Search found 175 matches

by evanb
Mon Nov 20, 2017 8:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Senate Tax Bill Opens Pandora's Box To Hurt ME3 Carriers
Replies: 52
Views: 5080

Re: Senate Tax Bill Opens Pandora's Box To Hurt ME3 Carriers

I do find it ironic that the same people who decry the ME3 financial practices generally support anti-trust immunized joint ventures. What they're basically saying is they don't like subsidies buy legally protected transnational cartels are fine!

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by evanb
Fri Nov 17, 2017 8:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: how long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?
Replies: 47
Views: 5550

Re: how long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?

There is now a U.S. long haul LCC: American, which is run by a CEO who used to run an airline with LCC for its stock symbol. Look at AA's onboard product: basic economy fares, fees for almost everything, cramming in more seats, mediocre food (if offered), planes with no PTV or having PTVs removed. ...

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by evanb
Fri Nov 17, 2017 3:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is PEK-CAN the only domestic A380 route?
Replies: 15
Views: 3103

Re: Is PEK-CAN the only domestic A380 route?

On the other hand they will generally operate 744s in revenue service from MEL or SYD and back when they need one in PER for the Antarctic flights, but they don't really have the option of a scissor routing there :p You're making me nostalgic for the days of the B743 on the overnight PER-MEL/SYD fl...

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by evanb
Fri Nov 17, 2017 3:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: how long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?
Replies: 47
Views: 5550

Re: how long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?

I think it would work. You can get people to work in the airline industry for nothing just for the little perceived glamour that is left with aviation, especially international. Also there are still a lot of viable routes that have JV's with monopolies on them that a LHLC carrier could break up wit...

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by evanb
Thu Nov 16, 2017 9:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is PEK-CAN the only domestic A380 route?
Replies: 15
Views: 3103

Re: Is PEK-CAN the only domestic A380 route?

XAM2175 wrote:
QF will occasionally position an A380 from SYD to MEL or the reverse, but to the best of my knowledge they have never offered passenger service on these flights.


They try not to. They prefer to switch the SYD/MEL aircraft at LAX or LHR.

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by evanb
Thu Nov 16, 2017 6:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alitalia to JNB & NBO from 2018
Replies: 20
Views: 3021

Re: Alitalia to JNB & NBO from 2018

MileHFL400 wrote:
They would have been better off using the A320’s to NBO to start with and see how traffic builds


Given that NBO is 5,889ft AMSL it would be nearly impossible for an A320 to make the 2,908nm back to FCO. A319 will do a little better but the payload restrictions would be pretty significant.

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by evanb
Thu Nov 16, 2017 3:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hypothetical: ORD without AA
Replies: 89
Views: 7985

Re: Hypothetical: ORD without AA

Easy, it'll allow UA and WN to significantly increase fares originating or terminating in Chicago. Terrible for the customer and great for UA and WN.

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by evanb
Thu Nov 16, 2017 2:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: how long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?
Replies: 47
Views: 5550

Re: how long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?

In order to a LCC to succeed they need a significantly lower cost per available seat mile in order to deal with the inevitably lower revenue they'll earn per available seat mile. How does one propose that a long-haul LCC is going to achieve this in the US market when the big three have already show...

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by evanb
Wed Nov 15, 2017 11:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: how long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?
Replies: 47
Views: 5550

Re: how long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?

In order to a LCC to succeed they need a significantly lower cost per available seat mile in order to deal with the inevitably lower revenue they'll earn per available seat mile. How does one propose that a long-haul LCC is going to achieve this in the US market when the big three have already shown...

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by evanb
Wed Nov 15, 2017 7:41 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: EWR Barack H Obama Airport
Replies: 64
Views: 3372

Re: EWR Barack H Obama Airport

I don't think there was a personal link between Kennedy and the airport, but the airport was very quickly named for him after his death (less than a month). Generally there is some personal linkage between the name and the location, but in the case of Kennedy it was simply relevant to memorializing ...

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by evanb
Tue Nov 14, 2017 11:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: BA reported to be in talks to acquire SQ A380s
Replies: 78
Views: 16583

Re: BA reported to be in talks to acquire SQ A380s

MH's are practically new in terms of cycles and hours. SQ's are decently used so the price would be much lower. In terms of destinations, BA would love JNB to be double daily A380 year-round and likely CPT double daily for high-season (northern hemisphere winter) once CPT is A380 ready sometime arou...

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by evanb
Tue Nov 14, 2017 2:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Thai Airways hopes to return to US - nonstop to California/New York
Replies: 97
Views: 13757

Re: Thai Airways hopes to return to US - nonstop to California/New York

I'm staggered that everyone on here thinks that travel to/from Thailand and Bangkok is only about tourists and expats in LA. Thailand is the 26th biggest economy in the world, and overwhelmingly concentrated on Bangkok. Bangkok itself has the 6th highest per capita GDP of any Asian city and has a ma...

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by evanb
Mon Nov 13, 2017 10:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Chicago to Berlin - Underserved?
Replies: 30
Views: 2707

Re: Chicago to Berlin - Underserved?

If anything, I think the most likely would be for a LH Group airline to start TXL-ORD, maybe LH if their TXL-JFK flight is a success, or EW if they find Berlin to be lower yielding. I don't see AA doing it. The OW connecting opportunities are no longer available at TXL and they don't fly anything ot...

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by evanb
Mon Nov 13, 2017 3:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Thai Airways hopes to return to US - nonstop to California/New York
Replies: 97
Views: 13757

Re: Thai Airways hopes to return to US - nonstop to California/New York

TG can preform much better in Europe for two main reasons I know of. 1) Thailand is a HUGE vacation market from Europe. The US, not so much at all. 2) TG carries a lot of passengers between Europe and Australia/New Zealand. You're forgetting that non-stop BKK-Europe is massively shorter than non-st...

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by evanb
Mon Nov 13, 2017 1:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Thai Airways hopes to return to US - nonstop to California/New York
Replies: 97
Views: 13757

Re: Thai Airways hopes to return to US - nonstop to California/New York

VN's potential LAX service could take away so much because THAT route will make money Based on what? Fares to Vietnam are, and for a long time have been, square in the toilet. It's not uncommon to see LAX-SGN fares below $500 roundtrip, via both TPE, ICN, and several other gateways. Usually a littl...

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by evanb
Sun Nov 12, 2017 12:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Thai Airways hopes to return to US - nonstop to California/New York
Replies: 97
Views: 13757

Re: Thai Airways hopes to return to US - nonstop to California/New York

Its very interesting they are so desirous to return to USA, where by their own admission that never made a profit during 20+ years of service. My immediate question would be: "What's changed?" The two most glaring/notable changes in recent times, are that (1) neither of the two previous U...

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by evanb
Fri Nov 10, 2017 11:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Thai Airways hopes to return to US - nonstop to California/New York
Replies: 97
Views: 13757

Re: Thai Airways hopes to return to US - nonstop to California/New York

Yes UA-TG ended codesharing back years back. While Star partners, they definitely are not close. TG is one of the three "ugly stepsisters" in the alliance, as far as UA is concerned. A3 and ET are the others. I think UA consider anyone who isn't in a JV with them to be an ugly stepsister.

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by evanb
Fri Nov 10, 2017 6:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is United Buying Hawaiians 767s?
Replies: 36
Views: 7746

Re: Is United Buying Hawaiians 767s?

More 767’s?! That’s pretty much all they fly internationally out of ORD these days, which makes little sense to me considering AA is primarily using 787’s out of ORD with most international carriers using 773’s and 787’s. You mean other than BRU, FRA, GRU, HKG, MUC, NRT, PEK and PVG which are all 7...

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by evanb
Thu Nov 09, 2017 5:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: African Aviation Thread
Replies: 182
Views: 13879

Re: African Aviation Thread

chiki wrote:
Not good i think Airlink need to replace these asap never like flying the their E190 is very comfy


Already on the way. The first five 190s and first 170 have already arrived at Airlink, and two more 170s arriving very soon.

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by evanb
Wed Nov 08, 2017 3:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LH A388 vs 748 switch on cashcow route FRA-JNB
Replies: 13
Views: 5088

Re: LH A388 vs 748 switch on cashcow route FRA-JNB

As a few people have already indicated, the switch from the A380 to B748 on FRA-JNB coincided with increasing capacity on FRA/MUC-CPT as well as addition LH group seasonal operations CGN/VIE-CPT on EW and OS. LH group have seen a massive increase in capacity to South Africa in the last few years and...

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by evanb
Tue Nov 07, 2017 3:41 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Why long haul planes sit for a long time on ground...?
Replies: 37
Views: 7791

Re: Why long haul planes sit for a long time on ground...?

The 24hr cycle answer is correct. As an example, SA-EUR-SA flights can’t do the round trip in less than 24hrs and therefore can’t keep the schedule which requires and overnight flight for commercial reasons ( pax don’t like wasting a day on a plane). It's part of the story since the high-yielding b...

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by evanb
Wed Oct 25, 2017 1:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates adding 7th LHR Service
Replies: 53
Views: 11565

Re: Emirates adding 7th LHR Service

jetskipper wrote:
I’m not sure how it works in Europe, but in the US airlines do not provide housing for cities in which the crews are domiciled. To save 132 rooms a night would be a massive savings.


So instead of requiring the hotel rooms in London, they would then require them in Dubai.

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by evanb
Wed Oct 04, 2017 1:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAA bailed out by government again
Replies: 136
Views: 21061

Re: SAA bailed out by government again

Why do they charge different rates for a plane coming from with South Africa, from Namibia, and from the UK? It would seem that rates different from costs, since these planes would have the same costs (not including immigration. But even Namibia and the UK both have to go through immigration, so th...

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by evanb
Tue Oct 03, 2017 3:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAA bailed out by government again
Replies: 136
Views: 21061

Re: SAA bailed out by government again

I would not want to consider Nigeria my benchmark because of their reputation for ineptitude. I would not want to consider the Netherlands my benchmark because of labor costs. Maybe Namibia? It's not obvious. South Africa is kind of a unique country. I don't think South Africa is that unique. You c...

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by evanb
Tue Oct 03, 2017 3:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAA bailed out by government again
Replies: 136
Views: 21061

Re: SAA bailed out by government again

I'm glad their regulated. But that they are owned by the government, and the government sets their prices, and they make a profit, does not mean they have a good cost structure. Maybe they do, but this is not evidence. When you say "fees are highly competitive when compared to other airports&q...

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by evanb
Mon Oct 02, 2017 2:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAA bailed out by government again
Replies: 136
Views: 21061

Re: SAA bailed out by government again

Indeed, nearly every commercial airport in the US is state-owned, often by local authorities. They also receive FAA grants for infrastructure (a subsidy). The funny thing in South Africa is that while SAA is in shambles the major commercial airports are owned by a state-owned company (Airports Comp...

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by evanb
Fri Sep 22, 2017 10:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: ( Rumour ) Norwegian considering buying Monarch
Replies: 29
Views: 4042

Re: ( Rumour ) Norwegian considering buying Monarch

It's Norwegian's only viable move to get a large number of Gatwick slots at once. I'm surprised that BA and easyJet are not interested. I doubt Easyjet would be able to acquire Monarch's LGW slots, at least not without significant concessions. They are already the largest carrier at LGW by a good m...

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by evanb
Fri Sep 22, 2017 6:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: ( Rumour ) Norwegian considering buying Monarch
Replies: 29
Views: 4042

Re: ( Rumour ) Norwegian considering buying Monarch

It's Norwegian's only viable move to get a large number of Gatwick slots at once. I'm surprised that BA and easyJet are not interested.

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by evanb
Wed Sep 20, 2017 9:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330neo MTOW increase
Replies: 180
Views: 30058

Re: A330neo MTOW increase

9 tonne based on the fuel burn improvement Airbus quotes should allow around 7346nm range for the A330-900 with the weight increase. Allowing close to the 7500nm range of the 242t A330-800. Would allow carriers with both models to more easily be swapped out if needed. What would a 251t A330-800 be ...

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by evanb
Wed Sep 20, 2017 8:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330neo MTOW increase
Replies: 180
Views: 30058

Re: A330neo MTOW increase

I don't think this increase is really about range since it also doesn't come with any increase in fuel capacity. The A330-300 and B777-200ER/LR both carry 28 LD3s (or 11 and 11 pallets, respectively), but when coming up to 8 to 10 hours endurance with the 242t A330-300 one isn't going to come anywhe...

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by evanb
Wed Sep 20, 2017 5:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAA bailed out by government again
Replies: 136
Views: 21061

Re: SAA bailed out by government again

Personally, in my book, there indeed is no shame in being a fully government-owned airline - that is quite normal globally and where the airline can serve for broader national benefit, but it seems to me this messy middle state SAA finds itself hardly ideal. Which is why the MidEast brouhaha is a j...

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by evanb
Wed Sep 20, 2017 5:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAA bailed out by government again
Replies: 136
Views: 21061

Re: SAA bailed out by government again

SAA is indeed a fully government owned, however like other long list SOEs (State-Owned Enterprises) in South Africa it operates largely as a typicall commercial enterprise retaining its own legal and financial structure and is tasked to participate in normal commercial activities with government be...

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by evanb
Wed Sep 20, 2017 4:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAA bailed out by government again
Replies: 136
Views: 21061

Re: SAA bailed out by government again

mercure1 wrote:
I wonder why SA even bothers with the farce that SAA is a quasi-private enterprise? They should simply nationalize it completely and call it a day.
Nothing shameful with having state owned airlines.


Um, it is 100% nationalized and has been since Swissair went under.

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by evanb
Tue Sep 19, 2017 10:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAA bailed out by government again
Replies: 136
Views: 21061

Re: SAA Is Broke, Cashflow Documents Show

VSMUT wrote:
I don't think McKinsey can be matched by anyone else on this planet when it comes to f****** over its customers. I doubt anyone has ever gained anything from those greedy beancounters. The company is a vicious form of cancer.


Maybe Bain. They did a good job of asset stripping SAA back in the day.

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by evanb
Tue Sep 19, 2017 8:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAA bailed out by government again
Replies: 136
Views: 21061

Re: SAA bailed out by government again

SAA have about R10 billion in debt which is guaranteed by the Treasury. If they don't provide the cash and SAA go under (which would in all likelihood happen) it would result in cascading calls on other Treasury guaranteed debt. They have been left with few options. One just hopes that they provide...

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by evanb
Tue Sep 19, 2017 6:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAA bailed out by government again
Replies: 136
Views: 21061

Re: SAA bailed out by government again

SAA have about R10 billion in debt which is guaranteed by the Treasury. If they don't provide the cash and SAA go under (which would in all likelihood happen) it would result in cascading calls on other Treasury guaranteed debt. They have been left with few options. One just hopes that they provide ...

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by evanb
Sun Sep 17, 2017 4:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IAG's plans for Aer Lingus
Replies: 25
Views: 6747

Re: IAG's plans for Aer Lingus

EI will provide BA access to a large number of LHR slots.

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by evanb
Mon Sep 04, 2017 4:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Two South Africa bound flights from LHR diverted
Replies: 20
Views: 7160

Re: Two South Africa bound flights from LHR diverted

There are five daily JNB-LHR (2x BA, 2x SA, 1x VS), and one daily CPT-LHR which increases up to three daily in peak season (all BA).

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by evanb
Thu Aug 24, 2017 9:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: First Airbus A380 parked amid search for new operator
Replies: 164
Views: 39761

Re: First Airbus A380 parked amid search for new operator

The real gauntlet will be when the later builds start to become available. As an early bird that essentially had to be rewired by hand 9V-SKA doesn't really stand a great chance of avoiding the scrapper. Agreed. It was the 5th A380 off the production line (two prototypes and two production models b...

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by evanb
Wed Aug 23, 2017 4:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: African Aviation Thread
Replies: 182
Views: 13879

Re: African Aviation Thread

That also tells me that Ethiopian, unlike a lot of African carriers, really seeks profitability, although I do feel that ET has too many wide-body planes when much of their network could be serviced with narrow-body planes. The A321neo would be perfect for their African network and maybe to India a...

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by evanb
Wed Aug 23, 2017 2:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: African Aviation Thread
Replies: 182
Views: 13879

Re: African Aviation Thread

Ethiopian is placing its first 787-9 on flights to Mumbai. Mumbai will be served twice a day with 77L + 789 When are ET expecting the 789? Do you know the seat configuration? I see 3-3-3 in economy with a total 287 seats. I see 2-3-2 in business with a total 28 seats Total is 315 seats This compare...

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by evanb
Mon Aug 21, 2017 5:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL adds JFK - LOS
Replies: 71
Views: 11708

Re: DL adds JFK - LOS

While all of that might be true it does appear as if the complaint isn't just from one passenger and from a few occasions when there was bad luck. There seems to be a pattern in this. Those complaining seem to be seasoned travelers as well who detect a difference in how DL treats LOS compared to ot...

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by evanb
Mon Aug 21, 2017 3:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL adds JFK - LOS
Replies: 71
Views: 11708

Re: DL adds JFK - LOS

I would imagine most people flying to Africa these days are flying me3. Much more options than direct. I'm sure it's not "most people", but I seem to remember reading on these fora a while back that TK is the single airline carrying the most passengers to and from Africa. Not necessarily ...

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by evanb
Mon Aug 21, 2017 1:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL adds JFK - LOS
Replies: 71
Views: 11708

Re: DL adds JFK - LOS

Good to see one US carrier pursuing opportunities in Africa. Any chance DL will give Luanda and the other routes they planned another chance? Africa has seen steady economic growth these past few years and it seems like it could support more service to the U.S. A bit more established Economy but, A...

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by evanb
Fri Aug 18, 2017 3:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ethiopian going nonstop to Sao Paulo again
Replies: 30
Views: 4965

Re: Ethiopian going nonstop to Sao Paulo again

Consider though that there is probably a bigger O&D market between Brazil and UAE than what there is between Brazil and Ethiopia...so while there is a big margin of people getting off in DXB, there is probably not so many getting off in ADD, and thus continuing onwards. Is there perhaps also st...

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by evanb
Wed Aug 16, 2017 6:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumor: Thai Airways (TG) returning to the US
Replies: 76
Views: 16882

Re: Rumor: Thai Airways (TG) returning to the US

AirAfreak wrote:
Does TG have traffic rights via HKG to USA/Canada?

Would it be reasonable for TG to explore the idea of operating BKK-LAX/SFO/SEA/YVR/YYZ/JFK/EWR or ORD via HKG?


Yes, the bilateral agreements allows it.

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by evanb
Wed Aug 16, 2017 5:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumor: Thai Airways (TG) returning to the US
Replies: 76
Views: 16882

Re: Rumor: Thai Airways (TG) returning to the US

There problem there is that I DID read what you said. And your statements were implicitly inconsistent, which is why I've spent this time trying to figure out what you're even trying to get at, in the first place. For example: I never made any other claim that they could sustain a US route profitab...

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by evanb
Wed Aug 16, 2017 3:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ethiopian retrofitting its B763 Business class with lie flat seats
Replies: 25
Views: 4241

Re: Ethiopian retrofitting its B763 Business class with lie flat seats

How is the arrangement between Ethiopian Airlines and Malawian Airlines working out! At the beginning of this arrangement it was stated that Malawian Airlines may eventually get a couple of wide bodies from Ethiopian Airlines with the Boeing 763 being the obvious candidate. If the ET Boeing 763 are...

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by evanb
Wed Aug 16, 2017 3:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumor: Thai Airways (TG) returning to the US
Replies: 76
Views: 16882

Re: Rumor: Thai Airways (TG) returning to the US

Did you even read this? It in itself contradicts what you're trying to say: five seconds + a calculator will tell you that. Just as an example, TG with a CASM of 8.5cents per seat mile on an 8300mi route to LAX, isn't going to come anywhere near as low of a cost as OZ with a 10.5cent CASM on a 6000...

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by evanb
Tue Aug 15, 2017 10:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian AIr Argentina: final list of routes authority requested
Replies: 58
Views: 11738

Re: Norwegian AIr Argentina: final list of routes authority requested

Most likely applying for everything where there are unused frequencies as per bilateral agreements, hence the odd numbers, e.g. Cape Town x3 and Johannesburg x2, probably because the bilateral allows for 5 total per week.

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