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by coronado
Tue Jul 18, 2017 1:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta posts Q2 2017 profit $1.85 Billion USD
Replies: 62
Views: 9344

Re: Delta posts Q2 2017 profit $1.85 Billion USD

When Delta ordered the incremental 10 A330-300 IGW back in Q3 2013, I calculated a commitment cost of about 87M each. When Delta during Q4 2014 placed the order for the 25 A350-900 and the 25 A333-900, my calculations indicated that a pair (1 x 359 + 1 x 339) was costing Delta right around 210-220M....

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by coronado
Tue Jul 18, 2017 2:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta posts Q2 2017 profit $1.85 Billion USD
Replies: 62
Views: 9344

Re: Delta posts Q2 2017 profit $1.85 Billion USD

I was reviewing all the press releases on the Delta A321-200 orders, re-orders and supplemental orders including the 30 ordered on May 11 2017 and the additional 10 added on June 20 2017 bringing the total in operation and on order to 122. I am reading a statement that the last of the 122 (or is it ...

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by coronado
Mon Jul 17, 2017 5:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta posts Q2 2017 profit $1.85 Billion USD
Replies: 62
Views: 9344

Re: Delta posts Q2 2017 profit $1.85 Billion USD

I finally had time to review Delta's 10Q for 2Q 2017. A couple interesting observatons. Refinery generated $50mm profit for the first half of the year 2017 (up from 6MM during Q1 2017), compared to a loss of 38mm for first half of 2016. Comment that higher crack spreads helped this quarter. Other in...

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by coronado
Mon Jul 17, 2017 1:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 7/16/2017: DY Adds EWR-CDG/FCO; DL Adds LAX-ABQ/MEX, SEA-MFR, Seasonal AUS-AMS; Y4 Swaps OAK-MEX to SFO
Replies: 75
Views: 12321

Re: OAG Changes 7/16/2017: DY Adds EWR-CDG/FCO; DL Adds LAX-ABQ/MEX, SEA-MFR, Seasonal AUS-AMS; Y4 Swaps OAK-MEX to SFO

klm617 wrote:
AVLAirlineFreq wrote:
enilria wrote:

DL ATL-LHR FEB 3>1.8


Any ideas what's going on here? Just temporary for February?


Maybe VS will be picking up the slack.


My speculation: new flagship A350's in place of 767? Seems to be similar number of seats.

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by coronado
Mon Jul 03, 2017 7:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Original Republic airlines question
Replies: 4
Views: 985

Re: Original Republic airlines question

Hi int he web site Departed Flights there is an Augstt 1982 flight schedule. It shows Pasco-Seattle on flight 14 leaving Pasco at 6:01 am, and connecting in Seattle to Flight 70 non stop arriving in MSP at 12:30. The Pasco Seattle routing was probably on a DC9-10 or a DC9-30 (but most likely the -10...

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by coronado
Thu Jun 29, 2017 5:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta retires first MD 90
Replies: 63
Views: 17274

Re: Delta retires first MD 90

The keys are simple: When a A321 and a 737-900ER can be had for about $40mm a copy, it results in essentially no expensive maintenance on those for 6 years. Continued low fuel prices and a low Capex for aircraft that seat 20% more pax than a MD-90. I still think their RFP will be filed by taking ano...

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by coronado
Wed Jun 21, 2017 2:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Could Airbus Scrap the A330-800neo?
Replies: 61
Views: 10078

Re: Could Airbus Scrap the A330-800neo?

If Argentina continues to recover from its economic nightmare as it seems to be, Buenos Aires to US West Coast and Buenos Aires to Frankfurt all seem to be better suited to a A330-200/800 aircraft. But IMHO, the key is that currently Airbus can sell a A330-200 (and make decent money on it) for about...

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by coronado
Tue Jun 20, 2017 7:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Air Lines orders 30 additional A321s
Replies: 166
Views: 29776

Re: Delta Air Lines orders 30 additional A321s

mjoelnir wrote:
Keith2004 wrote:

Ur right I misspoke, I was thinking about the 100+ 737-900ERs they have on order


41 on order as far as I know, with 79 in operation. 120 all together.

Actually 120 all together, with the 10 'put options' from Boeing added near the end of Q1 2017.

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by coronado
Tue Jun 20, 2017 7:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Air Lines orders 30 additional A321s
Replies: 166
Views: 29776

Re: Delta Air Lines orders 30 additional A321s

Between now and 2021, on the domestic side DL is scheduled to retire 3 320, 3 757, 3 763-A and 116 MD-80; using some rough math, that's about 19,087 seats. Meanwhile, they're set to take delivery of 1 738, 51 739 and 101 321; that's abut 28,732 seats. Additionally, they'll create about 500 addition...

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by coronado
Tue Jun 20, 2017 6:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Air Lines orders 30 additional A321s
Replies: 166
Views: 29776

Re: Delta Air Lines orders 30 additional A321s

My comments: We will see the official numbers as soon as the June 30/2017 10Q's come out in mid to late July. My back of the envelope calculations are that their June 30 2017 reports will show that they will have about 55-57 737-900ER still to be delivered ( including the 10 added to the order book ...

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by coronado
Tue Jun 20, 2017 2:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Air Lines orders 30 additional A321s
Replies: 166
Views: 29776

Re: Delta Air Lines orders 30 additional A321s

With continued softness in fuel prices I keep thinking the RFP requirements will be made up of another 30 end of line A321ceo another 30 end of line 737-900ER but with the twist of ordering another 80-90 CS300, essentially by cleaning up the open Republic order book, which was not abrogated during t...

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by coronado
Sat Jun 10, 2017 2:11 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Inappropriate actions by two passengers onboard ryanair from MAN-IBZ
Replies: 84
Views: 13921

Re: Inappropriate actions by two passengers onboard ryanair from MAN-IBZ

I am surprised no one thought about throwing a pitcher full of cold water over the two characters . It is effective on dogs!

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by coronado
Tue Jun 06, 2017 2:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Northwest 747 question.
Replies: 46
Views: 7678

Re: Northwest 747 question.

Best NWA 747-200 flight was on June 28, 1982, MSP-LGW. My wife, our 2 1/2 month old daughter and myself had the entire upper deck to ourselves. After a couple trips up the steps the attendant asked if we were OK if she just left us a couple bottles of wine until dinner was served. Fine with us, we c...

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by coronado
Tue May 30, 2017 7:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future Hubs: Where could it happen?
Replies: 120
Views: 13325

Re: Future Hubs: Where could it happen?

I was thinking in terms of United at MCO or perhaps Jet Blue if they decide to emulate West Jet and get some larger longer range aircraft. It can certainly become the most viable competing hub to MIA But I think Delta may built up a hublet there in spite of Atl being close. The o&d at MCO contin...

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by coronado
Tue May 30, 2017 6:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future Hubs: Where could it happen?
Replies: 120
Views: 13325

Re: Future Hubs: Where could it happen?

I would think MCO would have a greater chance than TPA.

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by coronado
Sat May 20, 2017 8:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta to issue RFP for up to 150 Narrowbodies?
Replies: 114
Views: 18472

Re: Delta to issue RFP for up to 150 Narrowbodies?

IMHO they will fill the 150 a/c requirement with additional top off orders for an additional 20 or 30 737-900ER plus another 20 or 30 A321 ceo and then order 90-110 CS 300. I think they will then sit back and wait for MOM and A322 plans to get more fully fleshed out.

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by coronado
Thu May 11, 2017 3:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Air Lines orders 30 additional A321s
Replies: 166
Views: 29776

Re: Delta Air Lines orders 30 additional A321s

Also perhaps overlooked is that as the first of the 25 A330-900's start arriving in 2 years, to start to replace 767-300ER. IMHO Delta is likely to adapt some of the 767-300ER over to use in ''domestic beach markets'' as a fully paid for, low utilization aircraft. at least for a few years, I am thin...

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by coronado
Sat May 06, 2017 5:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL defers last 10 A350s by at least 2-3 years
Replies: 204
Views: 42959

Re: Delta Reviewing Airbus Widebody Purchase in blow to Airbus

If the new US administration tax plans come to fruition with the corporate tax rate dropping from 35% to 15% the big US3 will become even more cost effective than their JV partners. Delta and United in particular IIRC have higher efficiency ratios (revenue per employee) than their JV partners. I see...

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by coronado
Tue May 02, 2017 9:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Which airports in the US operate 24h?
Replies: 46
Views: 5269

Re: Which airports in the US operate 24h?

Perhaps a good definition for pax operations would be if there are time blocks when security check points are closed. In case of multiple security check points at an airport whichever one is closed the least. For example the main MKE security checkpoint is not manned by TSA after about 11pm most nig...

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by coronado
Wed Apr 26, 2017 2:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Rest of Michigan Thread
Replies: 67
Views: 3819

Re: The Rest of Michigan Thread

Correction to post #52 above. I meant to say FinnFest not Funniest!

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by coronado
Wed Apr 26, 2017 3:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Rest of Michigan Thread
Replies: 67
Views: 3819

Re: The Rest of Michigan Thread

Has anyone heard if United (Skywest) might add a peak summer 3rd daily from ORD to CMX in 2017 as they did a couple years ago when Funniest was being held in Hancock?

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by coronado
Wed Apr 19, 2017 2:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US3 S17 widebody utilization thread
Replies: 33
Views: 637

Re: US3 June Widebody Fleet Utilization

I was a bit puzzled by the transcript of the Delta earnings call last week where Ed Bastian answered a question from Edward Russell from Flightglobal by stating that all domestic 767 were retired, and continued by saying that 3 of the transatlantic 767 will be retired by the end of the current year....

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by coronado
Fri Apr 14, 2017 1:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL defers last 10 A350s by at least 2-3 years
Replies: 204
Views: 42959

Re: Delta Reviewing Airbus Widebody Purchase in blow to Airbus

As long as the fuel price forecasting gurus think oil is staying around the $50 mark, it makes sense to put the 767-300ER through one more HMV cycle and defer 1/3 of of the A339/A359order out a further 3-5 years. There are a lot of potential black swan events in the world right now including the mid...

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by coronado
Wed Apr 12, 2017 4:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta LAX Terminal Plans Revealed
Replies: 409
Views: 106119

Re: Delta LAX Terminal Plans Revealed

If this is completed in 2022 it it 5 years from now, and not 7 years, but if the whole objective is to only have no more than 3 gates our of commission at any given time as they do the rolling modernization progam I guess 5 years is about as good as it gets. At least it is faster than Berlin!

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by coronado
Mon Apr 10, 2017 3:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Another United gaffe - forces doctor off plane
Replies: 2119
Views: 115292

Re: Another United gaffe - forces doctor off plane

I supposed in the future airlines can just decide to offer a bag of peanuts or maybe a $10 dollar gift card and if no volunteers step up and accept this denied boarding compensation, it is OK to call law enforcement and forcibly remove random passengers. Undoubtedly they will opt to remove the small...

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by coronado
Mon Apr 10, 2017 3:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Another United gaffe - forces doctor off plane
Replies: 2119
Views: 115292

Re: Another United gaffe - forces doctor off plane

The flight was by Republic Airlines, not United mainline but then nobody would take the click bait if the headlines said Republic now would they? I went on the Republic web site and I could not buy a ticket from them. All booking, overbooking, fares, volunteer buy outs are strictly decided on by Un...

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by coronado
Thu Mar 16, 2017 1:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Proposed Essential Air Service elimination
Replies: 170
Views: 13114

Re: Proposed Essential Air Service elimination

What about CMX? Worthy of EAS or not?

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by coronado
Thu Feb 16, 2017 6:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DOT 2016 US Airport Ontime Rankings; SLC best, LGA worst
Replies: 52
Views: 5105

Re: DOT 2016 US Airport Ontime Rankings; SLC best, LGA worst

Here are a few more comparisons for Feb 17/2017 LAX-SCL Delta flight durations : 1:55 to 2:00 (A319, 737-800, 737-900ER and 757) American flight durations: 1:56 to 2:03 (E75, CR7) United flight durations: 1:57-2:03 (E75) ATL-IAH Delta: 2:14-2:23 (CR9, MD88, 717) United 2:20-2.28 (E75, CR7) ATL-DFW D...

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by coronado
Thu Feb 16, 2017 2:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DOT 2016 US Airport Ontime Rankings; SLC best, LGA worst
Replies: 52
Views: 5105

Re: DOT 2016 US Airport Ontime Rankings; SLC best, LGA worst

I also tend to be skeptical of BobPatterson's 'excessive padding' claims for Delta. Looking at tomorow's schedule Delta has their contracted carrier Republic operating hourly E175's (and 1 x E170) from LGA to ORD. Scheduled gate to gate times depending on the time of the day vary from 2 hours :36 mi...

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by coronado
Wed Feb 15, 2017 6:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Did the regional jet kill off service to many local airports.
Replies: 55
Views: 6767

Re: Did the regional jet kill off service to many local airports.

I think the trend as we get into self driving cars over the next 10-20 years will be to further extend the willingness for pax to drive to a larger airport as far as a 3 hour+ radius rather than take a RJ to a hub. Why have service at Muskegon Michigan when Grand Rapids GRR is less than an hour away...

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by coronado
Tue Feb 14, 2017 1:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta sold its E190's for avg $11.9MM each
Replies: 11
Views: 5779

Re: Delta sold its E190's for avg $11.9MM each

Analysis of Delta's fleet commitments at end of each quarter in 2016 confirm they sold 11 of the 19 during Q3 2016 and the remaining 8 during Q4. I did not trace if they were sold to more than one entity. But the year end 10K confirms proceeds during the year 2016 of $226m and now all 19 are gone

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by coronado
Tue Feb 14, 2017 12:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta sold its E190's for avg $11.9MM each
Replies: 11
Views: 5779

Re: Delta sold its E190's for avg $11.9MM each

When they listed the commitment to acquire them during Q4 2015, my analysis of their change in aircraft fleets, cap[ital expendutures and aircraft purchase commitments during that quarter (Q4 2015) suggested that the E190's had an acquisition cost of $10mm each or a bit less. I suspect Boeing Leasin...

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by coronado
Mon Feb 13, 2017 11:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta sold its E190's for avg $11.9MM each
Replies: 11
Views: 5779

Delta sold its E190's for avg $11.9MM each

Interesting to see that the Delta 12/31/2016 10K filed today with the SEC indicates that they realized proceeds of $226million dollars for the 19 used E190's they had ordered before dropping that plan and going with the order for new CS series aircraft. This works out to an average of 11.9MM each in...

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by coronado
Fri Jan 27, 2017 9:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AAL $289M 4Q16 Profit
Replies: 47
Views: 5622

Re: AAL $289M 4Q16 Profit

Just to clarify - AA's total debt and capital lease obligations as of 1 January were $24.3B, and that "capital lease" nuance is a very important one when moving from a balance sheet to cash flow assessment, as the actual cash outlay for capital leases are spaced out over the entire useful...

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by coronado
Wed Jan 25, 2017 2:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will the Boeing 717 become a freighter?
Replies: 18
Views: 3640

Re: Will the Boeing 717 become a freighter?

On a tangentially related note, does anyone know what is the current status of Volotea's V7 converting their 717 fleet to A319 as announced last year? V7 was supposed to get at least 5 A319 in 2017. The speculation was that their current fleet of 17 of the 717 would be dispersed between HA and DL. I...

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by coronado
Mon Oct 17, 2016 4:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 10/21/2016: AA Drops PHL-EWR, DL Adds JFK-YHZ, WN Drops LAS-EWR/IAD,MKE-SEA,SNA-MEX, Suspends PHX-RDU
Replies: 74
Views: 10953

Re: OAG Changes 10/21/2016: AA Drops PHL-EWR, DL Adds JFK-YHZ, WN Drops LAS-EWR/IAD,MKE-SEA,SNA-MEX, Suspends PHX-RDU

[quote="enilria"]FAQ *DL MQT-MSP MAR 0>1.0 APR 0>1.0 MAY 0>1.0 JUN 0>1.0 Nice addition to MQT to provide MQT Sawyer airport with west bound connections. Is this only a summer addition? or year around, anyone know? The start in March suggests year around. That would mean Delta would offer 2...

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by coronado
Mon Sep 19, 2016 10:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: World's largest airport as measured by number of jet bridges
Replies: 49
Views: 11692

Re: World's largest airport as measured by number of jet bridges

I think MSP is at 124 including the 10 or so gates at T2 (Humphrey). Although I hear they may be pulling out some of the CRJ jet bridges to accommodate more mainline and E170/5 which presumably would reduce the total gates.

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by coronado
Thu Aug 25, 2016 3:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Almost a Boeing Mea Culpa on the 787?
Replies: 25
Views: 9854

Re: Almost a Boeing Mea Culpa on the 787?

there is a very good case that the 787-9 in particular is the most attractive widebody product in the current or foreseeable market. No doubt but if they need to sell it for $120mm (and they should be selling it for $140mm) compared to $80mm for a A339 it becomes only the most attractive widebody, ...

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by coronado
Mon Aug 22, 2016 8:05 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: What is behind your username?
Replies: 60
Views: 2230

Re: What is behind your username?

First jet flight in 1965 was on a VARIG Convair 990 which similarly to Swissair, they added the moniker 'Coronado'. Although when I signed up I was tempted to use something like SuperH or L1049 which was the first flight I remember clearly, on board a REAL Aerovias Constellation from Sao Paulo to Mi...

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by coronado
Sat Aug 06, 2016 3:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL CEO Doesn't Deny C-Series Were $20m Each
Replies: 33
Views: 8709

Re: DL CEO Doesn't Deny C-Series Were $20m Each

A bit of clarification, during the 4th quarter of 2014 Delta committed to buying the 25 A339 and the 25 A359. They also took delivery of 4 737-900ER (which has the effect of dropping their commitment balance by approx 175mm). So this means the 50 A339 and A359 had to have an average price of $112mm ...

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by coronado
Sat Aug 06, 2016 2:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL CEO Doesn't Deny C-Series Were $20m Each
Replies: 33
Views: 8709

Re: DL CEO Doesn't Deny C-Series Were $20m Each

Your numbers are pretty close. There are commitments related to engines, and rebates from engine manufacturers, that do have an impact. I would point out the E-190s are actually about $18M each and the A330s are all around $80M. The net prices to Delta for the CS100 after rebates from Bombardier is...

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by coronado
Fri Aug 05, 2016 1:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL CEO Doesn't Deny C-Series Were $20m Each
Replies: 33
Views: 8709

Re: DL CEO Doesn't Deny C-Series Were $20m Each

yes the aircraft commitment figures reported in the financial statements includes the financial commitment to aircraft with engines and would also include any spare engines. Because of a lack of disclosure footnotes I conclude the commitment to purchase spare engines is financially ''non material'.

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by coronado
Fri Aug 05, 2016 1:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL CEO Doesn't Deny C-Series Were $20m Each
Replies: 33
Views: 8709

Re: DL CEO Doesn't Deny C-Series Were $20m Each

By analyzing the change in the aircraft commitment figure during the quarter when the A339 and the A359 were ordered, yes I stand by those numbers. If I am off then the A339 could be a handful of million lower and the A359 could be a handful of million higher, as long as the drop in the price of 1 i...

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by coronado
Fri Aug 05, 2016 12:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL CEO Doesn't Deny C-Series Were $20m Each
Replies: 33
Views: 8709

Re: DL CEO Doesn't Deny C-Series Were $20m Each

My analysis of the quarterly 10Q's and annual 10K's regarding Delta's fleet commitments leads me to conclude they are committed to pay about usd26million for each of 75 CS100's. That is the current extent of the financial commitment. The potential incremental commitment cost of substituting up to CS...

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by coronado
Wed Aug 03, 2016 2:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What if Boeing 737-10 has 4500NM range & 12 more seats than A321LR
Replies: 59
Views: 11462

Re: What if Boeing 737-10 has 4500NM range & 12 more seats than A321LR

I think at some stage the lack of being able to use industry compatible LD3 containers for luggage and freight has to be solved with a successor to the 737 fuse. Nothing in above speculations addresses this issue. Just my thoughts.

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by coronado
Mon Aug 01, 2016 3:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta 787 Routes
Replies: 22
Views: 6819

Re: Delta 787 Routes

From Delta 10K annual report at 31Dec2015: ''Our purchase commitment for the 18 B-787-8 aircraft provides for certain aircraft substitution rights, including for our current orders of B-737-900ER aircraft.'' I do not expect to see these 788 ever operate for Delta. I think they are cancelled in all b...

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by coronado
Wed Jul 13, 2016 3:09 pm
Forum: Site Related
Topic: Airliners.net Site Upgrade Announcement & Discussion
Replies: 2477
Views: 131388

Re: Airliners.net Site Upgrade Announcement & Discussion

I use Chrome as my primary browser and I downloaded a (free) extension ap from the Google Chrome store called Disable HTML5 Video so the auto-playing videos don't start up as soon as I open a thread. In my case I am trying to limit bandwidth usage because of my satellite metered connection but it al...

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by coronado
Mon Jul 11, 2016 6:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing announces 737 MAX-7 stretch
Replies: 102
Views: 21376

Re: Boeing announces 737 MAX-7 stretch

Are WN systems upgraded enough to be able to handle 143 seat -700's and 150 seat (upgrade spec) Max 7's? IIRC while they were changing the configuration of the 700's to the current 143 count, for the longest time they were selling seats based on the old seat count? Will they now keep selling at 143 ...

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by coronado
Thu Jul 07, 2016 2:18 pm
Forum: Site Related
Topic: Airliners.net Site Upgrade Announcement & Discussion
Replies: 2477
Views: 131388

Re: Airliners.net Site Upgrade Announcement & Discussion

I have to stop now, my eyes hurt with all of this grey... We have a solution for that: http://www.airliners.net/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=1335851 Here, here! I just installed speedbored's solution to my Dell Inspiron 15 laptop's Chrome browser, and visualization of the site is greatly improved...

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by coronado
Thu Jun 30, 2016 1:49 am
Forum: Site Related
Topic: Airliners.net Site Upgrade Announcement & Discussion
Replies: 2477
Views: 131388

Re: Airliners.net Site Upgrade Announcement & Discussion

Mariner, I do admire your positive attitude, and I keep signing on to the new a.net 2 or 3 times a day hoping to find the quick to navigate, multiple topic forum, that I got accustomed to since 1999, which I can quickly peruse and actually get good headlines with quick links to breaking news affecti...

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