Search found 14574 matches

by lightsaber
Sun Jul 15, 2018 5:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Mexico City new Airport
Replies: 70
Views: 10933

Re: Mexico City new Airport

How is the construction progressing? Is there any hope of meeting the 2020 opening? I'm a cynic on airport projects opening on time. See: BER A 5 year delay is drastic, but not deadly for the project. I suspect the New administration will want LOTS of ‘benefits’ from the commercial aviation and engi...

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by lightsaber
Sun Jul 15, 2018 5:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and United continue talks on 321LR/330
Replies: 68
Views: 15410

Re: Airbus and United continue talks on 321LR/330

The real question is can United wait until 2025 at the earliest to replace the 757 fleet. The answer is no. Why? Are the airframes closing in on their hours/cycles fatigue limits? They’re hangar queens. The reliability of the 757 and 767 fleet is not good. The 753 fleet is especially bad. 757s are ...

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by lightsaber
Sun Jul 15, 2018 5:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Farnborough Air Show 2018 - Official Picture and General Discussion Thread
Replies: 45
Views: 12975

Re: Farnborough Air Show 2018 - Official Picture and General Discussion Thread

https://www.flightglobal.com/news/artic ... ad-401444/
-->

CPHFF wrote:
Any news/rumours about Netherlands Aircraft Company (aka REKKOF)?

No. Thankfully.

For those wondering what we're talking about, here is a trip back to 2014 Farnborough:
https://www.flightglobal.com/news/artic ... ad-401444/

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by lightsaber
Sun Jul 15, 2018 5:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Istanbul New Airport, Latest Pictures
Replies: 127
Views: 40925

Re: Istanbul New Airport, Latest Pictures

-All will be done in 4+ months, end of October. All foreign airlines will stop flying to IST or the new airport during the last two days of October. TK will have only, IIRC; 18 hours to move. And magically on Nov 1st, IST will be history and ALL flights will be out of the new airport, except Cargo ...

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by lightsaber
Sun Jul 15, 2018 5:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why is Ryanair taking delivery of the 737-Max so late?
Replies: 16
Views: 3490

Re: Why is Ryanair taking delivery of the 737-Max so late?

They got a cracking deal for the NG until the end of the production slots, if they decided to get the MAX earlier they would sacrifice those slots for the more expensive MAX200s. Also its no secret that Ryanair was not happy with the deal they got for the MAX in the first place, hence only ordering...

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by lightsaber
Sun Jul 15, 2018 5:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Orders 60 Airbus A220-300
Replies: 353
Views: 45463

Re: JetBlue Orders 60 Airbus A220-300

Leeham summary: 25% to 30% lower unit costs (basically, added seats are free, as I noted above). Close numbers per leeham with the E2-175. https://leehamnews.com/2018/07/12/airbus-jetblue-a220-deal-first-analysis/#more-27680 So it was value. How much was discounting (including future maintenance) a...

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by lightsaber
Sun Jul 15, 2018 2:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air India Privatization, by June-Failed sale. What next?
Replies: 539
Views: 40126

Re: Air India Privatization, by June-Failed sale. What next?

Equity infusion of $305 million: https://amp.click2houston.com/travel/india-pours-305m-more-into-its-lossmaking-national-airline Considering the losses, I doubt this will last six months. I'm curious as to others' predictions of when AI needs another infusion and when. Mine, six months and 35 billi...

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by lightsaber
Sat Jul 14, 2018 11:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Orders 60 Airbus A220-300
Replies: 353
Views: 45463

Re: JetBlue Orders 60 Airbus A220-300

Leeham summary: 25% to 30% lower unit costs (basically, added seats are free, as I noted above). Close numbers per leeham with the E2-175. https://leehamnews.com/2018/07/12/airbus-jetblue-a220-deal-first-analysis/#more-27680 So it was value. How much was discounting (including future maintenance) an...

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by lightsaber
Sat Jul 14, 2018 11:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Brussels Airlines to ditch Sukhoi Superjets?
Replies: 28
Views: 8973

Re: Brussels Airlines to ditch Sukhoi Superjets?

Brussels Airlines has much bigger problems than their SSJ ops., I guess they will also get the axe soon. The main problem for the SSJ right now I guess is due to 2 things mainly: the first of them is getting someone to fix even the smallest issue outside of their mx bases, the second one is their c...

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by lightsaber
Sat Jul 14, 2018 7:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air India Privatization, by June-Failed sale. What next?
Replies: 539
Views: 40126

Re: Air India Privatization, by June-Failed sale. What next?

Equity infusion of $305 million: https://amp.click2houston.com/travel/india-pours-305m-more-into-its-lossmaking-national-airline Considering the losses, I doubt this will last six months. I'm curious as to others' predictions of when AI needs another infusion and when. Mine, six months and 35 billio...

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by lightsaber
Sat Jul 14, 2018 6:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Asia to order more Airbus aircraft?
Replies: 101
Views: 13697

Re: Air Asia to order more Airbus aircraft?

Just read this news in Malaysia (it's 2:06am here). Total of 200 321neo and 100 A330neo! That is shocking. Something really worth celebrating if confirmed, since there have been a lot naysayers here in a.net regarding the latter. They can now shove their argument up where sun doesn't shine. I'm pre...

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by lightsaber
Sat Jul 14, 2018 6:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Asia to order more Airbus aircraft?
Replies: 101
Views: 13697

Re: Air Asia to order more Airbus aircraft?

At some point Boeing is going to run out of delivery slots. There is a pronounced limit on staying power for dumping frames below cost. IMU all the arguments offered why Boeing can now make bargain offers are so much colourful fiction. Boeing is not selling below costs per my estimates. Per my esti...

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by lightsaber
Sat Jul 14, 2018 6:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What's next for Allegiant? - discussion thread
Replies: 346
Views: 40734

Re: What's next for Allegiant? - discussion thread

So supposedly the last MD-80 flight is November 28. However they still have almost 30 active frames. Is it realistic to have them all retired in the next 4-5ish months? Seems like a lot and doesn’t seem like that many airbuses coming in... That is why there is so much speculation on Allegiant aircr...

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by lightsaber
Sat Jul 14, 2018 5:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Asia to order more Airbus aircraft?
Replies: 101
Views: 13697

Re: Air Asia to order more Airbus aircraft?

I have fallen over in shock! Can someone help me up? Lets wait and see. So far nothing is signed. If signed at Farnborough, AirAsia will be getting the deal of the decade. If this happens, the entire viability of the A330NEO has shifted for the better. Honestly, I thought Boeing & GE were being...

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by lightsaber
Sat Jul 14, 2018 5:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Brussels Airlines to ditch Sukhoi Superjets?
Replies: 28
Views: 8973

Re: Brussels Airlines to ditch Sukhoi Superjets?

. The main problem for the SSJ right now I guess is due to 2 things mainly: the first of them is getting someone to fix even the smallest issue outside of their mx bases, the second one is their current extremely restricted MEL, which compounded with the first point results in issues such as the on...

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by lightsaber
Sat Jul 14, 2018 5:12 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Orders 60 Airbus A220-300
Replies: 353
Views: 45463

Re: JetBlue Orders 60 Airbus A220-300

Let's be real, prior generation didn't even use fiber optics for data nor proper routers. Now with far better command, data, and power distribution... We can do more. Heck, the 787 came out before those neat solid state transformers that clip any aircraft power supply to variable frequency AC or mo...

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by lightsaber
Sat Jul 14, 2018 3:38 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Orders 60 Airbus A220-300
Replies: 353
Views: 45463

Re: JetBlue Orders 60 Airbus A220-300

OK, I'm going nuts, I couldn't find out how many options SWISS or Korean have... AirBaltic has 30 options (1st order of 2018 IIRC?) JetBlue has 60 options. Delta has 50 options. I'm sure the leasing companies have options. Out of curiosity, is there a list of airlines committed to leasing the A220? ...

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by lightsaber
Sat Jul 14, 2018 3:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The sonic cruiser, was Boeing serious ?
Replies: 6
Views: 1349

Re: The sonic cruiser, was Boeing serious ?

Boeing was serious about finding out what technology was out there and at what TRL level (how ready to put into an aircraft). The 787 wouldn't be what it is today without the SonicCruiser study. I personally had insight into the predicted fuel burn numbers and... we'll just say the man who is now Pr...

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by lightsaber
Sat Jul 14, 2018 2:23 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Orders 60 Airbus A220-300
Replies: 353
Views: 45463

Re: JetBlue Orders 60 Airbus A220-300

What about options then? B6 had option for 60 aircraft. Seems like a great way to lock-in prices early before they go up later if the program is successful. And if the program isn't, then they can just pass on the option? Options lock in an inflation adjusted price and delivery times assuming the a...

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by lightsaber
Sat Jul 14, 2018 1:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Orders 60 Airbus A220-300
Replies: 353
Views: 45463

Re: JetBlue Orders 60 Airbus A220-300

Sounds like they got the frames around 70% off list... ~23 million a frame. You’d be a fool not to grab that deal. Boeing has been offering similar levels of discount to block A220 deals (back when it was the C-series): Forbes contributor Scott Hamilton reported that United signed on at $22 million...

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by lightsaber
Sat Jul 14, 2018 1:35 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A320neo Family Production/Delivery Thread 2018
Replies: 481
Views: 133736

Re: Airbus A320neo Family Production/Delivery Thread 2018

https://www.ainonline.com/aviation-news/air-transport/2018-01-09/airbus-raise-a320-production-tianjin Production rising to 6 per month. The Toulouse Blagnac final assembly line builds A320s, whereas the Hamburg Finkenwerder final assembly line builds A318s, A319s, and A321s. The Airbus factory in Ti...

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by lightsaber
Sat Jul 14, 2018 1:18 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A320neo Family Production/Delivery Thread 2018
Replies: 481
Views: 133736

Re: Airbus A320neo Family Production/Delivery Thread 2018

Can a purchaser dictate to Airbus where their frames are assembled to help simplify this paperwork? All A318, A319 and A321's are all built at Hamburg, no matter what the airlines would like to see. On top of that Airbus is trying to get all the American and Chinese Airlines aircrafts assembled at ...

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by lightsaber
Sat Jul 14, 2018 12:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A220 Impact on the A319 and A320?
Replies: 45
Views: 7303

Re: A220 Impact on the A319 and A320?

With the upcoming Pratt PW1100G low turbine PIP, we add so much capability and cost reduction to the A321 that cost per seat, per Indigo claims, is 15% less than the A320NEO. In other words, pay for a mere 10 seats for 44 more seats. The new seats are too cheap not to take the opportunity a la JetB...

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by lightsaber
Sat Jul 14, 2018 12:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Orders 60 Airbus A220-300
Replies: 353
Views: 45463

Re: JetBlue Orders 60 Airbus A220-300

But with B6 being smaller than UA/DL and NK even smaller, don't they have less bargaining power and will end up with worse pricing? And if A220 gets to over 500 frames and E2-195 doesn't get more orders, would that kill E2 completely? :shakehead: The timing is a surprise–JetBlue previously said it ...

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by lightsaber
Sat Jul 14, 2018 12:02 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Orders 60 Airbus A220-300
Replies: 353
Views: 45463

Re: JetBlue Orders 60 Airbus A220-300

If those analysts are right, that's also very low price for the A220 that mirrors the DL order. Not exactly a good sign for profitability for the A220 line, and also not a good sign for Airbus profits with the hit that they took with this order with the A320neo being substituted for it. I think in ...

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by lightsaber
Fri Jul 13, 2018 11:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Orders 60 Airbus A220-300
Replies: 353
Views: 45463

Re: JetBlue Orders 60 Airbus A220-300

https://business.financialpost.com/transportation/airlines/jetblue-got-a-discount-of-up-to-72-on-its-airbus-a220-order-moodys How do analysts come up with this type of estimates? Aerospace people gossip a bunch. Honestly, those numbers are $1 million higher than my estimates. $22 million for a plan...

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by lightsaber
Fri Jul 13, 2018 9:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Orders 60 Airbus A220-300
Replies: 353
Views: 45463

Re: JetBlue Orders 60 Airbus A220-300

https://business.financialpost.com/transportation/airlines/jetblue-got-a-discount-of-up-to-72-on-its-airbus-a220-order-moodys The carrier probably paid US$1.4 billion to US$1.7 billion for 60 Airbus A220-300 jets, or between US$23 million and US$28 million per plane, Moody’s analyst Jonathan Root s...

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by lightsaber
Fri Jul 13, 2018 6:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer E2 Flight Testing And Production Thread - 2018
Replies: 393
Views: 45914

Re: Embraer E2 Flight Testing And Production Thread - 2018

Mr Slattery seems to talk a lot ... Why he should do the opposite ??? "Advertising is the soul of business ..." The last E2 sale was to Wideroe in January 17, a long time ago. Wrong. Last sale was on June 2018 at Paris Air Show. As soon as the operators are announced they will enter the o...

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by lightsaber
Fri Jul 13, 2018 5:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qatar Airways plans to fly to 250 destinations by 2022
Replies: 73
Views: 9381

Re: Qatar Airways plans to fly to 250 destinations by 2022

Interesting but I do not think they are going to meet that goal ! they are heavily subsidized by gov. and they're losing money on daily basis ! I wonder when they will release their financial statement ! they mentioned it would be June 2018 but now it's July and nothing published yet Agreement with...

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by lightsaber
Fri Jul 13, 2018 5:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Brussels Airlines to ditch Sukhoi Superjets?
Replies: 28
Views: 8973

Re: Brussels Airlines to ditch Sukhoi Superjets?

I too am sad for the poor support. There are 3 things that scare airlines away from new entrants: 1. Unknown dispatch reliability (SSJ is doing well here). See ARJ-21 2. Unknown support (SSJ is failing here) 3. Unknown durability and resale value (Sadly, SSJ isn't even going there due to above. ). ...

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by lightsaber
Fri Jul 13, 2018 4:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A220 Impact on the A319 and A320?
Replies: 45
Views: 7303

Re: A220 Impact on the A319 and A320?

The A320 flies up to 180 passengers over 5 hour flights with cargo containers. Not sure how the A220 comes in here. https://www.ainonline.com/sites/default/files/styles/ain30_fullwidth_large_2x/public/uploads/2017/10/airbus-and-bombardier-announce-c-series-partnership-006.jpg?itok=mMZx_laC&time...

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by lightsaber
Fri Jul 13, 2018 4:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Brussels Airlines to ditch Sukhoi Superjets?
Replies: 28
Views: 8973

Re: Brussels Airlines to ditch Sukhoi Superjets?

I too am sad for the poor support. There are 3 things that scare airlines away from new entrants: 1. Unknown dispatch reliability (SSJ is doing well here). See ARJ-21 2. Unknown support (SSJ is failing here) 3. Unknown durability and resale value (Sadly, SSJ isn't even going there due to above. ). S...

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by lightsaber
Fri Jul 13, 2018 3:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What's next for Allegiant? - discussion thread
Replies: 346
Views: 40734

Re: What's next for Allegiant? - discussion thread

Funny you mention that, rumors going around G4 is that they may pick up ~15 new A320s form Airbus, likely to be some of the Iran Air birds. I guess we will wait and see what happens. I'm hearing Airbus/CFM is shopping these CEOs and isn't getting much interest at the prices they want and thus are t...

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by lightsaber
Fri Jul 13, 2018 12:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qatar Airways plans to fly to 250 destinations by 2022
Replies: 73
Views: 9381

Re: Qatar Airways plans to fly to 250 destinations by 2022

I'm just not seeing the O&D traffic to help this hub be profitable. EU to Africa is increasingly ADD and I expect the new IST to be attractive.

We just went through a shock drop in oil prices in the region.

Etihad took the red pill
Qatar took the blue pill.

Lightsaber

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by lightsaber
Fri Jul 13, 2018 12:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Etihad CEO lays out restructuring plans
Replies: 133
Views: 25289

Re: Etihad CEO lays out restructuring plans

High speed rail between Abu Dhabi and Dubai would be the last non political impediment to combining the airlines. After that, as has been pointed out, all that is needed is the will of the leaders. This. The smartest and most optimal solution is a merger and move to DWC, with high speed rail servic...

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by lightsaber
Fri Jul 13, 2018 12:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Q2 2018 earnings thread
Replies: 31
Views: 3740

Re: Delta Q2 2018 earnings thread

Looks like all of the 752's will be gone by 2023 - I'm not sure where else they could trim capacity. I don't think that's right. Where are you getting that from? The last of the A321NEO's will be delivered in 2023. After the MD's are done the 757's will sadly be next :frown: 757s take quite a bit m...

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by lightsaber
Fri Jul 13, 2018 12:09 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Brussels Airlines to ditch Sukhoi Superjets?
Replies: 28
Views: 8973

Re: Brussels Airlines to ditch Sukhoi Superjets?

Poor customer support costs as much as poor reliability. Everything I'm hearing is good design, good (but not great) fuel burn, but bad downtime metrics. If the downtime is longer that means having to pay more and possibly having crew time out. This quickly becomes more expensive than flying almost ...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 12, 2018 9:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What's next for Allegiant? - discussion thread
Replies: 346
Views: 40734

Re: What's next for Allegiant? - discussion thread

I'm hearing that Airbus is making agressive offers to offload the Iran A320s. Is there a chance G4 might take them? I ask as I do not have good insight into their ability nor willingness to take on more debt, in particular due to their growing real estate empire. Or will what I perceive to be rapid ...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 12, 2018 9:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: PHL buys more land in effort to bolster shipping
Replies: 24
Views: 3485

Re: PHL buys more land in effort to bolster shipping

Not sure how this would play into this, but isn't Philadelphia still on the shortlist for Amazon's HQ2? This could be a way of bolstering the city's bid. I am highly skeptical the ability of PHL to accommodate new cargo facilities would have any impact on Philadelphia's HQ2 bid based on the timing ...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 12, 2018 9:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta CSeries deliveries to begin this year
Replies: 195
Views: 44518

Re: Delta CSeries deliveries to begin this year

DL's very conservative days were under Richard Anderson. I anticipate Bastian will be a lot more progressive. Disagree. New Plane Itis is financial suicide. They will always have a strong business case for new purchases, and should continue to be very conservative, because that's what investors exp...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 12, 2018 8:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Confirmed: Vistara ordering 6 789 and 13 A320series + options for each type
Replies: 49
Views: 9369

Re: Vistara reported to have ordered 6 787s

This again shows the viability of a A321 + 787 combo to the detriment of fanboys on both sides. Fanboyism is a stain on the respectability of these discussions. I agree fanboyism is... well just annoying. MAX+A350 will work for other airlines. A220+ just about anything works to, or substitute E2 fo...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 12, 2018 6:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SkyTeam CEO: No new members for now; focus on technology first
Replies: 8
Views: 1573

Re: SkyTeam CEO: No new members for now; focus on technology first

India and Brazil are two huge gaps. Technology is great, but fill those gaps!

Lightsaber

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 12, 2018 4:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: HNA and A330 delivery problems.. no money
Replies: 34
Views: 7816

Re: HNA and A330 delivery problems.. no money

Interestingly HNA is strongly thought to be behind the UFO 15 A350 order placed a few months back (they do have a known and announced “preliminary agreement” for 15). How many 787s and A320neos has HNA taken delivery of this year, if any? They may be choosing to prioritize new generation jets over ...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 12, 2018 2:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Orders 60 Airbus A220-300
Replies: 353
Views: 45463

Re: JetBlue Orders 60 Airbus A220-300

Per JetBlue PR http://blueir.investproductions.com/investor-relations/press-releases/2018/07-10-2018-211604881 If true....wow. I do think there's some marketing speak here. If true, Boeings new acquisition would never be able to close the gap. No E190 based design can be improved 40%. There is enou...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 12, 2018 1:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: HNA and A330 delivery problems.. no money
Replies: 34
Views: 7816

Re: HNA and A330 delivery problems.. no money

Move the bar down on one model, and it creates expectations on all the others. It does create a slippery slope and could trigger most favored clauses. For prior generation aircraft, it is a tough market. We might see more carpet failing inspection. :duck: I believe we are in an overproduction phase...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 12, 2018 3:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: HNA and A330 delivery problems.. no money
Replies: 34
Views: 7816

Re: HNA and A330 delivery problems.. no money

[ Similar to the Kingfisher A345HGWs. Airbus canceled that order. Two were eventually sold to Hi Fly (one since abandoned), two to AJ Walter (leased to Azerbaijan), and one to Tunisia (later to Turkey). Good analogy. Now, while Airbus will have to discount any surplus A330CEOs, they will sell. Ligh...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 12, 2018 12:28 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta CSeries deliveries to begin this year
Replies: 195
Views: 44518

Re: Delta CSeries deliveries to begin this year

I'll wait and see on the DALPA contract. I made my prediction, now it, to me, is only a beer bet on what happens. The first legacy allowed MRJs or E2s has a nice advantage. For all I know, that is the next JetBlue order. :duck: Latest I’ve heard around the water cooler, is Delta is negotiating to li...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 12, 2018 12:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Proposal: Flying Trains
Replies: 36
Views: 4266

Re: Proposal: Flying Trains

The move people in a cargo container idea is back! The money saved with faster cockpit/wing turn times by picking up a fresh pod only works if the pod is cheaper than a stick built aircraft . People worry about folding wingtips. What about when they are ejectable cargo? Train cars require resistance...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 12, 2018 12:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: HNA and A330 delivery problems.. no money
Replies: 34
Views: 7816

Re: HNA and A330 delivery problems.. no money

I think this is the beginning of something that will make the OEMs pay attention. White tails? That depends on the plane. Airbus cannot free up nearterm A350 production slots for sales campaigns. That aircraft is as immune as possible. The A350 has several years of production secured with a very bl...

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by lightsaber
Wed Jul 11, 2018 11:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Orders 60 Airbus A220-300
Replies: 353
Views: 45463

Re: JetBlue Orders 60 Airbus A220-300

If a city can support the E-190, with the A220 having the same or lower cost per flight? 130 or 135 seater burning 40% less fuel per passenger is less fuel per flight than the E-190. Less maintenance. Prices were low and possibly higher daily utilization of the A220. Drop fares a little, the planes...

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