Search found 130 matches

by sq256
Thu Aug 02, 2018 3:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JAL to Launch new (Long-haul) LCC by 2020
Replies: 44
Views: 4417

Re: Japan Airlines to start new Long Haul Low Cost airline

Considering how much JAL lags behind ANA now in terms of medium and long haul, an LCC may allow them to break thru, and there are certainly a lot of opportunities. First, destinations such as HNL and BNE can be transferred to the LCC. JAL doesn't fly to BNE. It's already covered by QF and JL codesh...

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by sq256
Sun Oct 15, 2017 4:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: When will Virgin Australia expand its network?
Replies: 26
Views: 3530

Re: When will Virgin Australia expand its network?

As far as expansion goes, I'd suggest the selling off of the E-Jet and ATR families of aircraft will have a subsequent impact on passengers flown. So from this perspective the airline will probably be in contraction for a few years as it exits the (regional) markets that were a drain on its profits...

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by sq256
Fri Oct 13, 2017 1:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: When will Virgin Australia expand its network?
Replies: 26
Views: 3530

Re: When will Virgin Australia expand its network?

As mentioned, you won't see VA expanding outside of their HK/China plans (using the A330s) anytime soon considering their financial situation ever since they rebranded from the Virgin Blue LCC to hybrid-carrier Virgin Australia. VA as already mentioned was also crippled with the multiple shareholder...

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by sq256
Sun Sep 24, 2017 1:39 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2017
Replies: 395
Views: 38077

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2017

From what I am can work out VA is trying to transform itself back to something a tad more luxurious than the old VB. Putting my Armchair CEO hat, getting more consistency at VA would be a start. Reducing their fleet types (which they have started to do), along with the decision of going to MoM (Hyb...

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by sq256
Sat Sep 23, 2017 6:02 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2017
Replies: 395
Views: 38077

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2017

At least SYD shares the 'pain' of Bus Boarding between all carriers (home & overseas) rather than adopting the standard at other international ports of subjecting the 'Home Carriers' to bus boarding whilst dedicating the jetways to international carriers Most other ports worldwide (& MEL fro...

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by sq256
Fri Sep 22, 2017 4:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA announces IAH-SYD, starting Jan 18, 2018
Replies: 155
Views: 26434

Re: UA announces IAH-SYD, starting Jan 18, 2018

I wonder how this will impact the QF/AA JV that is in the pipelines, this to me would highlight conpetition is live and well, and the DOT should not be worried about AA/QF, and would look to approve NZ/UA as pacific JV. It also highlights to me, VA have once again chosen a the wrong partner. UA and...

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by sq256
Sun Sep 17, 2017 4:04 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2017
Replies: 395
Views: 38077

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2017

According to this article there is an airline looking Bali and beyond from TSV, though the person who has mentioned this is a politician so I will believe it when something is actually announced http://www.townsvillebulletin.com.au/news/options-in-store-for-bali-flights-as-jetstar-cease-services/ne...

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by sq256
Thu Sep 14, 2017 9:31 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2017
Replies: 395
Views: 38077

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2017

Someone's gotta tell them that a full plane doesn't automatically equal profit. If JQ had to continually offer $99 base fares (not including baggage and credit card fees) to fill up the flights, it only confirms the suspicions that the yields on TSV-DPS were extremely low, making the route unviable.

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by sq256
Wed Sep 13, 2017 2:32 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Would UA and/or AA adopt a similar p2p/focus city strategy to keep up with DL?
Replies: 71
Views: 10034

Re: Would UA and/or AA adopt a similar p2p/focus city strategy to keep up with DL?

Past attempts at Focus Cities didn't quite work with UA (Seattle & Miami). Although UA never considered JFK as a "hub" or "focus city", their JFK operations at their peak was one large O&D outstation with a international crew base, at least before UA's drawback to just p....

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by sq256
Mon Sep 04, 2017 7:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2017
Replies: 395
Views: 38077

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2017

I have heard on the grapevine that an airline (from Asia) that currently does not fly to PER yet has been in town evaluating the airport over the past week or so I know who it is- a little out of left field and not that exciting, but I guess it's an extra notch in the PER belt. The monopoly carrier...

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by sq256
Sat Sep 02, 2017 2:26 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: American Airlines at JFK, A Few Years From Now
Replies: 29
Views: 3384

Re: American Airlines at JFK, A Few Years From Now

IMO, JFK may be "right-sized" for AA to be primarily a O&D "hub", similar to how LAX is for UA.

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by sq256
Tue Aug 29, 2017 8:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2017
Replies: 550
Views: 54573

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2017

I have just read that BNE CEO Julieanne Alroe stating that the QF 789s would allow an increase of up 70,000 seats per year on the BNE-USA route (in general, not LAX in particular). So, assuming the current 744 config of 364 seats per day = 2548 per week (132860 per year) Extra 70000 seats per year =...

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by sq256
Tue Aug 29, 2017 5:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2017
Replies: 550
Views: 54573

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2017

My guess for the 4 BNE based B789s: The first 2: BNE-LAX-JFK-LAX-BNE will switch from B744 to B789, this will also enable aircraft rotation on the return through LAX with the MEL based B789s (QF96) The second 2: BNE-DFW-BNE, this will pick up some of the capacity short fall by the replacement of th...

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by sq256
Fri Aug 18, 2017 9:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2017
Replies: 550
Views: 54573

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2017

wouldn't AVV & OOL be perfect for Norwegian ? AVV doesn't have customs for passenger services currently, although it could be done NZ got customs added to MCY for there flight to AKL. OOL is almost near breaking point, so would need to be in the off-peak. MCY's runway is only long enough for sh...

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by sq256
Wed Aug 16, 2017 1:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Virgin Australia announces a net loss of $185 million for FY16/17
Replies: 103
Views: 10678

Re: Virgin Australia announces a net loss of $185 million for FY16/17

NZ will not be buying out SQ and EY under any scenario. The biggest risk to NZ, and the reason they pulled the pin when they realised where this was heading, is that VA is a larger carrier than NZ. This had the potential to be Ansett 2.0, and could have pulled down NZ if VA really hit the rocks. At...

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by sq256
Tue Aug 15, 2017 3:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Virgin Australia announces a net loss of $185 million for FY16/17
Replies: 103
Views: 10678

Re: Virgin Australia announces a net loss of $185 million for FY16/17

https://www.ausbt.com.au/air-berlin-files-for-insolvency-after-etihad-withdraws-support Expect Alitalia and Virgin Australia to be next on the chopping block for EY divesting from their investments (and away from the "Hogan" legacy). Though both Alitalia and Air Berlin were both known to b...

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by sq256
Mon Aug 14, 2017 3:12 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Virgin Australia announces a net loss of $185 million for FY16/17
Replies: 103
Views: 10678

Re: Virgin Australia announces a net loss of $185 million for FY16/17

I think what needs to happen is a massive simplification and retreat to the domestic market. Strip all the cost out of the business and position yourself as the cheaper qantas and more civilised Jetstar. Cheap fares that are unbundled but give you plus legroom, plus luggage, plus food (like NZ). Gr...

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by sq256
Sat Aug 12, 2017 1:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Virgin Australia announces a net loss of $185 million for FY16/17
Replies: 103
Views: 10678

Re: Virgin Australia announces a net loss of $185 million for FY16/17

VA has never made a full financial year profit since their days as DJ the LCC.

There has been the occasional "quarterly" profit from VA, but that counts for nothing when the full financial year ends in a loss.

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by sq256
Sat Aug 12, 2017 11:23 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Virgin Australia announces a net loss of $185 million for FY16/17
Replies: 103
Views: 10678

Re: Virgin Australia announces a net loss of $185 million for FY16/17

I suspect Borghetti was well aware of the low yield he would be facing into China but he simply did not have another option when no one else would inject cash into his airline when he needed it other than HNA. He probably also thought HNA would be happy to lease them some long haul aircraft they di...

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by sq256
Thu Aug 10, 2017 12:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Virgin Australia announces a net loss of $185 million for FY16/17
Replies: 103
Views: 10678

Re: Virgin Australia announces a net loss of $185 million for FY16/17

I would go as far as saying they should also end than Trans-Tasman service, and just keep coding sharing with VA for the Tasman feed. With NZ using additional 787/777 services on the Tasman/Pacific ex-AKL it could free up some A320s to release VA from the remaining Tasman Network. Surely after losi...

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by sq256
Thu Aug 10, 2017 6:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Virgin Australia announces a net loss of $185 million for FY16/17
Replies: 103
Views: 10678

Re: Virgin Australia announces a net loss of $185 million for FY16/17

Putting on my armchair CEO hat, whilst it's too easy to say VA should pull out of almost all international routes and focus mostly being on a AU/NZ Domestic & Trans-Tasman carrier, I personally do think they have a place on the international stage, if managed carefully (which is no where near th...

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by sq256
Wed Aug 02, 2017 11:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is the Bay Area the only region in the US to have three Int'l airports?
Replies: 89
Views: 11312

Re: Is the Bay Area the only region in the US to have three Int'l airports?

The SE Queensland region in Australia (Brisbane & the Coasts) have 2 full-time Intl Airports (BNE & OOL), and 2 smaller Airports with limited Intl services - MCY (Seasonal NZ services to AKL) & WTB (1 per week freighter service to HKG). That's 4 Airports in the region with Intl services ...

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by sq256
Mon Jun 19, 2017 1:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2017
Replies: 292
Views: 39172

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2017

Personally, I would love to see 9W launch MEL & SYD from BOM - split into maybe 3x weekly each. If you look at the India side (http://www.tourism.australia.com/documents/Markets/TASI11145_Market_Profiles_2017_India-Full-V5.pdf) the southern half of India dominate tourist flows. With the state o...

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by sq256
Wed Jun 07, 2017 1:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2017
Replies: 292
Views: 39172

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2017

a return on mainline to DPS /CGK. DPS is a beach market with very low yielding demand. Running QF mainline 737s will likely run into a loss for them considering the PER-DPS market is already saturated with LCCs, and there aren't enough CUBs in suits to make QF mainline service on the PER-DPS viable...

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by sq256
Wed May 24, 2017 1:18 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hard Stand Airline in the US......
Replies: 52
Views: 7119

Re: Hard Stand Airline in the US......

EK371 ex-BKK (a DXB redeye) semi-regularly gets bus gates at Bangkok complete with the provided bus ride from the bus gate waiting areas. Usually due to EK384 departing an hour prior to that at one of the A380 gates.

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by sq256
Fri May 19, 2017 8:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Fifth freedom flights of the past
Replies: 14
Views: 1891

Re: Fifth freedom flights of the past

QF had CGK-SIN, SIN-BKK, BKK-HKG & AKL-LAX in the 90s/early 00s.

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by sq256
Thu May 18, 2017 11:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2017
Replies: 402
Views: 42742

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2017

Could Tigerair's 737s make SYD/BNE-APW at full payloads? Both routes seem to be candidates for "Tigerisation" to their LCC subsidiary.

Edit: Looking at SYD-APW's flight times, perhaps not unless if seats are blocked off (payload restricted).

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by sq256
Thu May 18, 2017 12:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2017
Replies: 402
Views: 42742

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2017

Looks like it's "Ansett repeated" for Virgin, although not as bad as Ansett's MkI's situation financially.
Surely Borghetti must be under the pump by now.

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by sq256
Thu May 11, 2017 11:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United's future International Expansion
Replies: 101
Views: 17590

Re: United's future International Expansion

Maybe SFO-MNL or LAX-MNL. That route is long overdue. Both routes are way too low yielding to support 2 carriers profitably (in Y heavy seating configs) on non-stop runs. LAX-BNE anyone? The BNE-LAX route can barely accomodate 2 carriers at satisfactory yields. I'm aware VA lacks the international ...

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by sq256
Thu May 11, 2017 5:04 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2017
Replies: 402
Views: 42742

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2017

JQ & NAN... didn't they also try OOL-NAN and it didn't work? Beach Market to Beach Market route that was a very risky attempt due to the ultra low yield nature on both ends of the route. Not sure if BNE-NAN can support 3-carriers, in addition to JQ's parent company (QF group) having a stake in ...

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by sq256
Wed Apr 26, 2017 2:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2017
Replies: 292
Views: 29819

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2017

eta unknown wrote:
Thai77w wrote:
Re: air asia at BNE.

If it happens there won't be any reductions to OOL. It will be standalone.


Confirmed D7 to BNE is NOT happening.


Malindo Air/Batik Air Malaysia had a 1 month lead time for their BNE-KUL-DPS route. I'll give D7 til early-mid May before writing them off.

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by sq256
Wed Apr 26, 2017 12:07 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2017
Replies: 292
Views: 29819

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2017

Interesting that BNE was not mentioned as a connecting market but CBR,SYD,ADL and MEL were mentioned, I would have thought the flight would get re-timed for the direct LHR flights -what might happen here? Is there a chance QF could rejig some 380s around to operate a BNE-DXB The F market out of BNE...

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by sq256
Sun Apr 16, 2017 2:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2017
Replies: 292
Views: 29819

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2017

I don't think BNE-DFW is on the cards and the 789 will take over BNE-LAX daily- not twice daily. Yes it's less capacity than the 744 but it will enable QF to just carry the higher yield traffic and leave the low hanging fruit to NZ/FJ/HA. I suspect it would be more than daily but less than twice-da...

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by sq256
Sun Mar 26, 2017 6:36 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Are there any failed airline hubs in the world?
Replies: 79
Views: 11616

Re: Are there any failed airline hubs in the world?

United at JFK stands out in my mind. As well as CO Lite at GSO. Don't think UA ever considered JFK a official hub. All I can find that UA had referred to JFK as a "international gateway" in the past and not as a hub. UA relied heavily on O&D for their JFK operations over the years.

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by sq256
Tue Dec 27, 2016 5:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Speculation: UA not being very cooperative with SQ?
Replies: 59
Views: 12210

Re: Speculation: UA not being very cooperative with SQ?

SQ/UA has traditionally been frosty, although both have recently implemented codesharing agreements. However when you compare SQ/UA's relationship with the Oneworld equivalent that is QF/CX, they make SQ/UA look like the best of friends.

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by sq256
Sun Aug 28, 2016 1:07 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Should VA get A380's ?
Replies: 31
Views: 6189

Re: Should VA get A380's ?

I'm of the armchair opinion that VA should get rid of both the A330s and 77Ws in favour of leasing either 788s or 789s (probably funded by their new Chinese investors) which are both flexible for both the SYD/MEL-PER (Coast to Coast) and BNE/SYD-LAX runs. This would mean less seats but improved yiel...

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by sq256
Sat Aug 27, 2016 1:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Should VA get A380's ?
Replies: 31
Views: 6189

Re: Should VA get A380's ?

rbavfan wrote:
I do beleive Delta's JV is with Virgin Atlantic not Virgin Australia. So DL could not replace them with Delta metal under a JV.


You mixed that one up, DL owns a stake in VS, whilst the Transpacific JV is with VA.

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by sq256
Thu Aug 25, 2016 2:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Regularly scheduled domestic flights out of Int'l Terminals
Replies: 35
Views: 3516

Re: Regularly scheduled domestic flights out of Int'l Terminals

Domestic Passengers on the JQ tag-flights that leave from the International Terminals on the East Coast of Australia are required to have a "D" sticker affixed on their boarding pass and hold ID (driver's license) to show to the officers when going through immigration and customs.

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by sq256
Wed Aug 24, 2016 1:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Regularly scheduled domestic flights out of Int'l Terminals
Replies: 35
Views: 3516

Re: Regularly scheduled domestic flights out of Int'l Terminals

Jetstar Australia has a number of domestic tag flights (continuation of International flights) leaving from International Terminals on the East Coast of Australia. Qantas used to have a number of tag flights leaving from International Terminals in the 90s and early 2000s, the last of the tag flights...

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by sq256
Wed Aug 24, 2016 12:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread Part 144
Replies: 210
Views: 26399

Re: Australian Aviation Thread Part 144

TT CBR-MEL thing. I would think taking over from VA on a route like OOL or launching CNS would make more sense. A320 would no doubt be WAY too big for this. In fact, I suspect CBR-OOL may well go if/when all the E190s are gone. Perhaps the CBR-OOL-CBR route may be "tigerised" as part of a...

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by sq256
Wed Aug 24, 2016 12:44 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA Routes 2016 and beyond
Replies: 88
Views: 11913

Re: UA Routes 2016 and beyond

"Now that UA has much more efficient 787 aircraft at its disposal, is it time to think about resuming routes like LAX-AKL, LAX-FRA, LAX-HKG, perhaps even LAX-CDG? In terms of routes UA hasn't tried before, how about LAX-BNE , LAX-CHC, LAX-CNS , LAX-ICN, LAX-OOL , LAX-PEK, LAX-PPT and/or LAX-TL...

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by sq256
Tue Aug 23, 2016 3:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Barcelona to Asia Flights- why don't they exist?
Replies: 19
Views: 3906

Re: Barcelona to Asia Flights- why don't they exist?

BCN may be potential market for the Asian LCCs' long-haul arms if it's a low-yielding destination, e.g. AirAsia X and Scoot.

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by sq256
Tue Aug 16, 2016 4:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Predictions 15 Years On
Replies: 47
Views: 7605

Re: Predictions 15 Years On

Armchair Predictions: 1. The combined AS/VX goes ahead, however some years later before 2031 AS/VX gets bought out/merged into B6 to form a US5 (AA/UA/DL/WN/B6) 2. EK/EY merged into one state owned carrier and ME4 (including Turkish) becomes ME3 3. VS folds as a brand. Aircraft sold or returned to l...

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by sq256
Fri Jul 29, 2016 1:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Virgin Australia Posts $224.7 Million Loss
Replies: 24
Views: 4430

Re: Virgin Australia Posts $224.7 Million Loss

VA are just too over the place.They have no consistency in hard and soft product. Most of the time their fares are higher than QF's which just doesn't make sense since their base fare does not include checked Luggage, in addition to the BoB drinks unless you're lying during "happy hour". ...

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by sq256
Wed Jun 15, 2016 12:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread Part 179
Replies: 208
Views: 22375

Re: RE: New Zealand Aviation Thread Part 179

Quoting kiwiandrew (Reply 41):No, but I imagine they'd care if they painted themselves into a corner ( like NZ did with Ansett) and ended up with a 100% share of a failed airline Sure, they would. But (a) they wouldn't need 100% and (b) if they did it and the airline were to fail, whose head would ...

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by sq256
Fri Jun 10, 2016 5:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Nanshan Group To Buy VA Stake From ANZ
Replies: 25
Views: 2783

RE: Nanshan Group To Buy VA Stake From ANZ

<table border="0" align="CENTER" width="95%" class="quote"><tr><td><font size="2" face="ARIAL, Helvetica, Geneva" color="#9A9DA0">Quoting <a href="/profile/Motorhussy" class="quote" target="_blank">Motorhussy</a> (<a href="#9" class="quote">Reply 9</a>):<br/><i>The domestic Australian feed will stil...

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by sq256
Wed Jun 01, 2016 3:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread Part 141
Replies: 200
Views: 23535

RE: Australian Aviation Thread Part 141

<table border="0" align="CENTER" width="95%" class="quote"><tr><td><font size="2" face="ARIAL, Helvetica, Geneva" color="#9A9DA0">Quoting <a href="/profile/QF2220" class="quote" target="_blank">QF2220</a> (<a href="#120" class="quote">Reply 120</a>):<br/><i>Received a note today from the IASC statin...

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by sq256
Tue May 31, 2016 4:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread Part 141
Replies: 200
Views: 23535

RE: Australian Aviation Thread Part 141

<table border="0" align="CENTER" width="95%" class="quote"><tr><td><font size="2" face="ARIAL, Helvetica, Geneva" color="#9A9DA0">Quoting <a href="/profile/QF2220" class="quote" target="_blank">QF2220</a> (<a href="#108" class="quote">Reply 108</a>):<br/><i> Interesting point. If there is a VA tieup...

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by sq256
Mon May 23, 2016 4:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread Part 141
Replies: 200
Views: 23535

RE: Australian Aviation Thread Part 141

<table border="0" align="CENTER" width="95%" class="quote"><tr><td><font size="2" face="ARIAL, Helvetica, Geneva" color="#9A9DA0">Quoting <a href="/profile/SYDSpotter" class="quote" target="_blank">SYDSpotter</a> (<a href="#25" class="quote">Reply 25</a>):<br/><i>Umm, if you're talking about Tigerai...

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by sq256
Sat May 21, 2016 2:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread Part 141
Replies: 200
Views: 23535

RE: Australian Aviation Thread Part 141

^^ If the analyst's prediction of <acronym title="Singapore Airlines">SQ</acronym> buying the majority (or the entire) VA stake does occur, I'd agree that <acronym title="Air Lithuania">TT</acronym> becoming Scoot Australia would be the most likely tipped scenario. Otherwise if the <acronym title="A...

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