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by grbauc
Tue Aug 15, 2017 11:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Applies For LAX-PEK
Replies: 617
Views: 99216

Re: AA Applies For LAX-PEK

This thread is the gift that keeps giving. The reality is that LAX-PEK is another big victory for AA. Several posters keep pointing out that AA seems to be struggling in Asia. The reality is entirely different and AA scored MAJOR strategic victories in Asia. We must recall a handful: Kept JAL close...

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by grbauc
Sun Aug 13, 2017 4:25 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Service from LAX to AKL Suspended
Replies: 30
Views: 9260

Re: AA Service from LAX to AKL Suspended

Wpuld it be worth while for UA to resume year-round service with AA going seasonal, especially given their feed in AKL from NZ? With the way airlines are able to tailor routes with today's technology seasonal and not flying a couple days of the week is pretty much the norm. I don't think UA needs t...

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by grbauc
Sun Aug 13, 2017 4:23 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Service from LAX to AKL Suspended
Replies: 30
Views: 9260

Re: AA Service from LAX to AKL Suspended

SYD hasn't faired as well with more competition. They will soon have the same capacity. I sorta wonder if int'l F is worth it to AA anymore... since it's such an inconsistent product now, as the routes that previously got it consistently (LHR, EZE, GRU, NRT, HKG, SYD) no longer do. Besides the bett...

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by grbauc
Thu Aug 10, 2017 10:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Applies For LAX-PEK
Replies: 617
Views: 99216

Re: AA Applies For LAX-PEK

That's nonsense. I can tell you, for a fact, that there are plenty of a.net members who are AA employees who have access to the LAXPEK route forecast. Will they share that information on a.net? Obviously not, but your statement is false. and it is still a forecast... and if they do have access to t...

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by grbauc
Tue Aug 08, 2017 9:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Applies For LAX-PEK
Replies: 617
Views: 99216

Re: AA Applies For LAX-PEK

In DOT filing today, AA says it has the required slots to commence service between LAX and PEK. The new slots become available with the W17 IATA schedule season and AA says it plans a November 5th start up. Proposed times: LAX-PEK 1110-1620 PEK-LAX 1830-1515 Accordingly, AA request DOT to grant a b...

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by grbauc
Tue Aug 08, 2017 9:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Possible AA Intl S18 changes
Replies: 88
Views: 15114

Re: Possible AA Intl S18 changes

Well I mean they have Doug Parker as CEO, very cowardly and wouldn't be surprised if AA pulled 90% of their flights/hub status out of JFK as a result of that cowardice. Love or hate him I get, but cowardly really. the AA strategy at JFK was one that has been in place before him. LAX tells a differe...

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by grbauc
Tue Aug 08, 2017 8:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Possible AA Intl S18 changes
Replies: 88
Views: 15114

Re: Possible AA Intl S18 changes

It seems to me that the Northeast plan for AA is to have JFK be focused on European traffic that is O&D New York, while PHL becomes a connecting hub. Even though Id like to see a bigger better NYC operation this is a pretty nice set up with the cards they have. PHL is already a workable connect...

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by grbauc
Tue Aug 08, 2017 8:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Possible AA Intl S18 changes
Replies: 88
Views: 15114

Re: Possible AA Intl S18 changes

The niche carrier profile for AA in NYC is clearly not working. And AA is likely not even profitable in JFK-LAX/SFO. Given their average fares are only 15-20% higher than B6 and DL but AA has 60% or fewer seats/flight compared to B6 and DL, the economics either say B6 and DL are printing money or A...

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by grbauc
Mon Aug 07, 2017 8:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will MCO be a focus city for DL?
Replies: 41
Views: 3298

Re: Will MCO be a focus city for DL?

adamblang wrote:
With 29 destinations served, I'd say it already is.



:checkmark:

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by grbauc
Mon Aug 07, 2017 7:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Drops 77W on MIA-LAX
Replies: 83
Views: 12267

Re: AA Drops 77W on MIA-LAX

SYD has nothing to do w this, a 777-300 was overkill on MIA LAX. Mostly upgrades and most pax have no idea what a/c they book, outside of the Airliner world, pax book lowest fares or then the most convenient flight times. The past months a 77W has been flying many days DFW LAX although not schedule...

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by grbauc
Mon Aug 07, 2017 6:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Drops 77W on MIA-LAX
Replies: 83
Views: 12267

Re: AA Drops 77W on MIA-LAX

hongkongflyer wrote:
khunpaul3 wrote:
Too many empty seats on domestic route MIA-LAX-MIA on B77W?


They have somewhere else to better utilize the 77W


It's full and commands premium fares in FC. I take it almost monthly if not more. and the cheap FC fares don't always hang around long.

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by grbauc
Mon Aug 07, 2017 6:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 8/6/2017: UA Brings Back ORD-PNS; AA Exits MSP-LAX, Expands SLC-PHL
Replies: 58
Views: 10447

Re: OAG Changes 8/6/2017: UA Brings Back ORD-PNS; AA Exits MSP-LAX, Expands SLC-PHL

There are a few days in when the 77W isn't operating (late October I think), but it's still there on MIALAX. The schedule was updated up until 11/20/17. MIA-LAX is all narrowbody from OCT 29th thru NOV 19th. Maybe they will surprise us and bring it back this winter but I think that aircraft will no...

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by grbauc
Mon Aug 07, 2017 5:09 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 8/6/2017: UA Brings Back ORD-PNS; AA Exits MSP-LAX, Expands SLC-PHL
Replies: 58
Views: 10447

Re: OAG Changes 8/6/2017: UA Brings Back ORD-PNS; AA Exits MSP-LAX, Expands SLC-PHL

LAX losing CUN/MSP and a lot service down gauged to eagle. LAX-MIA 777-300 down gauged to A-321. Lots of cuts around the system. There are a few days in when the 77W isn't operating (late October I think), but it's still there on MIALAX. LAX can use a little bit of pruning it's over crowded and pac...

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by grbauc
Sun Aug 06, 2017 11:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: CI Eyes TPE-ONT Flights as Alternative to TPE-LAX
Replies: 36
Views: 4514

Re: CI Eyes TPE-ONT Flights as Alternative to TPE-LAX

For other areas with high Asian populations like Brea, La Habra, Puente Hills, Chino Hills, ect it's about the same distance as LAX. As a resident of one of these towns, that is simply not true. The driving distance is anywhere between 40-50 miles from the east LAC/north OC to LAX, and between 15-2...

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by grbauc
Sun Aug 06, 2017 7:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: FAA bars AI 126 ORD-DEL from flying
Replies: 141
Views: 23585

Re: FAA bars AI 126 ORD-DEL from flying

I've worked for three airline over the last thirty years. Seen this at all three including my current one. This a favorite FAA write up. It's easy to find and the tags have to be there. Just like the faded/missing placard write up. There is zero excuse for getting gigged for these simple items. If ...

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by grbauc
Sun Aug 06, 2017 7:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: CI Eyes TPE-ONT Flights as Alternative to TPE-LAX
Replies: 36
Views: 4514

Re: CI Eyes TPE-ONT Flights as Alternative to TPE-LAX

Something that can't be reiterated enough, is that while there's indeed an enormous population of Chinese, Taiwanese, Hong Kongers and Vietnamese in the San Gabriel valley and eastwards... there's not that many significant corporate interests to match. In the absence of such, it's tough to envision...

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by grbauc
Fri Aug 04, 2017 9:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DFW Foreign Carrier Estimated June 2017 Loads
Replies: 8
Views: 1359

Re: DFW Foreign Carrier Estimated June 2017 Loads

June 2017 estimated load factors for the foreign carriers at DFW: http://bit.ly/2vp0Uh9 Strong performance overall. I wonder if we will see some up-gauging soon, BA could switch the 744 to A380. Lufthansa is nearly full, and a 748i would be a gorgeous addition to DFW, but I'd be happy with an A350 ...

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by grbauc
Thu Aug 03, 2017 5:39 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: AA making improvements to Admirals Club
Replies: 3
Views: 607

Re: AA making improvements to Admirals Club

of course its from the Onion.

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by grbauc
Thu Aug 03, 2017 5:38 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: AA making improvements to Admirals Club
Replies: 3
Views: 607

Re: AA making improvements to Admirals Club

Too funny its the reason how I justify my AC membership. Of course Now I get it through Citi Black card.

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by grbauc
Mon Jul 31, 2017 6:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Applies For LAX-PEK
Replies: 617
Views: 99216

Re: AA Applies For LAX-PEK

The are two issues that are core to this discussion and that some people can't accept. 1. Not every airline strategy works. AA had no choice but to try to build an Asian gateway at LAX if it was going to have one on the west coast at all. It is amazing that people comment on the Bob Crandall thread...

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by grbauc
Sun Jul 30, 2017 4:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 7/30/2017: DL adds MKE-SLC; UA Adds MMH, Drops HGH
Replies: 65
Views: 11324

Re: OAG Changes 7/30/2017: DL adds MKE-SLC; HA Drops OAK-OGG; UA Adds MMH, Drops HGH

Those WN flight reductions to less than daily from BOS to IND, CMH and MKE are interesting, in that they're three of the markets where they compete head to head on p2p routes with DL. To CMH, DL does 3x in the summer and 2x in the winter. They're 2x on MKE I believe. At least in these winter months...

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by grbauc
Sun Jul 30, 2017 4:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Seat size regulations in the US
Replies: 176
Views: 11764

Re: Seat size regulations in the US

This is not about comfort or choices or even personal responsibility. This is about flight safety. Many Senators and Congressmen think the evacuation certification test process is rigged and doesn't represent a real cabin configuration or a real evacuation. How do you get out with a limited mobilit...

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by grbauc
Sun Jul 30, 2017 4:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Seat size regulations in the US
Replies: 176
Views: 11764

Re: Seat size regulations in the US

..This kind of thinking makes me wonder. Do you realize the financial impact. Should we make the subways and trains that run also have a limited amount of people on them. Bart in the bar area can be standing room only?... Subway, train and buses already have a max capacity (including standing place...

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by grbauc
Sun Jul 30, 2017 5:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Seat size regulations in the US
Replies: 176
Views: 11764

Re: Seat size regulations in the US

For US carriers what about foreign Carries? For any carrier that wants to operate into the US, say, 5 hr or longer flight. This kind of thinking makes me wonder. Do you realize the financial impact. Should we make the subways and trains that run also have a limited amount of people on them. Bart in...

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by grbauc
Sun Jul 30, 2017 5:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Applies For LAX-PEK
Replies: 617
Views: 99216

Re: AA Applies For LAX-PEK

Internet trolls are those who, at least relative to this subject, can't accept that AA 1. Really does lose money flying to Asia - using data which AA has provided to the DOT 2. AA decided on its own that it would build a hub in Asia and has repeatedly said that other carriers have hubs elsewhere on...

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by grbauc
Sun Jul 30, 2017 5:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA to set up $100mil Maintenance Center at GRU
Replies: 82
Views: 12013

Re: AA to set up $100mil Maintenance Center at GRU

I mean i am sure its about cost savings in labor salaries, but if you have multiple planes sitting on the ground all day everyday, it does make some sense. Hard to argue that they cant use that time as they see fit. Even just that half day of free time on larger projects over and over again turns i...

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by grbauc
Sun Jul 30, 2017 12:07 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Former AA CEO Bob Crandall Speech at the Wings Club
Replies: 10
Views: 1575

Re: Former AA CEO Bob Crandall Speech at the Wings Club

Thanks for thelink

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by grbauc
Sat Jul 29, 2017 11:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DFW Terminal F in jeopardy?
Replies: 105
Views: 11231

Re: DFW Terminal F in jeopardy?

One of the most beautiful things about DFW is that you can essentially check in at any terminal (AA can check-in at 4 of 5 terminals) and then move around airside post security all you want. No Buses or leaving security. It's a wonderful thing. If I want to Check-in in A and go to D or E for dinner...

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by grbauc
Sat Jul 29, 2017 9:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Applies For LAX-PEK
Replies: 617
Views: 99216

Re: AA Applies For LAX-PEK

We have indeed made progress in this discussion Only in your head possible. Your walls of text turned this in to a retreading over and over. I'm trying to think of any new pertinent information that you have brought to light and can think of none. Hey, guy - Because I think only a male would write ...

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by grbauc
Sat Jul 29, 2017 9:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Applies For LAX-PEK
Replies: 617
Views: 99216

Re: AA Applies For LAX-PEK

atl100million wrote:
seriously?

Steve Johnson could care less about what anyone on a.net thinks.




That is a joke... Good day.

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by grbauc
Sat Jul 29, 2017 9:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Applies For LAX-PEK
Replies: 617
Views: 99216

Re: AA Applies For LAX-PEK

From AA's 2Q17 earnings call this morning comes, I'd say, fairly definitive evidence of what's going on related to the subject that generated so much (inane) discussion a week ago: "It's Steve [Johnson, AA EVP-Corporate Affirs]. We actually haven't closed the transaction yet. We're waiting for...

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by grbauc
Sat Jul 29, 2017 8:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Seat size regulations in the US
Replies: 176
Views: 11764

Re: Seat size regulations in the US

I think it's time for regulation. It doesn't have to be overly onerous either. Minimum pitch should be 31" and 17" seats on wide-bodies shouldn't be permitted. DL does just fine with 9x 777s. 787s should be 8x instead of 9x. The airlines have received unlimited gravy from the Feds for yea...

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by grbauc
Fri Jul 28, 2017 9:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA may swap 359 for 338, HA could go 787 or 359 (Leeham)
Replies: 175
Views: 23866

Re: AA may swap 359 for 338, HA could go 787 or 359 (Leeham)

They might stand for it if it keeps AA a predominately Boeing widebody customer. Boeing's mis-steps with the 787 and 737MAX / NSA allowed Airbus to significantly expand the foothold they gained in AA when it took on US' assets. Going forward, it's clear AA will operate a generally even mix of Airbu...

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by grbauc
Fri Jul 28, 2017 9:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DFW Terminal F in jeopardy?
Replies: 105
Views: 11231

Re: DFW Terminal F in jeopardy?

For connections under 1 hour on domestic to international I feel rushed at DFW. I personally think its good when my gates are close but going to different terminals when connecting is not optimal. Probaly not worth the cost to change it. Its for sure better now then in the past.

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by grbauc
Fri Jul 28, 2017 2:27 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: UNITED.com selling DL flights?
Replies: 5
Views: 1330

Re: UNITED.com selling DL flights?

before USair Us'ed AA you could buy other airlines flights It's possible with AA too. Just now, I was able to build an itinerary PSP-DEN-LHR on UA and then LHR-PHX-PSP on BA/AA. The trick is that these types of itineraries don't usually pop up on their own when searching on the airline sites. It's ...

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by grbauc
Thu Jul 27, 2017 7:02 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: UNITED.com selling DL flights?
Replies: 5
Views: 1330

Re: UNITED.com selling DL flights?

before USair Us'ed AA you could buy other airlines flights

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by grbauc
Thu Jul 27, 2017 4:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US airline hub closures
Replies: 116
Views: 14501

Re: US airline hub closures

I don't see AA reducing PHL. It is their biggest northeast hub and main TATL gateway. If anything, I think AA would dehub JFK instead. PHX is going nowhere. It serves a growing metro area and is AA's only hub for western USA connections (LAX doesn't have room to handle PHX's traffic). Plus, AA's CE...

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by grbauc
Thu Jul 27, 2017 4:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US airline hub closures
Replies: 116
Views: 14501

Re: US airline hub closures

No need for closures, the big 3 have pretty good equilibrium has noted up tread. I think the future growth for American Airlines and possibly even United Airlines will be in smaller focus cities small and little hubs. Delta is by means of needs doing this. AA and UA will catch on. A point that was ...

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by grbauc
Wed Jul 26, 2017 4:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US airline hub closures
Replies: 116
Views: 14501

Re: US airline hub closures

AA will probably scale back PHL and either PHX or LAX. AA will probably scale back PHL CLT and either PHX or LAX . Just curious, whats your basis for a CLT drawdown based on? CLT may have relatively low O&D but it is setup great for a massive connection hub and the cost per enplanement makes it...

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by grbauc
Wed Jul 26, 2017 5:51 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US airline hub closures
Replies: 116
Views: 14501

Re: US airline hub closures

I still don't see the need for DL to keep a full-fledged hub at CVG and they ought to close it or downgrade it to a focus city (like RDU). Also, one or more of their European "hubs" (such as LHR) should close. Good points about AA hubs, thought I think the AA DCA could be closed. There re...

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by grbauc
Tue Jul 25, 2017 10:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US airline hub closures
Replies: 116
Views: 14501

Re: US airline hub closures

For one reason, more competition. I'd rather see the legacy carriers narrow their hubs down to 5 or so geographical-oriented hubs and allow smaller airlines (and potential new startups) to operate from the airports that feature the "redundant" hubs. Or cut the hubs down and just establish...

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by grbauc
Tue Jul 25, 2017 10:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US airline hub closures
Replies: 116
Views: 14501

Re: US airline hub closures

[threeid][/threeid] Just for AA, hubs that have been shut-down include SJC, BNA, RDU, STL, SJU. For US Air, PIT. For HP(America West), LAS. Hubs likely to be down include PHL. HP also had CMH which, believe it or not, was closed only about 2 years before the merger with US. It was real small 50 flig...

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by grbauc
Tue Jul 25, 2017 9:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US airline hub closures
Replies: 116
Views: 14501

Re: US airline hub closures

I'm thinking more of WN style mini flow hubs. Smaller for those directional holes where back tracking makes AA noncompetitive. I wish AA would add to SFO or a small focus city in the PNW. It's so hard to fly up and down the coast on AA metal. I'd be curious about which directional traffic flows, sp...

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by grbauc
Mon Jul 24, 2017 3:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US airline hub closures
Replies: 116
Views: 14501

Re: US airline hub closures

No need for closures, the big 3 have pretty good equilibrium has noted up tread. I think the future growth for American Airlines and possibly even United Airlines will be in smaller focus cities small and little hubs. Delta is by means of needs doing this. AA and UA will catch on. AA and DL are cur...

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by grbauc
Mon Jul 24, 2017 3:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG CHanges 7/23/2017:AA Drops DCA-FLL/LAX-CUN, SY Drops DCA, UA Adds LAX-SGU/DEN-PUB
Replies: 77
Views: 11327

Re: OAG CHanges 7/23/2017:AA Drops DCA-FLL/LAX-CUN, SY Drops DCA, UA Adds LAX-SGU/DEN-PUB

I'd think AA would love to be out of FLL completely given all the LCC competition, somewhat but not entirely like UA bailing on JFK. In the case of FLL I doubt any corporate contracts are at stake though In the jungle when you run, you tend to get chased! What do we think DCA -PBI will stay or go? ...

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by grbauc
Mon Jul 24, 2017 3:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG CHanges 7/23/2017:AA Drops DCA-FLL/LAX-CUN, SY Drops DCA, UA Adds LAX-SGU/DEN-PUB
Replies: 77
Views: 11327

Re: OAG CHanges 7/23/2017:AA Drops DCA-FLL/LAX-CUN, SY Drops DCA, UA Adds LAX-SGU/DEN-PUB

It's been a slow but steady retreat from FLL by AA. In 2008 or 2009 flying to SJO, NAS, KIN etc were dropped. After the merger PHX was first dropped to a single daily then dropped outright. DCA , PHL and ORD flying have been reduced and now DCA cut. UA now offers more frequencies on FLL-ORD than AA...

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by grbauc
Sun Jul 23, 2017 8:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Phoenix Arizona Aviation Thread Part 18
Replies: 518
Views: 49527

Re: Phoenix Arizona Aviation Thread Part 18

The problem is that PHX is in a catch 22 type situation. Currently, with the way that the leases exist, PHX doesn't have enough free gates for G4's operation at AZA/IWA. However, PHX doesn't want to build enough gates to house G4's operation with the cloud of uncertainty over AA's operation and AA ...

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by grbauc
Sun Jul 23, 2017 8:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Phoenix Arizona Aviation Thread Part 18
Replies: 518
Views: 49527

Re: Phoenix Arizona Aviation Thread Part 18

The problem is, there's really no reason not to use Sky Harbor. KIWA doesn't offer much unless you live close to it. Which 2.5 million people do. WestJet seems to think it's worth it. Yes but Skyharbor is not that far away. Grant it Its been a few years since I lived there so I could be wrong but I...

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by grbauc
Sun Jul 23, 2017 5:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG CHanges 7/23/2017:AA Drops DCA-FLL/LAX-CUN, SY Drops DCA, UA Adds LAX-SGU/DEN-PUB
Replies: 77
Views: 11327

Re: OAG CHanges 7/23/2017:AA Drops DCA-FLL/LAX-CUN, SY Drops DCA, UA Adds LAX-SGU/DEN-PUB

True, although this leaves only B6 and WN on DCA-FLL at 5x and 2x, respectively, to connect DC's preferred O&D domestic airport to South Florida's preferred O&D domestic airport. Seven daily flights between two of FLL's largest carriers seems perfectly sufficient to me. With AA concentratin...

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by grbauc
Sun Jul 23, 2017 5:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US airline hub closures
Replies: 116
Views: 14501

Re: US airline hub closures

No need for closures, the big 3 have pretty good equilibrium has noted up tread. I think the future growth for American Airlines and possibly even United Airlines will be in smaller focus cities small and little hubs. Delta is by means of needs doing this. AA and UA will catch on.

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