Search found 268 matches

by a7ala
Tue Jun 18, 2019 12:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 205
Views: 16825

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

You're proposing a huge jump in capacity on the proposed 321XLR routes. For example, AKL-PER has about 3,000 seats a week in summer, 2,100 in winter; you'd get 4,200 seats a week at TP's 200-seat config.Likewise CHC-PER is summer only 600 seats/week; you'd get about 1,400 seats a week. Even at a lo...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Sat Jun 15, 2019 10:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 205
Views: 16825

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

Since the switch to MEL in May last year its averaged around 83% to march in the latest bitre stats: May 68% June 69% July 80% August 74% September 78% October 87% November 87% December 90% January 93% February 82% March 79% This is the load factor on wlg-mel only. If a new aircraft comes on I woul...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Sat Jun 15, 2019 2:55 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 205
Views: 16825

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

Via MEL I’d expect the regional 359, they are getting more long hauls but still have IST as a 772 to change over, the 359 should lower the costs significantly however while increasing capacity. That flight ex MEL is the only one less than daily and the only regional product, the other 4 daily ex ME...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Sat Jun 15, 2019 2:05 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 205
Views: 16825

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

Since the switch to MEL in May last year its averaged around 83% to march in the latest bitre stats: May 68% June 69% July 80% August 74% September 78% October 87% November 87% December 90% January 93% February 82% March 79% This is the load factor on wlg-mel only. If a new aircraft comes on I would...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Wed Jun 12, 2019 4:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 306
Views: 34956

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2019

For those interested, BITRE International Airline Activity - March 2019 report is out. https://www.bitre.gov.au/publications/ongoing/files/International_airline_activity_1903.pdf With the NT government nearly broke wonder how much longer they can afford to prop up a China service with only about 30...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Wed Jun 05, 2019 10:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 205
Views: 16825

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

From StatsNZ International Travel (YEMarch19): https://www.stats.govt.nz/information-releases/international-travel-march-2019 Singapore visitor arrivals to New Zealand = 61,622 New Zealand resident arrivals from Singapore = 26,202 Total = 87,824 Times 2 for two directions = 175,648 Capacity New Zea...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Wed Jun 05, 2019 9:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 205
Views: 16825

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

I think NZ would want to compete on the potential.CHC - LAX is AA start this. Cant see them just sitting there and now with 787 the have a better aircraft. Just my 2 cents I doubt it. Unfortunately its a fact of life for a hub and spoke carrier that other airlines will come in over time to your spo...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Wed Jun 05, 2019 2:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 205
Views: 16825

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

Big enough for up to 6 daily flights in peak season, 3x AKL 2x CHC 1x WLG via MEL That’s probably the largest long haul market ex NZ to a single city by quite a distance, sure it’s a hub but flights spread across AKL/WLG/CHC. Probably not big enough however for another carrier At this stage. Most o...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Wed Jun 05, 2019 2:05 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 205
Views: 16825

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

True and I guess the SYD stop works well with the QF/EK deal, rather than via an Asian port SIN/BKK/KUL, I wonder if a BKK/KUL stopover would work given no one flies there from CHC? I’d see the AKL-DPS moving to SIN maybe given more year round and premium demand. Rumours were that was the original ...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Wed Jun 05, 2019 1:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 205
Views: 16825

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

I think NZ would want to compete on the potential.CHC - LAX is AA start this. Cant see them just sitting there and now with 787 the have a better aircraft. Just my 2 cents I doubt it. Unfortunately its a fact of life for a hub and spoke carrier that other airlines will come in over time to your spo...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Wed Jun 05, 2019 12:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 205
Views: 16825

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

Havent EK 77L's been de-LR'ed? I thought Id read the thinks that make it an LR (except the engines) were deactivated and cargo capacity increased Personally im not convinced CHC is quite there yet in terms of a DXB-CHC non-stop. Its a pretty seasonal market and a service like that would pretty much...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Tue Jun 04, 2019 11:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 205
Views: 16825

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

Havent EK 77L's been de-LR'ed? I thought Id read the thinks that make it an LR (except the engines) were deactivated and cargo capacity increased Personally im not convinced CHC is quite there yet in terms of a DXB-CHC non-stop. Its a pretty seasonal market and a service like that would pretty much...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Tue Jun 04, 2019 9:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 205
Views: 16825

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

[ Yes you could well be right there, I thought CHC had done alright, it has picked up CZ/CX, lost CI, but more SIN services, always been a bit surprised KE haven’t been back since 2005/06, maybe a PVG service, would have to be MU as NZ/CA have a JV but CA would likely operate to PEK instead. I thin...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Tue Jun 04, 2019 9:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 205
Views: 16825

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

Personally I’d see UA running a 787 LAX/SFO-CHC over an NZ operated service, I was surprised when NZ announced their own service CHC-SIN. Remember it was a requirement of the NZ/SQ JV to NZ to do it. With SQ introducing the lower capacity A350 into CHC it would have resulted in a loss of annual sea...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Tue Jun 04, 2019 7:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 205
Views: 16825

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

AA service AKL-DFW is quite likely. Agree - this has to be the front-runner for any new AA service here. The connections through DFW are growing - like with AA's new DFW - DUB flight, launching this week. Cheers, C. I suspect CHC-LAX with AA is part of the deal to get regulatory approval here in Ne...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Tue Jun 04, 2019 7:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 205
Views: 16825

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

With the QF/AA JV having received its interim approval by the USDOT, what could we see here from AA/QF? Obviously AA AKL-LAX will receive a boost, but could there be a possibility of say AKL-DFW? I was thinking the same and mentioned it in the OZ thread, they mentioned 3 new routes initially of whi...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Thu May 30, 2019 11:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2019
Replies: 375
Views: 42683

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2019

Motorhussy wrote:
A320’s still leaving WLG, clearing the backlog. Not sure whose the last one was.


Looks like a couple of B787 flights operating akl-wlg-akl tomorrow as well to help clear the backlog

Jump to post
by a7ala
Mon May 27, 2019 9:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2019
Replies: 375
Views: 42683

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2019

One of the interesting things to come out of the Air NZ investor presentation was CZ apparently reducing AKL-CAN from 10/week to daily. Does anyone know any more about this as I haven't seen any announcement around it. I can’t say I noticed anything about CZ in their or Chins for that matter. Certa...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Mon May 27, 2019 3:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2019
Replies: 375
Views: 42683

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2019

One of the interesting things to come out of the Air NZ investor presentation was CZ apparently reducing AKL-CAN from 10/week to daily. Does anyone know any more about this as I haven't seen any announcement around it.

Jump to post
by a7ala
Tue May 21, 2019 9:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2019
Replies: 375
Views: 42683

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2019

Does it? This document - https://www.singaporeair.com/saar5/pdf/Investor-Relations/Financial-Results/presentation/slide-analystbriefingq4fy1819.pdf - has 1 777-200 and 1 777-200ER in the fleet at 31 March 2020. See also https://www.airliners.net/forum/viewtopic.php?f=3&t=1422943 V/F They couldn...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Tue May 21, 2019 4:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2019
Replies: 375
Views: 42683

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2019

The last SQ 772 leaves the fleet in 10 months, so the WLG route announcement will need to be made in the next few months Does it? This document - https://www.singaporeair.com/saar5/pdf/Investor-Relations/Financial-Results/presentation/slide-analystbriefingq4fy1819.pdf - has 1 777-200 and 1 777-200E...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Mon May 20, 2019 10:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Singapore Airlines 2020 Fleet Plans
Replies: 18
Views: 4929

Re: Singapore Airlines 2020 Fleet Plans

Could you provide a source? Edit: Found it slide 28: https://www.singaporeair.com/saar5/pdf/Investor-Relations/Financial-Results/presentation/slide-analystbriefingq4fy1819.pdf Looks like they will have to find a replacement quick for WLG-MEL-SIN as they will only have 1x B777-200 left by end of mar...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Mon May 20, 2019 12:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2019
Replies: 375
Views: 42683

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2019

http://wellington.scoop.co.nz/?p=118770
-->

Strong growth in Wellington Airport's traffic over FY19. +4.6% in domestic passengers to 5.5M and +3.8% in international to 929k. I understand the domestic growth is the largest the airport has seen in 10 years.

http://wellington.scoop.co.nz/?p=118770

Jump to post
by a7ala
Sat May 18, 2019 4:07 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2019
Replies: 375
Views: 42683

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2019

Last year I raised my concerns over VA's approach to taking on the Tasman market post Air NZ. I outlined their lack of presence and marketing.... in the last week or so we've seen the scale back some operations... most concerning being CHC-SYD to seasonal...!! How long do we give them in the market...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Sat May 18, 2019 1:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2019
Replies: 375
Views: 42683

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2019

This is fantastic news! Something I've ranted about a few times over the last year or two. Hopefully, light rail now becomes just a Dominion Road / Mangere Town Centre line and some type of dedicated light rail/sky train service can be built to connect Puhinui and the airport. Then once a rail line...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Sat May 18, 2019 12:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2019
Replies: 375
Views: 42683

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2019

This is fantastic news! Something I've ranted about a few times over the last year or two. Hopefully, light rail now becomes just a Dominion Road / Mangere Town Centre line and some type of dedicated light rail/sky train service can be built to connect Puhinui and the airport. Then once a rail line...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Fri May 10, 2019 6:05 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2019
Replies: 375
Views: 42683

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2019

Sylus wrote:
VA to drop CHC-SYD to seasonal from year round. Sep-Apr


I thought they were seasonal anyway?

Jump to post
by a7ala
Thu May 02, 2019 2:28 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2019
Replies: 375
Views: 42683

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2019

For those of you that have been struggling for New Zealand domestic airport passenger numbers, I note that the MoT has just released a dashboard which includes this and other variables https://www.transport.govt.nz/mot-resources/transport-dashboard/6-air-passenger-and-freight/ar004-domestic-passenge...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Wed May 01, 2019 4:09 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2019
Replies: 375
Views: 42683

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2019

LATAM flying non-stop SCL-SYD 3/week. Its not clear from the article what is happening on the 3 days the service isnt stopping in AKL, but I presume AKL-SCL and AKL-SYD will be dropping to 4/week? https://www.ausbt.com.au/latam-s-sydney-santiago-flights-will-be-non-stop-from-november-2019?utm_source...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Sun Apr 28, 2019 10:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Cathay Pacific future fleet/route plans
Replies: 124
Views: 21004

Re: Cathay Pacific future fleet/route plans

Remember that the TORA is only 1945m on RWY16 and 1925m on RWY34 and that will be the constraint - not the 2300m TODA. I think the airport is looking to extend to 2300m TORA but that will be a number of years away if ever. If you havent taken into account the TORA then you have without doubt overes...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Sun Apr 28, 2019 9:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Cathay Pacific future fleet/route plans
Replies: 124
Views: 21004

Re: Cathay Pacific future fleet/route plans

It would be good if Zeke could provide a bit more detail on his assessment eg. Dry or wet, headwinds on takeoff, temp, rwy34 or 16, did he take account of obstacles on rwy34, payload to sin or hkg. I just used the information declared in the AIP (http://www.aip.net.nz/pdf/NZWN_AD2.pdf) for a nil wi...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Sun Apr 28, 2019 9:28 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Cathay Pacific future fleet/route plans
Replies: 124
Views: 21004

Re: Cathay Pacific future fleet/route plans

The problem with Wellington is its runway restriction which can only be overcome by launching a 5th freedom flight from a nearby city that also has open sky agreement with Hong Kong (like SQ did with CBR and now MEL). There are different views on what an A350 can do into/out of the current runway. ...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Sat Apr 20, 2019 9:55 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Cathay Pacific future fleet/route plans
Replies: 124
Views: 21004

Re: Cathay Pacific future fleet/route plans

The problem with Wellington is its runway restriction which can only be overcome by launching a 5th freedom flight from a nearby city that also has open sky agreement with Hong Kong (like SQ did with CBR and now MEL). In that case, they could put the A333 (cheaper start up capital). I have looked a...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Thu Apr 18, 2019 2:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Cathay Pacific future fleet/route plans
Replies: 124
Views: 21004

Re: Cathay Pacific future fleet/route plans

Luisvalero wrote:
From my point of view these destinations could be possible CX additions:
Australia & NZ: Darwin

(Some mentioned destinations are served by Cathay Dragon)


Really? You would have thought Wellington would be on the list before Darwin (aircraft performance permitting).

Jump to post
by a7ala
Mon Apr 01, 2019 12:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2019
Replies: 198
Views: 25861

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread = April 2019

Very excited about ICN. Now only major international carriers that can fly to ICN nonstop that's missing is probably QF. Finally, an option for Asiana loyalists to Auckland. Me too... now all I want is EWR, BKK and WLG-SIN* nonstop and i'm good. *don't care if this is NZ or SQ, but A350 would be ni...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Sun Mar 31, 2019 9:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - March 2019
Replies: 251
Views: 30728

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - March 2019

I think it's been missed that JQ has cut Wellington-Dunedin altogether. Was only 3 weekly but still, a shame. Perhaps a D8 opportunity? I think it's a route that clearly needs a morning and evening service. Surprised that's not been possible. Aircraft time being switched to Wellington-Queenstown in...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Sun Feb 03, 2019 10:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - February 2019
Replies: 299
Views: 33447

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - February 2019

NOT wanting to get caught in this ongoing feud but I have to ask,Gasman why do you say Wellington has "Tourism potential extremely limited". ? Wellington is my favourite city in NZ, there is a lot to do and the surrounding area even more. The Rimutakas, Kapiti Coast & the Waiparapa ar...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Sun Feb 03, 2019 10:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - February 2019
Replies: 299
Views: 33447

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - February 2019

[ I too am highly sceptical about WLG's need and ability to sustain long haul travel. As a Wellingtonian in spirit (if not geographically) this disappointments me, but: - - small actual catchment, and potential catchment not much bigger - Two international gateways each less than an hour's flight a...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Sun Feb 03, 2019 10:04 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - February 2019
Replies: 299
Views: 33447

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - February 2019

Yes significant improvements over last few months. From BITRE released a couple of days ago for WLG-MEL LF: - Jul=80% - Aug=74% - Sep=78% - Oct=87% - Nov=87% And I'm hearing Dec/Jan has been even stronger. I am still thinking, if anywhere in the Pearl River Delta can seasonally extend their current...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Sun Feb 03, 2019 2:38 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - February 2019
Replies: 299
Views: 33447

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - February 2019

Wondering if WEL can get service from Asia again. I remember SQ used to extend SIA-CBR to WEL. Can that be reinstated, or should we get somebody in the Pearl River Delta? SQ is still at WLG - they just changed the CBR stop to a MEL one. That change improved loadings. Anything else will be dependent...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Thu Jan 24, 2019 10:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - January 2019
Replies: 283
Views: 35938

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - January 2019

I'd have thought that there would be even less demand for J on short-haul Pacific flights too, but somehow AKL-NAN and AKL-RAR seem to be dominated by WBs rather than NBs, Personally, I think that there should be demand in the longer term for OOL residents to take NZ flights to Canada, the USA and ...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Mon Jan 14, 2019 2:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - January 2019
Replies: 283
Views: 35938

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - January 2019

Latest BITRE numbers are out for the month of Oct. Good to see SQ MEL-WLG looking pretty strong for the month load-wise with LF=87%. One of the interesting things to come out of BITRE post the EK Tasman reductions is that the SYD-CHC A380 service loads are now public. They look pretty light with May...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Fri Jan 11, 2019 7:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Pacific Islands Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 18
Views: 2607

Re: Pacific Islands Aviation Thread - 2019

Sources from Samoa Airways state that services to Wellington and Honolulu (Inconjuction with Fiji Airways) will commence once the new aircraft arrives. Flights to Melbourne were on the drawing page via intermediate points of either Tonga or Wellington however wouldve been vetoed by Virgin Australia...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Thu Jan 10, 2019 5:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Pacific Islands Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 18
Views: 2607

Re: Pacific Islands Aviation Thread - 2019

I was reading that Samoa Airways are due to have a new aircraft in March and a second on June. The PM said the new aircraft will be larger than the existing B738 they are currently leasing, but I couldnt find anything about what the new aircraft will be - which seems a bit strange given March is on...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Mon Jan 07, 2019 9:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Pacific Islands Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 18
Views: 2607

Re: Pacific Islands Aviation Thread - 2019

I was reading that Samoa Airways are due to have a new aircraft in March and a second on June. The PM said the new aircraft will be larger than the existing B738 they are currently leasing, but I couldnt find anything about what the new aircraft will be - which seems a bit strange given March is onl...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Thu Dec 20, 2018 12:51 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Production Thread 2018
Replies: 309
Views: 84172

Re: Boeing 777X Production Thread 2018

... And for 300ER its also around 10,000 feet. Would you hazard a guess as to where the B777-8/9 would end up for MCTOW takeoff? nearer the A359 (2600m) than the 77W ( 3050m) would be my unworthy guess. ( will the trailing edge have a thrust gate as on the original 777? see: https://aviation.stacke...

Jump to post
by a7ala
Wed Dec 19, 2018 10:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - December 2018
Replies: 227
Views: 25740

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - December 2018

FJ B737Max-8 due into WLG at 12:20pm for its first New Zealand visit

Jump to post
by a7ala
Wed Dec 19, 2018 9:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Production Thread 2018
Replies: 309
Views: 84172

Re: Boeing 777X Production Thread 2018

Does anyone have an idea as to what the take-off/landing performance will be like relative to the 200LR or 300ER for the 777-8/9? Im guessing we wont see anything from Boeing until the first aircraft is delivered. Same MTOW much more wing. Take off and landing speeds should be lower. Even with 10% ...

Jump to post