alaska's website so I guess it has now been officially retired (only took a year longer than originally expected). I thought the 15 Q400s leaving would've been 400-414 as mentioned previously, but I guess it ...

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by ucdtim17
Thu Nov 23, 2017 5:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AS makes PDX-MKE/PHL/BWI/ATL year round service
Replies: 46
Views: 5496

Re: AS makes PDX-MKE/PHL/BWI/ATL year round service

All the routes cited, viz. MKE/PHL/BWI/PHX are large enough to be O&D cities. Perhaps, with the Virgin and Horizon issues, PDX sort of lost focus. But 2018 probably will see PDX get a bunch of 170's deployed to open routes like PIT, Tulsa etc. Portland has a great tech industry and certainly ma...

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by ucdtim17
Wed Nov 22, 2017 9:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AS makes PDX-MKE/PHL/BWI/ATL year round service
Replies: 46
Views: 5496

Re: AS makes PDX-MKE/PHL/BWI/ATL year round service

http://www.mailtribune.com/news/2017102 ... -schedules
-->

AA623BDLSJU wrote:
I must be totally out of the loop here. What do you mean by the "QX mess"? Inquiring minds would like to know.


http://www.mailtribune.com/news/2017102 ... -schedules

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by ucdtim17
Wed Nov 22, 2017 7:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AS makes PDX-MKE/PHL/BWI/ATL year round service
Replies: 46
Views: 5496

Re: AS makes PDX-MKE/PHL/BWI/ATL year round service

WN has made some targeted adds at PDX but there just isn't the competitive pressure there is at SEA or SFO/LAX (/SJC/SAN/etc). With the QX mess plus CA expansion something had to give and PDX is the temporary sacrifice.

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by ucdtim17
Wed Nov 22, 2017 5:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AS makes PDX-MKE/PHL/BWI/ATL year round service
Replies: 46
Views: 5496

Re: AS makes PDX-MKE/PHL/BWI/ATL year round service

As I mentioned in the Oregon thread, AS is still shedding routes and frequencies at PDX (BZN, OMA, MCI, etc) so they have to stop doing that and start adding routes to get back to where they were ~6 months ago. I doubt AS is satisfied with their CA expansion and planning to dedicate new planes to PD...

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by ucdtim17
Wed Nov 22, 2017 2:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What will be next destination for Fresno (FAT)?
Replies: 29
Views: 2423

Re: What will be next destination for Fresno (FAT)?

My guess is that FAT-HNL may be announced as part of a multi-city schedule. 2X per week from FAT along with 2X per week from say both SBA and STS seems possible. I would expect AS to consider starting that first since HA will likely be looking more at routes to its existing cities during the fleet ...

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by ucdtim17
Tue Nov 21, 2017 5:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Oregon Aviation Thread - 2017
Replies: 722
Views: 82629

Re: Oregon Aviation Thread - 2017

Expanding PDX is a nice idea for a world where AS has ample spare planes and pilots but it's a little bizarre to suggest now as AS is still shedding routes and frequencies at PDX. I'm sure they'll bottom out at some point (hopefully now) and resume growing again but they'll have to grow a bit to get...

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by ucdtim17
Mon Nov 20, 2017 4:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Aloha! Hawaiian Airlines takes delivery of first A321neo
Replies: 95
Views: 18635

Re: Aloha! Hawaiian Airlines takes delivery of first A321neo

Has the A321NEO flown yet in revenue service? When is the 2nd to be delivered (I assume it too will have a slight delay for outfitting prior to entry into service)? Lightsaber Revenue service starts in January. There are still proving runs and training to complete before EIS. The 2nd plane will be ...

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by ucdtim17
Thu Nov 16, 2017 11:31 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Does SFO have a flawed design?
Replies: 45
Views: 8725

Re: Does SFO have a flawed design?

MSPNWA wrote:
The last is that only the 28s are long enough for long-haul departures, creating another layer of capacity restriction by restricting arrivals on the 28s during that time.


Only the longest hauls are restricted to the 28s. BA A380s and KLM 747s (amongst others) use the 1s periodically.

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by ucdtim17
Tue Nov 14, 2017 4:57 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Longest Q400 Flight (as of 2017)
Replies: 56
Views: 9396

Re: Longest Q400 Flight (as of 2017)

OAK is the farthest destination in CA QX flies PDX-originating Q400s. They used to fly SJC but that's been mainline/E175 for a few years now. OAK going mainline Dec 1. SEA-STS (618 mi) still all Q400 though. Starting back on November 5th, QX shifted the PDX - SBA flight to a Q400. It's 783 miles, s...

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by ucdtim17
Mon Nov 13, 2017 7:09 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Longest Q400 Flight (as of 2017)
Replies: 56
Views: 9396

Re: Longest Q400 Flight (as of 2017)

OAK is the farthest destination in CA QX flies PDX-originating Q400s. They used to fly SJC but that's been mainline/E175 for a few years now. OAK going mainline Dec 1. SEA-STS (618 mi) still all Q400 though.

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by ucdtim17
Tue Nov 07, 2017 2:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B6 Weighs LGB Changes
Replies: 45
Views: 7528

Re: B6 Weighs LGB Changes

That’s nice they’re considering a daytime flight BUR-JFK; now how about all the other large western markets that have been a single redeye for years? PDX, SMF, OAK, SJC, etc? They’ve been working with a pretty small portion of all those markets.

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by ucdtim17
Mon Nov 06, 2017 6:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Should AS look at an East Coast hub
Replies: 101
Views: 10229

Re: Should AS look at at East Coast hub

They have a long time to build up California to get close to competitive with UA and WN. There aren't enough planes to also build up an eastern hub. In an alternate universe if they didn't care about California, they could try an eastern/midwestern build up but that's not the world we live in.

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by ucdtim17
Mon Nov 06, 2017 3:25 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 11/5/2017: AA Adds LGA-PWM, Did AA Lease More DCA slots?; AS/F9 Mexico Cuts
Replies: 53
Views: 9104

Re: OAG Changes 11/5/2017: AA Adds LGA-PWM, Did AA Lease More DCA slots?; AS/F9 Mexico Cuts

AS PDX-SMF FEB 4>2 This shows as going mainline (73G) for FEB. and into MAR 10 or so. I'm assuming temporary QX relief. Back to 4X Q400 after that. PDX-OAK is 73G Dec 1-Mar 10; PDX-SMF is 73G Dec 1-Jan 2 then Feb 1-Mar 10. I think March 10 is just the latest extension of the actual planned flying s...

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by ucdtim17
Thu Nov 02, 2017 7:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest Schedule Extension 11/02/17
Replies: 333
Views: 30336

Re: Southwest Schedule Extension 11/02/17

psa1011 wrote:
Why is it MKE-SFO and not MKE-OAK?


I speculated above that they may like the niche they have there with no competition from UA or AS/VX. It is a little odd.

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by ucdtim17
Thu Nov 02, 2017 3:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest Schedule Extension 11/02/17
Replies: 333
Views: 30336

Re: Southwest Schedule Extension 11/02/17

Odd to keep MKE to SFO instead of OAK. I guess they figure they have a niche there with no UA or AS/VX service, so take advantage of it while they can.

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by ucdtim17
Tue Oct 31, 2017 8:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How much trouble is Alaska Air in?
Replies: 91
Views: 20347

Re: How much trouble is Alaska Air in?

I think AS is doing well but, AS needs to revaluate how much space their "Premium Class/ Elite Status - Refundable Ticket" takes up in Economy. This class is so large that many of their planes are going out half empty, there just aren't that many people willing to pay that much for a tick...

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by ucdtim17
Tue Oct 31, 2017 2:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How much trouble is Alaska Air in?
Replies: 91
Views: 20347

Re: How much trouble is Alaska Air in?

I think AS is just in need of a good Ad Campaign. The other carriers advertise well, I think AS needs to spread their name more and they should be fine. I can't name a time I saw an AS ad outside the SEA market. Do we know if AS has any plans for an Ad blitz in the future? They already are blitzing...

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by ucdtim17
Fri Oct 27, 2017 10:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Expansion at OAK airport
Replies: 55
Views: 4971

Re: Expansion at OAK airport

Full international arrivals expansion is opening next month Thanks! I'm familiar with processing facility upgrades (welcome change), but what about gate space? No idea but obviously they need to get better at managing it. It's not rocket science; the airlines don't want the delays either so if ther...

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by ucdtim17
Fri Oct 27, 2017 9:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Expansion at OAK airport
Replies: 55
Views: 4971

Re: Expansion at OAK airport

A family member flew into OAK on Norwegian the other day, coming from CPH. They waited 40 minutes after landing for an international gate to open up. The crew onboard said these delays are now almost a daily occurrence. With Norwegian, British and Level operating TATL services, seems like the gate ...

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by ucdtim17
Fri Oct 27, 2017 8:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A visual into Alaska Air Group's Q3 performance
Replies: 119
Views: 12321

Re: A visual into Alaska Air Group's Q3 performance

AS is being squeezed from all directions. The transcons are a bloodbath. SEA is a bloodbath. Intra-CA is a bloodbath. They tried to go up against WN there and they responded and now they are have a struggling QX which is limiting any further response and OO can only pick up so much of the slack suc...

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by ucdtim17
Fri Oct 27, 2017 3:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Expansion at OAK airport
Replies: 55
Views: 4971

Re: Expansion at OAK airport

As a rule, it surprises me how many people from all over the Bay Area seem to not realize the OAK/SJC alternatives - they only think SFO - even coming from East Bay and flying to LA! I love SFO, but as we all know, it can be experiencing 3 hour delays when OAK and SJC are experiencing zero. It's ju...

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by ucdtim17
Thu Oct 26, 2017 8:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Expansion at OAK airport
Replies: 55
Views: 4971

Re: OAK airport

Take LGB for example. Before the entry of B6, the city couldn't pay or subsidize anyone except for a few public charter carriers to serve the airport. You had a few dailies on AA and HP, other than that the airport was a ghost town. Because the facilities were lackluster. a turn off to any major ca...

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by ucdtim17
Thu Oct 26, 2017 6:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Expansion at OAK airport
Replies: 55
Views: 4971

Re: OAK airport

How often do airliners use the north field runways (if ever)? When the main runway as repaved last month, they were used regularly, mostly for arrivals. They are not generally used unless there is a problem with the main runway. They are perfectly capable of handling 737-sized planes though, if eve...

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by ucdtim17
Thu Oct 26, 2017 5:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Expansion at OAK airport
Replies: 55
Views: 4971

Re: OAK airport

As noted, they are making incremental improvements to infrastructure and terminals. Absent a similar Great Recession-type crash, building a new Terminal 0 will likely become a more pressing matter in the next five years, but that will be tremendously expensive.

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by ucdtim17
Thu Oct 26, 2017 4:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A visual into Alaska Air Group's Q3 performance
Replies: 119
Views: 12321

Re: A visual into Alaska Air Group's Q3 performance

It's absolutely true. QX did the right thing by right-sizing their schedule to not have additional weeks or months of pre-cancels that would negatively impact customers, and now that new schedule they anticipate operating fully, without any staff-related drawdowns or cancellations. In addition, the...

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by ucdtim17
Thu Oct 26, 2017 3:44 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A visual into Alaska Air Group's Q3 performance
Replies: 119
Views: 12321

Re: A visual into Alaska Air Group's Q3 performance

o QX is staffed to operate a full schedule going forward and does not anticipate further staffing cancellations Well that’s not true. The schedule is significantly reduced from what it was. Maybe, hopefully, they’re finally adequately staffed to fly the schedule as it exists but it is not the “full...

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by ucdtim17
Thu Oct 26, 2017 3:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A visual into Alaska Air Group's Q3 performance
Replies: 119
Views: 12321

Re: A visual into Alaska Air Group's Q3 performance

o QX is staffed to operate a full schedule going forward and does not anticipate further staffing cancellations Well that’s not true. The schedule is significantly reduced from what it was. Maybe, hopefully, they’re finally adequately staffed to fly the schedule as it exists but it is not the “full...

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