Search found 1186 matches

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by coronado
Tue Sep 19, 2017 1:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing targets Bombardier for “price dumping” CSeries
Replies: 505
Views: 66466

Re: Boeing targets Bombardier for “price dumping” CSeries

http://www.bombardier.com/content/bombardiercom/en/media/newsList/details.binc-20170918-boeings-hypocrite-allegations.bombardiercom.html Well put BBD. Boeing is definitely being hypocritical in this process. Launch pricing discounts have long been part of sales strategies by Boeing and Airbus. This ...

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by coronado
Tue Sep 19, 2017 3:35 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: N301DN registration change
Replies: 3
Views: 1167

Re: N301DN registration change

More of the usual low key classy gestures from Delta. . . .

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by coronado
Sat Sep 09, 2017 11:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL Sends 744 To Orlando To Pick Up Evacuees
Replies: 91
Views: 18322

Re: DL Sends 744 To Orlando To Pick Up Evacuees

Wishing the best to all in Florida. Thought about it when reading about these 747 substitutions to MCO while seeing on flight aware the two 747's departing today from DTW to NRT and to PVG flying over me here in the UP of Michigan. Pretty neat that Delta constantly seems to demonstrate such operatio...

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by coronado
Mon Sep 04, 2017 1:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Widebody Thread
Replies: 149
Views: 20730

Re: Delta Widebody Thread

http://www.businessinsider.com/delta-ca ... er-2016-12
-->

Delta cancelled the 787 order in December 2016. They worked out a deal with Boeing to swap out whatever credits they had on the books over to their 737-900 ER order.

http://www.businessinsider.com/delta-ca ... er-2016-12

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by coronado
Fri Sep 01, 2017 4:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta considers future of struggling refinery business
Replies: 30
Views: 7639

Re: Delta considers future of struggling refinery business

The crack spread since May 2017 already was averaging close to $17.00 bbl trending up to $20 into the first part of Q3 (for July and Aug, even before the hurricane). Now since hurricane Harvey, the Crack Spread is pushing up to 27.00. I suspect Trainer will report very, very good results for Q3. For...

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by coronado
Fri Sep 01, 2017 1:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer Hopes Pinned on New Scope Clause in 2019-22
Replies: 75
Views: 6901

Re: Embraer Hopes Pinned on New Scope Clause in 2019-22

There are lots of pilots out there who can fly RJs on mainline. There is no need to outsource our jobs. There is NO agreement to be had othe than MAINLINE pilots fly ALL aircraft. If the planes are to old and to fuel inefficient to bad. They have the option to buy brand spanking new aircraft and ma...

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by coronado
Thu Aug 17, 2017 3:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA outlines A350 delivery schedule
Replies: 47
Views: 12684

Re: AA outlines A350 delivery schedule

In 1982 I worked for a bank and felt Lucky to get an 11.5% mortgage rate which was a full 200 basis points below then prevailing 13.5% rates. Just because we have been in a virtually nil interest rate environment since the 2008 crash does not negate longer term historical observations.

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by coronado
Thu Aug 17, 2017 2:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA outlines A350 delivery schedule
Replies: 47
Views: 12684

Re: AA outlines A350 delivery schedule

In 1982 I worked for a bank and felt Lucky to get an 11.5% mortgage rate which was a full 200 basis points below then prevailing 13.5% rates. Just because we have been in a virtually nil interest rate environment since the 2008 crash does not negate longer term historical observations.

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by coronado
Sun Aug 06, 2017 12:25 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Scope of Delta in Amsterdam
Replies: 41
Views: 8350

Re: Scope of Delta in Amsterdam

It is pretty impressive to think back on what NWA and KLM at AMS have wrought. From a 20% investment by KLM in NWA in 1989, evolving to a full profit sharing JV in 1997, they certainly got it right. Besides MCO I expect RDU to be added to the AMS turns within the next year, and perhaps a Delta opera...

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by coronado
Thu Aug 03, 2017 12:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA outlines A350 delivery schedule
Replies: 47
Views: 12684

Re: AA outlines A350 delivery schedule

if the Fed Reserve keeps raising interest rates, we may see more efforts by airlines to stretch out Capex and defer . Delta is trying to keep their Capex annual budget at about 50-60% of cash flow so for the most part they should be able to pay for the majority of their aircraft on order with cash. ...

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by coronado
Wed Aug 02, 2017 4:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 17 yr old jumps out of aircraft upon landing at SFO
Replies: 21
Views: 8633

Re: 17 yr old jumps out of aircraft upon landing at SFO

Maybe the reporter was confused and the Copa 737 just looked big. Maybe he was thinking about Swissair (Crossair) in SUI that calls their Avro 100's 'Jumbolinos'? (I always thought They should have added 4 Engines 4 the Short Haul markings on those! But I guess the Jumbolinos are down to their final...

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by coronado
Tue Aug 01, 2017 8:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL A321 expansion
Replies: 59
Views: 12782

Re: DL A321 expansion

I don't understand DL's tactic with the A321, the plane basically lives in ATL. I would like to see more activity at other hubs, DTW is spotty, the 321 comes, than go's, than comes and than go's, where MSP or LGA go months without seeing scheduled 321 service. This winter will be interesting, DL ha...

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by coronado
Fri Jul 28, 2017 1:19 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Why is the FedEx Superhub busiest between 10PM and 4AM?
Replies: 59
Views: 9058

Re: Why is the FedEx Superhub busiest between 10PM and 4AM?

Fed Ex didn't start with "old Lear Jets". They started with factory fresh Fan Jet Falcons custom configured by Dassault for Fed Ex. Agreed. Creative story editing on my part. Also sometimes overlooked in the tale of Fred Smith is that he had the contacts to amass a start up investment of ...

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by coronado
Fri Jul 28, 2017 3:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AirFrance/KLM buys significant stake in VS and extends partnership with DL/MU
Replies: 180
Views: 20947

Re: AirFrance/KLM buys significant stake in VS and extends partnership with DL/MU

I think all of us commenting on this are in a mindset that we are playing checkers. Delta and its attorneys are playing chess. We are the seeing the initial steps toward the creation of the worlds first truly global airline. I don't mean code sharing or joint ventures. I don't mean an airline with a...

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by coronado
Fri Jul 28, 2017 2:45 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Why is the FedEx Superhub busiest between 10PM and 4AM?
Replies: 59
Views: 9058

Re: Why is the FedEx Superhub busiest between 10PM and 4AM?

The original tag line used by Fedex in its advertising sums it all up: When it absolutely positively has to be there overnight! sums up the model of why Memphis (and Indy as a back up hub) and Oakland as a transpacific hub are so busy in the middle of the night.. When their clients offices and busin...

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by coronado
Tue Jul 25, 2017 1:29 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Extremely rare runway configurations
Replies: 99
Views: 10701

Re: Extremely rare runway configurations

Runway 4-22 (the 11000 foot cross runway) at MSP seems to hardly be used anymore since the 747-400 stopped serving the MSP-NRT route. That seemed to be about the only aircraft that ever used the cross runway. Statistically there are days on end where the percentage usage (measured in both departures...

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by coronado
Tue Jul 18, 2017 1:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta posts Q2 2017 profit $1.85 Billion USD
Replies: 66
Views: 10858

Re: Delta posts Q2 2017 profit $1.85 Billion USD

When Delta ordered the incremental 10 A330-300 IGW back in Q3 2013, I calculated a commitment cost of about 87M each. When Delta during Q4 2014 placed the order for the 25 A350-900 and the 25 A333-900, my calculations indicated that a pair (1 x 359 + 1 x 339) was costing Delta right around 210-220M....

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by coronado
Tue Jul 18, 2017 2:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta posts Q2 2017 profit $1.85 Billion USD
Replies: 66
Views: 10858

Re: Delta posts Q2 2017 profit $1.85 Billion USD

I was reviewing all the press releases on the Delta A321-200 orders, re-orders and supplemental orders including the 30 ordered on May 11 2017 and the additional 10 added on June 20 2017 bringing the total in operation and on order to 122. I am reading a statement that the last of the 122 (or is it ...

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by coronado
Mon Jul 17, 2017 5:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta posts Q2 2017 profit $1.85 Billion USD
Replies: 66
Views: 10858

Re: Delta posts Q2 2017 profit $1.85 Billion USD

I finally had time to review Delta's 10Q for 2Q 2017. A couple interesting observatons. Refinery generated $50mm profit for the first half of the year 2017 (up from 6MM during Q1 2017), compared to a loss of 38mm for first half of 2016. Comment that higher crack spreads helped this quarter. Other in...

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by coronado
Mon Jul 17, 2017 1:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 7/16/2017: DY Adds EWR-CDG/FCO; DL Adds LAX-ABQ/MEX, SEA-MFR, Seasonal AUS-AMS; Y4 Swaps OAK-MEX to SFO
Replies: 75
Views: 12829

Re: OAG Changes 7/16/2017: DY Adds EWR-CDG/FCO; DL Adds LAX-ABQ/MEX, SEA-MFR, Seasonal AUS-AMS; Y4 Swaps OAK-MEX to SFO

klm617 wrote:
AVLAirlineFreq wrote:
enilria wrote:

DL ATL-LHR FEB 3>1.8


Any ideas what's going on here? Just temporary for February?


Maybe VS will be picking up the slack.


My speculation: new flagship A350's in place of 767? Seems to be similar number of seats.

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by coronado
Mon Jul 03, 2017 7:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Original Republic airlines question
Replies: 4
Views: 1007

Re: Original Republic airlines question

Hi int he web site Departed Flights there is an Augstt 1982 flight schedule. It shows Pasco-Seattle on flight 14 leaving Pasco at 6:01 am, and connecting in Seattle to Flight 70 non stop arriving in MSP at 12:30. The Pasco Seattle routing was probably on a DC9-10 or a DC9-30 (but most likely the -10...

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by coronado
Thu Jun 29, 2017 5:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta retires first MD 90
Replies: 82
Views: 23377

Re: Delta retires first MD 90

The keys are simple: When a A321 and a 737-900ER can be had for about $40mm a copy, it results in essentially no expensive maintenance on those for 6 years. Continued low fuel prices and a low Capex for aircraft that seat 20% more pax than a MD-90. I still think their RFP will be filed by taking ano...

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by coronado
Wed Jun 21, 2017 2:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Could Airbus Scrap the A330-800neo?
Replies: 61
Views: 10416

Re: Could Airbus Scrap the A330-800neo?

If Argentina continues to recover from its economic nightmare as it seems to be, Buenos Aires to US West Coast and Buenos Aires to Frankfurt all seem to be better suited to a A330-200/800 aircraft. But IMHO, the key is that currently Airbus can sell a A330-200 (and make decent money on it) for about...

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by coronado
Tue Jun 20, 2017 7:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Air Lines orders 30 additional A321s
Replies: 166
Views: 30348

Re: Delta Air Lines orders 30 additional A321s

mjoelnir wrote:
Keith2004 wrote:

Ur right I misspoke, I was thinking about the 100+ 737-900ERs they have on order


41 on order as far as I know, with 79 in operation. 120 all together.

Actually 120 all together, with the 10 'put options' from Boeing added near the end of Q1 2017.

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by coronado
Tue Jun 20, 2017 7:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Air Lines orders 30 additional A321s
Replies: 166
Views: 30348

Re: Delta Air Lines orders 30 additional A321s

Between now and 2021, on the domestic side DL is scheduled to retire 3 320, 3 757, 3 763-A and 116 MD-80; using some rough math, that's about 19,087 seats. Meanwhile, they're set to take delivery of 1 738, 51 739 and 101 321; that's abut 28,732 seats. Additionally, they'll create about 500 addition...

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by coronado
Tue Jun 20, 2017 6:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Air Lines orders 30 additional A321s
Replies: 166
Views: 30348

Re: Delta Air Lines orders 30 additional A321s

My comments: We will see the official numbers as soon as the June 30/2017 10Q's come out in mid to late July. My back of the envelope calculations are that their June 30 2017 reports will show that they will have about 55-57 737-900ER still to be delivered ( including the 10 added to the order book ...

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by coronado
Tue Jun 20, 2017 2:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Air Lines orders 30 additional A321s
Replies: 166
Views: 30348

Re: Delta Air Lines orders 30 additional A321s

With continued softness in fuel prices I keep thinking the RFP requirements will be made up of another 30 end of line A321ceo another 30 end of line 737-900ER but with the twist of ordering another 80-90 CS300, essentially by cleaning up the open Republic order book, which was not abrogated during t...

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by coronado
Sat Jun 10, 2017 2:11 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Inappropriate actions by two passengers onboard ryanair from MAN-IBZ
Replies: 84
Views: 14188

Re: Inappropriate actions by two passengers onboard ryanair from MAN-IBZ

I am surprised no one thought about throwing a pitcher full of cold water over the two characters . It is effective on dogs!

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by coronado
Tue Jun 06, 2017 2:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Northwest 747 question.
Replies: 46
Views: 7819

Re: Northwest 747 question.

Best NWA 747-200 flight was on June 28, 1982, MSP-LGW. My wife, our 2 1/2 month old daughter and myself had the entire upper deck to ourselves. After a couple trips up the steps the attendant asked if we were OK if she just left us a couple bottles of wine until dinner was served. Fine with us, we c...

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by coronado
Tue May 30, 2017 7:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future Hubs: Where could it happen?
Replies: 120
Views: 13832

Re: Future Hubs: Where could it happen?

I was thinking in terms of United at MCO or perhaps Jet Blue if they decide to emulate West Jet and get some larger longer range aircraft. It can certainly become the most viable competing hub to MIA But I think Delta may built up a hublet there in spite of Atl being close. The o&d at MCO contin...

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by coronado
Tue May 30, 2017 6:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future Hubs: Where could it happen?
Replies: 120
Views: 13832

Re: Future Hubs: Where could it happen?

I would think MCO would have a greater chance than TPA.

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by coronado
Sat May 20, 2017 8:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta to issue RFP for up to 150 Narrowbodies?
Replies: 114
Views: 19121

Re: Delta to issue RFP for up to 150 Narrowbodies?

IMHO they will fill the 150 a/c requirement with additional top off orders for an additional 20 or 30 737-900ER plus another 20 or 30 A321 ceo and then order 90-110 CS 300. I think they will then sit back and wait for MOM and A322 plans to get more fully fleshed out.

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by coronado
Thu May 11, 2017 3:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Air Lines orders 30 additional A321s
Replies: 166
Views: 30348

Re: Delta Air Lines orders 30 additional A321s

Also perhaps overlooked is that as the first of the 25 A330-900's start arriving in 2 years, to start to replace 767-300ER. IMHO Delta is likely to adapt some of the 767-300ER over to use in ''domestic beach markets'' as a fully paid for, low utilization aircraft. at least for a few years, I am thin...

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by coronado
Sat May 06, 2017 5:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL defers last 10 A350s by at least 2-3 years
Replies: 204
Views: 43677

Re: Delta Reviewing Airbus Widebody Purchase in blow to Airbus

If the new US administration tax plans come to fruition with the corporate tax rate dropping from 35% to 15% the big US3 will become even more cost effective than their JV partners. Delta and United in particular IIRC have higher efficiency ratios (revenue per employee) than their JV partners. I see...

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by coronado
Tue May 02, 2017 9:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Which airports in the US operate 24h?
Replies: 46
Views: 5526

Re: Which airports in the US operate 24h?

Perhaps a good definition for pax operations would be if there are time blocks when security check points are closed. In case of multiple security check points at an airport whichever one is closed the least. For example the main MKE security checkpoint is not manned by TSA after about 11pm most nig...

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by coronado
Wed Apr 26, 2017 2:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Rest of Michigan Thread
Replies: 71
Views: 4428

Re: The Rest of Michigan Thread

Correction to post #52 above. I meant to say FinnFest not Funniest!

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by coronado
Wed Apr 26, 2017 3:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Rest of Michigan Thread
Replies: 71
Views: 4428

Re: The Rest of Michigan Thread

Has anyone heard if United (Skywest) might add a peak summer 3rd daily from ORD to CMX in 2017 as they did a couple years ago when Funniest was being held in Hancock?

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by coronado
Wed Apr 19, 2017 2:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US3 S17 widebody utilization thread
Replies: 34
Views: 1341

Re: US3 June Widebody Fleet Utilization

I was a bit puzzled by the transcript of the Delta earnings call last week where Ed Bastian answered a question from Edward Russell from Flightglobal by stating that all domestic 767 were retired, and continued by saying that 3 of the transatlantic 767 will be retired by the end of the current year....

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by coronado
Fri Apr 14, 2017 1:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL defers last 10 A350s by at least 2-3 years
Replies: 204
Views: 43677

Re: Delta Reviewing Airbus Widebody Purchase in blow to Airbus

As long as the fuel price forecasting gurus think oil is staying around the $50 mark, it makes sense to put the 767-300ER through one more HMV cycle and defer 1/3 of of the A339/A359order out a further 3-5 years. There are a lot of potential black swan events in the world right now including the mid...

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by coronado
Wed Apr 12, 2017 4:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta LAX Terminal Plans Revealed
Replies: 409
Views: 107124

Re: Delta LAX Terminal Plans Revealed

If this is completed in 2022 it it 5 years from now, and not 7 years, but if the whole objective is to only have no more than 3 gates our of commission at any given time as they do the rolling modernization progam I guess 5 years is about as good as it gets. At least it is faster than Berlin!

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by coronado
Mon Apr 10, 2017 3:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Another United gaffe - forces doctor off plane
Replies: 2119
Views: 118614

Re: Another United gaffe - forces doctor off plane

I supposed in the future airlines can just decide to offer a bag of peanuts or maybe a $10 dollar gift card and if no volunteers step up and accept this denied boarding compensation, it is OK to call law enforcement and forcibly remove random passengers. Undoubtedly they will opt to remove the small...

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by coronado
Mon Apr 10, 2017 3:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Another United gaffe - forces doctor off plane
Replies: 2119
Views: 118614

Re: Another United gaffe - forces doctor off plane

The flight was by Republic Airlines, not United mainline but then nobody would take the click bait if the headlines said Republic now would they? I went on the Republic web site and I could not buy a ticket from them. All booking, overbooking, fares, volunteer buy outs are strictly decided on by Un...

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by coronado
Thu Mar 16, 2017 1:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Proposed Essential Air Service elimination
Replies: 170
Views: 13466

Re: Proposed Essential Air Service elimination

What about CMX? Worthy of EAS or not?

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by coronado
Thu Feb 16, 2017 6:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DOT 2016 US Airport Ontime Rankings; SLC best, LGA worst
Replies: 52
Views: 5278

Re: DOT 2016 US Airport Ontime Rankings; SLC best, LGA worst

Here are a few more comparisons for Feb 17/2017 LAX-SCL Delta flight durations : 1:55 to 2:00 (A319, 737-800, 737-900ER and 757) American flight durations: 1:56 to 2:03 (E75, CR7) United flight durations: 1:57-2:03 (E75) ATL-IAH Delta: 2:14-2:23 (CR9, MD88, 717) United 2:20-2.28 (E75, CR7) ATL-DFW D...

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by coronado
Thu Feb 16, 2017 2:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DOT 2016 US Airport Ontime Rankings; SLC best, LGA worst
Replies: 52
Views: 5278

Re: DOT 2016 US Airport Ontime Rankings; SLC best, LGA worst

I also tend to be skeptical of BobPatterson's 'excessive padding' claims for Delta. Looking at tomorow's schedule Delta has their contracted carrier Republic operating hourly E175's (and 1 x E170) from LGA to ORD. Scheduled gate to gate times depending on the time of the day vary from 2 hours :36 mi...

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by coronado
Wed Feb 15, 2017 6:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Did the regional jet kill off service to many local airports.
Replies: 55
Views: 6893

Re: Did the regional jet kill off service to many local airports.

I think the trend as we get into self driving cars over the next 10-20 years will be to further extend the willingness for pax to drive to a larger airport as far as a 3 hour+ radius rather than take a RJ to a hub. Why have service at Muskegon Michigan when Grand Rapids GRR is less than an hour away...

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by coronado
Tue Feb 14, 2017 1:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta sold its E190's for avg $11.9MM each
Replies: 11
Views: 5844

Re: Delta sold its E190's for avg $11.9MM each

Analysis of Delta's fleet commitments at end of each quarter in 2016 confirm they sold 11 of the 19 during Q3 2016 and the remaining 8 during Q4. I did not trace if they were sold to more than one entity. But the year end 10K confirms proceeds during the year 2016 of $226m and now all 19 are gone

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by coronado
Tue Feb 14, 2017 12:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta sold its E190's for avg $11.9MM each
Replies: 11
Views: 5844

Re: Delta sold its E190's for avg $11.9MM each

When they listed the commitment to acquire them during Q4 2015, my analysis of their change in aircraft fleets, cap[ital expendutures and aircraft purchase commitments during that quarter (Q4 2015) suggested that the E190's had an acquisition cost of $10mm each or a bit less. I suspect Boeing Leasin...

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by coronado
Mon Feb 13, 2017 11:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta sold its E190's for avg $11.9MM each
Replies: 11
Views: 5844

Delta sold its E190's for avg $11.9MM each

Interesting to see that the Delta 12/31/2016 10K filed today with the SEC indicates that they realized proceeds of $226million dollars for the 19 used E190's they had ordered before dropping that plan and going with the order for new CS series aircraft. This works out to an average of 11.9MM each in...

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by coronado
Fri Jan 27, 2017 9:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AAL $289M 4Q16 Profit
Replies: 47
Views: 5667

Re: AAL $289M 4Q16 Profit

Just to clarify - AA's total debt and capital lease obligations as of 1 January were $24.3B, and that "capital lease" nuance is a very important one when moving from a balance sheet to cash flow assessment, as the actual cash outlay for capital leases are spaced out over the entire useful...

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