Search found 95 matches

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by evanb
Sat Apr 08, 2017 3:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Indonesia refuses to approve SQ and LH JV, protecting Garuda
Replies: 5
Views: 2236

Re: Protectionism strikes again: Indonesia refuses to approve Singapore Airlines and Lufthansa JV, protecting Garuda

Singapore Airlines is the largest foreign carrier in Indonesia, and is often cited as the non official international airline for Indonesia. Quite disappointing seeing this protectionist stance from the authorities there. Garuda has become a proper international carrier with high standards and servi...

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by evanb
Mon Mar 20, 2017 6:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Lome-Jo'burg nonstop on Ethiopian!
Replies: 15
Views: 3826

Re: Lome-Jo'burg nonstop on Ethiopian!

Hopefully this drives down prices on SAA's flight to JFK. I'm pretty sure a three times weekly flight, connecting through a west African airport, is not going to drive down prices on JNB-JFK, given the premium that can be attracted for the non-stop and also considering the huge number of other one-...

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by evanb
Tue Mar 14, 2017 3:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: African Aviation Thread
Replies: 128
Views: 4969

Re: African Aviation Thread

Cunard wrote:
BA to Cape Town and Johannesburg


No BA A380 to CPT. LHR flights are B744 and LGW flights are B772.

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by evanb
Wed Mar 08, 2017 8:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airlink adds 11 ERJ-140s
Replies: 4
Views: 1096

Re: Airlink adds 11 ERJ-140s

I presume the ERJ-140 has better hot and high performance than the ERJ-145.

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by evanb
Tue Feb 28, 2017 9:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: easyJet to fall out of FTSE100 index. Risk of IAG takeover bid?
Replies: 13
Views: 3614

Re: easyJet to fall out of FTSE100 index. Risk of IAG takeover bid?

You say that but Lufthansa group are huge in Europe and looking at other opportunities so why can't IAG? Specifically, the UK authorities will be very concerned with concentration in the London market. They are likely to look at London as a whole, rather than the airports separately. The remedial a...

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by evanb
Tue Feb 28, 2017 4:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: easyJet to fall out of FTSE100 index. Risk of IAG takeover bid?
Replies: 13
Views: 3614

Re: easyJet to fall out of FTSE100 index. Risk of IAG takeover bid?

Could IAG submit a takeover bid for easyJet in the next couple of years? This would partly be a defensive move as easyJet has said it will start operations from Heathrow when a third runway opens which would put a lot of pressure on BA short-haul at LHR. If easyJet's UK operations are merged into B...

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by evanb
Sat Jan 28, 2017 10:04 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Mass Layoffs
Replies: 84
Views: 26420

Re: Emirates Mass Layoffs

Looking at the latest leasor quarterly reports, average EK daily utilisation was 11.5 to 13.5 hours, within the mid-range utilisation agreed with leasors. There is evidence to suggest that this is above average. There is nice data from the MIT Airline Data Project which estimates "Average Dail...

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by evanb
Sat Jan 28, 2017 9:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Mass Layoffs
Replies: 84
Views: 26420

Re: Emirates Mass Layoffs

Only $11B. To read regular posters here, I would have thought they received a lot more. My thoughts exactly, I read somewhere on the internets that it was even higher, and we all know what Winston Churchill once said, "if you read it on the internet it must be true", or was that Abraham L...

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by evanb
Fri Jan 27, 2017 12:32 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Mass Layoffs
Replies: 84
Views: 26420

Re: Emirates Mass Layoffs

there were also a rumor they had parked up to 19 A380s but were keeping it very quiet.....then after that they announced the A380 deferrals....so yes 1000 out of over 100k staff is not a huge deal...but all taken together could add up to EK experiencing some big issues It's pretty easy to verify if...

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by evanb
Wed Jan 25, 2017 11:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Interview with Amedeo's CEO Lapidus on A380
Replies: 36
Views: 6281

Re: Interview with Amedeo's CEO Lapidus on A380

Only way I could see the A380 being used is by a holiday operator like Thomas Cook or Thomson on the mass holiday routes like LGW to AGP or MAN to PMI or LGW to TFS but then they will be restricted to a limited number of routes and can those airports handle the aircraft. The likes of EZY or FR won'...

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by evanb
Fri Jan 06, 2017 7:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAA v. Air New Zealand
Replies: 28
Views: 5400

Re: SAA v. Air New Zealand

While South Africa doesn't have a nice big market like Australia next door, it does have all of Southern Africa for regional flights. A330 or A340 between flights to LHR can fly to Lagos, Windok, Nairobi, Accra, and Zimbabwae. Maybe flying them of 5 hour African flights would be more profitable the...

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by evanb
Wed Jan 04, 2017 11:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAA v. Air New Zealand
Replies: 28
Views: 5400

Re: SAA v. Air New Zealand

Consider the following: ME4 to NZ: Emirates DXB-AKL daily A380, DXB-MEL-AKL daily A380, DXB-BKK-SYD-AKL daily A380, DXB-SYD-CHC daily A380 Qatar DOH-AKL (begins Feb) Etihad: none Turkish: none ME4 to RSA: Emirates: DXB-JNB 3x daily B77W & daily A380, DXB-CPT 3x daily B77W, DXB-DUR daily B77W Qat...

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by evanb
Fri Dec 30, 2016 11:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Are Virgin Atlantics A330's useless?
Replies: 70
Views: 19541

Re: Are Virgin Atlantics A330's useless?

So, the 787 has a 2,000kg trip fuel advantage (6-7%) and 13 minutes time advantage (3%). Is that much, or little? Hard to say, as we don't know other costs involved. However, I think the increased fuel burn of the A333 could be easily offset by lower lease rates... Very interesting. The most recent...

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by evanb
Sun Dec 18, 2016 8:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates JNB Ops
Replies: 16
Views: 3177

Re: Emirates JNB Ops

Emirates have always favored frequency to South Africa. They have added a fourth frequency to Johannesburg and a third frequency to Cape Town in the last few years. As already mentioned, they have upgauged some Johannesburg flights to A380 during high-season. They are likely caped out with frequency...

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by evanb
Fri Dec 16, 2016 1:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Tanzania confirms order for 1 787-8
Replies: 32
Views: 6508

Re: Air Tanzania confirms order for 1 787-8

I can't see this ending well! It's impossible to make long haul working without any economies of scale and without any feed. One cannot simply rely on O&D traffic unless the routes are incredibly high yielding, which DAR will certainly not provide. I can't see anyone willing to provide feed on ...

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by evanb
Wed Dec 14, 2016 3:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 2 BA A380s at JNB
Replies: 8
Views: 2748

Re: 2 BA A380s at JNB

Wanting to have night flights both directions also makes sense. But, it seems you could still satisfy that preference and have a bigger gap between trips to better accommodate various connections. I think that it's the connections that are the most important factor in determine the times. JNB and L...

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by evanb
Wed Dec 14, 2016 8:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Tanzania confirms order for 1 787-8
Replies: 32
Views: 6508

Re: Air Tanzania confirms order for 1 787-8

Not every airline in the world has to be huge, or have an obvious viable O/D market. I'm sure the people in Tanzania have done their research and have come to the conclusion that the airline has a good future if managed correctly. They are giving that management the tools they require to set that p...

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by evanb
Wed Dec 14, 2016 7:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Tanzania confirms order for 1 787-8
Replies: 32
Views: 6508

Re: Air Tanzania confirms order for 1 787-8

I can't see this ending well! It's impossible to make long haul working without any economies of scale and without any feed. One cannot simply rely on O&D traffic unless the routes are incredibly high yielding, which DAR will certainly not provide. I can't see anyone willing to provide feed on t...

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by evanb
Mon Dec 05, 2016 9:23 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: RwandAir plans US debut
Replies: 9
Views: 3030

Re: RwandAir plans US debut

It would be surprising for a small country like Rwanda to have a direct link to the U.S. while a major African nation like Kenya doesn't have one (although security concerns seem to be the main reason for that)... Is there a large Rwandan diaspora in New York, or is this just a prestige route they ...

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by evanb
Mon Dec 05, 2016 9:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will Air Namibia Return To The UK?
Replies: 11
Views: 2040

Re: Will Air Namibia Return To The UK?

It's been a few years since Air Namibia "suspended" its service between WDH and LGW. With the growing popularity of Namibia as a holiday destination and the close ties that exist between the UK and Namibia, does anyone think the service may get reinstated at some point? I'm not sure what ...

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by evanb
Sun Nov 27, 2016 9:55 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will BA ever return to HRE?
Replies: 19
Views: 4636

Re: Will BA ever return to HRE?

I'm not so sure the infrastructure is in as poor condition as you state. While I was there (in 2011), I experienced a reliable electric grid, fully functional traffic signaling devices on the streets, well paved good roads for the most part. I can't speak to the condition of the sewer and municipal...

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by evanb
Fri Nov 25, 2016 6:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will BA ever return to HRE?
Replies: 19
Views: 4636

Re: Will BA ever return to HRE?

Siren wrote:
if Mugabe goes, all of this should recover fairly quickly assuming somebody puts reasonable policies in place instead.


The degradation of the infrastructure over the last decade is so severe that it'll take years to recover.

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by evanb
Thu Nov 24, 2016 2:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will BA ever return to HRE?
Replies: 19
Views: 4636

Re: Will BA ever return to HRE?

I think BA would be happy to return to a country that is far more approachable about a myriad of operations ideals. I also think current security gaps need to be addressed. If BA were to return they'd have crew over nighting & BA needs to know their crews will remain safe. The Sale of tickets o...

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by evanb
Thu Nov 24, 2016 6:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will BA ever return to HRE?
Replies: 19
Views: 4636

Re: Will BA ever return to HRE?

Given BA's strategy in Africa in recent years I would think it's unlikely under any circumstances. They have dropped several other destinations in Africa including GBE, LLW, WDH, KAN, DUR, KRT, DAR, EBB and LUN. Their African strategy has changed over the years and focusses on higher capacity to a s...

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by evanb
Tue Oct 25, 2016 9:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAA announces A330-300 service to IAD
Replies: 50
Views: 12281

Re: SAA announces A330-300 service to IAD

So in the JNB-Europe market, all the premium traffic originates in Europe? I didn't know that. No, not at all, but there is clearly a greater business case to get into Europe early that leaving JNB later. Most likely because of the greater variety of connections on the European end, and a much lett...

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by evanb
Mon Oct 24, 2016 9:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Opinion: Low oil prices is hitting ME carriers
Replies: 23
Views: 4717

Re: Opinion: Low oil prices is hitting ME carriers

When only one of the parties is benefitting from the bilaterals, they are granted, not negotiated. I really wonder why countries are entering into bilaterals with the UAE. There is barely any merit for them to do so. It does make a difference to be separate airlines as they can give the impression ...

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by evanb
Mon Oct 24, 2016 1:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAA announces A330-300 service to IAD
Replies: 50
Views: 12281

Re: SAA announces A330-300 service to IAD

Yes, that would make sense for Lufthansa, but for SAA you would think that they want to leave as late as possible so that premium customers have the opportunity for a full day of work in JNB and to maximize connectivity at JNB. The market is the same, the passengers are the same, why would SA give ...

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by evanb
Mon Oct 24, 2016 10:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Opinion: Low oil prices is hitting ME carriers
Replies: 23
Views: 4717

Re: Opinion: Low oil prices is hitting ME carriers

1. EK, EY and Flydubai are owned by one and the same family. The only conceivable reason that they are operating as separate entities is to gain more slot access than they would have as a single airline. They have indeed succeeded at that as the UAE has been granted huge amounts of bilaterals that ...

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by evanb
Mon Oct 24, 2016 10:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAA announces A330-300 service to IAD
Replies: 50
Views: 12281

Re: SAA announces A330-300 service to IAD

Yes, that would make sense for Lufthansa, but for SAA you would think that they want to leave as late as possible so that premium customers have the opportunity for a full day of work in JNB and to maximize connectivity at JNB. I'm not sure why the strategy would be any different for LH and SA. Con...

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by evanb
Sun Oct 23, 2016 8:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Opinion: Low oil prices is hitting ME carriers
Replies: 23
Views: 4717

Re: Opinion: Low oil prices is hitting ME carriers

While the ME carriers claimed to purchase fuel at the same prices as competitors, I have reason to doubt this. If you look at EK's balance sheet of 2008 (ending March 2018) and compare it to the one of 2015, it just doesn't add up. EK's fuel and oil expenditures has increased 150% while the airline...

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by evanb
Sun Oct 23, 2016 4:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAA announces A330-300 service to IAD
Replies: 50
Views: 12281

Re: SAA announces A330-300 service to IAD

Something I've never understood about SAA. If their planes just sit on the ground all the day in Europe, why do their flights leave around dinner time rather than late at night? LH from JNB to FRA departs at 1910 and arrives FRA at 0550. This makes sense because they want their aircraft in FRA to u...

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by evanb
Sat Oct 22, 2016 11:35 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAA announces A330-300 service to IAD
Replies: 50
Views: 12281

Re: SAA announces A330-300 service to IAD

Does SAA have to fl to the USA ? The USA is just musical chairs for SAA Miami, FT. Lauderdale, Houston and Atlanta are cities that used to see SAA. Whatever happened to stopping in Cape Verde ? IF A330 are being used then a west African stop has to be done. If an A340 does the 16 hour flight to JFK...

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by evanb
Sat Oct 22, 2016 11:32 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAA announces A330-300 service to IAD
Replies: 50
Views: 12281

Re: SAA announces A330-300 service to IAD

Yes and no. While it is true that all European carriers park their planes all day in JNB, SA has the unfortunate distinction of parking their fleet all day in both Europe and JNB. Whereas the European carriers can repurpose the inbounds from JNB to TATL and Asian morning/afternoon departures. There...

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by evanb
Sat Oct 22, 2016 11:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAA announces A330-300 service to IAD
Replies: 50
Views: 12281

Re: SAA announces A330-300 service to IAD

Planesmart wrote:
Perhaps SAA is one of two African continent airlines talking to EK about a QF-style joint venture.


Indeed, SAA had discussion with EK about this nearly a year ago already.

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by evanb
Fri Oct 21, 2016 8:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAA announces A330-300 service to IAD
Replies: 50
Views: 12281

Re: SAA announces A330-300 service to IAD

[*]

Dutchy wrote:
Must be one of the longest A333 routes at 8,134 mi, can they do this without restrictions?


It'll operate with a stop in DKR or ACC on alternating days.

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by evanb
Fri Oct 21, 2016 12:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAA announces A330-300 service to IAD
Replies: 50
Views: 12281

Re: SAA announces A330-300 service to IAD

behramjee wrote:
What is the cabin configuration of these new A333s?


C46 Y203

Rumor has it that the business cabin is 1-2-1 configuration (current aircraft are 2-2-2 configuration in business). As a point of comparison, their A340-300s are C38 Y215.

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by evanb
Wed Oct 12, 2016 8:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why did Lufthansa and Qantas hold out on the 77W?
Replies: 49
Views: 9273

Re: Why did Lufthansa and Qantas hold out on the 77W?

One doesn't purchase an aircraft for one or two routes, just ask SQ and TG and their A345 purchases. The B744 is not that much bigger than the A346 and did the job they needed. Also, they didn't fly SCL back then, so it would have been purchasing for just one route. Having the smaller aircraft woul...

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by evanb
Wed Oct 12, 2016 8:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why did Lufthansa and Qantas hold out on the 77W?
Replies: 49
Views: 9273

Re: Why did Lufthansa and Qantas hold out on the 77W?

One doesn't purchase an aircraft for one or two routes, just ask SQ and TG and their A345 purchases. The B744 is not that much bigger than the A346 and did the job they needed. Also, they didn't fly SCL back then, so it would have been purchasing for just one route. Having the smaller aircraft woul...

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by evanb
Tue Oct 11, 2016 2:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why did Lufthansa and Qantas hold out on the 77W?
Replies: 49
Views: 9273

Re: Why did Lufthansa and Qantas hold out on the 77W?

And the A330-300 has been available roughly a decade longer than the 77W. There's really no downplaying the historic success of the 77W. There is no historical comparison for a model that has so thoroughly out-classed its peers. I'm not downplaying the success of the B777-300ER, but others shouldn'...

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by evanb
Tue Oct 11, 2016 6:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: EK fleet retirements
Replies: 24
Views: 6081

Re: EK fleet retirements

The A332s are a bit young. 2002 and 2003 builds shouldn't be far out of the most expensive overhauls, so in my opinion it is the loss of fleet commonality forcing the retirement of the last A332s. The 77Es are (1997/1998) 18 year olds. While a little early for retirement, by EK's standards the type...

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by evanb
Tue Oct 11, 2016 6:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why did Lufthansa and Qantas hold out on the 77W?
Replies: 49
Views: 9273

Re: Why did Lufthansa and Qantas hold out on the 77W?

Slightly OT, why didn't QANTAS go for the A345/6? They were the closet competitors to the 777 at the time and would have given them more leeway to do SYD-SCL/JNB while getting around ETOPS and not having to fill a 744 or A380. One doesn't purchase an aircraft for one or two routes, just ask SQ and ...

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by evanb
Tue Oct 11, 2016 6:04 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why did Lufthansa and Qantas hold out on the 77W?
Replies: 49
Views: 9273

Re: Why did Lufthansa and Qantas hold out on the 77W?

OldAeroGuy wrote:
With over 800 sales, the 777-300ER is presently the best selling twin aisle sub type of all time.

Doubt the airlines who have bought it agree with the overhyped description.


The 777-300ER and A330-300 have near identical sales.

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by evanb
Mon Oct 10, 2016 7:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why did Lufthansa and Qantas hold out on the 77W?
Replies: 49
Views: 9273

Re: Why did Lufthansa and Qantas hold out on the 77W?

I believe that QF actually ordered some but they were swapped to 747-ER's that were not taken up by Alitalia during the GFC Unlikely, the last of QF's 747-400ERs was delivered in 2003, nearly six years before the GFC. Also, their model numbers are -438, the QF customer code, which would indicate th...

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by evanb
Thu Oct 06, 2016 10:21 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Johannesburg layovers by European airlines
Replies: 24
Views: 5075

Re: Johannesburg layovers by European airlines

The ground time is simply airlines in search of high yields (Johannesburg is a pretty high yielding route to Europe) and also minimizing payload penalties give Johannesburg's high altitude and high-ish summer temperatures (nighttime departures from Johannesburg mitigates this to some extent).

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by evanb
Fri Sep 23, 2016 11:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAA announces A330-300 service to IAD
Replies: 50
Views: 12281

Re: SAA announces A330-300 service to IAD

SAA flies double daily from Johannesburg to LHR, they have for years, because its their biggest international route. Stopping in Accra would only create problems for those flights, but SAA could fly from Accra to LHR with an additional route to London. The problem is slots and where is SAA or the G...

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by evanb
Fri Sep 23, 2016 11:25 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAA announces A330-300 service to IAD
Replies: 50
Views: 12281

Re: SAA announces A330-300 service to IAD

JFK if flown daily via West Africa on an A333 (would require 3 aircraft dedicated) too would save a similar yearly amount. Slight correction, but two aircraft, not three. For example, JNB-DKR-IAD leaves JNB at 6:25pm (day 1), arriving at IAD the next day at 6:25am (day 2). Then departs IAD at 5:40p...

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by evanb
Fri Sep 23, 2016 11:18 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAA announces A330-300 service to IAD
Replies: 50
Views: 12281

Re: SAA announces A330-300 service to IAD

I think what would make sense is for South African to buy planes that can fly nonstop. The 777-300ER, 777-200LR, 787-9 and A350 all have more range than the A340-600 that SAA is flying to the United States. Depending on the payload that they are carrying, the longer range twins have enough range ev...

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by evanb
Fri Sep 23, 2016 6:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: QF eyes SYD - CDG and MEL - FCO with B789
Replies: 52
Views: 8326

Re: QF eyes SYD - CDG and MEL - FCO with B789

Why not? It makes pure geographic sense. Why would anyone in the USA want to transit at ATL? Why would anyone in the world want to transit at DXB? Because ATL and DXB are generally designed for transiting passengers, trying to make it as easy and efficient as possible. LAX on the other hand was nev...

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by evanb
Fri Sep 23, 2016 6:35 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: QF eyes SYD - CDG and MEL - FCO with B789
Replies: 52
Views: 8326

Re: QF eyes SYD - CDG and MEL - FCO with B789

I think you guys are taking this all too seriously. Mr Joyce occasionally requires some media attention and seeks some free publicity. In order to do so he occasionally makes statements which interest the media so they talk about him and Qantas. It's like he is just thinking aloud, giving them his w...

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by evanb
Fri Sep 23, 2016 6:31 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAA announces A330-300 service to IAD
Replies: 50
Views: 12281

Re: SAA announces A330-300 service to IAD

SAA was slated to announce MIA last year. Here at MIA, we were getting ready to announce it until they let MIA know that with the issues going on, they needed to put the plans on hold. I know there were some on here talking about MIA, but it was never spoken about at SAA. Uh? Yes it was.. Did Miami...

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