What we'll see (for now) are larger, articulated EV buses to run between LGA and the LIRR Willits Point Station on 90 to 120 second headways.
Jump to postI say this though: as soon as the 737 MAX 10 gets certified, the queue for orders could be quite big. JL needs the planes for operations out of airports besides HND, NRT, NGO, ITM, KIX and FUK to Okinawa and regional international destinations.
Jump to postWith the DoJ officially opposing the B6/NK merger, now you wonder if the F9/NK merger is back on again. People think F9/NK could affect Florida but even the combined F9/NK have to face AA, DL and WN, all of which have a huge presence in Florida.
Jump to postThat will be the end of the A343, 744 and A346 in LH service.
Jump to postI'm not surprised at this large order. India has a huge population and a very large number of expatriates living outside the country, so Air India buying a large number of modern jets is a must. Expect a strong presence of AI A35K's and 779's in North America by 2029.
Jump to postLet's hope they didn't accidently shoot down a private drone used for cartography (you never know what Alphabet is up to these days enhancing their Google Maps).
Jump to postI expect FedEx to ground many of their older planes. They'll be eventually replaced by newer planes by 2030.
Jump to postThis is also good news for EK. EK has 50 A359's on order and (I think) they were going to delay deliveries until the QR/Airbus court case was completed.
Jump to postDidn't AF itself wants to use the A359 as their "bread and butter" long distance plane? I do think that AF will need to consider a 773ER replacement by 2030, and I expect the airline to replace them with the A35K.
Jump to postGiven the size of the A380 wing, I'm surprised we haven't had more of these wing problems.
Jump to postI wouldn't be surprised that NH concentrates all their traffic at SFO. They could use the 777-300ER between HND/NRT and SFO until the 779's arrive probably by late 2025.
Jump to postA couple of comments: 1. If Rolls-Royce can offer by 2030 a very good deal on engine servicing, they could eventually offer an appropriately sized UltraFan engine for the 787-10ER to United. It appears that Rolls-Royce intend to design new engines around the UltraFan technology that are intended for...
Jump to postThe question now: how many of the new 787's ordered will by the 787-10 in the proposed ER configuration with more fuel capacity? Such a plane would allow UA to finally ditch those aging P&W-powered 772ER's.
Jump to postBoof02671 wrote:AA has no plans to retire or replace the 777s yet.
I wonder what LX will replace their A333's with. Did Lufthansa Group order any A339's?
Jump to postSpeaking of AA's fleet, have they decided what to do with the now-aging 772ER fleet? Will the new 789's coming into service over the next several years replace them all?
Jump to postI wonder would AC consider the YUL-MRS and YUL-TLS routes with the A321XLR?
Jump to postQuestion: is DL preparing for a fast retirement of the 752? I know they are running almost in captive (in my opinion!) service on the ATL-MCO flights.
Jump to postI believe DL is about to send a whole bunch of 752's into retirement at the earliest opportunity. Hence the upcoming A321neo deliveries and negotiating for 100 737 MAX 10's. In fact, I believe DL is using the 752 a lot on the ATL-MCO route.
Jump to postMy personal guess: the A321XLR's will be used for Canadian transcontinental flights from YUL and YYZ, flights to the US West Coast from YUL and YYZ, and transatlantic flights from the Atlantic Provinces.
Jump to postWhatever it was, it appears the accident happened with very little to no warning--a potential sign of some sort of catastrophic failure. This is where recovery of the flight data recorder and cockpit voice recorder becomes extremely important.
Jump to postI'll wait for FDR and CVR to be recovered first. But the sudden fall out of the sky makes me REALLY wonder, though....
Jump to postI have this increasing feeling that Boeing is approaching the point of seriously scrapping the 737 MAX program altogether. This means scrapping circa 600 airframes, and the cost would be so daunting that Boeing may be forced into bankruptcy just to protect itself from potential lawsuits from the lik...
Jump to postA 767-4F freighter is a very likely possibility, if the likes of Amazon is willing to foot much of the development costs. Given that Amazon Prime Air is scrounging up as many 767-300F's as possible, getting a 767-4F would be a natural.
Jump to postI am beginning to think that the FAA, EASA and CAAC (China) may not be satisfied with Bosing's MCAS fix for the 737 MAX and there is a small, but not completely zero, chance that the 737 MAX may face a permanent grounding. If that happens, Boeing may have to file for bankruptcy to defray the costs o...
Jump to postI still back my contention that the SYD to LHR and JFK non-stop routes are highly niche operations that cater to a relatively small number of passengers. After all, with the current one stop between SYD and LHR, you can fly CX, EK and SQ now (and take advantage of the excellent lounges at HKG, DXB a...
Jump to postSpeaking of the 777, any news on when will the first 777-9 prototype start engine and eventually taxi tests?
Jump to postLook, I think right now the likely winner will be a higher MTOW version of the 777-8, but seating on the plane will be limited to 240-250 passengers in Premium Economy and Business class seating only. With good reason: with such extremely long flights, deep-vein thrombosis (DVT) becomes a major issu...
Jump to postI think in the end, QF will likely choose the 777-8 (778). With good reason: due to the quite niche nature of the SYD-LHR nonstop route, to minimize issues with deep-vein thrombosis (DVT), the plane will only be equipped with Premium Economy (around 39" seating pitch) and Business class seating...
Jump to postSpeaking of the BAC 1-11, were there any attempts to consider using the Rolls-Royce Tay engine on that plane?
Jump to postI think EK will have a much smaller A388 fleet (about 50 planes at most), and much of the long-range flying will shift to the 777X models. I wouldn't be surprised that some of the EK routes to the USA eventually switches to the 777-9 once that becomes available in quantity.
Jump to postI expect the earliest delivered EK A388's to reach the dismantling stage by the early 2020's. Just how many more SQ A388's will be scrapped early?
Jump to postI think the fact Boeing hasn't resolved the problem with a software upgrade tells me Boeing needs to stop all 737 MAX operations and have a plane subject to testing by NASA's Ames Research Center and Armstrong Flight Research Center to find out what could be really wrong. Is is possible there may be...
Jump to postUntil we recover the black boxes, it's impossible to determine what happened currently, except for two things: 1) what was the maintenance records of the plane and 2) what was the weather conditions?
Jump to postI personally believe one reason why BA has kept the 744 so long is specifically for the route between LHR and JFK. Is it possible that this busy route will be switched to a mix of A388 and 77W (A388 only on the flights with the most demand)?
Jump to postI think we'll need to look at the black box data first before starting to guess what really happened.
Jump to postalancostello wrote:BA kicked the tires when they came up for sale the first time and didn't like the condition or the price.
I think a lot of big company CEO's now have their own bizjets so they can travel to other destinations on a short-turnaround basis. Disney CEO Robert Iger travels exclusively on private jets as part of company policy.
Jump to postI see the 787-10 as a replacement for the older A330 models for ranges up to 5,800 nautical miles. Perfect for transatlantic flying from the eastern half of the continental USA and throughout eastern Asia.
Jump to postMany predicted that war was coming to Europe anyway, especially with the increasing competition for foreign colonies. The saddest legacy was that the generals of World War I tried to fight using 19th Century tactics, something that had horrible results given the use of machine guns and poison gas on...
Jump to postI wonder has EI ordered the A330-900neo, since it now has the range to reach the US West Coast from DUB?
Jump to postWe're going to have to recover the "black boxes" and also look at weather conditions, too. The Java Sea is notorious for violent thunderstorms, and how the Lion Air flight crew reacted to possible thunderstorm conditions may have something to do with the crash.
Jump to postI wonder will the Russians not really market the MC-21 until the Aviadvigatel PD-14 engine is certified?
Jump to postI still wonder has Boeing talked about a lower-weight version of the 777-8 (with a range of around 7,700 nautical miles) that would be of interest to BA? I think a lot of airlines don't need the capacity of the 777-9 but like a 777-8 with 7,700 nautical mile range.
Jump to postI think due to deep-vein thrombosis (DVT) issues, QF may end up ordering a 778 with slightly higher MTOW to accommodate more fuel and seating limited to 240 passengers in roomier Economy and Business class seating for their Project Sunrise jet. It will have the range to fly between SYD and LHR non-s...
Jump to postI do think the 747-400 is rapidly disappearing, and BA may be among the last to fly them. The BA 744's will likely be replaced by a mix of 77W, A35K, 78J and A388 aircraft.
Jump to postMy guess is that the first truly regular SFO to Europe nonstop flights didn't happen until the late 1970's, when BA used the 747-200's equipped with the Rolls-Royce RB.211-524 engines.
Jump to postIf I remember correctly, the early 707's also had a shorter vertical tail, which can sometimes cause a "Dutch roll" problem. That's why when the 707-420 with the Rolls-Royce Conway engines were being certified for BOAC, Boeing designed a taller vertical tall, a change that was eventually r...
Jump to postIn the end, the 797 will look like a reduced-size 787, a double-aisle airliner that will have a range of between 4,100 to 5,300 nautical miles and seating of 220 to 270 passengers depending on fuselage length. The engines will likely be a scaled-up version of the CFM International LEAP or a scaled-u...
Jump to postNo I do not consider the A220 (CSeries) as a true regional jet. A true regional jet normally has less than 100 seats, and even the A220-100 (CS100) can seat over 100 in normal seating configuration. It will likely fill a niche of longer, "thin" routes of up to 2,700 nautical miles.
Jump to post