Search found 1103 matches

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by Aither
Tue Dec 12, 2017 1:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United ending Xian
Replies: 96
Views: 16023

Re: United ending Xian

Chinese airlines are now offering decent connections to XIY from dirt cheap international flights. Today Chinese airlines focus on chinese passengers but more and more foreign passengers are aware of the amazing deals they can get when connecting in China. It's just the beginning. It's going to be m...

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by Aither
Wed Nov 29, 2017 9:35 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans
Replies: 762
Views: 130157

Re: Qantas 'excited' about NMA and assisting Boeing with definition

I've never seen an airline starting to operate a new fleet for 4 short haul routes... At the time, QF bought the 747-400ER subtype almost exclusively for MEL-LAX. Long routes + big aircraft = lots of revenues. So small fleet can make sense there. Short haul + smaller aircraft = minimum fleet size h...

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by Aither
Wed Nov 29, 2017 8:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans
Replies: 762
Views: 130157

Re: Qantas 'excited' about NMA and assisting Boeing with definition

SYDSpotter wrote:
parapente wrote:
Qantas is frankly a small airline on the edge of nowhere.


QF/SQ/CX all have similar market capitalisations...


The point is QF has only 4 regional routes with more than 10 daily flights...
I've never seen an airline starting to operate a new fleet for 4 short haul routes...

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by Aither
Wed Nov 29, 2017 5:51 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Changi airport tug catches fire while towing SQ 777-200
Replies: 25
Views: 6756

Re: Changi airport tug catches fire while towing SQ 777-200

It's the new "fire class" of SIA...

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by Aither
Wed Nov 29, 2017 5:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus weighs response if Boeing launches new mid-market model
Replies: 895
Views: 161685

Re: Airbus weighs response if Boeing launches new mid-market model

RJMAZ wrote:
If Boeing goes with a full carbon 8AB MOMe


Considering a short/medium haul aircraft spend most of its time on the ground I'm not sure if a high tech highly expensive aircraft is a good solution.

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by Aither
Tue Nov 28, 2017 3:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Amedeo looks to set up airline to utilize A380s
Replies: 75
Views: 31504

Re: Amedeo looks to set up airline to utilize A380s

I think there are now big opportunities for short term leases of very big aircraft such as the A380 for the following reasons: - You now have big volumes of traffic from markets like China, India, and the Muslim world. These markets feature big bumps of traffic for religious and other matters. - Bec...

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by Aither
Mon Nov 27, 2017 9:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: China Southern to Leave Skyteam?
Replies: 57
Views: 18658

Re: China Southern to Leave Skyteam?

CA-CX-SQ all in Star could have a nice coverage of Asia if they synchronize their ops. It could be the most effective way to compete against EK.

For CZ I think one issue (or opportunity) is having 2 big skyteam airlines at the second Beijing airport.

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by Aither
Wed Nov 22, 2017 4:31 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?
Replies: 107
Views: 14116

Re: how long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?

People are forgetting the elephant in the room - we Americans just don't have the propensity for long-haul international travel that Europeans, Australians,East Asians or even Canadians do. We don't have a month of vacation time to spare. Our travel patterns seem to be changing with the rise of Mil...

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by Aither
Wed Nov 22, 2017 1:51 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?
Replies: 107
Views: 14116

Re: how long before a U.S. long haul low cost carrier?

Another reason : Americans do not have enough holidays. Most of the current long haul LCCs over the Atlantic mostly carry Europeans. Americans have fewer holidays and will tend to spend more during these few holidays (better hotels, better restaurants, better flights...)

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by Aither
Tue Nov 21, 2017 5:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Amedeo looks to set up airline to utilize A380s
Replies: 75
Views: 31504

Re: Amedeo looks to set up airline to utilize A380s

Maybe some airlines are short sighted as well. Too many are complaining about the competition and stay in a defensive mode. If it continues like this for the next 15 years Emirates could carry between a quarter and a third of the long haul traffic... I think it would be great if someone (Amadeo) cou...

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by Aither
Tue Nov 21, 2017 4:09 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans
Replies: 762
Views: 130157

Re: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans

But the main driver for the MOM is: 1) The growing number of destination pairs with 20+ narrowbody flights. 2) The growing number of widebody aircraft doing routes under 1000nm. 3) The growing number of gate restrictions. 4) The new 787/A350 were built for 8000+nm range and have created a huge rang...

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by Aither
Mon Oct 23, 2017 6:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Beijing unveils new airport, to open in 2019
Replies: 53
Views: 11695

Re: Beijing unveils new airport, to open in 2019

CZ+MU will move to Daxing with their trivial amount of international route out of Beijing My understanding is that CZ and MU will expand significantly at Daxing once they move, so the traffic they will generate will likely be much more than trivial. Not if the “one route one airline” policy remains...

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by Aither
Fri Oct 20, 2017 4:09 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Now more A380s than passenger 747s
Replies: 76
Views: 14467

Re: Now more A380s than passenger 747s

In term of traffic & revenue the A380 has overtaken the 747 a long time ago.
For the airlines I know the A380 is around 30% more seats, 30% of higher yearly utilization & load factors almost 10 pts higher... compared to the 747 fleet 15 years ago.

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by Aither
Wed Oct 18, 2017 5:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Bombardier Announce CSeries Partnership
Replies: 1565
Views: 154922

Re: Breaking: Airbus and Bombardier Announce C Series Partnership

The core of the short haul market is 150-250 seats. I don't see what Airbus is trying to achieve here. They should focus their resources on the products they have.

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by Aither
Sun Oct 01, 2017 9:07 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AF66 CDG-LAX (A388-F-HPJE) diverts to Goose Bay (YYR) with an uncontained engine failure to #4 engine
Replies: 665
Views: 167757

Re: AF66 CDG-LAX (A388-F-HPJE) diverts to Goose Bay (YYR) with an uncontained engine failure to #4 engine

Good it landed safely.
Air France seems to be trying very hard to break every Airbus aircraft types they had.

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by Aither
Thu Sep 21, 2017 5:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Global US hubs?
Replies: 38
Views: 5312

Re: Global US hubs?

Not a lot of connecting from different countries but a lot from different states... I agree geography would anyway remain an issue. The traffic is split between east and west coast. The fact airlines cannot aggregate the traffic in one single point greatly limits the ability for US airlines to opera...

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by Aither
Tue Sep 19, 2017 3:33 am
Forum: Site Related
Topic: Is this Forum too US centric?
Replies: 61
Views: 3267

Re: Is this Forum too US centric?

Do Europeans complain about everything? The USA makes up about 40% of departures per day globally. It should be no surprise that it makes up a large percentage of the content as well. Other large markets like China are engineered and controlled by a regulator, so there isn't much to discuss. I also...

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by Aither
Tue Sep 19, 2017 3:30 am
Forum: Site Related
Topic: Is this Forum too US centric?
Replies: 61
Views: 3267

Re: Is this Forum too US centric?

Yes Technically speaking it's possible to satisfy everybody : some boards with subforums give the choice to display on the main page all the messages from all subforums or selected subforums only. I think more topics should remain displayed on page 1 (maybe 75 topics). Reduce the space between each ...

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by Aither
Wed Sep 13, 2017 5:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Easyjet to feed Norwegian and WestJet at LGW
Replies: 50
Views: 6623

Re: Easyjet to feed Norwegian and WestJet at LGW

So far it's still more expensive than flying BA...

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by Aither
Wed Sep 13, 2017 4:23 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Would UA and/or AA adopt a similar p2p/focus city strategy to keep up with DL?
Replies: 71
Views: 9752

Re: Would UA and/or AA adopt a similar p2p/focus city strategy to keep up with DL?

I think every route is going from one point to another point ... or maybe you are talking about the "point to point" passengers (passengers who don't connect) ?
In that case UA and AA are already carrying a lot of point to point passengers. So I don't see the point you are trying to make...

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by Aither
Wed Sep 13, 2017 1:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Possible Turkish 747-8i order
Replies: 93
Views: 24543

Re: Possible Turkish 747-8i order

People should not be surprised to see Turkish ordering very big aircraft. They have some of the largest connecting traffic waves in the world at IST. Contrary to the general feeling, adding frequencies is not the optimum solution. The A380 (especially second hand) would make more sense but the relat...

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by Aither
Wed Sep 13, 2017 1:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What will the Boeing MOM do for the industry?
Replies: 78
Views: 9215

Re: What will the Boeing MOM do for the industry?

It will further "complexify" the fleet management of airlines.

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by Aither
Tue Aug 29, 2017 4:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: China considers changing, "one route, one airline" policy
Replies: 23
Views: 5779

Re: China considers changing, "one route, one airline" policy

I wonder what CAAC is trying to achieve here. On secondary long haul routes all airlines are losing money but the big carriers were compensating with more profitable flights from PEK & PVG. They want to increase international competition there but there is already extreme competition with airlin...

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by Aither
Sat Aug 26, 2017 2:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hi Fly to add second hand A380s
Replies: 217
Views: 60420

Re: Hi Fly to add second hand A380s

That's the type of operator I was talking about in another thread. I think the rationales can be good and these second hand A380s could even be some "kick ass" aircraft on some transcon markets.

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by Aither
Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:02 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: First Airbus A380 parked amid search for new operator
Replies: 179
Views: 63627

Re: First Airbus A380 parked amid search for new operator

We have "parked" some 787s as well... or maybe this was just about standard fleet management. These A380s are "early birds", probably not performing as good as the latest ones. With a standard seat configuration the seat cost is still the best and the ownership should be very low...

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by Aither
Tue Aug 22, 2017 5:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Applies For LAX-PEK
Replies: 636
Views: 109036

Re: AA Applies For LAX-PEK

What were you expecting? fares to Asia in general are crazy cheap and have been for awhile.. Part of it I call the A380 effect. If i want to connect through Korea I can go most places dirt cheap and I have. It has nothing to do with the A380. It's mostly because of Chinese airlines that are fightin...

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by Aither
Fri Aug 11, 2017 4:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Malaysian A380's
Replies: 26
Views: 6853

Re: Malaysian A380's

What counts is total ticket revenue for a flight vs the cost of the flight and upkeep cost. It is abundantly clear - that MH cannot operate the A380's at even break even cost on a routine bases. , "abundantly clear" they cannot operate the A380 at "even break even cost" and yet ...

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by Aither
Fri Aug 04, 2017 4:44 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is the ME3's expansion sustainable long-term?
Replies: 32
Views: 4144

Re: Is the ME3's expansion sustainable long-term?

There is no evidence that the trend is toward so called "point to point". In particular since the rise of Internet. The relative success of the 787 versus the A380 is one example. Not to mention that the market generally shows a preference (ceteris paribus) for direct over indirect, which...

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by Aither
Fri Aug 04, 2017 2:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is the ME3's expansion sustainable long-term?
Replies: 32
Views: 4144

Re: Is the ME3's expansion sustainable long-term?

It depends on what you mean by "sustainable." The long term trend is towards point-to-point travel, which naturally works against megahubs/connecting cities. Dubai, Abu Dhabi and to some extent Qatar are all working to make themselves more like Hongkong and Singapore (Dubai so far has bee...

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by Aither
Thu Aug 03, 2017 2:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is the ME3's expansion sustainable long-term?
Replies: 32
Views: 4144

Re: Is the ME3's expansion sustainable long-term?

F100 is right, it's around 40% local. I think it's definitely sustainable for 3 main reasons: - First the current market shares of EK are still low (what makes them big is because they well connect thousands of O&Ds, not because they have high market shares on each O&D) - Secondly, around th...

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by Aither
Wed Aug 02, 2017 4:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: British Airways A380 US Routes
Replies: 73
Views: 12450

Re: British Airways A380 US Routes

That would be so cool if they could fly the A380 direct to Hawaii at least on a seasonal basis.

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by Aither
Tue Aug 01, 2017 5:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing setting up new unit "Boeing Avionics"
Replies: 17
Views: 2608

Re: Boeing setting up new unit "Boeing Avionics"

It's like in the car industry, took years before they realized they outsourced the profits more than they outsourced the costs. It's going to take a decade to re-develop the skills in house.

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by Aither
Tue Aug 01, 2017 5:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Scoot applies for US service
Replies: 58
Views: 17513

Re: Scoot applies for US service

Japanese airlines will start to pay the price of being too conservative.

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by Aither
Mon Jul 31, 2017 4:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA may swap 359 for 338, HA could go 787 or 359 (Leeham)
Replies: 176
Views: 26254

Re: AA may swap 359 for 338, HA could go 787 or 359 (Leeham)

Like most US airlines (but more than the others) the twin aisles of AA are flying on medium ranges on average -but still need a lot of range for a handful of routes. For this network configuration A330neos make a lot of sense, in particular the -800. It's good to see a US airline looking at this air...

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by Aither
Mon Jul 31, 2017 3:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus to cut A380 production to 8 frames in 2019
Replies: 115
Views: 15306

Re: Airbus to cut A380 production to 8 frames in 2019

Very few aviation analysts understood that EK was not a chance for the A380 program, but a main culprit for the lack of A380 sales. The "point to point" debate is irrelevant since the number of route openings per year is very stable. So this was certainly taken into account when deciding t...

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by Aither
Mon Jul 31, 2017 6:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: First Joon routes announced
Replies: 58
Views: 11531

Re: First Joon routes announced

FlyRow wrote:
First routes of the cheaper Air France Airline will be:
Paris - Berlin / Porto / Barcelona / Lisbon.


So these are mostly summer destinations starting in autumn.

Makes total sense.

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by Aither
Mon Jul 31, 2017 5:38 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: VLAs for Short Haul?
Replies: 26
Views: 3599

Re: VLAs for Short Haul?

However, the trend with long haul flights seems to be more routes with smaller planes. The trend is also existing routes upgraded with bigger planes ... we have to be careful with averages -and- the fact there is a lot of publicity around routes being opened and much less around routes being shut o...

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by Aither
Mon Jul 31, 2017 5:12 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: French airport worker punches British EasyJet passenger in the face
Replies: 71
Views: 11111

Re: French airport worker punches British EasyJet passenger in the face

Whatever the outcome of the investigation at the end the general public will only remember "french staff beating british passengers".

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by Aither
Mon Jul 31, 2017 4:12 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United U.S - China Secondary Growth
Replies: 92
Views: 9113

Re: United U.S - China Secondary Growth

Thanks Bestwestern. I would never consider HGH as 3rd airport of Shanghai, considering the distance between the two (1.25h bullet train rider or ~2h drive time via motorway). It's like calling Nagoya Airport the third airport of Osaka or Tokyo. Nagoya is really separated vs. Tokyo while Hangzhou is ...

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by Aither
Mon Jul 31, 2017 2:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: French airport worker punches British EasyJet passenger in the face
Replies: 71
Views: 11111

Re: French airport worker punches British EasyJet passenger in the face

If true, the reaction of the airport worker is "understandable". That said, understandable does not make it right. Had the airport staff member kept his cool, this passenger would likely be facing assault charges instead of the staff member facing legal and employment repercussions. Agree...

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by Aither
Mon Jul 31, 2017 2:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United U.S - China Secondary Growth
Replies: 92
Views: 9113

Re: United U.S - China Secondary Growth

I would not consider Hangzhou as a secondary city. It's the 3rd airport of Shanghai. If one US airline can make it it's certainly UA from SFO. For the other US airlines if they really want to operate to the secondary cities with their own metal I think they would have been better of having a hub in ...

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by Aither
Mon Jul 31, 2017 2:05 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United U.S - China Secondary Growth
Replies: 92
Views: 9113

Re: United U.S - China Secondary Growth

Expect 2 or 3 exceptions, only Chinese carriers can make the transpacific secondary routes work - considering in many cases 2/3 of the trip cost can be subsidized for a period of at least 3 years. Yet US airlines are not that vocal like they are against the ME3. My guess it's because it's a new mark...

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by Aither
Mon Jul 31, 2017 1:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: French airport worker punches British EasyJet passenger in the face
Replies: 71
Views: 11111

Re: French airport worker punches British EasyJet passenger in the face

There is a video on the SUN website. Before making judgment on the french etc. you should better watch it. Although the employee should be fired for losing control it is clear that it was the passenger who first attacked the employee physically.

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by Aither
Tue Jul 25, 2017 6:55 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How is LH Dealing with the A380s and 748s?
Replies: 28
Views: 7272

Re: How is LH Dealing with the A380s and 748s?

Agree with PanHam. When on many flights you have up to 80% of connecting traffic, you don't care that much which hub you are going through as long as the connecting banks are there. Lufthansa's strategy is to control the traffic, not let the traffic control the airline.

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by Aither
Tue Jul 25, 2017 3:19 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why Is the A321 so popular with US carriers?
Replies: 86
Views: 18580

Re: Why Is the A321 so popular with US carriers?

A321 is popular in the US also because fleet planners still don't want A330s on domestic routes. The (too much) focus on keeping yields high is really preventing the guys to make step changes in capacity.

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by Aither
Tue Jul 25, 2017 3:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: EK mulls 20 additional A380s
Replies: 212
Views: 43428

Re: EK mulls 20 additional A380s

Wasn't it recently send some of their newly minted A380s to storage due to overcapacity? With US and EU hitting them hard on subsidies/ tax preference 'accusation' and 'closing their skies', where are they are going to deploy those new 20 A380, if the rumour is indeed true? Even if they are meant f...

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by Aither
Tue Jul 25, 2017 2:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leeham: LH shows indications to reduce 779 order
Replies: 224
Views: 35083

Re: Leeham: LH shows indications to reduce 779 order

VLAs are nothing but capacity dumping machines. It's a bit simplistic. When the regional jets have been replaced by the 737/A320s from the LCCs it could be been seen as "capacity dumping machines" . But the fact is LCCs are making greater profits with their "capacity dumping". H...

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by Aither
Mon Jul 24, 2017 1:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leeham: LH shows indications to reduce 779 order
Replies: 224
Views: 35083

Re: Leeham: LH shows indications to reduce 779 order

It's a bit funny to see Boeing being the victim of the new so called "point to point" strategy of Lufthansa... A recent interview from LH's CEO clearly shows they are going to do more multi-hubs as the economy/yields from Germany allows that. 777-9X therefore becomes too big except maybe f...

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by Aither
Fri Jul 21, 2017 6:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AF Pilots Approve the Creation of LCC Subsidiary Joon
Replies: 160
Views: 18552

Re: AF Pilots Approve the Creation of Boost

As a millennial myself Joon just comes across as Korean to me. . Yes, or Chinese (like Loong Air) Might as well just named the company iJoon if they wanted to continue "old man out of touch with youth trying to be cool" theme. My feeling as well. I fear many of these spin off airlines hav...

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by Aither
Thu Jul 20, 2017 5:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AF/KL Managers Have No Confidence In Future Of Cooperation
Replies: 64
Views: 10967

Re: AF/KL Managers Have No Confidence In Future Of Cooperation

Let me tell the essence: These problems only exist because the French side doesn't want to work significantly harder for the same pay. That's it. I think there are a lot of preconceived ideas. Studies from the OECD show the opposite : more working hours for the french and more productivity per hour...

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