Search found 11059 matches

by commavia
Sun Jul 23, 2017 2:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Expansion at CLT
Replies: 51
Views: 9286

Re: AA Expansion at CLT

Not necessarily. Most of Air Wisconsin's flying was/is farther north in DCA PHL and LGA, which has pretty much been dished out to PSA, Piedmont, and Envoy respectively. Several of Air Wisconsin's aircraft have been parked already, and with the coming (slow but eventual) of Envoy CRJ-700s to PSA and...

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by commavia
Sun Jul 23, 2017 2:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG CHanges 7/23/2017:AA Drops DCA-FLL/LAX-CUN, SY Drops DCA, UA Adds LAX-SGU/DEN-PUB
Replies: 15
Views: 1376

Re: OAG CHanges 7/23/2017:AA Drops DCA-FLL/LAX-CUN, SY Drops DCA, UA Adds LAX-SGU/DEN-PUB

True, although this leaves only B6 and WN on DCA-FLL at 5x and 2x, respectively, to connect DC's preferred O&D domestic airport to South Florida's preferred O&D domestic airport. Seven daily flights between two of FLL's largest carriers seems perfectly sufficient to me. With AA concentratin...

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by commavia
Sun Jul 23, 2017 2:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boston Aviation - Part 13
Replies: 834
Views: 85901

Re: Boston Aviation - Part 13

I know you're being rhetorical, but it's a pretty solid timeline. 1. WN ate those legacies' lunch, so they cut service. 2. WN started service to BOS, so people who drove to MHT specifically for WN didn't anymore. 3. The Ted/Big Dig finished, making BOS easier to get to. 4. The fare/other savings at...

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by commavia
Sun Jul 23, 2017 1:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG CHanges 7/23/2017:AA Drops DCA-FLL/LAX-CUN, SY Drops DCA, UA Adds LAX-SGU/DEN-PUB
Replies: 15
Views: 1376

Re: OAG CHanges 7/23/2017:AA Drops DCA-FLL/LAX-CUN, SY Drops DCA, UA Adds LAX-SGU/DEN-PUB

Wow, for all that this was cracked to be, this became a bit of a short gig - pun intended. I don't think the Brazilian economy has recovered to support DL in this market beyond January, two weeks in July and two weeks around Carnival. Ha, yeah. I agree that this market may not yet be ready to suppo...

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by commavia
Sun Jul 23, 2017 1:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG CHanges 7/23/2017:AA Drops DCA-FLL/LAX-CUN, SY Drops DCA, UA Adds LAX-SGU/DEN-PUB
Replies: 15
Views: 1376

Re: OAG CHanges 7/23/2017:AA Drops DCA-FLL/LAX-CUN, SY Drops DCA, UA Adds LAX-SGU/DEN-PUB

It was only a matter of time. Too many airlines. *AA LAX-CUN NOV 1.0>0.2 DEC 1.0>0 JAN 1.0>0 FEB 1.0>0 MAR 1.0>0 That, plus I don't think AA's schedule helped, either - it was lower cost given aircraft utilization, but arguably sub-optimal in a once-daily leisure market. *UA LAX-SGU OCT 0>0.9 NOV 0...

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by commavia
Sat Jul 22, 2017 3:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B6 to expand JFK T5; possible connect to T7
Replies: 25
Views: 5219

Re: B6 to expand JFK T5; possible connect to T7

BA and AA need to think about the next 50 years, which means first build out the AA T8 to its original dimensions and expand it if they can. Its getting crowded there with LATAM and now Cathay as well as all the AA flights. As already stated by another poster, I strongly suspect that is still the l...

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by commavia
Sat Jul 22, 2017 11:23 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska CEO on Airbus
Replies: 148
Views: 22889

Re: Alaska CEO on Airbus

Would it not be wise to use the 321 NEOs as a separate sub fleet? Perhaps for an enhanced transcon product? Considering their presence now in the larger West Coast markets, it could be a ready-made solution for their future fleet while also keeping them competitive with the Big Three in the premium...

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by commavia
Fri Jul 21, 2017 3:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL will fund LGA terminal project without Goldman
Replies: 54
Views: 6826

Re: DL will fund LGA terminal project without Goldman

It always made sense from a financial standpoint for LGA Gateway partners to want AA to be the anchor tenant of the new CTB. It mitigates the risk. :checkmark: Indeed. AA would of course be the anchor tenant of the new B seeing as it's already the CTB's largest user - even before the consolidation ...

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by commavia
Fri Jul 21, 2017 2:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL will fund LGA terminal project without Goldman
Replies: 54
Views: 6826

Re: DL will fund LGA terminal project without Goldman

Anybody who thinks that moving the Shuttles to the current DL terminals is in any way an improvement is mistaken. The MAT makes the Shuttle a civilized experience, and DL can roll out perks in that building that make it special. I know BOS is now at the regular terminals, which is too bad, but happ...

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by commavia
Fri Jul 21, 2017 1:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL will fund LGA terminal project without Goldman
Replies: 54
Views: 6826

Re: DL will fund LGA terminal project without Goldman

I was gonna say. My inside info has another airline(s) at the MAT in the near future. "The near future." Meaning prior to these new terminals being completed in the early 2020s? Wow. Benefits DL to be solely in C/D, AA to be consolidated and smaller airlines to be at MAT :checkmark: Seems...

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by commavia
Fri Jul 21, 2017 12:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B6 to expand JFK T5; possible connect to T7
Replies: 25
Views: 5219

Re: B6 to expand JFK T5; possible connect to T7

T5 to be expanded to T6 site and possibly connect to T7. Hardly surprising. Seeing as no new slots are being created at JFK, the only carrier that would have ever plausibly had much interest in further developing the T6 site would, naturally, be JetBlue. Some more gates and more international capac...

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by commavia
Fri Jul 21, 2017 12:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United President Says F9 Expansion Is "Sign of Failure"
Replies: 111
Views: 14803

Re: United President Says F9 Expansion Is "Sign of Failure"

The traveling public seems to disagree with you. Let's look at 2015 to 2016 passenger growth statistics Spirit +19.1% Frontier +17.5% United +5% Southwest +5% Delta + 3.2% American - data not useable due to LCC / AA integration I generally agree with your point - as much as the media loves to whine...

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by commavia
Fri Jul 21, 2017 12:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL will fund LGA terminal project without Goldman
Replies: 54
Views: 6826

Re: DL will fund LGA terminal project without Goldman

The new CTA is a "greenfield" development. It looks like the new Delta terminal will be grafted onto the existing buildings. Sure. I just mean that from a facility/infrastructure design standpoint, having a single unified Delta terminal is better than the current setup of the legacy Delta...

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by commavia
Fri Jul 21, 2017 12:55 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL will fund LGA terminal project without Goldman
Replies: 54
Views: 6826

Re: DL will fund LGA terminal project without Goldman

Why does DL need a terminal at LGA? As Delta's operation has become far more connection-intensive, Delta's LGA terminal setup has become progressively less optimal. It's logical why Delta would want to construct a single, unified, purpose-built facility that is designed with less of an emphasis on ...

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by commavia
Thu Jul 20, 2017 11:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL will fund LGA terminal project without Goldman
Replies: 54
Views: 6826

Re: DL will fund LGA terminal project without Goldman

Wow. That is a pretty amazing amount of investment for an airline to capitalize for stuff that doesn't fly.

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by commavia
Thu Jul 20, 2017 5:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What are some TATL routes Norwegian could tackle next?
Replies: 84
Views: 6516

Re: What are some TATL routes Norwegian could tackle next?

The route to long-term, sustained profitability? :)

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by commavia
Thu Jul 20, 2017 12:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United U.S - China Secondary Growth
Replies: 20
Views: 2781

Re: United U.S - China Secondary Growth

I always assumed that HGH and XIY were part of a longer term strategy to gain a foothold in China; even though there aren't high yields, it does prevent AA/DL from trying to invest. It doesn't "prevent" anything - neither AA nor Delta were going to be flying to non-coastal China in 2017, ...

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by commavia
Thu Jul 20, 2017 12:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL plans to relaunch ATL-PVG in 2018
Replies: 61
Views: 7689

Re: DL plans to relaunch ATL-PVG in 2018

But that's what you specifically stated. No, I never "specifically stated" that. What I "specifically stated" was that the timing of the ATL-PVG schedule synced with the timing of the ATL-JNB schedule, but I never used the word "only" - nor did I ever imply that the ai...

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by commavia
Thu Jul 20, 2017 12:18 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boston Aviation - Part 13
Replies: 834
Views: 85901

Re: Boston Aviation - Part 13

^^^ That right there is why MHT has suffered and continues to struggle ^^^ I've lived in several communities that have struggled with air service now.... you ALWAYS have to support the local airport if you want it to succeed. (this is especially true for smaller airports with only a handful to a do...

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by commavia
Thu Jul 20, 2017 12:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United U.S - China Secondary Growth
Replies: 20
Views: 2781

Re: United U.S - China Secondary Growth

The government will never allow it to happen, and they have all the monetary and fiscal flexibility in place to stop it, contrary to the 2008 subprime housing crash in the US. We'll see. Most second and third tier cities in China are still recording close to 10% growth annualy. What a remarkable ec...

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by commavia
Wed Jul 19, 2017 11:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL plans to relaunch ATL-PVG in 2018
Replies: 61
Views: 7689

Re: DL plans to relaunch ATL-PVG in 2018

If one aircraft is linked to ATL-JNB-ATL-PVG-ATL times, it means the aircraft sits for over 1/3rd of the time of a complete rotation. There doesn't seem to be anything special about the timing for that rotational link as many hours are spent on the ground at ATL in both directions. This schedule do...

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by commavia
Wed Jul 19, 2017 10:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL plans to relaunch ATL-PVG in 2018
Replies: 61
Views: 7689

Re: DL plans to relaunch ATL-PVG in 2018

Sightseer wrote:
The timing is indeed great for PVG O&D and US connections.


:checkmark: The timing is also great for aircraft utilization - in connection with the ATL-JNB departure/arrival times.

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by commavia
Wed Jul 19, 2017 5:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AF/KL Managers Have No Confidence In Future Of Cooperation
Replies: 63
Views: 9909

Re: AF/KL Managers Have No Confidence In Future Of Cooperation

Sure it matters, because this internal fight is consuming energy that should be used to fight the competition. And two management teams and two headquarters are just a waste of money. Let me clarify. Obviously this level of discord and disconnection between the two carriers' cultures "matters&...

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by commavia
Wed Jul 19, 2017 5:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL plans to relaunch ATL-PVG in 2018
Replies: 61
Views: 7689

Re: DL plans to relaunch ATL-PVG in 2018

Under-rated theory as to why they announced now... If the DOT does reconsider the AA LAX-PEK award, AA won't be able to say "Delta can use their NRT-PVG authority, if they want it so bad." And by flying from ATL, Delta serves a significant public interest by connecting the Southeast to Ch...

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by commavia
Wed Jul 19, 2017 3:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AF/KL Managers Have No Confidence In Future Of Cooperation
Replies: 63
Views: 9909

Re: AF/KL Managers Have No Confidence In Future Of Cooperation

Wow, pretty stunning if these quotes are accurate and reflective of broader sentiment among the two work groups. Although, does it really matter? At this point, it seems like the gravitational pull keeping these two together, whatever the misgivings of each carrier's respective staffs, is too strong...

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by commavia
Wed Jul 19, 2017 1:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: When Will We See a New US/China Air Service Agreement?
Replies: 1
Views: 240

Re: When Will We See a New US/China Air Service Agreement?

Seeing as how both US and Chinese carriers have claimed all available Zone 1 frequencies (to/from PEK, PVG, and CAN), I was wondering if that would prompt negotiations over an expanded bilateral to allow for more growth in the US-China market. Has there been any discussion about that? How long woul...

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by commavia
Wed Jul 19, 2017 1:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL plans to relaunch ATL-PVG in 2018
Replies: 61
Views: 7689

Re: DL plans to relaunch ATL-PVG in 2018

I thought LAX-PEK would be better for the DL network and still expect DL (and AA) to be in that market in the long run. Could well be, but assuming - which I think is reasonable - that Delta is ultimately unsuccessful at prying the existing award away from AA, it may be emphasis on the long run as ...

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by commavia
Wed Jul 19, 2017 1:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL plans to relaunch ATL-PVG in 2018
Replies: 61
Views: 7689

Re: DL plans to relaunch ATL-PVG in 2018

Very interesting - good for Delta, and ATL. They'll have to cut NRT-PVG Yep - I guess this must be funded with the end of NRT-PVG. I was clearly wrong - I thought they'd wait until AA's LAX-PEK was resolved to decide on how to reallocate those seven PVG frequencies. I still personally expect that AA...

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by commavia
Tue Jul 18, 2017 11:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A350 Dead In North America?
Replies: 69
Views: 19917

Re: A350 Dead In North America?

Timing indeed. Within the mergers of the US3, each was split on future wide body orders. (A350s for United and US Airways, B787s for NW, AA, and CO). This all resulted in a glut of widebody orders and left the airlines scratching their heads as to which to take first, if at all. The 787 also has he...

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by commavia
Tue Jul 18, 2017 10:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United 2Q17 $818M Net Profit, Defers A350s
Replies: 71
Views: 12096

Re: United 2Q17 $818M Net Profit

No Wall Street is not happy (UAs stock is down after hours) but it has nothing to do with today's results which beat expectations quite handily. Wall Street is annoyed as UA is projecting PRASM to be -1 to +1 (ie flat) during Q3...wall street was looking for PRASM growth which is rather short sight...

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by commavia
Tue Jul 18, 2017 9:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United 2Q17 $818M Net Profit, Defers A350s
Replies: 71
Views: 12096

United 2Q17 $818M Net Profit, Defers A350s

http://newsroom.united.com/2017-07-18-United-Airlines-Reports-Second-Quarter-2017-Performance * $818M net profit (8.2% net margin) / $846M ex-special items * "Top airline operation among major competitors," including completion and on-time arrival/departure in Q2 * Consolidated PRASM +2.1...

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by commavia
Tue Jul 18, 2017 5:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Significant System Wide Frontier Announcement Tuesday July 18th
Replies: 309
Views: 34458

Re: Significant System Wide Frontier Announcement Tuesday July 18th

I think AA may enter all the new ones except Trenton. I have no idea if this will ultimately end up pushing AA to launch nonstop service on any of these routes, but I agree that, at a minimum, MIA-BUF and MIA-PVD seem (as they long have seemed) like obvious E175 routes. Will be interesting to see h...

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by commavia
Tue Jul 18, 2017 1:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Most senior employee in industry celebrates 75 years
Replies: 28
Views: 5107

Re: Most senior employee in industry celebrates 75 years

What an incredible, inspirational story. To have that much purpose and passion your entire life is truly remarkable. And I think many of us here can relate to that level of lifelong fascination with, and love for, aviation.

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by commavia
Tue Jul 18, 2017 12:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Applies For LAX-PEK
Replies: 420
Views: 76022

Re: AA Applies For LAX-PEK

I strongly suspect that those parties have the most influence over a hypothetical CZ alliance switch, a switch that doesn't even need to occur for AA and CZ to partner up. Precisely. I just checked the list of parties whose opinions on the AA-China Southern alliance ultimately matter to the outcome...

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by commavia
Mon Jul 17, 2017 7:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Applies For LAX-PEK
Replies: 420
Views: 76022

Re: AA Applies For LAX-PEK

You are overstating the importance of Delta, who isn't actually the king/despotic dictator of SkyTeam. It's an "alliance," the opinions of other airlines count for something as well. The relationship between DL and CZ is not particularly material and relatively easily replicated by their ...

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by commavia
Mon Jul 17, 2017 3:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DOT Approves Norwegian Air UK permits
Replies: 7
Views: 1828

Re: DOT Approves Norwegian Air UK permits

DOT well knows there is no legal ground to reject the application but in the face of the insistent lobbying the file keeps getting moved to the bottom of the pile. :checkmark: There was never any plausible legal basis on which the U.S. was going to deny this application. I fully understand why the ...

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by commavia
Mon Jul 17, 2017 3:35 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: A Netters: Rank Your Most Revolutionary Commerical Aircraft.
Replies: 13
Views: 547

Re: A Netters: Rank Your Most Revolutionary Commerical Aircraft.

The A320 has obviously been an immensely successful aircraft, but I'm not sure it has been as truly "revolutionary" as the 707, 747 and 777. If anything, in terms of completely altering the market dynamics for narrowbody transportation, I'd say the 737 or DC-9 probably ranks higher - long-...

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by commavia
Mon Jul 17, 2017 3:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Applies For LAX-PEK
Replies: 420
Views: 76022

Re: AA Applies For LAX-PEK

What I am saying is that the numbers you are quoting are apples to oranges as all of the airlines divvy up revenue/costs differently. :checkmark: Exactly. Arguments about the individual profitability of one region or another for one particular carrier or another - as informed by data reported to th...

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by commavia
Mon Jul 17, 2017 12:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: When (and where) will AA Finally Consolidate Ops @ ATL?
Replies: 4
Views: 1150

Re: When (and where) will AA Finally Consolidate Ops @ ATL?

This was discussed in a thread months ago - there is more detail there. AA will consolidate on T, but cannot do so until T is expanded to the north.

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by commavia
Mon Jul 17, 2017 12:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What's Next For TPA (Route Wise)?
Replies: 151
Views: 12781

Re: What's Next For TPA (Route Wise)?

From google maps, looks like gates 83, 87, 88, and 90 are striped for widebodies. 83W blocks 82, and 87W blocks 86. Not sure if 86, 88, 90 can handle widebodies simultaneously -- may be that only 2 of the 3 can. Assuming that's 3 widebody gates at one time, and each can only be used during one dail...

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by commavia
Mon Jul 17, 2017 12:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Applies For LAX-PEK
Replies: 420
Views: 76022

Re: AA Applies For LAX-PEK

The bottom line is that Delta and United can "decide" whatever they want for themselves - still don't know what's stopping them! :roll: In the meantime, AA is going to do just what AA is (successfully) doing - investing in the development of a network across the Pacific built around three ...

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by commavia
Sun Jul 16, 2017 10:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Applies For LAX-PEK
Replies: 420
Views: 76022

Re: AA Applies For LAX-PEK

Size in the market does matter when airlines pick partners Undoubtedly. That's probably why Delta has spent billions buying up stakes in airlines in places - Mexico, Brazil, the UK, China, India, etc. - where its size and market presence is inferior to one or both of its U.S. network peers. so it i...

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by commavia
Sun Jul 16, 2017 8:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New AA International routes
Replies: 67
Views: 15617

Re: New AA International routes

AA needs to consolidate on the eastcoast to improve feed. CLT/PHL/JFK/DCA/BOS/MIA. BOS doesn't belong on that list. And among the other five, I actually think the first three years post-merger has proven what many of us suspect all along - which is that AA's dense hub structure - and accompanying n...

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by commavia
Sun Jul 16, 2017 8:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: WN to Hawaii?
Replies: 114
Views: 10894

Re: WN to Hawaii?

The question is - if WN is late to the Hawaii party, and it is high competition lower margin flyers, then why should they do it at all? I don't agree with the characterization or presumption that Hawaii is "high competition lower margin flyers." But nonetheless, to be clear, I'm not sayin...

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by commavia
Sun Jul 16, 2017 7:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: WN to Hawaii?
Replies: 114
Views: 10894

Re: WN to Hawaii?

You are correct. The "party" that WN was early to was staying profitable for decades. Indeed but, to horribly over-extend this metaphor, Southwest was so happy at its own party that it didn't realize the larger party was moving to another club. Thus why Southwest is just now introducing t...

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by commavia
Sun Jul 16, 2017 7:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Applies For LAX-PEK
Replies: 420
Views: 76022

Re: AA Applies For LAX-PEK

We've made a lot of progress in the discussion As long as there is a recognition that AA will not likely operate the route by itself and it might have lower financial returns and DL and UA might end up with as large of an Asian operation at LAX, then we are all on the same page. I'm so glad "o...

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by commavia
Sun Jul 16, 2017 6:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Applies For LAX-PEK
Replies: 420
Views: 76022

Re: AA Applies For LAX-PEK

Are you suggesting that AA will try to jump ship to Daxing - and leave its (admittedly limited) OW connecting partners behind? I'm merely alluding to what Bloomberg has reported : "Oneworld member American Airlines Group Inc., announced in March a 2.7 percent stake purchase in China Southern f...

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by commavia
Sun Jul 16, 2017 5:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Applies For LAX-PEK
Replies: 420
Views: 76022

Re: AA Applies For LAX-PEK

The only issue that is being debated is that AA can ultimately perform financially in LAX to Asia as DL or UA. That's not being debated at all, because it's the definition of "missing the forest for the trees." AA isn't investing to make 15% net margins on every single LAX-Asia flight. An...

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by commavia
Sun Jul 16, 2017 2:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: WN to Hawaii?
Replies: 114
Views: 10894

Re: WN to Hawaii?

I know talk of mergers/acquisitions are near anathema for some on this sight, but...it seems like a WN/AS union could have significant benefits for both parties. Not least of which would be an immediate, and fairly large, presence for WN in Hawaii; a market that some believe is saturated. I think a...

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by commavia
Sun Jul 16, 2017 2:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: WN to Hawaii?
Replies: 114
Views: 10894

Re: WN to Hawaii?

OzarkD9S wrote:
Much like what WN could have had at JFK (NYC) pre-B6...WN is going to be very late to the Hawaii party.


Yep, agreed - I'll believe it when I see it. This is an example of yet another "party" Southwest is late to.

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