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by LHRFlyer
Fri Jul 13, 2018 9:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What's the story with this Alex Macheras 'aviation analyst' kid?
Replies: 63
Views: 9215

Re: What's the story with this Alex Macheras 'aviation analyst' kid?

Since Twitter has been removing dubious accounts from follower numbers, Alex’s followers have gone down by 20% in a day.

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by LHRFlyer
Thu Jul 05, 2018 4:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LEVEL launching ORY-YUL today July 2nd.
Replies: 5
Views: 2641

Re: LEVEL launching ORY-YUL today July 2nd.

Has anyone managed to track LEVEL’s ORY flights?

I can’t see them on Flightradar24 or the ORY website.

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by LHRFlyer
Mon Jul 02, 2018 2:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LEVEL launching ORY-YUL today July 2nd.
Replies: 5
Views: 2641

Re: LEVEL launching ORY-YUL today July 2nd.

http://www.iairgroup.com/phoenix.zhtml? ... ID=2356799
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IAG has also said today that there will be 3 aircraft at ORY and 4 aircraft at BCN in 2019:

http://www.iairgroup.com/phoenix.zhtml? ... ID=2356799

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by LHRFlyer
Thu Jun 28, 2018 1:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Virgin Atlantic drops Dubai
Replies: 121
Views: 20187

Re: Virgin Atlantic drops Dubai

I don’t see VS launching any new eastbound routes.

It takes a lot of investment to launch a new route and VS clearly seems focused on North America and tactically adding capacity where appropriate.

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by LHRFlyer
Sat Jun 23, 2018 10:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is there really a capacity problem at LHR?
Replies: 6
Views: 2143

Re: Is there really a capacity problem at LHR?

It's not so much capacity, but if you want to be competitive at LHR you need slots with timings that are attractive to business travellers. Its the slots with early morning arrival times that can command tens of millions of dollars in the secondary market. If LHR gets a third runway, I think the big...

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by LHRFlyer
Thu Jun 21, 2018 2:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Level to receive an A321 (ex Niki)?
Replies: 34
Views: 6553

Re: Level to receive an A321 (ex Niki)?

I understand it will be branded as LEVEL, but operated by Vueling Austria.

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by LHRFlyer
Wed Jun 20, 2018 10:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Does Flybe have a future?
Replies: 82
Views: 8894

Re: Does Flybe have a future?

BA turned against having franchises in the UK 10+ years ago when GB Airways was bought by easyJet. It terminated the Loganair franchise at the same time. BA effectively paid Flybe to take the old BA Connect regional operation off its hands. I certainly don't think IAG would be interested in buying t...

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by LHRFlyer
Thu Jun 07, 2018 9:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Willie Walsh: I would like BA to return to MEL
Replies: 53
Views: 7648

Re: Willie Walsh: I would like BA to return to MEL

To be honest, I'm sure BA has higher priorities than MEL and I was surprised to see Willie Walsh mention it. But you can never say never with BA. It has gone full circle in many ways over the past ten years or so. There's a long list of former BA destinations that have been reinstated in recent year...

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by LHRFlyer
Wed Jun 06, 2018 10:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Willie Walsh: I would like BA to return to MEL
Replies: 53
Views: 7648

Willie Walsh: I would like BA to return to MEL

Interesting comments from Willie Walsh at the CAPA summit this week commenting on BA and Australia: https://twitter.com/JournoDannyAero/status/1004160594134499328 Willie Walsh adds that BA almost considered exiting Australia after QF split. Now, in happier times, would love to expand to MEL too - bu...

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by LHRFlyer
Tue Jun 05, 2018 5:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: "Only a man can run an airline."
Replies: 137
Views: 10798

Re: "Only a man can run an airline."

Funnily enough, these comments have not been reported by some social media "analysts" who received many free flights and lavish hospitality from Qatar Airways.

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by LHRFlyer
Thu May 24, 2018 2:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: BA ends another African destination - June 2018
Replies: 57
Views: 10863

Re: BA ends another African destination - June 2018

If you look at the timetable the aircraft spends nearly 19 hours on the ground at LAD so it’s a poor route for aircraft utilisation.

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by LHRFlyer
Tue May 22, 2018 8:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IAG considering placing a bid for Norwegian
Replies: 327
Views: 47849

Re: IAG considering placing a bid for Norwegian

a350lover wrote:
Norwegian says nothing about this new bid.

Does silence mean they are maybe considering their options?


It doesn’t need to unless IAG makes a formal takeover bid, which it hasn’t as IAG would announce it to the stock exchange if it had.

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by LHRFlyer
Tue May 22, 2018 8:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IAG considering placing a bid for Norwegian
Replies: 327
Views: 47849

Re: IAG considering placing a bid for Norwegian

I may be proved wrong but I wouldn’t put too much weight on reports sourced from Expansion. It has been wrong about IAG many times in the past.

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by LHRFlyer
Wed May 16, 2018 4:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: VS to switch LAS to LHR in S19 ?
Replies: 36
Views: 6203

Re: VS to switch LAS to LHR in S19 ?

With CUN being dropped, I do wonder whether the Virgin Holidays Florida/Carribean operation may be sold by Delta.

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by LHRFlyer
Wed May 16, 2018 3:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: VS to switch LAS to LHR in S19 ?
Replies: 36
Views: 6203

Re: VS to switch LAS to LHR in S19 ?

VS now announced daily LHR LAS on 789 in addition to LGW. As well as a second additional daily LHR BOS. Virgin have confirmed the route is moving to LHR. https://www.ttgmedia.com/news/news/virgin-switches-vegas-flights-from-gatwick-to-heathrow-14199 Virgin don’t help matters by being cryptic in the...

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by LHRFlyer
Wed May 16, 2018 1:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AF-KLM, Delta, Virgin Atlantic sign Trans-Atlantic Partnership
Replies: 20
Views: 4469

Re: AF-KLM, Delta, Virgin Atlantic sign Trans-Atlantic Partnership

DL will be the single largest shareholder, when AF-KLM eventually acquires a 31% stake on completion.

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by LHRFlyer
Tue May 15, 2018 10:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: VS to switch LAS to LHR in S19 ?
Replies: 36
Views: 6203

Re: VS to switch LAS to LHR in S19 ?

It has been rumoured on V-Flyer since the weekend. It was reportedly notified to Virgin staff late last week. There will also be a reduction in frequency on LAX and an extra flight to BOS, but nothing has been announced.

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by LHRFlyer
Sat May 12, 2018 7:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IAG considering placing a bid for Norwegian
Replies: 327
Views: 47849

Re: IAG considering placing a bid for Norwegian

I can't see IAG wanting to buy part of Norwegian and not the brand. There's a lot of complexity behind Norwegian with multiple AOCs and debt. The brand is one of the strongest assets, particularly so because IAG is weak in Northern Europe. An airline with a strong brand name is exactly what IAG woul...

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by LHRFlyer
Mon May 07, 2018 11:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: RUMOUR: Etihad going to announce to cancel & defer aircraft.
Replies: 164
Views: 38170

Re: RUMOUR: Etihad going to announce to cancel & defer aircraft.

Source: https://twitter.com/AlexInAir/status/993132805658902528 Latest: #UAE’s @EtihadAirways are tipped to be making an announcement soon, to cancel airliner aircraft Etihad currently on order, defer deliveries/reduce future orders It’s as management try to overcome the $2 billion loss the Abu Dha...

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by LHRFlyer
Fri May 04, 2018 9:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IAG considering placing a bid for Norwegian
Replies: 327
Views: 47849

Re: IAG considering placing a bid for Norwegian

Worth noting that both IAG bids were conditional offers and we don't know what conditions IAG attached to the bids.

IAG CEO Willie Walsh reiterated today that he doesn't consider Norwegian's growth strategy to be sustainable.

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by LHRFlyer
Sun Apr 29, 2018 10:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Future of Virgin brands in commercial aviation
Replies: 60
Views: 9112

Re: The Future of Virgin brands in commercial aviation

The Virgin Atlantic brand is still very strong in the UK. Certainly much more so than US airline brands. Sir Richard Branson has not done much in public for Virgin Atlantic for quite some time. Clearly, Sir Richard disembarking an inaugural flight with a half-dressed model in his arms is long out of...

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by LHRFlyer
Fri Apr 27, 2018 7:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: BA 787-8 (G-ZBJE) down for 7 weeks
Replies: 28
Views: 12718

Re: BA 787-8 (G-ZBJE) down for 7 weeks

BA seems to be struggling with aircraft availability on 787 routes.

BA95 to Montreal is delayed from 17:40 today (Friday) to 11:30 Saturday morning.

BA99 to Toronto is currently showing as delayed from 16:55 on Saturday to 03:57 on Sunday morning.

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by LHRFlyer
Sun Apr 15, 2018 10:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IAG considering placing a bid for Norwegian
Replies: 327
Views: 47849

Re: IAG considering placing a bid for Norwegian

IAG will keep the Norwegian brand. A strong brand in a region where IAG is relatively weak is exactly what IAG would be looking for. As for winding up Norwegian at LGW, I wouldn't be so sure. IAG does not favour one brand over the other. If BA wants to take over Norwegian's slots at LGW it will have...

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by LHRFlyer
Fri Apr 13, 2018 3:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IAG considering placing a bid for Norwegian
Replies: 327
Views: 47849

Re: IAG considering placing a bid for Norwegian

I suspect IAG will, as it did with Aer Lingus, make certain commitments to keep the Norwegian brand and its offices in Oslo.

The big question is Gatwick. There’s a huge prize and IAG would not want anyone else, in particular easyJet, getting Norwegian’s slots.

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by LHRFlyer
Fri Apr 13, 2018 8:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IAG considering placing a bid for Norwegian
Replies: 327
Views: 47849

Re: IAG considering placing a bid for Norwegian

If precedent is anything to go by IAG would have to offer slots to new entrants on overlapping routes such as LGW-JFK. If IAG does buy Norwegian it would transform IAG’s presence at LGW. Norwegian has about 40 departures a day at LGW and you can be confident IAG would not want easyJet to get those s...

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by LHRFlyer
Thu Apr 12, 2018 10:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IAG considering placing a bid for Norwegian
Replies: 327
Views: 47849

Re: IAG considering placing a bid for Norwegian

A complete surprise. IAG must be expecting a) a very good price and b) significant group synergies to take out costs. However, I still struggle to understand why IAG would want to take on Norwegian’s debts. Willie Walsh has been very clear he doesn’t see Norwegian’s growth strategy as sustainable. I...

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by LHRFlyer
Thu Mar 22, 2018 11:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian profit warning, try to raise equity
Replies: 125
Views: 18090

Re: Norwegian profit warning, try to raise equity

Norwegian announced at the time of the investor update that they are conducting a strategic review of Norwegian Reward: https://media.norwegian.com/uk/#/pressreleases/norwegian-updates-market-and-raises-new-equity-2453774 And yes, Air Canada did sell their programme and they are now going to relaunc...

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by LHRFlyer
Wed Mar 21, 2018 11:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian profit warning, try to raise equity
Replies: 125
Views: 18090

Re: Norwegian profit warning, try to raise equity

If you are losing money you don’t solve the problem by growing ASKs by 40% in one year.

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by LHRFlyer
Fri Feb 23, 2018 9:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IAG 2017 Results: Operating Profit €3,015m
Replies: 13
Views: 2885

IAG 2017 Results: Operating Profit €3,015m

IAG has reported an operating profit of €3,015m for 2017. All IAG group airlines reported an increase in profitability, notably Iberia and Vueling. Looking through the slide presentation LEVEL is clearly set for significant growth: http://phx.corporate-ir.net/External.File?item=UGFyZW50SUQ9Mzk5MDI4f...

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by LHRFlyer
Thu Feb 22, 2018 5:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What's the story with this Alex Macheras 'aviation analyst' kid?
Replies: 63
Views: 9215

Re: What's the story with this Alex Macheras 'aviation analyst' kid?

From experience of other industries, people generally do not begrudge others trying to earn an honest living. If there is a groundswell of questioning/criticism it is for a reason. My advice to Alex (which funnily enough could apply anywhere) would be: - Don’t block people who question you on Twitte...

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by LHRFlyer
Wed Feb 21, 2018 7:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What's the story with this Alex Macheras 'aviation analyst' kid?
Replies: 63
Views: 9215

Re: What's the story with this Alex Macheras 'aviation analyst' kid?

He was actually criticised by BALPA for giving media commentary on a plane crash last year. He also caused a lot of upset for Monarch staff with some of his tweets before the airline went into administration. If he called himself an enthusiast, then fair enough. And with profile comes responsibility...

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by LHRFlyer
Wed Feb 21, 2018 3:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What's the story with this Alex Macheras 'aviation analyst' kid?
Replies: 63
Views: 9215

Re: What's the story with this Alex Macheras 'aviation analyst' kid?

An analyst is someone who produces reports based on extensive original research. I’ve never seen him do any such thing. As has been mentioned he will block anyone on Twitter who questions what he does. There is a lot of embellishment of what he does. For example, claiming he is meeting with an airli...

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by LHRFlyer
Mon Feb 19, 2018 9:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: British Airways Cabin Crew Behaving Very Badly During Layovers
Replies: 69
Views: 13703

Re: British Airways Cabin Crew Behaving Very Badly During Layovers

Some of the stories are quite old. I think the JNB incident happened a long time ago. There have always been incidents down route. It's just sometimes they don't get leaked to newspapers... It also has to be said that, although it's a very small downward trend, today's younger generation in London a...

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by LHRFlyer
Fri Feb 16, 2018 3:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is Virgin Atlantic struggling on LHR-MIA?
Replies: 58
Views: 10036

Is Virgin Atlantic struggling on LHR-MIA?

A couple of weeks ago Virgin Atlantic ran a promotion giving away 50 pairs of economy tickets to Miami at London’s Waterloo train station. Virgin are now offering a reward seat sale for LHR-MIA for mid February - March: https://www.virginatlantic.com/gb/en/flying-club/miles/spend-miles/reward-seat-s...

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by LHRFlyer
Thu Feb 15, 2018 9:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian 2017 full year and Q4 results: net loss was -299 million NOK (-£27.4 million)
Replies: 72
Views: 14326

Re: Norwegian today reported its full year and q4 2017 results. The net loss was -299 million NOK (-£27.4 million) in 20

https://www.norwegian.com/globalassets/ ... tation.pdf

Not an expert on numbers, but it looks like they are hugely exposed to a rise in the fuel price.
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Here is the presentation for investors:

https://www.norwegian.com/globalassets/ ... tation.pdf

Not an expert on numbers, but it looks like they are hugely exposed to a rise in the fuel price.

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by LHRFlyer
Wed Feb 14, 2018 10:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ground Incident at LHR Terminal 5
Replies: 4
Views: 2808

Ground Incident at LHR Terminal 5

https://mobile.twitter.com/HeathrowAirp ... 2606106624
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Heathrow Airport’s Twitter feed is reporting a serious incident involving two ground vehicles at Terminal 5:

https://mobile.twitter.com/HeathrowAirp ... 2606106624

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by LHRFlyer
Tue Feb 13, 2018 10:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Aer Lingus planning more International flights to US
Replies: 100
Views: 10181

Re: Aer Lingus planning more International flights to US

The last update from IAG late last year was that it was securing regulatory clearance for EI to join the AA/BA joint-venture, but nothing has been announced since.

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by LHRFlyer
Tue Feb 06, 2018 9:25 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAA only one daily JNB-LHR with new A333
Replies: 53
Views: 8945

Re: SAA only one daily JNB-LHR with new A333

https://www.headforpoints.com/2018/02/0 ... ew-routes/
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I note there are rumours that SAA is leasing the slot pair to BA:

https://www.headforpoints.com/2018/02/0 ... ew-routes/

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by LHRFlyer
Mon Jan 08, 2018 12:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: British Airways tilts against reclining seats
Replies: 157
Views: 24667

Re: British Airways tilts against reclining seats

There’s been a lot of press about this but most news outlets have completely missed the real story. The specification for the new Airbus aircraft was done by IAG, not BA. This is IAG standardising new deliveries of aircraft across all group airlines to take advantage of bulk purchase discounts and s...

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by LHRFlyer
Sun Dec 31, 2017 12:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Niki Lauda purchases NIKI
Replies: 194
Views: 41908

Re: Updated: IAG purchases NIKI

Do we know when the deal finalises and the 15 aircraft are back in the sky (where they belong)? The Niki website is still showing that the airline ceased flying on the 14th December. One press report said that the transaction won't complete until February. I expect operations won't start until the ...

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by LHRFlyer
Sun Dec 17, 2017 11:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Power outage in ATL
Replies: 401
Views: 45304

Re: Power outage in ATL

BA has diverted its LHR-ATL flight 227 to IAD.

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by LHRFlyer
Thu Dec 14, 2017 3:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian start long haul from MADRID
Replies: 62
Views: 13108

Re: Norwegian start long haul from MADRID

Is this amount of growth really sustainable on top of growth at LGW next year and routes between secondary cities?

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by LHRFlyer
Thu Dec 14, 2017 11:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian start long haul from MADRID
Replies: 62
Views: 13108

Re: Norwegian start long haul from MADRID

http://media.norwegian.com/us/#/pressre ... an-2331051
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Official announcement from Norwegian, which also announces new routes from Amsterdam and Milan:

http://media.norwegian.com/us/#/pressre ... an-2331051

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by LHRFlyer
Wed Dec 13, 2017 2:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Lufthansa withdraws the offer for Niki, will cease flying Dec. 14
Replies: 78
Views: 14387

Re: Lufthansa withdraws the offer for Niki

Willie Walsh said IAG had expressed an interest in buying Niki during the bid process.

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by LHRFlyer
Fri Dec 01, 2017 11:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: BACF summer routes from BHX, BRS & MAN
Replies: 4
Views: 982

BACF summer routes from BHX, BRS & MAN

BA CityFlyer has confirmed its weekend summer routes from BHX, BRS and MAN: http://mediacentre.britishairways.com/pressrelease/details/86/News-1/9026 From May 2018 there will be extra weekend flights from Manchester to Malaga, Ibiza and Palma, with Mykonos flights operating on Saturdays instead of F...

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by LHRFlyer
Fri Dec 01, 2017 10:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Joon unveils 7 new routes
Replies: 58
Views: 14597

Re: Joon unveils 7 new routes

There are many things you can say about Willie Walsh, but he’s not somebody I would bet against. The analogy with Virgin Atlantic in the Bloomberg article is interesting. Virgin’s “cool” image worked for them at LHR under Bermuda II when there was enough room for BA and VS up against a relatively we...

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by LHRFlyer
Tue Nov 28, 2017 2:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Level to launch 5 new destinations and also a new ORY base next S18.
Replies: 61
Views: 20203

Re: Level to launch 5 new destinations and also a new ORY base next S18.

http://www.iairgroup.com/phoenix.zhtml? ... ID=2318756
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I note the IAG press release refers to the closure of the OpenSkies brand, which does suggest that the AOC May be used for LEVEL:

http://www.iairgroup.com/phoenix.zhtml? ... ID=2318756

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by LHRFlyer
Mon Nov 27, 2017 6:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IAG wins Monarch slots at Gatwick
Replies: 70
Views: 24630

Re: IAG wins Monarch slots at Gatwick

BA did say at the last IAG Capital Markets Day that 3 BA 777s were to be replaced with 77Ws. I guess they could go to LGW instead.

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