Search found 224 matches

by mh124
Sun Apr 14, 2024 10:44 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation - April 2024
Replies: 182
Views: 22648

Re: Australian Aviation - April 2024

I guess JQ must have similar CASM to Batik with the Bali crew base doing the flying, then once the efficiencies of the A321 are factored in they could be lower. Does VA have a Bali crew base? If not I can see the problem. I also wonder if the high interest rate environment disproportionately hurts t...

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by mh124
Sat Apr 13, 2024 9:25 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air India News and Discussion 2024
Replies: 447
Views: 56086

Re: Air India News and Discussion 2024

Disappointed to see that the 773 refurbishment is going to be slower than hoped. Does anyone know if the ex-EY birds are in better condition? I note they use them on the Delhi and Mumbai to London routes (along with some nyc flights) whilst the remainder of the 77W fleet does NYC, Chicago, Toronto a...

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by mh124
Fri Apr 12, 2024 3:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation - April 2024
Replies: 182
Views: 22648

Re: Australian Aviation - April 2024

VA used to manage a weekly PHE-DPS, I wonder what the prospects of this returning are? Was it even profitable? I seem to recall it operating only on Wednesday. I too anticipate BQB, the catchment area is sizeable and growing quickly (roughly the same size as DRW - maybe 10-20% smaller? If combing t...

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by mh124
Fri Apr 12, 2024 1:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation - April 2024
Replies: 182
Views: 22648

Re: Australian Aviation - April 2024

I wonder which airport will be the next one to get a DPS or SIN service - NTL, BQB or MCY. There are some rapidly growing populations in all locations. My money's on BQB, I am biased as a Western Australia but the reduced distance factor is significant. VA used to manage a weekly PHE-DPS, I wonder ...

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by mh124
Fri Apr 12, 2024 12:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation - April 2024
Replies: 182
Views: 22648

Re: Australian Aviation - April 2024

I wonder which airport will be the next one to get a DPS or SIN service - NTL, BQB or MCY. There are some rapidly growing populations in all locations. My money's on BQB, I am biased as a Western Australia but the reduced distance factor is significant.

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by mh124
Tue Apr 09, 2024 7:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation - April 2024
Replies: 182
Views: 22648

Re: Australian Aviation - April 2024

Qantas is just not a big enough airline to service Adl- Sin. It's where the route planners at HQ draw a line because they don't have enough aircraft/capital and they can send customers one stop already. Adelaide is well serviced by other international carriers. Singapore Changi acts as a scissor hu...

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by mh124
Tue Apr 09, 2024 9:02 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation - April 2024
Replies: 182
Views: 22648

Re: Australian Aviation - April 2024

Does anyone have any indication on how VJ is going on their SGN-PER-ADL flights? I still can’t believe anyone in their right mind would book the route through to Adelaide… the schedule, notably the redeye on the domestic sector, would be enough to drive me insane. We only have the first month of da...

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by mh124
Wed Mar 27, 2024 1:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation - March 2024
Replies: 492
Views: 53978

Re: Australian Aviation - March 2024

Inaugural SYD-BQB starts today Nice to see things gradually progressing at Bqb. Wonder if Indonesia air Asia or jetstar (using their dps crew base) would start dps - bqb, I think a two weekly would be well patronised. Saves passengers driving 4-6 hours round trip to perth (plus cost of parking at p...

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by mh124
Fri Mar 08, 2024 5:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation - March 2024
Replies: 492
Views: 53978

Re: Australian Aviation - March 2024

https://www.bitre.gov.au/sites/default/files/documents/International_airline_activity_1223.pdf December Bitre is out. I had been thinking this would be the month that the international side of things finally surpassed the 2019 pre-covid peaks but not quite there yet, with the major airports at 90-9...

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by mh124
Fri Mar 08, 2024 9:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation - March 2024
Replies: 492
Views: 53978

Re: Australian Aviation - March 2024

UA's services for December 2023 (The Peak Month for NW/SS in Australia) from reading the Inbound and Outbound stats in the BITRE report, has an inbound load of 57% and an outbound load of 63% averaged across all services. Yep doesnt look good. Maybe there are premium yields making it worthwhile. I ...

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by mh124
Fri Mar 08, 2024 8:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation - March 2024
Replies: 492
Views: 53978

Re: Australian Aviation - March 2024

https://www.bitre.gov.au/sites/default/files/documents/International_airline_activity_1223.pdf December Bitre is out. I had been thinking this would be the month that the international side of things finally surpassed the 2019 pre-covid peaks but not quite there yet, with the major airports at 90-95...

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by mh124
Wed Mar 06, 2024 11:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation - March 2024
Replies: 492
Views: 53978

Re: Australian Aviation - March 2024

Sorry I should have clarified - agree demand is there especially for Delhi-Brisbane it’s more of an issue with aircraft availability at air India and Qantas. Last October, behramjee posted O&D stats in the Air India thread. Mentioned below (in 000s) is MEL vs SYD vs BNE vs AKL demand for main I...

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by mh124
Wed Mar 06, 2024 7:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation - March 2024
Replies: 492
Views: 53978

Re: Australian Aviation - March 2024

https://aviationweek.com/podcasts/window-seat-podcast/podcast-ex. I can't see BNE getting a direct India filght in the short term and def not one to south india. I think you underestimate the BNE-India demand. There is most definitely availability for a direct flight to Delhi, multiple times a week...

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by mh124
Tue Mar 05, 2024 6:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation - March 2024
Replies: 492
Views: 53978

Re: Australian Aviation - March 2024

MH's ambition is to fly to "all major points in Australia three times a day, Sydney, Melbourne, Adelaide, Perth, and we are reintroducing Brisbane in the very near future." "That entails 20 additional A330neos." Sees Australia-India traffic as key, and senses an opportunity in A...

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by mh124
Thu Feb 22, 2024 11:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air India News and Discussion 2024
Replies: 447
Views: 56086

Re: Air India News and Discussion 2024

Anyone have any intel on how BOM-MEP loads are doing? Sure it’s too soon to tell yields profitability. Hoping we see BOM-SYD soon, if the fleet allows. I guess we’ll need to wait for the Australian btre data to come out in about a month or so. I do wonder whether BLR would have been better to try a...

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by mh124
Sun Feb 18, 2024 3:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air India News and Discussion 2024
Replies: 447
Views: 56086

Re: Air India News and Discussion 2024

[ It is a question of time that Air India launches DEL-LGW and BOM-LGW if they want to grow in the India-London market. AI DEL - LGW strongly tipped to be announced next - watch this space.[/quote] Really? They already have pretty good capacity from those airports, to LHR. I would have thought expa...

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by mh124
Sat Feb 10, 2024 11:47 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation - February 2024
Replies: 543
Views: 54804

Re: Australian Aviation - February 2024

Thanks for the posts. I think that if MH have tried BNE multiple times before and it hasn’t worked then that’s that. Sq dominates perth similar to BNE, would say it’s even higher in perth at 4 daily and scoot as well. I suspect demographics are diff - perhaps a larger Malaysian diaspora in perth tha...

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by mh124
Fri Feb 09, 2024 10:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation - February 2024
Replies: 543
Views: 54804

Re: Australian Aviation - February 2024

Is it weird that no Malaysian carrier flies direct to BNE? They have a pretty good presence in syd/mel/per and MH even serves ADL. Whilst i’m not familiar with bne-kul point to point traffic, would have thought once you add in vfr market to india, tourists to Thailand (currently no service to bne ei...

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by mh124
Sat Feb 03, 2024 4:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation - February 2024
Replies: 543
Views: 54804

Re: Australian Aviation - February 2024

Lombok and Langkawi are too good options. I recall we once had a Perth to Lombok run. Virgin should have jumped on CBR-DPS, I think the market would work 2 weekly seasonal. Not sure about 3 weekly. NTL-DPS also 2 weekly seasonal. Wonder if a 1 or 2 weekly HBA-DPS would work in our winter? HBA only ...

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by mh124
Wed Jan 24, 2024 11:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation - January 2024
Replies: 795
Views: 82402

Re: Australian Aviation - January 2024

Listed in the international flight awards and timetable, although it is subject to government approval. But as the reply above, they should release the official NS24 changes this week. No mention of a PER increase. They have just announced new flights to Europe as well for the 2024 NS and NW. There...

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by mh124
Wed Jan 24, 2024 9:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation - January 2024
Replies: 795
Views: 82402

Re: Australian Aviation - January 2024

ANA increasing flights to daily to Perth, from March 31st. Source - ANA website. They are still showing 3 weekly as per their booking engine Listed in the international flight awards and timetable, although it is subject to government approval. But as the reply above, they should release the offici...

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by mh124
Sat Jan 20, 2024 7:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation - January 2024
Replies: 795
Views: 82402

Re: Australian Aviation - January 2024

2x A332, 2x A339 and 2x A359. Seems like a strange long haul fleet to have - 6 of one type would for sure be far more logical? Air Mauritius currently owns 4x A359 and 2x A339, with 3 more A359s to be delivered by 2027. The 2x A332 are being leased for 3 years for MK to cater for the increased dema...

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by mh124
Sat Jan 20, 2024 6:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation - January 2024
Replies: 795
Views: 82402

Re: Australian Aviation - January 2024

Why is it funny? DRW has had a QF group flight to SIN since 1935. ;-) In more recent times, DRW's international connectivity has reduced to a single airline on SIN and a single airline on DPS. (DIL is point to point.) ADL has seen a return of many airlines, so maybe the level of under-service in DR...

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by mh124
Sun Jan 14, 2024 8:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation - January 2024
Replies: 795
Views: 82402

Re: Australian Aviation - January 2024

Article from Sky News discussing accessibility to BNE": https://www.skynews.com.au/australia-news/politics/calls-for-a-stronger-push-to-strengthen-transport-to-brisbane-airport/video/9bec556d25f193555cff7bbce9c8df4e I'll avoid discussing the politics of Sky News as I personally believe they ha...

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by mh124
Sat Jan 13, 2024 10:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation - January 2024
Replies: 795
Views: 82402

Re: Australian Aviation - January 2024

ANA increasing flights to daily to Perth, from March 31st. Source - ANA website. They are still showing 3 weekly as per their booking engine I think I read somewhere that they will release NS24 schedules in a fortnight or so. Will be interesting to see whether there is indeed an increase to perth. ...

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by mh124
Wed Jan 10, 2024 3:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation - January 2024
Replies: 795
Views: 82402

Re: Australian Aviation - January 2024

https://www.flysaa.com/about-us/leading-carrier/media-center/media-releases/newsroom?fbclid=IwAR2taf-F6a5JurATbU_OrkhVOAgsw4_3Re91bPoqN5WV32NJw1QOf6miXOM&utm_source=Social+Media&utm_medium=Post+copy&utm_campaign=press+release+ Jnb-per announced, 3x on an a340. Think there’s a mistake in...

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by mh124
Tue Jan 09, 2024 10:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: India Aviation - 2024
Replies: 182
Views: 15883

Re: India Aviation - 2024

Here’s a question. If they built a hub at BLR would that entice flyers from the dozen or so destinations in the south to transit there over their tried and true options with the ME3? Presumably It’s not realistic to see direct Europe/North America flights from Chennai, Hyderabad, Kochi and so on? Th...

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by mh124
Tue Jan 09, 2024 10:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation - January 2024
Replies: 795
Views: 82402

Re: Australian Aviation - January 2024

Interesting, but not surprising to read of the dominance of Australian connections for SQ's LON services, with SYD, MEL, BNE and PER in the top five, along with DPS. I thought KUL and CGK might have featured. Good to see them holding their own against the ME3 and QF. https://mainlymiles.com/2024/01...

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by mh124
Tue Jan 09, 2024 9:07 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation - January 2024
Replies: 795
Views: 82402

Re: Australian Aviation - January 2024

Interesting they have decided to use a 20 year old A340-300. Interesting so see that back in the sky. The SA A340 has been flying regularly for quite a while. Usually does JNB-ACC, ABJ, LOS with the occasional domestic or regional route thrown in. SA don't really have a lot of options when it comes...

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by mh124
Mon Jan 08, 2024 4:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation - January 2024
Replies: 795
Views: 82402

Re: Australian Aviation - January 2024

https://www.flysaa.com/about-us/leading-carrier/media-center/media-releases/newsroom?fbclid=IwAR2taf-F6a5JurATbU_OrkhVOAgsw4_3Re91bPoqN5WV32NJw1QOf6miXOM&utm_source=Social+Media&utm_medium=Post+copy&utm_campaign=press+release+ Jnb-per announced, 3x on an a340. Think there’s a mistake in ...

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by mh124
Sun Jan 07, 2024 7:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southern Africa & Indian Ocean Aviation - 2024
Replies: 64
Views: 6265

Re: Southern Africa & Indian Ocean Aviation - 2024

Its unfortunate they gave up their a350s - would have been perfect for transcontinental expansion. I guess they will try and add A330s and start LHR, JFK, IAD, maybe FRA? Their fleet plan for the year is to add 2 A330s, 1 A350 and 1 A340. Sounds like a joke, but there isn't a punchline. Yeah certai...

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by mh124
Sun Jan 07, 2024 6:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southern Africa & Indian Ocean Aviation - 2024
Replies: 64
Views: 6265

Re: Southern Africa & Indian Ocean Aviation - 2024

Wow right. Is the first flight to Accra at least doing better ? Yeah but its a monopoly in a pre-COVID 100+ppdew market. You need to really work to screw that one up. Although the A340 gives them the best chance of doing so! Ok thanks. Its unfortunate they gave up their a350s - would have been perf...

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by mh124
Sun Jan 07, 2024 5:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southern Africa & Indian Ocean Aviation - 2024
Replies: 64
Views: 6265

Re: Southern Africa & Indian Ocean Aviation - 2024

B747-437B wrote:
mh124 wrote:
On a side note I wonder how the A340 to Accra and Abidjan is going.... can they somehow make money on this route`?


It's going absolutely atrociously as expected. Averaging less than 50 pax to Abidjan. Perfect route for an A340-300.



Wow right. Is the first flight to Accra at least doing better ?

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by mh124
Sun Jan 07, 2024 2:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southern Africa & Indian Ocean Aviation - 2024
Replies: 64
Views: 6265

Re: Southern Africa & Indian Ocean Aviation - 2024

Looks like SAA have hinted at Australia on their twitter feed. Presume Perth.

On a side note I wonder how the A340 to Accra and Abidjan is going.... can they somehow make money on this route`?

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by mh124
Wed Jan 03, 2024 8:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation - January 2024
Replies: 795
Views: 82402

Re: Australian Aviation - January 2024

Australia remains EK's top destination ex-DUB, with SYD, MEL and PER the 2nd, 4th and 5th biggest individual connecting ports. EK's also seen a 31% increase in J and F bookings on EK ex-DUB in 2023 versus 2022. A lot of high-yielding cargo too (pharma, medical, etc). Makes me wonder if QF would con...

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by mh124
Mon Jan 01, 2024 2:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Biman Bangladesh Airlines to sign a MoU for 10x A350
Replies: 39
Views: 10141

Re: Biman Bangladesh Airlines to sign a MoU for 10x A350

Boeing surely worried that the Subcontinent-North America routes (which has huge potential for dozens of non stop flights over the next decade) could be seen as A350 only. Eg Air India will start new A350 to North America soon, if it works well they will expand it onto other routes, Biman could then...

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by mh124
Thu Dec 28, 2023 1:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - December 2023
Replies: 624
Views: 75546

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - December 2023

I would expect we are not far off announcements from Sichuan, CZ and an Indian carrier. TG must of jumped when JQ announced Perth to Bangkok. Add SAA to Joburg aswell. Plus VN service to Hanoi (maybe). I know WA government has been going to China a bit to try and get something going from Sichuan an...

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by mh124
Fri Dec 22, 2023 7:31 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - December 2023
Replies: 624
Views: 75546

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - December 2023

I love how most discussions on India to fill in the blank always lead to - but there are so many one stop options why should AI fly nonstop. Well look at what AI has shown - nonstops from India to OZ, EU, North America all work, and they can fill their planes even with their old product (which is n...

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by mh124
Wed Dec 20, 2023 7:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Singapore Airlines launch London Gatwick
Replies: 74
Views: 16135

Re: Singapore Airlines launch London Gatwick

Last Christmas I flew London to per via HEL and SIN. We missed our connection in hel - it seemed 40-50 people on the lhr-hel flight were all trying to get to sin. Chatting to some others during the wait, many said the same thing - family / friends had relocated to sin for work, so ppl trying to visi...

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by mh124
Mon Dec 18, 2023 5:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - December 2023
Replies: 624
Views: 75546

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - December 2023

You appear to be misunderstanding O&D data. It measures all passengers from an origin point to a destination point regardless of what route they took, so long as it was booked on one ticket and without a stopover. You can theoretically measure O&D for any two cities on earth. Therefore PER-...

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by mh124
Sun Dec 17, 2023 7:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - December 2023
Replies: 624
Views: 75546

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - December 2023

Current levels around 154 PDEW PER-USA and 108 PDEW ADL-USA over the last 12-months. Before Covid in 2019 they were 219 and 159 respectively. Note this includes HNL which is around 15-20 PDEW. Again actual numbers will be a little higher than this. I think that would fit. I found this incredibly ol...

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by mh124
Sun Dec 17, 2023 1:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - December 2023
Replies: 624
Views: 75546

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - December 2023

As much as I love reading about wishlist routes, PER is not geographically situated to be a realistic option for USA service. Any O&D it does have can be supported through numerous route options. PER is doing very well for itself, especially in current terms of its mining and energy economy, an...

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by mh124
Sun Dec 17, 2023 10:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - December 2023
Replies: 624
Views: 75546

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - December 2023

Current levels around 154 PDEW PER-USA and 108 PDEW ADL-USA over the last 12-months. Before Covid in 2019 they were 219 and 159 respectively. Note this includes HNL which is around 15-20 PDEW. Again actual numbers will be a little higher than this. I think that would fit. I found this incredibly ol...

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by mh124
Fri Dec 15, 2023 3:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - December 2023
Replies: 624
Views: 75546

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - December 2023

They are O&D only. There all sorts of issues with these numbers that you cant just conclude services arent viable: - SYD/MEL/BNE signficantly stimulated by the non-stop services that already exist and have done for decades - Plus there will be a proportion of the ADL/PER OD market which has bee...

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by mh124
Fri Dec 15, 2023 1:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - December 2023
Replies: 624
Views: 75546

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - December 2023

LAX-SYD and LAX-MEL look understated (esp considering the services between each of them) and I suspect they are OD only, with pax to places over LAX/SFO to the wider North American market adding significant volume? ADL and PER traffic therefore might be similarly understated via measurement definit...

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by mh124
Fri Dec 15, 2023 11:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Airlines Network - 2023
Replies: 4642
Views: 975419

Re: United Airlines Network - 2023

I think people think the US-OZ market is bigger than it actually is. LAX-Australia is huge. SFO/NYC-OZ is very large. After that, its a lot of niche markets. IAH-PER is relatively big because of energy related travel. BOS-MEL is surprisingly large because of medical traffic. But its really all abou...

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by mh124
Wed Dec 13, 2023 6:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: India Aviation - 2023
Replies: 613
Views: 109261

Re: India Aviation - 2023

Much of the discussion re preferred hubs seems subjective. Everyone has their own personal preferences for whatever reason and choices are in large part driven by price for economy passengers. Fwiw my own personal preference is always direct, if not possible then Changi Singapore or Schipol Amsterda...

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by mh124
Fri Dec 08, 2023 5:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - December 2023
Replies: 624
Views: 75546

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - December 2023

G'day all, first time poster here, but a long time lurker of this forum (I'm talking over 10 years!) Had the fortune of being on the inaugural UA LAX-BNE service last week. Hats off to UA for their trans Pacific expansion and taking advantage of the market while the competition is still playing cat...

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by mh124
Thu Dec 07, 2023 9:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - December 2023
Replies: 624
Views: 75546

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - December 2023

Continuing the announcements for Perth Looks like South African Airways are set to announce the recommencement of Perth to Joburg for a March 2024 start. Looking to publish their schedule next week. https://www.airlineratings.com/news/south-african-airways-spreading-its-wings-to-perth/?fbclid=IwAR3...

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by mh124
Thu Dec 07, 2023 9:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - December 2023
Replies: 624
Views: 75546

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - December 2023

I think this might have been discussed on another thread....someone said alternative landing sites might also be an issue? Of note - I don't think SQ flies any standard configuration on its directs to the US, its the premium (Biz/Prem Economy) so lower passenger count flights only...I think their s...

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