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by estorilm
Tue Feb 19, 2019 2:58 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: F-35 news thread
Replies: 902
Views: 83504

Re: F-35 news thread

I’m not yet convinced we will see a specific long range variant developed. The more likely path to me seems enough modifications to the current design to allow the AETP engine to be incorporated into the jet in perhaps Blk 5. That provides a 30% increase in range as well as higher thrust. If we sai...

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by estorilm
Tue Feb 19, 2019 2:20 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Sikorsky, Boeing provide first look at SB>1 Defiant
Replies: 23
Views: 3650

Re: Sikorsky, Boeing provide first look at SB>1 Defiant

The prop-arc is technically protected by the inverted vertical stabilizer with 'tail wheel'... but on 'improvised LZs', with debris is everywhere, and/or on sloping/uneven terrain... this seem like a FOD/strike hazard. IF the pusher is shutdown for any reason, could the acft to fly safely with just...

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by estorilm
Tue Feb 19, 2019 2:14 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: USAF Considering New Build F-15X
Replies: 318
Views: 28304

Re: USAF Considering New Build F-15X

I've put it here given the direct reference to the F-15X in the letter. Obviously Cornyn and Cruz are from Texas and therefore have a strong interest in preserving F-35 production and jobs but it is hard to deny what they are recommending. Senators call on Trump to fully fund F-35 https://insidedef...

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by estorilm
Fri Feb 15, 2019 7:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus aims to reach breakeven on A350 this year
Replies: 29
Views: 4511

Re: So Airbus is losing money on every a350 sold??

But I think the A350 is doing better than the 787 did; IIRC it was quite a bit longer before production break-even was reached. It hasn't been reached yet, AFAIK - the most recent press-releases stated something like it was "a moving target". Considering the program maturity vs. the A350,...

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by estorilm
Fri Feb 15, 2019 4:24 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: USAF Considering New Build F-15X
Replies: 318
Views: 28304

Re: USAF Considering New Build F-15X

I've put it here given the direct reference to the F-15X in the letter. Obviously Cornyn and Cruz are from Texas and therefore have a strong interest in preserving F-35 production and jobs but it is hard to deny what they are recommending. Senators call on Trump to fully fund F-35 Sens. John Cornyn...

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by estorilm
Fri Feb 15, 2019 4:19 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: USAF Considering New Build F-15X
Replies: 318
Views: 28304

Re: USAF Considering New Build F-15X

estorilm Please read the various articles quoting the Airforce General on why he's buying the '15 even though if he had his rather he would buy only 35's. If you foist this on political corruption, then the argument goes nowhere, as we here can not prove anything. If political coruption is the reas...

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by estorilm
Fri Feb 15, 2019 4:06 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: UK unveils new Tempest fighter jet model as replacement of the Typhoon
Replies: 99
Views: 8864

Re: UK unveils new Tempest fighter jet model as replacement of the Typhoon

This has money pit and propaganda written all over it still. Why is this thing called a 6th generation fighter anyways? ...because they're so late to the game? lol. Just sounds like some blatant attempt to regain some notoriety in the fighter world. You're not only going to match what has proven to ...

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by estorilm
Thu Feb 14, 2019 8:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing monopoly on the VLA market?
Replies: 94
Views: 9886

Re: Boeing monopoly on the VLA market?

Yes I know this sector of the market is small and shrinking but now that Airbus has announced an end to the A380 production does this mean stronger prospects for the 747-8 and 777X? ABSOLUTELY not, in fact on the contrary - Boeing may feel far more comfortable eliminating the passenger variant of t...

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by estorilm
Thu Feb 14, 2019 7:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Official: Airbus announces A380 production to end in 2021
Replies: 755
Views: 83647

Re: Official: Airbus announces A380 production to end in 2021

Who claimed that Boeing launched the 787 because of AB & VLAs? I did not see it in this thread. Boeing abandoned VLA because it was a bad idea according to them and instead pursued the 787 (they made a choice after reading the market demands...if the market demand existed they would have launch...

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by estorilm
Thu Feb 14, 2019 5:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Official: Airbus announces A380 production to end in 2021
Replies: 755
Views: 83647

Re: Official: Airbus announces A380 production to end in 2021

How silly to make any kind of judgment based on a screen name? Utterly nonsense and rubbish to make any kind of judgment. Reason i feel the way i feel is because a company utterly misread the marked, designed a product and airports made significant investments to handle this aircraft that just had ...

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by estorilm
Thu Feb 14, 2019 3:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Official: Airbus announces A380 production to end in 2021
Replies: 755
Views: 83647

Re: Official: Airbus announces A380 production to end in 2021

Wow, however anticipated this was...this is still BIIIIG. Major embarrasment for Airbus. A380 is will go down as a BIIIIG embarrasment for Airbus and a bigger failure than the MD11. looking at your name it's hardly a surprise you feel that way. However the A380 neither was, is or will be a BIIIIG e...

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by estorilm
Thu Feb 14, 2019 3:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Official: Airbus announces A380 production to end in 2021
Replies: 755
Views: 83647

Re: Official: Airbus announces A380 production to end in 2021

At the end of that process, the Boeing won. The 747 still on production (for a short time although); The 777 will become the flagship for the major airliners. Huh? Airbus ended production because of the EK deal falling through for what, 35 planes? Instead they ended up with the purchase of 70 wideb...

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by estorilm
Thu Feb 14, 2019 3:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Official: Airbus announces A380 production to end in 2021
Replies: 755
Views: 83647

Re: [Rumor] Airbus to announce end of A380 production

I still think without the A380 the 747-8 does have some future passenger orders. There are still airlines that have a use for a large plane like that. Never say never, it might just be the case with the 747-8i. Obviously, I’d be thrilled to see new life breathed into the passenger version. The carg...

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by estorilm
Thu Feb 14, 2019 2:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Official: Airbus announces A380 production to end in 2021
Replies: 755
Views: 83647

Re: Official: Airbus announces A380 production to end in 2021

Really bummed out about this - but we all saw the writing on the wall. I think losing the Emirates deal just made all of this happen a little quicker than we expected. :( I am actually very excited to see what Airbus is capable of doing with freed-up resources (facilities, manpower, supply chains, e...

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by estorilm
Mon Feb 11, 2019 5:23 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: F-35 news thread
Replies: 902
Views: 83504

Re: F-35 news thread

More suggestions on increasing F-35 production. The original plan was for 80 per year for the USAF, before it was reduced to the current 60, but the USAF had also previously suggested a 100 was certainly viable. As with previous programs of this nature a higher rate obviously promises increased sav...

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by estorilm
Mon Feb 11, 2019 4:41 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: USAF Considering New Build F-15X
Replies: 318
Views: 28304

Re: USAF Considering New Build F-15X

You really need to stop giving that site views let alone keep using it for evidence and the basis of topics like this. He has zero authority, training or military experience whatsoever. He is the American Carlo Kopp, a fanboy, a Boeing fanboy at that. He thinks a F-15 with a KC-46 can bomb the whol...

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by estorilm
Wed Feb 06, 2019 2:12 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: USAF Considering New Build F-15X
Replies: 318
Views: 28304

Re: USAF Considering New Build F-15X

I still don't know which magical "manufacturing breakthrough" you vaguely keep hinting at.. but whatever it is, it needs to be adapted to the entire mfg process and likely engineering as well. Yes, the information is proprietary but there is mentioning of it in various articles with respe...

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by estorilm
Wed Feb 06, 2019 1:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Crash in Yorba Linda, CA
Replies: 81
Views: 14824

Re: Crash in Yorba Linda, CA

747Whale... Does any thread topic please you? All you do is post about how everyone else is wrong/everything is drivel on online forums. Serious question, why did you join a.net in the first place? You must have seen the typical content beforehand. That's because only he is right, only he knows eve...

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by estorilm
Tue Feb 05, 2019 10:30 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: USAF Considering New Build F-15X
Replies: 318
Views: 28304

Re: USAF Considering New Build F-15X

Random tangent (don't mind me...) I just did the math and 200 of these things (middle of the road for that article) at $85m (optimistic IMHO) is $17bn USD. Let's put that into perspective here... didn't we all just unanimously agree that re-starting Raptor production lines was ridiculous due to the ...

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by estorilm
Tue Feb 05, 2019 10:12 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: USAF Considering New Build F-15X
Replies: 318
Views: 28304

Re: USAF Considering New Build F-15X

12 frames a year defeats the entire point of the project 12 frames a year is just a wild ass example of the minimum production rate that they would need to keep the line profitable, it could be more or less, who knows. I'm actually okay with the program if we get them ASAP, but as I stated above - ...

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by estorilm
Tue Feb 05, 2019 2:41 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: USAF Considering New Build F-15X
Replies: 318
Views: 28304

Re: USAF Considering New Build F-15X

They could very likely lose money on all four contracts (T-X, MQ-25, RW and F-15X) and the commercial side would prop them up with the revenue they have flowing in. The gamble in the manufacturing process will also be incorporated on to the 797. That is why if they don't get it right, the commercia...

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by estorilm
Tue Feb 05, 2019 2:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 18 years ago: JAL 747 and DC10 narrowly avert catastrophe by just 10 meters
Replies: 35
Views: 12878

Re: 18 years ago: JAL 747 and DC10 narrowly avert catastrophe by just 10 meters

Unless you're saying the very fact that two differing instructions were given in the first place - that can't be avoided Yes, that's what I am saying, as that was what the original question was asking. The person who asked the question is very much aware that TCAS takes precedence over ATC, so that...

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by estorilm
Tue Feb 05, 2019 1:00 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: USAF Considering New Build F-15X
Replies: 318
Views: 28304

Re: USAF Considering New Build F-15X

Single and 2 seat, ‘about 230 frames.’ Pratt or GE. Hmmm.... “As for how many jets would be procured under an F-15X initiative, our sources close to the discussions say between 150 to 250 aircraft depending on what the USAF wants to do with its overall force structure. The most likely number is rou...

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by estorilm
Mon Feb 04, 2019 2:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MD-11 Safety Discussion
Replies: 175
Views: 21357

Re: MD-11 Safety Discussion

The NTSB did briefly recommend increasing the currency requirements for the MD-11 vs other aircraft. https://www.wsj.com/articles/ntsb-renews-call-for-md-11-jet-safety-1397256372 "In addition to calling for installation of additional safety systems, the NTSB this month said it wants the Federa...

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by estorilm
Mon Feb 04, 2019 2:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 18 years ago: JAL 747 and DC10 narrowly avert catastrophe by just 10 meters
Replies: 35
Views: 12878

Re: 18 years ago: JAL 747 and DC10 narrowly avert catastrophe by just 10 meters

No. As such (per the Wiki article), once TCAS announces a Resolution advisory, the pilots are supposed to ignore ATC instructions and comply with the TCAS instructions until TCAS declares a Clear of conflict, at which point the pilots inform ATC and resume being under their control. Wouldn't your a...

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by estorilm
Fri Feb 01, 2019 11:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MD-11 Safety Discussion
Replies: 175
Views: 21357

Re: MD-11 Safety Discussion

edit: If certain folks in the thread are in such denial that it simply must be "bad luck" and "bad pilots" then maybe I'll dig through some of the NTSB and other investigative findings. I'm almost certain I recall numerous contributing factors related to the design of the aircra...

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by estorilm
Fri Feb 01, 2019 2:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MD-11 Safety Discussion
Replies: 175
Views: 21357

Re: MD-11 Safety Discussion

a330 wing area 363.1 stab 72.9 (20%) MD11 wing area 338.9 stab 85.5 (25.2%) 777 wing area 427.8 stab 101.26 (23.67%) DC10 wing area 367.7 stab 124.3 (33.8%) A300-600 wing area 260 stab 69.45 (26.7%) 742 wing area 511 stab 136.6 (26.7%) 744 wing area 525 stab 136.6 (26%) formally, not about stab siz...

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by estorilm
Thu Jan 31, 2019 9:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 18 years ago: JAL 747 and DC10 narrowly avert catastrophe by just 10 meters
Replies: 35
Views: 12878

Re: 18 years ago: JAL 747 and DC10 narrowly avert catastrophe by just 10 meters

Wouldn't your answer be a "yes" then? It's prevented because pilots are drilled to listen to TCAS above all other factors and instructions, including ATC. Sorry. I interpreted your question as if their was a technical implementation to prevent conflicting instructions being issued. No wor...

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by estorilm
Thu Jan 31, 2019 2:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 18 years ago: JAL 747 and DC10 narrowly avert catastrophe by just 10 meters
Replies: 35
Views: 12878

Re: 18 years ago: JAL 747 and DC10 narrowly avert catastrophe by just 10 meters

I know that this is why TCAS takes precedence, but is there anything that prevents ATC and TCAS from issuing conflicting instructions? No. As such (per the Wiki article), once TCAS announces a Resolution advisory, the pilots are supposed to ignore ATC instructions and comply with the TCAS instructi...

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by estorilm
Wed Jan 30, 2019 9:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A330neo Production/Delivery Thread - 2019
Replies: 55
Views: 17336

Re: Airbus A330neo Production/Delivery Thread - 2019

EASA certifies A330neo for “beyond 180 minutes” ETOPS https://www.airbus.com/newsroom/press-releases/en/2019/01/easa-certifies-a330neo-for-beyond-180-minutes-etops.html 285 minutes is insane, could you imagine casually flying 2000nmi on a single engine? Congrats to airbus and RR! beautiful bird.

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by estorilm
Wed Jan 30, 2019 8:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MD-11 Safety Discussion
Replies: 175
Views: 21357

Re: MD-11 Safety Discussion

From a pure statistics point of view I'll agree with the red highlighting and therefore don't see how any amount of rationalizing the MD-11's quirks makes flying in that type as safe as other similar aircraft. This is where I am too. I admitted before and I'll admit again that I'm not qualified to ...

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by estorilm
Tue Jan 29, 2019 2:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A330 Delivery/Production Thread - 2019
Replies: 23
Views: 6499

Re: Airbus A330 Delivery/Production Thread - 2019

Didn't the 330NEO get ETOPS 285 today? I didn't see any info about that - might be thread - worthy!

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by estorilm
Fri Jan 25, 2019 1:05 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: F-35 news thread
Replies: 902
Views: 83504

Re: F-35 news thread

Speaking of cost how much cost,rcs reduction and time were involved moving the 35 from a 7 to 9 g ac? In your opinion was it a good trade? Ozair covered this really well already, but I just need to drive home the fact that Lockheed designed these aircraft from the ground up to do exactly what "...

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by estorilm
Thu Jan 24, 2019 3:35 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: F-35 news thread
Replies: 902
Views: 83504

Re: F-35 news thread

For those interested an insight into the demo the USAF will run this year with the F-35. F-35 Demo team Pilot practises new maneuvers Capt. Andrew “Dojo” Olson, F-35A Lightning II Demonstration Team commander and pilot has spent the last three months, designing, developing and practicing the maneuv...

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by estorilm
Thu Jan 24, 2019 3:20 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Chinese stealth bomber design unoficially leaked ?
Replies: 48
Views: 10401

Re: Chinese stealth bomber design unoficially leaked ?

I'm not sure if it's meant for external hard points or the weapons bay will be modified, but the J-20 is supposed to be a launch platform for the larger PL-21. Looks like the might be able lengthen the bays slightly. But not much. I suppose theres also the possibility that the 2-seat variant might ...

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by estorilm
Wed Jan 23, 2019 2:55 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Chinese stealth bomber design unoficially leaked ?
Replies: 48
Views: 10401

Re: Chinese stealth bomber design unoficially leaked ?

Are we looking at the same aircraft? I think that requires a lot of fantasy / generalization.. https://cdn.newsapi.com.au/image/v1/c10bfbcaa0581a49f0b2b2fec7af96c0 Keesje, use a little common sense... The image I linked shows the weapons bay carrying two PL-12 missiles. here is another image in cas...

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by estorilm
Wed Jan 23, 2019 2:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: ANA 787 suffers double engine failure on rollout
Replies: 35
Views: 16076

Re: ANA 787 suffers double engine failure on rollout

I'm really surprised this thread isn't blowing up. This is a HUGE issue. I don't care if it's a programming issue in the FADEC (unlikely) only related to ground ops, it's still going to have massive ramifications for the way software is coded, checked, certified, and employed. Of course there is a ...

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by estorilm
Mon Jan 21, 2019 7:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: ANA 787 suffers double engine failure on rollout
Replies: 35
Views: 16076

Re: ANA 787 suffers double engine failure on rollout

I'm really surprised this thread isn't blowing up. This is a HUGE issue. I don't care if it's a programming issue in the FADEC (unlikely) only related to ground ops, it's still going to have massive ramifications for the way software is coded, checked, certified, and employed. Of course there is a p...

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by estorilm
Mon Jan 21, 2019 7:25 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: USAF PCA and other 6th gen fighters
Replies: 42
Views: 4422

Re: USAF PCA and other 6th gen fighters

IMHO IR signature is going to be the new "stealth" in the future - I'd say "it isn't so difficult to make a stealth aircraft these days" - but that's purely based on the success of the United States and Lockheed. Infrared signatures are one of those fundamental things that you ca...

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by estorilm
Fri Jan 18, 2019 3:03 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Stratolaunch‘s Carrier Aircraft Production
Replies: 210
Views: 50897

Re: Stratolaunch‘s Carrier Aircraft Production

Good spot.But weather does not look great.But any time next week will do! Even if it ends up as the Worlds largest water bomber it would be fun ( California seems to need it these days). Reading around the subject there does seem to be more than a whiff of the US military being interested as an ins...

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by estorilm
Fri Jan 18, 2019 2:49 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Can aircraft carriers survive anymore ?
Replies: 56
Views: 6384

Re: Can aircraft carriers survive anymore ?

Speaking of sinking carriers... China mobilises DF-26 ballistic missiles capable of sinking US warships in the South China Sea Beijing has announced it has deployed intermediate ballistic missiles to the country's north-west region, saying the weapons have the capacity to destroy US ships entering ...

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by estorilm
Fri Jan 18, 2019 2:37 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Shenyang FC-31 / J-31
Replies: 45
Views: 6406

Re: Shenyang FC-31 / J-31

More indication that the J-31/ FC-31 will be used on their Carriers https://www.janes.com/article/85512/china-could-be-developing-carrier-borne-variant-of-fc-31-fighter-aircraft https://www.navyrecognition.com/index.php/news/defence-news/2019/january/6723-china-s-fighter-jet-fc-31-to-be-deployed-on...

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by estorilm
Wed Jan 16, 2019 3:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A330neo Production/Delivery Thread - 2019
Replies: 55
Views: 17336

Re: Airbus A330neo Production/Delivery Thread - 2019

Just booked JFK-LIS on a TAP A330 NEO, excited to give it a try. I always thought the A330 was one of the ugliest commercial aircraft but it looks a lot better with these updates. I still think the winglets look a little off, but better than the "square" ish ones from before. You're crazy...

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by estorilm
Wed Jan 16, 2019 3:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian 737 Max Diverts to Shiraz, Iran
Replies: 182
Views: 43496

Re: Norwegian 737 Max Diverts to Shiraz, Iran

If the plane is not ETOPS certified it is likely that the plane is maintained under a far relaxed procedure. What the hell would happen if another engine fails? Even if the plane is certified, if it's not maintained to ETOPS standard there is still a higher chance of that happening. By your mean th...

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by estorilm
Mon Jan 07, 2019 4:07 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Can aircraft carriers survive anymore ?
Replies: 56
Views: 6384

Re: Can aircraft carriers survive anymore ?

There are reasons that many navies didn't adapt Phalanx, but something bigger for the CIWS role. Chiefly that it could only handle one mach 3 missile per well timed attack and that intercept distances may very well be too short to prevent a lot of shrapnel hits. ... RAM and ESSM today are different...

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by estorilm
Mon Jan 07, 2019 3:49 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Shenyang FC-31 / J-31
Replies: 45
Views: 6406

Re: Shenyang FC-31 / J-31

More indication that the J-31/ FC-31 will be used on their Carriers https://www.janes.com/article/85512/china-could-be-developing-carrier-borne-variant-of-fc-31-fighter-aircraft https://www.navyrecognition.com/index.php/news/defence-news/2019/january/6723-china-s-fighter-jet-fc-31-to-be-deployed-on...

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by estorilm
Mon Jan 07, 2019 2:14 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: USAF Considering New Build F-15X
Replies: 318
Views: 28304

Re: USAF Considering New Build F-15X

This is like talking to a brick wall. You crack jokes about me being obsessed with the F-22 (which I'm not, it's just an impressive machine) but you rant on for pages and pages about how a 30 year old aircraft will easily match a Raptor. If you're indeed speaking of kinematics, and how all these 30-...

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by estorilm
Fri Jan 04, 2019 3:10 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Restored XP-82 takes flight
Replies: 1
Views: 1153

Re: Restored XP-82 takes flight

XP-82 restoration took an accidental giant leap forward Monday when the aircraft was lifted into the air during a taxi test. This is the prototype XP-82 and is the only example of the type currently flying. https://www.avweb.com/eletter/archives/101/4224-full.html?ET=avweb:e4224:228547a:&st=ema...

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by estorilm
Fri Jan 04, 2019 2:05 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: USAF Considering New Build F-15X
Replies: 318
Views: 28304

Re: USAF Considering New Build F-15X

You're touting stats (both thrust and weight) that haven't even been remotely substantiated for ANY variant of existing F-15's , much less the X which we know nothing about. Given the timeframe and budget, this aircraft will probably NOT get a new engine, and will likely NOT get a new composite or ...

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by estorilm
Wed Jan 02, 2019 8:32 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: USAF Considering New Build F-15X
Replies: 318
Views: 28304

Re: USAF Considering New Build F-15X

Also, I’ve never elsewhere met or read or spoken with anyone who has asserted the F-15C is under powered. That’s pretty comical, let’s not get too carried away. Who said it was underpowered? It's up there with any 4 or 4.5 gen on the planet. Just making sure you weren't referencing my post which ca...

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