Search found 12536 matches

by lightsaber
Thu May 25, 2017 1:14 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Next generation VLA, and why it will be an A380
Replies: 91
Views: 8931

Re: Next generation VLA, and why it will be an A380

Yea but there is 0 reason all these people need to be flowed over LHR that currently are. There are many other airports that can take the connections and leave LHR for destination. Aside from the fact that some long-haul nonstops will not become economical in the foreseeable future, the fact that o...

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by lightsaber
Wed May 24, 2017 2:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AirAsia X reports Q1 2017 results
Replies: 11
Views: 1739

Re: AirAsia X reports Q1 2017 results

It's a worldwide trend right now. Overcapacity results in dropping yields. It makes me wonder what Air Asia X will do with the 78 airplanes on order. That is massive expansion from 20 something planes now, which will be tough since right now they are seeing declining yields as they add more capacit...

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by lightsaber
Wed May 24, 2017 1:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Next generation VLA, and why it will be an A380
Replies: 91
Views: 8931

Re: Next generation VLA, and why it will be an A380

You're ignoring that fact that new, smaller aircraft (hello 787, hello A350) are not only more economical but some versions of them fly much further, increasing the ability of the airlines to offer more convenient point-to-point flying. This change in market shift - which is happening right now - a...

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by lightsaber
Wed May 24, 2017 11:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Next generation VLA, and why it will be an A380
Replies: 91
Views: 8931

Re: Next generation VLA, and why it will be an A380

How will VLA sales dramatically increase? The A380 production rate was marginally profitable. To stay in production, the A380 requires: 1. New engines 2. A stretch 3. Interior refinements That takes billions of dollars (or Euros). Who will buy the plane? It takes an expanding hub to fly large quanti...

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by lightsaber
Tue May 23, 2017 3:45 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: How about...343neo with LeapX/GTF engines?
Replies: 24
Views: 2613

Re: How about...343neo with LeapX/GTF engines?

How to beat the economics of the B789 ot A359... Impossible. Small engines are less efficient than large as there is more surface area to flow path. Due to blade tip leakage, the pressure ratio is lower. Plus, it is just more weight. A dream, but no leasing company will touch a quad right now. Light...

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by lightsaber
Tue May 23, 2017 2:27 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Cirrus SF-50 - Engine & engine location
Replies: 6
Views: 682

Re: Cirrus SF-50 - Engine & engine location

I agree... for a given mission the jet is going to burn a bit more, be a bit slower, and carry a bit less than the "premium" single engine turboprops, but Cirrus has three major things going for it. First, as you noted, it costs a lot less to purchase. Second, Cirrus is already leader in ...

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by lightsaber
Tue May 23, 2017 2:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: International growth stalls in China
Replies: 18
Views: 2989

Re: International growth stalls in China

There is in general a slowdown, why would Asia be 100% immune? Will it grow later? Yes, but first the economic imbalance has to shake out. Same thing with the ME3 and other markets. I find the zero dollar tourist thing interesting... Not long term sustainable, but very interesting to me. Lightsaber

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by lightsaber
Mon May 22, 2017 2:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: First 737 MAX delivered to Malindo Air
Replies: 59
Views: 11005

Re: 737 MAX Inaugural Commercial Flight

9M-LRC will be doing the honors today for the first 737 MAX flight with paying customers. She will operate MXD803 from KUL-SIN today. https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DAY5WbWU0AA94uR.jpg:large https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DAZPymOVoAAws5C.jpg Live updates and pictures here : https://twitter.com/airwaysliv...

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by lightsaber
Mon May 22, 2017 12:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumour: Hainan Airlines interested in Alitalia
Replies: 32
Views: 6709

Re: Rumour: Hainan Airlines interested in Alitalia

Re-thinking this---might Hainan be only interested in the owned aircraft themselves to perhaps acquire for Avolon Aerospace or perhaps their parts for older aircraft, given how many of the 772s and some 332s that AZ has are pretty old? I doubt that HNA would be interested in AZ as a going concern. ...

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by lightsaber
Sun May 21, 2017 11:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Cygnus - small supersonic jet concept
Replies: 52
Views: 4289

Re: Cygnus - small supersonic jet concept

Here is a company that is much farther ahead and is actually building a prototype test & demonstrator. https://boomsupersonic.com/ Details on the demonstrator is at: https://boomsupersonic.com/xb-1/ I see Boom recently (in March) raised more funds per their blog. But not enough to make the pass...

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by lightsaber
Sun May 21, 2017 10:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Aerion goes with GE for SSBJ Engines
Replies: 20
Views: 2218

Re: Aerion goes with GE for SSBJ Engines

Wow... I'd like to know more about the engine. This is the best chance of a supersonic business jet.

Lightsaber

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by lightsaber
Sun May 21, 2017 7:17 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Cirrus SF-50 - Engine & engine location
Replies: 6
Views: 682

Re: Cirrus SF-50 - Engine & engine location

I was thinking about this thread while hiking (I know...) and I realized there is really a small gap for owner operated business jets below the *faster* and longer ranged turboprops (Cessna Denali, SOCATA TBM 900, and Pilatus PC-12) which will be tough to compete with in the $4Million to $5 million ...

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by lightsaber
Sun May 21, 2017 7:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Cygnus - small supersonic jet concept
Replies: 52
Views: 4289

Re: Cygnus - small supersonic jet concept

Anyone else feel supersonic business jets are like the 2003 through 2008 craze to announce single engine owner flown jets? Of all those, only Cirrus is delivering. There were quite a few I can recall: Piper jet and Diamond D-jet come to mind. Now we have supersonic business jet announcements. Aerion...

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by lightsaber
Sun May 21, 2017 6:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Cygnus - small supersonic jet concept
Replies: 52
Views: 4289

Re: Cygnus - small supersonic jet concept

Neat looking plane! Errr... About $180 million per copy is my first guess (if a few hundred are made). Can someone figure out the engine they're using for that concept ? They are bragging variable cycle, so that is a new design. What?!? Who is going to invest that type of money in the engine?!? My a...

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by lightsaber
Sun May 21, 2017 4:08 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: What cockpits are particularly noisy?
Replies: 68
Views: 7404

Re: What cockpits are particularly noisy?

The NEO is whisper quiet compared to the 320 CEO. Still has the barking dog tho. The 145 is annoying, every warning and caution is dumb, if it meets the criteria, ding, ding, and ding, There's no thought for phase of flight. Of course the cabin door is open, we're at the gate, master warning ding. ...

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by lightsaber
Sun May 21, 2017 3:54 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Cirrus SF-50 - Engine & engine location
Replies: 6
Views: 682

Re: Cirrus SF-50 - Engine & engine location

The drive to single engine is to cut purchase costs. Turbine engines cost a million dollars or more. As to smaller engines, this is a Williams FJ-33-5A, a tiny engine. I do not know this variant's thrust, but the family has a maximum thrust of 1,900 lb (In development for the competing D-jet) little...

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by lightsaber
Sun May 21, 2017 2:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumour: Hainan Airlines interested in Alitalia
Replies: 32
Views: 6709

Re: Rumour: Hainan Airlines interested in Alitalia

Alitalia will loose about 500 million Euros per year for the next few years. Then it will get worse as FR, U2, Wizz, and other European ULCCs compete. I won't say there cannot be another Alitalia investor, but it must be someone deep pocketed and stupid as the pace of reform at the airline is just t...

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by lightsaber
Sun May 21, 2017 1:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta to issue RFP for up to 150 Narrowbodies?
Replies: 114
Views: 17839

Re: Delta to issue RFP for up to 150 Narrowbodies?

The analysts don't see the order in Boeing's favour The analysts aren't always right. As mentioned above, there are agendas at play. and looking at Boeing's recent track record with DL, it seems that DL has lately made fleet decisions mostly on politics rather than price or technical merit. I'm alm...

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by lightsaber
Sun May 21, 2017 1:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Singapore Airlines to return first five A380s
Replies: 71
Views: 21857

Re: Singapore Airlines to return first five A380s

Nothing really new for a.net... just that now it is publicly confirmed. As expected, SQ maintains its total A380 fleet size at 19, and returns the 5 early frames as they come off lease and new ones arrive. Are these five, all early overweight birds? Yes, those 5 are among the earliest frames. They ...

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by lightsaber
Sat May 20, 2017 9:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United working to replace P.S. with "United Coast"
Replies: 72
Views: 13108

Re: United working to replace P.S. with "United Coast"

Within 5 years I suspect lieflats will be the norm for carriers on the key transcons between SF/LA and NYC/BOS/WAS/MIA, but it's entirely thanks to JetBlue. Yea, my thoughts too. This BOS-SFO is a Mint reaction. I personally have found a lie flat wonderful for even a 3 hour flight. But I wouldn't p...

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by lightsaber
Sat May 20, 2017 9:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Austral 77Ws withdrawn from use
Replies: 16
Views: 6023

Re: Air Austral 77Ws withdrawn from use

CX also have some early B77W's coming off lease in the not to distant future and I believe EVA also do. We can add Emirates to the list. All widebodies are taking a value hit: http://www.airliners.net/forum/viewtopic.php?f=3&t=1361025&hilit=Lease+values The 77E and older A333 are approachin...

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by lightsaber
Sat May 20, 2017 9:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Richard Branson may start a new US airline venture after Alaska spat
Replies: 59
Views: 11561

Re: Richard Branson may start a new US airline venture after Alaska spat

I don't see the value in starting another airline with the same name and branding. VA's value was its assets, not its brand. Well, from statements he have said, seems like he think otherwise SRB was a great salesman. I say was as his bikini marketing with someone younger than his grandchildren does...

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by lightsaber
Sat May 20, 2017 8:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas considering 777-8 or A359ULR to replace 744ER's to fly SYD-JFK and SYD-LHR non-stop
Replies: 534
Views: 83556

Re: Qantas considering 777-8 or A359ULR to replace 744ER's to fly SYD-JFK and SYD-LHR non-stop

Given the choice I would fly direct everytime. If you were to go one stop you might save the equivalent to 5 nights hotel accommodation. There will be a market for non stop flights, there will also be market for cheaper multi stop flights. From PER to LHR you have many choices including EK, QR, EY,...

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by lightsaber
Sat May 20, 2017 8:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Conviasa grounds all flights
Replies: 72
Views: 13470

Re: Conviasa grounds all flights

And, I have also heard that no US carrier currently flying into CCS will likely ever drop CCS. I recall Hugo Chavez saying that any airline dropping Venezuela in the crisis will never be allowed to return. Of course Maduro would follow this. It was actually Maduro saying that, but you are probably ...

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by lightsaber
Sat May 20, 2017 12:16 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Potential "emotional support" v. service animal solution
Replies: 38
Views: 1791

Re: Potential "emotional support" v. service animal solution

I would have it so only trained service dogs count. All others, including emotional therapy pets, go in the cargo hold unless a fee is paid and they are small enough to fit in their carry bag under a seat. I'm ok with the trained animals. Most animals fail the training and would never qualify. Light...

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by lightsaber
Sat May 20, 2017 12:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Allegiant RFD MD80 Summer Usage and Beyond
Replies: 4
Views: 1029

Re: Allegiant RFD MD80 Summer Usage and Beyond

Do I know? No. But G4 will retire MD-80s as A329s arrive. G4 doesn't allocate by flight, but by the package of flights an airframe will fly that day. The most intense will be assigned new A320s as they become available. IIRC, there are currently a dozen of those daily plane assignments at Allegiant ...

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by lightsaber
Fri May 19, 2017 11:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SIA Cargo to be shut; freighters reintegrate with SQ mainline
Replies: 17
Views: 4598

Re: SIA Cargo to be shut; freighters reintegrate with SQ mainline

I'm actually surprised they held out this long, cargo market is going through a bit of a downturn and dedicated freighter fleets across the board seem to all be reducing in numbers. That is interesting to hear as I was just told that the airline I work for is having the best year in 8 years in term...

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by lightsaber
Fri May 19, 2017 6:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta to issue RFP for up to 150 Narrowbodies?
Replies: 114
Views: 17839

Re: Delta to issue RFP for up to 150 Narrowbodies?

Opportune timing for heavy discounts. All three airframers will bid. Heck, Embraer will talk just to try and earn a sale.

As to who, anyone could win.

Lightsaber

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by lightsaber
Thu May 18, 2017 9:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Possible outcome after JetBlue fleet review
Replies: 38
Views: 6525

Re: Possible outcome after JetBlue fleet review

"Rumor mill says the LRs aren't meeting expectations." Is this the same rumor mill that says the 321 is still trying to catch up to the 739 and will be destroyed by the 7310? The 321LR did not even fly yet. How can it not meet expectations? :old: Correct,how can a plane that is not built ...

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by lightsaber
Thu May 18, 2017 7:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why did the Widebodies 3 holers era end?
Replies: 111
Views: 18185

Re: Why did the Widebodies 3 holers era end?

Maybe a naive question, but if a smaller number of engines achieve higher efficiency, would we see a single engine narrow body in the future? Some fighter jets only have a single jet engine. I am no engineer, so would appreciate if someone can answer this. No we will not. Redundancy is required. In...

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by lightsaber
Wed May 17, 2017 8:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Cseries orders for 2017
Replies: 156
Views: 36519

Re: Cseries orders for 2017

Apparently easyjet is considering the Cseries once again for replacement of its 319's Interesting, is this just to get a better deal from Airbus or are they sincere? I hope for a big C-series order, it is a good plane who deserves a fair shot a success. Bombadier should be rewarded for their dare. ...

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by lightsaber
Wed May 17, 2017 6:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: An Amazon.com passenger airline on the horizon?
Replies: 45
Views: 7627

Re: An Amazon.com passenger airline on the horizon?

I remember an operation back in the 1980s that was similar to what is being discussed in this thread. Consolidated Freightways contracted with Eastern Airlines to carry overnight freight in the bellies of Eastern's A300s, and passengers flew in the same planes. Eastern called it the Moonlight Speci...

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by lightsaber
Wed May 17, 2017 5:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: First 737 MAX delivered to Malindo Air
Replies: 59
Views: 11005

Re: First 737 MAX delivered to Malindo Air

Hmmmm.... congrats on the 1st delivery, but I'm surprised at how low-key this has been. An unknown 2nd tier airliner as first customer, no ceremony at all... rather disappointing. I would have expected a bit more fanfare, and Boeing to show a bit more pride in its product... I share this opinion. I...

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by lightsaber
Wed May 17, 2017 2:14 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ethiopian seeks 'heavy' cost cuts
Replies: 26
Views: 5426

Re: Ethiopian seeks 'heavy' cost cuts

It remains impressive to see them turn profits despite many of the reasons posted above. Growth: ET has grown very fast in the last five years and it remains to be seen how sustainable this is going to be. Ethiopian has historically been very conservative, both route and fleet growth wise. Newer Af...

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by lightsaber
Tue May 16, 2017 1:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Easyjet to receive A321neo
Replies: 51
Views: 7455

Re: Easyjet to receive A321neo

As others have pointed out its a big jump from 156 A319s to 235 seat A321s. EasyJet also operates A320s with 180 and 186 seats. It is simply due for U2 to fly the A321. My prediction that the A321 will represent 70%+ of NEO deliveries seems safe with so many LCCs and ULCCs buying the type:. U2, NK,...

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by lightsaber
Tue May 16, 2017 12:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Sheraton Hotel Purchased By The City of Atlanta For Sixth Runway.
Replies: 23
Views: 5913

Re: Sheraton Hotel Purchased By The City of Atlanta For Sixth Runway.

This is great news. ATL is getting a 6th runway while LHR is getting... Err...
OK, FRA is expanding... Err...
AMS? Nope

OK, the airport won't have any contest for #1 until the new Beijing, new IST, and new Dubai airports come online.

Lightsaber

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by lightsaber
Tue May 16, 2017 3:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A320neo Family Production Thread - Part 7
Replies: 1909
Views: 176660

Re: Airbus A320NEO Production Thread - Part 7

I hope not, PW is significantly quieter and more efficient from what I have seen and heard. I don't think that there is any significant differences in the noise levels of the two engines. Fuel consumption data is not publicly available - so it may vary from airline to airline and heavily dependent ...

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by lightsaber
Tue May 16, 2017 2:58 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Boeing discussing 40-50 klbs MoM engines with OEM's
Replies: 63
Views: 7665

Re: Boeing discussing 40-50 klbs MoM engines with OEM's

...and the PW4092 ......and the PW4098 .........and the PW4173 ............and.... ;) Out of curiosity, what did happen to the 4073? The 4173 required more titanium in some parts to deal with the higher temps, and PW didn't want to commit to making that change. http://www.airliners.net/forum/viewto...

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by lightsaber
Tue May 16, 2017 2:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The end of scheduled A345 service?
Replies: 54
Views: 9768

Re: The death of the A345?

This is fascinating. The end of a (short) era with 34 delivered. I see Etihad is retiring the A346 this year also. LH will replace A346s with A359s, a process just started. Iberia is replacing their A346s... While this is an A345 thread, that implies poor economies of scale for the engine maintenanc...

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by lightsaber
Tue May 16, 2017 2:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How is Etihad Regional performing?
Replies: 5
Views: 1430

Re: How is Etihad Regional performing?

Jet Airways in particular, and Air Serbia in general, were airlines with potential that had some management issues and had run into cash-flow stress. A cash bail-out would have helped. This is exactly what happened. Again for Jet, their nirvana has been better existing fleet deployment by tying-up ...

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by lightsaber
Mon May 15, 2017 2:20 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Boeing discussing 40-50 klbs MoM engines with OEM's
Replies: 63
Views: 7665

Re: Boeing discussing 40-50 klbs MoM engines with OEM's

If the engine requirements for the MOM really is between 40,000 to 45,000 lbf, then the MOM would have a MTOW somewhere around 120 and 135 t? How do you get to these numbers? Using latest technology example (787), for 40,000 lbf I get an MTOW from 134 to 143t. It's just an assumption based on MTOW ...

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by lightsaber
Mon May 15, 2017 1:39 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: ARJ21 Dispatch Reliability
Replies: 7
Views: 985

Re: ARJ21 Dispatch Reliability

Hello, I think Chengdu Airlines still operates the ARJ-21 on the EU 6667/EU 6668 rotations. Route CTU-SHA via CSX and return three times a week on Mondays, Wednesdays and Saturdays. I flew from SHA to CTU on B-3321 the 25th of Feb. Best regards, Magnus Think about that. But also, wasn't a shorter r...

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by lightsaber
Mon May 15, 2017 1:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why is United being indecisive with fleet plans?
Replies: 45
Views: 8456

Re: Why is United being indecisive with fleet plans?

I think it has a lot to do with a new President and CFO who want to conserve cash flow and who thinks previously negotiated deals were too rich. It has become a buyers market for aircraft. Look at the 73G deal (later converted to cheap -8 MAX). There is much potential to cut acquisition costs and t...

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by lightsaber
Mon May 15, 2017 10:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: India Aviation Thread - May 2017
Replies: 108
Views: 7434

Re: India Aviation Thread - May 2017

Also interesting that 6E hopes to end FY18 with a fleet of 170 A320s (ceo+neo), meaning addition of 39 aircraft to its fleet for the year. This would be the largest net addition of aircraft in a year for IndiGo without even accounting for the ATR deliveries. That is impressive, a growth of 39 airfr...

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by lightsaber
Sun May 14, 2017 1:57 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: ARJ21 Dispatch Reliability
Replies: 7
Views: 985

Re: ARJ21 Dispatch Reliability

Recently the ARJ, with 2 years in service and two aircraft passed 10,000 hours of service. Every new (ish) plane should do that in 4 months. Heavily utilized ones in 3. The heaviest used aircraft will do 10,000 hours in 70 days. In about 700 days two aircraft did so, or at about 7% of the potential...

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by lightsaber
Sat May 13, 2017 11:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Accused Of Racist Seat Change
Replies: 89
Views: 9611

Re: AA Accused Of Racist Seat Change

I honestly don't understand this mentality? If a person thinks they were wronged and the Airline didn't attempt to make it right, what else are they to do? I'm not saying this is the case here, but this forum is so quick to just blame the PAX and assume that they just want to scam the airline or ge...

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by lightsaber
Sat May 13, 2017 11:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Accused Of Racist Seat Change
Replies: 89
Views: 9611

Re: AA Accused Of Racist Seat Change

Just another passenger trying to get her name in the news. Anyone else sick of these stories? I know I am. OK so in 2017 its fine to push a person to the back of the plane because they are black when they have paid for business class. Ironically is the person who paid for the upgrade gets bounced b...

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by lightsaber
Sat May 13, 2017 11:07 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: ARJ21 Dispatch Reliability
Replies: 7
Views: 985

Re: ARJ21 Dispatch Reliability

Recently the ARJ, with 2 years in service and two aircraft passed 1,000 hours of service. Every new (ish) plane should do that in 4 months. Heavily utilized ones in 3. The heaviest used aircraft will do 10,000 hours in 70 days. In about 700 days two aircraft did so, or at about 7% of the potential o...

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by lightsaber
Sat May 13, 2017 8:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: If Oil drops sub $20 for foreseeable future, a 4-engine A350 stretch?
Replies: 106
Views: 9760

Re: If Oil drops sub $20 for foreseeable future, a 4-engine A350 stretch?

Current WTI crude is at $47 and Brent at $50. If prices drop to sub $20 for the foreseeable future, could we ever see Airbus modify the A350 as a stretch with 4 engines? No. But if folks thought $20 oil was here to stay, you might see much more emphasis on a SST (son of Concorde?) - but that would ...

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by lightsaber
Sat May 13, 2017 5:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates A380 diverted to Larnaca after birth of a baby on board #EK75
Replies: 30
Views: 8694

Re: Emirates A380 diverted to Larnaca after birth of a baby on board #EK75

Why would they not land in Istanbul? Because unless it's a dire emergency then IST won't accept diversions, a birth onboard is sometimes not considered a dire emergency. LTBA-A2001/17 From: 24/04/2017 06:37 UTC To: 24/07/2017 09:00 UTC (EST) 2. TECHNICAL LANDINGS AND DIVERTS OTHER THAN THOSE HAVING...

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