Search found 1070 matches

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by winginit
Fri Aug 18, 2017 9:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Starting PHL-BUD/PRG; ORD-VCE; Move JFK-ZRH to PHL
Replies: 261
Views: 24573

Re: AA Starting PHL-BUD/PRG; ORD-VCE; Move JFK-ZRH to PHL

The problem with the notion of operating a niche hub is that it has never been proven to work anywhere else and isn't working for AA at JFK. When other carriers that have larger hubs in NYC can connect more passengers to international flights and still compete for the same local passengers, they wi...

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by winginit
Fri Aug 18, 2017 7:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Online resource for determining number of seats into a market?
Replies: 2
Views: 364

Re: Online resource for determining number of seats into a market?

What you're seeking is the primary function of DIIO Mi or OAG Analyzer. I believe you could get access to both even if you're not an industry employee, but at a significant subscription cost.

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by winginit
Thu Aug 17, 2017 9:13 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: DL to impose a surcharge for J suites on the A350 specifically
Replies: 10
Views: 1390

Re: DL to impose a surcharge for J suites on the A350 specifically

Ambitious to say the very least, but who knows maybe this reboots the use of surcharges in the TPAC marketplace. We saw fares collapse over the past few years as carriers both foreign and domestic rolled surcharges up into base fares, so maybe this is a logical unwinding of the trend? Does feel a bi...

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by winginit
Thu Aug 17, 2017 8:48 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: What will Delta look like in 3 years?
Replies: 24
Views: 2465

Re: Delta in 3 years

jumbojet wrote:
As much as I am a fan of DL, why oh why did they have to implement a lux tax for booking business class seats on the A350? Depending on the fare class, it can be as much as $500.00 each way. Really DL?


Just saw that article, and honestly the topic probably deserves its own thread.

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by winginit
Thu Aug 17, 2017 6:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Other Most Influencial Airline Execs
Replies: 73
Views: 4737

Re: The Other Most Influencial Airline Execs

Top of the list of the unsung: Glen Hauenstein. Now Pres. of DL, with Ed Bastian CEO. Glen's network and fleet planning, esp. making Long Haul Thin Route a core part of ops, literally saved CO and DL in that order. He "unlocked" the 757 from its domestic prison. http://news.delta.com/bio-...

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by winginit
Thu Aug 17, 2017 5:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Other Most Influencial Airline Execs
Replies: 73
Views: 4737

Re: The Other Most Influencial Airline Execs

:checkmark: I sincerely hope we see Hard Landing II ! :D 10/10, would pre-order a dozen copies. On the discussion, one of the more under-the-radar influencers is Glen Hauenstein. He was the architect of CO and now DL's success in the realm of Network which is where it all starts for any airline. Ba...

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by winginit
Thu Aug 17, 2017 3:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Other Most Influencial Airline Execs
Replies: 73
Views: 4737

Re: The Other Most Influencial Airline Execs

There has been much discussion about the impact of Scott Kirby from AA and now United and what he has been doing at UA. Who are some of the others both current and historic, who have made their mark? Glad you brought this up in the OP. I very firmly believe, especially as he inevitably rises to the...

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by winginit
Thu Aug 17, 2017 3:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Starting PHL-BUD/PRG; ORD-VCE; Move JFK-ZRH to PHL
Replies: 261
Views: 24573

Re: AA Starting PHL-BUD/PRG; ORD-VCE; Move JFK-ZRH to PHL

ADrum23 wrote:
So is the AA hub at JFK living on borrowed time? I hope not. I'd be surprised if they ultimately closed it, considering it would leave NYC and a decent portion of the TATL market at the mercy of DL.


What? No - obviously not, and they're dumping tons of money into terminal and lounge improvements.

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by winginit
Thu Aug 17, 2017 1:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Starting PHL-BUD/PRG; ORD-VCE; Move JFK-ZRH to PHL
Replies: 261
Views: 24573

Re: AA starting service PHL-BUD/PRG move JFK-ZRH to PHL

With all due respect, NYC was expensive when AA had a larger operation there... and that didn't stop them from operating there. Actually, as the carrier fell deeper and deeper into difficult financial times - that's exactly what it did... Were you of the impression that AA began to shift their focu...

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by winginit
Wed Aug 16, 2017 11:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will Frontier re-time DEN flights with expansion?
Replies: 10
Views: 1171

Re: Will Frontier re-time DEN flights with expansion?

ULCCs don't bank flights, but with the fewer gates they now have it isn't even really an option now. :checkmark: Unless I've missed it, Frontier haven't messaged an intention to move away from being a point to point ULCC. No focus on connections means no need to bank flights. Maybe you did miss it....

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by winginit
Wed Aug 16, 2017 11:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Starting PHL-BUD/PRG; ORD-VCE; Move JFK-ZRH to PHL
Replies: 261
Views: 24573

Re: AA starting service PHL-BUD/PRG move JFK-ZRH to PHL

sagechan wrote:
Lots of NYC bias here. Yes NYC is the largest market by far, but it is also the most competitive.


And the most expensive US market to do business in (at least when it comes to commercial aviation). Let's not forget the cost side of this equation.

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by winginit
Wed Aug 16, 2017 10:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will Frontier re-time DEN flights with expansion?
Replies: 10
Views: 1171

Re: Will Frontier re-time DEN flights with expansion?

enilria wrote:
ULCCs don't bank flights, but with the fewer gates they now have it isn't even really an option now.


:checkmark:

Unless I've missed it, Frontier haven't messaged an intention to move away from being a point to point ULCC. No focus on connections means no need to bank flights.

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by winginit
Wed Aug 16, 2017 10:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Starting PHL-BUD/PRG; ORD-VCE; Move JFK-ZRH to PHL
Replies: 261
Views: 24573

Re: AA starting service PHL-BUD/PRG move JFK-ZRH to PHL

This lack of dominance in New York no doubt is why AA is throwing everything at LAX. It may be OK to not dominate the #1 metro area if you can win the O&D battle for 6 out of the top 8 in the US. (LAX ORD DFW DCA PHL & MIA) Not sure that I agree with the notion that a lack of New York domin...

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by winginit
Wed Aug 16, 2017 9:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Starting PHL-BUD/PRG; ORD-VCE; Move JFK-ZRH to PHL
Replies: 261
Views: 24573

Re: AA starting service PHL-BUD/PRG move JFK-ZRH to PHL

All in all it's sad really. AA has never, pre- or post-merger developed a good strategy for JFK and now it's likely too late. I don't entirely disagree, but it's simply a different strategy that's been the forced consequence of the merger with US. Yes, if you isolate a transatlantic presence out of...

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by winginit
Wed Aug 16, 2017 8:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta C Series
Replies: 89
Views: 16707

Re: Delta C Series

C series will definitely have a big presence at DFW. Expect to see it fly to all the hubs plus RDU and MCO. Ed wants to be careful in dealing with the 800lb gorilla at DFW. Kind of made it seem like he doesn't want to ruin his friendship with Douglas. SEA-DFW will only be one daily to start. I have...

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by winginit
Wed Aug 16, 2017 8:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: CX post first half net loss of $262 million
Replies: 30
Views: 5023

Re: CX post first half net loss of $262 million

There's a lot of negativity and fear mongering going around these days when CX profitability is discussed. The root cause is fuel hedging and everybody knows that by now, I don't follow those who think that aspect is irrelevant and the business model is broken. The fact is that their operating prof...

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by winginit
Wed Aug 16, 2017 8:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta C Series
Replies: 89
Views: 16707

Re: Delta C Series

Interesting column from a Forbes contributor: https://www.forbes.com/sites/danielreed/2017/08/16/what-is-delta-thinking-raiding-other-airlines-hubs-is-an-exercise-in-futility-or-folly/#88a3a866b041 Is Delta Airlines really preparing to charge the gates of hell – a.k.a., in this case, as Dallas Love...

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by winginit
Wed Aug 16, 2017 7:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Starting PHL-BUD/PRG; ORD-VCE; Move JFK-ZRH to PHL
Replies: 261
Views: 24573

Re: AA starting service PHL-BUD/PRG move JFK-ZRH to PHL

I would think that it would be better to serve BUD and PRG from JFK instead of PHL. I find it kind of weird how quite a while back, AA cut the PHL-ZRH route, leaving only JFK-ZRH. Now they are cutting JFK-ZRH in favour of PHL-ZRH? Why didn't they keep ZRH at PHL before they cut it and later on cut ...

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by winginit
Wed Aug 16, 2017 7:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Battle of the Hubs: SIN and HKG
Replies: 7
Views: 1740

Re: Battle of the Hubs: SIN and HKG

SIN has an advantage that HKG doesn't which is a lack of viable competition in the ASEAN region which is an area of about 600 million people, while HKG faces direct competition not just from other hubs in the region but from p-2-p routes being started by Chinese carriers that bypass HKG all togethe...

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by winginit
Wed Aug 16, 2017 6:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Starting PHL-BUD/PRG; ORD-VCE; Move JFK-ZRH to PHL
Replies: 261
Views: 24573

Re: AA starting service PHL-BUD/PRG move JFK-ZRH to PHL

ILS28ORD wrote:
Are the AA 772/773 ever going to make a regular return to ORD on international routes or are most staying 788/789?


Given most of AA's transatlantic flights from ORD pivot off of transpacific rotations, it's likely that the 788/9s will stay.

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by winginit
Wed Aug 16, 2017 6:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Starting PHL-BUD/PRG; ORD-VCE; Move JFK-ZRH to PHL
Replies: 261
Views: 24573

Re: AA starting service PHL-BUD/PRG move JFK-ZRH to PHL

If you at least mark on each route if is only summer seasonal or year-round, you will see that AA's presence at JFK is very thin and it is increasingly shifting its entire transatlantic network to not be year round. They are also reducing their presence in the largest and most competitive business ...

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by winginit
Tue Aug 15, 2017 11:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Virgin Australia announces a net loss of $185 million for FY16/17
Replies: 103
Views: 9569

Re: Virgin Australia announces a net loss of $185 million for FY16/17

Thank goodness the Kiwis got out when they did. As ryanairguru says the market sees no value in VAH. In ten years they've gone from $2 to $0.20. It has halved from $0.40 to $0.20 fully on JBs watch. As further evidence of diminished value, note that while DL has been buying stakes left and right be...

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by winginit
Mon Aug 14, 2017 10:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta C Series
Replies: 89
Views: 16707

Re: Delta C Series

LAX772LR wrote:
777Mech wrote:
with DFW being the bridge between the two.

Random.


Seemingly not so random as they two hubs and one spoke mentioned are what have been reported today.

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by winginit
Mon Aug 14, 2017 7:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TK and QR Loads from MIA
Replies: 39
Views: 6432

Re: TK and QR Loads from MIA

Both have been doing quite well. Not according to this. Granted, these are partial 2016 figures, but nonetheless, and even with a certain element of error, MIA seems to be one of the worst US routes for QR in terms of year round L/F. PHL is the only one that's worse. thenoflyzone False info is fals...

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by winginit
Mon Aug 14, 2017 6:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Applies For LAX-PEK
Replies: 631
Views: 101854

Re: AA Applies For LAX-PEK

The question still remains whether China Southern will be allowed to operate as a dual codeshare partner for AA and DL and remain in Skyteam For what must be the fifth time now, this is no longer a question. It is a fact that China Southern can codeshare with both AA and DL while remaining in SkyTe...

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by winginit
Mon Aug 14, 2017 5:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Applies For LAX-PEK
Replies: 631
Views: 101854

Re: AA Applies For LAX-PEK

The question still remains whether China Southern will be allowed to operate as a dual codeshare partner for AA and DL and remain in Skyteam For what must be the fifth time now, this is no longer a question. It is a fact that China Southern can codeshare with both AA and DL while remaining in SkyTe...

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by winginit
Mon Aug 14, 2017 5:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TK and QR Loads from MIA
Replies: 39
Views: 6432

Re: TK and QR Loads from MIA

Just to prove a point. Today's QR777 (DOH-MIA) is sold out at 358. https://scontent-ort2-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t31.0-8/20785672_10214167003391748_2378380043792204305_o.jpg?oh=774131c514d838e6d9d3bd8fc4f631bf&oe=5A35C06F A single day's directional data does little to prove any 'point'. Surely you can...

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by winginit
Fri Aug 11, 2017 11:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta and Korean sign JVA
Replies: 496
Views: 51802

Re: Delta and Korean sign JVA

Delta and Korean have given no timeline for implementing the JV so there isn't any basis for anyone to have a timeframe. Correct. Although this thread is filled with comments implying that we're going to see a plethora of new routes and benefits imminently, so just managing expectations. This will ...

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by winginit
Fri Aug 11, 2017 9:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta and Korean sign JVA
Replies: 496
Views: 51802

Re: Delta and Korean sign JVA

Will DL bring Korean back up to a group 1 partner airline? I mean, I would've thought with the signing of the JVA, it would've happened by now. Inevitably yes, but this JV will evolve I think slower than most people are anticipating. Keep in mind that while DL and KE have ATI on the US side of the ...

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by winginit
Fri Aug 11, 2017 5:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Tim Clark: Americans are being fed a distorted view of the Open Skies agreement
Replies: 79
Views: 8009

Re: Tim Clark: Americans are being fed a distorted view of the Open Skies agreement

The back and forth mud-slinging regarding whether the ME3, US3, or both are receiving subsidies is pointless. Both have received what could be categorized as government subsidies, and that being the case, the Open Skies agreement should be formally opened for review and renegotiation. The trick here...

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by winginit
Fri Aug 11, 2017 5:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TK and QR Loads from MIA
Replies: 39
Views: 6432

Re: TK and QR Loads from MIA

Those numbers are off. Try again. Literally straight from T100 (nondirectional average) so unless QR and TK are reporting false information to the DOT I'll go with T100 thanks. Do feel free to post your own numbers for the sake of comparison, but until you do your criticisms of my data (which is al...

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by winginit
Thu Aug 10, 2017 11:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TK and QR Loads from MIA
Replies: 39
Views: 6432

Re: TK and QR Loads from MIA

Both have been doing quite well. Today's QR flight to MIA has 358 inbound. TK flight to MIA has 318 pax. In terms of another Middle Eastern carrier coming in; that doesn't seem likely for at least another few years. In aggregate it looks a bit less pretty. T100 showing the following for the year en...

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by winginit
Thu Aug 10, 2017 11:09 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: transitting LAX ?
Replies: 6
Views: 677

Re: transitting LAX ?

They've been there for years. Very commonly used and have been lightly branded (at least in color and font) by the carriers whose terminals they pass through (lighter blue under T4, darker blue under T5, etc.)

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by winginit
Thu Aug 10, 2017 9:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TK and QR Loads from MIA
Replies: 39
Views: 6432

Re: TK and QR Loads from MIA

Both have been doing quite well. Today's QR flight to MIA has 358 inbound. TK flight to MIA has 318 pax. In terms of another Middle Eastern carrier coming in; that doesn't seem likely for at least another few years. In aggregate it looks a bit less pretty. T100 showing the following for the year en...

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by winginit
Thu Aug 10, 2017 9:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Scoot applies for US service
Replies: 60
Views: 15985

Re: Scoot applies for US service

LAXintl wrote:
Approved by DOT today.


I'm always impressed with the degree to which you have your finger on the pulse of these filings. Have you set up notifications or do you just check the docket daily?

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by winginit
Thu Aug 10, 2017 5:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Applies For LAX-PEK
Replies: 631
Views: 101854

Re: AA Applies For LAX-PEK

with all due respect, there isn't a person on a.net that has access to the financial data to know how this route will work. That's nonsense. I can tell you, for a fact, that there are plenty of a.net members who are AA employees who have access to the LAXPEK route forecast. Will they share that inf...

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by winginit
Thu Aug 10, 2017 5:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Applies For LAX-PEK
Replies: 631
Views: 101854

Re: AA Applies For LAX-PEK

with all due respect, there isn't a person on a.net that has access to the financial data to know how this route will work. That's nonsense. I can tell you, for a fact, that there are plenty of a.net members who are AA employees who have access to the LAXPEK route forecast. Will they share that inf...

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by winginit
Thu Aug 10, 2017 5:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Tim Clark: Americans are being fed a distorted view of the Open Skies agreement
Replies: 79
Views: 8009

Re: Tim Clark: Americans are being fed a distorted view of the Open Skies agreement

Trump was slaughtered by the big three with his shuttle. Apparently he bears grudges so probably will favour the foreigners. Norwegian air is an example. Or he is resisting the protectionist tendencies in the USA airline industry. Or, more likely, he is too aloof to have skin in this game. I don't ...

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by winginit
Thu Aug 10, 2017 3:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Applies For LAX-PEK
Replies: 631
Views: 101854

Re: AA Applies For LAX-PEK

fee CZ is paying to other Skyteam members for allowing codesharing outside of the alliance. For what must be the third time now in this thread alone - there is no fee required for SkyTeam members to codeshare outside of the alliance. ST's 'hygiene rules' allow for a fixed percentage of member ASMs ...

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by winginit
Wed Aug 09, 2017 6:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL outlines A350 routes
Replies: 183
Views: 44235

Re: DL A350 inaugural flight will be DTW-NRT

yes. Delta spec says 8000 statute miles. Seems conservative vs Airbus specs. I'm a bit confused, because DL have also publicly said during an earnings call that the DL A350 would be unable to serve LAXSYD, which stands at 7471. While I'm not sure how much credibility I should put into it, the Aviat...

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by winginit
Wed Aug 09, 2017 6:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL outlines A350 routes
Replies: 183
Views: 44235

Re: DL A350 inaugural flight will be DTW-NRT

yes. Delta spec says 8000 statute miles. Seems conservative vs Airbus specs. I'm a bit confused, because DL have also publicly said during an earnings call that the DL A350 would be unable to serve LAXSYD, which stands at 7471. While I'm not sure how much credibility I should put into it, the Aviat...

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by winginit
Wed Aug 09, 2017 6:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is South African or Kenyan at ORD possible
Replies: 34
Views: 3435

Re: Is South African or Kenyan at ORD possible

I believe SA tried an ORD route to JNB around 10 years ago and pulled after about a year. SA announced ORD via DKR, but never started the route. I wonder why because Chicago has a lot of people from senegal gambia Because 'a lot of people from XXX' doesn't equate to profitable yields capable of off...

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by winginit
Wed Aug 09, 2017 6:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL outlines A350 routes
Replies: 183
Views: 44235

Re: DL A350 inaugural flight will be DTW-NRT

Does the a350 have the legs to fly JFK east Asia? yes. Delta spec says 8000 statute miles. Seems conservative vs Airbus specs. I'm a bit confused, because DL have also publicly said during an earnings call that the DL A350 would be unable to serve LAXSYD, which stands at 7471. While I'm not sure ho...

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by winginit
Wed Aug 09, 2017 3:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Applies For LAX-PEK
Replies: 631
Views: 101854

Re: AA Applies For LAX-PEK

While I am sure that you and others would like to change the subject, onboard quality isn't the issue for LAX-PEK You're being comical at this point. You asked for specific reasons that AA might feel as though an LAX-Asia push might yield a different result than previous expansion efforts, I cited ...

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by winginit
Tue Aug 08, 2017 9:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Applies For LAX-PEK
Replies: 631
Views: 101854

Re: AA Applies For LAX-PEK

As far as better service, I think it is very much questionable. Better product depends on your class of service. FC and Business are improved, but AA's standard coach product is poor among its peers with its newer aircraft having some of the worst legroom short of flying Spirit. For that matter, th...

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by winginit
Tue Aug 08, 2017 6:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Applies For LAX-PEK
Replies: 631
Views: 101854

Re: AA Applies For LAX-PEK

AA's above average RASM growth over the past year was only because it underperformed for so long that it was fairly easy to return to RASM growth as soon as Brazil started improving since S. America is such a huge part of AA's network. Based on current guidance, DL is expecting to have the highest ...

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by winginit
Tue Aug 08, 2017 6:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Applies For LAX-PEK
Replies: 631
Views: 101854

Re: AA Applies For LAX-PEK

This would make an excellent press release. :champagne: Thank you? I am curious, is AA's " robust and hugely profitable " domestic network more robust and more hugely profitable than UA or DL? Are AA's exceptionally deep pockets even deeper than UA or DL? More robust by breadth? Yes. AA i...

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by winginit
Tue Aug 08, 2017 6:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Applies For LAX-PEK
Replies: 631
Views: 101854

Re: AA Applies For LAX-PEK

And btw, for those who think AA is enormously profitable on its domestic system, they trail both DL and WN according to DOT stats. And? Enormously profitable was not relative to other carriers - it was, and is, an absolute, objective metric. They are enormously profitable compared to virtually any ...

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by winginit
Tue Aug 08, 2017 4:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Applies For LAX-PEK
Replies: 631
Views: 101854

Re: AA Applies For LAX-PEK

Finally, some clarity. I suspect you were never taught the value of conciseness: 1. Why is this effort by AA going to be any different than its previous efforts? It may not be, but as the merged and now more stable and mature American Airlines has exceptionally deep pockets, a brand new fleet and hi...

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by winginit
Tue Aug 08, 2017 3:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Applies For LAX-PEK
Replies: 631
Views: 101854

Re: AA Applies For LAX-PEK

The reality which those who are unrelenting in their support for AA cannot accept is that - AA failed to acquire a US legacy carrier or its assets that had a large presence to Asia. Obvious. No one disagrees. - AA failed to build and maintain its own west coast hub to Asia in a market where it coul...

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