Search found 5422 matches

by mjoelnir
Sun Jul 23, 2017 3:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: British Airspace Full?
Replies: 29
Views: 4607

Re: British Airspace Full?

The UK is nowhere near as busy as the northeast USA for commercial traffic. New York approach alone handles 8-9,000 flights a day. Would be interesting what airports take that traffic, JFK, EWR and LGA account together for about 3,500 daily movements. On June 30, N90 handled 4891 itinerant airplane...

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by mjoelnir
Sun Jul 23, 2017 1:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough
Replies: 212
Views: 17140

Re: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough

STOP! The accounting block or quantity is the number of airplanes deferred costs are spread over, not the number of airplanes required to break even. The initial quantity may be the closest representation of break even but extending the block does not mean the program is becoming less profitable. Q...

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by mjoelnir
Sun Jul 23, 2017 12:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough
Replies: 212
Views: 17140

Re: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough

(But yes, I'm aware everything with you is a vast conspiracy and everyone in the US is plotting on hurting Airbus and helping Boeing at every single turn. It's all us Americans are thinking about, A vs B consumes our lives). You brought up A v. B, where was Airbus mentioned in this thread? Apart fr...

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by mjoelnir
Sun Jul 23, 2017 8:38 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: EasyJet bumps unaccompanied minor
Replies: 51
Views: 4319

Re: EasyJet bumps unaccompanied minor

Regulators should take harder on overbookings. At EasyJet a no show loses his/her ticket, no compensation, so the seat goes empty, but paid for. Why is it an acceptable greed to sell this paid for seat again? Make it expensive enough for the airline that they will avoid overbookings from happening, ...

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by mjoelnir
Sun Jul 23, 2017 8:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: EasyJet bumps unaccompanied minor
Replies: 51
Views: 4319

Re: EasyJet bumps unaccompanied minor

The usual crowed defending an airline. According how EasyJet operates, at least how it is advertised, overbookings should not happen, in the worst case the seat goes empty, but is paid for. So it should not have been a question who gets deplaned. EasyJet has to pay compensation. I hope they have to ...

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by mjoelnir
Sun Jul 23, 2017 8:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Legacy carriers: one vs two LCCs
Replies: 3
Views: 748

Re: Legacy carriers: one vs two LCCs

The reason that LH set up Eurowings, was to escape union contracts. Germanwings operates under the same union contracts as LH itself.

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by mjoelnir
Sun Jul 23, 2017 7:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough
Replies: 212
Views: 17140

Re: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough

I truly am mystified by all the people who think there is an issue with Program Accounting and "block" size,and apparently have no idea how it works (thus they see problems where there are none). I expect a fair bit of it comes from the media, whom generally and incorrectly represent the ...

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by mjoelnir
Sat Jul 22, 2017 3:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough
Replies: 212
Views: 17140

Re: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough

Ok now you might feel attacked because you are straying from the facts. First off you can't spend cash twice. Second, it is an exaggeration that production costs and shareholder payments are being covered with debt. Boeing has increased its debt to about 10 Billion, but has also been earning health...

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by mjoelnir
Sat Jul 22, 2017 1:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough
Replies: 212
Views: 17140

Re: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough

Yes, the whole point is to cover what everyone knows is a loss, the fact that the first planes are deeply loss-making. My later post gives Boeing's spin on it, that the accounting block is not to cover the loss of production of the N frames, it is just to spread the costs across the N frames for wh...

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by mjoelnir
Sat Jul 22, 2017 12:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330 NEO Production And Delivery Thread Part 1
Replies: 425
Views: 112347

Re: A330 NEO Production And Delivery Thread Part 1

LoganTheBogan wrote:
Why do they build customer frames before the actual in air flight testing starts? What if something is discovered that needs a redesign? Either way, it looks absolutely stunning!


Everybody does. I assume Airbus expect only minor changes after testing and certification.

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by mjoelnir
Sat Jul 22, 2017 11:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough
Replies: 212
Views: 17140

Re: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough

By repeatedly increasing the block size rather than creating a new block once this block is finished you are just admitting up front there is a loss. Yes, the whole point is to cover what everyone knows is a loss, the fact that the first planes are deeply loss-making. My later post gives Boeing's s...

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by mjoelnir
Sat Jul 22, 2017 11:39 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough
Replies: 212
Views: 17140

Re: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough

Fact: Boeing has to book this 30 billion USD one day , booking it will reduce Boeing's profits at that time, all the same if it is booked in small slices and reducing future profits on the 787 or in big chunks as forward losses or wright offs. You seem to be projecting an image of everyone waking u...

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by mjoelnir
Sat Jul 22, 2017 11:35 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leeham: LH shows indications to reduce 779 order
Replies: 124
Views: 17965

Re: Leeham: LH shows indications to reduce 779 order

Another point, according to Boeing fan boys an MOU is an order regarding a 737-10, how is than a MOU for 34 777-9 and firming only 20, not a cancellation of 14 orders?

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by mjoelnir
Sat Jul 22, 2017 11:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leeham: LH shows indications to reduce 779 order
Replies: 124
Views: 17965

Re: Leeham: LH shows indications to reduce 779 order

We have another thread that asks if the A350 is dead in North America. Indication are rumours that AA, UA will cancel all A350 orders and Delta some of them, based on all three airlines have deferred all or some deliveries. Here we have the clear statement of the LH CEO, about having ordered to many...

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by mjoelnir
Sat Jul 22, 2017 10:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough
Replies: 212
Views: 17140

Re: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough

Some simple facts that seemed to get drowned in the displeasure of Boeing fan boys at there company being "attacked". Facts unfavourable to Boeing seem to constitute an attack. Fact: all the produced and sold up to now 787, have cost Boeing 30 billion USD more to produce than the revenue o...

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by mjoelnir
Sat Jul 22, 2017 12:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough
Replies: 212
Views: 17140

Re: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough

Three things we will never persuade everyone on this site: Boeing pretty well paid for all of its R and D, and production costs for the 787 out of it current cash flow. Program accounting is or was a standard way of accounting, especially for those things whose R and D all occurs before first sales...

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by mjoelnir
Fri Jul 21, 2017 11:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: British Airspace Full?
Replies: 29
Views: 4607

Re: British Airspace Full?

Varsity1 wrote:
The UK is nowhere near as busy as the northeast USA for commercial traffic. New York approach alone handles 8-9,000 flights a day.


Would be interesting what airports take that traffic, JFK, EWR and LGA account together for about 3,500 daily movements.

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by mjoelnir
Fri Jul 21, 2017 10:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough
Replies: 212
Views: 17140

Re: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough

It seems to me that Boeing know that their accounting block is totally unrealistic, and that they should take a write-off, but they are waiting as long as they possibly can so as to maximise the benefits they are enjoying from the tax breaks that they currently get. If that could be proven Boeing m...

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by mjoelnir
Fri Jul 21, 2017 9:19 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: British Airspace Full?
Replies: 29
Views: 4607

Re: British Airspace Full?

The UK is nowhere near as busy as the northeast USA for commercial traffic. New York approach alone handles 8-9,000 flights a day. Are you sure? When I add JFK, EWR and LGA yearly movements and divide by 360 I get inside of 3,500 movements a day. There is the London area, with LHR, LGW, STN, LTN, L...

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by mjoelnir
Fri Jul 21, 2017 8:47 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough
Replies: 212
Views: 17140

Re: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough

It seems to me that Boeing know that their accounting block is totally unrealistic, and that they should take a write-off, but they are waiting as long as they possibly can so as to maximise the benefits they are enjoying from the tax breaks that they currently get. If that could be proven Boeing m...

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by mjoelnir
Fri Jul 21, 2017 8:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus And Boeing 2017 Orders
Replies: 255
Views: 63595

Re: Airbus And Boeing 2017 Orders

It's future is cargo which is what it was originally intended for. The real question is if there is enough 400F and 400BCFs aging out to maintain a production line. Promoting a myth, the main sales were supposed too be the 747-8i. Without wanting to indulge the usual suspects in their A vs B urinat...

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by mjoelnir
Fri Jul 21, 2017 7:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus And Boeing 2017 Orders
Replies: 255
Views: 63595

Re: Airbus And Boeing 2017 Orders

Probably the remainder of Transaero's order. B748 is officially futureless now. It's future is cargo which is what it was originally intended for. The real question is if there is enough 400F and 400BCFs aging out to maintain a production line. Promoting a myth, the main sales were supposed too be ...

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by mjoelnir
Fri Jul 21, 2017 7:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough
Replies: 212
Views: 17140

Re: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough

Another point that most people seem to ignore. Boeing uses Program Accounting and Accounting Blocks for all their commercial aircraft. The 737, 767, 777, and 747 also have accounting blocks; and in most cases the overall block size changed during the life of the program. So, from an accounting prin...

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by mjoelnir
Thu Jul 20, 2017 1:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: family & B6 feud over removal
Replies: 41
Views: 3843

Re: family & B6 feud over removal

A one year old child kicking a seat grows to a problem where a family gets thrown of an airplane. Simple, people in the USA are crazy, all of the involved.

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by mjoelnir
Thu Jul 20, 2017 12:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: easyJet pick Austria for the new AOC
Replies: 101
Views: 10149

Re: easyJet pick Austria for the new AOC

The Scots? Don't blame then either but they ONLY think of themselves. There is no UK in their eyes (I'm talking about Sturgeon and her like) and so giving them an inch was a huge mistake. The UK did what several European nations were considering. Now we are seeing short and mid term pain with no gu...

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by mjoelnir
Thu Jul 20, 2017 12:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus is examining 'A380-Plus'
Replies: 901
Views: 142122

Re: Airbus is examining 'A380-Plus'

How much would some A380plus cost? Is there any possible list price available please? Must be higher than some current one as it has more seats, range and MTOW. It does not have to be more expensive. More seats is due to rearrangement of the interior. The wing changes does not have to make the wing...

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by mjoelnir
Thu Jul 20, 2017 11:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta moves seat of Ann Coulter
Replies: 317
Views: 27475

Re: Delta moves seat of Ann Coulter

Agreed! but the time to raise the issue was ALSO at the gate, where someone knowledgeable can help. Ann is no dummy. She knows this. (But then how would she post the photo of the seat thief!) Woah, wait a minute here. I assume you know full well that it's highly unlikely a passenger will notice any...

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by mjoelnir
Thu Jul 20, 2017 12:35 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What is next for KEF?
Replies: 38
Views: 3444

Re: What is next for KEF?

There has been a slow done in growth of tourism this year. A slow down, but still growing.. The growth is now mainly off season. Banks have slowed lending for new hotel projects. Regarding KEF, transfer pax numbers have been growing faster than O&D.

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by mjoelnir
Wed Jul 19, 2017 11:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What is next for KEF?
Replies: 38
Views: 3444

Re: What is next for KEF?

JetBuddy wrote:
The growth in KEF is fascinating and mind boggling. What's the percentage of transfer pax in KEF?


about a third as it is

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by mjoelnir
Wed Jul 19, 2017 10:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta moves seat of Ann Coulter
Replies: 317
Views: 27475

Re: Delta moves seat of Ann Coulter

You did not show anything, you just keep repeating your mantra. I've led the horse to water. I cannot force the horse to drink. The rule 240, you posted, refers to flight delays and cancellations, what that has to do with changing a seat assignment when there is neither a delay nor a cancellation, ...

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by mjoelnir
Wed Jul 19, 2017 3:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta moves seat of Ann Coulter
Replies: 317
Views: 27475

Re: Delta moves seat of Ann Coulter

I've challenged you multiple times to point to the law that says you are correct. It's still your move, mjoelnir. You book a flight, you pay a fee for choosing the seat and get that confirmed. Nowhere in the CoC of Delta you can show me where Delta has the right to change the paid for seat assignme...

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by mjoelnir
Wed Jul 19, 2017 2:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska CEO on Airbus
Replies: 156
Views: 24827

Re: Alaska CEO on Airbus

It would not be strange if AS would not order one additional A320 family aircraft and it is in the interest of a mid sized airline to simplify it´s fleet. But that does not mean that AS will not take the already ordered A320 family frames if that is financial better than cancelling them, especially ...

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by mjoelnir
Wed Jul 19, 2017 2:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 797/MOM Discussion Thread
Replies: 528
Views: 63513

Re: 797/MOM Discussion Thread

The biggest issue was Boeing/GS Yuasa was using Li-ion batteries without fully understanding all the risks and how to mitigate them, and not being conservative like Airbus/Saft and the A350 (which has more batteries than the 787 but at lower energies across more cells within a battery). Similar bat...

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by mjoelnir
Wed Jul 19, 2017 2:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why Is the A321 so popular with US carriers?
Replies: 53
Views: 11297

Re: Why Is the A321 so popular with US carriers?

Pretty much everything said above is spot on. The biggest factor, that has been mentioned but somewhat overlooked, is that the capability of the CEO versus the original A321 are significantly improved allowing greater mission flexibility. The original 321 had trouble in hot and high performance and...

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by mjoelnir
Wed Jul 19, 2017 1:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta moves seat of Ann Coulter
Replies: 317
Views: 27475

Re: Delta moves seat of Ann Coulter

Maybe you think so... but legally, you are wrong. Could you point out the court case were a judge made that decision? As you talk about somebody being legally wrong. I've challenged you multiple times to point to the law that says you are correct. It's still your move, mjoelnir. You book a flight, ...

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by mjoelnir
Wed Jul 19, 2017 11:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA accelerates 747-400 retirement
Replies: 208
Views: 41102

Re: UA accelerates 747-400 retirement

I know it's time, I just don't want to see the Queen of the Skies go. Unfortunately I have yet to fly on one but hopefully even if I can't catch a 744 I can hitch a ride on a Lufthansa/Korean Air 748. So what do you expect UA and DL to do? Its one thing not to want them to go, but quite another to ...

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by mjoelnir
Wed Jul 19, 2017 11:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta moves seat of Ann Coulter
Replies: 317
Views: 27475

Re: Delta moves seat of Ann Coulter

Maybe you think so... but legally, you are wrong. Could you point out the court case were a judge made that decision? As you talk about somebody being legally wrong. If you can't grasp the concept of Contract Law, perhaps we should explain it simply: Do you understand that, when a passenger purchas...

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by mjoelnir
Wed Jul 19, 2017 8:19 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta moves seat of Ann Coulter
Replies: 317
Views: 27475

Re: Delta moves seat of Ann Coulter

Not exactly; you pay for a seat in a particular section of the aircraft. And I still don't understand why people are so anal-retentive about seats... Nope, you pay for a specific seat in a great many cases. . Maybe you think so... but legally, you are wrong. Could you point out the court case were ...

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by mjoelnir
Tue Jul 18, 2017 9:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta moves seat of Ann Coulter
Replies: 317
Views: 27475

Re: Delta moves seat of Ann Coulter

They defrauded her, they admitted it and payed her the 30 USD back. If the airline offer the possibility of choosing a seat for a fee, a similar seat is NOT what they offered and got payed for. DEFRAUDED?! You're exaggerating almost as much as Coulter here. I'm not sure you realize it, but they ref...

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by mjoelnir
Tue Jul 18, 2017 9:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A350 Dead In North America?
Replies: 69
Views: 20068

Re: A350 Dead In North America?

Delta is taking its A350 and is not buying 777-300EER, they have cancelled the 787 and ordered A330neo. The deferral of some A350 have not been followed by orders of other frames.
Regarding UA and AA time will tell.

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by mjoelnir
Tue Jul 18, 2017 6:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta moves seat of Ann Coulter
Replies: 317
Views: 27475

Re: Delta moves seat of Ann Coulter

I agree with those who say you can't divorce the person from the event. I don't care where you lean politically. I don't care if you're left, right, or sideways, if you're a professional provocateur, then people are going to question your motives. Ms. Coulter is such a person, and her decision to, ...

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by mjoelnir
Tue Jul 18, 2017 4:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta moves seat of Ann Coulter
Replies: 317
Views: 27475

Re: Delta moves seat of Ann Coulter

You paid for being able to choose a certain seat. Not a class or a particular section. And I am anal retentive when somebody tries to swindle you out of your money, with offering something, letting you pay and than wriggles out of providing it. And it makes no difference if it is 5 $ or 1,000. Can ...

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by mjoelnir
Tue Jul 18, 2017 4:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why Is the A321 so popular with US carriers?
Replies: 53
Views: 11297

Re: Why Is the A321 so popular with US carriers?

Super80Fan wrote:
I could be wrong, but didn't Airbus tweak the A321 so it can complete transcon flights instead of sending the A320?


The A321-200 with 2 ACT since 1996. Range increased again with sharklets.

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by mjoelnir
Tue Jul 18, 2017 3:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How many A330NEO will DL convert to A359
Replies: 149
Views: 19231

Re: How many A330NEO will DL convert to A359

Because the data set link I provided had the 787-9 set at either 291 seats or 304 seats and the A359 at 315 seats over a range of missions. Geez people....just look at the data. There are no hidden motives. Of course you have hidden motives as a Boeing fan boy. 315 pax in a A350-900 are defined as ...

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by mjoelnir
Tue Jul 18, 2017 3:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How many A330NEO will DL convert to A359
Replies: 149
Views: 19231

Re: How many A330NEO will DL convert to A359

If you need a plane with slightly fewer seats but better fuel burn buy the 787-9. I hope everyone can understand this. It seems very simple to me. That's the thing, your term :" better fuel burn" confused some of us here. No one doubts that 789 burns less fuel per trip as it's pretty clea...

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by mjoelnir
Tue Jul 18, 2017 2:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why Is the A321 so popular with US carriers?
Replies: 53
Views: 11297

Re: Why Is the A321 so popular with US carriers?

Mjoelnir, the US airlines upgauged 50 seat regional jets to 66 and then 76 seat regional jets. The mainline airlines who ordered those 76 seat Embraer 175s are also the ones that have shifted from 737-800s to 737-900ERs as well as A321s. Every segment of the domestic US market has seen upgauging. R...

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by mjoelnir
Tue Jul 18, 2017 2:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta moves seat of Ann Coulter
Replies: 317
Views: 27475

Re: Delta moves seat of Ann Coulter

People can hammer as much as they want to on the airlines right to change your seat assignment. If the airline lets you pay for your seat assignment that right is gone. You paid for this one seat. If the airline still wants to move you, they should at least pay you immediately back what you paid fo...

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by mjoelnir
Tue Jul 18, 2017 1:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why Is the A321 so popular with US carriers?
Replies: 53
Views: 11297

Re: Why Is the A321 so popular with US carriers?

I don't want to be provoked into an A vs B war, so I will say look at Embraer 175 vs 170 sales ratio for US carriers in the last 5 years to see a similar shift towards the higher capacity derivative. If we look at Embraer E-Jet family, there are the smaller frames the 170 and 175, and the larger fr...

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by mjoelnir
Tue Jul 18, 2017 11:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta moves seat of Ann Coulter
Replies: 317
Views: 27475

Re: Delta moves seat of Ann Coulter

People can hammer as much as they want to on the airlines right to change your seat assignment. If the airline lets you pay for your seat assignment that right is gone. You paid for this one seat. If the airline still wants to move you, they should at least pay you immediately back what you paid for...

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by mjoelnir
Tue Jul 18, 2017 11:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Who still flies the DHC-Dash-7?
Replies: 24
Views: 2858

Re: Who still flies the DHC-Dash-7?

The DHC-7 is expensive to operate. The Dash 8-200 is smaller, but as capable on a short field, the Dash 8-300 same size and nearly as capable as the DHC-7 on a short field. Both are not as expensive to operate.

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