Search found 2984 matches

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by MIflyer12
Mon Nov 06, 2017 11:39 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why no IAH-HKG on UA or CX?
Replies: 53
Views: 5477

Re: Why no IAH-HKG on UA or CX?

IAH is unique in the variety of airlines/destinations it has, but has a glaring exception: HKG. NRT, PEK, ICN, TPE, and SIN are already served, but not HKG. IAH gets good coverage from UA and its partners, but I must say I'm surprised HKG is not served yet. Will IAH ever see CX or IAH-HKG from UA? ...

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by MIflyer12
Sun Nov 05, 2017 4:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 11/5/2017: AA Adds LGA-PWM, Did AA Lease More DCA slots?; AS/F9 Mexico Cuts
Replies: 53
Views: 8819

Re: OAG Changes 11/5/2017: AA Adds LGA-PWM, Did AA Lease More DCA slots?; AS/F9 Mexico Cuts

DL SEA-MCO APR 1.4>1.0 MAY 1.3>0.9 Two weeks ago it was one flight reduced. Last week it was 4 more reductions. And this week yet another cut. For an airline that says they're committed to growth in SEA, it looks like a slow and steady reduction is in process. A Delta infographic from Jan. '17 show...

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by MIflyer12
Sat Nov 04, 2017 2:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus Working With Emirates on New Order for Flagship A380
Replies: 679
Views: 91197

Re: Airbus Working With Emirates on New Order for Flagship A380

It will "likely" be for 20 according to Leeham. https://leehamnews.com/2017/11/03/emirates-likely-order-new-a380s-dubai-air-show/#more-25251 It's been demonstrated that the operator list for A380s is pretty short (relative to 744/777/A330), and, outside of Emirates and SQ, those operators...

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by MIflyer12
Sat Nov 04, 2017 2:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Piedmont Airlines Sets the Timetable to End All Dash 8 Service
Replies: 40
Views: 5363

Re: Piedmont Airlines Sets the Timetable to End All Dash 8 Service

The props aversion is largely a US thing. In Canada alone, there are over 100 Dash 8s/Q400s in operation. Sorry, but Canada has a lot of very thin airport pairs, lack of highways in the north, and a dearth of domestic competition. Passengers accept props because there's nothing better. Americans wi...

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by MIflyer12
Sat Nov 04, 2017 2:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Routes From Denver: What To Do With 39 New Gates
Replies: 105
Views: 14191

Re: New Routes From Denver: What To Do With 39 New Gates

I think AS should move in and start some new routes from DEN Alaska is adding a seventh daily SEA flight next summer. AS has PDX on their radar as more E175s come online too. VX was on the verge of announcing LAX prior to the merger. If AS is smart (and can find the pilots), they need to add PDX, S...

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by MIflyer12
Sat Nov 04, 2017 12:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Routes From Denver: What To Do With 39 New Gates
Replies: 105
Views: 14191

Re: New Routes From Denver: What To Do With 39 New Gates

jubguy3 wrote:
Hubris in action


Are you reacting to some of the new destinations proposed in this thread, or the size of the gate expansion?

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by MIflyer12
Sat Nov 04, 2017 12:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest wants DL and AS to share at DAL
Replies: 54
Views: 6379

Re: Southwest wants DL and AS to share at DAL

gr8slvrflt wrote:
Delta and Alaska can add flights at DFW. Southwest can’t. To me, that’s the bottom line here.


That position ignores decades-old DOT policy demanding carrier access to promote competition. That DL and AS can expand at DFW isn't even relevant.

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by MIflyer12
Sat Nov 04, 2017 1:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Routes From Denver: What To Do With 39 New Gates
Replies: 105
Views: 14191

Re: New Routes From Denver: What To Do With 39 New Gates

I agree with those that think the East needs more flights from DEN. Once you add those flights from the East though, you can probably afford to add some more flights West as well for the higher number of pax. However, I think at least 5-6 of these gates should be used as breathing room for IRROPS. ...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Nov 03, 2017 9:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Widebody Thread
Replies: 373
Views: 52079

Re: Delta A350 Future Routes

So my question is, would we see A350s being introduced to other big European markets out of Detroit, such as Paris (CDG) and London (LHR)... In the absence of public information, try reasoning. Why would they? I mean, why would they use their most fuel efficient long-haul aircraft on shorter routes...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Nov 03, 2017 9:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumor: United close to acquire 30-40 used A319/A320
Replies: 91
Views: 21772

Re: Rumor: United close to acquire 30-40 used A319/A320

Is not everybody focused on making a point? If I talk about new frames, I talk about new frames, not end of line bargains. But even end of line bargains come with greatly reduced service cost compared to old frames. The question is what is your emphasis, CAPEX or running costs. Today or future. No,...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Nov 02, 2017 3:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Doug Parker on United's Lack of a Southeast Hub
Replies: 196
Views: 19719

Re: Doug Parker on United's Lack of a Southeast Hub

First of all I do not think United has to have a SE hub to be successful. [/quote] I don't think it's been well established that the Southeast could support three superhubs (MIA isn't the SE). If UA established a 250-flight hub at BNA (very ambitious, but not impossible) it would get eaten alive by...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Nov 02, 2017 9:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will DL base any A350's at SEA?
Replies: 32
Views: 4235

Re: Will DL base any A350's at SEA?

Running a utilization flight the other direction from XXX isn't the same as basing aircraft at XXX.

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by MIflyer12
Wed Nov 01, 2017 4:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United's future at Dulles
Replies: 72
Views: 11130

Re: United's future at Dulles

UA's primary reason for lack of expnsion at IAD could indeed be due to their scarcity of narrowbody mainline jets that are more urgently needed at other larger hubs. I don't follow the logic of UA having this multi-year scarcity of aircraft. Look at the rate of deliveries to AA and WN. If UA wanted...

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by MIflyer12
Wed Nov 01, 2017 3:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Doug Parker on United's Lack of a Southeast Hub
Replies: 196
Views: 19719

Re: Doug Parker on United's Lack of a Southeast Hub

This brings up a more general discussion on the cost per enplaned passenger at each major airport. It seems as United faces a structural issue in its network operating major hubs out of the most expensive in the country while not reaping the benefits of a "cheap" hub. Are we now expecting...

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by MIflyer12
Wed Nov 01, 2017 2:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: will Air Transat ever go back to HNL ?
Replies: 19
Views: 2055

Re: will Air Transat ever go back to HNL ?

From Western Canada, WS and AC/Rouge have Hawai'i well-covered... though I can't tell you how much I'd love to see AS or HA in YYC! AS is happy to fly you YYC-HNL/OGG/KOA/LIH - you'll just need to connect in SEA. That is a primary role of hubs - aggregating traffic to make more destinations possible.

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by MIflyer12
Wed Nov 01, 2017 2:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: WestJet shifts 737 MAX 9 order to MAX 10
Replies: 49
Views: 6786

Re: WestJet shifts 737 MAX 9 order to MAX 10

Sooner787 wrote:
Makes you wonder if WN would ever consider the MAX 10? Like someone else noted,
the jump in capacity fron the 8 to 9 ian't that much, but the MAX 10 might interest WN?


There was a very recent thread on just that topic.

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by MIflyer12
Wed Nov 01, 2017 11:18 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumor: United close to acquire 30-40 used A319/A320
Replies: 91
Views: 21772

Re: Rumor: United close to acquire 30-40 used A319/A320

I does not have to be a all over smart strategy, but the aim in an USA corporation is next quarter and next year results. If the bet goes wrong, perhaps oil price up, the airlines sit on old, rather expensive to run, noisy and polluting frames. How is a 15-year old A319 inferior to a brand-new 319C...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Oct 31, 2017 5:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA orders additional E175s
Replies: 37
Views: 6096

Re: AA orders additional E175s

Interesting that AA chose to pause 175 deliveries for most of 2018 when they are nowhere near the large RJ scope limit (266 CR9+175 YE 2017, 40% of ~800 mainline narrowbody =320). I guess low fuel made E-140s profitable again for a while. Maybe that, or continued use of the E140s +145s was part of ...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Oct 31, 2017 10:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How much trouble is Alaska Air in?
Replies: 91
Views: 18589

Re: How much trouble is Alaska Air in?

IF all union proposals were denied... To me (as a former Union member) that means that the Union's position were in fairy tale land and not near reality. They should have gotten at least 40% if their proposals were based closer to reality. It may not be fair to the pilots... but, it's their union a...

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by MIflyer12
Mon Oct 30, 2017 7:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines to close St. Louis pilot base in September 2018
Replies: 48
Views: 7971

Re: American Airlines to close St. Louis pilot base in September 2018

This was only a matter of time once STL was dehubbed Given the seniority they had to have to hold a job at TWA's end-of-life, plus the ~17 years since AA bought the TWA assets, on average these remaining pilots must have pretty good seniority. They should be able to hold a line in any pilot base fr...

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by MIflyer12
Mon Oct 30, 2017 12:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing may consider restarting 767 pax model production
Replies: 695
Views: 100117

Re: Boeing may consider restarting 767 pax model production

It depends on if you talk about trip fuel burn or fuel burn per seat. Fuel burn per seat is about 20 % better on the 787. So financing is the only way the 767 can compete on any route with the 787-8. More acquisition cost than financing, really. How was that ever in doubt? It's the same manner in w...

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by MIflyer12
Mon Oct 30, 2017 12:18 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How is AS doing at DAL
Replies: 39
Views: 5664

Re: How is AS doing at DAL

The planes aren't empty. For what it's worth, flights from DAL to LGA are full today and mostly full tomorrow. Flights from DAL to SEA and PDX are full. No doubt there will be route adjustments as AS winds down VX. Frankly, AS is very good at dropping routes quickly that don't perform. The walkup f...

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by MIflyer12
Sun Oct 29, 2017 8:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Denver International Airport Expansion Plans
Replies: 72
Views: 11114

Re: Denver International Airport Expansion Plans

To put this another way, the airport design in for 60/40 connecting. So far, it has been 60/40 O&D. With this expansion, the airport could easily handle a total shift to 60/40 connecting (assuming the price per emplacement doesn't grow too badly) without breaking a sweat. Then, like ATL, it's o...

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by MIflyer12
Sun Oct 29, 2017 3:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 10/29/2007: 4O +LAX-BJX/PVR/SJD; AA +DCA-LIT/MGM/TLH, VPS/MYR to Daily; DL +JFK-BTV; KAI +KOA-OAK
Replies: 55
Views: 10330

Re: OAG Changes 10/29/2007: 4O +LAX-BJX/PVR/SJD; AA +DCA-LIT/MGM/TLH, VPS/MYR to Daily; DL +JFK-BTV; KAI +KOA-OAK

Remember when US/AA complained that the slot divestitures at DCA would force them to abandon all these smaller routes? Funny now how they’ve all come back. Because at the end of the day, they can jack up fares higher by minimizing capacity in big routes and the way to do that and utilize slots is t...

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by MIflyer12
Sun Oct 29, 2017 1:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Aloha! Hawaiian Airlines takes delivery of first A321neo
Replies: 90
Views: 16434

Re: Aloha! Hawaiian Airlines takes delivery of first A321neo

There has been talk in the past that HA could start flying between certain mainland cities, either tied into Island flying (e.g., KOA-SAN-ABQ, OGG-SJC-SLC) or perhaps more geared toward carrying some local O&D traffic. Mainland cities that HA doesn't feel have enough Hawaii traffic for a dedica...

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by MIflyer12
Sun Oct 29, 2017 12:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Has a Secret Weapon for Competing With the Airbus A321
Replies: 83
Views: 21810

Re: Boeing Has a Secret Weapon for Competing With the Airbus A321

I hate clickbait titles. It's not the OP's fault here - he just repeated the Motley Fool title. It's not Boeing's weapon. Boeing doesn't control it. It's a burden on Airbus placed by Airbus itself. If you criticize it, you're arguing Airbus doesn't know how to price & sell aircraft. Think of the...

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by MIflyer12
Sat Oct 28, 2017 5:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA and TLV
Replies: 31
Views: 5437

Re: AA and TLV

Problem was TLV-PHL wa sweight restricted on the 330 and always had to leave valuable cargo behind which hurt their profit margin. If this route was flown on a 787 it would have been a winner (they had a lot connections as well o&d the often drove up from NYC to take this flight) And yet planes...

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by MIflyer12
Sat Oct 28, 2017 2:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Shoots Down JetBlue's Request for Information in Air Canada Venture
Replies: 11
Views: 5456

Re: United Shoots Down JetBlue's Request for Information in Air Canada Venture

Do any U.S. carriers with significant ATI'd JV operations publicly report the kind of info that B6 was seeking? It seems B6 was going fishing. B6 isn't responsible for anti-trust enforcement in the U.S.

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by MIflyer12
Sat Oct 28, 2017 2:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why does UA use such varying types of aircraft on the same route?
Replies: 20
Views: 4317

Re: Why does UA use such varying types of aircraft on the same route?

The narrowbody fleet strategy at UA had been a bit unique. In 2009, UA retired all the 737-300s as domestic yields were low and they wanted to focus on international and utilize larger regional jets. That ended up with an awkward network with a shortage of narrowbodies and resulted in the majority ...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Oct 27, 2017 10:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Key takeaways from Southwest Airlines performance
Replies: 11
Views: 2365

Re: Key takeaways from Southwest Airlines performance

It’s very hard to argue with an airline that has been as successful as they have been. Everyone can have their own opinions on how they can be better, but they have a proven model that has worked for almost 50 years that very few can match. That 'It worked for decades - why change it?' mindset is g...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Oct 27, 2017 10:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 787-10 versus 777-8
Replies: 22
Views: 6457

Re: 787-10 versus 777-8

I don't see this discussed elsewhere-but the specs of the 787-10 seating 330 passengers versus the 777-8 seating 350 with ranges not that far apart seem to make the planes almost like a Buick and an Oldsmobile. I am sure I am missing something. Why would a buyer choose one over the other?. I realiz...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Oct 27, 2017 10:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Aloha! Hawaiian Airlines takes delivery of first A321neo
Replies: 90
Views: 16434

Re: Aloha! Hawaiian Airlines takes delivery of first A321neo

Mixed feelings about this - happy HA is getting a highly efficient new aircraft and the tweaked livery looks fantastic. Concerned that it may eventually mean they replace the A330 from SEA/HNL with the 321NEO. Even though I am an AS mileage plan member and could go non-stop SEA-LIH on AS, I always ...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Oct 27, 2017 10:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Denver International Airport Expansion Plans
Replies: 72
Views: 11114

Re: Denver International Airport Expansion Plans

Cmac787 wrote:
UA wants add 50 percent more capacity at DEN


Do you know UA's current DEN departures count vs. 5 or 10 years ago?

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by MIflyer12
Fri Oct 27, 2017 1:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Canada says increased demand could prompt more airplane orders (CBC)
Replies: 120
Views: 13180

Re: Air Canada says increased demand could prompt more airplane orders (CBC)

behramjee wrote:
ACs incremental orders should be for CS3s and B789s mainly as these are the best aircraft for them in the long run.


'Best' aircraft can't be known without consideration of utilization of other aircraft in the fleet, expected evolution of the route network, and acquisition and operating cost.

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by MIflyer12
Fri Oct 27, 2017 10:25 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA ORD Growth
Replies: 47
Views: 8273

Re: AA ORD Growth

Call me crazy, but I think that if BCN and VCE do well (which the former seems to be doing already), AA adding ORD-ATH would be a good possibility on a 788, as PHL-ATH does very well. ATH didn't even make the Top 40 list of airports as non-stop gateways to the U.S. in the 12 months ending 3/17. Loo...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Oct 26, 2017 8:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American up retrofit the A330-200s with Main Cabin Extra seats
Replies: 25
Views: 9882

Re: American up retrofit the A330-200s with Main Cabin Extra seats

So many die-hard L-AA fans love to complain about the L-US A321 fleet for the lack of power and what not, but yet fail to realize that the A321s have the most spacious Y cabins in the sky. JetBlue A320s have 34" pitch in regular coach. One will also find AVOD, power, and satellite wifi. Every ...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Oct 26, 2017 7:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AAL 3Q17 $624M Net Profit
Replies: 39
Views: 7455

Re: AAL 3Q17 $624M Net Profit

Well, as others have pointed out, AAL was a "smaller" airline than DAL this quarter in terms of revenue, given that DAL racked up about $180 million more in revenue. To be entirely fair, about $130 million of Delta's number was additional revenue attributable to the refinery, but they sti...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Oct 26, 2017 3:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Back Up Disaster Relief Airport
Replies: 9
Views: 1512

Re: Back Up Disaster Relief Airport

There are a lot of hurdles, but it seems like an opportunity worth exploring... I don't think many people with a good education in economics, finance, or industrial organization would share that opinion. Hundreds of $millions in assets sitting underutilized waiting for a very bad day at DFW/ATL/ORD...

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by MIflyer12
Wed Oct 25, 2017 3:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 3Q Results Beat Estimates; Raises Outlook
Replies: 5
Views: 911

Re: Boeing 3Q Results Beat Estimates; Raises Outlook

http://investors.boeing.com/investors/f ... fault.aspx
-->

cledaybuck wrote:
What about the information A.net is dying to know about deferred costs on the 787?


If Boeing changed the deferred cost outlook from its last update in a material fashion, the info will be in an SEC filing. http://investors.boeing.com/investors/f ... fault.aspx

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by MIflyer12
Tue Oct 24, 2017 6:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Announces Q3 2017 Earnings
Replies: 34
Views: 6242

Re: JetBlue Announces Q3 2017 Earnings

Both fll mint markets have become massive bloodbath now. There is a chance with this ongoing bloodbath, as will abandon one or both at some point down the line, which would again increase yield on them. How do you reconcile that assertion & prediction with B6 management's claim that FLL Mint ma...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Oct 24, 2017 3:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus seeks to cut repayments to government from controversial 'launch investment' for new jets
Replies: 101
Views: 7103

Re: Airbus seeks to cut repayments to government from controversial 'launch investment' for new jets

I agree with you that Airbus signed up to it, and I certainly wouldn't condone reneging on the deal, but I don't think they're shouting "unfair" and it seems okay to me to discuss terms when Airbus has clearly more than held up its end of the bargain. That is another form of the argument ...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Oct 24, 2017 2:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing may consider restarting 767 pax model production
Replies: 695
Views: 100117

Re: Boeing may consider restarting 767 pax model production

Sums up civil aviation design generally. Since Concorde, it's been going backwards. It's time to move away from a tube with two hairdryers chaps. Yeh, the last five decades have just brought less noise, lower pollution, lower costs per seat, and much, much greater safety. Total failure as an indust...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Oct 24, 2017 11:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL Moves to Reclaim $500m BOS Terminal
Replies: 94
Views: 14314

Re: DL Moves to Reclaim $500m BOS Terminal

I don't think Delta wants to be the "dominant carrier" at BOS, nor do I think anyone - including anyone at Delta - is under any illusion that such an endeavor would be financially rewarding, if even practically possible. BOS is a huge market and unlikely to ever be "dominated" b...

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by MIflyer12
Mon Oct 23, 2017 8:13 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Earning Our Wings: Becoming a Delta Flight Attendant
Replies: 7
Views: 1781

Re: Earning Our Wings: Becoming a Delta Flight Attendant

Where have I heard that slogan about “earning our wings......”? Oh yes, here it is. https://youtu.be/pMXUjo6ioVA Will Delduh be repurposing “whisper jet” also? I guess Delta should have checked the fossil records before initiating this campaign. Prospective hires are unlikely to be 65 years old wit...

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by MIflyer12
Mon Oct 23, 2017 3:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA 7M8 DFW-ANC
Replies: 42
Views: 8826

Re: AA 7M8 DFW-ANC

incitatus wrote:


Not quite sure any flight attendants will sign up for this flight.


Then junior FAs will have it assigned to them. That's the way it's worked for decades.

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by MIflyer12
Sat Oct 21, 2017 9:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing may consider restarting 767 pax model production
Replies: 695
Views: 100117

Re: Boeing may consider restarting 767 pax model production

IMO, the MOM is going to be a popular plane in the US, both domestically, TATL and some Latin America. I think you also raise a good point re: fuel; no matter what, the 767 won't be as efficient, even if "MAX'd" - that efficiency isn't as important to cargo carriers. The biggest problem w...

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by MIflyer12
Sat Oct 21, 2017 9:51 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: EAS: CEC picks Contour
Replies: 19
Views: 1513

Re: EAS: CEC picks Contour

The only airline that would make sense to interline would be WN. WN won't interline with ANYONE. That's the first thing I thought when I saw 'interlining' and 'OAK'. Nobody else is big enough at OAK even to bother with. I suppose SFO has too much congestion and cost for a new (and EAS) entrant but ...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Oct 20, 2017 5:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SCK Looking to Rename to San Francisco - Stockton
Replies: 23
Views: 2494

Re: SCK Looking to Rename to San Francisco - Stockton

It’s still Stockton no matter what you call it. What’s up with the San Joaquin Valley and their airport names? A few years ago we discussed Fresno-Yosemite airport and the fact that Yosemite Nat’l Park is not at all near FAT. You can’t make people want to visit your (miserable) city just by putting...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Oct 19, 2017 11:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Does SNA still see the 757?
Replies: 12
Views: 1544

Re: Does SNA still see the 757?

Narfish641 wrote:
I'm actually quite surpised Delta doesn't bring their A321 or 737-800/900ER over there.


If Delta can sell the extra 39 seats vs. a 738, take off performance is great.

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by MIflyer12
Thu Oct 19, 2017 11:01 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: jetBlue drops numerous OTA's
Replies: 9
Views: 2534

Re: jetBlue drops numerous OTA's

Has anyone even heard of these websites? I don't recognize any of them. As stated in the article, the amount of traffic generated was both immaterial and low-yielding, with a lower propensity to buy ancillaries. The example given about the 5PM flight on a Friday from JFK-FLL is especially intriguin...

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