Search found 331 matches

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by flee
Tue Sep 19, 2017 12:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: First Airbus A380 parked amid search for new operator
Replies: 96
Views: 19669

Re: First Airbus A380 parked amid search for new operator

The second A380, 9V-SKB, has been withdraw from service and is being prepared for return to lessor. As SQ has not yet taken delivery of their new build A380s, they are now 2 aircraft short. Does anyone know if they are using other aircraft to substitute the A380 services, or are they utilising exis...

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by flee
Mon Sep 18, 2017 10:31 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block
Replies: 209
Views: 20143

Re: Boeing to accelerate 787 production to 14x per month

I agree. It's way too early to write off the 330neo. In my opinion, the 339 is going to be a great seller. One thing it does for sure, is keep 787 prices in check. Me too. There is no doubt that the 787 rate increase will make it a little harder for the 330neo to compete on availability, but Airbus...

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by flee
Sun Sep 17, 2017 2:39 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block
Replies: 209
Views: 20143

Re: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block

I don't think Boeing is trying to clear out 787 orders - it is trying to open up more near term delivery slots. The 787 is going to be their mainstream wide body model because they have realised that the 777-9 is not going to be anywhere as popular as the 777W. So they need the volume in order to ge...

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by flee
Fri Sep 15, 2017 12:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block
Replies: 209
Views: 20143

Re: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block

It will always be difficult for people to grasp that making a profit and earning money are not always the same thing. Boeing does make it a bit more difficult with the program accounting, but hey, most of us don't care too much about accounting anyway. Yes, that is why many people are amazed when s...

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by flee
Fri Sep 15, 2017 12:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block
Replies: 209
Views: 20143

Re: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block

My gawd I'm sick of seeing this on airliners.net. The price that maximizes Boeing profit (or minimizes Boeing losses) is independent of the accounting block, and independent of changes to the accounting block. This has been discussed many times on airliners.net. Please see https://en.wikipedia.org/...

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by flee
Fri Sep 15, 2017 10:47 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block
Replies: 209
Views: 20143

Re: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block

I think that there is not much point in commenting on profits if non-accountants or do not understand the GAAP and how profits are calculated, Boeing were merely trying to apply GAAPs to match revenues to costs and that is why they are carrying forward deferred production costs so that they can be c...

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by flee
Fri Sep 15, 2017 7:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block
Replies: 209
Views: 20143

Re: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block

The increase in accounting block has been predicted by many because it is evident that Boeing is not going to be able to cover all the deferred costs without making the 787 selling price uncompetitive. My gawd I'm sick of seeing this on airliners.net. The price that maximizes Boeing profit (or mini...

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by flee
Fri Sep 15, 2017 1:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MH to place order for 25 widebodies by end of 2017
Replies: 205
Views: 43934

Re: MH to place order for 25 widebodies by end of 2017

The Air Berlin A332s will fit in well with MAB's plans. There is a bonus too - they have PW engines, something that very useful as MAB's existing A330s are PW powered.

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by flee
Fri Sep 15, 2017 1:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block
Replies: 209
Views: 20143

Re: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block

The increase in accounting block has been predicted by many because it is evident that Boeing is not going to be able to cover all the deferred costs without making the 787 selling price uncompetitive. What is interesting is the production rate increase in 2019. I would imagine that it is to partial...

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by flee
Wed Sep 13, 2017 2:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MH to place order for 25 widebodies by end of 2017
Replies: 205
Views: 43934

Re: MH to place order for 25 widebodies by end of 2017

Maybe one should see this order as a late replacement for the 777-200ERs. Yes, I think you may be correct. I have always thought that the sudden retirement of the 777s was premature. Perhaps MAB thinks that 8 aircraft will be sufficient for the plans of a limited long haul network. I am hearing tha...

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by flee
Wed Sep 13, 2017 2:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MH to place order for 25 widebodies by end of 2017
Replies: 205
Views: 43934

Re: MH to place order for 25 widebodies by end of 2017

Serious pong about this one IMHO. Agree with "smacks of politics" comments above. Makes no sense at all. I think those who are not fully aware of the goings on at Malaysia Airlines in the past 20 or so years will not know about the level of political interference there is in the running o...

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by flee
Wed Sep 13, 2017 8:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MH to place order for 25 widebodies by end of 2017
Replies: 205
Views: 43934

Re: MH to place order for 25 widebodies by end of 2017

PM wrote:
flee wrote:
MAB does not seem to have a very good relationship with RR
Why would you say that?

From their experience dealing with RR on the A380s - they had to ground some aircraft while waiting for spare parts. Fortunately, it was not such a serious issue because MAB does not utilise their A380s intensively.

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by flee
Wed Sep 13, 2017 8:51 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MH to place order for 25 widebodies by end of 2017
Replies: 205
Views: 43934

Re: MH to place order for 25 widebodies by end of 2017

Yes, the A330 lease is a short term urgent requirement. So it is separate from the long term A330 fleet replacement. I think they will be needed when the oldest of MAB's A333s reach 10 years of age, the replacements will kick in. Airbus should not be complacent - already, the MAB CEO has said he doe...

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by flee
Wed Sep 13, 2017 8:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MH to place order for 25 widebodies by end of 2017
Replies: 205
Views: 43934

Re: MH to place order for 25 widebodies by end of 2017

KarelXWB, thanks for the analysis and it all makes sense. Do note that this MoU is a very political announcement, with the PM of Malaysia and Donald Trump boasting that it is good for the US economy! So I am not sure if this is going to be the final order that will be signed. Also do note that this ...

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by flee
Wed Sep 13, 2017 6:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MH to place order for 25 widebodies by end of 2017
Replies: 205
Views: 43934

Re: MH to place order for 25 widebodies by end of 2017

It also strangely says the Malaysian govt will try to persuade Air Asia to use GE engines! Yes, rather strange considering Airasia's fleet of A320s is exclusively on CFM-56 and CFM-LEAP-1A engines right now! So it is already a major user of GE technology and it even has a GE logojet in its fleet! 4...

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by flee
Wed Sep 13, 2017 1:47 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MH to place order for 25 widebodies by end of 2017
Replies: 205
Views: 43934

Re: MH to place order for 25 widebodies by end of 2017

While I also expected this order to go A330-900, the MH fleet is predominately Boeing by around a 2.5 to 1 ratio and MH has had a long relationship with Boeing going back to the 707 and including the 747 and 777. And they appear to have selected the 737 MAX as their narrowbody fleet going forward, ...

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by flee
Tue Sep 12, 2017 11:48 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: AirAsia Malaysia vs Indonesia: Safety
Replies: 3
Views: 631

Re: AirAsia Malaysia vs Indonesia: Safety

Yes. AirAsia Malaysia (AK/AXM) is safe - they operate some of their newest aircraft (A320 Neo) on the KUL-HKG route.

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by flee
Tue Sep 12, 2017 11:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MH to place order for 25 widebodies by end of 2017
Replies: 205
Views: 43934

Re: MH to place order for 25 widebodies by end of 2017

I am still wondering why Boeing 787 and why only 8 aircraft? Some possibilities: 1 Operate B787s to CDG and/or AMS to relaunch routes to EU. With Brexit looming, it may be wise to re-establish the EU routes. This may require 6 aircraft for a daily service. 2 Operate the B787s to AKL - it is well kno...

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by flee
Mon Sep 11, 2017 7:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SQ A350-900ULR to feature 162 seats
Replies: 82
Views: 22195

Re: SQ A350-900ULR to feature 162 seats

KarelXWB wrote:
A350-900ULR flight testing should start in early 2018.

MSN216 will be SQ's first ULR. Will they be using this frame for flight testing?

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by flee
Fri Sep 08, 2017 1:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates A350/787 decision off table
Replies: 51
Views: 11449

Re: Emirates A350/787 decision off table

Why rush into something & hope they pan-out? Because that's what EK's been doing for years if not decades now? Right, except DXB cannot add many more aircraft, let alone 70 A350s or 787s. We're talking about a physical limitation. Emirates will have to wait until it moves to DWC in 2025. And wh...

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by flee
Fri Sep 08, 2017 2:14 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA changes order for 35 A350-1000s to 45 A350-900s
Replies: 170
Views: 34572

Re: UA changes order for 35 A350-1000s to 45 A350-900s

DL757NYC wrote:
Why is United replacing the 777 with the A350 and not the 777X.

The 77W is a big increase in capacity over the aircraft that they are intending to replace.

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by flee
Fri Sep 08, 2017 2:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas to convert remaining A380 order to A350-900ULR (rumor)
Replies: 144
Views: 25192

Re: Qantas to convert remaining A380 order to A350-900ULR (rumor)

...but, you would think there would be other airlines higher up in the pecking order. They may want to stick to their original delivery schedule rather that take their deliveries earlier. I can understand Airbus overselling slots over the longer term, but to be over selling slots for deliveries in ...

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by flee
Thu Sep 07, 2017 9:07 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: EK to study all-economy A380 to combat low cost carriers
Replies: 101
Views: 17159

Re: EK to study all-economy A380 to combat low cost carriers

Will we see Basic Economy on EK?

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by flee
Thu Sep 07, 2017 9:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Possible Turkish 747-8i order
Replies: 93
Views: 23368

Re: Possible Turkish 747-8i order

More noise on TK. I will believe it when I see the planes flying and carrying revenue paying pax.

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by flee
Thu Sep 07, 2017 8:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA changes order for 35 A350-1000s to 45 A350-900s
Replies: 170
Views: 34572

Re: UA changes order for 35 A350-1000s to 45 A350-900s

I think that the biggest joker in the pack would be the oil price. If we go back to US$ 100 per barrel oil, you will see this order brought forward very quickly. Right now, they just want to keep CAPEX at low levels so that the company can report low borrowings and high profit numbers.

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by flee
Wed Sep 06, 2017 11:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: PW 1100G vs CFM LEAP, Can Pratt Make it Right ?
Replies: 43
Views: 6750

Re: PW 1100G vs CFM LEAP, Can Pratt Make it Right ?

Stupid reliability glitches???? Really? Stupid reliability glitches don't ground airplanes for weeks or months (?) and delay deliveries as much as PW equipped A320NEOs have been delayed Agree - glitches usually mean that the problems are solved within hours and not for weeks or months being grounde...

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by flee
Wed Sep 06, 2017 2:32 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Malaysia Airlines unveils Negaraku livery
Replies: 38
Views: 11694

Re: Malaysia Airlines unveils Negaraku livery

Malaysia Airlines Berhad is 100% owned by the sovereign wealth fund Khazanah Nasional. It is a flag carrier - its purpose is to project the country to the world. So, a name change is highly unlikely. In any case, not many airlines have changed their names after major air disasters. I can remember Ja...

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by flee
Wed Sep 06, 2017 1:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: PW 1100G vs CFM LEAP, Can Pratt Make it Right ?
Replies: 43
Views: 6750

Re: PW 1100G vs CFM LEAP, Can Pratt Make it Right ?

uta999 wrote:
Should RR return to this market? The other players seem to be making a bit of a hash of it.

If RR returned, will it be like the A330's Trent 700 - coming onto the market late but end up dominating it?

The Ultrafan will be several years away - but if it is good, customers will order it.

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enilria wrote:
Why would a profitable airline shut down???

https://www.norwegian.com/globalassets/ ... 017-q2.pdf

Negative cashflow.

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by flee
Sun Sep 03, 2017 2:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Where will the first A321neoLR be built?
Replies: 6
Views: 2280

Re: 1 A321 LR NEO Alabama ou Hambourg ?

188/5000 Ok thanks to both of you! I think about the economy of transport? Alabama maybe more economy because is not too far from canada? In part if Alabama there is not a place to make a test. It is not a problem - delivery flights are only a small one-off cost whereas production and test faciliti...

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by flee
Sun Sep 03, 2017 2:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330 NEO Production And Delivery Thread Part 1
Replies: 557
Views: 156849

Re: A330 NEO Production And Delivery Thread Part 1

AB is actually going forward with the A330-800 which has SIX orders, and not with the A350-800. That makes sense! Airbus is probably looking at the A330neo development programme as a single project. It is also looking at the future - A330-200 and -300 production will cease at some point in the futu...

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by flee
Sat Sep 02, 2017 8:41 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Why aren't the 320neos a new series number?
Replies: 19
Views: 2529

Re: Why aren't the 320neos a new series number?

It is in line with Airbus' policy of giving different numbers for different engines. A passenger would not know whether he is boarding a CEO or NEO because the interior has not changed. Compare and contrast this with the A330-900. Here Airbus have introduced some improvements that are not on the exi...

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by flee
Sat Sep 02, 2017 6:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Indigo set an altitude limit of 30,000 ft for the A320NEO fleet
Replies: 48
Views: 17716

Re: Indigo set an altitude limit of 30,000 ft for the A320NEO fleet

I think someone here on A.net was saying how the PW was going to beat the LEAP at service entry, how it would be ahead in performance, would be ahead of performance expectations, and the LEAP would be guaranteed to not meet performance, and be behind right out the box.......... And I vehemently dis...

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by flee
Sun Aug 27, 2017 10:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hi Fly to add second hand A380s
Replies: 196
Views: 42913

Re: Hi Fly to add second hand A380s

I also believe there is a chance for the 380s coming from MH. Highly improbable - MH will still be operating A380s on their scheduled routes until at least January 2018. All their frames have just completed heavy maintenance checks at great cost and the new charter airline is now undergoing regulat...

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by flee
Sun Aug 27, 2017 1:32 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: First Airbus A380 parked amid search for new operator
Replies: 96
Views: 19669

Re: First Airbus A380 parked amid search for new operator

So the problem with the MH birds was indeed not lack of market, but abusive pricing for used planes, as many were suspecting. Oh, the whale is not dead ;) SQ's 9V-SKA was delivered on 15 Oct 2007 whilst MH's 9M-MNA was delivered on 29 May 2012 - that means that MH's frame is some 5 years younger an...

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by flee
Sun Aug 27, 2017 1:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: First Airbus A380 parked amid search for new operator
Replies: 96
Views: 19669

Re: First Airbus A380 parked amid search for new operator

So the problem with the MH birds was indeed not lack of market, but abusive pricing for used planes, as many were suspecting. Oh, the whale is not dead ;) SQ's 9V-SKA was delivered on 15 Oct 2007 whilst MH's 9M-MNA was delivered on 29 May 2012 - that means that MH's frame is some 5 years younger an...

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by flee
Fri Aug 25, 2017 2:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: First Airbus A380 parked amid search for new operator
Replies: 96
Views: 19669

Re: First Airbus A380 parked amid search for new operator

Whether it flies again relies on how much the lease of the second hand aircraft will be. If they are prepared to settle for a much lower amount, the economics will work out and airlines will look at it as one of their options. SQ did not extend the lease because they have already ordered its replace...

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by flee
Mon Aug 21, 2017 1:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Cathay Pacific to acquire 32 A321neo aircraft
Replies: 42
Views: 10493

Re: Cathay Pacific to acquire 32 A321neo aircraft

CXGabriel wrote:
Interesting that they're not order A320NEO. A321NEO having better economics is the key, and certainly more cargo room downstairs helps.

I think the congested airspace in the Pearl River delta is another reason - more capacity from the same landing slots.

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by flee
Mon Aug 21, 2017 12:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Cathay Pacific to acquire 32 A321neo aircraft
Replies: 42
Views: 10493

Re: Cathay Pacific to acquire 32 A321neo aircraft

I think that the PW GTF would have been named as the chosen engine, had it not suffered the issues that are yet to be completely fixed.

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by flee
Thu Aug 17, 2017 4:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will the A320-200 CEO become the next DC-3?
Replies: 50
Views: 8532

Re: Will the A320-200 CEO become the next DC-3?

Part of the reason the DC-3 still flies today because it is an unpressurized aircraft, and thus does not suffer the long-term effects of repeated pressurization cycles that affect nearly all airliners since. I'd also guess that because there were so many of them built in a relatively short period o...

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by flee
Mon Aug 14, 2017 7:38 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Avolon publishes assessment of Boeing 737 MAX
Replies: 14
Views: 3636

Avolon publishes assessment of Boeing 737 MAX

Avolon, the international aircraft leasing company, today issues a paper assessing the Boeing 737 MAX aircraft family titled, The 737 MAX – Taking Flight. This paper analyzes the impact of the evolving changes to the MAX family’s composition on the narrowbody aircraft market. At a broader level, the...

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by flee
Sun Aug 13, 2017 8:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Flightglobal opinion: Dreamliner break-even remains a moving target
Replies: 17
Views: 3749

Re: Flightglobal opinion: Dreamliner break-even remains a moving target

2) The costs are accounted for. I understand that you don't like program accounting (and that's a reasonable position) but there are entries in the Boeing accounts that reflect the money that was spent. Yes, and the irony of this all is that the sunk costs are capitalised and shown in the Boeing Ba...

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by flee
Sat Aug 12, 2017 6:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Malaysian A380's
Replies: 26
Views: 6726

Re: Malaysian A380's

While you may be able to operate them at a per flight profit in a higher density for pilgrimage charters; the fact is that most of the year the planes will sit doing nothing. Not really. While Hajj only occurs within a specific times, Umrah visits to Makkah can be done year round. I'd say a large p...

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by flee
Fri Aug 11, 2017 3:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Malaysian A380's
Replies: 26
Views: 6726

Re: Malaysian A380's

Having a look at some of the activity of the A380's they have, they seem to be slipping on thr NRT & ICN routes on some days as well. Recently they've also done some Hajj flying to Medina. Wasn't the high density talk about these aircraft started a few years ago? Nothing has come of this, and i...

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by flee
Fri Aug 04, 2017 3:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AerCap: planned narrowbody production rates are unrealistic
Replies: 57
Views: 8178

Re: AerCap: planned narrowbody production rates are unrealistic

But the airlines with later slots may not want their deliveries advanced by 2 years. That is the problem. It would force them to lower the rate. I don't care either way, but just stating the length of the backlog really isn't a meaningful way to assess the damage of large cancellations. But there m...

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by flee
Fri Aug 04, 2017 3:05 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Thai AirAsia - We Make A Mistake But Do You A Favour By Asking You To Pay Us More To Fix It
Replies: 12
Views: 1658

Re: Thai AirAsia - We Make A Mistake But Do You A Favour By Asking You To Pay Us More To Fix It

Moral of the story - always have your travel and ID documents ready in the correct format/language/validity period that is required by the airline. All LCCs behave like that - if everything goes well, travelling will be a breeze. If something (however minor) goes wrong, they will be hell on earth. T...

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by flee
Fri Aug 04, 2017 2:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AerCap: planned narrowbody production rates are unrealistic
Replies: 57
Views: 8178

Re: AerCap: planned narrowbody production rates are unrealistic

Those are fair points for a single carrier, but then there are the second order impacts. Say they are able to fulfill the order and expand by some factor, what happens to the order book of the competitors they are trouncing? There will need to be sufficient organic growth in the travel market (at e...

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by flee
Fri Aug 04, 2017 1:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AerCap: planned narrowbody production rates are unrealistic
Replies: 57
Views: 8178

Re: AerCap: planned narrowbody production rates are unrealistic

Can't blame them, do people really think airlines like Air Asia, Indigo and Lion Air are going to all those aircraft on order? I note that Airasia's leasing arm, Asian Aviation Capital, are "trading" in aircraft too - several of Airasia's aircraft were sold last year. So, it does not mean...

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by flee
Thu Aug 03, 2017 1:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AirAsia X tries to advance A350 deliveries
Replies: 11
Views: 2642

Re: AirAsia X tries to advance A350 deliveries

It's getting really hard to read what D7 want to do. Certainly keeping people on their toes. They seem to have a hard time choosing a strategy and sticking to it. Going to fly to Europe? They rule it out but now want an aircraft that is better suited to that mission. Interesting times. D7 has opera...

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