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by LHRFlyer
Fri Jan 11, 2019 9:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: BE being bought for £2.2m by a consortium including VS, Stobart Group and Cyrus Capital
Replies: 326
Views: 53462

Re: Updated: VS To Be Largest Shareholder In New Airline Group Comprising BE And RE

The shareholders get nothing, but at least this provides for an orderly transition.

A liquidation of the airline would be costly and messy and leave little for creditors.

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by LHRFlyer
Thu Jan 10, 2019 9:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: BE being bought for £2.2m by a consortium including VS, Stobart Group and Cyrus Capital
Replies: 326
Views: 53462

Re: Sky News: Virgin Atlantic and Flybe in talks

Deal confirmed VIRGIN ATLANTIC TO LEAD A FLYBE TAKEOVER https://aviationanalyst.co.uk/2019/01/10/virgin-atlantic-in-talks-to-buy-flybe-analysis/ Extremely poor behaviour by the author of that article not to give Mark Kleinman of Sky News credit for breaking the story. This story by Sky has more sub...

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by LHRFlyer
Tue Dec 11, 2018 5:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: RUMOUR: VS to re-launch BOM ‘19
Replies: 13
Views: 2392

Re: RUMOUR: VS to re-launch BOM ‘19

Would be surprising given that Virgin has previously cancelled this route twice before.

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by LHRFlyer
Sat Dec 08, 2018 5:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How do you think Norwegian could fit within the portfolio of airlines of IAG?
Replies: 31
Views: 4279

Re: How do you think Norwegian could fit within the portfolio of airlines of IAG?

To eliminate the brand and competition and spread the aircraft among the IAG airlines. I don't think IAG would eliminate the brand. Airlines with strong brand recognition outside IAG's home markets are very attractive to IAG. They would keep the name, albeit routes that overlap with other IAG airli...

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by LHRFlyer
Sun Nov 25, 2018 12:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: BE being bought for £2.2m by a consortium including VS, Stobart Group and Cyrus Capital
Replies: 326
Views: 53462

Re: Sky News: Virgin Atlantic and Flybe in talks

I would treat Sunday newspaper stories citing "industry sources" with a heavy degree of scepticism.

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by LHRFlyer
Thu Nov 22, 2018 7:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: BE being bought for £2.2m by a consortium including VS, Stobart Group and Cyrus Capital
Replies: 326
Views: 53462

Re: Sky News: Virgin Atlantic and Flybe in talks

Mark Kleinman’s track record on exclusives is excellent so there is something behind this.

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by LHRFlyer
Tue Nov 13, 2018 11:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Flybe up for sale
Replies: 74
Views: 13216

Re: Flybe up for sale

I'm afraid I don't see IAG being interested. The brand simply isn't strong enough and there's nothing that BACF could not do already.

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by LHRFlyer
Sun Nov 04, 2018 9:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: British Airways A350-1000 with No First Class
Replies: 62
Views: 19295

Re: British Airways A350-1000 with No First Class

The first A350s are planned to replace the 52J 747s, so they will be on routes with softer premium demand.

The new CW seat is a completely new seat. Alex Cruz said there will be gate to gate IFE so it won’t be an evolution of the existing design where the monitor has to be stowed.

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by LHRFlyer
Sat Nov 03, 2018 3:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumour: British Airways - Big Aircraft Order soon
Replies: 248
Views: 59712

Re: Rumour: British Airways - Big Aircraft Order soon

It looks like BA is slowing down the retirement of the 747 over the next couple of years. There'll be five more 747s in service by 2020 than was planned last year. I guess this could allow some 777s to be cascaded to Gatwick. Alex Cruz said yesterday that pairing cities with LHR destinations worked ...

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by LHRFlyer
Fri Oct 26, 2018 10:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: British Airways in the race for the route LHR-SYD non stop?
Replies: 45
Views: 10002

Re: British Airways in the race for the route LHR-SYD non stop?

Willie Walsh has said that he’s not interested in Ultra Long-Haul as he doesn’t think passengers have the appetite for it. That said, he said that he admit to changing his mind about whether an unbundled long-haul economy product would work after seeing passenger responses to Norwegian. If Qantas pr...

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by LHRFlyer
Fri Oct 19, 2018 7:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: BA to Start London Heathrow to Charleston, SC
Replies: 271
Views: 30067

Re: BA to Start London Heathrow to Charleston, SC

This will be an interesting route to watch. It’s a valid question whether there is scope to add more low frequency seasonal long-haul routes. Given what’s involved in setting up new long-haul outstations, I would have thought not, but BA clearly thinks otherwise. I guess it could be similar to the a...

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by LHRFlyer
Wed Oct 17, 2018 10:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Flybe losses much greater than expected - shares tank.
Replies: 41
Views: 6610

Re: Flybe losses much greater than expected - shares tank.

You can never say never with IAG, but given BA effectively paid Flybe to take BA Connect off its hands, it’s highly unlikely.

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by LHRFlyer
Tue Oct 02, 2018 9:07 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: WOW Air financial trouble?
Replies: 74
Views: 20438

Re: WOW Air financial trouble?

I personally don’t buy the idea that Iceland can be the equivalent of Dubai on North Atlantic routes. What Emirates did very well was: a) Provide new one-stop connections on routings that legacy airlines and alliances could only offer as two-stop connections. b) Provide a better in flight and connec...

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by LHRFlyer
Mon Oct 01, 2018 7:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Primera Air bankruptcy
Replies: 185
Views: 37568

Re: Primera Air bankruptcy

I feel sorry for the staff affected, but it was clear from its plans for next summer that it is was pursuing growth far too quickly.

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by LHRFlyer
Wed Sep 05, 2018 1:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why BA is expanding more flights/routes to US than Asia?
Replies: 49
Views: 7251

Re: Why BA is expanding more flights/routes to US than Asia?

To be fair, BA has added quite a few non-North American routes at Heathrow over the past few years: Durban, Kuala Lumpur, Santiago, Seoul and The Seychelles. But I think IAG as a whole is becoming very North Atlantic centric with growth at Aer Lingus, LEVEL and, of course, a possible bid for Norwegi...

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by LHRFlyer
Wed Aug 29, 2018 1:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: BA Cityflyer adding four E190
Replies: 31
Views: 5170

Re: BA Cityflyer adding four E190

I have to admit to being surprised by this with a number of routes having been cancelled and The Elizabeth Line launching to Heathrow.

It’s a big vote of confidence for BACF at LCY.

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by LHRFlyer
Wed Aug 15, 2018 10:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What's Going On In Nashville? - 2018
Replies: 2057
Views: 134079

Re: What's Going On In Nashville? - 2018

The CAA stats for June show that LHR-BNA is performing well, and ahead of LHR-MSY in terms of passenger numbers: http://www.caa.co.uk/uploadedFiles/CAA/Content/Standard_Content/Data_and_analysis/Datasets/Airport_stats/Airport_data_2018_06/Table_12_1_Intl_Air_Pax_Traffic_Route_Analysis.pdf 8,777 pass...

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by LHRFlyer
Sun Aug 05, 2018 9:39 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What's Going On In Nashville? - 2018
Replies: 2057
Views: 134079

Re: What's Going On In Nashville? - 2018

Any indications of when it could be increased to daily and possibly upgauged to a 789? Nothing was said about aircraft or frequency changes, but Willie Walsh was clearly very enthusiastic about its performance. What specifically did he say? Any load factors he cited? I did take the flight recently ...

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by LHRFlyer
Sat Aug 04, 2018 6:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What's Going On In Nashville? - 2018
Replies: 2057
Views: 134079

Re: What's Going On In Nashville? - 2018

At IAG's results presentation yesterday, Willie Walsh described the performance of LHR-BNA as "stunning". Any indications of when it could be increased to daily and possibly upgauged to a 789? Nothing was said about aircraft or frequency changes, but Willie Walsh was clearly very enthusia...

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by LHRFlyer
Sat Aug 04, 2018 10:02 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What's Going On In Nashville? - 2018
Replies: 2057
Views: 134079

Re: What's Going On In Nashville? - 2018

At IAG's results presentation yesterday, Willie Walsh described the performance of LHR-BNA as "stunning".

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by LHRFlyer
Fri Jul 27, 2018 12:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Level's operational issues left 800 passengers stranded in YUL
Replies: 38
Views: 8605

Re: Level's operational issues left 800 passengers stranded in YUL

Isn’t LEVEL part of the AA/AY/BA/IB joint-venture by virtue of the fact their flights are operated by Iberia and the old OpenSkies AOC?

If so, there’s no excuse for not reaccommodating passengers on AA and BA.

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by LHRFlyer
Thu Jul 26, 2018 12:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: BA announces PIT-LHR
Replies: 157
Views: 19470

Re: BA announces PIT-LHR

Pleased to see this new route and look forward to trying it out.

I think we must be coming to the end shortly of new transatlantic routes for BA. Possibly 1-2 more new destinations but that must be it for now.

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by LHRFlyer
Fri Jul 13, 2018 9:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What's the story with this Alex Macheras 'aviation analyst' kid?
Replies: 63
Views: 11188

Re: What's the story with this Alex Macheras 'aviation analyst' kid?

Since Twitter has been removing dubious accounts from follower numbers, Alex’s followers have gone down by 20% in a day.

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by LHRFlyer
Thu Jul 05, 2018 4:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LEVEL launching ORY-YUL today July 2nd.
Replies: 5
Views: 2970

Re: LEVEL launching ORY-YUL today July 2nd.

Has anyone managed to track LEVEL’s ORY flights?

I can’t see them on Flightradar24 or the ORY website.

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by LHRFlyer
Mon Jul 02, 2018 2:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LEVEL launching ORY-YUL today July 2nd.
Replies: 5
Views: 2970

Re: LEVEL launching ORY-YUL today July 2nd.

http://www.iairgroup.com/phoenix.zhtml? ... ID=2356799
-->

IAG has also said today that there will be 3 aircraft at ORY and 4 aircraft at BCN in 2019:

http://www.iairgroup.com/phoenix.zhtml? ... ID=2356799

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by LHRFlyer
Thu Jun 28, 2018 1:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Virgin Atlantic drops Dubai
Replies: 121
Views: 20717

Re: Virgin Atlantic drops Dubai

I don’t see VS launching any new eastbound routes.

It takes a lot of investment to launch a new route and VS clearly seems focused on North America and tactically adding capacity where appropriate.

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by LHRFlyer
Sat Jun 23, 2018 10:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is there really a capacity problem at LHR?
Replies: 6
Views: 2204

Re: Is there really a capacity problem at LHR?

It's not so much capacity, but if you want to be competitive at LHR you need slots with timings that are attractive to business travellers. Its the slots with early morning arrival times that can command tens of millions of dollars in the secondary market. If LHR gets a third runway, I think the big...

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by LHRFlyer
Thu Jun 21, 2018 2:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Level to receive an A321 (ex Niki)?
Replies: 34
Views: 6707

Re: Level to receive an A321 (ex Niki)?

I understand it will be branded as LEVEL, but operated by Vueling Austria.

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by LHRFlyer
Wed Jun 20, 2018 10:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Does Flybe have a future?
Replies: 82
Views: 10156

Re: Does Flybe have a future?

BA turned against having franchises in the UK 10+ years ago when GB Airways was bought by easyJet. It terminated the Loganair franchise at the same time. BA effectively paid Flybe to take the old BA Connect regional operation off its hands. I certainly don't think IAG would be interested in buying t...

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by LHRFlyer
Thu Jun 07, 2018 9:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Willie Walsh: I would like BA to return to MEL
Replies: 53
Views: 7827

Re: Willie Walsh: I would like BA to return to MEL

To be honest, I'm sure BA has higher priorities than MEL and I was surprised to see Willie Walsh mention it. But you can never say never with BA. It has gone full circle in many ways over the past ten years or so. There's a long list of former BA destinations that have been reinstated in recent year...

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by LHRFlyer
Wed Jun 06, 2018 10:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Willie Walsh: I would like BA to return to MEL
Replies: 53
Views: 7827

Willie Walsh: I would like BA to return to MEL

Interesting comments from Willie Walsh at the CAPA summit this week commenting on BA and Australia: https://twitter.com/JournoDannyAero/status/1004160594134499328 Willie Walsh adds that BA almost considered exiting Australia after QF split. Now, in happier times, would love to expand to MEL too - bu...

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by LHRFlyer
Tue Jun 05, 2018 5:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: "Only a man can run an airline."
Replies: 137
Views: 11198

Re: "Only a man can run an airline."

Funnily enough, these comments have not been reported by some social media "analysts" who received many free flights and lavish hospitality from Qatar Airways.

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by LHRFlyer
Thu May 24, 2018 2:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: BA ends another African destination - June 2018
Replies: 57
Views: 11022

Re: BA ends another African destination - June 2018

If you look at the timetable the aircraft spends nearly 19 hours on the ground at LAD so it’s a poor route for aircraft utilisation.

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by LHRFlyer
Tue May 22, 2018 8:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: IAG to offload Norwegian Air stake after bids fail according to FT
Replies: 350
Views: 56137

Re: IAG considering placing a bid for Norwegian

a350lover wrote:
Norwegian says nothing about this new bid.

Does silence mean they are maybe considering their options?


It doesn’t need to unless IAG makes a formal takeover bid, which it hasn’t as IAG would announce it to the stock exchange if it had.

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by LHRFlyer
Tue May 22, 2018 8:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: IAG to offload Norwegian Air stake after bids fail according to FT
Replies: 350
Views: 56137

Re: IAG considering placing a bid for Norwegian

I may be proved wrong but I wouldn’t put too much weight on reports sourced from Expansion. It has been wrong about IAG many times in the past.

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by LHRFlyer
Wed May 16, 2018 4:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: VS to switch LAS to LHR in S19 ?
Replies: 36
Views: 6342

Re: VS to switch LAS to LHR in S19 ?

With CUN being dropped, I do wonder whether the Virgin Holidays Florida/Carribean operation may be sold by Delta.

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by LHRFlyer
Wed May 16, 2018 3:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: VS to switch LAS to LHR in S19 ?
Replies: 36
Views: 6342

Re: VS to switch LAS to LHR in S19 ?

VS now announced daily LHR LAS on 789 in addition to LGW. As well as a second additional daily LHR BOS. Virgin have confirmed the route is moving to LHR. https://www.ttgmedia.com/news/news/virgin-switches-vegas-flights-from-gatwick-to-heathrow-14199 Virgin don’t help matters by being cryptic in the...

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by LHRFlyer
Wed May 16, 2018 1:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AF-KLM, Delta, Virgin Atlantic sign Trans-Atlantic Partnership
Replies: 20
Views: 4532

Re: AF-KLM, Delta, Virgin Atlantic sign Trans-Atlantic Partnership

DL will be the single largest shareholder, when AF-KLM eventually acquires a 31% stake on completion.

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by LHRFlyer
Tue May 15, 2018 10:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: VS to switch LAS to LHR in S19 ?
Replies: 36
Views: 6342

Re: VS to switch LAS to LHR in S19 ?

It has been rumoured on V-Flyer since the weekend. It was reportedly notified to Virgin staff late last week. There will also be a reduction in frequency on LAX and an extra flight to BOS, but nothing has been announced.

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by LHRFlyer
Sat May 12, 2018 7:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: IAG to offload Norwegian Air stake after bids fail according to FT
Replies: 350
Views: 56137

Re: IAG considering placing a bid for Norwegian

I can't see IAG wanting to buy part of Norwegian and not the brand. There's a lot of complexity behind Norwegian with multiple AOCs and debt. The brand is one of the strongest assets, particularly so because IAG is weak in Northern Europe. An airline with a strong brand name is exactly what IAG woul...

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by LHRFlyer
Mon May 07, 2018 11:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: RUMOUR: Etihad going to announce to cancel & defer aircraft.
Replies: 164
Views: 38645

Re: RUMOUR: Etihad going to announce to cancel & defer aircraft.

Source: https://twitter.com/AlexInAir/status/993132805658902528 Latest: #UAE’s @EtihadAirways are tipped to be making an announcement soon, to cancel airliner aircraft Etihad currently on order, defer deliveries/reduce future orders It’s as management try to overcome the $2 billion loss the Abu Dha...

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by LHRFlyer
Fri May 04, 2018 9:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: IAG to offload Norwegian Air stake after bids fail according to FT
Replies: 350
Views: 56137

Re: IAG considering placing a bid for Norwegian

Worth noting that both IAG bids were conditional offers and we don't know what conditions IAG attached to the bids.

IAG CEO Willie Walsh reiterated today that he doesn't consider Norwegian's growth strategy to be sustainable.

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by LHRFlyer
Sun Apr 29, 2018 10:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Future of Virgin brands in commercial aviation
Replies: 60
Views: 9278

Re: The Future of Virgin brands in commercial aviation

The Virgin Atlantic brand is still very strong in the UK. Certainly much more so than US airline brands. Sir Richard Branson has not done much in public for Virgin Atlantic for quite some time. Clearly, Sir Richard disembarking an inaugural flight with a half-dressed model in his arms is long out of...

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by LHRFlyer
Fri Apr 27, 2018 7:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: BA 787-8 (G-ZBJE) down for 7 weeks
Replies: 28
Views: 12990

Re: BA 787-8 (G-ZBJE) down for 7 weeks

BA seems to be struggling with aircraft availability on 787 routes.

BA95 to Montreal is delayed from 17:40 today (Friday) to 11:30 Saturday morning.

BA99 to Toronto is currently showing as delayed from 16:55 on Saturday to 03:57 on Sunday morning.

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by LHRFlyer
Sun Apr 15, 2018 10:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: IAG to offload Norwegian Air stake after bids fail according to FT
Replies: 350
Views: 56137

Re: IAG considering placing a bid for Norwegian

IAG will keep the Norwegian brand. A strong brand in a region where IAG is relatively weak is exactly what IAG would be looking for. As for winding up Norwegian at LGW, I wouldn't be so sure. IAG does not favour one brand over the other. If BA wants to take over Norwegian's slots at LGW it will have...

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by LHRFlyer
Fri Apr 13, 2018 3:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: IAG to offload Norwegian Air stake after bids fail according to FT
Replies: 350
Views: 56137

Re: IAG considering placing a bid for Norwegian

I suspect IAG will, as it did with Aer Lingus, make certain commitments to keep the Norwegian brand and its offices in Oslo.

The big question is Gatwick. There’s a huge prize and IAG would not want anyone else, in particular easyJet, getting Norwegian’s slots.

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by LHRFlyer
Fri Apr 13, 2018 8:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: IAG to offload Norwegian Air stake after bids fail according to FT
Replies: 350
Views: 56137

Re: IAG considering placing a bid for Norwegian

If precedent is anything to go by IAG would have to offer slots to new entrants on overlapping routes such as LGW-JFK. If IAG does buy Norwegian it would transform IAG’s presence at LGW. Norwegian has about 40 departures a day at LGW and you can be confident IAG would not want easyJet to get those s...

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by LHRFlyer
Thu Apr 12, 2018 10:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: IAG to offload Norwegian Air stake after bids fail according to FT
Replies: 350
Views: 56137

Re: IAG considering placing a bid for Norwegian

A complete surprise. IAG must be expecting a) a very good price and b) significant group synergies to take out costs. However, I still struggle to understand why IAG would want to take on Norwegian’s debts. Willie Walsh has been very clear he doesn’t see Norwegian’s growth strategy as sustainable. I...

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by LHRFlyer
Thu Mar 22, 2018 11:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian profit warning, try to raise equity
Replies: 125
Views: 18358

Re: Norwegian profit warning, try to raise equity

Norwegian announced at the time of the investor update that they are conducting a strategic review of Norwegian Reward: https://media.norwegian.com/uk/#/pressreleases/norwegian-updates-market-and-raises-new-equity-2453774 And yes, Air Canada did sell their programme and they are now going to relaunc...

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