Search found 1199 matches

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by coronado
Tue Nov 21, 2017 2:25 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How does Delta like their A350 so far?
Replies: 40
Views: 14306

Re: How does Delta like their A350 so far?

It’s certaily not the only but it is probably the biggest consideration. Product and amentity changes will drive some revenue but reduced operating cost driven by lower fuel onsumption and reduced maintenance needs will be the biggest contributors. I wouldn't say fuel is the biggest consideration a...

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by coronado
Tue Oct 31, 2017 5:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Air Lines PA Refinery Pays Off
Replies: 27
Views: 7189

Re: Delta Air Lines PA Refinery Pays Off

Crack spread remains over $21. My back of envelope calculations based on 180000bpd indicates continued profits in the refinery this past month in the $20mm+ range (after tax). Whenever the crack spread seems to be in the $13-14 range over the past several years Delta reports small to moderate profit...

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by coronado
Tue Oct 24, 2017 1:55 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Bombardier Announce CSeries Partnership
Replies: 1560
Views: 116717

Re: Airbus and Bombardier Announce CSeries Partnership

Before year end I fully expect Delta to convert its 50 options to a firm conditional order of CS300. The existing order for 75CS100, of which numbers 36 to 75 are convertible at Delta option to CS300 will probably be split with another 35CS100 and 15CS300, The ''conditional'' will be on their being ...

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by coronado
Sat Oct 21, 2017 3:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing may consider restarting 767 pax model production
Replies: 695
Views: 100366

Re: Boeing may consider restarting 767 pax model production

I think one or two large USA based airlines (the ones that happen to be operating both A330 and 767 fleets:)) have been in discussions with Airbus for best pricing on A330-800 paper de-rated 4000 nm range TATL replacement aircraft for some of these ''100,000 hour'' 767's. I think they are pushing fo...

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by coronado
Fri Oct 20, 2017 2:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing may consider restarting 767 pax model production
Replies: 695
Views: 100366

Re: Boeing may consider restarting 767 pax model production

I think the 767 refresh should have big pink lips painted below the nose. Lipstick on a pig. Will be interesting sitting next to a A350's raccoon eyes. No, seriously the 767 has been the MOM for a over 20 years. Neo'ing it is not a bad idea of you can sell them for under 70mm to Delta, United and Am...

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by coronado
Wed Oct 18, 2017 1:28 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Bombardier Announce CSeries Partnership
Replies: 1560
Views: 116717

Re: Breaking: Airbus and Bombardier Announce C Series Partnership

I am sure the case could then be made for a countersuit by a domestic aircraft manufacturer Airbus Mobile, regarding the 787 family where IIRC over 1/2 the components come from countries other than the USA. especially when they use a RR power plant. The CS as is, right now is probably more than 50% ...

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by coronado
Tue Oct 17, 2017 1:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Bombardier Announce CSeries Partnership
Replies: 1560
Views: 116717

Re: Breaking: Airbus and Bombardier Announce C Series Partnership

I find it hard to believe that Bombardier sold half the program for "no cash" in order to "save face" and non-financial help with a financial statement. It cannot be like that!!!!! You seem to not realize the program before this deal just wasn't that valuable. It was going nowhe...

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by coronado
Tue Oct 17, 2017 12:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Bombardier Announce CSeries Partnership
Replies: 1560
Views: 116717

Re: Airbus and Bombardier Announce C Series Partnership

So is it going to be the Airbus C Series now? Maybe a full re-branding: CS100 = Airbus 219 CS300 = Airbus 220 CS500 (if ever it's developed) = Airbus 221 :D Beech My first thought is to call them the Airbus B100, B300 and B500 (in memory of Bombardier, stretch the A320 to a A320.5neo, keep improve ...

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by coronado
Sat Oct 14, 2017 12:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL announces Q3 2017 pre-tax profit USD $1.7 Billion
Replies: 76
Views: 11113

Re: DL announces Q3 2017 pre-tax profit USD $1.7 BILLION

Timing of flight pay changed awhile ago, it’s when the brakes are released. Same for pilots. It is a big difference unfortunately. \ So the bonuses are really just pay that they are owed that the didn't get up front. Again this is all nothing more than a work force with little or no option if this ...

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by coronado
Wed Oct 11, 2017 5:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: U.S. Dept of Commerce backs Boeing in dispute with Bombardier
Replies: 1112
Views: 46568

Re: U.S. Dept of Commerce backs Boeing in dispute with Bombardier

I am sure Delta can find a federal judge somewhere to issue a stay of collection enforcement action against US Customs until the entire case is adjudicated, appealed and eventually gets to the Supreme Court. That could take several years. If at some stage Delta exhausts its appeals, they can send th...

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by coronado
Fri Sep 22, 2017 2:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Rest of Michigan Thread
Replies: 73
Views: 4906

Re: The Rest of Michigan Thread

Still keep wishing OO at risk EAS route to CMX gets changed to a Delta DTW - CMX - MSP and a reverse. Both are better hubs to connect in with stronger ties you the Copper Country and DTW and CMX are both in Michigan. I see a lot more MN plated on cars in Houghton than WI and IL plates.

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by coronado
Thu Sep 21, 2017 3:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330neo MTOW increase
Replies: 180
Views: 30100

Re: A330neo MTOW increase

My speculation: Delta ordering paper de-rated A338's to replace the 50 odd 767's that will be coming up on retirement in the next 7 years, or perhaps even with this many giving Airbus the incentive to produce a 'Lite' version optimized for 4000 miles. I had calculated that Delta is committed to payi...

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by coronado
Tue Sep 19, 2017 10:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hurricaine Maria and effects on airlines and airports
Replies: 53
Views: 5778

Re: Hurricaine Maria and effects on airlines and airports

Facebook Page for San Juan Airport includes an announcement last arrival will be at 8pm and last departure will be at 8:40 pm after which airport will be closed until it can be inspected after the storm. http://www.facebook.com/AeropuertoSJU/photos/rpp.189594561157273/1428168783966505/?type=3&th...

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by coronado
Tue Sep 19, 2017 1:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing targets Bombardier for “price dumping” CSeries
Replies: 595
Views: 100620

Re: Boeing targets Bombardier for “price dumping” CSeries

http://www.bombardier.com/content/bombardiercom/en/media/newsList/details.binc-20170918-boeings-hypocrite-allegations.bombardiercom.html Well put BBD. Boeing is definitely being hypocritical in this process. Launch pricing discounts have long been part of sales strategies by Boeing and Airbus. This ...

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by coronado
Tue Sep 19, 2017 3:35 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: N301DN registration change
Replies: 3
Views: 1344

Re: N301DN registration change

More of the usual low key classy gestures from Delta. . . .

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by coronado
Sat Sep 09, 2017 11:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL Sends 744 To Orlando To Pick Up Evacuees
Replies: 91
Views: 18646

Re: DL Sends 744 To Orlando To Pick Up Evacuees

Wishing the best to all in Florida. Thought about it when reading about these 747 substitutions to MCO while seeing on flight aware the two 747's departing today from DTW to NRT and to PVG flying over me here in the UP of Michigan. Pretty neat that Delta constantly seems to demonstrate such operatio...

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by coronado
Mon Sep 04, 2017 1:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Widebody Thread
Replies: 382
Views: 54466

Re: Delta Widebody Thread

http://www.businessinsider.com/delta-ca ... er-2016-12
-->

Delta cancelled the 787 order in December 2016. They worked out a deal with Boeing to swap out whatever credits they had on the books over to their 737-900 ER order.

http://www.businessinsider.com/delta-ca ... er-2016-12

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by coronado
Fri Sep 01, 2017 4:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta considers future of struggling refinery business
Replies: 30
Views: 7857

Re: Delta considers future of struggling refinery business

The crack spread since May 2017 already was averaging close to $17.00 bbl trending up to $20 into the first part of Q3 (for July and Aug, even before the hurricane). Now since hurricane Harvey, the Crack Spread is pushing up to 27.00. I suspect Trainer will report very, very good results for Q3. For...

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by coronado
Fri Sep 01, 2017 1:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer Hopes Pinned on New Scope Clause in 2019-22
Replies: 137
Views: 12269

Re: Embraer Hopes Pinned on New Scope Clause in 2019-22

There are lots of pilots out there who can fly RJs on mainline. There is no need to outsource our jobs. There is NO agreement to be had othe than MAINLINE pilots fly ALL aircraft. If the planes are to old and to fuel inefficient to bad. They have the option to buy brand spanking new aircraft and ma...

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by coronado
Thu Aug 17, 2017 3:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA outlines A350 delivery schedule
Replies: 51
Views: 14378

Re: AA outlines A350 delivery schedule

In 1982 I worked for a bank and felt Lucky to get an 11.5% mortgage rate which was a full 200 basis points below then prevailing 13.5% rates. Just because we have been in a virtually nil interest rate environment since the 2008 crash does not negate longer term historical observations.

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by coronado
Thu Aug 17, 2017 2:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA outlines A350 delivery schedule
Replies: 51
Views: 14378

Re: AA outlines A350 delivery schedule

In 1982 I worked for a bank and felt Lucky to get an 11.5% mortgage rate which was a full 200 basis points below then prevailing 13.5% rates. Just because we have been in a virtually nil interest rate environment since the 2008 crash does not negate longer term historical observations.

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by coronado
Sun Aug 06, 2017 12:25 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Scope of Delta in Amsterdam
Replies: 41
Views: 8577

Re: Scope of Delta in Amsterdam

It is pretty impressive to think back on what NWA and KLM at AMS have wrought. From a 20% investment by KLM in NWA in 1989, evolving to a full profit sharing JV in 1997, they certainly got it right. Besides MCO I expect RDU to be added to the AMS turns within the next year, and perhaps a Delta opera...

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by coronado
Thu Aug 03, 2017 12:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA outlines A350 delivery schedule
Replies: 51
Views: 14378

Re: AA outlines A350 delivery schedule

if the Fed Reserve keeps raising interest rates, we may see more efforts by airlines to stretch out Capex and defer . Delta is trying to keep their Capex annual budget at about 50-60% of cash flow so for the most part they should be able to pay for the majority of their aircraft on order with cash. ...

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by coronado
Wed Aug 02, 2017 4:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 17 yr old jumps out of aircraft upon landing at SFO
Replies: 21
Views: 8743

Re: 17 yr old jumps out of aircraft upon landing at SFO

Maybe the reporter was confused and the Copa 737 just looked big. Maybe he was thinking about Swissair (Crossair) in SUI that calls their Avro 100's 'Jumbolinos'? (I always thought They should have added 4 Engines 4 the Short Haul markings on those! But I guess the Jumbolinos are down to their final...

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by coronado
Tue Aug 01, 2017 8:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL A321 expansion
Replies: 59
Views: 13094

Re: DL A321 expansion

I don't understand DL's tactic with the A321, the plane basically lives in ATL. I would like to see more activity at other hubs, DTW is spotty, the 321 comes, than go's, than comes and than go's, where MSP or LGA go months without seeing scheduled 321 service. This winter will be interesting, DL ha...

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by coronado
Fri Jul 28, 2017 1:19 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Why is the FedEx Superhub busiest between 10PM and 4AM?
Replies: 59
Views: 9314

Re: Why is the FedEx Superhub busiest between 10PM and 4AM?

Fed Ex didn't start with "old Lear Jets". They started with factory fresh Fan Jet Falcons custom configured by Dassault for Fed Ex. Agreed. Creative story editing on my part. Also sometimes overlooked in the tale of Fred Smith is that he had the contacts to amass a start up investment of ...

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by coronado
Fri Jul 28, 2017 3:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AirFrance/KLM buys significant stake in VS and extends partnership with DL/MU
Replies: 180
Views: 21524

Re: AirFrance/KLM buys significant stake in VS and extends partnership with DL/MU

I think all of us commenting on this are in a mindset that we are playing checkers. Delta and its attorneys are playing chess. We are the seeing the initial steps toward the creation of the worlds first truly global airline. I don't mean code sharing or joint ventures. I don't mean an airline with a...

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by coronado
Fri Jul 28, 2017 2:45 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Why is the FedEx Superhub busiest between 10PM and 4AM?
Replies: 59
Views: 9314

Re: Why is the FedEx Superhub busiest between 10PM and 4AM?

The original tag line used by Fedex in its advertising sums it all up: When it absolutely positively has to be there overnight! sums up the model of why Memphis (and Indy as a back up hub) and Oakland as a transpacific hub are so busy in the middle of the night.. When their clients offices and busin...

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by coronado
Tue Jul 25, 2017 1:29 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Extremely rare runway configurations
Replies: 99
Views: 11136

Re: Extremely rare runway configurations

Runway 4-22 (the 11000 foot cross runway) at MSP seems to hardly be used anymore since the 747-400 stopped serving the MSP-NRT route. That seemed to be about the only aircraft that ever used the cross runway. Statistically there are days on end where the percentage usage (measured in both departures...

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by coronado
Tue Jul 18, 2017 1:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta posts Q2 2017 profit $1.85 Billion USD
Replies: 66
Views: 11066

Re: Delta posts Q2 2017 profit $1.85 Billion USD

When Delta ordered the incremental 10 A330-300 IGW back in Q3 2013, I calculated a commitment cost of about 87M each. When Delta during Q4 2014 placed the order for the 25 A350-900 and the 25 A333-900, my calculations indicated that a pair (1 x 359 + 1 x 339) was costing Delta right around 210-220M....

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by coronado
Tue Jul 18, 2017 2:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta posts Q2 2017 profit $1.85 Billion USD
Replies: 66
Views: 11066

Re: Delta posts Q2 2017 profit $1.85 Billion USD

I was reviewing all the press releases on the Delta A321-200 orders, re-orders and supplemental orders including the 30 ordered on May 11 2017 and the additional 10 added on June 20 2017 bringing the total in operation and on order to 122. I am reading a statement that the last of the 122 (or is it ...

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by coronado
Mon Jul 17, 2017 5:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta posts Q2 2017 profit $1.85 Billion USD
Replies: 66
Views: 11066

Re: Delta posts Q2 2017 profit $1.85 Billion USD

I finally had time to review Delta's 10Q for 2Q 2017. A couple interesting observatons. Refinery generated $50mm profit for the first half of the year 2017 (up from 6MM during Q1 2017), compared to a loss of 38mm for first half of 2016. Comment that higher crack spreads helped this quarter. Other in...

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by coronado
Mon Jul 17, 2017 1:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 7/16/2017: DY Adds EWR-CDG/FCO; DL Adds LAX-ABQ/MEX, SEA-MFR, Seasonal AUS-AMS; Y4 Swaps OAK-MEX to SFO
Replies: 75
Views: 13016

Re: OAG Changes 7/16/2017: DY Adds EWR-CDG/FCO; DL Adds LAX-ABQ/MEX, SEA-MFR, Seasonal AUS-AMS; Y4 Swaps OAK-MEX to SFO

klm617 wrote:
AVLAirlineFreq wrote:
enilria wrote:

DL ATL-LHR FEB 3>1.8


Any ideas what's going on here? Just temporary for February?


Maybe VS will be picking up the slack.


My speculation: new flagship A350's in place of 767? Seems to be similar number of seats.

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by coronado
Mon Jul 03, 2017 7:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Original Republic airlines question
Replies: 4
Views: 1025

Re: Original Republic airlines question

Hi int he web site Departed Flights there is an Augstt 1982 flight schedule. It shows Pasco-Seattle on flight 14 leaving Pasco at 6:01 am, and connecting in Seattle to Flight 70 non stop arriving in MSP at 12:30. The Pasco Seattle routing was probably on a DC9-10 or a DC9-30 (but most likely the -10...

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by coronado
Thu Jun 29, 2017 5:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta retires first MD 90
Replies: 82
Views: 24126

Re: Delta retires first MD 90

The keys are simple: When a A321 and a 737-900ER can be had for about $40mm a copy, it results in essentially no expensive maintenance on those for 6 years. Continued low fuel prices and a low Capex for aircraft that seat 20% more pax than a MD-90. I still think their RFP will be filed by taking ano...

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by coronado
Wed Jun 21, 2017 2:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Could Airbus Scrap the A330-800neo?
Replies: 61
Views: 10749

Re: Could Airbus Scrap the A330-800neo?

If Argentina continues to recover from its economic nightmare as it seems to be, Buenos Aires to US West Coast and Buenos Aires to Frankfurt all seem to be better suited to a A330-200/800 aircraft. But IMHO, the key is that currently Airbus can sell a A330-200 (and make decent money on it) for about...

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by coronado
Tue Jun 20, 2017 7:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Air Lines orders 30 additional A321s
Replies: 166
Views: 30621

Re: Delta Air Lines orders 30 additional A321s

mjoelnir wrote:
Keith2004 wrote:

Ur right I misspoke, I was thinking about the 100+ 737-900ERs they have on order


41 on order as far as I know, with 79 in operation. 120 all together.

Actually 120 all together, with the 10 'put options' from Boeing added near the end of Q1 2017.

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by coronado
Tue Jun 20, 2017 7:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Air Lines orders 30 additional A321s
Replies: 166
Views: 30621

Re: Delta Air Lines orders 30 additional A321s

Between now and 2021, on the domestic side DL is scheduled to retire 3 320, 3 757, 3 763-A and 116 MD-80; using some rough math, that's about 19,087 seats. Meanwhile, they're set to take delivery of 1 738, 51 739 and 101 321; that's abut 28,732 seats. Additionally, they'll create about 500 addition...

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by coronado
Tue Jun 20, 2017 6:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Air Lines orders 30 additional A321s
Replies: 166
Views: 30621

Re: Delta Air Lines orders 30 additional A321s

My comments: We will see the official numbers as soon as the June 30/2017 10Q's come out in mid to late July. My back of the envelope calculations are that their June 30 2017 reports will show that they will have about 55-57 737-900ER still to be delivered ( including the 10 added to the order book ...

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by coronado
Tue Jun 20, 2017 2:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Air Lines orders 30 additional A321s
Replies: 166
Views: 30621

Re: Delta Air Lines orders 30 additional A321s

With continued softness in fuel prices I keep thinking the RFP requirements will be made up of another 30 end of line A321ceo another 30 end of line 737-900ER but with the twist of ordering another 80-90 CS300, essentially by cleaning up the open Republic order book, which was not abrogated during t...

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by coronado
Sat Jun 10, 2017 2:11 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Inappropriate actions by two passengers onboard ryanair from MAN-IBZ
Replies: 84
Views: 14395

Re: Inappropriate actions by two passengers onboard ryanair from MAN-IBZ

I am surprised no one thought about throwing a pitcher full of cold water over the two characters . It is effective on dogs!

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by coronado
Tue Jun 06, 2017 2:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Northwest 747 question.
Replies: 46
Views: 7965

Re: Northwest 747 question.

Best NWA 747-200 flight was on June 28, 1982, MSP-LGW. My wife, our 2 1/2 month old daughter and myself had the entire upper deck to ourselves. After a couple trips up the steps the attendant asked if we were OK if she just left us a couple bottles of wine until dinner was served. Fine with us, we c...

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by coronado
Tue May 30, 2017 7:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future Hubs: Where could it happen?
Replies: 120
Views: 14138

Re: Future Hubs: Where could it happen?

I was thinking in terms of United at MCO or perhaps Jet Blue if they decide to emulate West Jet and get some larger longer range aircraft. It can certainly become the most viable competing hub to MIA But I think Delta may built up a hublet there in spite of Atl being close. The o&d at MCO contin...

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by coronado
Tue May 30, 2017 6:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future Hubs: Where could it happen?
Replies: 120
Views: 14138

Re: Future Hubs: Where could it happen?

I would think MCO would have a greater chance than TPA.

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by coronado
Sat May 20, 2017 8:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta to issue RFP for up to 150 Narrowbodies
Replies: 243
Views: 44262

Re: Delta to issue RFP for up to 150 Narrowbodies?

IMHO they will fill the 150 a/c requirement with additional top off orders for an additional 20 or 30 737-900ER plus another 20 or 30 A321 ceo and then order 90-110 CS 300. I think they will then sit back and wait for MOM and A322 plans to get more fully fleshed out.

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by coronado
Thu May 11, 2017 3:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Air Lines orders 30 additional A321s
Replies: 166
Views: 30621

Re: Delta Air Lines orders 30 additional A321s

Also perhaps overlooked is that as the first of the 25 A330-900's start arriving in 2 years, to start to replace 767-300ER. IMHO Delta is likely to adapt some of the 767-300ER over to use in ''domestic beach markets'' as a fully paid for, low utilization aircraft. at least for a few years, I am thin...

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by coronado
Sat May 06, 2017 5:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL defers last 10 A350s by at least 2-3 years
Replies: 204
Views: 43989

Re: Delta Reviewing Airbus Widebody Purchase in blow to Airbus

If the new US administration tax plans come to fruition with the corporate tax rate dropping from 35% to 15% the big US3 will become even more cost effective than their JV partners. Delta and United in particular IIRC have higher efficiency ratios (revenue per employee) than their JV partners. I see...

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by coronado
Tue May 02, 2017 9:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Which airports in the US operate 24h?
Replies: 46
Views: 5914

Re: Which airports in the US operate 24h?

Perhaps a good definition for pax operations would be if there are time blocks when security check points are closed. In case of multiple security check points at an airport whichever one is closed the least. For example the main MKE security checkpoint is not manned by TSA after about 11pm most nig...

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by coronado
Wed Apr 26, 2017 2:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Rest of Michigan Thread
Replies: 73
Views: 4906

Re: The Rest of Michigan Thread

Correction to post #52 above. I meant to say FinnFest not Funniest!

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by coronado
Wed Apr 26, 2017 3:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Rest of Michigan Thread
Replies: 73
Views: 4906

Re: The Rest of Michigan Thread

Has anyone heard if United (Skywest) might add a peak summer 3rd daily from ORD to CMX in 2017 as they did a couple years ago when Funniest was being held in Hancock?

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