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by WaywardMemphian
Wed Apr 10, 2024 12:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest Airlines News and Discussion - 2024
Replies: 645
Views: 81689

Re: Southwest Airlines News and Discussion - 2024

Here are the cuts at ATL: Baltimore (BWI) 7>6 Columbus (CMH) 3>2 Ft. Lauderdale (FLL) 3>2 Greenville (GSP) 3>1 Houston (HOU) 6>4 Indianapolis (IND) 3>2 Jackson (JAN) 3>1 Jacksonville (JAX) 3>2 Little Rock (LIT) 1>2/week Memphis (MEM) 2>1 Miami (MIA) 3>2 West Palm Beach 2>1 Philadelphia (PHL) 2>1 Pi...

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by WaywardMemphian
Wed Mar 06, 2024 11:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: XNA (Northwest Arkansas National) Aviation - 2024
Replies: 3
Views: 927

Re: XNA (Northwest Arkansas National) Aviation - 2024

XNA is back to silly stupid enplanement growth rates (+13.4% JAN 2024 over JAN 2023). January enplanements, or passengers flying out, exceeded those in the same month in 2019 and 2023. Both were record-setting years. In January, enplanements rose by 13.4% to a record 70,716 from 62,354 in the same m...

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by WaywardMemphian
Tue Jan 16, 2024 1:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: XNA (Northwest Arkansas National) Aviation - 2024
Replies: 3
Views: 927

Re: XNA (Northwest Arkansas National) Aviation - 2024

XNA had 991,000 enplanemnts last year(2023). That is 7.5% higher than 2019.

Delta needs to add SLC

United is putting it's first mainline plane(A319) on one of the Denver runs this summer.

Breeze needs to fly to the west coast. (SFO)

G4 is enjoying very high loads on XNA/LAX.

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by WaywardMemphian
Mon Jan 01, 2024 4:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Breeze Airways News and Discussion - 2024
Replies: 392
Views: 49350

Re: Breeze Airways News and Discussion - 2024

Breeze should double down on their successful bases and shutter those sporadic, out-of-base operations such as XNA-MCO (2x weekly) and RIC-LAS (3x weekly) that make no sense. There's so much that can be done with a low-cost A220 operation (that Breeze isn't doing) that it hurts. Pump up frequency (...

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by WaywardMemphian
Thu Dec 21, 2023 3:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: XNA (Northwest Arkansas National) News - 2023
Replies: 60
Views: 9221

Re: XNA (Northwest Arkansas National) News - 2023

https://youtu.be/Vgqr87zLU28
-->

Going forward with the overdue "permanent" tower, which will free up the right if way for a crosswind runway.
https://youtu.be/Vgqr87zLU28

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by WaywardMemphian
Tue Nov 28, 2023 3:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Memphis Aviation - 2023
Replies: 73
Views: 13468

Re: Memphis Aviation - 2023

Hmm. Quite a downgrade MEM has become. From a hub for northwest even having a transatlantic to Amsterdam, to not. What was their busiest year? I imagine it was around 2007. I think around 2001 with the level being relatively stable until shortly after the Delta merger (between 11 and 12 million/yea...

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by WaywardMemphian
Thu Oct 26, 2023 2:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Breeze Airways - News and Discussion - 2023
Replies: 1133
Views: 253777

Re: Breeze Airways - News and Discussion - 2023

The same people who do a Breezethru TPA-RIC-LAS, there was about 20ish other people when I did it It's a page out of WN's old playback. I really wish they would utilize it more with XNA in the middle of some east west runs like PVD-XNA-SAN As much as I want PVD to have more service, that would be a...

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by WaywardMemphian
Wed Oct 25, 2023 8:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Breeze Airways - News and Discussion - 2023
Replies: 1133
Views: 253777

Re: Breeze Airways - News and Discussion - 2023

I agree…I probably should have included a “/s” at the end of my comment. While GPT is a decent destination with some nice casinos, I doubt many people from Vegas are drawn to the redneck riviera and will more likely be BreezeThru passengers to TPA. Why would anyone choose to breeze through Gulfport...

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by WaywardMemphian
Wed Oct 25, 2023 1:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Breeze Airways - News and Discussion - 2023
Replies: 1133
Views: 253777

Re: Breeze Airways - News and Discussion - 2023

Is Breeze on to something with it's flights on LAX-RDU/JAX/ORF/RIC/PIT (some planned for next Spring)? From the load factor information above, there seems to be a viable market on a less-than-daily basis. The A220 seems ideal for these routes. The rest of the network doesn't look very healthy. Just...

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by WaywardMemphian
Wed Oct 25, 2023 1:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Breeze Airways - News and Discussion - 2023
Replies: 1133
Views: 253777

Re: Breeze Airways - News and Discussion - 2023

I agree…I probably should have included a “/s” at the end of my comment. While GPT is a decent destination with some nice casinos, I doubt many people from Vegas are drawn to the redneck riviera and will more likely be BreezeThru passengers to TPA. Why would anyone choose to breeze through Gulfport...

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by WaywardMemphian
Mon Sep 25, 2023 2:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Breeze Airways - News and Discussion - 2023
Replies: 1133
Views: 253777

Re: Breeze Airways - News and Discussion - 2023

Breeze will continue to grow and thrive despite the best efforts of the doomsayers on this board! I took Breeze from XNA to MCO.and back this past week. Our A223 went tech on Sat and subbed us to an E190. They played around with our departure time all afternoon but got us home. The flight down was ...

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by WaywardMemphian
Tue Sep 19, 2023 7:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Kansas City Aviation - 2023
Replies: 1009
Views: 137791

Re: Kansas City Aviation - 2023

The twitter account everyone is referencing is a teenage high school student. No disrespect to their enthusiasm for aviation, but I don’t think it’s a credible source. And it’s $390K, not $450K (based on City Council documents). I think this is general marketing dollars and nothing tied to a specif...

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by WaywardMemphian
Wed Sep 13, 2023 5:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Frontier Airlines News and Discussion - 2023
Replies: 131
Views: 31470

Re: Frontier Airlines News and Discussion - 2023

Frontier Holdings cut its 3Q guidance, to reflect a "recent significant unexpected change in the booking trajectory along with higher fuel prices and a greater volume of recent operational cancellations than forecast." They now expect to post a loss for the quarter. SEC filing https://ir....

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by WaywardMemphian
Mon Sep 11, 2023 8:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue/Spirit Merger Discussion - 2023
Replies: 1081
Views: 228092

Re: JetBlue/Spirit Merger Discussion - 2023

Another Jetblue divestiture agreement for spirit slots, this time at bos and ewr, Jetblue would transfer all NK slots gained to Allegiant. https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20230911664807/en/JetBlue-and-Allegiant-Announce-Divestiture-Agreement-in-Connection-with-JetBlue%E2%80%99s-Combination-w...

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by WaywardMemphian
Mon Sep 11, 2023 4:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Memphis Aviation - 2023
Replies: 73
Views: 13468

Re: Memphis Aviation - 2023

Looks like plenty of connectivity opportunities for those traveling out of MEM. MDW, ATL, DEN, DAL, HOU, BWI WN needs to work on the west with a combination of an additional DEN frequency, PHX and LAS. But shifting the ATL flights to BNA could be good as BNA has the brighter future on growth as opp...

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by WaywardMemphian
Sun Sep 10, 2023 9:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Memphis Aviation - 2023
Replies: 73
Views: 13468

Re: Memphis Aviation - 2023

Looks like plenty of connectivity opportunities for those traveling out of MEM. MDW, ATL, DEN, DAL, HOU, BWI WN needs to work on the west with a combination of an additional DEN frequency, PHX and LAS. But shifting the ATL flights to BNA could be good as BNA has the brighter future on growth as opp...

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by WaywardMemphian
Fri Sep 08, 2023 4:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Memphis Aviation - 2023
Replies: 73
Views: 13468

Re: Memphis Aviation - 2023

A 737 wasn't going to do well on RDU-MEM regardless of the timing/frequency. An E-175 is a much better fit for the route and if anyone else were to add RDU-MEM in the future, it would probably be AA if they decide to add some more p2p routes out of RDU. Or...MX with an Embraer with much better timi...

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by WaywardMemphian
Fri Sep 08, 2023 12:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Memphis Aviation - 2023
Replies: 73
Views: 13468

Re: Memphis Aviation - 2023

MEM airport stats for July 2023 85 average flights a day and a total 224, 211 enplanements. 2019 #s were 94 average daily flights with 212,094 enplanements. Locals complain of a lack of parking at the parking decks. The new concourse is praised by most who venture through including Al Roker on his I...

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by WaywardMemphian
Thu Sep 07, 2023 8:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Memphis Aviation - 2023
Replies: 73
Views: 13468

Re: Memphis Aviation - 2023

Airventure737 wrote:
Looks like Avelo has quietly ended operations at MEM. Flights no longer bookable and MEM does not show up on their route map. Too bad. Hopefully they'll try something else here.


We knew this shortly after they announced the RDU route. It already had a stop date before the first flight.

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by WaywardMemphian
Mon Jul 24, 2023 11:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Memphis Aviation - 2023
Replies: 73
Views: 13468

Re: Memphis Aviation - 2023

I have to imagine its only a matter of time before Breeze wisps into Memphis. As for the new B, I fly through every couple of months to visit family. There are some days it isn’t so clean (one time there were fries all over the jetway), but overall the airport seems to be taking good care of it. I’...

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by WaywardMemphian
Mon Jul 24, 2023 11:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Memphis Aviation - 2023
Replies: 73
Views: 13468

Re: Memphis Aviation - 2023

I have to imagine its only a matter of time before Breeze wisps into Memphis. As for the new B, I fly through every couple of months to visit family. There are some days it isn’t so clean (one time there were fries all over the jetway), but overall the airport seems to be taking good care of it. I’...

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by WaywardMemphian
Mon Jul 17, 2023 4:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Memphis (MEM) Hub Success
Replies: 58
Views: 9097

Re: Memphis (MEM) Hub Success

I am pondering why Southern and Republic and eventually Northwest had so much success creating the hub in MEM. At one point the NW hub had over 300 flights a day including a daily flight to AMS on KLM. I'm not intimately familiar with Memphis as a city, but today it's the 41st largest MSA in the US...

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by WaywardMemphian
Sun Jul 16, 2023 9:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Memphis Aviation - 2023
Replies: 73
Views: 13468

Re: Memphis Aviation - 2023

Have they torn down the south end of C yet? And when do they want to begin construction on the lobby/head terminal renovation? They have bid out the terminal redo that'll keep the champaign glass pillars and if the parking situation being experienced this summer is any indication look for them to f...

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by WaywardMemphian
Tue Jul 11, 2023 6:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Kansas City Aviation - 2023
Replies: 1009
Views: 137791

Re: Kansas City Aviation - 2023

And...B6 has bailed on MCI/BOS leaving it to Delta. WN doesn't fly it nonstop but the pricing months out is pretty damn cheap for connecting flights. Let's see how DL and WN prices do since B6 isn't consistently offering sub $250 R/Ts. They bailed permanently? I know it was suspended for September ...

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by WaywardMemphian
Tue Jul 11, 2023 12:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Allegiant Air Announcement 7/11
Replies: 54
Views: 9074

Re: Allegiant Air Announcement 7/11

Now bookable Phoenix to Portland Orlando to Minot Ft. Lauderdale to Cedar Rapids Ft. Lauderdale to Nashville Melbourne to Allentown Ft. Myers to Bangor The airline world continues to revolve around Florida. It’s like these airlines don’t know that 49 other states exist. Allegiant’s primary business...

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by WaywardMemphian
Mon Jul 10, 2023 10:47 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Kansas City Aviation - 2023
Replies: 1009
Views: 137791

Re: Kansas City Aviation - 2023

Will MCI see 100+ departures from WN down the road? I’d guess at some point in a few years. 5% average growth would put them at 100 in 5 years in peak months. Here are the Q4 2022 PDEW's of the top contiguous U.S. markets traveled to from MCI that don't currently have WN nonstop service out of MCI ...

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by WaywardMemphian
Wed Jul 05, 2023 4:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: XNA (Northwest Arkansas National) News - 2023
Replies: 60
Views: 9221

Re: XNA (Northwest Arkansas National) News - 2023

XNA to let non flyers past security The guest pass program will allow non-travelers to enter the concourse areas which were previously off limits to visitors. With a guest pass, visitors can greet travelers at the gate, eat or shop at a restaurant or market, or just explore parts of the airport that...

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by WaywardMemphian
Mon Jul 03, 2023 8:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US travel hits all-time high
Replies: 36
Views: 6283

Re: US travel hits all-time high

I think we need to wait for the actually passenger figure. The TSA figure may have variables. For instance, this number may include passengers' flight cancelled and decide to catch another flight from another terminal that require a second TSA inspection. Coupled with international arrivals that re...

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by WaywardMemphian
Mon Jul 03, 2023 7:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US travel hits all-time high
Replies: 36
Views: 6283

Re: US travel hits all-time high

Airlines are constrained to grow due to their misguided early retirement buyouts exasperating the already acute shortage in pilots. See how little G4 has added this year as demand for leisure travel is higher than ever.

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by WaywardMemphian
Fri Jun 30, 2023 1:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Allegiant News and Discussion - 2023
Replies: 274
Views: 50377

Re: Allegiant News and Discussion - 2023

Do they sell Nashville only packages? Or are there any for the smoky mountains via BNA? Wondering if they get an enough revenue from packages/hotels/car rentals at BNA that keep flights going. I can only speak from my experience but I’ve taken the flight from CID before and it was pretty full and I...

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by WaywardMemphian
Fri Jun 30, 2023 12:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Allegiant News and Discussion - 2023
Replies: 274
Views: 50377

Re: Allegiant News and Discussion - 2023

I think Allegiant has their BNA strategy all wrong. The demand to visit Nashville is from Southern tier states. Nashville was the new hotness before the pandemic but it is really a one and done town for many. It's growing pop and convention biz will help it stay the course on traffic and growth but...

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by WaywardMemphian
Mon Jun 05, 2023 6:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: XNA (Northwest Arkansas National) News - 2023
Replies: 60
Views: 9221

Re: XNA (Northwest Arkansas National) News - 2023

XNA numbers are looking great. Still wish we had better low cost options besides the random 2 days a week to places, which make planning hard. I really question Breeze and their strategy at XNA. They cancelled PHX route before the first one even started...yet they continue to fly New Orleans which ...

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by WaywardMemphian
Mon Jun 05, 2023 1:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: XNA (Northwest Arkansas National) News - 2023
Replies: 60
Views: 9221

Re: XNA (Northwest Arkansas National) News - 2023

XNA is up to it's prepandemic growth ways with double digit growth over March 2019. These numbers in spite of depressed business travel and leakage. Breeze should really consider PVD for the Northeast, and SFO to the coast. By the numbers: XNA had more than 80,700 tickets flying out this March, up 1...

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by WaywardMemphian
Tue May 02, 2023 2:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Breeze Airways - News and Discussion - 2023
Replies: 1133
Views: 253777

Re: Breeze Airways - News and Discussion - 2023

MEM STL....nearly 300 miles MEM MSY.....nearly 400 miles There's literally tonnes of routes operating shorter distances than those, some with multiple operators. MEM would be a good shout. There's plenty of pretty obvious routes that would surely be viable at 2x weekly at least. AUS, CMH, CVG, IND,...

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by WaywardMemphian
Wed Apr 26, 2023 1:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Cessna SkyCourier Development and Testing
Replies: 478
Views: 8696

Re: Cessna SkyCourier Development and Testing - 2023

Every time I see the passenger mock up, UIkeep thinking that there's a niche market for air tours like over the Grand Canyon NP and let's say Glacier Bay NP with slightly larger windows , no cargo hold and 1x1 seating.

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by WaywardMemphian
Wed Apr 26, 2023 11:47 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Breeze Airways - News and Discussion - 2023
Replies: 1133
Views: 253777

Re: Breeze Airways - News and Discussion - 2023

XNA/TYS should be an attractive route for MX. It is basically the same drive as Destin/Gulf Shores and G4 damn near flys VPS daily over the summer on a larger plane than an E190/E195 add in an Atlantic Coast base like JAX/SAV on the other side to originate from and you have an attractive fly throug...

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by WaywardMemphian
Tue Apr 25, 2023 8:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Breeze Airways - News and Discussion - 2023
Replies: 1133
Views: 253777

Re: Breeze Airways - News and Discussion - 2023

XNA/TYS should be an attractive route for MX. It is basically the same drive as Destin/Gulf Shores and G4 damn near flys VPS daily over the summer on a larger plane than an E190/E195 add in an Atlantic Coast base like JAX/SAV on the other side to originate from and you have an attractive fly through...

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by WaywardMemphian
Mon Apr 24, 2023 4:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Breeze Airways - News and Discussion - 2023
Replies: 1133
Views: 253777

Re: Breeze Airways - News and Discussion - 2023

MEM STL....nearly 300 miles MEM MSY.....nearly 400 miles There's literally tonnes of routes operating shorter distances than those, some with multiple operators. I think if they coordinated with the ever growing river cryise companies they could use any MEM/MSY service as a shuttle back to the orig...

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by WaywardMemphian
Sun Apr 23, 2023 1:32 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Breeze Airways - News and Discussion - 2023
Replies: 1133
Views: 253777

Re: Breeze Airways - News and Discussion - 2023

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Combined_statistical_area - here are the 172 largest consolidated statistical areas in the USA You wanna know how I know that list is trash. NWA is 560k and not listed at all. Add in McDolnald Co. just across the Missouri line and its nearly 600k. This also gives a bet...

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by WaywardMemphian
Fri Apr 21, 2023 10:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Breeze Airways - News and Discussion - 2023
Replies: 1133
Views: 253777

Re: Breeze Airways - News and Discussion - 2023

If you are providing stats that show how many social media actually go to buy a Tix on Mx or Avelo....I stand corrected....otherwise...you are majoring in the minors You’ve provided no stats either https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Combined_statistical_area - here are the 172 largest consolidated stati...

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by WaywardMemphian
Thu Apr 20, 2023 2:47 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: XNA (Northwest Arkansas National) News - 2023
Replies: 60
Views: 9221

Re: XNA (Northwest Arkansas National) News 2023

WN is definitely focusing on larger markets nowadays, unless there is a massive tourist or similar component (see Colorado ski destinations, Florida beaches, etc.) That alone will keep them out of XNA for the time being, but I'm sure they view the Northwest Arkansas market as separate from TUL. Giv...

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by WaywardMemphian
Tue Apr 18, 2023 4:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: XNA (Northwest Arkansas National) News - 2023
Replies: 60
Views: 9221

Re: XNA (Northwest Arkansas National) News 2023

While the local economic development agency is somewhat incentivized to push those numbers up, they're not pie-in-the-sky or fraudulent. As AudiA4 mentioned, the growth rate is slowing, but it's still adding 110k+ for the past three censuses - and the pace has increased over the past 3 years. I don...

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by WaywardMemphian
Tue Apr 18, 2023 4:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: XNA (Northwest Arkansas National) News - 2023
Replies: 60
Views: 9221

Re: XNA (Northwest Arkansas National) News 2023

It seems that it’s very difficult to get WN into any MSA that has under about 750k people. WN started Tulsa in the late 70s due to TUL-DAL/HOU oil traffic, but that subsided years ago. These days, they have to fight for everything they can out of TUL in order to compete against AA. That is partly w...

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by WaywardMemphian
Mon Apr 17, 2023 11:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: XNA (Northwest Arkansas National) News - 2023
Replies: 60
Views: 9221

Re: XNA (Northwest Arkansas National) News 2023

I REALLY don't understand the mathematical gymnastics someone has used to come up with a projection of NWA reaching 1 million by 2045. EVERY census for the past 30 years, the growth rate has slowed (which is understandable the larger an area grows). For example: 1990-2000 - 46.2% (325,364) 2000-201...

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by WaywardMemphian
Mon Apr 17, 2023 8:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: XNA (Northwest Arkansas National) News - 2023
Replies: 60
Views: 9221

Re: XNA (Northwest Arkansas National) News 2023

Southwest has come out and said several times that hey have no interest in XNA as they worry it will pull revenue from their TUL operation. I know to never say never but WN at XNA is extremely unlikely. This is a completely foolish outlook going forward. The MSA of NWA is knocking on 600k now with ...

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by WaywardMemphian
Sun Apr 09, 2023 4:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Memphis Aviation - 2023
Replies: 73
Views: 13468

Re: Memphis Aviation - 2023

I think we Blue Oval we could see some upgages especially after plant opening. Inevitably there are going to be lots of issues that they are having to fly engineers/techs back and forth for. That’ll probably drop off though as time goes buy. As someone who flies this route somewhat frequently, I wo...

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by WaywardMemphian
Sun Apr 09, 2023 12:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Memphis Aviation - 2023
Replies: 73
Views: 13468

Re: Memphis Aviation - 2023

I think we Blue Oval we could see some upgages especially after plant opening. Inevitably there are going to be lots of issues that they are having to fly engineers/techs back and forth for. That’ll probably drop off though as time goes buy. As someone who flies this route somewhat frequently, I wo...

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by WaywardMemphian
Sat Apr 08, 2023 12:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Memphis Aviation - 2023
Replies: 73
Views: 13468

Re: Memphis Aviation - 2023

Any word on how AA's new Austin flight has been doing? Based on a dummy booking to see the seat maps, it appears the flights during weekdays are going out ~80% full. Maybe like 60% on Sat/Sun. If it is pulling 80% maybe we see them kill off Avelo and start RDU. They are the ones that I expected it ...

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by WaywardMemphian
Mon Apr 03, 2023 11:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Breeze Airways - News and Discussion - 2023
Replies: 1133
Views: 253777

Re: Breeze Airways - News and Discussion - 2023

Hey all. Is there anyway to see if a route is just seasonal or terminated for Breeze? They are starting routes up and cancelling them so I can’t tell. Flew to PHX from XNA this past week and it was great. Went to book again, and after May no flights. The route just started and I think had decent lo...

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