Search found 6475 matches

by mjoelnir
Sat Feb 24, 2018 12:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330-800 out, B787-9 in at Hawaiian? -Leeham
Replies: 386
Views: 43699

Re: A330-800 out, B787-9 in at Hawaiian? -Leeham

Because if they do not pay down the deferred costs within the block they will have to take a loss. That is something on a successful project they are desperate not to do. It is face saving. limited returns. low ball sales for more overall sales to extend the accounting block. stretches consumation ...

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by mjoelnir
Fri Feb 23, 2018 11:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest sued for removing Arabic speaking passenger
Replies: 55
Views: 5354

Re: Southwest sued for removing Arabic speaking passenger

I read another article on this which mentions that it was another passenger that alerted the flight crew that he spoke Arabic and noticed some concerning language the man was using. If that’s the case, that completely changes the story in my view. I wouldn’t blame the WN crew for at least reporting...

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by mjoelnir
Fri Feb 23, 2018 5:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330-800 out, B787-9 in at Hawaiian? -Leeham
Replies: 386
Views: 43699

Re: A330-800 out, B787-9 in at Hawaiian? -Leeham

So at $750 million for 30 ish 787s... That is $25 million in cash flow profit approximately per airframe. Or the 787 program could pay off 100% of Boeing's external debt in about 14 quarters before taxes or within my estimate of the 787 production run after taxes. Lightsaber Where do you get 750 mi...

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by mjoelnir
Fri Feb 23, 2018 5:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: EK warns the US against Open Skies renegotiation, threatens 777X order
Replies: 79
Views: 10281

Re: EK warns the US against Open Skies renegotiation, threatens 777X order

Where would they even get a replacement for all of their 777s in a timely manner if they did cancel their order? They'd pay huge penalties to boeing, and then You're stuck not having a replacement to deliver as fast as you'd need, and then on top of all That, Airbus can now charge an exorbitant amo...

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by mjoelnir
Fri Feb 23, 2018 5:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: EK warns the US against Open Skies renegotiation, threatens 777X order
Replies: 79
Views: 10281

Re: EK warns the US against Open Skies renegotiation, threatens 777X order

Last but not least, Tim Clark added it may reconsider its 777X order if the Open Skies agreement gets altered: That's a pretty substantial threat to say the least. What would EK do to replace the 777 and 777X? The A350s are imperfect substitutes... Although on the other hand Emirates is apparently ...

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by mjoelnir
Fri Feb 23, 2018 5:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Icelandair boosting Tampa
Replies: 2
Views: 517

Re: Icelandair boosting Tampa

hvusslax wrote:
MCO also increased from 5x per week to daily.


The 737 will replace 757 on the shorter trips and FI will have more 757 that can stand around and be waiting for the return trip.

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by mjoelnir
Fri Feb 23, 2018 3:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330-800 out, B787-9 in at Hawaiian? -Leeham
Replies: 386
Views: 43699

Re: A330-800 out, B787-9 in at Hawaiian? -Leeham

I would say regarding 3D printing that Airbus is quite far along, you have 3D printed parts in most Airbus frames today, the numbers are increasing. Actually on titanium parts you see the biggest cost advantage. I visited the 3D printing facility at XFW last year. Until I see the 787 cost reduction ...

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by mjoelnir
Fri Feb 23, 2018 1:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: EK warns the US against Open Skies renegotiation, threatens 777X order
Replies: 79
Views: 10281

Re: EK warns the US against Open Skies renegotiation, threatens 777X order

The US has a hefty trade surplus with the UAE in regards to services and goods combined. Any trade wars will hurt the USA more than the UAE. Yes. Trade wars are very destructive. No one wins. Although some nations (note the UAE) insist on always fighting a trade war, so it is just a matter of the o...

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by mjoelnir
Fri Feb 23, 2018 1:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Icelandair livery coming
Replies: 140
Views: 21049

Re: New Icelandair livery coming

Flanker7 wrote:
White paint must be on sale in Europe.


This one was painted in the US of A.

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by mjoelnir
Fri Feb 23, 2018 1:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330-800 out, B787-9 in at Hawaiian? -Leeham
Replies: 386
Views: 43699

Re: A330-800 out, B787-9 in at Hawaiian? -Leeham

Boeing produces a 789 for $35 to $40 million less than an A359. This is quite probably one of the most ridiculous comments I've ever read on A-net, on probably quite the most ridiculous thread I've ever read on A-net. So you think it costs Airbus 50% more to manufacture an A350-900 than it does Boe...

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by mjoelnir
Fri Feb 23, 2018 12:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: EK warns the US against Open Skies renegotiation, threatens 777X order
Replies: 79
Views: 10281

Re: EK warns the US against Open Skies renegotiation, threatens 777X order

pabloeing wrote:
only words........EK needs the B777X


For what? There are A350 and A380. Losing Emirates 777-8/9 order, would go a long way to kill the 777-8/9.

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by mjoelnir
Fri Feb 23, 2018 12:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Lets say Airbus kill the A330neo...
Replies: 107
Views: 13198

Re: Lets say Airbus kill the A330neo...

If this thread has an inbuilt assumption that the A330neo will mean that there will be no more A330ceo, then I think that assumption is wrong. Assuming that Airbus and RR have not gone mad, they will continue with all four models of the A330 (-200, -300, -800 and -900). Why? Because this extends th...

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by mjoelnir
Fri Feb 23, 2018 11:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Lets say Airbus kill the A330neo...
Replies: 107
Views: 13198

Re: Lets say Airbus kill the A330neo...

jubguy3 wrote:
Hawaiian cancelled its order for the A330-800neo.


Well Hawaiian has denied having cancelled the A330-800.

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by mjoelnir
Fri Feb 23, 2018 10:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Icelandair livery coming
Replies: 140
Views: 21049

Re: New Icelandair livery coming

WaywardMemphian wrote:
So, these Max 8s are only 160 seaters. That is roomy compared to others


And gives range and perhaps some space and payload for cargo.

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by mjoelnir
Fri Feb 23, 2018 10:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Lets say Airbus kill the A330neo...
Replies: 107
Views: 13198

Re: Lets say Airbus kill the A330neo...

Airbus has already tried the latter option of a "regional" A330. Twice. Customers were not interested as it still carried the heavy structural weight of the normal A330. A viable and competitive A330 derivative to combat the 797 will require, at the very least, a brand new lighter wingbox...

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by mjoelnir
Fri Feb 23, 2018 10:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Batik Air to convert entire A321neo order to A321LR
Replies: 28
Views: 3910

Re: Batir Air to convert entire A321neo order to A321LR

Hopefully I'm wrong, but it seems Boeing has already missed their mark to justify the new clean sheet MOM aircraft. If potential customers are already going for the A321NEO/LR, what are the chances they would risk the reprecussions from canceling orders? Best case scenario the MOM is well on its wa...

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by mjoelnir
Fri Feb 23, 2018 10:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330-800 out, B787-9 in at Hawaiian? -Leeham
Replies: 386
Views: 43699

Re: A330-800 out, B787-9 in at Hawaiian? -Leeham

Flightglobal just reported that HA has not cancelled their A330s yet https://www.flightglobal.com/news/articles/hawaiians-a330-800-order-remains-in-place-for-now-446147/ Can we calm down for a second now? While this does not mean that there isn't a Boeing order in the works, it does mean the A338 i...

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by mjoelnir
Fri Feb 23, 2018 9:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: EK warns the US against Open Skies renegotiation, threatens 777X order
Replies: 79
Views: 10281

Re: EK warns the US against Open Skies renegotiation, threatens 777X order

The US has a hefty trade surplus with the UAE in regards to services and goods combined. Any trade wars will hurt the USA more than the UAE.

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by mjoelnir
Fri Feb 23, 2018 9:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330-800 out, B787-9 in at Hawaiian? -Leeham
Replies: 386
Views: 43699

Re: A330-800 out, B787-9 in at Hawaiian? -Leeham

I believe in hefty profits for the 787 when I see a significant reduction of the deferred cost each quarter. Up to now the biggest reduction of the deferred cost was the write off of two early frames, I think #4 and #5. If there should be a 30 million USD profit on each delivered frame, than we shou...

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by mjoelnir
Thu Feb 22, 2018 9:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Lufthansa Cargo expects a B777XF
Replies: 54
Views: 6604

Re: Lufthansa Cargo expects a B777XF

I wonder why the B748F isn't an option. Because it is too big and expensive to replace the MD11F? Yeah well, an MD11F has about 90t of max payload, a current 772F about 103t and a 748F about 134t. I believe a possible 778F would be somewhere much closer to the 748F than the 772F. So if there really...

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by mjoelnir
Thu Feb 22, 2018 11:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Icelandair livery coming
Replies: 140
Views: 21049

Re: New Icelandair livery coming

FI just bought a former Arkia 757-300, so we should see the new livery on a 757 very soon. Interesting, so after canceling their previous order for a second 753, they finally decided to source one more, and with a new livery. At that time Boeing asked Icelandair to cancel, they wanted to close down...

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by mjoelnir
Thu Feb 22, 2018 11:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A320neo Family Production/Delivery Thread 2018
Replies: 128
Views: 38015

Re: Airbus A320neo Family Production/Delivery Thread 2018

Meanwhile at the CFM front: And the alternative supplier, CFM International, is so behind on deliveries that Enders personally brought the matter to the attention of leadership of CFM International joint-venture partners General Electric (GE) and Safran. ... The Airbus CEO also makes clear that Pra...

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by mjoelnir
Thu Feb 22, 2018 11:32 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will the old Doha airport runway ever be absorbed into Hamad?
Replies: 5
Views: 1620

Re: Will the old Doha airport runway ever be absorbed into Hamad?

I would assume that if they need ever a third runway, they will build into the water. If they would have planned to integrate the runway from the old airport, they would have build it differently. The old airport is used by the military and I assume that it is planned to have that separately.

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by mjoelnir
Thu Feb 22, 2018 10:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Finnair plans to replace its aging narrowbody fleet
Replies: 15
Views: 3836

Re: Finnair plans to replace its aging narrowbody fleet

Why id the talk about Finnair's aging fleet. The A319 are on average 16.9 years old, oldest frame from 1999. The A320 are on average 15.6 years old, oldest frame from 2001. The A321 are on average 7.1 years old , oldest frame from 1999. The ERJ190 are on average 9.8 years old, oldest frame from 2006...

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by mjoelnir
Thu Feb 22, 2018 8:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330-800 out, B787-9 in at Hawaiian? -Leeham
Replies: 386
Views: 43699

Re: A330-800 out, B787-9 in at Hawaiian? -Leeham

I will believe in low cost 787 production when we see the deferred cost decreasing rapidly, up to that point I believe in Boeing being prepared to take losses on frames, to keep Airbus at bay.

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by mjoelnir
Wed Feb 21, 2018 1:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330-800 out, B787-9 in at Hawaiian? -Leeham
Replies: 386
Views: 43699

Re: A330-800 out, B787-9 in at Hawaiian? -Leeham

It really puzzles me why they have gone to this trouble to kill an airliner with 6 orders and an airliner which probably won't get much more than that as a possible airliner. Boeing is that afraid of the A330-800, that they try to kill it. The question is, how much does it cost Boeing. You don't ha...

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by mjoelnir
Wed Feb 21, 2018 11:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330-800 out, B787-9 in at Hawaiian? -Leeham
Replies: 386
Views: 43699

Re: A330-800 out, B787-9 in at Hawaiian? -Leeham

If they sold the 789 at 100 million or so, isn't it amazing that it cost around the same as a A321Neo? ...boggles the mind to see those margins ...one is huge and the other is microscopical... only for the sake of killing the 338.... wonder why... Best Regards TRB They tried to kill the C series. T...

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by mjoelnir
Tue Feb 20, 2018 3:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A350-1000 Customer Orders and Routes
Replies: 40
Views: 5939

Re: A350-1000 Customer Orders and Routes

If Virgin are going to have an LHR config I would not be surprised to see the A350 on the JNBLHR route. When I flew on their 789 in November it seems to need most of the runway for takeoff and it wasn't full. I would also think the additional capacity would be useful. I know the A359 is a good perf...

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by mjoelnir
Tue Feb 20, 2018 2:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ryanair CEO warns Brexit may force UK shareholders to sell
Replies: 86
Views: 4440

Re: Ryanair CEO warns Brexit may force UK shareholders to sell

They sound very nasty these EU types, seems to me a good job we are leaving. If they make it hard for us to go to Spain then screw them, we will fly to the USA. The Anglosphere is large and friendly. Exactly, good riddance of the whining and complaining Brits. Having gotten a better deal than most ...

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by mjoelnir
Tue Feb 20, 2018 2:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ryanair CEO warns Brexit may force UK shareholders to sell
Replies: 86
Views: 4440

Re: Ryanair CEO warns Brexit may force UK shareholders to sell

You conveniently missed the point of mentioning that the EU’s own figures show that the UK is the 3rd single contributor to tourism within the EU. I linked the source data and said we were eclipsed by both France and Germany, that infers third does it not? Losing the UK’s net contribution to the EU...

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by mjoelnir
Tue Feb 20, 2018 1:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Woman berates flight attendant loses job
Replies: 54
Views: 8898

Re: Woman berates flight attendant loses job

At what point are flight attendants going to start wearing body cams. Also good. This lady is a type of person that needs to see consequences. I WISH omg I wish! So now I wanna see what the a.net customer centric apologists have to say about this. It’s not often enough that a situation like this co...

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by mjoelnir
Tue Feb 20, 2018 9:28 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Woman berates flight attendant loses job
Replies: 54
Views: 8898

Re: Woman berates flight attendant loses job

http://www.cbsnews.com/amp/news/delta-airlines-susan-peirez-berating-flight-attendant-placed-on-leave/ So, now the tables turn and all is silent on airliners.net. Hypocrisy? I guess this woman is in the right? After all, the customer is always right, according to most on here. Well, now finally has...

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by mjoelnir
Tue Feb 20, 2018 8:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leahy: A380 could have had better engine technology
Replies: 154
Views: 17040

Re: Leahy: A380 could have had better engine technology

What's the myth? The 747-8 was obviously also a mistake, but the big difference there was that it was a relatively low cost derivative, not a >$10B new model. Kind of apples and oranges. The myth is that Airbus did not contest in the market that the 787 went for. The 787 was build to counter the A3...

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by mjoelnir
Mon Feb 19, 2018 8:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus might push A320 family production rate to 70 aircraft per month
Replies: 117
Views: 11129

Re: Airbus might push A320 family production rate to 70 aircraft per month

I assume 64 to be possible without building a new FAL, TSN and BFM could move to 8 a month. AFAIK the facilities at TSN and BFM are sized for 4/month. There have been talks of increasing that, but it would imply expanding facilities. The last FAL expansion for the A320 family happened in XFW . That...

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by mjoelnir
Mon Feb 19, 2018 8:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leahy: A380 could have had better engine technology
Replies: 154
Views: 17040

Re: Leahy: A380 could have had better engine technology

Let's face it, Airbus made a huge strategic mistake in thinking that the A380 would have a much larger market than it does. Boeing OTOH made a decision for more long thinner routes. Clearly Boeing's strategy was the better one. (this is regardless of the development and manufacturing screwups on bo...

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by mjoelnir
Mon Feb 19, 2018 5:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A330neo Production/Delivery Thread 2018
Replies: 114
Views: 28449

Re: Airbus A330neo Production/Delivery Thread 2018

Do so and you will start to cannibalize the 359. The 339 already competes partly with the 78X, so why would Airbus do something stupid that will eat into their flagship's pie. I would assume that Airbus is not very afraid of the A330neo cannibalizing the A350. The A350 has a sizable backlog, that h...

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by mjoelnir
Mon Feb 19, 2018 4:12 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Residual value of aircraft after 25 years in service? Case Norwegian
Replies: 34
Views: 4525

Re: Residual value of aircraft after 25 years in service? Case Norwegian

The point you are not looking at, is that Norwegian states how they depreciate aircraft, there is no talk about a residual value of 30%, only about a depreciation over 25 years straight line. No statement of residual value, should mean zero, otherwise you have to state it. That gives 4% depreciatio...

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by mjoelnir
Mon Feb 19, 2018 3:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ryanair CEO warns Brexit may force UK shareholders to sell
Replies: 86
Views: 4440

Re: Ryanair CEO warns Brexit may force UK shareholders to sell

Yes but how would that apply if they gain the UK AOC they've applied for ? Surely these UK shareholders then become legit ? To be honest, whilst the Pandora's Box that Brexit has become continues to be kicked around the yard aimlessly and with no real direction. I'll assume this is just more O'Lear...

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by mjoelnir
Mon Feb 19, 2018 3:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus Mobile - Production/delivery thread - 2018
Replies: 10
Views: 1161

Re: Airbus Mobile - Production/delivery thread - 2018

During a discussion on the C-Series production thread about a potential Mobile C-Series FAL I asked whether such a FAL could be partially or fully used for Airbus production. One of the replies said that the existing FAL could handle a rate of up to six aircraft whilst another said an extension wou...

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by mjoelnir
Mon Feb 19, 2018 2:11 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Residual value of aircraft after 25 years in service? Case Norwegian
Replies: 34
Views: 4525

Re: Residual value of aircraft after 25 years in service? Case Norwegian

A fast look at the depreciation of Norwegians fleet. Total acquisition cost on the 31.12.2016 27,175,180,000 NOK Total accumulated depreciation 31.12.2016 4,603,406,000 NOK Depreciation as percentage of total acquisition cost 16.94% If we assume 25 years depreciation linear to zero, than yearly dep...

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by mjoelnir
Mon Feb 19, 2018 1:42 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Residual value of aircraft after 25 years in service? Case Norwegian
Replies: 34
Views: 4525

Re: Residual value of aircraft after 25 years in service? Case Norwegian

I am still asking where the 30% residual value after 25 years depreciation comes from. local tax law? Usually companies have limited wiggle room how long the depreciate items. best regards Thomas As to Norwegian doing it that way. Local tax law, Irish, does only go down to 4% yearly in regards to r...

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by mjoelnir
Mon Feb 19, 2018 1:26 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Residual value of aircraft after 25 years in service? Case Norwegian
Replies: 34
Views: 4525

Re: Residual value of aircraft after 25 years in service? Case Norwegian

A fast look at the depreciation of Norwegians fleet. Total acquisition cost on the 31.12.2016 27,175,180,000 NOK Total accumulated depreciation 31.12.2016 4,603,406,000 NOK Depreciation as percentage of total acquisition cost 16.94% If we assume 25 years depreciation linear to zero, than yearly depr...

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by mjoelnir
Mon Feb 19, 2018 1:13 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Residual value of aircraft after 25 years in service? Case Norwegian
Replies: 34
Views: 4525

Re: Residual value of aircraft after 25 years in service? Case Norwegian

This question come to my mind, after I checked Norwegians depreciation policy. They use residual value about 30% after 25 years in service and make depreciation of 70% in 25 years. Last year they sold 11 owned aircraft, which were overvalued in balance sheet about 25% comparing to market price. In ...

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by mjoelnir
Mon Feb 19, 2018 1:01 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Residual value of aircraft after 25 years in service? Case Norwegian
Replies: 34
Views: 4525

Re: Residual value of aircraft after 25 years in service? Case Norwegian

I'm with others, you should read the depreciation policy of a company. This... puts Norwegian's losses in a new light... Not a pretty light. 25yrs to 30% is quite high. Using "straight line" depreciation with a 25yr useful life and residual value of 15% of initial value is fairly common a...

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by mjoelnir
Mon Feb 19, 2018 11:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How does Delta like their A350 so far?
Replies: 86
Views: 28915

Re: How does Delta like their A350 so far?

When I spoke with CX cabin crew about their A350 fleet transition, those I spoke with loved it with the exception of the rear galley which they didn't like as passenger walked right through it at the end of the aeroplane (compare with the A330 and 777) . I wonder if DL crew will have the same issue...

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by mjoelnir
Mon Feb 19, 2018 11:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A330neo Production/Delivery Thread 2018
Replies: 114
Views: 28449

Re: Airbus A330neo Production/Delivery Thread 2018

How about a A330NEO-1000?? For regional routes up to 8 hours. Would have great CASM and compete with the 787-10. Do so and you will start to cannibalize the 359. The 339 already competes partly with the 78X, so why would Airbus do something stupid that will eat into their flagship's pie. I would as...

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by mjoelnir
Mon Feb 19, 2018 11:47 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A330neo Production/Delivery Thread 2018
Replies: 114
Views: 28449

Re: Airbus A330neo Production/Delivery Thread 2018

As i understand from the ft article Neo performes better then expected. When can we expect real numbers? If 330 neo get within 1-2% of the 787 what will be the effect of the sales of 787 vs 330? Those numbers we will only get if an airline uses the 787 and A330neo side by side. An other point is, i...

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by mjoelnir
Mon Feb 19, 2018 11:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Employee Uses Vulgarities Towards Customer @ PDX
Replies: 213
Views: 16443

Re: Delta Employee Uses Vulgarities Towards Customer @ PDX

While I agree the DL employees could and should have done more to try and help after HA sent him back to them, and that the DL employee was horrifyingly out of line for swearing the way he did, I would have calmly asked for a supervisor and refrained from whipping out my cell phone to record the em...

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