Search found 216 matches

by evanb
Mon Jan 22, 2018 2:07 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leasing out LHR slots
Replies: 32
Views: 4507

Re: Leasing out LHR slots

SAA has already lost a battle on JNBLONJNB market though. Accra would have much higher yield and it would allow to feed Star Alliance network to US/Canada at LHR. It also saves SAA one aircraft from operating JNB ACC JNB. They already operate JNB-ACC-IAD with full traffic rights on the ACC-IAD-ACC ...

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by evanb
Sat Jan 20, 2018 6:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Angola Owes Foreign Airlines $500 Million
Replies: 7
Views: 1544

Re: Angola Owes Foreign Airlines $500 Million

Angola doesn't 'owe' airlines. It's not a debt. It's not payment for services - unless, oddly, government officials managed to use tickets totaling $500 million. :) It's permission to repatriate earnings or exchange currency. The free and unconditional movement of capital isn't as broad as people h...

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by evanb
Thu Jan 11, 2018 6:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Kenya Airways announces daily non-stop flights to JFK
Replies: 81
Views: 12190

Re: Kenya Airways announces daily non-stop flights to JFK

I agree. That said, I’ve always wondered why DL has not tried to do more with KQ. I know they want to protect revenue on their JV with AF/KL, but a direct flight seems like an opportunity to me to get a little more traffic into JFK (like it needs it). For sure. It might have been about the right ai...

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by evanb
Thu Jan 11, 2018 5:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Kenya Airways announces daily non-stop flights to JFK
Replies: 81
Views: 12190

Re: Kenya Airways announces daily non-stop flights to JFK

There’s no sales agreement, no distribution capacity unless there really is a contract for DL to provide those services. KQ might be better off doing their own thing on this so they can price however they want to fill the plane and sell what they can themselves. SkyTeam affiliation helps win custom...

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by evanb
Thu Jan 11, 2018 2:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Kenya Airways announces daily non-stop flights to JFK
Replies: 81
Views: 12190

Re: Kenya Airways announces daily non-stop flights to JFK

Looking at pricing, they offering business class fares at $2,600 roundtrip NBO-JFK-NBO, and $4,700 roundtrip JFK-NBO-JFK, so it's clear where they're looking to make this work. So this route is going to be highly dependent on DL-AF-KL providing a solid sales and distribution capacity for them in the...

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by evanb
Wed Jan 10, 2018 6:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Kenya Airways announces daily non-stop flights to JFK
Replies: 81
Views: 12190

Re: Kenya Airways announces daily non-stop flights to JFK

airzona11 wrote:
Would a JV from a large EU hub be possible? Get all those connections? This is a long flight.


They'd need open skies agreement with the EU for a JV. They would de facto then join the DL-AF-KL JV. But how would this routing improve on their codeshares with KL, AF and DL?

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by evanb
Wed Jan 10, 2018 5:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Kenya Airways announces daily non-stop flights to JFK
Replies: 81
Views: 12190

Re: Kenya Airways to announce US route on Wednesday January 10

I don't agree with this planning of making the route a daily nonstop. To me, it would have made more sense to do this in a way that maximizes connections, as a fifth-freedom extension taking advantage of existing open skies agreements. Either it should have been via LOS, which would replace DL's ow...

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by evanb
Fri Dec 15, 2017 10:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What will Delta replace the 777 fleet with and is DAL going to order more?
Replies: 81
Views: 12984

Re: What will Delta replace the 777 fleet with and is DAL going to order more?

All Delta's B777s are all owned meaning there is a greater incentive to operate them longer as they become fully amortized. Delta's history has shown their willingness to keep owned widebody aircraft and operate them to near the end of their useful life. For example, they're currently operating 27 y...

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by evanb
Wed Dec 06, 2017 3:44 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Planes on the ground for longer than gate allows
Replies: 9
Views: 3937

Re: Planes on the ground for longer than gate allows

In terms of JNB, most widebodies park at contact stands (there are some exceptions at busy times). If the turnaround isn't immediate the aircraft it moved to a remote stand. In many cases, catering and fuel is often done at the remote stand, and then the aircraft is moved to the contact stand about ...

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by evanb
Tue Dec 05, 2017 2:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How many code-shares can a flight have? Code-share Record?
Replies: 19
Views: 4309

Re: How many code-shares can a flight have? Code-share Record?

Hi All! I was looking at EY's MEL-AUH flight and what intrigued me was the number of code-shares the flight has! EY461 has 13 code-shares attached to it! It's also very similar to other Australian flights with a similar number of codes attached to the flights. This is just another symptom of the cr...

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by evanb
Tue Dec 05, 2017 10:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How many code-shares can a flight have? Code-share Record?
Replies: 19
Views: 4309

Re: How many code-shares can a flight have? Code-share Record?

I don't think there would be a regulatory maximum but I guess some GDS systems and revenue management systems might have a constraint, but I suppose the software could be adjusted quite easily to allow more if necessary.

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by evanb
Mon Dec 04, 2017 3:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hypothetical: ORD without AA
Replies: 110
Views: 12795

Re: Hypothetical: ORD without AA

1) Sure, whatever, every market is unique. But you can make comparisons between mid continent hub cities that you can't make with NYC/LA...so they are different. Then what is the point that you're making? Your original point was that "ORD is the biggest city with two legacy airline major hubs&...

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by evanb
Mon Dec 04, 2017 2:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hypothetical: ORD without AA
Replies: 110
Views: 12795

Re: Hypothetical: ORD without AA

NYC and LAX are unique markets, as being coastal, large O&D markets, and even EWR for UA is not designed for domestic connections primarily. B6 and AS obviously are not going to start a blood bath for the hope of maybe 10 years from now being a serious 4th in the Chicago market. I was saying wh...

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by evanb
Sun Dec 03, 2017 1:47 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hypothetical: ORD without AA
Replies: 110
Views: 12795

Re: Hypothetical: ORD without AA

I disagree. Chicago is too tempting a market. I actually think the problem is that ORD is the biggest city with two legacy airline major hubs. These are two airlines who offer two flavors of the same thing (French Vanilla vs Vanilla Bean Ice Cream). I think if AA pulled out, someone different could...

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by evanb
Thu Nov 30, 2017 6:05 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why no United to Africa?
Replies: 52
Views: 10400

Re: Why no United to Africa?

Operating in Africa is challenging. Some non-African airlines have built significant expertise operating to/from Africa, while others have found it difficult. Even BA with their historic connections to Africa have found it challenging and scaled back their operations there in recent years, while oth...

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by evanb
Wed Nov 29, 2017 10:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 9W and AF/KL sign Joint Venture India-EU
Replies: 5
Views: 1247

Re: 9W and AF/KL sign Joint Venture India-EU

I'm not sure this is a joint venture. A joint venture goes much deeper than this and focusses on anti-trust immunity to allow pooling of capacity and integration of pricing. This agreement stops short of that.

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by evanb
Tue Nov 28, 2017 10:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?
Replies: 107
Views: 14577

Re: how long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?

Ryanair have bases all over but they are Irisih employees or contractors. If I recall correctly, Germany rejected this interpretation, leading Ryanair to pull move Germany based crews to Ireland. The point is, in several EU countries, you can employ people in Ireland, but base them elsewhere. This ...

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by evanb
Fri Nov 24, 2017 11:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Does DHL service Pyongyang FNJ?
Replies: 15
Views: 4277

Re: Does DHL service Pyongyang FNJ?

LOWS wrote:
As in, DHL trucks are running around NK? Also, I assumed the UN sanctions on NK had basically shut down imports/exports?


DHL are not the sanctions busting type. It would include a lot of documents as well as diplomatic and UN related goods.

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by evanb
Fri Nov 24, 2017 6:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?
Replies: 107
Views: 14577

Re: how long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?

Even if that's the case, you should hope for more lcc options since that will force delta and legacies to lower their prices. I guess fi has already done that for msp market. Just look at what JetBlue is doing to atl to Caribbean market. I have seen no shortage of sub $400 rt fares on them in sprin...

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by evanb
Fri Nov 24, 2017 5:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?
Replies: 107
Views: 14577

Re: how long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?

I think someone can still step in and find a new way to do it. Ryanair base lots of staff in Ireland, and then overnight them in Germany and other countries to reduce costs. A US LCC could do the same with Irish long haul crews. Ryanair have crew bases all over Europe, including in Germany, with th...

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by evanb
Fri Nov 24, 2017 5:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?
Replies: 107
Views: 14577

Re: how long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?

point was many legacies are not using their long haul fleets efficiently. LCC's tend to fly anytime of day & pax will meet their schedule to save $$$, even if they only fly once or twice a week over a certain route initially. And again, long haul fleets tend to be used far more efficiently by l...

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by evanb
Fri Nov 24, 2017 5:02 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?
Replies: 107
Views: 14577

Re: how long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?

for USA/OZ or NZ flights not hard to get better utlisation. Most aircraft flying into LAX or SFO from OZ & NZ sit at LAX or SFO for up to 18 hours. Sure QF does some maintenance, but VA, NZ, FJ don't apparently (one of the AKL/LAX flights continues onto LHR) FJ have put on an extra NAN/SFO/NAN ...

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by evanb
Fri Nov 24, 2017 1:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?
Replies: 107
Views: 14577

Re: how long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?

I don't think the labor costs comes from avoiding overnighting, it comes from basing them elsewhere entirely. (Look at Ryanair crews in Germany.) A TATL crew will always overnight, but it's cheaper to pay a spanish salary and an overnight in the US then vice versa. This is done with some flights by...

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by evanb
Thu Nov 23, 2017 4:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?
Replies: 107
Views: 14577

Re: how long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?

That's what everyone says about every route, until Ryanair comes in and flys it. :lol Sure, but coming in with a 50% plus cost advantage allows one to price much lower thereby stimulating demand. The pie becomes bigger for everyone. But if there are no mechanisms to massively reduce costs, it's a n...

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by evanb
Thu Nov 23, 2017 4:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?
Replies: 107
Views: 14577

Re: how long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?

Am thinking low cost, means cheaper in terms of following:- 1) more seats on aircraft, with slimline seating, so not necessarily less legroom, with a very basic business type product 2) less checked baggage allowance with option to pay for more, or none "FREE" 3) meals either more basic o...

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by evanb
Wed Nov 22, 2017 4:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?
Replies: 107
Views: 14577

Re: how long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?

rbavfan wrote:
Since it's been used for years for TATL by AA, DL & UA in US.


Still doesn't make it a long haul aircraft. There are A319s and B737s flying TATL as well, but it doesn't make it a long haul aircraft.

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by evanb
Wed Nov 22, 2017 4:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAA bailed out by government again
Replies: 153
Views: 25973

Re: SAA bailed out by government again

Well right now they have a A340 stranded in JFK for a week with no end in sight due to fuel additives geling the fuel system which will require extensive cleaning and possibly all 4 engines changed. It will be interesting to see how it plays out considering SAA’s financial difficulties. Shipping al...

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by evanb
Wed Nov 22, 2017 4:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?
Replies: 107
Views: 14577

Re: how long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?

The real point that should be discussed is what routes a LHLCC based in the US would/could fly. The TATL market seems to have some room for LCCs, but not a lot. AUS/NZ is way overpriced, and would be significantly cheaper on a LCC, just as long as the aircraft had the range. A lot of people in NZ w...

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by evanb
Wed Nov 22, 2017 3:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAA bailed out by government again
Replies: 153
Views: 25973

Re: SAA bailed out by government again

Cyclic? Really?? I was under the impression that SA has been doing a nose dive for a very long time, and shows no sign of ever pulling up. What evidence (beyond mere hope) do you see of SA ever turning around? Government investing ... nope. Already been tried a thousand times. New Management ... no...

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by evanb
Tue Nov 21, 2017 9:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?
Replies: 107
Views: 14577

Re: how long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?

Allegiant's business model and Alaska's hub structure don't fit, but NK and F9 might try. Allegiant's business model doesn't fit? They're the only US-based LCC with long haul aircraft in their fleet (757), so if there's one LCC that could go for it it's Allegiant. Since when is the 757 a long haul ...

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by evanb
Tue Nov 21, 2017 7:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAA bailed out by government again
Replies: 153
Views: 25973

Re: SAA bailed out by government again

In the meantime, SA needs to park their entire A340 fleet, drop all long haul routes except LHR and focus on flying regionallywithin the bottom half of Africa. Parking the A340s will do nothing to fix the governance problems. Also, why keep LHR, it's one of the worst performing long-haul routes for...

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by evanb
Tue Nov 21, 2017 6:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAA bailed out by government again
Replies: 153
Views: 25973

Re: SAA bailed out by government again

In the meantime, SA needs to park their entire A340 fleet, drop all long haul routes except LHR and focus on flying regionallywithin the bottom half of Africa. Parking the A340s will do nothing to fix the governance problems. Also, why keep LHR, it's one of the worst performing long-haul routes for...

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by evanb
Tue Nov 21, 2017 6:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Senate Tax Bill Opens Pandora's Box To Hurt ME3 Carriers
Replies: 97
Views: 27997

Re: Senate Tax Bill Opens Pandora's Box To Hurt ME3 Carriers

What I’m saying is that EK is not changing it’s fundamental business policy over something that effects very little of its operation. EK needs Boeing a lot more than EK needs a few more routes to the US No sound business is so ideological that it would hurt itself over some political retaliation Yo...

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by evanb
Tue Nov 21, 2017 6:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAA bailed out by government again
Replies: 153
Views: 25973

Re: SAA bailed out by government again

South African Airways stated in Parliamentary Commission testimony that the airlines capital needs continue with an estimated projected deficit of US$641 million over the next 12 months even with a recent government injection of US$709 million. But no indication of how that would be financed, inclu...

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by evanb
Tue Nov 21, 2017 4:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAA bailed out by government again
Replies: 153
Views: 25973

Re: SAA bailed out by government again

SAA says thank you for the recent R10 billion (USD $709 million), but the airline still remains undercapitalized and in need of another R9 billion still. Where do either of the articles say or suggest they're in need of another R9 billion? Of course they still have a negative equity position since ...

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by evanb
Tue Nov 21, 2017 4:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Senate Tax Bill Opens Pandora's Box To Hurt ME3 Carriers
Replies: 97
Views: 27997

Re: Senate Tax Bill Opens Pandora's Box To Hurt ME3 Carriers

If they do and the ME3 turn around and cancel Boeing orders there will be hell to pay. Really?? The whole retaliation by not ordering Boeing is ridiculously overblown on this site. So EK is going to disadvantage their entire fleet, hundreds of aircraft, and switch to less optimal aircraft, costing ...

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by evanb
Tue Nov 21, 2017 4:02 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How does Delta like their A350 so far?
Replies: 40
Views: 16426

Re: How does Delta like their A350 so far?

This may surprise some people who only look at list prices: When Delta added the 25 A339 and the 25 A359 to its order book, even if allowing for the typical sub 3% deposit that airlines with the credit caliber of Delta are required to place, these 50 aircraft only cost them about $5.4 to $5.5bn in ...

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by evanb
Mon Nov 20, 2017 11:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Senate Tax Bill Opens Pandora's Box To Hurt ME3 Carriers
Replies: 97
Views: 27997

Re: Senate Tax Bill Opens Pandora's Box To Hurt ME3 Carriers

That's exactly my point, they're claiming it's all about American jobs, but they aren't walking their talk. If I were Trump all I would do is look at the orderbooks between the effected Airlines and US3 (because they're the ones most effected by ME3), see that the effected airlines are buying Ameri...

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by evanb
Mon Nov 20, 2017 11:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Senate Tax Bill Opens Pandora's Box To Hurt ME3 Carriers
Replies: 97
Views: 27997

Re: Senate Tax Bill Opens Pandora's Box To Hurt ME3 Carriers

With the current administration being all about local jobs, EKs orderbook along with every other effected airlines orderbooks will weigh heavy on the decision, DL is claiming this is all about American jobs, but is the administration going to see it that way when looking at DL, AA, and UAs heavy wi...

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by evanb
Mon Nov 20, 2017 11:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How does Delta like their A350 so far?
Replies: 40
Views: 16426

Re: How does Delta like their A350 so far?

It’s certaily not the only but it is probably the biggest consideration. Product and amentity changes will drive some revenue but reduced operating cost driven by lower fuel onsumption and reduced maintenance needs will be the biggest contributors. I wouldn't say fuel is the biggest consideration a...

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by evanb
Mon Nov 20, 2017 9:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How does Delta like their A350 so far?
Replies: 40
Views: 16426

Re: How does Delta like their A350 so far?

Everybody seems to think that fuel is the only consideration. Last quarter, fuel only accounted for 16 percent of Delta's operating costs. There is a lot more than fuel that'll determine whether Delta expectations are met or not, and that's just on the cost side. It'll take a much longer time to kno...

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by evanb
Mon Nov 20, 2017 8:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Senate Tax Bill Opens Pandora's Box To Hurt ME3 Carriers
Replies: 97
Views: 27997

Re: Senate Tax Bill Opens Pandora's Box To Hurt ME3 Carriers

I do find it ironic that the same people who decry the ME3 financial practices generally support anti-trust immunized joint ventures. What they're basically saying is they don't like subsidies buy legally protected transnational cartels are fine!

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by evanb
Fri Nov 17, 2017 8:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?
Replies: 107
Views: 14577

Re: how long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?

There is now a U.S. long haul LCC: American, which is run by a CEO who used to run an airline with LCC for its stock symbol. Look at AA's onboard product: basic economy fares, fees for almost everything, cramming in more seats, mediocre food (if offered), planes with no PTV or having PTVs removed. ...

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by evanb
Fri Nov 17, 2017 3:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is PEK-CAN the only domestic A380 route?
Replies: 15
Views: 3223

Re: Is PEK-CAN the only domestic A380 route?

On the other hand they will generally operate 744s in revenue service from MEL or SYD and back when they need one in PER for the Antarctic flights, but they don't really have the option of a scissor routing there :p You're making me nostalgic for the days of the B743 on the overnight PER-MEL/SYD fl...

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by evanb
Fri Nov 17, 2017 3:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?
Replies: 107
Views: 14577

Re: how long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?

I think it would work. You can get people to work in the airline industry for nothing just for the little perceived glamour that is left with aviation, especially international. Also there are still a lot of viable routes that have JV's with monopolies on them that a LHLC carrier could break up wit...

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by evanb
Thu Nov 16, 2017 9:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is PEK-CAN the only domestic A380 route?
Replies: 15
Views: 3223

Re: Is PEK-CAN the only domestic A380 route?

XAM2175 wrote:
QF will occasionally position an A380 from SYD to MEL or the reverse, but to the best of my knowledge they have never offered passenger service on these flights.


They try not to. They prefer to switch the SYD/MEL aircraft at LAX or LHR.

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by evanb
Thu Nov 16, 2017 6:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alitalia to JNB & NBO from 2018
Replies: 20
Views: 3176

Re: Alitalia to JNB & NBO from 2018

MileHFL400 wrote:
They would have been better off using the A320’s to NBO to start with and see how traffic builds


Given that NBO is 5,889ft AMSL it would be nearly impossible for an A320 to make the 2,908nm back to FCO. A319 will do a little better but the payload restrictions would be pretty significant.

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by evanb
Thu Nov 16, 2017 3:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hypothetical: ORD without AA
Replies: 110
Views: 12795

Re: Hypothetical: ORD without AA

Easy, it'll allow UA and WN to significantly increase fares originating or terminating in Chicago. Terrible for the customer and great for UA and WN.

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by evanb
Thu Nov 16, 2017 2:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?
Replies: 107
Views: 14577

Re: how long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?

In order to a LCC to succeed they need a significantly lower cost per available seat mile in order to deal with the inevitably lower revenue they'll earn per available seat mile. How does one propose that a long-haul LCC is going to achieve this in the US market when the big three have already show...

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by evanb
Wed Nov 15, 2017 11:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?
Replies: 107
Views: 14577

Re: how long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?

In order to a LCC to succeed they need a significantly lower cost per available seat mile in order to deal with the inevitably lower revenue they'll earn per available seat mile. How does one propose that a long-haul LCC is going to achieve this in the US market when the big three have already shown...

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