Search found 1754 matches

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by Bobloblaw
Wed Aug 15, 2018 5:46 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: TK to become casualty of USA-Turkey rhetoric?
Replies: 98
Views: 10843

Re: NYT: New USA Sanctions Could Include Limits on TK

The worsening relationship between US & Turkey is not getting any better and after Turkish court's refusal to free the pastor Brunson rumors of new sanctions are hitting the wires. New York Times is reporting that new sanctions could limit TK. IMO this is shooting yourself in the foot for US, T...

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by Bobloblaw
Wed Aug 15, 2018 4:46 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: TK to become casualty of USA-Turkey rhetoric?
Replies: 98
Views: 10843

Re: NYT: New USA Sanctions Could Include Limits on TK

BTW the Coup was fake, it was instigated by Erdogan. It wasnt a real coup.

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by Bobloblaw
Wed Aug 15, 2018 4:44 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: TK to become casualty of USA-Turkey rhetoric?
Replies: 98
Views: 10843

Re: NYT: New USA Sanctions Could Include Limits on TK

The worsening relationship between US & Turkey is not getting any better and after Turkish court's refusal to free the pastor Brunson rumors of new sanctions are hitting the wires. New York Times is reporting that new sanctions could limit TK. IMO this is shooting yourself in the foot for US, T...

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by Bobloblaw
Wed Aug 15, 2018 4:39 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: TK to become casualty of USA-Turkey rhetoric?
Replies: 98
Views: 10843

Re: NYT: New USA Sanctions Could Include Limits on TK

On another note, Americans are held all the time by foreign governments and it doesn't inspire actions that are this dramatic. North Korea was holding several American citizens until the recent warming of relations. I wonder why the U.S. considers this situation to be so much more of a priority? I ...

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by Bobloblaw
Sat Aug 11, 2018 2:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hypersonic commercial flight?
Replies: 16
Views: 1164

Re: Hypersonic commercial flight?

I remember the National Aerospace Plane back in 1986, ready to fly by 1995.

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by Bobloblaw
Sat Aug 11, 2018 12:18 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: TK to become casualty of USA-Turkey rhetoric?
Replies: 98
Views: 10843

Re: TK to become casualty of USA-Turkey rhetoric?

I am not so sure that a weak Lira helps TK. It is true that the foreign currency they earn will be worth more in Lira. However, their non-Lira expenses (landing fees in other nations, leases and fuel) will go up considerably. Also Turkish originating traffic will decline and it is unclear that ther...

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by Bobloblaw
Fri Aug 10, 2018 10:02 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: TK to become casualty of USA-Turkey rhetoric?
Replies: 98
Views: 10843

Re: TK to become casualty of USA-Turkey rhetoric?

Lets keep few things in mind. 1) Weak Lira broadly helps TK. They just published their Q2 profits yesterday. They earn more in foreign currencies, while large sections of their cost base in Lira. 2) US visitors make up the minority of clients onboard TK US flights. Flights primarily serve 3rd natio...

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by Bobloblaw
Fri Aug 10, 2018 9:58 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: TK to become casualty of USA-Turkey rhetoric?
Replies: 98
Views: 10843

Re: TK to become casualty of USA-Turkey rhetoric?

Turkey has also soured relations with the EU recently. It's a slippery slope to nowhere. I would suspect travelers would seek connections in more stable ME hubs (UAE especially). Transit pax really couldn't care less about the "stability" of the country as long as the airport works OK and...

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by Bobloblaw
Fri Aug 10, 2018 7:21 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: TK to become casualty of USA-Turkey rhetoric?
Replies: 98
Views: 10843

Re: TK to become casualty of USA-Turkey rhetoric?

The weak lira will hurt traffic and increase their costs (in lira). No US citizens will be going to turkey to take advatage of the weak lira. I do not see how it doesn't impact TK.

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by Bobloblaw
Thu Aug 09, 2018 5:29 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: ViaAir strands passengers, denies compensation
Replies: 36
Views: 3872

Re: ViaAir strands passengers, denies compensation

lavalampluva wrote:
I find it interesting that an airline will destroy it's reputation just to save a few $$$. :boggled:


My guess is they cant refund the money without putting their cash situation close to ZERO. Yes, I think they could be that LOW on cash

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by Bobloblaw
Wed Aug 08, 2018 4:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Has AA Slipped Behind UA to Become The Number 3 Airline?
Replies: 90
Views: 10421

Re: Has AA Slipped Behind UA to Become The Number 3 Airline?

Market Cap, Margin, Return to Shareholders...three of the most important. Shareholders only care about ASMs if you tell them you're not going to keep in line with growth (or contraction) that will maintain their returns. Hate to tell you but AA isn't #3 and Delta isn't #1 on many of those metrics. ...

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by Bobloblaw
Tue Aug 07, 2018 7:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Has AA Slipped Behind UA to Become The Number 3 Airline?
Replies: 90
Views: 10421

Re: Has AA Slipped Behind UA to Become The Number 3 Airline?

AA might have proved too big and too complex for the ex-America West/USAirways team to handle. Seems they underestimated AA's complexity and toxic labor relationships. Parker's team has yet to decide what they want "the post merger AA" to be...looks like they want to turn AA into a hybrid...

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by Bobloblaw
Tue Aug 07, 2018 7:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Has AA Slipped Behind UA to Become The Number 3 Airline?
Replies: 90
Views: 10421

Re: Has AA Slipped Behind UA to Become The Number 3 Airline?

#3 in what objective metric? Market Cap, Margin, Return to Shareholders...three of the most important. Shareholders only care about ASMs if you tell them you're not going to keep in line with growth (or contraction) that will maintain their returns. Hate to tell you but AA isn't #3 and Delta isn't ...

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by Bobloblaw
Tue Aug 07, 2018 6:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DCA to the world
Replies: 57
Views: 5378

Re: DCA to the world

The stop in BGR would be extremely expensive..stop and going again will use a massive amount of fuel and crew time. For connecting passengers, it becomes a 2 stop, who would take that? I am not sure if a tech stop in BGR would be considered within the perimeter rule, it might or might not..probably ...

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by Bobloblaw
Tue Aug 07, 2018 6:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Has AA Slipped Behind UA to Become The Number 3 Airline?
Replies: 90
Views: 10421

Re: Has AA Slipped Behind UA to Become The Number 3 Airline?

My previous post was deleted, but here was what I said. I don't understand why my post was against the terms of conditions. I'm just stating what happened in real life. What's up with the moderators? I flew the three airlines recently and DL was the best and AA was the worst. Here's why: On a three...

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by Bobloblaw
Tue Aug 07, 2018 6:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Has AA Slipped Behind UA to Become The Number 3 Airline?
Replies: 90
Views: 10421

Re: Has AA Slipped Behind UA to Become The Number 3 Airline?

#3 in what objective metric?

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by Bobloblaw
Mon Aug 06, 2018 8:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta CEO: We beat AA/UA because we have the revenue to sustain it
Replies: 127
Views: 13078

Re: Delta CEO: We beat AA/UA because we have the revenue to sustain it

A huge part of Delta's revenue advantage is Fortress ATL. They have such a high % of flying in that one HUB UA and AA are much more spread out over numerous hubs with varying degrees of competition that Delta just does not see at ATL. Seems like I read a Forbes article that delta has a monopoly on ...

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by Bobloblaw
Mon Aug 06, 2018 7:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta CEO: We beat AA/UA because we have the revenue to sustain it
Replies: 127
Views: 13078

Re: Delta CEO: We beat AA/UA because we have the revenue to sustain it

AA is still #1 on revenue though revenue per passenger Delta is higher but United outpaces both on revenue per passenger...so not sure how Delta is "winning" Though Delta is probably highest based on revenue per employee You're accurately pointing out that Delta commands more revenue per ...

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by Bobloblaw
Mon Aug 06, 2018 5:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta CEO: We beat AA/UA because we have the revenue to sustain it
Replies: 127
Views: 13078

Re: Delta CEO: We beat AA/UA because we have the revenue to sustain it

AA is still #1 on revenue though revenue per passenger Delta is higher but United outpaces both on revenue per passenger...so not sure how Delta is "winning"

Though Delta is probably highest based on revenue per employee

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by Bobloblaw
Mon Aug 06, 2018 4:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta CEO: We beat AA/UA because we have the revenue to sustain it
Replies: 127
Views: 13078

Re: Delta CEO: We beat AA/UA because we have the revenue to sustain it

No where in the article does the CEO say what is in the title of the thread. Youd make a great journalist

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by Bobloblaw
Sun Aug 05, 2018 3:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 8/5/2018:AA Adds DFW-CYS/EYW,Drops BOS-PIT,JFK-DEN;AS Drops SFO-IND;DL Loads MSP-ICN;UA Suspends EWR-OKC
Replies: 127
Views: 13491

Re: OAG Changes 8/5/2018:AA Adds DFW-CYS/EYW,Drops BOS-PIT,JFK-DEN;AS Drops SFO-IND;DL Loads MSP-ICN;UA Suspends EWR-OKC

AA at JFK is toast. All those west coast additions last year are now gone. Den was never made for intl connections...it was a redeeye. Perhaps most eye popping in this thread is B6 JFK BOS down to 3 daily. Hub to hub? Lowest freq I have ever seen on the route. Geez..AA is not toast in JFK or NYC. I...

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by Bobloblaw
Fri Aug 03, 2018 8:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA adding DFW-CYS (Cheyenne, WY) and Sat CLT-HVN on 11/4
Replies: 62
Views: 6329

Re: AA adding DFW-CYS (Cheyenne, WY) and Sat CLT-HVN on 11/4

Rdh3e wrote:
I know Kirby left, but are there any brains left at AA HQ?


You realize that this plus the UA EAS like Quincy, Salina etc are all Skywest at risk flying.

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by Bobloblaw
Wed Aug 01, 2018 10:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Motley Fool: American Airlines profit plunging after Q2 results
Replies: 115
Views: 16662

Re: AA on death's door per Motley Fool...

Written by a UAL fanboy.....UA will rue the day they expanded so quickly especially with 50 seat RJs in a rising fuel environment

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by Bobloblaw
Sat Oct 14, 2017 7:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA/B6 Merger Rumors Floating Again
Replies: 101
Views: 16486

Re: UA/B6 Merger Rumors Floating Again

Commavia Your post nails it and the 4th paragraph is 100% spot on. Why people think UA could make jetblue's network work is beyond me. FLL and MCO would hemmorage money for UA. Raising fares would result in destimulting markets B6 has stimulated and the traffic would disappear. It's sad that in all ...

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by Bobloblaw
Fri Oct 13, 2017 4:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA to add seats to 777-200s with Polaris retrofit
Replies: 112
Views: 18670

Re: UA to add seats to 777-200s with Polaris retrofit

The seat map shows 52J.. oh wait, the very last window seats don't have aisle seat. This polaris investment should pay well for UA. US3 772 configurations will be: UA 50J242Y=292 with 3-4-3, 31"Y AA 37J24W212Y=273 with 3-4-3, less than 31"Y (30 or 30.5) DL 24J48W220Y=296 with 3-3-3, 31-32...

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by Bobloblaw
Sat Oct 07, 2017 7:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer Hopes Pinned on New Scope Clause in 2019-22
Replies: 137
Views: 13432

Re: Embraer Hopes Pinned on New Scope Clause in 2019-22

What is Skywest planning to do with their E2s?

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by Bobloblaw
Sat Oct 07, 2017 2:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer Hopes Pinned on New Scope Clause in 2019-22
Replies: 137
Views: 13432

Re: Embraer Hopes Pinned on New Scope Clause in 2019-22

It is possible 195-E2s could work at mainline. Sized like a 717.

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by Bobloblaw
Sat Oct 07, 2017 2:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer Hopes Pinned on New Scope Clause in 2019-22
Replies: 137
Views: 13432

Re: Embraer Hopes Pinned on New Scope Clause in 2019-22

flight152 wrote:
flyby519 wrote:
CriticalPoint wrote:


[/quo

Would it? I'm guessing the economics of a 175-E2 being flown by a mainline crew don't work. I don't ever see it happening.


Nope. The E175 flies at regionals or not at all. And it isn't just the pilots. It is everyone associated with the flight. We won't see the E2s here.

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by Bobloblaw
Thu Sep 28, 2017 11:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta: C-Series What's Next
Replies: 246
Views: 35109

Re: Delta: C-Series What's Next

That isn't the same as selling below marginal cost. What you're describing is selling below total cost. No one expect total unit costs to be recovered early in the production life. Please define marginal and total costs for me as you see them. They aren't my terms or how I see them. They are pretty...

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by Bobloblaw
Thu Sep 28, 2017 11:05 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta: C-Series What's Next
Replies: 246
Views: 35109

Re: Delta: C-Series What's Next

Hence the incentive for dumping. That quote doesn't help BBD's case. From the view of a prosecutor BBD basically confessed to the crime. Ever hear of launch pricing? Do you think the first 787 was sold for a profit? That isn't the same as selling below marginal cost. What you're describing is selli...

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by Bobloblaw
Thu Sep 28, 2017 10:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta: C-Series What's Next
Replies: 246
Views: 35109

Re: Delta: C-Series What's Next

Story at ATWOnline explains why Delta's order is worth fighting for: And what about the Delta order? Technically, the US government would collect the stiff duty from Delta, but there is no doubt Bombardier would pick up the tab. So is it worth it? In a word, yes. Bombardier believes Delta operating...

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by Bobloblaw
Thu Sep 28, 2017 10:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: U.S. Dept of Commerce backs Boeing in dispute with Bombardier
Replies: 1424
Views: 96870

Re: Boeing targets Bombardier for “price dumping” CSeries

My, my, Boeing offers a jet in that size range that DL itself already operates. But no, they weren't in the running..... Hogwash. The only hogwash here is believing that Boeing has something to offer in competition to the CS100. Not in terms of capacity and certainly not in terms of performance. Du...

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by Bobloblaw
Wed Sep 27, 2017 11:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta: C-Series What's Next
Replies: 246
Views: 35109

Re: Delta: C-Series What's Next

Here's my two cents: The Province of Quebec will orchestrate a Caisse de dépôt et placement du Québec (CDPQ) buy out of DL's CSeries order, effectively cancelling it and making the DOC preliminary ruling moot. CDPQ will then transfer the order to its Einn Volant Aircraft Leasing (EVAL) plaform, a J...

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by Bobloblaw
Wed Sep 27, 2017 11:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: U.S. Dept of Commerce backs Boeing in dispute with Bombardier
Replies: 1424
Views: 96870

Re: Boeing targets Bombardier for “price dumping” CSeries

Quote below from a news conference from the Premiere of Quebec this morning. So are deliveries of Air Canada B737MAXs slated for next year in jeopardy? That will depend on the Canadian Federal government but the door has just been opened. ""Not a bolt, not a part, (and) of course not a pl...

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by Bobloblaw
Wed Sep 27, 2017 4:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: U.S. Dept of Commerce backs Boeing in dispute with Bombardier
Replies: 1424
Views: 96870

Re: Boeing targets Bombardier for “price dumping” CSeries

Also, JetBlue comes out in support of the CSeries... https://www.flightglobal.com/news/articles/jetblue-defends-bombardier-in-spat-with-boeing-441478/ I have a feeling B6 was close to a deal with Bombardier on the CSeries. That's why they found it necessary to offer their support. It was the true p...

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by Bobloblaw
Wed Sep 27, 2017 4:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: U.S. Dept of Commerce backs Boeing in dispute with Bombardier
Replies: 1424
Views: 96870

Re: Boeing targets Bombardier for “price dumping” CSeries

Imports of goods from Canada to USA - Jan-July 2017: $172,698,416,252 Exports of goods to Canada from USA - Jan-July 2017: $134,210,214,822 That is an odd way of stating it. Imports dont go "to" and Exports dont come "from" As I am reading it Canada exports $172B and imports $13...

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by Bobloblaw
Wed Sep 27, 2017 4:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: U.S. Dept of Commerce backs Boeing in dispute with Bombardier
Replies: 1424
Views: 96870

Re: Boeing targets Bombardier for “price dumping” CSeries

I figure they'll be some sort of shell leasing company set up offshore that will own the Delta planes and then leased to Delta for comparable cost as Delta purchasing them t When it gets out in public that 22,000 American jobs are on the line and Reps and Senators in those states start howling, thi...

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by Bobloblaw
Wed Sep 27, 2017 4:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: U.S. Dept of Commerce backs Boeing in dispute with Bombardier
Replies: 1424
Views: 96870

Re: Boeing targets Bombardier for “price dumping” CSeries

Finally, all governments make comprises/approach problems with international relations in mind. Triggering a trade war with your number 1 trading partner (and the only one with which the US runs a trade surplus) is a compelling constraint that most leaders would apply. Can you please link where the...

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by Bobloblaw
Wed Sep 27, 2017 3:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: U.S. Dept of Commerce backs Boeing in dispute with Bombardier
Replies: 1424
Views: 96870

Re: Boeing targets Bombardier for “price dumping” CSeries

Glad to see some progress made against illegal subsidies. I'm sure Boeing calculated the long term risk and went forward. You can't allow another company to get it's place at the table with government backing like Airbus. You do realise Boeing gets massive handouts from the US government in the for...

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by Bobloblaw
Wed Sep 27, 2017 2:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Portland, OR (PDX) - Airlines missing profitable opportunities...?
Replies: 65
Views: 5440

Re: Portland, OR (PDX) - Airlines missing profitable opportunities...?

In rough numbers, SEA area is over 2x the population and around 5x the wealth of PDX area. So SEA has 2.5x the per capita income of PDX??? I dont think so. Why wouldnt SEA-ICT be profitable, Boeing is the reason and a quick check shows AS will be up slightly in seats for PDX Perhaps you aren't awar...

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by Bobloblaw
Wed Sep 27, 2017 2:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: U.S. Dept of Commerce backs Boeing in dispute with Bombardier
Replies: 1424
Views: 96870

Re: Boeing targets Bombardier for “price dumping” CSeries

I suppose the following will happen: 1: Canada will dump the F-18E/F order and completely bury the F-35 as well. Both will be replaced by either Rafael or Typhoon orders 2: Canada will impose a similar tariff on all Boeing products, including spares and support, forcing AC to cancel their Max order...

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by Bobloblaw
Wed Sep 27, 2017 1:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Portland, OR (PDX) - Airlines missing profitable opportunities...?
Replies: 65
Views: 5440

Re: Portland, OR (PDX) - Airlines missing profitable opportunities...?

Gsdlimey wrote:
In rough numbers, SEA area is over 2x the population and around 5x the wealth of PDX area.


So SEA has 2.5x the per capita income of PDX??? I dont think so.


Why wouldnt SEA-ICT be profitable, Boeing is the reason and a quick check shows AS will be up slightly in seats for PDX

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by Bobloblaw
Sun Sep 24, 2017 10:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 9/24/2017:DL Boosts Transatlantic
Replies: 67
Views: 9977

Re: OAG Changes 9/24/2017:DL Boosts Transatlantic

Why all the DL cuts in SEA? With the AS meltdown, looks like DL should be adding flights. There is no AS meltdown. BTW It looks to me like far far more DL transatlantic cuts than adds Well whenever the US3's regional carriers have issues, it boils down to the mainline carrier, and AS is no exceptio...

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by Bobloblaw
Sun Sep 24, 2017 7:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 9/24/2017:DL Boosts Transatlantic
Replies: 67
Views: 9977

Re: OAG Changes 9/24/2017:DL Boosts Transatlantic

Why all the DL cuts in SEA? With the AS meltdown, looks like DL should be adding flights. There is no AS meltdown. Ok, QX melt down. AS loyalists booking away in droves. I know I'm even booking away from QX flights right now. It looked nasty when I was last in Seattle - lots and lots of regional ca...

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by Bobloblaw
Sun Sep 24, 2017 7:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 9/24/2017:DL Boosts Transatlantic
Replies: 67
Views: 9977

Re: OAG Changes 9/24/2017:DL Boosts Transatlantic

DDR wrote:
Why all the DL cuts in SEA? With the AS meltdown, looks like DL should be adding flights.


There is no AS meltdown.

BTW It looks to me like far far more DL transatlantic cuts than adds

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by Bobloblaw
Sat Sep 16, 2017 11:28 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why didn't DL keep main services from MEM?
Replies: 16
Views: 3035

Re: Why didn't DL keep main services from MEM?

MEM doesn't generate the business traffic CVG does.

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by Bobloblaw
Fri Sep 15, 2017 10:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Local News: Southwest Headed to Fresno?
Replies: 41
Views: 5275

Re: Local News: Southwest Headed to Fresno?

flyfresno wrote:
Bobloblaw wrote:
Your headline is too optimistic for the actual story. The local news doesn't at all say WN is headed to FAT. They just ask is WN is coming to FAT.


Did you watch the video? It says the airline is in "serious discussions with the city."



They have serious discussions with lots of cities

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by Bobloblaw
Fri Sep 15, 2017 10:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Local News: Southwest Headed to Fresno?
Replies: 41
Views: 5275

Re: Local News: Southwest Headed to Fresno?

Your headline is too optimistic for the actual story. The local news doesn't at all say WN is headed to FAT. They just ask is WN is coming to FAT.

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