Search found 1468 matches

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri Jul 21, 2017 4:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough
Replies: 197
Views: 14937

Re: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough

Three things we will never persuade everyone on this site: Boeing pretty well paid for all of its R and D, and production costs for the 787 out of it current cash flow. Program accounting is or was a standard way of accounting, especially for those things whose R and D all occurs before first sales....

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri Jul 21, 2017 4:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: WN to Hawaii?
Replies: 114
Views: 10894

Re: WN to Hawaii?

Moreover, I doubt WN would use aux tanks on the MAX planes. WN strives for fleet commonality and the ability to deploy their fleet all across the system. Having a small amount of aircraft with aux tanks for Hawaii flying creates a subfleet that is hauling around aux tanks for no reason if deployed ...

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri Jul 21, 2017 2:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UK Launches Consultation on Post-Brexit Aviation Strategy
Replies: 6
Views: 375

Re: UK Launches Consultation on Post-Brexit Aviation Strategy

https://mainlymacro.blogspot.com/2017/0 ... rexit.html
-->

I am reading that time is running out, and the most likely temporary solution is that Great Britain exits, but pays it 'dues' ala Norway and nothing will change until (if) agreements are worked out.

https://mainlymacro.blogspot.com/2017/0 ... rexit.html

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by frmrCapCadet
Thu Jul 20, 2017 11:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Amazon Fleet Growing
Replies: 1377
Views: 210774

Re: Amazon Fleet Growing

wj - thanks. There is a lot about Amazon many of us do not know - despite being a user about the time they started!

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by frmrCapCadet
Thu Jul 20, 2017 2:18 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska CEO on Airbus
Replies: 148
Views: 22888

Re: Alaska CEO on Airbus

Alaska does not have to be in a hurry to get rid of any models of the 320 They will need those planes to maintain their current flights and projected growth But someone else may want those 320s and Alaska may find a source of late model 737s. And Alaska is always going to say nice things about the 7...

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by frmrCapCadet
Mon Jul 17, 2017 5:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing delivers 1,500th 777
Replies: 80
Views: 12021

Re: Boeing delivers 1,500th 777

But more astounding that A and B make almost that many NBs a year.

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by frmrCapCadet
Mon Jul 17, 2017 2:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hyperloop - Possible Implications for Aviation Industry?
Replies: 73
Views: 7552

Re: Hyperloop - Possible Implications for Aviation Industry?

Autonomous autos will be the real challenge, both to trains and to airlines for trips under 300 miles (maybe even 450 miles). They likely will not look like a Tesla. You will book a trip, and comfort levels will be equivalent to airline Economy Plus up to International First Class. The existing high...

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by frmrCapCadet
Mon Jul 17, 2017 1:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: CS100/300 as the only replacement for B717?
Replies: 63
Views: 9553

Re: CS100/300 as the only replacement for B717?

Anyone wanting to understand the economics of auto/passenger ferries and fast passenger ferries can look at the economics of both in the Puget Sound. As I wrote I was watching our new fast ferry come in. They are expensive, but often essential for good service. The economy of our area depends upon t...

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by frmrCapCadet
Mon Jul 17, 2017 1:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Amazon Fleet Growing
Replies: 1377
Views: 210774

Re: Amazon Fleet Growing

While I like two day delivery really well, I often order things that are not needed for the next week or two. I assume that Amazon's delivery system is such that they see no real savings in slower delivery for some items. Is that so? Could they make a little more profit by giving me points for slowe...

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by frmrCapCadet
Mon Jul 17, 2017 1:08 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Boeing Factory Tour
Replies: 16
Views: 1255

Re: Boeing Factory Tour

Did the tour a few years ago. Our tour guide was a retired Boeing worker, born and raised in the area. His thespian tour persona was a hearty booming lower(!) class English accent - I have a hearing impairment, but did not miss a word of what he said - loved it.

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by frmrCapCadet
Mon Jul 17, 2017 1:02 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Maintaining a little used airliner airworthy ....
Replies: 9
Views: 750

Re: Maintaining a little used airliner airworthy ....

All this kind of makes the point that low utilization users should take advantage of companies that sell plane time by the hour. Assume those companies are aiming at a 15%(?) profit margin. You can then calculate what a plane costs to fly and maintain.

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun Jul 16, 2017 9:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: WN to Hawaii?
Replies: 114
Views: 10894

Re: WN to Hawaii?

WN is interested but in no rush to fly to Hawaii. Not a big deal.

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun Jul 16, 2017 7:15 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Randy Tinseth
Replies: 13
Views: 1968

Re: Randy Tinseth

The value of the blog was that it gave Boeing's spin on the current market and their strategy. It also somewhat put them on record for those spins and strategies. The best example of this was the first Randy's posts on Boeing's product lines. He (and Boeing) saw the 737 (along with its replacement ...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sat Jul 15, 2017 8:09 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Randy Tinseth
Replies: 13
Views: 1968

Re: Randy Tinseth

The value of the blog was that it gave Boeing's spin on the current market and their strategy. It also somewhat put them on record for those spins and strategies. The best example of this was the first Randy's posts on Boeing's product lines. He (and Boeing) saw the 737 (along with its replacement d...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sat Jul 15, 2017 2:31 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: CS100/300 as the only replacement for B717?
Replies: 63
Views: 9553

Re: CS100/300 as the only replacement for B717?

New boats in our neck of the woods have an unsubsidized cost of about $1/passenger mile, and that is for a boat carrying about 125 passengers and a 17 mile trip.

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by frmrCapCadet
Thu Jul 13, 2017 1:25 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Nimitz Class vs Gerald R Ford Class
Replies: 8
Views: 1284

Re: Nimitz Class vs Gerald R Ford Class

As I recall, the newer aircraft carriers have one time fueled reactor good for 50 years.

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by frmrCapCadet
Wed Jul 12, 2017 4:14 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: UA testing reselling cheap seats to biz pax for vouchers
Replies: 4
Views: 1166

Re: UA testing reselling cheap seats to biz pax for vouchers

As a not frequent flyer, I have both package deals (mostly big cities) and backpacking (mostly SE Asia), vouchers would work well for the later, probably not for the former. But if UA offered to redo a package that would be OK too.

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by frmrCapCadet
Wed Jul 12, 2017 3:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Dozens of American Airlines pilots face demotion, pay cut after losing contract dispute
Replies: 47
Views: 10205

Re: Dozens of American Airlines pilots face demotion, pay cut after losing contract dispute

Employment agreement, union or otherwise, only protect very highly paid people now. They are kind of like medieval guilds, and generally are happy to screw the peasants. Adam Smith observed this centuries ago.

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by frmrCapCadet
Wed Jul 12, 2017 3:35 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Premium Economy Hype
Replies: 34
Views: 2140

Re: Premium Economy Hype

In the so-called golden age of air travel in a 707/Douglas 8 you got a 17 inch seat and about 35 inch pitch. It was comfortable, and for most of us the trip was one of the high points of the vacation. I would save my Science American magazines to read on the plane. The food tended to be a little p*s...

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by frmrCapCadet
Wed Jul 12, 2017 3:26 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: If you could change one thing about flying as a pax on mainline, what would it be?
Replies: 52
Views: 3101

Re: If you could change one thing about flying as a pax on mainline, what would it be?

Assign overhead bin to associated seat. I well understand that not all seats might not have that associated bin, so charge a little less for those seats.

This would automatically control for extra large bags, which would impinge into someone else's space. A fair fee to gate check the offending bag.

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by frmrCapCadet
Tue Jul 11, 2017 1:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: ANA starts A380 marketing campaigns
Replies: 102
Views: 27581

Re: ANA starts A380 marketing campaigns

I was disappointed that the video didn't have architectural and other technical information on the airport side of things. It was more of an ad on how great the 380 is - and I would be interested in taking it to Japan and back from Hawaii.

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by frmrCapCadet
Mon Jul 10, 2017 11:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus weighs response if Boeing launches new mid-market model
Replies: 564
Views: 72333

Re: Airbus weighs response if Boeing launches new mid-market model

I suspect that Airbus could do a modest response if the 797 looks like a 2000 or so sales plane, it is looks like a 5000 different story. Analogously, had the 321neo outsold MAX9 by a 60/40 ratio I think Boeing would not have come up with the 10.

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by frmrCapCadet
Sat Jul 08, 2017 10:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 14 Felonies For Drone Operator After Water Tankers Grounded In AZ
Replies: 30
Views: 6771

Re: 14 Felonies For Drone Operator After Water Tankers Grounded In AZ

Certainty of punishment as opposed to severity has long been known to be the more effective deterrent.

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by frmrCapCadet
Sat Jul 08, 2017 2:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qatar cancels 4 A350s due to supplier issues
Replies: 177
Views: 22484

Re: Qatar cancels 4 A350s due to supplier issues

If a plane is not delivered by the contracted time wouldn't Airbus have to return all monies already paid, and possibly even interest?. Most contracts in other fields do this.

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri Jul 07, 2017 2:19 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qatar cancels 4 A350s due to supplier issues
Replies: 177
Views: 22484

Re: Qatar to cancel 4 A350s due to supplier issues

If you have ordered something with a promised date, and it isn't ready, AND you have come to the conclusion that you no longer want it, you are entitled by contract to cancel the order. If Qatar wanted the planes, they likely would have accepted the planes late, albeit with some remuneration. Simply...

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri Jul 07, 2017 1:38 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X - Updated Information And Developments
Replies: 2437
Views: 152347

Re: Boeing 777X - Updated Information And Developments

There has not been a previous era in which so many planes could compete against each other in so many routes. Which means airlines can look for planes optimized for the range and passenger size they want. Also noteworthy, in the US it is rare that you can fly anywhere in any of the wide body planes....

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by frmrCapCadet
Thu Jul 06, 2017 9:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X - Updated Information And Developments
Replies: 2437
Views: 152347

Re: Boeing 777X - Updated Information And Developments

A summary I think accurate: Against the 350, the 777X is about as good but more capable Against the current 380, A little better and not as capable Against the 330neo, 787, 350 - it will do OK, but not anything like the 777W did against the competition And another rule of thumb: Small planes are get...

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by frmrCapCadet
Thu Jul 06, 2017 6:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus weighs response if Boeing launches new mid-market model
Replies: 564
Views: 72333

Re: Airbus weighs response if Boeing launches new mid-market model

"Talk about technology lives from clear definitions", both right, and very wrong. Fly by Wire is a generic term with a variety of meanings, and if you are going to use the term you need to clearly define how you will use the term. There is no Language Definitional Policeman who has announc...

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by frmrCapCadet
Thu Jul 06, 2017 1:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X - Updated Information And Developments
Replies: 2437
Views: 152347

Re: Boeing 777X - Updated Information And Developments

Given the high possibility that both the 748 and 380 (two of those unlucky 8s again) have entered the dead parrot stage (but the coroner has been delayed) the big 777s are likely well (or at least OK) positioned. When it comes to VLA one needs a lot of ( )( )s

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by frmrCapCadet
Thu Jul 06, 2017 1:26 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Cost of Inflight Internet System
Replies: 2
Views: 826

Re: Cost of Inflight Internet System

IIRC Southwest contracts out their internet service, and customers pay (via Southwest) for what it costs including profits. If that is still true one could do some estimating and basic accounting and likely come up with a decent ballpark estimate.

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by frmrCapCadet
Wed Jul 05, 2017 3:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus CEO Enders Takes Direct Control Of Airplane Sales
Replies: 53
Views: 6855

Re: Airbus CEO Enders Takes Direct Control Of Airplane Sales

Politics is how large groups of homo sapiens make decisions; be the group a nation, an army, a company, or even a volunteer organization. The needless and naïve denigration of politics really hides a lot of ignorance.

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by frmrCapCadet
Wed Jul 05, 2017 2:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 14 Felonies For Drone Operator After Water Tankers Grounded In AZ
Replies: 30
Views: 6771

Re: 14 Felonies For Drone Operator After Water Tankers Grounded In AZ

In an analogous field, post 911 regulations require small boats to stay 500 yards from ferries. That, of course, is basically impossible in inland waters given our geology and geography in the Salish Sea. When I got a boat I emailed the ferry system asking for clarification, but all they could do is...

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by frmrCapCadet
Wed Jul 05, 2017 2:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus weighs response if Boeing launches new mid-market model
Replies: 564
Views: 72333

Re: Airbus weighs response if Boeing launches new mid-market model

Res high tech aviation companies in the Seattle area: Just about every article on those companies and their work for Boeing mentions that Airbus contracts with them too. Actually the tax benefits for Boeing are so worded that they apply to any company, so long as they meet the requirements. Were the...

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by frmrCapCadet
Tue Jul 04, 2017 1:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus weighs response if Boeing launches new mid-market model
Replies: 564
Views: 72333

Re: Airbus weighs response if Boeing launches new mid-market model

Both A and B's CFRP are highly automated additive processes, so related to 3D printing. Either manufacturer is capable and will be further automating. If we want to go totally Sci Fiction, maybe if you want a dozen planes just have 'em printed off, and individually flight tested (no pilot of course)...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun Jul 02, 2017 10:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus weighs response if Boeing launches new mid-market model
Replies: 564
Views: 72333

Re: Airbus weighs response if Boeing launches new mid-market model

IIRC Break even on the 787 includes a $30 million charge to cover past production costs. A number of us find this is problematical.

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun Jul 02, 2017 3:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing '797' doesn't exist yet. One airline already says it wants it first
Replies: 68
Views: 18018

Re: Boeing '797' doesn't exist yet. One airline already says it wants it first

Another sense in which the MOM is indeed in the middle of the market. We tend to emphasize range and passenger size. 737/320 models in their latest and largest iterations are lightweight planes pushing against the limits of what they can do (size, range, comfort, maybe others) They have over the yea...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sat Jul 01, 2017 5:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AS Horizon Cancellations due to Pilot Shortage
Replies: 67
Views: 9376

Re: AS Horizon Cancellations due to Pilot Shortage

What evidence is there that European safety statistics are in any way inferior to US? You comment on Bob's Flight school makes no sense, nor reflects any reality.

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by frmrCapCadet
Sat Jul 01, 2017 2:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus weighs response if Boeing launches new mid-market model
Replies: 564
Views: 72333

Re: Airbus weighs response if Boeing launches new mid-market model

I have wondered why a few wider seats in awkward places, close to rest rooms or galleys, could not be squeezed in. Older planes often had some taper at the rear and if that taper improved aerodynamics, it could also be used for a seat or two that was a couple inches wider. My 'inner architect' says ...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sat Jul 01, 2017 2:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AS Horizon Cancellations due to Pilot Shortage
Replies: 67
Views: 9376

Re: AS Horizon Cancellations due to Pilot Shortage

What "other" countries allow pilots to start flying at 250 hours? Does that include the major developed countries in Europe or Asia? The difference between 1,500 and 250 would seem to a non-aviation outsider to be substantial. What accounts for the important difference? Are the safety &qu...

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri Jun 30, 2017 5:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus weighs response if Boeing launches new mid-market model
Replies: 564
Views: 72333

Re: Airbus weighs response if Boeing launches new mid-market model

keesje wrote:
I actively avoid narrow seats / aisles. Too much rubbing / bumping.


a 2-3-2 has only 1 per 7 passengers with passengers on two sides, versus 2 per 6 on an NB. 33% down to 14%.

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri Jun 30, 2017 5:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus weighs response if Boeing launches new mid-market model
Replies: 564
Views: 72333

Re: Airbus weighs response if Boeing launches new mid-market model

the new MAX 10 comes close enough to be somewhat competitive with the new 321. Airbus does not have to match the 797 with a 322, just be reasonably close. The exception would be an all new MOM defining a big as opposed to medium niche. In that case Airbus would need to do something big. But they wil...

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri Jun 30, 2017 3:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus weighs response if Boeing launches new mid-market model
Replies: 564
Views: 72333

Re: Airbus weighs response if Boeing launches new mid-market model

A 2-3-2 layout with 17 inch seats will likely be more comfortable than a 3-3 with 18 inch seats. Add about a 33 inch pitch in Economy Plus with a modern seat, and the comfort equals an old 707 from the 1960s. This could make enough difference for an increase in ticket price. I understand that the 38...

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by frmrCapCadet
Thu Jun 29, 2017 1:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Canada downsizes 737 MAX 9 order book
Replies: 68
Views: 10122

Re: Air Canada downsizes 737 MAX 9 order book

One market failure in the industry is lag time between ordering (esp when everyone else is ordering, and slots are full years out), and receiving planes. Airline executives are needing to plan fleets for 5-8 years ahead. Really dicey. Having the option to change orders from one model to another two ...

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by frmrCapCadet
Wed Jun 28, 2017 7:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Long-haul ULCCs are the coup de grace for the A380
Replies: 63
Views: 14437

Re: Long-haul ULCCs are the coup de grace for the A380

I assure you there are no free rides in respect to accrued maintenance or wear and tear, unless compensated for in another part of the agreement.


I certainly did not imply free ride - just that we do not know the details of typical leases. The details are proprietary information in most cases.

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by frmrCapCadet
Wed Jun 28, 2017 6:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing officially launches 737 MAX 10
Replies: 353
Views: 48580

Re: Boeing officially launches 737 MAX 10

Are the issues involving flights Boeing and United had discussed? United could be wanting to use the plane on yet more flights.

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by frmrCapCadet
Wed Jun 28, 2017 6:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing targets Bombardier for “price dumping” CSeries
Replies: 362
Views: 52020

Re: Boeing targets Bombardier for “price dumping” CSeries

Res Boeing and the 787: They did indeed promise really low prices and quick availability, and soaked up a lot of orders that otherwise would have gone to Airbus. Airbus has done the same in the past. But Boeing wins the prize for losing the most money doing it! That is water under the bridge, I thin...

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by frmrCapCadet
Mon Jun 26, 2017 10:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Largest cities not served by WN
Replies: 107
Views: 11591

Re: Largest cities not served by WN

I know the populations are small, and I understand economics. I simply noted, contrary to what some said, that WN does not have excellent coverage throughout the US. And that an independent regional with interlining might be able to improve that coverage.

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by frmrCapCadet
Mon Jun 26, 2017 6:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Largest cities not served by WN
Replies: 107
Views: 11591

Re: Largest cities not served by WN

Southwest flies none in Montana, Wyoming, North and South Dakota, to one location in Oregon, Idaho, Colorado, Utah, Minnesota, two in Washington and Nevada. Depending on where you draw the line for flyover country there may be a couple more. Anyway that is 11 states with only 9 locations. And it is ...

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by frmrCapCadet
Mon Jun 26, 2017 3:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Largest cities not served by WN
Replies: 107
Views: 11591

Re: Largest cities not served by WN

https://www.southwest.com/flight/routemap_dyn.html https://www.jetblue.com/wherewejet/?intcmp=hd_wherewejet Southwest from Seattle to St Paul Minneapolis, and Canada to a line from Reno, Los Vegas, Albuquerque, Amarillo only six cities have service. Alaska has some flights there but not a lot. JetBl...

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by frmrCapCadet
Mon Jun 26, 2017 1:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 737-7Max
Replies: 15
Views: 3429

Re: 737-7Max

Or alternately, as I suggested in another thread, WN could start interlining a service oriented regional airline to airports not needing 737 service.

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