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by frmrCapCadet
Wed Apr 25, 2018 12:32 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Woman Dies on Alaska Airlines Flight 478 from Seattle to Kansas City
Replies: 26
Views: 5320

Re: Woman Dies on Alaska Airlines Flight 478 from Seattle to Kansas City

Actually it is a story. Stories do not require villains. Your 'overlap' comment of course is right on. And interesting statistical probability is that some time there will be two or even three such deaths on a single flight. Imagine the conspiracy theories.

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by frmrCapCadet
Tue Apr 24, 2018 6:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Are modern aircraft engines really becoming less reliable?
Replies: 34
Views: 4829

Re: Are modern aircraft engines really becoming less reliable?

Oceanic and Polar flights require a lot more reliability. Two engines even more so. Airports want quieter engines. Airlines want more time between any substantial maintenance, And, a lot more efficiency. And preferably a little or lot cheaper. All of that is a lot to ask. Some means of better testin...

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by frmrCapCadet
Tue Apr 24, 2018 3:15 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit EU position Phase 2
Replies: 914
Views: 20212

Re: Brexit EU position Phase 2

Res membership in the customs union without a seat at the table. Any agreement satisfying the some 27 members is likely to be acceptable to those not at the table. The various nations not at the table will likely be consulted on any major changes. It is unlikely that those at the table would deliber...

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by frmrCapCadet
Mon Apr 23, 2018 3:38 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rolls Royce having more 787 problems
Replies: 124
Views: 23835

Re: Rolls Royce having more 787 problems

There are a lot of reasons why a healthy reserve fleet should be available. Some a-nutters nit pick if you mention some of the reasons.

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun Apr 22, 2018 2:28 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Religious people live longer and are happier: study
Replies: 85
Views: 1906

Re: Religious people live longer and are happier: study

I will speculate on my long observances in the religious world. Most people, and even most religious leaders, are not so doctrinaire, literalists in terms of dogma, sectarian as several here on this site think. Religion for most of us is about how we live, respect our selves and others, and being a ...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sat Apr 21, 2018 3:51 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit EU position Phase 2
Replies: 914
Views: 20212

Re: Brexit EU position Phase 2

North Ireland has held the rest of the UK hostage for a long time. Maybe time to tell them that they should be an independent territory with some special rights to the rest of the UK. Then the UK can brexit or not. Ireland and the north can stay in brexit.

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by frmrCapCadet
Sat Apr 21, 2018 3:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Discussion Thread - 2018
Replies: 2263
Views: 282372

Re: Boeing 797 Discussion Thread - 2018

Airlines likely have a hand in this. They could be preferring modestly different planes, and Boeing will want to launch with a lot of orders. That slightly blurred picture may make that point.

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri Apr 20, 2018 9:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: WN 1380 LGA-DAL emergency landing at PHL, 1 fatality
Replies: 674
Views: 106383

Re: WN 1380 LGA-DAL emergency landing at PHL, 1 fatality

res whose hands on the controls: The maritime tradition has the captain or officer of the deck do nothing but observe and command. Said officer is expected to have complete situation awareness, and make all decisions on any changes. Further the OD is expected to call the Commanding Officer to the d...

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri Apr 20, 2018 3:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: WN 1380 LGA-DAL emergency landing at PHL, 1 fatality
Replies: 674
Views: 106383

Re: WN 1380 LGA-DAL emergency landing at PHL, 1 fatality

res whose hands on the controls: The maritime tradition has the captain or officer of the deck do nothing but observe and command. Said officer is expected to have complete situation awareness, and make all decisions on any changes. Further the OD is expected to call the Commanding Officer to the de...

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri Apr 20, 2018 2:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Russia extends overflights rights for US airlines
Replies: 9
Views: 3116

Re: Russia extends overflights rights for US airlines

Oddly enough, as large as the US and Russia are they do not impinge upon all that many great circle routes. US can hit Japan from the west, and India with only a minor jog from the east or the west. Check it out on a globe. But it still is better for the two countries to have aviation and other agre...

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by frmrCapCadet
Wed Apr 18, 2018 3:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: WN 1380 LGA-DAL emergency landing at PHL, 1 fatality
Replies: 674
Views: 106383

Re: WN 1380 LGA-DAL emergency landing at PHL, 1 fatality

https://www.seattletimes.com/business/boeing-aerospace/one-southwest-passenger-dead-others-injured-after-boeing-737-engine-blowout/ Dominic provides a good summary of what is currently known about this crash, as well as historical background information. ps - it is entirely realistic to expect most ...

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by frmrCapCadet
Tue Apr 17, 2018 2:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest flight 3461 April 15: "Passengers Cry, Scream in Southwest Airlines Landing"
Replies: 76
Views: 13299

Re: "Passengers Cry, Scream in Southwest Airlines Landing"

Let me add, the chance of being injured, let alone dying, during a landing mishap is close to zero. Wear a seatbelt, follow FA instructions, keep cool, help your neighbor and it will not be the sort of thing to justify PTSD. But also many passengers will not know this. Help them should you find you...

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by frmrCapCadet
Tue Apr 17, 2018 12:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AirAsia X won't buy "too expensive" Airbus A350: Tony Fernandes
Replies: 225
Views: 30573

Re: AirAsia X won't buy "too expensive" Airbus A350: Tony Fernandes

Many decades ago 5 year planning was expected by most companies. I remember when the fallacy of this sort of planning was coming into corporate awareness. The whole aviation enterprise exemplifies the problem. Airlines, frame makers, engine makers have to plan ten or more years out. But reality chan...

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by frmrCapCadet
Tue Apr 17, 2018 2:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest flight 3461 April 15: "Passengers Cry, Scream in Southwest Airlines Landing"
Replies: 76
Views: 13299

Re: "Passengers Cry, Scream in Southwest Airlines Landing"

Let me add, the chance of being injured, let alone dying, during a landing mishap is close to zero. Wear a seatbelt, follow FA instructions, keep cool, help your neighbor and it will not be the sort of thing to justify PTSD. But also many passengers will not know this. Help them should you find your...

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by frmrCapCadet
Tue Apr 17, 2018 12:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest flight 3461 April 15: "Passengers Cry, Scream in Southwest Airlines Landing"
Replies: 76
Views: 13299

Re: "Passengers Cry, Scream in Southwest Airlines Landing"

No I wouldn't sue the piss out of the airline/insurer. I might like a handful of passes for future flights. They say (wrongly I know) that lightning does strike the same place twice. They also say, rightly, that any landing you walk away from (swim?) is a good one. I have been in some dicey situatio...

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by frmrCapCadet
Mon Apr 16, 2018 9:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest flight 3461 April 15: "Passengers Cry, Scream in Southwest Airlines Landing"
Replies: 76
Views: 13299

Re: "Passengers Cry, Scream in Southwest Airlines Landing"

In retrospect only, would you be angry now that you were on the 320 in the Hudson River?

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by frmrCapCadet
Mon Apr 16, 2018 8:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest flight 3461 April 15: "Passengers Cry, Scream in Southwest Airlines Landing"
Replies: 76
Views: 13299

Re: "Passengers Cry, Scream in Southwest Airlines Landing"

Did it land safely? Yes? No story. So by that rather dismissive standard: the Gimli Glider, Sully's landing, Air Transat transoceanic fuel starvation, BA volcanic engine shutdown, "Titanic in the Sky" (QF032), etc... all were "no story" either? Seriously? WN has never killed any...

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by frmrCapCadet
Mon Apr 16, 2018 8:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest flight 3461 April 15: "Passengers Cry, Scream in Southwest Airlines Landing"
Replies: 76
Views: 13299

Re: "Passengers Cry, Scream in Southwest Airlines Landing"

As an airline pilot, I can assure you that pilots don't willfully fly into a situation that they don't have an out from. Moderate chop to me and the industry may feel like severe turbulance to a not frequent flyer. Just because it is red on the map, doesn't mean it is a severe thunderstorm. At the ...

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by frmrCapCadet
Mon Apr 16, 2018 3:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus shelves A320neo-plus study
Replies: 255
Views: 28509

Re: Airbus shelves A320neo-plus study

Again, Airbus has a very large 320neo family backlog, reducing costs, improving delivery schedules, ramping up production has a huge profit potential. Competing with a potential MOM will come, they will have the cash to easily do it, and pay dividends. Boeing will have an advantage on the MOM for a ...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sat Apr 14, 2018 2:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Tim Clark: A380's advantages over twinjets still 'enormous'
Replies: 211
Views: 26511

Re: Tim Clark: A380's advantages over twinjets still 'enormous'

Hasn't Clark said he likes Y as it is? Comfortable. The sculpturing of the 777x sides will improve the comfort of that plane. Interesting both are mostly EK planes. Probably not a coincidence.

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by frmrCapCadet
Sat Apr 14, 2018 2:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus shelves A320neo-plus study
Replies: 255
Views: 28509

Re: Airbus shelves A320neo-plus study

A and B are to a degree coasting with the NBs, 330, and 777s. 380, 350, and 787 are no longer new kids on the block. Boeing in this lineup is a bit longer in the tooth than Airbus. Boeing really needs to get a new model out, Airbus has a little more time. In the peculiar symmetry of the two, Airbus ...

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by frmrCapCadet
Thu Apr 12, 2018 3:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LHR - proposed night time ban, 7hrs
Replies: 94
Views: 13428

Re: LHR - proposed night time ban, 7hrs

"My favorite is people who move to the countryside who complain about the wildlife eating their plants."

Whu duh yeh think all dose guns are fer? Actually I fenced several hundred square feet, animals dug into the fenced area at their peril. Rest of the acerage, whatever!

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by frmrCapCadet
Wed Apr 11, 2018 10:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus shelves A320neo-plus study
Replies: 255
Views: 28509

Re: Airbus shelves A320neo-plus study

Boeing over the last two years has apparently succeeded in reducing its manufacturing costs, and may be a few steps ahead of Airbus. I would not be surprised if Airbus has decided to work at catching up, and maybe get a step or two head of Boeing. It is a brutal business.

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by frmrCapCadet
Tue Apr 10, 2018 1:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Amazon Fleet Growth - 2018
Replies: 228
Views: 24281

Re: Amazon Fleet Growth - 2018

A friend some 30 years ago moved to Hawaii joining a team to preserve the agricultural industry. It didn't work. Could the availability of inexpensive air freight going east make a difference?

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by frmrCapCadet
Mon Apr 09, 2018 2:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of the A338
Replies: 123
Views: 16148

Re: Future of the A338

Almost 1500 planes is/was fairly spectacular. Add the almost 400 340s - even more so.

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun Apr 08, 2018 6:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of the A338
Replies: 123
Views: 16148

Re: Future of the A338

I am trying to think of any plane that ever went through a flight test program with no orders. This is the first time that I can think of. The fact that Airbus hasn’t grounded their test airplane and kept moving forward even though they probably knew a while ago that the Hawaiian order was at risk ...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun Apr 08, 2018 3:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of the A338
Replies: 123
Views: 16148

Re: Future of the A338

Would the 338 make a better freighter than the 767?

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun Apr 08, 2018 2:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of the A338
Replies: 123
Views: 16148

Re: Future of the A338

I suspect the 330neo and 777x programs will be ok, not just fine. Maybe the x just a little better, maybe not.

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun Apr 08, 2018 2:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Discussion Thread - 2018
Replies: 2263
Views: 282372

Re: Boeing 797 Discussion Thread - 2018

Can't find a drawing program which would do the freehand Venn diagrams I picture so I will describe it in words. Passenger numbers on the vertical axis, and range on the horizontal: The distance from the abused NBs to the abused 787/330 is smallest in the center of the diagram. There is more space t...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun Apr 08, 2018 1:43 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: The green future
Replies: 52
Views: 1389

Re: The green future

Electric power is ever more important in every sector in the US - basic manufacturing, commercial, and residential. Heat pumps a lot and some electric cars. But despite that, efficiency in all those sectors has resulted in less electrical power per person. And that trend shows no signs of stopping. ...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun Apr 08, 2018 1:23 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Optimistic times
Replies: 5
Views: 286

Re: Optimistic times

Aha! Are you reading Steven Pinker? I haven't read his most recent book, Enlightenment, yet.

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by frmrCapCadet
Sat Apr 07, 2018 6:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines orders 47 additional 787's (22 788's and 25 789's), cancels A350 order
Replies: 556
Views: 70870

Re: American Airlines orders 47 additional 787's (22 788's and 25 789's), cancels A350 order

Some of us feel it is more fun to follow Boeing than the Seattle Mariners.

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by frmrCapCadet
Sat Apr 07, 2018 2:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Confirmed: HiFly adding second hand A380s
Replies: 104
Views: 24681

Re: Confirmed: HiFly adding second hand A380s

It is in the interest of first tier airlines, Airbus, engine makers (esp RR), lessors to have a secondary market. Making the numbers work, observing confidentiality, maintenance, ensuring the success secondary market airline are all tied in. Negotiations are hard because it is really hard to make th...

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri Apr 06, 2018 7:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer E-Jet E2 gets another performance boost
Replies: 56
Views: 9238

Re: Embraer E-Jet E2 gets another performance boost

Any figures on CASM for these versus the newer models of the 319/20 and the 737 7 and 8?

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri Apr 06, 2018 3:16 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Pope Francis says Hell isn't Real ??
Replies: 15
Views: 840

Re: Pope Francis says Hell isn't Real ??

I was a literature major for a short time. It was with shock that I saw where much of the imagery of hell came from - Iliad, Odyssey, Aeneid of Virgil. Religion, even American civil religion is an escapable part of culture. Disbelieve it at your peril. The great American statesmen were agnostic beli...

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by frmrCapCadet
Wed Apr 04, 2018 3:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest In Discussions With Boeing for More 737 MAX’s
Replies: 7
Views: 1665

Re: Southwest In Discussions With Boeing for More 737 MAX’s

Can the max7 or another 737 model operate interisland? I thought we have had discussions about engine overheating on short hops.

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by frmrCapCadet
Wed Apr 04, 2018 1:41 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Boeing 747-8I efficiency (better than 777X/A380?)
Replies: 6
Views: 1583

Re: Boeing 747-8I efficiency (better than 777X/A380?)

IIRC, the 380 came in a little better than expected, and the 748 not quite as good as expected. This reduced the niche in which the 748 might have been superior to the 380, enough so that only a few airlines do really well with the 748 and only on particular flights. The 748 is a good plane, just no...

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by frmrCapCadet
Wed Apr 04, 2018 12:57 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: China announces 25% tariff against some US-built planes
Replies: 164
Views: 8810

Re: China announces 25% tariff against some US-built planes

TPP was part of the strategy to dealing with Asia. Republicans in general were in favor. Democrats were conflicted (what's new!). The pact, as negotiated probably gave too much power to intellectual property (drugs, entertainment etc). Dropping it left a vacuum. China wins. US consumption and saving...

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by frmrCapCadet
Tue Apr 03, 2018 2:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The longevity myth of the 737 compared to A320
Replies: 29
Views: 4621

Re: The longevity myth of the 737 compared to A320

WN is retiring oldest operating 737s, if I understand correctly, because FAA says pilots should not be operating 3 different flight systems. Obsolescence can come from many directions.

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by frmrCapCadet
Mon Apr 02, 2018 1:46 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Self-driving vehicle strikes and kills pedestrian
Replies: 154
Views: 3987

Re: Self-driving vehicle strikes and kills pedestrian

I concur that expecting a passenger to become a driver in a matter of seconds is a serious misunderstanding of how the human cognitive system works.

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by frmrCapCadet
Mon Apr 02, 2018 1:56 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Airline Food
Replies: 18
Views: 1424

Re: Airline Food

Standard way of debate or discussion is to make a statement or proposal. This who wish to chime in do. Those who are not interested don't. If someone is not interested don't respond.

Besides get tired of 380, 757, 797 discussions.

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun Apr 01, 2018 5:44 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Facebook Executive Defended Data Collection In 2016 Memo
Replies: 41
Views: 1126

Re: Facebook Executive Defended Data Collection In 2016 Memo

So how do I post an occasional picture from my android phone or computer without giving FB blanket access to other information?

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun Apr 01, 2018 5:37 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Why is Uber involved with self driving cars?
Replies: 26
Views: 781

Re: Why is Uber involved with self driving cars?

An alternative way shared cars will be the 'credit union' or even co-op/condo model. Users are the owners. I would prefer to just buy a share in the non-profit that provides the cars I want to drive (or self driving should it come to that). Mostly I drive around town, say 30 miles max, other times I...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun Apr 01, 2018 2:27 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Airline Food
Replies: 18
Views: 1424

Re: Airline Food

Obviously about every 5 waking hour. And over the course of 16 hours it need to average about what I said. I did not suggest grazing. International food is usually OK in Y, esp non US airlines. Transcontinental food is the US is often poor or non-existent. When it exists it is often p*ss elegant. Wh...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sat Mar 31, 2018 4:08 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Airline Food
Replies: 18
Views: 1424

Re: Airline Food

One of the easiest foods that meets all of the above groups and criteria is roasted vegetables (use olive oil, no butter or animal fat), perhaps a 400 Calorie serving. I have seen people ordering this at very high end restaurants (Canlis in Seattle), pot lucks, my house. People can pick out the part...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sat Mar 31, 2018 3:58 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Airline Food
Replies: 18
Views: 1424

Airline Food

Particularly in Y food is a distraction for airlines. We are animals with certain needs for intake and output. As a diabetic I need to control that input more than most, otherwise I am agnostic about what I eat. Men need about 1600 -2400 kilocalories a day (hereafter Calories or C), women typically ...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sat Mar 31, 2018 3:39 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Self-driving vehicle strikes and kills pedestrian
Replies: 154
Views: 3987

Re: Self-driving vehicle strikes and kills pedestrian

Tesla probably needs to direct vehicles whose drivers repeatedly ignore warnings to come to a safe automatically stop. And without any way of restarting until the driver has talked with an arbitration person. Texting, phoning, and drunk drivers are the real dangers out there on the road, Revelation,...

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri Mar 30, 2018 3:19 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit EU position Phase 2
Replies: 914
Views: 20212

Re: Brexit EU position Phase 2

Sovereignty is a pernicious term. It obviously as a word derives from 'king', and more particularly an absolute king. As applied to a national government it implies no interference from the outside. This is of course utterly fictitious. It is not possible to live in a country and be free of outside ...

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri Mar 30, 2018 3:03 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Self-driving vehicle strikes and kills pedestrian
Replies: 154
Views: 3987

Re: Self-driving vehicle strikes and kills pedestrian

A proper political note: Standards for autonomous cars will not be established by one company. Suppose C (company) does best job with bicycles, B with pedestrians, C on snow, D and E in heavy rain, F is always stopping safely when in doubt. Governments rightly will demand cross licensing and compati...

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