Search found 2943 matches

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by incitatus
Fri Sep 22, 2017 12:14 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas considering 777-8 or A359ULR to replace 744ER's to fly SYD-JFK and SYD-LHR non-stop
Replies: 642
Views: 110019

Re: Qantas considering 777-8 or A359ULR to replace 744ER's to fly SYD-JFK and SYD-LHR non-stop

I did some scribbling on the back of my cigar box and concluded that QF will likely end up a 778 carrying between 240 and 260 passengers. They will have the upper end of the long-haul market cornered and may not go for the stated 300 seats. It could be something like 8F 52J 52W 146Y. That would get ...

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by incitatus
Fri Sep 22, 2017 12:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Azul to add 5 A330neo aircraft, reveals lease cost
Replies: 33
Views: 5566

Re: Azul to add 5 A330neo aircraft

Incitatus is quoting range in statute miles and airbazar is quoting in nautical miles . I am saying this because it seems there might be some misunderstanding stemming from that. I have quoted both. I wrote that Airbus' quote of 6550 nm (nautical miles) nominal range should be sufficient to fly 620...

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by incitatus
Thu Sep 21, 2017 1:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330neo MTOW increase
Replies: 94
Views: 10428

Re: A330neo MTOW increase

This smells fake. "Significant increase in resources" so we need to hire an intern....???? Is the wing engineering department of Airbus made of what? Three people? Now assume true. The A350 was specified as the 77E killer. Now the A339 is going to be as capable as the 77E and we should exp...

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by incitatus
Thu Sep 21, 2017 2:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qatar Airways unveils new Q Suite business class seat
Replies: 94
Views: 23561

Re: Qatar Airways unveils new Q Suite business class seat

How do you come across your information on who is buying J seats? Mid level executives that don't or would never shell out that Kinda money on there own dime. LOL are these personal guesses of yours? You see it depends on how much you make. Maybe to you its not worth it but to many others it is wor...

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by incitatus
Wed Sep 20, 2017 7:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Azul to add 5 A330neo aircraft, reveals lease cost
Replies: 33
Views: 5566

Re: Azul to add 5 A330neo aircraft

It depends. They never stated which routes they intended to fly the A350's on. To me the A350 order indicated that they may have wanted to expand to places like LAX/CDG/FCO. Sure the A330's can probably do these but the A339 is optimized for 4,000nm (8-10hr), flights. Routes such as GIG/VCP-FCO/CDG...

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by incitatus
Mon Sep 18, 2017 9:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential
Replies: 208
Views: 23111

Re: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential

By that standard, AA didn't order both (US ordered A350) and UA didn't order both (CO ordered 787). Yes indeed. Like LATAM, it did not make a decision to buy both. But it seems Lan/TAM were both closer to the delivery schedule and could not reconsider. As for picking 339s vs. 78710s to operate acro...

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by incitatus
Mon Sep 18, 2017 8:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Unconfirmed: Alitalia to move LHR flights to STN
Replies: 39
Views: 8658

Re: Alitalia to move LHR flights to STN

by738 wrote:
... sorry to say this wont work out.


It is cold and the heater is not working. Out of wood, so they burn the furniture! I agree this seems to be going in a bad direction.

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by incitatus
Mon Sep 18, 2017 2:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential
Replies: 208
Views: 23111

Re: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential

Just for the purposes of comparison, I did a wee bit of research and see that the following airlines have ordered both A359 and 789: Air France / KLM Aeroflot Air China Latam Qatar Thai Vietnam United (...). LATAM did not order both. TAM from Brazil ordered the A350. Lan from Chile ordered the 787....

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by incitatus
Sat Sep 16, 2017 7:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA to set up $100mil Maintenance Center at GRU
Replies: 96
Views: 13555

Re: AA to set up $100mil Maintenance Center at GRU

(...) What do you think the hourly wage is for a aircraft maint shop worker in China or Brazil? Do you think a U.S. worker could survive on making $3 per hour? Airlines send their planes overseas for heavy maint because its cheap. (...) For $3 an hour in Sao Paulo one cannot even get a first-time n...

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by incitatus
Sat Sep 16, 2017 6:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA to set up $100mil Maintenance Center at GRU
Replies: 96
Views: 13555

Re: AA to set up $100mil Maintenance Center at GRU

You don't spend 100 million dollars on a facility just to do line maintenance on planes that are sitting around. Particularly when you're already doing it without the hundred-million-dollar facility. And you also don't spend a hundred million dollars on a facility unless there is going to be a retu...

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by incitatus
Sat Sep 16, 2017 6:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA to set up $100mil Maintenance Center at GRU
Replies: 96
Views: 13555

Re: AA to set up $100mil Maintenance Center at GRU

Not sure how much comparative advantage (that is, lower wages) plays a role in the case to set up maintenance in Brazil. Have no doubt: Doing business in Brazil is awfully difficult. Large companies are subject to illegal requests from government officials for bribes all the time - if you look at US...

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by incitatus
Fri Sep 15, 2017 4:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer considers building new turboprop aircraft
Replies: 96
Views: 10883

Re: Embraer considers building new turboprop aircraft

I would hesitate in saying Embraer has expertise in turbo-props. The EMB-120 entered service in 1985. The last one came off the assembly line in 2001. The vast majority if not all people that worked on it are gone. A lot of new learning will be needed to pull off another turbo-prop. As for the CBA-1...

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by incitatus
Thu Sep 14, 2017 1:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qatar Airways announces beginning of services to GIG and SCL
Replies: 30
Views: 7281

Re: Qatar Airways announces beginning of services to GIG and SCL

Brazilian authorities publish the flight schedules on Brazil time so there was a bit of a mix up on the time zone conversion. Please find it corrected. EFF 28JAN18 QR775 - DOH 07h35 16h55 GIG 18h15 21h30 SCL - xTuFrSu - A359 (QR metal) QR776 - SCL 23h45 04h30+1 GIG 05h45+1 23h45+1 DOH - xTuFrSu - A...

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by incitatus
Thu Sep 14, 2017 12:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential
Replies: 208
Views: 23111

Re: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential

Austin787 wrote:
I can see the A350 replacing the 777-200ER fleet eventually. Probably after 2020 though.


Why is it that the 787-9 is not an appropriate replacement for the 77E?

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by incitatus
Wed Sep 13, 2017 9:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential
Replies: 208
Views: 23111

Re: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential

The A350s offer more payload-range, comfort, bigger wings for hot airports and a growth option (-1000) for Asian flights. The 787-9 & -10 are better dimensioned for America's and Europe in this case. Correct for the 787-10, but the 787-9 can do very well for US-Asia. As you know. The claim that...

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by incitatus
Mon Sep 11, 2017 8:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of 777X
Replies: 395
Views: 37790

Re: Future of 777X

The thread on the 350-ULR seems to imply the capability of flying 9500-mile SIN-JFK is there at 162 seats. If so, and if Boeing's specs for the 778 stand, then at a similar density the 778 should be able to fly SYD-LHR.

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by incitatus
Sun Sep 10, 2017 6:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest Airlines seeking to expand dominance at Dallas Love Field
Replies: 94
Views: 10441

Re: Southwest Airlines seeking to expand dominance at Dallas Love Field

AA controls around 70% of the air traffic at DFW (probably more if you just counted domestic traffic). When you control that much at a single airport, you have a de-facto monopoly. (...) If 70% is a "de-facto monopoly", what is 95%, or 100% like Southwest wants to have at DAL? Is that a &...

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by incitatus
Sun Sep 10, 2017 2:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest Airlines seeking to expand dominance at Dallas Love Field
Replies: 94
Views: 10441

Re: Southwest Airlines seeking to expand dominance at Dallas Love Field

The best way to boost competition at DAL would be to double the number of gates and give 10 to Frontier and 10 to Spirit.

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by incitatus
Sun Sep 10, 2017 3:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest Airlines seeking to expand dominance at Dallas Love Field
Replies: 94
Views: 10441

Re: Southwest Airlines seeking to expand dominance at Dallas Love Field

What on earth were the regulators doing when they put all sorts of restrictions of DAL in the first place that caused this? There shouldn't be a gate restriction at DAL. If they fully opened up the airport and allowed for as many gates as physically possible, WN could expand to everywhere they want...

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by incitatus
Wed Sep 06, 2017 9:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL add IND-CDG
Replies: 222
Views: 21660

Re: DL add IND-CDG

I can't imagine this new route will have any impact on IND-CVG. WW's new CVG service will be the one to watch vs. CVG-CDG. Agreed. It is much more likely that IND-CDG will drain from drivers that go into ORD, where service to Europe is much more plenty and competition keeps fares very attractive.

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by incitatus
Wed Sep 06, 2017 2:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of 777X
Replies: 395
Views: 37790

Re: Future of 777X

The idea that the 350-1000 is going to sink the 778 has no ground. Want to embarrass the -1000? Put it on JNB-ATL. The difference in range and lift is too big for them to be regarded as direct competitors - even though for some operators the -1000 will do just fine. And if the -1000 is an alternativ...

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by incitatus
Tue Sep 05, 2017 6:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of 777X
Replies: 395
Views: 37790

Re: Future of 777X

I mean, A350 had its EIS in 2015, and now it has 848 orders nearing the end of its third year of service. 777 had its EIS in 1995, and by 1997 it had 335 orders. THOSE numbers should be compared. 848 vs 335 orders by the end of the third year of service for each plane. On the other hand, whet you d...

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by incitatus
Sun Sep 03, 2017 4:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer Hopes Pinned on New Scope Clause in 2019-22
Replies: 75
Views: 6935

Re: Embraer Hopes Pinned on New Scope Clause in 2019-22

This is a compensation discussion by proxy. It is not about whether these airplanes are in regionals or mainline. it is ALL about how much the pilots for them get paid.

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by incitatus
Fri Sep 01, 2017 2:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: QF changes SYD-DXB-LHR back to SYD-SIN-LHR from 25th March 2018
Replies: 125
Views: 19044

Re: QF changes SYD-DXB-LHR back to SYD-SIN-LHR from April 2018

But what would you propose how Qantas could tap into "smaller" European markets beyond LHR, CDG and perhaps FRA? I am certain that we will not see flights from Perth to Prague or Barcelona or Copenhagen but EK's feed from those places into Dubai helps them fill all those A380's headed tow...

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by incitatus
Thu Aug 31, 2017 8:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: QF changes SYD-DXB-LHR back to SYD-SIN-LHR from 25th March 2018
Replies: 125
Views: 19044

Re: QF changes SYD-DXB-LHR back to SYD-SIN-LHR from April 2018

On the contrary: Qantas and Emirates to extend their cornerstone partnership for another five years The QF/EK deal is much more than a stopover in DXB. A key part of the deal was QF flying its Europe passengers to DXB and EK taking them from there to Europe (not just a shopping stop in DXB). That i...

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by incitatus
Thu Aug 31, 2017 2:38 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: QF changes SYD-DXB-LHR back to SYD-SIN-LHR from 25th March 2018
Replies: 125
Views: 19044

Re: QF changes SYD-DXB-LHR back to SYD-SIN-LHR from April 2018

QF and EK will still be great partners. So: 1. QF to Europe via DXB with EK. 2. QF to LHR via SIN on own. 3. QF to LHR via PER on own. How so? EK is not distributing QF passengers beyond DXB. This seems like a run-of-the-mill codeshare arrangement. Spin it as you wish, the special deal between QF i...

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by incitatus
Thu Aug 24, 2017 5:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas to announce ambitious plan to fly East Coast Australia to London and New York by 2022
Replies: 321
Views: 38515

Re: Qantas to announce ambitious plan to fly East Coast Australia to London and New York by 2022

World's ULH obsession continues. Have a tech stop at a low-cost air field halfway. Give passengers two-hour break, fill her up, service cabin/lavs, load fresh food and continue the journey. Cheaper to fly and less taxing on passengers' legs. There is already plenty of one-stops. Do you really think...

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by incitatus
Tue Aug 22, 2017 7:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TAP Portugal's Future
Replies: 53
Views: 11243

Re: TAP Portugal's Future

The starting point of this thread - that TAP should add another long-haul fleet type - is no-go. TAP is a survivor. Most other national carriers of medium/small size countries in Europe vanished. An airline the size of TAP should work the efficiencies of a single long-haul type by adjusting frequenc...

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by incitatus
Tue Aug 15, 2017 2:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Applies For LAX-PEK
Replies: 636
Views: 103654

Re: AA Applies For LAX-PEK

This thread is the gift that keeps giving. The reality is that LAX-PEK is another big victory for AA. Several posters keep pointing out that AA seems to be struggling in Asia. The reality is entirely different and AA scored MAJOR strategic victories in Asia. We must recall a handful: Kept JAL close-...

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by incitatus
Mon Aug 14, 2017 6:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: RAM restructures flights to Brazil
Replies: 6
Views: 1769

Re: RAM restructures flights to Brazil

RAM has a long history in Brazil but has never been able to capitalize on the geographical location of Casablanca to thrive with connecting traffic between Brazil and Europe. I hope it works this time. The schedule seems fine for Rio, but 4 times a week to SP is not competitive. The arrival times at...

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by incitatus
Mon Aug 14, 2017 4:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airports shared between two metropolitan areas
Replies: 116
Views: 11119

Re: Airports shared between two metropolitan areas

Take Fort Dix in Central Jersey and build a massive airport with 8-parallell runways to serve both the New York area and Philadelphia metro areas. Build a maglev network to land-side-only terminals in central Philadelphia, Manhattan, Newark, White Plains and Long Island. Passengers can check in at t...

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by incitatus
Fri Aug 04, 2017 2:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is the ME3's expansion sustainable long-term?
Replies: 32
Views: 3999

Re: Is the ME3's expansion sustainable long-term?

Even though AUH is "rich", DXB has far more local premium cabin traffic than AUH. Dubai has a much greater mass of global corporations that generate that type of traffic. EK is viable and has a healthy premium cabin business.

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by incitatus
Tue Aug 01, 2017 5:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: VLAs for Short Haul?
Replies: 26
Views: 3494

Re: VLAs for Short Haul?

I've been wanting to ask this question for a while now, but will there be a replacement at all for the 777-300A's? If so, will more carriers order it this time? The 773A didn't sell well and no one outside Asia bought them as the 77W was the preferred choice. But the 773 does do well when you fill ...

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by incitatus
Tue Aug 01, 2017 2:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TP to add CUR stop on CCS flights
Replies: 30
Views: 5964

Re: TP to add CUR stop on CCS flights

The costs of adding CUR as a crew change stop are considerable. Add more cycles and do more maintenance. Crews fly more and will be away from their bases for longer. Aircraft takes longer to come back to LIS burning operational time that could be used elsewhere.

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by incitatus
Tue Aug 01, 2017 1:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What *should* Airbus have invested in (year 2000)
Replies: 89
Views: 7921

Re: What *should* Airbus have invested in (year 2000)

I see a lot of people here calling the A380 a 'flop', but with over 200 frames built (and still counting) it's already much better performing than Airbus' biggest flop: the A345/A346. It was a rubbish aircraft from the beginning and never a serious competitor of the 77W. With only 131 built and qui...

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by incitatus
Mon Jul 31, 2017 2:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B767s - a dying breed?
Replies: 106
Views: 15751

Re: B767s - a dying breed?

I have always been curious that, since 767 cannot accommodate standard LD-3 container, won't that make their freight operation complicate? I would appreciate if someone can kindly educate me on the matter. Thank you 767s can accommodate LD3s. They just cannot accommodate two LD3s side-by-side like ...

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by incitatus
Mon Jul 31, 2017 3:38 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: VLAs for Short Haul?
Replies: 26
Views: 3494

Re: VLAs for Short Haul?

You are right there is a trend. If the trend continues, it will take another 60 years to get there.

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by incitatus
Mon Jul 31, 2017 3:35 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Applies For LAX-PEK
Replies: 636
Views: 103654

Re: AA Applies For LAX-PEK

(...) DL never bought an airline w/ US to Latin America authorities and UA walked away from the Pan Am authorities it bought. Neither are trying to compete in the massive S. Florida to Latin America market -other than DL's MIA-HAV route. DL is profitable to Latin America - just not as large. And ye...

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by incitatus
Mon Jul 31, 2017 3:25 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Applies For LAX-PEK
Replies: 636
Views: 103654

Re: AA Applies For LAX-PEK

DL is building their LAX gateway to Asia in a financially responsible way. There is no need for them to rush into adding flights that will only amount to the problems that AA and UA are facing, and that is the inability to make money over the Pacific. Yields over the Pacific are very weak. Combine ...

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by incitatus
Sun Jul 30, 2017 6:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Applies For LAX-PEK
Replies: 636
Views: 103654

Re: AA Applies For LAX-PEK

just remember that all of that works both ways... and hearing things you don't want to hear, even if they are factually based, is not trolling. As hard as it is for some of you to accept, AA had one choice for a network carrier merger by the time it went through chapter 11. US was in a different al...

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by incitatus
Sat Jul 29, 2017 4:19 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Best Career Path to Airline COO/CEO
Replies: 18
Views: 1806

Re: Best Career Path to Airline COO/CEO

I agree Riddle holds very little merit. An MBA from a top-20 school is much more valuable.

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by incitatus
Sat Jul 29, 2017 3:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA may swap 359 for 338, HA could go 787 or 359 (Leeham)
Replies: 176
Views: 25436

Re: AA may swap 359 for 338, HA could go 787 or 359 (Leeham)

If range is really the issue with the A330-800, then you can forget the 787-8 - the A330-800 comfortably outranges and outlifts it - 7 500Nm with 257 pax vs 7 350Nm with 241 pax. And that is the 242t model. If the proposed 245t model comes off, that will have a range of about 7 700Nm+ - note, the 7...

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by incitatus
Fri Jul 28, 2017 5:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: CAPA: We will have Uber & Airbnb of Aviation in next decade, but no one is preparing for it
Replies: 48
Views: 6695

Re: CAPA: We will have Uber & Airbnb of Aviation in next decade, but no one is preparing for it

I've done a lot of work in this field, on what I believe is the next paradigm shift for airline travel. While it is still in its infancy, it is costed and plans are moving forward. I've seen some of Google's work as well. The airline business model will change, and will change drastically, and in a...

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by incitatus
Fri Jul 28, 2017 2:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: BA closing its GRU crew base
Replies: 35
Views: 6922

Re: BA closing its GRU crew base

I am taken aback by the reactions in this thread. BA is not about to go down the toilet just because it is closing an FA base in GRU, neither is Brazil. Alex Cruz is not the anti-Christ. If there should be any regret, it is by anyone losing their jobs.

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by incitatus
Thu Jul 27, 2017 7:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus to cut A380 production to 8 frames in 2019
Replies: 115
Views: 13439

Re: Airbus to cut A380 production to 8 frames in 2019

(...) I think Airbus should complete the orders they have in the most profitable and efficient manner possible, close the line, and take their billions in losses. Great plane from a passenger perspective, but obviously a mistake as far as the market is concerned. Airbus' hanging on to the program m...

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by incitatus
Thu Jul 27, 2017 4:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus to cut A380 production to 8 frames in 2019
Replies: 115
Views: 13439

Re: Airbus to cut A380 production to 8 frames in 2019

Let's wait for China's next aquisition plans. They will need big aircraft big time. Yes they will, but probably not to go after the A380. Over the last 10 years the average aircraft size in the Chinese domestic market went from 145 to 160 seats. Let's say the curve is going to be a little steeper a...

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by incitatus
Thu Jul 27, 2017 2:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Spirit and United? Rumor has it.
Replies: 51
Views: 9512

Re: Spirit and United? Rumor has it.

Super80Fan wrote:
Not going to happen, and even if it does the DOJ should and will block it.


Why should the DoJ block it? Because we need to have the choice of buying the terrible product NK offers....???

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by incitatus
Wed Jul 26, 2017 5:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: EK mulls 20 additional A380s
Replies: 212
Views: 39338

Re: EK mulls 20 additional A380s

Overcapacity sent Japan Airlines into bankruptcy, so this would be a good way to level the field by doing the same to ANA. :biggrin: That seems a very simple way of putting it. JAL matured as the single long-haul carrier in Japan with a very loyal market. Then the long-haul market was opened to ANA...

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by incitatus
Mon Jul 24, 2017 5:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MIA/DFW: Most Dominated Large Airports in the USA
Replies: 39
Views: 5963

Re: MIA/DFW: Most Dominated Large Airports in the USA

Well when a lot of the low[er] fare local market is heading to FLL/DAL it is no surprise the hub airline at the larger airport has such a high percentage. Looking at markets as a whole, and not individual airports, would tell a more interesting story. I can agree to your statement when it comes to ...

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by incitatus
Sun Jul 23, 2017 1:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG CHanges 7/23/2017:AA Drops DCA-FLL/LAX-CUN, SY Drops DCA, UA Adds LAX-SGU/DEN-PUB
Replies: 77
Views: 11624

Re: OAG CHanges 7/23/2017:AA Drops DCA-FLL/LAX-CUN, SY Drops DCA, UA Adds LAX-SGU/DEN-PUB

enilria wrote:
DL JFK-GIG MAR 0.5>0.1


Wow, for all that this was cracked to be, this became a bit of a short gig - pun intended.

I don't think the Brazilian economy has recovered to support DL in this market beyond January, two weeks in July and two weeks around Carnival.

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