Search found 4008 matches

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by MIflyer12
Thu Oct 18, 2018 12:23 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Nonstop to Italy from SFO
Replies: 33
Views: 4095

Re: Nonstop to Italy from SFO

SQ789 wrote:
There must be an airline to operate Italy-SFO nonstop in the future since AZ stopped. Which airline do you think will operating this route in the future?


Why must there be?

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by MIflyer12
Wed Oct 17, 2018 10:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Etihad to cancel a "significant amount" of A350 Order according to Aviation Analyst
Replies: 87
Views: 16446

Re: Etihad Cancel A350 Order

Please edit the title to reflect the partial nature of the cancellation. Sad but expected news. I predict it will be all the 900s. Next up the 77Xs. *edit* thanks Actually it looks like all of the A350's are going. Per the article they will probably keep their relationship (AKA the A321 neo) with s...

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by MIflyer12
Wed Oct 17, 2018 10:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Aeromexico axes MEX-BOS/PDX/IAD + MTY-LAS + GDL-SJC
Replies: 41
Views: 4790

Re: Aeromexico axes MEX-BOS/PDX/IAD + MTY-LAS + GDL-SJC

Well, they just took a loss in Q3 which should have been a strong one. Likely time to look at how the business is running, and prune the marginal flying. Has anybody done the math to figure how many frame-equivalents they won't be flying with these cuts? Parked planes don't make money. If they were...

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by MIflyer12
Wed Oct 17, 2018 6:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Etihad to cancel a "significant amount" of A350 Order according to Aviation Analyst
Replies: 87
Views: 16446

Re: Etihad to cancel a "significant amount" of A350 Order according to Aviation Analyst

gatibosgru wrote:
No real surprise there. Who will take those slots?


Sixty is a big order. If you want to believe Wikipedia (I know...) today's biggest operators of A350s are Qatar (32), CX (26) and SQ (23).

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by MIflyer12
Tue Oct 16, 2018 9:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of UA's Airbus Fleet
Replies: 42
Views: 7278

Re: Future of UA's Airbus Fleet

The life extension program and the sourcing of used aircraft are a stop-gap measure for UA as they decide what to do about that fleet. Given the Max fleet is targeted at the upper end of the narrow body capacity category, this could call for a 320 NEO type order, a 220-100 or 300 order or more maxe...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Oct 16, 2018 12:52 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: UA Threatens Customers with Collections for using Skipplagged/hidden city ticketing
Replies: 45
Views: 2641

Re: UA Threatens Individual Customers with Collections/Bad Credit RE: Skipplagging

United is going to come across somebody with the balls and money to take them to court. It's not obvious United could win - and then the entire U.S. industry is exposed to a practice they don't like. https://viewfromthewing.boardingarea.com/2015/07/15/harvard-professor-who-went-after-chinese-restaur...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Oct 16, 2018 12:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Data: scrap value of an A380
Replies: 27
Views: 6155

Re: Data: scrap value of an A380

One example is useful but not very statistically robust in setting a market value. Prospective lessors won't ignore this, though, nor will prospective purchasers, particularly those who don't routinely keep aircraft to end-of-life.

Any 77W resale values of the same vintage?

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by MIflyer12
Tue Oct 16, 2018 11:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United ends Hamburg for good
Replies: 65
Views: 11193

Re: United ends Hamburg for good

A Delta 757 would have the same range problems UA 757s did in winter. I don't think they'd be thrilled about blocking 20 seats through the winter, nor running a 763 through the winter. I think Delta would do just fine with the 767-300, but it would have to be yearround to attract business traveller...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Oct 16, 2018 10:55 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Interior pics of Delta's first A220-100
Replies: 84
Views: 19931

Re: Interior pics of Delta's first A220-100

Finally, a fit replacement for the MDs. A220s will more likely be subbing for CR9/E75s, which themselves will go into service on CR2 routes. Some of the first routes announced have heavy E75/CR9 rotations today. Actually, the A220-300 is an excellent MD-80 replacement. The A229-100 (rumor only the ...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Oct 16, 2018 10:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Kuwait Airways signs agreement to purchase 8 A330-800neo's
Replies: 84
Views: 12804

Re: Kuwait Airways signs agreement to purchase 8 A330-800neo's

Eight aircraft delivered over a 7-year period? This is only slightly less ridiculous than Amedeo's order for twenty A380s. Let me be the first to speculate here that Kuwait Airways will never take delivery of all eight 338s in this order. After struggling to secure airline lessees since making the o...

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by MIflyer12
Mon Oct 15, 2018 11:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United ends Hamburg for good
Replies: 65
Views: 11193

Re: United ends Hamburg for good

I think Delta should really think about returning to Hamburg. They are far better IMO and have a better reputation here. They can choose between ATL-HAM and JFK-HAM now without any direct competition on either Route, both have big potential and should easily work. Also, Continental Airlines showed ...

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by MIflyer12
Mon Oct 15, 2018 11:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UAX EWR route cuts: Which are next?
Replies: 17
Views: 2710

Re: UAX EWR route cuts: Which are next?

Maybe UA will wait a bit and see how fares fall xxx-IAD-YYY vs. xxx-EWR-YYY. They'll want to see decent $ from the Newark adds, too.

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by MIflyer12
Mon Oct 15, 2018 11:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Interior pics of Delta's first A220-100
Replies: 84
Views: 19931

Re: Interior pics of Delta's first A220-100

sccutler wrote:
Finally, a fit replacement for the MDs.


A220s will more likely be subbing for CR9/E75s, which themselves will go into service on CR2 routes. Some of the first routes announced have heavy E75/CR9 rotations today.

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by MIflyer12
Mon Oct 15, 2018 5:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of UA's Airbus Fleet
Replies: 42
Views: 7278

Re: Future of UA's Airbus Fleet

The life extension program and the sourcing of used aircraft are a stop-gap measure for UA as they decide what to do about that fleet. Given the Max fleet is targeted at the upper end of the narrow body capacity category, this could call for a 320 NEO type order, a 220-100 or 300 order or more maxe...

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by MIflyer12
Mon Oct 15, 2018 5:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL Capacity on JFK-DTW: Why so low?
Replies: 47
Views: 5940

Re: DL Capacity on JFK-DTW: Why so low?

A decade ago, you wouldn't have even seen 1x717 and 3xCR9 I am guessing. You would be correct. Make it a little less than a decade because fully ten years ago was pre-merger and NW's JFK domestic ops were pretty minimal. No other carrier is even serving DTW-JFK tomorrow so I question any assertion ...

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by MIflyer12
Mon Oct 15, 2018 4:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Management shake up at Alaska Air Group
Replies: 69
Views: 9503

Re: Management shake up at Alaska Air Group

In RPMs, still less than half the size of AA, DL or UA. (See the 2017 Annual Reports.) Still no meaningful South American network, and nothing TATL nor TPAC. No Mid-Con hub. Ask US Air how well the 'barbell' network worked after it bought PSA. Just to play Devil's Advocate, is a mid-con hub really ...

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by MIflyer12
Mon Oct 15, 2018 1:18 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 10/14/2018: HUGE UA Change, Numerous Routes Added and Dropped
Replies: 127
Views: 17914

Re: OAG Changes 10/14/2018: HUGE UA Change, Numerous Routes Added and Dropped

WN has both Hawaii and Everett (PAE) routes hanging over their corporate head, waiting on the FAA for approval. It's got to be driving the network planners nuts to want to save the planes for all these new routes once they get approved, versus getting them in service NOW and generating revenue for ...

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by MIflyer12
Sun Oct 14, 2018 6:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What is Deltas plan for CLT?
Replies: 68
Views: 7897

Re: What is Deltas plan for CLT?

duplicate

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by MIflyer12
Sun Oct 14, 2018 6:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What is Deltas plan for CLT?
Replies: 68
Views: 7897

Re: What is Deltas plan for CLT?

DL has always played 2nd in CLT since the beginning of time, first to EA, then PI/US/AA. For over 10 years up until EA dehubbed CLT in 1986, DL was third behind EA and PI. EA was the biggest until soon after PI started building their CLT hub in 1980. EDIT: Even after EA dehubbed CLT in 1986, DL sta...

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by MIflyer12
Sun Oct 14, 2018 6:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of OneWorld Carriers in Seattle/Portland Airports (2019 & Onwards)
Replies: 8
Views: 1519

Re: Future of OneWorld Carriers in Seattle/Portland Airports (2019 & Onwards)

What kind of coverage will we get from Oneworld carriers in the future in the PNW? Will AS further expand cooperation with this alliance which I personally think is inevitable? 2019 will surely be an interesting year in that region! It isn't. Alaska had partnerships with Delta, Aeromexico, Air Fran...

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by MIflyer12
Sun Oct 14, 2018 11:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Can a US3 lease gates only to sublease to LCCs, barring hubs?
Replies: 3
Views: 1018

Re: Can a US3 lease gates only to sublease to LCCs, barring hubs?

conditioned on no nonstop flights from the leased gates to the sublessor's hubs? That's obviously anti-competitive, if only for traffic to the hubs. U.S. airports receiving Federal funds (virtually all of them with scheduled passenger service) have an obligation to provide reasonable access to all ...

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by MIflyer12
Sat Oct 13, 2018 3:22 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: AC Rouge Future Fleet
Replies: 8
Views: 1088

Re: AC Rouge Future Fleet

And what about taking used 777-200ER/LRs? Have they thought of that? That would work if they want a 9-abreast seating in Y-Cabin. 3-3-3 or 2-5-2 either way. They could do for example YUL-IST, YUL-NCE which the 767 currently does, YUL-ATH or YUL-TLV with those, for example. That would work, especial...

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by MIflyer12
Sat Oct 13, 2018 2:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Management shake up at Alaska Air Group
Replies: 69
Views: 9503

Re: Management shake up at Alaska Air Group

In RPMs, still less than half the size of AA, DL or UA. (See the 2017 Annual Reports.) Still no meaningful South American network, and nothing TATL nor TPAC. No Mid-Con hub. Ask US Air how well the 'barbell' network worked after it bought PSA.

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by MIflyer12
Sat Oct 13, 2018 1:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hurricane Leslie closes FNC airport
Replies: 2
Views: 934

Re: Leslie closes FNC airport

'According to forecasts by the Portuguese Institute of the Sea and the Atmosphere (IPMA), the islands of Madeira and Porto Santo will feel, as of Saturday, the effects of the passage of Hurricane Leslie in the archipelago.'

Per Google Translate

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by MIflyer12
Fri Oct 12, 2018 10:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Management shake up at Alaska Air Group
Replies: 69
Views: 9503

Re: Management shake up at Alaska Air Group

This seems long overdue, and I would hope that AA is next given how bloated their organization has become. Below is a very quick and dirty Wikipedia analysis that I know can be easily skewed by contractors, but it's a decent bellwether view nonetheless in my mind: https://i.imgur.com/YcrordA.jpg Ye...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Oct 12, 2018 6:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta’s new A220 narrowbody coming on sale for January debut
Replies: 98
Views: 14546

Re: Delta’s new A220 narrowbody coming on sale for January debut

Can you point to any definitive, firm announcement of any CR2 exit from the Delta Connection fleet in 2019? I ask because to my knowledge, such an announcement has never been made The CR2s aren't leaving the Delta Connection fleet yet, but the total number in the fleet will decline. I understand th...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Oct 12, 2018 4:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Management shake up at Alaska Air Group
Replies: 69
Views: 9503

Re: Management shake up at Alaska Air Group

PlanesNTrains wrote:
Do you try to be more of a broader "California" airline? It's a tough hill to climb when you have WN so entrenched and UA dominant in SFO.


Yeh, but those were known, long-established factors before AS wrote the check for $2.6 Billion.

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by MIflyer12
Fri Oct 12, 2018 4:48 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: I love dogs, but...
Replies: 8
Views: 978

Re: I love dogs, but...

If it's an emotional support animal or service animal it can be out (leashed for the ESA). If it's a cabin pet it needs to stay in a kennel. Where's the ambiguity? Service animals or emotional support animals must not: Occupy a seat or sit on a tray table at any time. Are you complaining that the FA...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Oct 12, 2018 4:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta’s new A220 narrowbody coming on sale for January debut
Replies: 98
Views: 14546

Re: Delta’s new A220 narrowbody coming on sale for January debut

Given what people have said about Deltas goals in AUS, I am surprised to see DFW and IAH and no AUS. SLC-AUS sees alot of business traffic from tech companies. Look at Delta's capacity LGA/DTW/MSP/SLC-DFW vs. what they have into AUS. Look at competitors' numbers. Put the new plane where the passeng...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Oct 12, 2018 4:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Transat not interested in NMA, thinks A321XLR by 2023, Bloomberg
Replies: 65
Views: 9443

Re: Air Transat not interested in NMA, thinks A321XLR by 2023, Bloomberg

It's a small carrier - just 36 active aircraft - that already has new 321s in the fleet, as well as 330s. Why the hell would anyone expect them to be interested in 797s? Why would Boeing even care? They need a launch customer buying 100, and with demonstrated technical prowess. This is like saying s...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Oct 12, 2018 2:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Management shake up at Alaska Air Group
Replies: 69
Views: 9503

Re: Management shake up at Alaska Air Group

Odd that this is described as a management shake-up. It looks like simple headcount reduction not a commitment to new people in senior roles.

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by MIflyer12
Fri Oct 12, 2018 12:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LH closing SJC
Replies: 116
Views: 17412

Re: LH closing SJC

Carriers may be adding flights, but other airlines are dropping flights to the Bay Area at the same time. EY left SFO, CA left SJC, LH is leaving SJC, BA left OAK, QR announced service and still hasn't started it. I'm sure I'm forgetting more. ...just like they do everywhere else Bay Area has had m...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Oct 12, 2018 12:55 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Discussion Thread - 2018
Replies: 3226
Views: 380390

Re: TUI wants the 797

zkojq wrote:
Don't forget the mythical customers willing to pay $75-80 million for it!


What are customers willing to pay for 321LRs or Max 10s? The 797 should get a clear premium to those prices.

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by MIflyer12
Thu Oct 11, 2018 11:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Air Lines Announces 2018 September Quarter Profit
Replies: 53
Views: 8867

Re: Delta Air Lines Announces 2018 September Quarter Profit

Delta has it figured out. Even if fuel soars again, i see them being the next Southwest. The way southwest was continuing to make money when everyone else was filing for bankruptcy and struggling. The airline that will continue to thrive. Southwest had fuel hedges. Delta doesn't. Jet A has been ris...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Oct 11, 2018 10:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Majors flying into another Major’s HUB?
Replies: 46
Views: 7831

Re: Majors flying into another Major’s HUB?

I didn’t want to add AA to my itinerary either. So, I couldn’t help but to think of the massive UA FF base in DEN, and the size of Miami as a city not working with at least a 73G or E-175. But, clearly UA does not see it that way! AA has only two DEN-MIA on 10/12/18, and those are for Caribbean con...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Oct 11, 2018 1:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of Southeast Asia to N. America flights
Replies: 49
Views: 6830

Re: Future of Southeast Asia to N. America flights

How many of those Americans headed to Thailand (and I have been among them) are willing to pay a premium for non-stops vs. connecting in NRT or ICN? The only plausible non-stops are LAX/SFO-BKK. Look at all the U.S. origins KE/DL can already do 1-stop xxx-ICN-BKK.

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by MIflyer12
Thu Oct 11, 2018 12:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A few Delta fleet questions.
Replies: 135
Views: 12073

Re: A few Delta fleet questions.

How can you call the A330 a 767 replacement? It is quite the upguage in range and capacity. Delta can't even reliably fill some of their 767's year-round. How do think adding another 30-50 seats will help that situation? They bought 25 339s, not 58 to replace the entire fleet of 767-300ERs. Demand ...

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by MIflyer12
Wed Oct 10, 2018 10:52 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: US Pre-clearance in LHR?
Replies: 44
Views: 6819

Re: US Pre-clearance in LHR?

Heathrow is just too big and too complicated to have every flight to the USA pre-cleared. You can argue it's a facilities issue. It's not a manpower issue. YYZ is the #2 foreign gateway and had 12.5 million non-stop passengers to the U.S. LHR had 14.6 million for the 12 months ended Sept. '17. CUN ...

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by MIflyer12
Wed Oct 10, 2018 10:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Network Thread 2018
Replies: 679
Views: 60599

Re: JetBlue Network Thread 2018

To make Dtw/pit/bwi from Fll work, and I been saying this for years, is that they need more freq to better compete, but they are too cheap to buy more airplanes and keep deferring them. I guess when the A220 comes online they will be back. That I will bet my house on. Why? FLL is a leisure destinat...

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by MIflyer12
Wed Oct 10, 2018 5:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why No ULCC at YOW?
Replies: 6
Views: 611

Re: Why No ULCC at YOW?

High operating costs and the unlikely ability to command yields to offset. Same reason you don’t see LCC/ULCC from the US operating into Canada. The costs are high. Are costs notably higher at YOW than YUL, YYZ or YYC? If not, it's not likely an airport cost issue. OP ought to look at traffic numbe...

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by MIflyer12
Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Possibility of Allegiant in Alaska?
Replies: 16
Views: 1422

Re: Possibility of Allegiant in Alaska?

LAS-ANC isn't a route with competition and it should have decent year-round demand, plus big summer demand. FAI just doesn't have the pull of ANC. BLI as an origin is a non-starter -- Alaska covers all of the SEA-area demand and a lot of connections.

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by MIflyer12
Tue Oct 09, 2018 5:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Las Vegas as a hub for current US majors
Replies: 92
Views: 8672

Re: Las Vegas as a hub for current US majors

America West, before being acquired by US Airways, maintained a hub at LAS. Not sure where your info is coming from. America West had a hub in LAS before it recognized the stupidity of having two hubs so close (PHX). LAS gets more domestic O&D than ORD or DEN. It's a great base for an O&D c...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Oct 05, 2018 8:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JFK Rebuild - What's Delta Getting?
Replies: 51
Views: 9852

Re: JFK Rebuild - What's Delta Getting?

The T1 rebuild with AF mentioned a connector to T4. It mentioned a teardown of T2. Both of those are good things for Delta. If Delta wants to announce new plans for the extension of T4 or to build out the space of vacated T2, let them negotiate it.

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by MIflyer12
Thu Oct 04, 2018 7:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Zurich increases slots; LX opposes move
Replies: 19
Views: 5000

Re: Zurich increases slots; LX opposes move

How does the number of movements per hour 0545-700 and 2100-2200 compare to the peak hour of the day? There's your answer wrt limiting competition.

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by MIflyer12
Thu Oct 04, 2018 4:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Congress working on a bill that would force FAA to mandate minimum seat size
Replies: 138
Views: 10572

Re: US Congress working on a bill that would force FAA to mandate minimum seat size

Congresspeople from the following cities will kill this bill: Atlanta, New York, Newark, San Francisco, Los Angeles, Houston, Dallas, Denver, Chicago, Boston, and any other city with a hub... Its already passed, too late. https://www.washingtonpost.com/transportation/2018/10/03/senate-gives-final-a...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Oct 04, 2018 4:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: $10 Billion JFK Airport Renovation
Replies: 121
Views: 17162

Re: B6 selected to rebuilt T6/T7 at JFK

"knock knock AA, got room on the couch in Terminal 8?" Im aware of that but my point is that BA has already announced plans for T7 and to my knowledge has not announced any plans to move into T8 with AA. Cuomo sees it a bit differently than how the airlines want it, he just wants a more s...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Oct 04, 2018 4:35 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: How do airlines chose what routes to open and close?
Replies: 24
Views: 1815

Re: How do airlines chose what routes to open and close?

I think they look at their network (feeding a new route) and the numbers of passengers between the two cities, competition and the yield. And of course they need a spare plane to operate a route. KLM just killed two African routes in favor of starting Las Vagas. Yield is a tricky thing of course. T...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Oct 04, 2018 1:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL Upgauging SEA-NRT, LAX-HND to 359 in 2019
Replies: 62
Views: 7917

Re: DL Upgauging SEA-NRT, LAX-HND to 359 in 2019

Brand concistency is a priority at Delta. They could have easily opted out of the 744 nose to tail refresh under the logic that they would be gone in a few years ( ala UA or AA with their 763). That, however, wouldn't have meant a thing to the hundreds of thousands of customers flying around on tha...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Oct 04, 2018 1:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AS Subsidiary Will Perform Ground Handling for All Airlines at PAE
Replies: 74
Views: 5784

Re: AS Subsidiary Will Perform Ground Handling for All Airlines at PAE

Below wing exclusive contracts exist all over the U.S. I am aware of terminals at LAX, JFK, LAS and MIA that have such arrangements. Airlines can self-handle above wing, but below must utilize an approved vendor(s) that hold concession. Yes it is common for there to be one handler and yes it is com...

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